2025年标志着人工智能发展史上的一个决定性转折点。根据对OpenRouter平台上超过100万亿token的真实使用数据的详尽实证分析，结合DeepSeek、OpenAI及Air Street Capital等机构的市场情报，我们观察到AI生态系统正在经历从“生成式聊天”向“代理式推理（Agentic Reasoning）”的根本性范式转移。这一年，虽然大模型（LLM）的绝对能力继续攀升，但更深层次的变革发生在用户行为、市场结构以及地缘政治版图中。
市场影响：DeepSeek的存在直接挑战了西方AI公司的商业模式。如果一家中国公司能以几十分之一的成本开发出SOTA（State of the Art）模型并免费开源，那么OpenAI和Anthropic依靠高昂API定价来回收数百亿训练成本的逻辑将面临严峻考验。这迫使闭源厂商必须不断在推理能力上通过“o1”这样的技术飞跃来维持溢价，否则将陷入价格战的泥潭。
能源地缘政治：这使得拥有廉价、稳定能源（如中东的太阳能、美国和中国的核能与水电）的国家在未来AI竞争中占据优势。算力竞争正在演变为能源基础设施的竞争。Air Street Capital指出，这一趋势将导致AI发展的“重资产化”，进一步拉大科技巨头与普通研究机构之间的差距，使得顶级AI研究彻底成为“主权级”的博弈 11。
在介绍巴西占屋运动的文章中，记录了很多次这样的占屋行动。其中大多数行动，是以十九世纪反奴隶制斗争中的重要人物命名的。譬如，Manoel Congo 是 Vale do Paraíba 地区最大奴隶起义运动的领袖；Zumbi dos Palmares 是巴西最大的 Quilombo 的最后一任领袖，而 Quilombo 是由逃亡奴隶组成的社区。
Resisting Evictions: Squatting in Rio de Janeiro as an Alternative for Housing by Juliana Canedo and Julia Caminha 收录于：Fighting for Spaces, Fighting for Our Lives: Squatting Movements Today，2018，ISBN: 9783942885904，原文阅读
Rap Against Dictatorship – Prathet Ku Mee (My Country Has)，2018 反独裁说唱 – 我的国家有什么
[Intro]
[Verse 1: Lady Thanom]
The country where the panther was slain by rifle 黑豹被步枪击毙的国家 The country that preaches moral but crime rate higher than Eiffel 宣扬道德，犯罪率却高于埃菲尔铁塔的国家 The law can’t fight against Dharma or Bible 法律无法与法则或圣经抗衡的国家 Good people never be saluted as idol 好人从不被尊崇为偶像的国家 The country that judges get houses in national park 法官在国家公园里有房产的国家 The country that its capital’s hearth turned into killing fields 首都的心脏变成了屠杀场的国家 The country that leaders eat taxes like a sweet meal 领导们像享用美餐一样吃掉税收的国家 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 2: Gentle Prapas]
The country has no corruption and no checks and balances 没有腐败也没有制衡的国家 The country that a minister’s watches belong to a ghost 部长的手表属于幽灵的国家 The parliament house is soldiers’ play yard 议会大厦是士兵们的游乐场的国家 Charter is written and erased by the army’s boots 宪章被军靴书写又抹去的国家 The country that artists are rebellion 艺术家都是反贼的国家 The country that rebellion obeys the state power 叛乱者服从国家权力的国家 The country that follows leaders like an ant’s nest 像蚁巢一样追随领导者的国家 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 3: HomeBoy Scout]
The country that people in suite never do what they say 穿西装的人从不兑现承诺的国家 The poor have to die ’cause they don’t have 30-baht health care 穷人不得不死，因为他们没有 30 铢的医保 So powerful country that eats panther like sashimi 像吃生鱼片一样吃掉黑豹的如此强大的国家 No accountability, no guilt 没有问责，没有愧疚 The country that murder is easy with money 金钱让谋杀变得轻而易举的国家 The law can stretch more than the arms of Luffy 法律延伸得比路飞手臂还要长的国家 Keep saying “Doing good, doing good” 一直说“干的不错，干的不错” Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 4: Kitti Lamar Wuttoe]
The country that points a gun at your throat 用枪指着你喉咙的国家 Claims to have freedom but have no right to choose 声称拥有自由却没有选择的权利的国家 You can’t say shit even though it’s full of your mouth 嘴里满是话却无法说出的国家 Whatever you do, the leader will see you 无论做什么都会被老大哥看到的国家 The country that assholes own the sovereignty 由混蛋掌控主权的国家 You must choose to either eat the truth or bullets 你必须选择，要么吃真相，要么吃子弹 Country that big fish eat little by squads of motherfuckers 成群混蛋大鱼吃小鱼的国家 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 5: Kra-Ting Clan]
