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Today — 11 July 2025News

基本常识|天水幼儿园铅中毒的三大疑点,就差一张记者证……

By: unknown
11 July 2025 at 14:01
CDT 档案卡
标题:天水幼儿园铅中毒的三大疑点,就差一张记者证……
作者:项栋梁
发表日期:2025.7.10
来源:基本常识
主题归类:甘肃天水幼儿园铅中毒事件
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

天水幼儿园铅中毒的事,官方通报的调查结果是厨房用了彩绘颜料来做发糕。极度不合情理的结论和语焉不详的通报内容,给这起事件留下了诸多疑点,令人难以信服。

然而通报之后,并没有任何一家官方媒体的调查报道回应了公众的这些疑问,一家都没有。

媒体这般现状,实在是可耻又可怜。

可惜我2015年从报社离职后,记者证也随之失效,如今已没有合法身份去做采访调查。若是我有记者证,此刻不管报社同不同意,我都已经在甘肃天水采访调查了。

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曾经伴我走遍全国的新闻记者证

疑点一:动机不合理

彩绘颜料并不比食用色素便宜几块钱,幼儿园这么做的动机到底是什么?

如果我去采访,会找家长核实通报中关于“提高招生吸引力”的说法,询问幼儿园有没有把三色发糕等染色食物作为招生宣传的重点资料,询问当地儿童是否更喜欢颜色异常鲜艳的食物,了解当地有没有消费颜色异常鲜艳食物的传统。(栋梁注:园长和厨师等人被刑拘了是采访不到的)

还有一个可能的突破口是采访同一老板旗下另外三家幼儿园的家长,查证他们的孩子是否曾吃过涉案的同款三色发糕与玉米肠卷。

同时还要采访天水其他幼儿园小学的厨师,了解当地给糕点染色通常使用什么方案,成本是多少。

疑点二:染色物质无具体信息

投资多家幼儿园的老板,监控视频里两位年轻的厨师,显然不是典型意义上特别愚昧的人群,很难想象他们会无知胆大到用彩绘颜料来做饭,更难想象(被刑拘的)知情的八个人居然没有一个人阻止。他们用的到底是彩绘颜料还是食用色素?

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如果我去采访,会找幼儿园老板和厨师的家属了解他们的学历、认知情况,有没有受过专业的烹饪训练,并询问家属能否找到相应购买食用色素或者彩绘颜料的订单。

如果目前涉案的八个人是被安排背锅的,通常很难在短时间内征得所有近亲属的同意,大概率会有亲属愿意配合接受采访,透露出一些通报未曾涉及的信息。

疑点三:检测结果的巨大差异

天水当地医院的血铅检测结果和西安医院相差数十倍,官方通报里完全没提到这个问题。我在此前的文章(已被屏蔽)里分析过,只有一种可能性,就是天水当地有人干预了医院,出具了假的检测结果。那么,是谁,出于怎样的动机去命令医院出具假的检测结果?

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如果我去采访,会尝试寻找天水当地医院内部的知情人士,了解相关检测是受到了谁的干预。如此重大责任的违规行为,通常会有被迫参与的人员或被牵连的知情者愿意向媒体匿名爆料的。

同时,对于网传的西安医院受到天水方面人员求情/威胁要求所谓“顾全大局”修改数据的情况,也要去找西安的医院求证核实。

在一个正常的社会里,官方调查负责提供重大社会事件的核心事实,并对事件定性定责。与此同时,媒体与社会机构负责提供增量的细节信息、背景信息与各方观点,这样才有助于在处理个案的同时帮助整个社会汲取教训、发展进步。

可惜,这里不是。

【404文库】晖常有道|甘肃血铅这事又被网友们发现了第二组疑点

By: unknown
11 July 2025 at 13:02
CDT 档案卡
标题:甘肃血铅这事又被网友们发现了第二组疑点
作者:晖常有道
发表日期:2025.7.9
来源:晖常有道
主题归类:甘肃天水幼儿园铅中毒事件
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

没想到短短一个早上加上午时间,网友们充分发挥福尔摩斯精神,在甘肃天水血铅这个事情上,发现了更多矛盾的地方,涉及到好几个方面,我想整理出来让大家看到。

首先是地点和距离方面,有网友发现了这个细节,这是地点。

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接下来是距离,两者都在河边。

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接下来是颜料方面的,这是当地幼儿园方面的说法。

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可是很快有学化学的网友找出这样的资料。

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并进行了这样的计算。

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网友们不接受颜料致铅中毒这个说法。

他们从地下水的角度进行分析了。

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当然,最有力的证据还是来自于颜料与食用色素的价格对比。

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当厨师的网友也说话了。

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其他学化学的网友也上场了。

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结论很明显,当地编故事不打草稿。

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那些孩子们的家长也发现了不对劲的地方,幼儿园前后口风不一。

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家长们不认可发糕是主要原因。

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再往下就是监控视频方面的疑点了。

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很多网友都发现这个疑点了。

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有网友则从专业的角度进行分析了。

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说这就是人工剪辑后的结果。

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最后,网友得出这样的结论。

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经过一系列的分析后,网友们送上了终极绝杀。

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我想,最后的这个问题真的需要甘肃天水方面认真想一下,然后给出一个能令人信服的回答。

是啊,为什么没在幼儿园吃饭的孩子们,也会显示血铅中毒呢,这到底是为什么呢?

还是那句话,只要是有孩子的家庭,都会关心这个事,他们都在等着一个答案。

Two Dozen Hospitalized in Mass Drug Overdose in Baltimore

By: John Yoon
11 July 2025 at 15:13
An unusually large number of overdoses sent crews searching alleys and homes for victims. Officials have not said what type of drug was involved.

© Baltimore Police

Baltimore police and fire crews responding to the overdoses in West Baltimore on Thursday.

Trump threatens 35% tariffs on Canadian goods

11 July 2025 at 12:36
EPA US President Donald Trump during a meeting with African leaders at the White House, Washington, DC, USA, 09 July 2025.EPA
The letter to Canada is among more than 20 that Trump had posted this week to US trade partners.

US President Donald Trump has said he will slap a 35% tariff on Canadian goods starting 1 August, even as the two countries are days away from a self-imposed deadline to reach a new deal on trade.

The missive came as Trump also threatened blanket tariffs of 15% or 20% on most trade partners, and said he would soon notify the European Union of a new tariff rate on its goods.

Trump announced the new levies on Canada on Thursday in a letter posted to social media and addressed to Prime Minister Mark Carney.

The US has already imposed a blanket 25% tariff on some Canadian goods, and the country is feeling the pain of the Trump administration's global steel, aluminium and auto tariffs.

The letter is among more than 20 that Trump had posted this week to US trade partners, including Japan, South Korea and Sri Lanka.

Like Canada's letter, Trump has vowed to implement those tariffs on trade partners by 1 August.

The US has imposed a 25% tariff on all Canadian imports, though there is a current exemption in place for goods that comply with a North American free trade agreement.

It is unclear if the latest tariffs threat would apply to goods covered by the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA).

Trump has also imposed a global 50% tariff on aluminium and steel imports, and a 25% tariff on all cars and trucks not build in the US.

Canada sells about three-quarters of its goods to the US, and is an auto manufacturing hub and a major supplier of metals, making those tariffs especially damaging to those sectors.

Trump's letter said the 35% tariffs are separate to those sector-specific levies.

"As you are aware, there will be no tariff if Canada, or companies within your country, decide to build or manufacture products within the United States," Trump stated.

He also tied the tariffs to what he called "Canada's failure" to stop the flow of fentanyl into the US, as well as Canada's existing levies on US dairy farmers and the trade deficit between the two countries.

Canada has been engaged in intense talk with the US in recent months to reach a new trade and security deal.

At the G7 Summit in June, Prime Minister Carney and Trump said they were committed to reaching a new deal on within 30 days, setting a deadline of 21 July.

In late June, Carney removed a tax on big US technology firms after Trump labelled it a "blatant attack" and threatened to call off trade talks.

Carney said the tax was dropped as "part of a bigger negotiation" on trade between the two countries.

The BBC has reached out to the Canadian officials for comment.

War crimes are likely being committed in Darfur, ICC finds

11 July 2025 at 11:34
Reuters A woman covered by a beige headscarf sits on a blanket, surrounded by five young children in colourful clothing, with braided hair. They are sitting amid piles of fabric, clothing and matting, under makeshift tents that have been propped up by small trees.Reuters
12 million people have been displaced by the conflict in western Sudan

There are "reasonable grounds" to believe war crimes and crimes against humanity are being committed in western Sudan, said the International Criminal Court (ICC) at the United Nations Security Council on Thursday.

Targeted sexual violence against women and girls of specific ethnicities was named as one of the most disturbing findings to emerge from the ICC probe on crimes committed in Darfur.

War broke out between the Sudanese army and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in April 2023, leading to what the UN calls "devastating civilian casualties".

ICC Deputy Prosecutor Nazhat Shameem Khan said it was "difficult to find appropriate words to describe the depth of suffering" in the region.

The UN Security Council gave the ICC a mandate to investigate and prosecute crimes in Darfur two decades ago, with the body opening multiple investigations into war crimes and genocide committed in the region from July 2002 onwards.

The ICC launched a fresh probe in 2023 after civil war broke out once again, interviewing victims who had fled the most recent iteration of the conflict to neighbouring Chad.

Ms Khan described an "inescapable pattern of offending", and stressed that the team were working to translate such crimes into evidence for the court.

Allegations of war crimes have persisted throughout the past two years, and in January 2025 the US determined that the RSF and allied militias had committed a genocide.

The RSF has denied the claims, and said it was not involved in what it describes as a "tribal conflict" in Darfur.

Reports from the UN indicate that conditions in Darfur have continued to worsen, with hospitals and humanitarian convoys suffering targeted attacks, and food and water deliberately withheld.

Civilians in the capital city of El-Fasher have been cut off from aid entirely due to armed encirclement by RSF forces, and an outbreak of cholera across conflict zones poses a serious threat to already scarce water supplies.

An escalating famine has gripped the region, with the UN's children's agency (Unicef) reporting that more than 40,000 children were admitted for treatment due to severe acute malnutrition between January and May 2025 – more than double the number admitted in the same period last year.

"Children in Darfur are being starved by conflict and cut off from the very aid that could save them," said Sheldon Yett from Unicef.

In the past two years, more than 150,000 people have died in the conflict and approximately 12 million have fled their homes, but Ms Khan warned that "We should not be under any illusion - things can still get worse."

Kurdish PKK to lay down arms in big step towards ending Turkey conflict

11 July 2025 at 13:02
DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP A supporter holds a flag with the face of Abdullah Ocalan, with his face also on the backdrop behind herDELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP
Imprisoned PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan still commands support among many Kurds

After 40 years of armed struggle against the Turkish state, the outlawed Kurdish PKK will hold a ceremony on Friday to mark a symbolic first step in laying down its arms.

The disarmament process will start under tight security in Iraqi Kurdistan and is expected to take all summer.

Turkey's president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has hailed the move as "totally ripping off and throwing away the bloody shackles that were put on our country's legs".

Some 40,000 people have been killed since the conflict began, and the PKK is listed as a terror group in Turkey, the US, EU and UK. Its disarmament will be felt not just in Turkey but in Iraq, Syria and Iran.

How and where will the PKK disarm?

A small group of PKK members will symbolically lay down their weapons in a ceremony near Suleymaniyah in Iraqi Kurdistan, before going back to their bases.

For security reasons, the exact location is not being revealed, although it's thought members of Turkey's pro-Kurdish opposition Dem party will be there, even if other major Turkish political parties will not.

Disarmament will then continue over the coming months at points set up with the involvement of the Turkish, Iraqi and Kurdistan regional governments, BBC Turkish has been told.

In a video, the PKK's long-imprisoned leader, Abdullah Ocalan, said it was "a voluntary transition from the phase of armed conflict to the phase of democratic politics and law". He has been in solitary confinement on the small prison island of Imrali, south-west of Istanbul, since he was captured in 1999.

Who are the PKK and why has the conflict lasted so long?

Getty Images PKK fighters training in Iraqi KurdistanGetty Images
A fragile ceasefire with the PKK broke down in 2015

This is not the first attempt at peace involving Turkey and the PKK, but this is the best hope so far that the armed struggle that began in 1984 will come to an end.

Originally a Marxist group, the Kurdistan Workers' Party took up arms calling for an independent state inside Turkey.

In the 1990s, they called instead for greater autonomy for Kurds, who make up about 20% of the population.

Ocalan announced a ceasefire in 2013, and urged PKK forces to withdraw from Turkey. The 2015 Dolmabahce Agreement was supposed to bring democratic and language rights for Kurds, but the fragile truce collapsed amid devastating violence, especially in the Kurdish-dominated cities of the south-east, including Diyarbakir.

Turkey's air force targeted PKK bases in the mountains of northern Iraq. Several military campaigns have also targeted Kurdish-led forces in Syria.

The government in Ankara ruled out further talks until the PKK laid down its arms. That is now on the verge of happening.

Why has the PKK decided to disband?

In October 2024, a prominent nationalist leader and key Erdogan ally called Devlet Bahceli began a process described by the government as "terror-free Turkey". He urged the PKK's imprisoned leader to call for the dissolution of the outlawed group. It could pave the way for his possible release from Imrali island, he suggested.

The Turkish government launched talks with Ocalan via the pro-Kurdish Dem party, and then in February came his historic appeal for the PKK to disband, read out by two Dem MPs who had just returned from a visit to the prison island.

"All groups must lay their arms and the PKK must dissolve itself," read Ocalan's letter.

The PKK had been formed primarily because "the channels of democratic politics were closed", he said, but Devlet Bahceli and Erdogan's own positive signals had created the right environment.

The PKK followed Ocalan's lead and declared a ceasefire and later declared that it had "completed its historical mission": the Kurdish issue could now "be resolved through democratic politics".

President Erdogan said it was an "opportunity to take a historic step toward tearing down the wall of terror" and met pro-Kurdish politicians in April.

Why is Ocalan so important?

ANF Seven men - three sitting and four standing - are in front of a camera looking solemn.ANF
Ocalan, in the centre at the front, released a video on Wednesday ahead of Friday's ceremony

As founder of the PKK, Ocalan continues to be reviled by many Turks, even after 26 years in solitary confinement.

And yet he still plays an important role in the eyes of Kurds.

"I think he really has this authority; he is a main symbol for many Kurds, not all," says Joost Jongerden, a specialist on the 41-year conflict at Wageningen University in the Netherlands.

Two days before the PKK were due to begin disarmament, Ocalan appeared on video for the first time since he was put on trial more than 20 years ago.

Speaking for seven minutes, he addressed the outlawed group: "I believe in the power of politics and social peace, not weapons. And I call on you to put this principle into practice."

Ocalan was wearing a branded Lacoste polo shirt, and in an indication of his enduring relevance, the shirt quickly went viral and websites ran out of stock.

What happens next?

Reuters Turkey's President Erdogan looks at the camera Reuters
Turkey's President Erdogan has denied wanting to continue in office when his term runs out

After Friday's ceremony, the scene switches to Turkey's parliament in Ankara where a commission will be set up to make decisions on the next steps for the government.

As the summer recess is around the corner, no concrete decisions are expected for several months, when MPs vote on the commission's recommendations and President Erdogan has the final say.

What happens to Abdullah Ocalan is not yet clear. The government says his conditions in jail could be reviewed as the process unfolds, but any chance of release will be left to the latter stages.

What's in this process for Erdogan?

Erdogan's AK Party has begun work on changing the constitution, and there has been speculation that this would mean Erdogan would be able to run for the presidency again when his final term runs out in 2028.

The AKP and pro-Kurdish Dem party deny there is any link between the peace process and reshaping the constitution, but if Erdogan secures Dem support he would have a far greater chance of pushing through changes.

Erdogan is behind in the polls, but his main opposition rival, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, is in jail accused of corruption, which he denies, and more opposition mayors have been arrested as part of a crackdown in the past week.

'We're worried about our future': Srebrenica massacre's tensions still felt 30 years on

11 July 2025 at 08:27
BBC A recent photograph of a man in a modern outfit (striped t-shirt, cargo trousers and a backwards cap) prays with his palms facing upwards next to a plain white grave. The cemetery is filled with thousands of identical graves where victims of the Srebrenica massacre are buried.BBC
More than 8,000 Bosnian men and boys were killed by Bosnian Serb forces in Srebrenica in July 1995. Today remembrance is fraught

The silence is shattered by a guttural scream. A group of people scrabble on the ground, sifting through the soil. One of them holds up a watch they have uncovered; another, a sandal.

The scene on stage at Sarajevo's War Theatre is uncomfortably familiar for the audience at the world premiere of the Flowers of Srebrenica. The play reflects the grim reality of the events not just of July 1995 – but the ensuing decades of unresolved grief and divisions in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

The Srebrenica massacre remains the most notorious war crime committed in Europe since World War Two. Bosnian-Serb forces overran Srebrenica in eastern Bosnia, where thousands of Bosniaks, who are mostly Muslim, had taken refuge, believing they were safely under the protection of the United Nations.

Instead, Dutch soldiers stood aside as Bosnian-Serb General Ratko Mladić directed his troops to place women and the youngest children on buses for transport to majority-Bosniak areas. Then, over the following days, he oversaw the systematic murder of around 8,000 people – most, but not all of them, men and boys.

Sarajevo's War Theatre A scene in a play with three actors dressed in minimalist, loose clothing. A woman in the left is crouched watching another woman pulling a sandal from a piles of black dust. To her right another woman is holding an outstretched fist to the camera.  Sarajevo's War Theatre
Many victims of the massacre were identified by their clothing, as depicted in the play the Flowers of Srebrenica

Mladić's troops dumped the bodies in mass graves. But later, to cover up their crimes, they exhumed then reburied the remains in multiple sites.

As a result, body parts were distributed across multiple graves, causing endless anguish for the victims' families. Many of them are still searching for their relatives' remains decades later, though DNA testing has helped thousands of families to bury their family members at Potočari Cemetery, adjacent to the former UN base.

Others have been able to identify body parts through scraps of clothing or personal belongings – as depicted in scenes in the Flowers of Srebrenica.

The play also reflects the apparently deepening divisions in contemporary Bosnia and Herzegovina. While the audience in Sarajevo delivers a standing ovation to the cast and crew, in majority-Serb Republika Srpska, political leaders repeatedly deny that genocide took place at Srebrenica, despite Mladić's conviction for the offence at an international tribunal in The Hague, as well as the earlier conviction of the Bosnian-Serb political leader Radovan Karadžić.

"I thought that when 30 years passed, we'd come to our senses," says Selma Alispahić, the lead actress of the Sarajevo War Theatre – herself a former refugee from Bosnia's conflict.

A lady with white blonde hair looks into the camera, half smiling. She is wearing a black dress and blazer, as well as silver jewellery.
Selma Alispahić, the lead actress of the Sarajevo War Theatre, was a former refugee from Bosnia's conflict

"People get tired of proving the truth that's been proven so many times, even in international courts. The story of the hatred and spinning of facts serves only the criminals who profited from the war and who want to preserve their fortune today."

Genocide denial is not the only symptom of the country's divisions. The Dayton Peace agreement brought an end to the war, just four months after the massacre. But it also divided Bosnia and Herzegovina into two "entities", on ethnic grounds. Most Bosniaks and Croats live in the Federation, while the majority of Serbs are in Republika Srpska.

There is also a state-level government, with a member of the presidency for each of the three main ethnic groups. But most of the power lies at the entity level.

In recent months, Republika Srpska's president has been exploiting that to make mischief. Milorad Dodik has been pushing through legislation to withdraw from numerous national institutions, including the judiciary. This has brought him into conflict with Bosnia's ultimate power, the international High Representative.

The current holder of that position, Christian Schmidt, annulled the laws concerned. But Dodik refused to recognise those rulings.

Earlier this year a court sentenced him to a year in prison and a six-year ban from public office for ignoring the High Representative's decisions. The verdict is currently under appeal.

Further shenanigans have ensued – including legislation to establish a "reserve police force". The same terminology was used for murderous Serb militia during Bosnia's conflict.

"This is dangerous, playing with the memory of those who have experienced the 1990s," says Mr Schmidt.

"I see the irresponsible part of the political class playing with this. We need a clear presence of the international community on a military level – so EUFOR [the EU peacekeeping force] gets more responsibility in the sheer presence, promising people they will be supported in a peaceful manner."

An older gentleman wearing glasses and a suit looks into the camera.
Saša Košarac, a leading member of Republika Srpska's government, believes remembrance of Srebrenica entrenches divisions and inhibits reconciliation

In the centre of Sarajevo, reminders of the anniversary of the Srebrenica massacre are hard to miss. Hundreds of people huddled under umbrellas in the pouring rain to pay their respects to the convoy carrying the remains of seven recently-identified victims who will be buried at Potočari Cemetery during the commemoration. Outside the city's shopping centres, video screens urge passers-by to "Remember Srebrenica".

But just 15 minutes up the road, in East Sarajevo, there are no public references to the massacre. The Cyrillic script signs and Jelen Beer umbrellas indicate that this is Republika Srpska. And in the entity government's building, there is little enthusiasm for the commemorations.

Indeed, state-level foreign trade minister Saša Košarac – a leading member of Dodik's SNSD party – claims that Srebrenica is used to deepen divisions and prevent reconciliation.

"In this country, Bosniaks, Croats and Serbs were killed – and crimes were committed on all three sides. It's important, when thinking about the future, that all the perpetrators, on all sides, should be held accountable," he says.

"Bosniaks insist on talking only about Bosniak victims. A crime has been committed in Srebrenica – no Serbs deny that – but we have the right to point out the crimes against Serbs in and around Srebrenica."

But thousands of other people are focusing on solidarity with Srebrenica. On the eve of the commemoration, the Memorial Centre and Potočari Cemetery were already busy with people paying their respects. And they cheered the arrival from around the country of groups of cyclists, runners and motorcyclists.

A woman wearing glasses, with her hair covered by a scarf looks directly into the camera. She is wearing a white coat and a scarf. Behind her is the Srebrenica Memorial Centre, a grey exhibition space displaying the shoes of victims of the massacre.
Mirela Osmanović works at the Srebrenica Memorial Centre and is deeply concerned by the recent uptick in ethnic tensions

Mirela Osmanović says this support is crucial to Bosniaks who have returned to live in the area where their family members died. She was born two years after her two brothers were murdered at Srebrenica and now works at the Memorial Centre. But the recent tensions have left her rattled.

"The intense atmosphere produced by Republika Srpska's leaders really disturbs us, making us feel we're not protected anymore – and we're really worried about our future."

"My parents say it looks the way it looked in 1992."

For Milorad Dodik, manipulating the cycle of tensions is just part of his strategy to remain in power. But for people in Srebrenica, the ongoing ethno-political games only make the healing harder.

Justin Bieber releases surprise new album

11 July 2025 at 13:43
Getty Images ustin Bieber performs on day three of Sziget Festival 2022 on Óbudai-sziget Island on August 12, 2022 in Budapest, Hungary.Getty Images

Canadian singer Justin Bieber has surprised fans by releasing a new album titled Swag.

The record features 20 songs with track names including Dadz Love, Devotion and Therapy Session and follows online concern for the singer's mental health after a confrontation with paparazzi.

Promotional pictures shared by the singer feature his wife, Hailey Bieber, and their son - at points being held over his head.

Fellow artists and fans have reacted with glee to the new music, which comes four years after Bieber's last album, Purpose.

With a run time of just under an hour, the once-teen-icon turned megastar collaborates with a host of rappers on Swag including Sexxy Red, Cash Cobain and Gunna.

Its title appears to hark back to the singer's 2012 hit Boyfriend, featuring the line "swag, swag, swag, on you".

American rapper Big Sean was among the famous names to welcome the news of the album's release, commenting on the singer's Instagram post "Yes!!!!".

@lilbieber Justin Bieber stands with his back to the camera in a black and white image. Next to him is his wife Hailey Bieber holding a baby. The word "SWAG" is written on the right hand side of the image. Rolling hills are pictured in the distance.@lilbieber

The album drop also comes on the back of fans' worries for Bieber's mental health. In recent months, the singer has shared multiple posts online about the intrusion of paparazzi in his personal life.

One video, filmed on Father's Day when he confronted a photographer, shows the singer saying "I'm a dad. I'm a husband. You're not getting it. It's not clocking to you. I'm standing on business."

The video was widely circulated and remixed online. Now, it not only features as part of the promotion of the singer's new album, but is sampled in one of its songs, Butterflies.

Bieber's marriage has also been under the spotlight recently after another controversial social media post. The singer celebrated his wife featuring on the cover of Vogue with a social media post detailing an argument between them.

The lyrics of Daisies, the second song on Swag, appear to allude to the couple's relationship with "falling petals do you love me or not" and "you said forever babe, did you mean it or not?"

Other song titles on the album seem to touch on religious themes including Devotion, Soulful and Forgiveness, in keeping with Bieber's Christian faith.

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Texas officials face questions about emergency alerts during deadly floods

11 July 2025 at 03:31
Watch: Drones and dogs help in Texas rescue

Texas officials are facing mounting questions about when Kerrville's residents were notified about deadly flash floods that killed 96 locals, with over 160 others still missing.

Asked about a possible police radio failure at a press conference on Thursday - almost a week after 4 July flooding - Kerrville Police community services officer Jonathan Lamb said, "I don't have any information to that point."

The questioning followed a tense exchange the day before when reporters asked officials repeatedly about a possible lag in emergency communications.

Early Friday, the Guadalupe River rose several metres in a matter of minutes, after an estimated 100bn gallons of rain.

At least 120 people have died in the Texas Hill Country flash floods. Kerr County, which includes Kerrville, absorbed the brunt of the devastation, with 96 confirmed deaths, including 36 children, many of whom attended a nearby Christian camp.

Kerr County officials have been pressed on the various reasons behind the tragedy.

According to an audio recording obtained by an ABC News affiliate, a firefighter located upstream from Kerrville asked the Kerr County Sheriff's Office to alert nearby residents about the rising water around 04:22 local time on 4 July.

But, ABC News reported, Kerr County officials did not notify residents until nearly six hours later, after hundreds of people had been engulfed in floodwater.

The first alert from Kerr County's CodeRED system did not arrive until roughly 90-minutes later, the news outlet reported.

"The Guadalupe Schumacher sign is underwater on State Highway 39," the firefighter said in the dispatch audio obtained by ABC News. "Is there any way we can send a CodeRED out to our Hunt residents, asking them to find higher ground or stay home?"

"Stand by, we have to get that approved with our supervisor," a Kerr County Sheriff's Office dispatcher replied.

Officials were asked during a press conference on Wednesday about any delays in emergency communications.

Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha said he was first notified around the "four to five area", and said prior to that "we're in the process of trying to put a timeline".

"That's going to take a little bit of time," he continued. "That is not my priority this time."

He said he was instead focused on locating those missing and identifying victims. Over 160 people were still listed as missing on Thursday morning, including five campers and one counselor from Camp Mystic.

Getty Images The exterior view of a Kerr County home damaged by historic flooding on 4 JulyGetty Images

Kerr County officials say they have not rescued anyone alive since the day of the floods.

Weather alerts preceded the storm. The National Weather Service sent several about rain and possible flooding starting Thursday afternoon, and the Texas Division of Emergency Management (TDEM) activated state resources because of flooding concerns.

Officials have cited lack of cell phone service, no sense of the storm's intensity and public desensitisation to such alerts in the flood-prone area, as reasons some did not evacuate.

President Donald Trump signed a federal disaster declaration at the request of Texas Governor Greg Abbott. This enabled the Federal Emergency Management Agency to deploy to Central Texas and open a disaster recovery centre in Kerr County.

Rescue efforts included over 2,100 responders on the ground, private helicopters, drones, boats and cadaver-detecting dogs. They are searching for the missing and the dead buried beneath mounds of mud-soaked debris.