The country that government is untouchable 政府不可触碰的国家 The police use law to threaten people 警察用法律来威胁人民的国家 Though you’re enlightened, you have to pretend to sleep 虽然你已经觉醒，却必须假装睡着的国家 Even you don’t wanna live, they will force you to live 即使你不想活，他们也会强迫你活下去 The country that people read less, especially the leader 人们尤其是领导都不读书的国家 The country that asks you to stay quiet or stay in jail 要求你保持沉默或者进监狱的国家 The country that corruption’s always safe for the rich 腐败对富人来说总是安全的国家 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 6: G Saiyud]
The country that politics is split in two sides 政治被分为两派的国家 The country that citizens are divided into two 公民被分成两派的国家 The country that people get killed in both sides 双方都有人被杀的国家 The country that both sides fear the army 双方都害怕军队的国家 Four years already motherfucker, still no election 四年了，混蛋，仍然没有选举的国家 Free country? Fuck it, don’t tell me I can choose 自由的国家？去他妈的，别告诉我我可以选择 Even the PM is still picked by the army 连总理都是由军队挑选的的国家 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 7: Samak Da Kreator]
The country that national budget is unlimited 国家预算无限的国家 The bizarre country with money hidden in bureaucrats’ house 钱藏在官僚的家里的奇怪国家 The country that leader is kinda annoying 领导人很烦的国家 The country that fucks the rule with machine gun 用机枪践踏规则的国家 People live happily but still in the cave 人们快乐地生活，但仍在洞穴中 Four years under the top-boots, nobody works in the house 四年在高筒靴下，家里没有人工作 The tedious country that goes without saying 不言而喻，这是个乏味的国家 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 8: Snoop Dusit]
The country that has everything except common sense 除了常识什么都有的国家 Driven by money like a magical spell 被金钱驱动，像魔法咒语一样 Time goes by, it becomes a diamond of evil 时间流逝，它变成了邪恶的钻石 Worshiped by monkeys like a monolith of selfishness 被强烈自我中心的猴子们崇拜 Brainlessly drunk in ignorance that can’t response shits 在无知中愚蠢地醉倒，无法回应任何事情 Ignore justice, let the beasts keep arrogant 无视正义，野兽们继续傲慢着 Rule everything by darkness and fear 用黑暗和恐惧统治一切 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Interlude]
[Verse 9: Thanin Scott]
The good and fucking everlasting country 美好而它妈的永恒的国家 The glorious gov abuses people, being hated worldwide 辉煌的政府虐待人民，受到全世界的憎恶 The country is sanctioned, people suffer everywhere 受到制裁，人民到处受苦的国家 The country that evil disguise in coup and people are suppressed 邪恶伪装成政变，人民被压制的国家 That country that fires protesters at night 在夜间向抗议者开火的国家 The lawless country and the fucked up city 无法无天的国家和糟糕的城市 Keep making babies and eating tax 继续生孩子和吃税收的国家 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Verse 10: Sa-lang Shady]
The country that can use law as an excuse like a magic 像魔法一样用法律作为借口的国家 People dress hope as shirt and dress poverty as shorts 人们把希望穿成衬衫，把贫穷穿成短裤的国家 The country that close its ear, never hear people in the gap 对缝隙中的人民闭耳不闻的国家 The country that everyone keeps talking and listening 每个人一直在谈论和倾听的国家 People only good at taking exams and just want to be rich 人们擅长考试，只想变得富有的国家 The country that makes fakes promises like loading bullets, create a regime and told use to love it 像装填子弹一样做出虚假承诺，创造政权要我们去热爱它的国家 The country that chair is the answer 主席的位子就是答案的国家 You will see if you’re good at counting dates 你会看到你是否擅长计算日期 Which is my country 这就是我的国 Which is my country 这就是我的国
[Ending Notes]
Polarizing the people is the authoritarian’s ultimate weapon 两极化民众是专制者的终极武器 When this happens, the people’s power will be taken away 当这种情况发生时，人民的权力将被剥夺 In memory of all victims from all state crimes 为了纪念所有国家犯罪的所有受害者
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