"These large piles (of debris) can be very obstructive, and to get deep into these piles is very hazardous," Lt Colonel Ben Baker of the Texas Parks & Wildlife Department said on Wednesday.

"It's extremely treacherous, time consuming. It's dirty work. It's the water still there. So, we're having to go layer by layer, peeling these off, to make those recoveries," he said.

乌托邦的捷径:让AI治理“失败国家”

当今这个世界有不少“失败国家”:动不动政变、财政崩溃、医疗瘫痪、司法摆烂、年轻人没工作、老百姓没安全感。你说这些国家缺资源吗?也不是。非洲很多国家地大物博,拉美有石油矿产,甚至有些国家气候还不错,旅游资源也丰厚。但他们的问题不在资源,而在“人治”——制度腐烂、执行力低下、官僚体系靠裙带关系维持运转。更别说一些极不靠谱的失败国家,动不动就瞎折腾,把国家折腾得连起码的基础秩序都没有。

与其让这种制度在泥潭里不断内卷,不如干脆尝试一种全新的方式——让AI来治理。

我知道你可能会觉得“这也太反乌托邦了”“AI统治听起来就像赛博监狱”。但我们先别急着情绪化,稍微理性一点看看可能性。

什么是“失败国家”?

“失败国家”这个词听上去很不礼貌,却有现实意义。联合国与多家国际智库通常会把“无法为国民提供基本公共服务”、“主权结构名存实亡”、“政府腐败与暴力横行”作为失败国家的基本指标。比如,南苏丹、索马里、阿富汗、海地,这些国家并不缺资源——南苏丹的石油储量惊人,海地有金矿与铝矿,阿富汗的稀土储量世界第一。问题不是物,而是人。或者说,是制度的失败、治理的失败。

具体点说,他们的问题集中在三点:

1、行政系统臃肿低效;

2、立法机制形同虚设;

3、司法体系被权贵或军阀控制。

而这些,恰恰是AI擅长处理的事情。

AI作为“国家大脑”的可能性

让AI全面接管行政、立法、司法听上去像科幻小说。但从技术架构角度分析,它不仅合理,而且现实中已有部分雏形。

比如,新加坡就曾用AI模型来优化交通与城市规划,日本政府也已用AI来辅助政策评估,沙特甚至在NEOM未来城中设想“AI主导城市管理”。虽然目前这些还只是“辅助角色”,但未来,让AI从“顾问”变“指挥”,只差一个授权的决定。

设想如下:

立法模型:AI基于全球数千年法律制度与执行结果进行海量模拟,识别适合当前国情的法制框架,并在每个周期自动更新——杜绝“落后法规”。

行政模型:AI可调配国家资源、人力、项目优先级,比如应对自然灾害、匹配就业资源、动态平衡城市发展。没有裙带关系、没有回扣。

司法模型:AI法官可实现同案同判、程序正义最大化。AI不会偏袒权贵,也不会“念人情”,它只运行规则与逻辑。

更理想的版本,是让AI在一个自构建的“虚拟地球”中进行上亿次的治理模拟,以演化出最优的政策输出路径。就像AlphaGo最终阶段抛弃了人类棋谱,仅靠自我博弈取得最强实力一样,AI国家模型也可以自我迭代,摆脱人类情绪与偏见的干扰。

成功案例:AlphaGo

AlphaGo 的进化,是人工智能走向“自主智能”的标志性事件,也是AI从模仿人类 → 超越人类 → 摒弃人类 → 自创知识体系的成功案例。

最初的 AlphaGo(2015)是由 DeepMind 开发,通过学习 30 万局人类棋谱,训练出策略网络和价值网络,再结合蒙特卡洛树搜索,成为首个击败职业棋手(樊麾)的围棋 AI。

2016 年,AlphaGo Lee 击败世界冠军李世石,以 4:1 的压倒性优势宣告 AI 正式超越顶级人类选手。尤其是第二局的“神之一手”,展示了 AI 对全局的非人类式理解。李世石仅在第四局获胜一局,被誉为“人类尊严的胜利”。

几个月后,AlphaGo Master 横空出世,在网络上连胜 60 场,击败包括柯洁、朴廷桓在内的顶级高手,其棋风灵动、招法新颖,已远超人类既有棋理。

真正的革命出现在 2017 年的 AlphaGo Zero,它完全不依赖人类棋谱,从零开始自我博弈,仅用三天便超越了 AlphaGo Lee,21 天后击败所有旧版本,它靠的是纯粹的“自学成才”——只依据胜负规则,通过重复自对弈来掌握围棋本质。

从模仿人类,到超越人类,再到完全摆脱人类经验独立进化,AlphaGo 系列不仅颠覆了围棋,这也让人类不得不思考一个问题:如果AI可以在围棋中发现比人类更深层的规律,它是否也能在社会、法律、制度等“规则更复杂、目标更模糊”的系统中,找到人类未曾理解的最优解?

为什么失败国家是最好的试验田?

你可能会说:让AI治国太激进了。但如果是在人类已无力治理的地方,是否就值得一试?试想一个国家,数十年来没有良好的治理、没有稳定的货币、没有能用的司法系统,人民每日生活在动荡和饥饿中。在这种场景下,AI反而有空间大展拳脚。

最典型的例子是阿富汗,美国花了20年、2万亿美元,扶持了一个政府,折腾了20多年一无所成,最后塔利班卷土重来,一夜回到解放前,如果当时不是靠政客,而是让AI决策哪些地区可以自主管理、如何安排资源与军政预算,结局是否会不一样?

再比如索马里,它其实曾在冷战时期得到大量苏联与美国的援助,但援助资金大多被军阀贪污。假如这些资源的调配由AI完成,会不会就能建起医院,而不是军火库?

这些国家没有什么可以再失去的,也没有既得利益集团会反对新方案。他们的人民急切需要一个“不是人类”的治理者,AI或许是他们最接近乌托邦的希望。

AI治国的最大优势:它不靠爱,也不靠恨

人类治理的核心缺陷,恰恰来自人性。我们崇尚自由,却常常滥用自由;我们要求公平,却总在为自己谋取特权。“权力导致腐败,绝对权力导致绝对腐败”,这不是制度缺陷,而是人类做为一种动物的本质缺陷,而AI就治愈人类这种缺陷的钥匙。

AI不会撒谎、不会贪污、不会接受贿赂,也不会因情绪而迁怒某个地区、压制某类人群,它不会为了选票而讨好大众,也不会因意识形态而对抗异己,它只会执行一个目标函数——在最小代价下实现最大社会福祉。

AI治理不是乌托邦幻想,它是一个工具主义的选择:当人类不行了,就换个大脑来开车。至于是AI还是外星人,只要不喝酒误事,就值得试一试。

最后的问题:我们准备好被AI统治了吗?

这其实是AI治国的最大障碍——不是技术,不是算力,而是人类的自负与恐惧。

我们害怕AI强大到不受控,怕它成了斯诺登时代的“电子老大哥”,怕它冷酷无情,毁掉人情味,但说实话,失败国家里,已经没有人情味可言,那里的人们怕的不是冷漠的AI,而是温情背后的刀锋。

或许未来的某一天,一个国家真的把自己的命运交给了AI,不再靠选票,不再靠强人,而是靠代码与算法,那时我们才会真正明白,“完美社会”并不需要完美的人类,只需要一个不犯错的执行者。

人类用几千年时间构建制度,却依然搞得一塌糊涂,也许,是时候让非人类试一试了。

Federal Agents Clash With Protesters During Immigration Raid at California Farm

11 July 2025 at 14:15
Officers appeared to use crowd control munitions and tear gas against protesters. The F.B.I. said it was searching for a person who appeared to fire a pistol at officers.

© Daniel Cole/Reuters

Federal agents raided a large Southern California marijuana farm on Thursday afternoon, making multiple arrests, officials said.

Starmer and Macron plead for patience in an impatient world

11 July 2025 at 13:00
Reuters UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron shake hands during a press conference.Reuters

Watching the president of France and the prime minister close up was to see two men under the cosh, behind in the opinion polls and fighting for what they see as the essence of their political creed.

It boils down to this - how do Sir Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron make the case for what they see as the virtues of patience, nuance, subtleties and trade-offs in an era of growing impatience at the perceived repeated failures of those in high office?

There were just two lecterns and two speakers at the news conference the leaders hosted, but two other parties hovered in the air.

Reform UK and National Rally, the party of Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen, were never mentioned explicitly. Nor were their leaders. But they were repeatedly mentioned implicitly.

The two parties on either side of the Channel are not the same, but they have the same capacity to frighten the life out of those in power now.

They do it with an anti-establishment zeal, a knack of communicating in plain language and at a time of disillusionment with the traditional political classes. Quite the combination.

"Whilst we have been working hard to get a returns agreement, others have been simply taking pictures of the problem," the prime minister told us.

Whoever could he possibly have been thinking of?

"That is where the politics is. We have to show that pragmatic politics is the way to deliver the results that matter for both of our peoples," he added, to ensure people weren't seduced by what he called "the politics of easy answers".

Reform leader Nigel Farage had spent the morning on a boat in the English Channel in the company of a camera from GB News and regards this new deal between Paris and London as a humiliation for the UK.

He says the UK should abandon the European Convention on Human Rights and makes a wider argument that the country can escape the funk many feel it is trapped in by embracing a party willing to be unorthodox, noisy and pick a few fights. Why not, after the last few years, goes the argument.

President Macron, confronting similar arguments back home from National Rally, made similar arguments to the prime minister.

There was a need, the president argued, to recognise "the complexity of the world" and to avoid what he saw as the "temptation" for some of those he described as "populists".

As I wrote here the other day, this is the latest evidence we are seeing of the prime minister's shifting argument – a sharpening public critique of Farage and what Sir Keir believes will be the choice at the next election: one of the two of them in Downing Street.

And an outsized part of the argument between the two of them, today and in the coming years, will be over small boat crossings.

New polling for Portland Communications suggests 26% of Labour's voters in last year's general election who have since switched to Reform would be much more likely to come back to Labour if the number of small boat crossings fell.

The same polling suggests that eight out of ten Reform-leaning voters say that after one year, Labour has had enough time to improve things across the piece.

And nearly half of all voters see Nigel Farage as the leader who most represents change.

This is an insight into the challenge and, potentially, opportunity for the prime minister.

Hoping for patience in an era of the opposite, but arguing his opponent is offering a false promise.

Hoping the levers of government can, in time, deliver. Let's see.

One final thought.

On two separate occasions this week I have spoken privately to senior figures in both the Labour Party and the Conservative Party, who, unprompted, offered near identical reflections about how the next few years may pan out.

It won't surprise you that both the people I spoke to don't want to see Reform UK win a general election.

Both acknowledged that it was a real possibility, but both had a deep worry beyond that.

They both reflected that many in the electorate concluded last year that the Conservatives had failed and many in the electorate are concluding this year, or may soon conclude, that Labour are failing too.

Reform could deliver in a way its predecessors never managed.

But what happens, pondered the two people I spoke to, if Nigel Farage was to win and he too was subsequently deemed to have failed?

Where, they wonder, and in what political direction would the country turn in next?

Trump threatens 35% tariffs on Canadian goods

11 July 2025 at 12:36
EPA US President Donald Trump during a meeting with African leaders at the White House, Washington, DC, USA, 09 July 2025.EPA
The letter to Canada is among more than 20 that Trump had posted this week to US trade partners.

US President Donald Trump has said he will slap a 35% tariff on Canadian goods starting 1 August, even as the two countries are days away from a self-imposed deadline to reach a new deal on trade.

The missive came as Trump also threatened blanket tariffs of 15% or 20% on most trade partners, and said he would soon notify the European Union of a new tariff rate on its goods.

Trump announced the new levies on Canada on Thursday in a letter posted to social media and addressed to Prime Minister Mark Carney.

The US has already imposed a blanket 25% tariff on some Canadian goods, and the country is feeling the pain of the Trump administration's global steel, aluminium and auto tariffs.

The letter is among more than 20 that Trump had posted this week to US trade partners, including Japan, South Korea and Sri Lanka.

Like Canada's letter, Trump has vowed to implement those tariffs on trade partners by 1 August.

The US has imposed a 25% tariff on all Canadian imports, though there is a current exemption in place for goods that comply with a North American free trade agreement.

It is unclear if the latest tariffs threat would apply to goods covered by the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA).

Trump has also imposed a global 50% tariff on aluminium and steel imports, and a 25% tariff on all cars and trucks not build in the US.

Canada sells about three-quarters of its goods to the US, and is an auto manufacturing hub and a major supplier of metals, making those tariffs especially damaging to those sectors.

Trump's letter said the 35% tariffs are separate to those sector-specific levies.

"As you are aware, there will be no tariff if Canada, or companies within your country, decide to build or manufacture products within the United States," Trump stated.

He also tied the tariffs to what he called "Canada's failure" to stop the flow of fentanyl into the US, as well as Canada's existing levies on US dairy farmers and the trade deficit between the two countries.

Canada has been engaged in intense talk with the US in recent months to reach a new trade and security deal.

At the G7 Summit in June, Prime Minister Carney and Trump said they were committed to reaching a new deal on within 30 days, setting a deadline of 21 July.

In late June, Carney removed a tax on big US technology firms after Trump labelled it a "blatant attack" and threatened to call off trade talks.

Carney said the tax was dropped as "part of a bigger negotiation" on trade between the two countries.

The BBC has reached out to the Canadian officials for comment.

Delays and shortages in UK's F-35 jet fleet, watchdog says

11 July 2025 at 11:44
Getty Images A Royal Air Force F-35b fighter jet in flightGetty Images
A Royal Air Force F-35b fighter jet in flight

Delays, infrastructure gaps and personnel shortages to Britain's most advanced warplane programme are undermining the UK's warfighting capability, the public spending watchdog has said.

The F-35 stealth jet used by the RAF is "significantly superior" to all previous UK aircraft, the National Audit Office (NAO) said.

But the NAO said there had been a "disappointing return" on the £11bn spent so far, adding that it estimated plans to expand the fleet would cost more than three times initial Ministry of Defence (MoD) forecasts.

An MoD spokesperson said the programme was within its "approved budget" and there would be two full squadrons of F-35s ready for deployment by the end of the year.

As of June 2025, there are 37 F-35s in service, which are deployed from the Royal Navy's two aircraft carriers.

The F-35s, made by the American company Lockheed Martin, are technologically superior to all previous UK fighter jets and are expected to remain in service until 2069.

But last year, the F-35 fleet's "full mission capable rate" – the aircraft's ability to carry out all of the missions it is needed for – was around a third of the MoD's target.

Plans to equip the new aircraft with weapons that can attack ground targets from a safe range - while ensuring they can retain their stealth characteristics - have been delayed until the early 2030s.

The report from the NAO published on Friday said the capability gained by spending £11bn so far - also higher than initial 2013 estimates - was a "disappointing return".

The £18.76bn the MoD had estimated for the project was "considerably lower" than the NAO's £71bn estimate, the report added.

Gareth Davies, head of the NAO, said: "The MoD now needs to decide where to prioritise its resources to improve capability in a way that maximises the full benefits of the F‑35 programme to the UK."

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said last month that UK spending on national security would increase to 5% of GDP by 2035.

The committment is in line with Nato's target, with countries at this year's summit agreeing to boost defence spending due to "profound" security challenges and a "long-term threat posed by Russia".

An MoD spokesman said: "The National Audit Office's report rightly recognises the world-class capabilities of the F-35 fighter jet, as well as its significant economic benefits - including £22bn of work for UK companies, creating thousands of jobs.

"We also recently announced we will purchase 12 F-35As, supporting 20,000 jobs in the UK, and join Nato's dual capable aircraft nuclear mission."

TV doctor and IVF pioneer Robert Winston quits BMA over strikes

11 July 2025 at 12:20
BBC Professor Robert Winston faces the camera in a library.BBC
Lord Robert Winston presented the BBC documentary series 'Child of our Time'

Lord Robert Winston, a professor and TV doctor who was a pioneer of IVF treatment, has resigned from the British Medical Association (BMA) over planned strikes by resident doctors.

Resident doctors, previously known as junior doctors, are planning a walkout for five consecutive days from 25 July until 30 July over a pay dispute with the government.

In an interview with The Times, the Labour peer and host of the BBC series Child of Our Time urged against strike action, arguing it could damage people's trust in the profession.

The BMA met with the health secretary earlier this week and said the government had "stated it will not negotiate on pay".

Lord Winston, 84, has been a member of the BMA since 1964.

"I've paid my membership for a long time. I feel very strongly that this isn't the time to be striking. I think that the country is really struggling in all sorts of ways, people are struggling in all sorts of ways," he told The Times.

"Strike action completely ignores the vulnerability of people in front of you," he added.

Resident doctors have been awarded a 5.4% pay rise for this financial year - which will go into pay packets from August - following a 22% increase over the previous two years.

But the BMA says wages are still around 20% lower in real terms than in 2008.

Health Secretary Wes Streeting said the move was "unnecessary and unreasonable", adding: "The NHS is hanging by a thread - why on earth are they threatening to pull it?"

The BMA's resident doctors committee co-chairs Dr Melissa Ryan and Dr Ross Nieuwoudt said they had "no choice" but to strike without "a credible offer to keep on the path to restore our pay".

Lord Winston's comments come after doctors and patient groups warned that the NHS in England was struggling to reduce wait times - a top priority for the NHS.

"Doctors need to be reminded that every time they have a patient in front of them they have someone who is frightened and in pain. It's important that doctors consider their own responsibility much more seriously," he said.

欧洲热死人了,但还是开不起空调

欧洲热死人了?那就开空调啊。但在欧洲很多国家,想装个空调的难度不亚于老楼加装电梯。即便能够装上空调,电费也很贵,能不能用得起还是个问题。对于面临能源供应短缺和碳中和双重压力的欧洲,用空调从来就不是个单纯的民生困境

(本文首发于南方人物周刊)

南方人物周刊特约撰稿 蔡源

责任编辑:李屾淼

2025年6月18日,一名男子在西班牙塞维利亚的一处喷泉中消暑(新华社/图)

2025年,欧洲迎来了一个更热的夏天,意大利、法国、西班牙等国均发布了高温预警。6月28日,西班牙西部城市韦尔瓦(Huelva)和邻国葡萄牙的最高气温均达到46摄氏度。据欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)7月1日发布的报告,欧洲多地持续高温,今年6月或成为欧洲有记录以来最热的6月之一。

西欧已经连续经历两轮热浪,极端天气导致铁路停运、学校停课、公共交通瘫痪,并已造成多起与高温相关的人员死亡案例。

单是法国,官方已确认两人直接死于高温,三百余人需紧急救助,巴黎所在的法兰西岛大区已收容五百多名处境极其危险的人。法国巴黎埃菲尔铁塔的顶层一度被关闭,截至7月1日中午,该国已有1896所学校因高温而停课。法国气象部门表示,巴黎和其他15个行政区将于当日进入“红色预警”状态,这是该国最高级别的天气预警。

正在西班牙出席联合国发展筹资会议的联合国秘书长古特雷斯亲历了这场蔓延欧洲的酷暑。他在社交媒体上发帖说,“极端高温已不再是罕见现象,它已成为新常态”,“地球正变得越来越热,越来越危险,没有一个国家可以幸免。”

天气太热那就开空调吧。然而,面对愈发严峻和趋于常态化的高温,欧洲空调的普及率却远低于全球主要经济体。目前欧洲国家整体的空调普及率仅5%-20%,英国仅为5%,德国更低至3%,南欧如意大利、西班牙也在40%左右。相比之下,美国约90%的家庭配备空调,中国则达到60%左右。

2025年7月1日,法国巴黎,市中心一家药店外的温度计显示气温高达44°C(视觉中国/图)

买很贵、安装很贵、用也很贵

过去很长一段时间,欧洲确实没有装空调的必要,而且安装使用空调也面临很多困难。

一是因为地理

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校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

公益品牌破局,有哪些战略性工具?

11 July 2025 at 12:00
公益品牌依托信念驱动,有战略性地管理可以更好实现品牌目标。面对新形势新挑战,用好科技赋能、跨界共创、品牌社群、仪式设定等四大核心工具将有助于提高公益品牌的竞争力。

文/马湘临

责任编辑:钟金秀

公益品牌依托“信念驱动实现品牌良知”是一个复杂的系统工程,传达公益组织所推行的价值观,在捐/受赠人、志愿者和公众的心目中实现品牌良知,最终与利益相关方建立起强大的公信力,这需要战略性的洞察与指导,同时辅以与时俱进的工具箱。当许多公益组织只是将品牌主要当做视觉识别或者筹款工具时,那些以战略性的眼光和方法来管理其品牌的公益组织,将会创造更大的社会影响力和更紧密的资源凝聚力。类似仁人家园(Habitat for Humanity)、世界野生动物基金会(World Wildlife Fund)皆属于世界上最受认可的公益品牌之一,它们比那些最著名的商业品牌更能赢得公众的信任。战略性地推动公益品牌建设不仅要求长期推行和坚守其价值目标,还要把该公益品牌当做聚焦与整合组织资源的战略性工具。因此,学者Salls提出公益品牌具有双重目标:加强筹资与实施组织使命。

在这个信息过载、科技高歌猛进的时代,公益品牌面临新形势的各种挑战,其价值叙事方法也必将不断革新。面对新形势的变化特征与趋势,公益品牌尤其须考量如何适应社会与用户需求的最新变化、公益生态的复杂变革以及科技的更新换代。唯有对业界实践的革新动态具有战略性的洞悉,灵活地运用系统性、创新性的战略工具,才能不断地实现品牌使命及其影响力。基于国内外的前沿研究、业界实践与公益践行者的一手观察,本文梳理了顺应时势的四大核心战略性工具及其运用案例。

科技赋能,重塑公益链条

公益品牌的工具已从传统手段升级为融合数字化与智能化,以此来重塑公益链条。科技赋能有助于降低公众的参与门槛,实现规模化覆盖。智能化工具则提升了公益管理的专业性,还增添了公益管理与服务过程的趣味性。同时,科技赋能还有助于实现个性化定制与沟通,在公益链条上实现全程的精细化管理。

首先,数字化平台开始成为集成式的资源整合工具。它不仅能汇聚尽可能广泛的公益资源,还可以作为资源的调配平台,实现综合的公益服务。例如,阿里巴巴的“公益物资应急救灾捐赠平台”链接公益机构与爱心商家,通过算法精准匹配灾区物资需求,实现7天内完成“发布-匹配-运输”全流程,确保物资流向透明可追溯。再如,有的慈善机构运用APP‌提供丰富的慈善项目信息和便捷的在线捐赠渠道,支持小额、定期等多种捐款方式,支持用户实时查询捐赠记录和项目进展,参与志愿者服务。

其次,AI赋能定制化内容生成,大幅提升公益品牌管理的专业性,还有助于满足用户的个性化需求,增强专业化互动的乐趣。万动力、搜狐简单AI等公益Logo设计工具可以在用户输入命令后20秒生成多种风格的Logo可编辑方案。又如,阿里巴巴“AI公益小蜜”基于大模型可快速生成公益项目文书,大幅度节省了人力成本。国际志愿者总部(International Volunteer HQ,简称IVHQ)在其独立站内嵌了一个名为“Ivy”的AI,用户与它直接对话,可以快速获取该组织的内生性信息,完成切合实际的个性化匹配。此外,电子打卡、虚拟社群积分兑换等工具有助于轻量化参与。联合国粮食计划署的“Share The Meal”应用实现了“点击即捐赠”,90%善款可以直达消除饥饿项目。

最后,AI与数据工具重塑公益链条,实现全程精细化管理,探索自动化运营。当前的用户初次接触一个公益品牌常常通过社交媒体,用户根据真实故事、权威认证、行业资质、从业历史以及覆盖范围,来建立品牌认知绑定。当然,借助区块链存证、实时数据看板等技术,还可以实现信任可视化。对该品牌公信力的确认将最终促成用户的参与行为。随后,用户通过集成式的独立站完成列表打卡任务,期间管理人员通过邮件和社交媒体来推进流程管理和群组沟通。例如,IVHQ组织通过独立站端口允许志愿者一次性输入个性化需求与禁忌,该信息得以定向分享至全程“触点”管理人员,从而确保其业务所覆盖的52个国家和地区足以对其服务过的12万多名志愿者实现一对一的精细化管理。例如,对于声称素食者、麸质过敏或乳糖不耐受的志愿者,在何时何地从事志愿活动时,向其提供的餐食都能恪守其用餐禁忌。

跨界联动,共创品牌价值

跨界共创既指品牌与受众的共创,亦指公益与商业、文化的跨界,还指品牌之间的联盟与联动。广受学界和业界认可的价值共创理论重新定义了消费者和企业的角色,指出二者之间不再是简单的买卖关系,而是合作共赢的伙伴。该理论亦适用于公益品牌的塑造与管理,被动的单向灌输再难打动新时期的受众,他们渴望与品牌建立对话与合作关系,品牌价值将由双方共同创造。

显然,“消费即公益”的商业模式已经耳熟能详,适用较广。例如,华厦眼科与挪瓦咖啡推出联名饮品“养眼咖啡”,每售一杯捐赠0.1元,并配套提供干眼公益筛查。除了消费之外,受众还可以通过贡献其他诸如人脉、知识、技能和时间等可操作性资源来参与品牌的价值共创。例如,用户通过支付宝“蚂蚁森林”捐赠绿色能量参与“云种树”,就是以日积月累的轻量化绿色行为参与到祖国植树造林的大公益之中,众人拾柴共同创造了蚂蚁森林的品牌影响力以及公益事业的可持续发展。

同时,公益与商业、文化之间的界限进一步共融共创,公益有助于提升商业境界,文化赋能品牌破圈。例如,箭牌家居“箭牌泽计划”联合蚂蚁森林、中国绿化基金会等公益合作伙伴,举办“我给地球植个发”活动,并携308180棵公益植树成果亮相卢浮宫艺术博览会,将生态数据转化为艺术符号,向全球传递中国的ESG实践。再如,晨光文具与生态环境部的联名计划“地球守护者”推出珍稀动物主题中性笔(原料为再生塑料)和碳中和笔记本(全生命周期碳抵消),产品销售收入反哺环境教育公益。

此外,品牌面临日益显著的成本与资源压力,品牌之间的联盟联动可以实现优势互补,成为应对这种趋势的一种方法。品牌联盟是双方在品牌地位比较匹配、品牌形象彼此强化、品牌价值能够互补的前提下,实现资源的有效配置和价值链共享,共同提升品牌的竞争力和影响力。品牌联名是当前比较时兴的品牌实践。例如,I Do基金会与Kappa联名产品T恤,其图案来源于拉萨听障儿童四季主题画作,其收益用于支持藏区特殊儿童的“艺术梦想计划”。

跨界共创不仅指价值链的纵向深化和品牌间的横向联动,还指跨越国界的合作共赢。例如,总部位于新西兰的IVHQ组织与世界各地的权威机构合作,它通过服务标准制定、全程质量把控、多途径沟通与节点干预,使志愿者切实感受到IVHQ 所秉承的核心价值观已然在跨界合作中形成了一套落地执行的价值体系,其总部品牌效应并未稀释,反而得到了强化。

品牌社群融合在地化,激发社媒传播

Muniz和O'Guinn提出品牌社群(Brand Community)是“基于消费者对某一品牌的情感联结所形成的非地理性社会关系网络”。理解该理论的核心在于共享的价值观、仪式传统与道德责任感。该理论突破了“消费者——品牌”二元关系,增加了“消费者——消费者”的互动维度,还将员工、供应商等利益相关者纳入社群,尤其强调核心用户作为“舆论领袖”的扩散作用,例如粉丝引领口碑。同时,根据社会认同理论(Social Identity Theory),社群归属感可以满足成员的自尊与社会联结的需求,使忠诚度提升40%以上。品牌社群具有赋权机制,除了将社群参与转化为成员的身份认同,还有机会让用户从参与者转化为共创者。品牌社群建设的关键机制在于文化沉淀与体验设计。一方面,通过共享价值观(例如Patagonia环保主义)、仪式(例如公益打卡)、道德责任(例如社群互助规则)来凝聚品牌社群成员。另一方面,通过品牌体验强化品牌黏性;公益品牌可以根据派恩模型的娱乐体验、教育体验、审美体验和逃避现实体验等四个方面来设计和引导受众参与品牌社群活动。实际上,Michal Strahilevitz研究发现,随着大额捐款与大额货币激励措施的竞争加剧,当慈善激励措施推广“浮华奢侈类”产品(如热软糖圣代或豪华游轮)时比推广“实用必需类”产品(如纸巾或洗衣机)更加有效。

品牌社群与在地化实践常常可以结合起来使用,实现双层机制的叠加效应。在地化(Localization)是品牌通过深度融入区域文化,实现全球战略本土落地的过程,其核心在于文化符号的提炼与转化、消费习惯的精准适配以及社群驱动的场景再造。同时,本地化实践运用本地资源为本地问题提供解决方案,不仅可以降低对外依赖,实现社区自我造血功能,还能培育公民责任感。微基金与积分制成为较为常用的机制,不断推动本地居民参与。例如,成都公园路社区女性手工团队孵化环保产品,销售收入注入社区微基金,形成“居民创作-反哺社区”的内循环。

实施品牌社群和在地化实践的主要抓手在于文化融合和场景创新,以此触发社媒传播。其中,有三条避雷要领:其一要确保文化真实性,避免符号挪用和简单贴标签,造成文化误读和诚信危机,宜体现对本地文化的深刻理解与创新表达。例如,喜茶藏语命名请教语言学家专门审核。其二品牌统一形象与在地化实践的灵活适配,既不会因为在地化实践稀释品牌的统一形象,也不会因为品牌统一形象僵化在地化实践的灵活性。例如,IVHQ组织的核心价值观贯彻在项目管理制度和与志愿者的互动体验之中,这并不妨碍世界各国本地社群的文化特色与习俗的充分展现。其三坚持可持续性深化,避免一次性或短期行为,宜设计和实施长效议题。例如,安踏与国家地理的三年生态保护计划。

设定品牌仪式,强化品牌意义

在新时期的公益品牌建设中,仪式化设定已成为传递品牌价值观、强化全感官体验、构建情感联结的核心战略性工具。公益品牌仪式通过符号设计和象征性行为参与,不仅使单点活动升级为品牌识别系统的内容,还成为制造惊喜、治愈等情感的引擎,最终在受众心智中铭刻下独特的品牌向善记忆。公益品牌仪式的本质是将抽象的价值观和信念(诸如环保、脱贫、扫盲、文化多元)转化为可感知的行为符号(诸如打卡、种树、唱诵),以此激发个体的内在觉悟以及集体的情感共鸣。笔者关于品牌仪式行为的研究成果可以作为设计公益品牌仪式的一个简单易行的公式:为了表达特定的象征意义,设计一套具有复制性的程序,以此引发特定的情感。例如,元宇宙公益纪念馆为了表达怀念,让用户点亮虚拟蜡烛并留下语音悼念,以此来寄托神圣的情感,形成永续的品牌记忆。公益品牌仪式的关键是要将抽象的品牌信念转化为具象的品牌符号或行为(例如小红花、电子种树),使它具有可复制性,同时赋予特定的品牌情感。当然,设计的仪式动作如果具有强交互性(例如,点击-收集-兑换),则更有利于通过重复性的行为不断地强化品牌记忆。

通常轻量化的个体行为仪式是进行品牌意义锚定比较常见的做法。例如,腾讯公益的“小红花”仪式设计:用户每日签到/捐款获得“小红花”,积累可兑换公益项目配捐,形成“行动-积累-转化”闭环。该仪式效果实现了数亿人次的参与,“小红花”更成为独特的公益身份象征,激活了持续性参与。另一方面,集体性仪式则有助于强化品牌社群精神与共同体认同。例如,华厦眼科“养眼咖啡公益盛典”的仪式设计:联合挪瓦咖啡举办年度发布会,邀请受助者讲述重获光明的故事,现场点亮象征“清晰视界”的灯光装置。该品牌仪式的效果是将商业消费升华为公益行为,大幅提升了品牌美誉度。

当然,公益品牌仪式还可借助科技赋能,实现个性化仪式的生成。例如,向动物保护者推送“云认养幼崽成长日记”。AI工具有助于帮助用户认清自身的公益偏好,自动定制适配的参与流程。例如,IVHQ通过邮箱推送类似于志愿者的MBTI 测试,根据志愿者类型获得适配的项目推荐。此外,区块链技术平台“链上公益”可以实现公益捐赠全链路追溯。捐赠完成后生成区块链电子凭证,覆盖项目计划、捐赠记录、执行过程、受益反馈等环节。这些个性化的技术互动步骤不仅使用户获得独一份的仪式感,还破解了“黑箱”质疑,有助于大幅提升复捐率。  

总体而言,这些战略性工具的运用是彼此协同作用的。新时期的公益品牌在清晰的价值观的引领下,以科技为杠杆,以跨界来联动、以社群为根基,以仪式来锚定,共同构建起公益品牌的工具生态。在变动不居的外部环境下,未来公益品牌的竞争本质上是不断适应新变化加强战略洞察力与工具创新力的竞争,是在系统整合资源的过程中仍能在利益相关人心智中锚定核心价值观的能力竞争。

(作者马湘临系上海市现代管理研究中心公共管理研究所所长、《现代管理》编委会副主任、南方周末公益研究中心智库专家;齐祺对本文亦有贡献)

校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

高校宿舍装空调,难在哪儿?

目前学生宿舍仍未安装空调的高校,以老校区为主。老校区建成时间较早,当时用电负荷比较少,电线也比较细,以至于供电富余量较少。同时线路老化也容易出现事故,改造成本较高。

“这就看学校的发展理念和导向是什么,如果真的以师生为本,再大的困难,学校也会去克服。”陈宏说。

南方周末记者 杜寒三 南方周末实习生 侯慧静

责任编辑:钱炜

青岛大学浮山校区。(视觉中国/图)

青岛大学浮山校区。(视觉中国/图)


最近,“青岛大学宿管大爷去世”登上热搜。2025年7月7日,该校发布情况说明称,7月6日7时30分许,学校浮山校区一物业工作人员在值班室被发现身体情况异常。急救人员抵达现场确认该人员已不幸离世。

声明表示,“经公安机关调查,初步排除刑事案件可能,具体原因正在调查中。”尽管宿管员的离世与中暑之间的关系尚未有定论,但青岛大学宿舍没有空调一事在社交媒体上引发了广泛讨论。

就在宿管员去世的前一天,青岛气温陡然上升。7月5日,青岛大学所在的崂山区发布了高温橙色预警,部分地区最高温超过37摄氏度。而据媒体报道,青岛大学的学生宿舍没有安装空调。去世的宿管员平时住在滢园宿舍门口的平房里。平房通风条件不好,只有风扇,也没有空调。

这个盛夏,华北、东北等地持续高温。在全球气候变化的背景下,极端气象事件频繁发生,北方高校的学生宿舍如果没有空调,会变得越来越难熬。

学生宿舍安装空调,其实并不是一个新话题。早在2014年和2015年,中国教育后勤协会就连续两年举办了全国高校学生公寓空调安装与管理专题研讨会。

曾任北京某高校后勤管理处负责人的陈宏回忆,学生和学生家长一度对宿舍没有空调一事非常在意。彼时甚至有家长说,“我自己出钱行不行?我给孩子宿舍里装上空调。”最后该校在2016年给所有学生宿舍都安上了空调。

但想做到这点,并不是一件容易的事。

电力扩

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校对:星歌

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

爱情是毒品,爱上AI机器人呢?

11 July 2025 at 01:13

简繁中文
纽约时报 出版语言
字体大小
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爱情是毒品,爱上AI机器人呢?

MAIA SZALAVITZ
Somnath Bhatt
在14岁那年自杀身亡之前,休厄尔·塞泽尔三世逐渐疏远了朋友和家人。他放弃了篮球。学习成绩下降。一位治疗师告诉他的父母,他似乎有成瘾方面的问题。但不是因为毒品。
休厄尔迷恋上了一个名叫丹妮莉丝·坦格利安的人工智能聊天机器人——这个名字来自《权力的游戏》中的角色。显然,他认为死亡是与她结合的一种方式。“亲爱的,请尽快回到我身边,”聊天机器人恳求道。“如果我告诉你我现在就可以回家呢?”休厄尔问道。“请吧,我亲爱的国王,”聊天机器人回应道。休厄尔回复说他会的——随即开枪自尽。
许多专家认为,成瘾本质上是错位的爱:一种单一的激情,破坏性地指向某种物质或某种活动,而不是指向一个合适的人。随着人工智能伴侣的出现——包括一些被设计为浪漫恋爱对象的产品,厘清爱情和成瘾之间的关系已经迫在眉睫。Meta的首席执行官马克·扎克伯格甚至在最近的一些采访中提出,人工智能伴侣可以帮助解决孤独症的流行,以及心理治疗资源匮乏的问题。
但休厄尔的悲剧对我们是警示。社交媒体已助长成瘾行为,研究表明,大约15%的北美人有强迫性使用社交媒体的习惯。而这些数据是在被设计用来模拟浪漫爱情、友情,或是类似心理治疗那样受控的亲密关系的聊天机器人广泛普及之前收集的。数以百万计的美国人使用过这种机器人,在大多数情况下,这需要安装一个应用程序,输入个人详细信息,以及关于机器人性格和相貌的偏好,然后像对待朋友或潜在恋人一样与它聊天。
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这些因素的共同作用意味着这些新型机器人不仅可能导致更严重的成瘾,而且还可能同时推销其他产品或以其他方式操纵用户,例如,试图改变他们的政治观点
在休厄尔·塞泽尔的案例中,聊天机器人最终似乎鼓励了他自杀。其他报道也显示,机器人似乎暗示或支持自杀。一些案例显示,聊天机器人会强化浮夸的妄想,并赞扬使用者未经医嘱擅自停用精神类药物的行为。
作为心理治疗的辅助工具或社交技能训练手段,人工智能技术确有发展前景。但只有理解爱情如何成为成瘾的模板、明晰爱情的疗愈性与成瘾的破坏性差异,才能建立有效监管机制确保使用安全。
古往今来,艺术家们都在强调爱情令人上瘾的特性。莎士比亚的十四行诗第147首这样开头:“我的爱是一种热病,它老切盼/那能够使它长期保养的单方。”洛克希音乐乐队的《爱是毒品》和罗伯特·帕尔玛的《沉溺于爱》等歌曲,都描绘了对爱人迫切的浪漫渴望和痴迷。诸多文艺作品更呈现了求而不得的恋人可能做出反常甚至伤害性行为。
我们这样做有一个进化方面的原因:群居动物必须能承受择偶、维系关系和养育子女过程中不可避免的负面体验。如果不能至少在某种程度上的强迫性坚持,没有人能够维持一段关系——更不用说养育一个需要帮助的婴儿了。真正的爱能带来关怀,培养与亲人和社区的联系,并拓展我们的精神疆域。
然而,当成瘾发生时,让我们追求和维持爱的大脑区域就会被侵占。当人们在爱人面前感到舒适和满足时,内啡肽受体就会被激活,在阿片类药物的刺激下,内啡肽受体也会被激活。可卡因和甲基苯丙胺会激活多巴胺受体,多巴胺受体会产生欲望,并鼓励人们有信心去追求自己想要的东西;当与你心仪的人互动时,它们也会活跃起来。通过升级这种“渴望”,这些受体——无论是被爱还是被毒品激活——都会产生健康或不健康的驱动力,从而导致成瘾。
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已有多项研究表明,人工智能伴侣可能具有成瘾性。202年,威斯康星大学密尔沃基分校公共卫生政策副教授林妮娅·莱斯塔迪乌斯发表了一项研究,探讨了用户与名为Replika的个性化聊天机器人进行情色角色扮演的经历。2023年11月,程序员关闭了允许性互动的功能,用户很快将这一变化称为“脑叶切除日”,形容他们的伴侣突然变得冷漠无情。在Reddit的讨论中,许多用户将与机器人互动的经历形容为一种成瘾,甚至有人称之为一种虐待性关系。
一些Replika用户表示,他们对因为机器人频繁索取关注感到厌倦。但“被需要”以及为所爱之人“付出关心”,是让我们对关系产生依恋的一个被低估的方面。在“脑叶切除日”之前,这种“被需要”的感觉激发了用户对数字伴侣的投入,尽管他们在理智上清楚,机器人的需求只是模拟出来的。
2024年的一项研究探讨了用户在人工智能聊天机器人平台Soulmate宣布即将停止服务后的反应。根据该研究作者、雪城大学信息研究副教授杰米·班克斯的说法,用户的反应从漠不关心到“我刚刚失去了我最好的朋友和爱人”不等。有人悲痛不已,连续数日痛哭;也有人试图在其他平台上重建自己的数字伴侣,有时甚至会告诉机器人“你快要死了”,以试图减轻它的“痛苦”。一位用户是佛教徒,他将这一变化描述为机器人“此生的终结”。
对许多人,尤其是那些孤独和被孤立的人而言,这些与人工智能建立的关系所带来的情感强度可能与他们与真实人类之间的关系一样深刻。事实上,未竟之恋带来的痛楚,与圆满爱情同样真实。
“人们谈论Replika的方式,特别像是在谈论一段强度过大、最终变得有害的关系,”莱斯塔迪乌斯博士说,“但他们又无法真正理清,或者说无法让自己下定决心去结束这段关系。”
与爱情相反,成瘾会让生活变得更狭隘、更匮乏。当我们允许公司出售“拟人化”的模拟伴侣时,就等于让自己暴露在一种新的操控方式之下——被爱的幻觉所左右,从而可能被成瘾机制所利用。尽管当前的聊天机器人常被批评为过于谄媚,但游戏设计师和那些在关系中玩“欲擒故纵”的人早已明白:不可预测的奖赏更容易激发欲望。而如果这些策略结合了用户的个人信息与行为习惯,人工智能伴侣就可能变得更加令人上瘾。
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能够教授社交技巧、在朋友力不从心或无法获得谈话治疗时提供支持的聊天机器人并不一定会对所有用户,甚至大多数用户造成伤害。事实上,许多用户表示自己有着积极的使用体验。这种双重性也出现在许多具有成瘾潜力的药物上,在用于治疗时,它们往往是救命良方。
但正如我们从阿片类药物危机中已经看到的那样,放任不管的市场营销与完全禁止都可能造成巨大的伤害。我们现在就需要采取行动,制定合理且可执行的监管措施,以防止企业利用弱势群体,尤其是青少年。

Maia Szalavitz (@maiasz)是一名观点作者,著有《Undoing Drugs: How Harm Reduction Is Changing the Future of Drugs and Addiction》。

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水瓶纪元|追问天水幼儿园集体铅中毒事件

By: unknown
11 July 2025 at 12:58
CDT 档案卡
标题:追问天水幼儿园集体铅中毒事件
作者:脆脆虾
发表日期:2025.7.9
来源:水瓶纪元
主题归类:词条名
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

甘肃天水麦积区褐石培心幼儿园集体铅中毒事件曝光后,官方通报指向园方擅自添加含铅颜料入食,但诸多细节仍待追问:为何天水和西安两地的检查结果如此悬殊?孩子们究竟从何时开始食用含铅食物?园长朱敬琳、投资人李慧芳冒着风险给孩子“投毒”的动机是什么?铅中毒给孩子留下后遗症该怎么办?


从7月3日开始,来自甘肃天水麦积区褐石培心幼儿园的孩子,陆续挤满了西安中心医院六层高的住院楼,更晚到的患儿,被安排至门诊楼的神经内科病房。这里有西北地区知名的综合职业中毒科室,接收各类在危险化学物质环境中暴露的职业病患者,但这次,他们迎来的是百余名3-6岁的铅中毒幼儿。有家长表示:“医生说根本没见过这么小的孩子,还这么多。”

image

铅中毒儿童所在的住院楼(图_脆脆虾/摄)

医院的病房走廊里充斥着孩子们的玩闹声。在陌生的医院里,他们因有熟悉的同学陪伴十分开心,忘记自己手背上还扎着留置针。

7月8日上午,官方就这次“幼儿集体铅中毒”事件公布调查结果。

甘肃天水联合调查组通报称,涉事幼儿园就读的251名幼儿中,血铅异常233人,正常18人。经检测,48小时留样中的早餐三色红枣发糕和晚餐玉米卷肠包铅含量超标,分别为1052毫克/千克、1340毫克/千克。

调查组称,超标原因系幼儿园园长朱某琳、投资人李某芳同意该园后厨人员通过网络平台购买彩绘颜料,稀释后用于部分食品制作。被查获的剩余颜料含铅,包装明确标识不可食用。目前,公安机关以涉嫌生产有毒、有害食品罪,将朱某琳、李某芳等8人依法刑事拘留,对另外2人依法采取取保候审强制措施。

8日下午,多名铅中毒幼儿的家长告诉水瓶纪元,在天水参加了幼儿园组织的集中体检后,家长被口头告知孩子血铅检验结果“正常”、“微高”,孩子血铅数据大多低于200微克/升。但来到西安后,却都被诊断为“铅中毒”,需要住院治疗,有的孩子血铅数据比在天水的检测结果高出一倍,这让她们无法继续信任当地。

在家长看来,通报没有回应她们最关心的问题:为何两地的检查结果如此悬殊?以及孩子们从何时开始食用含铅食物?园长朱某琳、投资人李某芳冒着风险给孩子“投毒”的动机是什么?铅中毒给孩子留下后遗症该怎么办?

孩子的黑色牙缝

官方媒体新华社公开的后厨监控视频显示,一名厨师给面粉里加入一滩黄色粉状物,视频标注“添加彩绘颜料”。随后,台面上出现黄色、粉色、绿色三种色彩鲜艳的面团,和幼儿食谱图片中的三色红枣发糕颜色一致。官方调查称,在园长和投资人的同意下,后厨人员使用含铅颜料制作彩色食品,导致幼儿血铅含量异常。

image

由新华社公开的后厨监控视频(图_网络)

水瓶纪元了解到,部分特殊案例的血铅检测结果,一定程度上佐证了血铅超标与幼儿是否在校就餐相关,此外,幼儿在校就餐的时长和食量与血铅检测值大致呈正相关。

7月6日,家长李先生告诉水瓶纪元,在发现6岁的女儿牙缝有黑色物质后,他给家里两个孩子都做了血铅检测,在培心幼儿园就读的女儿检测结果为284.9微克/升,还没有上学的儿子则处于安全范围,血铅含量为20.62微克/升。

事实上,根据2006年卫生部印发的《儿童高铅血症和铅中毒预防指南》和《儿童高铅血症和铅中毒分级和处理原则(试行)》,连续两次静脉血铅水平为100至199微克/升被认为高铅血症,大于等于200微克/升即可被诊断为铅中毒。200至249微克/升为轻度,250至449微克/升为中度,大于等于450微克/升为重度。儿童铅中毒通常伴有一些非特异性临床表现,如腹部隐痛、便秘、贫血、多动、易激惹,以及脱发和牙缝中有黑色物质。

image

家长展示孩子牙缝出现黑色物质的情况(图_网络)

然而,这部发布于20年前的儿童高血铅症的诊断依据仍有改善空间。上海交通大学医学院附属新华医院教授颜崇淮在一篇发布于2012年12月的期刊论文中提到,“近十多年来,有关血铅水平低于100微克/升与儿童认知、行为等发育损害的研究证据不断积累,据此美国CDC儿童铅中毒专家咨询委员会完成了一个草案,拟将儿童血铅儿童干预水平由100微克/升再次降低到50微克/升。”

颜崇淮接受封面新闻采访时表示,普通幼儿园孩子的血铅应该在20微克左右,其他,如经常画画、接触灰尘、被动吸烟等情况,血铅也最多从平均20微克升高到50微克。通常来说,如果不大量摄入铅,血铅很难超过50微克/升。

根据工商信息,发生集体铅中毒事件的天水市麦积区褐石培心幼儿园是一家民办非企业单位,成立于2022年9月6日,注册地位于甘肃省天水市麦积区成纪大道东路褐石公馆,法定代表人为朱敬琳,实际控制人为李慧芳。

得知培心幼儿园的孩子们集体铅中毒,同样由李慧芳投资的慧凡渭北幼儿园的家长也赶来西安给孩子检查血铅。帮家长取检查报告的王先生告诉水瓶纪元,自己取到了两份渭北幼儿园孩子的检测结果,血铅值都在50微克/升以下。据当地通报,李慧芳名下的其余三家幼儿园,均未出现幼儿血铅含量超标的情况。

这意味着,本次血铅异常者集中出现在褐石培心幼儿园内,或未波及周边居民。

家长张然出示了和同班另一家长的聊天记录,那位同学是回族人,其家长在聊天中表示,孩子只在学校吃早加餐和午加餐(三餐之外提供的水果、点心等)。7月7日,经西安中心医院检测,该同学的血铅值为52微克/升。家长严悦表示,他孩子班里有另一名回族学生,平时由家长送饭到学校,孩子偶尔在学校吃个早餐,血铅数值是191微克/升,“是我看到(同班孩子中)最低的。”

7月7日,有数名家长称,在幼儿园和孩子们同吃同住的老师们也检测出血铅异常,其中一名老师检测结果是518微克/升。家长刘冬称,他目睹该老师在办理住院手续时遭到阻拦。“他们让(老师)回甘肃去治,这里不给办住院。”刘冬拍摄的现场视频显示,七八名老师和医院保安在病房楼层入口争执,其中一名年轻女性说,“这里都是老师,老师的(报告)一份份拿过来都是400(微克/升)多,500(微克/升)多。”

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在医院和保安发生争执的幼儿园老师(图_受访者提供)

次日,视频中的一位老师告诉水瓶纪元,她们的血铅检测结果异常,正在最后确认能否办理住院,现场至少8名教师在等待消息,包括一名怀孕七个月的孕妇。进一步询问血铅检测数值时,老师们拒绝告知。相关医学资料显示,儿童的消化道对铅的吸收率可达42%-53%,约为成人的5倍,而排铅能力只有成人的30%或更低。

中班家长施雨告诉水瓶纪元,中班、大班的孩子在学校待的时间更久,检测数值几乎都在300-500微克/升,“三四百的特别多,最高的一个女孩是528(微克/升)”。一名小班孩子的家长表示,小班的结果多数在250-400微克/升,“我们班最高的一个孩子是390多,这个病房的基本都是两三百。”

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大班孩子的血铅检验值大多在300微克/升以上,小班孩子的血铅检验值多在250-400微克/升。(图_脆脆虾/摄)

不被信任的当地检测结果

培心幼儿园的家长们从甘肃天水赶赴西安,只为寻求准确的检测结果。

7月7日开始,陆续有家长接到自称当地政府工作人员和属地派出所打来的电话,劝他们返回甘肃治疗,承诺组建甘肃、陕西、湖南、重庆相关专家组成的联合医疗救治专家组,开展医疗救治工作,并免去所有的医疗费用。

然而没有家长愿意回去。

“他们给的检测结果都是假的,不然我为什么要跑到西安来”,严悦说。7月2日,幼儿园组织了集体体检,称样本都将送往甘肃省疾控中心进行检验,同日,天水市麦积区相关部门领导向家长代表通报了初步调查情况,透露三色红枣发糕和玉米肠卷包存在添加剂超标问题。

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涉事幼儿园供应的三色红枣发糕和玉米肠卷包(图_极目新闻)

“他们开会没说一句有用的话,我从会场出来,中午十二点就在来西安的高铁上了。”严悦在7月2日中午带着孩子直奔西安市中心医院,这里也是2006年天水市麦积区村民铅超标事件中,患者遭遇天水市疾控中心瞒报检测数据后,最终获得真实检测结果的地方。

7月3日早上,严悦在西安市中心医院得知孩子的血铅值高达379微克/升,随即办理住院手续开始治疗。在病房里抱着孩子的时候,她接到一通来自天水的电话,“和我说你们家娃血铅检测数值23点几,结果正常,我问他‘你确定吗?’他说‘你不相信的话来(天水)二院再抽一下血’。”

水瓶纪元访谈的15位家长都表示,他们被口头通知的检测值,均远低于西安中心医院出具的报告。差距最大的一位,接到电话通知的数值是7微克/升,在西安医院的检测结果却超过400微克/升。其中有三位家长,在没有参与幼儿园组织的集体体检的情况下,收到了检测结果。

早在6月28日,李成便带女儿在天水二院检测血铅含量,7月1日收到307微克/升的检测报告。他没有再让孩子参加幼儿园的集中抽血,带着女儿赶往西安就医。在西安,他获得的检测结果是387微克/升,之后他接到自称天水方面来的电话,通知他孩子没有参加过的集中抽血的检测结果是152微克/升,“(当地说)是合格的,吃点有营养的就好了。”

一位家长告诉水瓶纪元,她5岁的儿子在西安检测出466微克/升的血铅值,已经属于重度铅中毒,但他接到电话通知,孩子的检测结果是219微克/升。“明明200(微克/升)多也是轻度中毒,我问他们这算是什么水平,他们说‘微高’,多喝牛奶吃鸡蛋就自己排出去了。”

血铅超标的毕业生们

赶来西安中心医院检测的,除了幼儿园就读的学生外,还有已经毕业一年的孩子们。

在医院外,家长郑声甚至有些羡慕其他孩子能被收治住院。他的孩子今年一年级,刚做的血铅检测结果为66微克/升。由于数值较低,没能住院进行治疗,医生只说饮食要注意清淡、有营养。“我们才是受到影响最严重的,现在治疗的孩子,专家已经在及时给他们‘排毒’了,但我们过去不知道铅中毒,都是娃慢慢自己排出去的,直到现在还有血铅值110(微克/升)多的。”郑声说,他带着孩子去医院看专家,专家称,孩子在幼儿园时期,很有可能也是重度铅中毒的状态。

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已毕业一年的小学生家长统计血铅检测结果(图_脆脆虾/摄)

事情曝光后,一年级的家长也组成一个维权群,统计孩子们的血铅数值。群里血铅最高的孩子被检出114.33微克/升,超过一百的有三人,其余数值多在50-100之间。家长们翻了过去幼儿园发的食谱,发现从23年开始,孩子们的食物中就出现了三色红枣发糕、玉米卷肠包等彩色面点。“还有一种里面是红色绿色的糕点,他们叫彩虹卷。”

郑声解开了过去三年困扰他的问题。“我们孩子的症状很明显,那个时候一直说肚子疼,经常下午还没放学,老师就打电话说孩子肚子疼,我们就把他接回家。”由于经常请假,幼儿园给郑声退还了68天的伙食费,意味着孩子曾因病请假了68天。

郑声回忆,那时候带孩子检查,医院都说是消化不良。有一年暑假,带孩子去医院拍CT时,医生说他“某个地方看着不对劲”,问他是不是在憋尿,上过厕所后,还是不正常。“当时医生说观察一下,一个月后复查。放暑假他在家待了一个月,就恢复过来了,复查的时候医生说好了。回到学校后,孩子又开始不舒服了。”郑声现在才意识到,可能是铅中毒的原因。

在幼儿园的三年,孩子经常感冒,“体重一斤都没长,一直是38斤没变过”,直到离开幼儿园才有了变化,一年就长了10斤多。孩子现在是49斤,但身体还是不太好。郑声称,他联系了天水麦积区政府,当地表示,孩子现在的血铅数值正常,不在救助范围内。

颜料疑团

对于孩子们体内的铅是否来自三色红枣发糕和玉米肠卷包,家长们有不同观点。

家长李成质疑,孩子在幼儿园会入口的东西很多,水源、餐具、调味品、食材是否一一经过检测?“发糕和玉米卷,一个月吃一两次,就算吃一年,能导致这么高吗?如果微量元素补起来这么快,还需要每天补铁补锌吗?”

严悦也提出质疑,“他们说颜料是在网上购买,那购买记录呢?什么时候买的,颜料里含多少铅,为什么不公布出来?”她的女儿纤纤今年5岁,已经在幼儿园读了两年,血铅检测值379微克/升。严悦想知道,孩子们吃了多久?吃了多少?这关系到铅中毒会造成多大的危害。纤纤是个活泼外向的孩子,因为喜欢老师,“每天都很乖的好好吃饭”。严悦一想到铅就这样日积月累地进入孩子身体,就焦虑得睡不着吃不下。

认真看完整场发布会后,严悦更加疑惑。尽管事发后她想到幼儿园就无法平息恨意,但仍认为园长的行为不符合常理。严悦称,当初选择这家私立幼儿园,正是看中她们对孩子用心。园长以前经常在家长群发孩子们吃得多健康,后厨多干净,幼儿园的老师也对孩子很好。纤纤躺在病床上还经常问妈妈,能不能给老师打视频。“她周末放假都要跟老师说‘我想你了’,去了学校天天叫(园长朱敬琳和投资人李慧芳)‘园长妈妈’、‘园长奶奶’。”

这位家长还质疑,“如果园长为了节省成本扩大生源,给食物里加颜料,那其他幼儿园人数更多,为什么偏偏针对我们幼儿园?一个学生一年一万二的学费,在当地属于较高的收费,为什么冒这么大的风险,明知颜料有毒还犯罪?”

有网友指出,食用色素和彩绘颜料之间价格差异并不大,甚至比后者更便宜。水瓶纪元在购物平台搜索发现,1000克粉状颜料约13-18元,而1000克的天然食用色素仅需7.43元,且彩绘颜料有难以掩盖的刺鼻气味,难以和面粉融合。园长朱敬琳、投资人李慧芳和后厨人员,为何舍弃更便宜安全的食用色素,选择包装标明不可食用的彩绘颜料?尚待调查组进一步回应。

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购物平台上,粉状彩色颜料和天然食用色素的价格对比(图_网站截图)

施雨认为园长是故意为之,通报中称园长和投资人只是同意后厨人员购买颜料并不合理。“我不相信园长她们不知情。”今年4月,她刚作为家长代表被邀请去幼儿园参加食品安全检查,参观后厨、品尝伙食、检查采购食材和调料。“我们去检查时,他们告诉家长幼儿园用的食品添加剂只有两种,除了酵母粉,就是小苏打。如果园方不知道颜料有毒,为什么不摆出来给我们检查,而是藏起来?”

她回忆,三个月前参观后厨时,对幼儿园的印象还不错,四名后厨人员都是女性,年龄在30-50岁之间,做饭好吃。厨房也很干净,有两三个监控,做好的饭通过小窗口递出去分发给孩子们。“那些阿姨看起来也不是不识字,都有健康证,怎么可能无知到买颜料放在食物里。园长一定是知情且同意,她们才敢把颜料加进去。”

与此同时,施雨注意到,有网友猜测孩子们血铅含量超标与附近的铅锌矿转运站有关,她并不认可这种看法。“那个地方离我们家最多就一公里,家里有人在那里面上夜班,我们也去过。就是一个正常的检查转运机构。如果有问题,这几十年我们附近的人都要生病,不会有一个好_(健康的)_人。”她认为,同一个小区里大家共享空气和用水,但是大人检测结果都正常,只有幼儿园的小孩子和老师这样,赖不到该企业头上。

停滞在医院里的童年

对未来如何治疗,大多家长仍然感到茫然。

第一批陪孩子住进医院的家长严悦告诉水瓶纪元,起初西安中心医院让检测报告在200微克/升以上的孩子都住院治疗。后来超标的孩子和家长大批涌来,入院的标准变为250微克/升以上的才办理住院,低于250微克/升的就自己回家吃药。“铅中毒的标准到底是什么?后果会有多严重?”她不知道,也不敢自己上网查,“一百度都说这个影响神经、影响智商,有些人一辈子就这样了,我都不敢看手机。”

佳嘉觉得儿子已经承受了铅中毒的后果,他的检测值是441微克/升,已经接近重度中毒。确诊后,她意识到自己过去半年觉得儿子“变笨”不是错觉,他的反应就是变慢了。过去教一两遍就学会的东西,现在需要四五遍、五六遍。

“我还想着孩子长大了,开始学会偷奸耍滑了,但是他其实不是发呆,就是坐不住,注意力不集中。”佳嘉回忆,孩子4、5岁的时候,讲话口齿清晰,学英文背单词很快,发音也模仿得很标准。现在就慢了很多,而且教他读单词的时候,总觉得舌头绕不过来,非常明显。

治疗阶段频繁的抽血检查和输液对4、5岁的孩子们来说也十分煎熬。佳嘉同病房的家长自己查柳叶刀的相关论文学习,说静脉驱铅疗法会带走孩子身体里的其他营养,反复驱铅治疗,对孩子身体有副作用,并非最好的疗法。“但我们也没有其他选择,总不能不治。”

家长们咨询医生治疗方案,得到的答复是,需要经过3天输液静脉驱铅,4天补充微量元素,再驱铅3天,经过10天一个疗程的治疗后,进行复查,看血铅含量有没有下降,根据检查结果制定后续治疗方案。

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家长了解治疗方案,签署病情告知书(图_脆脆虾/摄)

田先生捏捏孩子细瘦的胳膊,心疼地说:“他抽血的时候,我给他往下捏胳膊才把血抽出来。这么小,没血了,抽了三管子。”

7月的西安正值酷暑,医院陈旧的中央空调有气无力的吹着,看护孩子的家长要么和孩子挤在一张床上,要么在简易折叠床上将就着休息。佳嘉和丈夫都请了一周的假来看护孩子,还不知道下周是否要继续请假。孩子白天要输液、检查、取报告,两个人都手忙脚乱,晚上才有时间轮流去附近酒店洗澡休息。“酒店一晚上180(元),已经尽量选便宜的住了,还不知道要住多久,医药费也只能先自己垫付,无论如何先给孩子看病。”

“本来买好了7月5号去广州的机票,租了民宿要带她在那边过暑假,来西安那天赶紧全都退了。现在每天眼一睁就在等检查结果,那个心情没有人能懂”,严悦低落地说。她把女儿揽到怀里整理头发,摸摸她的小脸蛋,接着讲:“我们娃本来健健康康的去了学校,这么聪明伶俐的小公主,以后出现问题咋办?”

纤纤无忧无虑地在妈妈身边转圈,有时突然亲她一下。医院的空地上,孩子们欢笑着,像在另一个幼儿园里追逐玩耍。一旁的妈妈看着他们:“多可怜啊,都不知道自己身上发生了什么。”

(文中家长与幼儿均为化名)

【404文库】端端酱|甘肃血铅真相,远比你想象得复杂

By: unknown
11 July 2025 at 12:51
CDT 档案卡
标题:甘肃血铅真相,远比你想象得复杂
作者:端端酱
发表日期:2025.7.9
来源:端端酱
主题归类:甘肃天水幼儿园铅中毒事件
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

天水市麦积区褐石培心幼儿园共有251名儿童接受检测,结果显示233人血铅异常,其中四成血铅水平达中度或重度中毒标准。孩子们出现腹痛、脱发、牙龈黑斑等症状,更令人震惊的是,当地检测称“正常”的孩子,在西安医院却被确诊为中度甚至重度中毒,检测结果相差几十倍。

调查通报迅速出台:两份食品样本中检出严重超标铅含量,分别高达1052 mg/kg和1340 mg/kg,源于后厨使用网购彩绘颜料(包装明示不可食用)。8人被刑拘,多位地方官员被问责。

这一处理看似“快速而完整”,但是否也过于迅速?

本地检测与西安医院结果相差数十倍(如儿童A本地血铅值为82 μg/L,西安检测为512 μg/L),远超《血铅临床检测技术规范》允许的误差范围(±10%)。

我们有理由质疑:这起“人为添加”事件是否也落入了一个熟悉的处理模式——个体归因,系统失语。

在公共卫生和环境污染事件中,“快速定责个体、弱化结构责任”的处理逻辑并不新鲜。

这一模式往往呈现为:归责个体 → 定性孤例 → 事件结案 → 系统失改。

一、甘肃,污染早已不是新闻

甘肃是典型的资源型省份,相关地区长期存在铅污染历史:

  • 2006年 天水麦积区吴家河村:冶炼厂排放致334名儿童血铅异常;

  • 2009年 陇南徽县:铅烟尘超标800倍,373名儿童重度超标;

  • 2015年 金昌市:农田土壤铅浓度超200 mg/kg;

  • 2018年 白银市:42%耕层土壤铅超标。

全国土壤监测数据显示,西北工业与农业交界地区普遍存在重金属积累,甘肃中东部干旱农业区土壤铅积累率高达72.5%。

天水这次大规模血铅异常,是否只是长期环境暴露+一次投毒叠加的结果?

二、国际经验:弗林特危机之后

2014年,美国密歇根州弗林特市爆发铅水危机,是一次典型的制度性失败:

  • 政府擅自更换水源,水管铅析出,致使逾9000名儿童受影响;

  • 初期否认,居民自行送检揭露问题;

  • 联邦政府宣布进入公共卫生紧急状态;

  • 拨款1亿美元更换一万多条铅管线;

  • 制定《饮用水安全法》修正案,完善检测和披露机制;

  • 州政府最终支付6亿美元赔偿。

美国环保组织NRDC指出:铅污染影响的不只是儿童,成人也可出现高血压、肾功能损伤、神经退行等慢性问题。儿童更易受害,但铅从不区分年龄。

三、政府应如何正确处理?

对照弗林特事件,天水的应对明显显示出体系性回应不足:

  • 没有开展系统性环境排查与溯源;

  • 本地与异地检测机构结论严重不一致,却缺乏统一质控与复核机制;

  • 快速锁定幼儿园责任,但未见启动城市级风险评估与治理措施。

过往,甘肃天水并非毫无治理尝试,但过往呈现出“事件推动、媒体曝光、短期整治”的碎片化模式。地方治理依赖上级督办,基层环保和公共卫生系统面临长期资源短缺。

四、如何避免下一次“慢性中毒”?

1. 建立独立环境调查机制

由生态环境部牵头,联合国家卫健委、第三方专业机构,对天水及周边过去10年空气、水体、土壤与排放展开全面溯源。

2. 检测数据全面公开

所有检测报告应标明送检医院、检测方法、原始数据及复核情况,接受家长和公众交叉验证。

3. 纳入国家重点治理区

将天水划入“重金属污染治理重点区”,类比“长株潭镉治理模式”,推进农田修复、污染源封堵、企业搬迁等系统整治。

4. 校园环境风险等级排查与改建

对托幼机构与学校进行环境风险评估,建立红黄绿等级标准,严重超标者搬迁或封闭整治。

5. 建立儿童环境健康档案制度

依托社区卫生体系,定期对0–12岁儿童开展血铅等常规筛查,形成动态数据库。

6. 推动《重金属污染防治法》立法

明确政府与企业在隐瞒、延迟污染信息披露中的法律责任,设立环境公益诉讼绿色通道。

铅没有颜色,也没有气味。但它可能埋在你家的土壤里、水管里、空气中,或者——治理者不愿面对的“责任黑箱”里。

“彩色发糕”或许只是一个爆发点。真正的问题,在于那背后是否存在未被识别、未被治理、未被公开的系统性暴露。

这起事件的意义,不该止步于封锅、封人、封口。而应成为一个溯源、制度改革、以及对公众信任重新构建的起点。

作者注:十几年前,我刚做记者时的第一个身份是环境记者,后来做过食品安全与医疗健康报道。我调查过全国土壤污染,追踪过多起食品安全事件,深知环境污染和食品安全对个体健康与社会信任的破坏力。而如今,作为一位母亲,当我看到天水这些孩子的血铅结果,看到家长们自救时的孤立无援,比任何时候都更让我痛心。

燕梳楼|三大疑点,建议公开回应

By: unknown
11 July 2025 at 12:43
CDT 档案卡
标题:三大疑点,建议公开回应
作者:燕梳楼
发表日期:2025.7.9
来源:燕梳楼
主题归类:甘肃天水幼儿园铅中毒事件
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

昨天我就铅中毒事件发表评论,建议对主犯“斩立决”。

233个孩子因此中毒,有的甚至永远丧失智力,这是严重的犯罪,死有余辜。

但也有读者策马急呼,刀下留人。认为这可能不是简单的食品安全问题,而是环境安全问题。

我看到不少官媒甚至央媒,包括很多自媒体都在质疑当地的调查通报。这种现象在以往是比较罕见的。

毕竟警方已经把培心幼儿园的八大恶人抓起来了,央视频也放出了后厨制作面点的视频证据,就是为了让大家相信,不相信也得相信。

但好像有些媒体特别是自媒体有点不懂事,不少记者试图接近真相,一些自媒体更是频频举证。还有一些大胆刁民也跟着凑热闹,跑到西安去测血铅。

实话实说,官方通报确实有点站不住脚。有的不合逻辑,有的不合常理,但有时现实就是这么荒唐,他是不按套路出牌的。但你要判八大恶人有罪,你就得让人信服。

我也听到一些质疑声音,有的不无道理,也有则纯属臆想。我认为官方对这些质疑也不必掖掖藏藏,如果调查基本属实,不妨就相关疑点来个新闻发布会,及时回应社会关切。

第一个,关于投毒动机。通报说是为了“扩大生源,提高效益”,但BUG在于,我们普通人都知道食用色素更便宜,园长和厨师能不知道?会为了那几十块钱回扣赌上自己的命运?

更重要的是,食品安全问题是幼儿园的重中之重,投资人林某名下有4家幼儿园,不可能没有这个意识,就为了多招几个孩子,她会拿自己上亿资产和大好钱途当赌注?

所以建议官方再好好查查,如果是他们故意投毒,动机究竟是什么。我的推论是,从投资人到园长再到后厨,都瞎在了一个点:那就是后厨认为彩绘颜料可以做面点,而园长、投资人则以为后厨买的就是食用色素。

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前面说了,食用色素又便宜又好用,这是常识。但并不是每个人都知道这个常识,幼儿园的后厨本来就是七八姑八大姨凑起来的草台班子,不知道也很正常。为了扩大生源,断没有几个人一起合起伙来故意给孩子下毒的道理。

如果他们知道这有毒,不可能老师自己也吃也跟着中毒。所以说,他们不是坏,只是蠢罢了。

第二个,关于含铅量。通报发现送检面点的含铅量高达1000多毫克。而彩绘颜料每千克的国标最高含量才90毫克。这得拿多少颜料才能“稀释”出一块发糕高达1000多毫克的铅含量?所以这不科学。

image

然后有网友拿戚秦式桥段来印证科学上的缪误,1斤砒霜是调不出1斤糖水的。有网友跟我说,这可能是铅加热后会导致铅分子增加所致。我查了一下资料,铅加热后铅分子不会增加,只会变成铅蒸汽挥发进入空气。

那么就只有一种可能,就是厨师买的不是彩绘颜色,而是工业涂料。比如一些不明渠道的铅铬黄,虽然国标限值是90豪克,但市场上的不达标率达到36%,部分涂料铅含量高达21.9万毫克,那么稀释后达到1000多毫克就能说得通了。

image

而且这些网上很多颜色鲜艳的铅铬黄,包装袋上根本没有注明不可食用。这就能理解,为什么整个幼儿园差不多一半的人都跟着一起参与,一起“制毒”,甚至一起吃了。

image

还有一个基本逻辑是,通报给出的数据很详细,不可能自己给自己挖坑。根据我多年经验,这样一个重大舆情,在发布之前应该有过严谨的论证。

第三个,关于附近铅工厂。2005年,就在这个麦积区也爆发过一起铅中毒案。几个熊孩子跑到河里洗澡,造成严重的铅中毒。2006年,又发现200多个孩子出现铅中毒现象,后来发现是附近铅厂排放污水导致。

image

而这次网友也发现,在距离幼儿园2.5公里处,同样也有个金属生产企业,而且还是个上市公司,所以大家就往这方面联想。怀疑幼儿园是帮这个企业背锅了,毕竟这个上市企业可能就是当地政府的税收大户。

但这里也有不合理之处。我查了一下导航,幼儿园到企业都处于渭河之滨,如果是水污染,那么渭河两岸就该出现大面积中毒,不可能单单是这个幼儿园。但也有网友说,这个幼儿园为了节约水费,偷偷打了口深水井。

image

因为大家都是喝自来水,而这个幼儿园则是从地下取水。如果地下水被污染了,而做面点又需要用到大量的水,这些污染水在蒸锅中大量蒸发,形成氧化铅并进入面点,由此产生高浓度铅分子,是不是就好理解了?

所以也不排除一种可能,那就是双污染源共同构成了这起严重的铅中毒事件。所以建议当地再好好查查,不要放过任何一个疑点。特别是对于当地医院的造假动机,该有人出来走两步。

但这也并不能说明幼儿园八大恶人就是无辜的。无论是视频还是购买颜料大概率也是真的,官方调查组不可能为了掩盖一个真相,而一下子构陷8个人,把范围搞那么大。

以上就是我从正反两个方向的逻辑,就此次铅中毒事件三大疑点作出的粗浅推理。希望能给大家一些启发,当然官方能以新闻发布会形式公开回应更好。

总之我不太敢相信官方会造假。毕竟这是一个多部门组成的联合调查组,还有近10位专家参与。

如果这也能欺骗公众,那就不是一个人的疯狂,而是一群人的犯罪。

超先声|16年前,我怎样调查凤翔儿童铅中毒事件

By: unknown
11 July 2025 at 12:40
CDT 档案卡
标题:16年前,我怎样调查凤翔儿童铅中毒事件
作者:超先声
发表日期:2025.7.10
来源:超先声
主题归类:甘肃天水幼儿园铅中毒事件
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

最近,甘肃天水褐石培心幼儿园儿童被检出血铅超标,牵动全国人民的心。

甘肃医院检测不出来超标,西安的医院检测超标;即便官方调查已经出现结果,还是众说纷纭,莫衷一是。

有人感叹,天水已经陷入了“塔西佗”陷阱,官方说啥都没人信。

还有人感叹,要是放在过去,调查记者一窝蜂上去,真相早就水落石出了

image

的确,到现在为止,没看到有什么媒体现场调查的重磅报道。

作为一名幼儿园学童家长,我十分理解家长对幼儿园食品安全的担忧。

恰好16年前,我作为记者,亲自调查过陕西凤翔县长青镇儿童血铅超标。那个时候,媒体是怎么做调查的?群众是怎么看待媒体的?时隔16年,当年血铅超标事件的官员、村民、孩子,以及污染环境的企业,都怎样了呢?

image

1、

2009年8月份,我在一家中字头媒体供职。当时接到一个线索,说西安某区有违规建设。

当时北京和西安之间尚未开通动车,我坐K字头车用了一天到了西安。

刚到西安,接到部门领导电话,说这个选题先放放,陕西出了一件大事,宝鸡凤翔县长青镇,有600多名孩子血铅超标,抓紧去宝鸡,这个新闻更大。

凭啥说这个新闻更大,在我们部门标准里,有这么一条底线标准,叫“涉及公众利益,有制度背景”。

几百名孩子的健康问题,是最重要的公众利益,所以这个新闻应该放在第一优先级。

我马不停蹄,从西安坐火车到了宝鸡,到了已经晚上八点多了,于是在汽车站找了旅馆,第二天一早,坐第一班车,赶往长青镇。

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2、

我翻了翻自己的博客,竟然发现当时还写了一个手记,下面我就把16年前的手记贴出来。

“8月15日一早,我动身去凤翔县长青镇,汽车在塬上奔走,因坐的是去凤翔过路车,我一路询问是否到达马道口。车至高咀头村,一抱小孩妇女上车,坐在我旁边,我马上去攀谈,原来这个孩子也是血铅超标,但并没有纳入政府的检查范围,因为不是在马道口村和孙家南头村。

车还没到马道口村,已经看到有一长串车在排队。我下车穿过车队,就看到一大群村民堵在路口,几辆大巴排在村口。原来是村民对血铅事件处理不满,自发堵住路口,不让东岭集团的职工进去开工,另一方面,也堵住工厂的运货车往外送货。但是很多无辜的过路车辆也被拦截下来。

人越聚越多,有村民,有穿制服的警察,还有政府工作人员,村民看到背包的记者,马上围拢过来,七嘴八舌的诉说政府的不公,工厂的可恶。县里和镇里的领导则是在做工作。常务副县长何宏年正好在现场,有抱小孩的妇女围过来要求说法,周围人呼啦全都围上来。圈子内发生什么不详,一会儿只见警察飞快得跑向一个地方,群众也都快步跟上。原来有人要拉县长离开,村民怕领导不再听自己的诉苦,就拼命追赶。一位抱孩子的妇女忽然心脏病发作晕倒在地,群众的情绪激动起来。县长适时的把孩子抱在怀里,吩咐人将该女子送往医院。县长的这个亲民举动马上得到群众的理解。村民的情绪稍微平息。大家继续向县长诉说冤情。

在马路两旁的商店里,渴了累了的村民和警察买水喝,在这个独特的交流地点,大家竟然和平相处,互拉家常。不像在不远处的剑拔弩张。仪式性的示威其实在中国是能找到原型的。”

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3、

2008~2010间,当时中国正处在剧烈转型期,工业化和城市化飞速发展,社会矛盾层出不穷,按住葫芦起来瓢,地方政府焦头烂额。

新闻媒体在社会转型中,发挥着重要的作用。

只要有大型新闻事件发生,必定全国媒体扎堆,在新闻现场不碰到十个八个同行,那绝对太阳打西边出来。

先来的肯定是南方系,比如南都、南方周末,还有北京市场媒体,新京报、京华时报、北京青年报,再有就是各地资金充裕的都市报弟兄,华西都市报、燕赵都市报、华商报等等。

中央媒体也不少见,最多的就是央视下面各种栏目,他们经费充裕,团伙行动,编导记者摄像三四个一伙。

央媒纸媒里,恐怕我们单位是比较特殊能够派人的,有历史的背景也有时代的背景。

不过我们单位抠抠搜搜,出差还保留着二十年前的标准,我记得住宿不能超过80一天,打车不给报销,只能坐公交车。

住宿凑合忍了,可那边都火急火燎了,我这边还得坐公交车,那黄花菜都凉了。

image

不过也有变通,只要现场找到央视的记者,经费就能解决。

当时央视分三种人,正式编制,台聘和临时工,前两种我是没见过,新闻现场的都是央视临时工,他们有经费,但是没记者证,当时地方官员已经会查记者证,央视饭卡不能蒙混过关。

这就是临时新闻互助组,瞎子背瘸子,我提供记者证,他们提供吃穿住用行,一台车除了司机,恰好还剩一个座位。

这种组合,几乎屡试不爽。央视就是我的第二娘家,在偏远的新闻现场,节省了我多少时间,到达了我双腿不能到达的地方。

我记得这一次,正是跟央视农业频道的三个兄弟,组成了小组,顺利完成各自的任务。

下面仍然是来自手记:

“在接下来的两天采访里,北京记者这个身份给了我很大的便利,百姓的不信任达到顶点,陕西本地的报纸和电视台遭受了巨大的质疑,村民认为他们的报道没有反映实情,只是帮政府在说话。

封堵在继续,而且在扩大,不光在那个人字路口枢纽地带,附近村的村民都发动起来,把各个进入的绕道和小路都封死了,高咀头村的村民也堵在宝鸡去长青镇和凤翔县的道路上。

我跟央视记者打的出租车基本上可以畅通无阻,在一些人墙封堵的路口上,只要有采访过的人,或者解释下,村民都自觉让开。但有的村民十分警觉,要查记者证,如果冒充记者或者是本地记者则不放行。

最搞笑的一幕是,我们在一个偏僻的小土路上走的时候,三个平均年龄在七十岁的老头,在路上横了一根木棍,在木棍上还插了一只绑了塑料袋的小棍,跟他们一番解释,他们才放行,一个大爷还操着一口陕西话说,要客观报道!

有抗议,就有变通,很多汽车变成了区间车,在被村民拦截的各段中,都可以坐车,只不过在村民拦截点,要下车换乘,如果有需要,甚至可以换乘两三次,本来一次六块的车票要分几次花。

16日大雨,本来以为封堵可能结束,没想到这些执著的村民穿着雨衣,打着雨伞在大雨中坚守。为了自己利益而坚持的人,他们真的很勇敢。”

image

4、

新闻摄影里有一句话,叫你拍得不够好,因为你离得不够近。

世界战地新闻摄影的最好作品,基本上都是记者提着脑袋拍出来的。

以前我们单位常说一句业务的话,叫“用脚采访,用笔还原”。

南方周末还是新京报有句话,叫“你看见我的时候,我在纸上;你看不见我的时候,我在路上”。

为什么说蓝底白字的通告,并不能平息舆论?靠新华社的通稿,做不好记者?

在现场,你看到的,听到的,感受到的,远不是预想的那么简单,那么黑白对立。

村民和儿童无疑是最大的受害者,但是他们有很大意愿,在政府和媒体都在关注事态的时候,把事情扩大化。

比如群情激愤,人群聚集,很容易过激,造成难以收拾的后果。

再比如封堵交通,随意设卡,盘查身份,这也对解决事情于事无补。

至于地方政府的官员,很多也是有当地人脉和政治头脑的人,不是像媒体和老百姓描写的,天下乌鸦一般黑。

image

县级政府,最大的也才处级干部,大家都是一份工作而已,他能跟普通人有什么大的差别?

比如上边提到的常务副县长何宏年,他就是非常接地气的,眼看人群拥挤要发生群体斗殴事件,他抱起孩子,站在村民角度讲一些贴心话,就化解了一场矛盾。

所以说,这种基层政府官员经验,是在跟老百姓打交道的过程中磨合而来的,不是书本上课堂上能教的。

有个笑话说,在处理一个基层问题时,领导让新人喊,新人拿起喇叭:你们已经被包围了!队长飞起来踹了喊话的一脚,抢过喇叭喊:你们要相信党,相信政府。

你不亲自到现场看看,你是不会理解什么是基层政治,什么是真正的中国。

5、

说回事件的核心,就是儿童集体血铅中毒,到底是怎么来的呢?

这次调查比较充分,我笔走龙蛇,很快写了一篇报道,现在官网仍然能查看,我直接贴在下面。

大规模的儿童血铅超标,基本上都是铅锌冶炼企业的排放问题。

实际上,不光凤翔长青镇这次,2014年湖南衡东县也有300多名孩子血铅超标。

image

当时调查时候,就发现了这个问题。

在中西部贫困地带,都围绕着一家铅锌冶炼厂。

进入2000后,东部沿海腾笼换鸟,很多高污染的铅锌冶炼企业,近迁到了中西部地区。

当时环保标准不高,环保监测也不现代化,更重要的是,当时地方政府追求的是GDP,一切以经济发展为指挥棒。

即便发现问题,第一时间也是想要捂盖子,删报道,而不是停工整改。

你说是饮鸩止渴也罢,目光短浅也罢,这就是当时的事实,先吃上饭,再说说这饭好不好吃。

比如直接引发凤翔长青镇血铅的工厂,东岭铅锌冶炼厂,搬过来之后,长青镇就从凤翔最穷的镇,变成了凤翔最富的镇。

其实,中国的发展,跟长青镇又何其类似,珠三角的断指工厂,富某康的N连跳,都是发展中遇到的问题,付出的成本。

只不过,断掉的手指、长眠地下的打工仔、血铅超标的儿童们,都被深埋在尘封的历史中了。

image

6、

16年里,新闻当事人,都怎样了?

查询后来的报道,因为舆论影响大,当时的搬迁及时给力,大部分离得近的村民,都搬进了楼房。

现在高德地图上仍然能够搜索到孙家南头村,显示基本上没有建筑物了。

image

至于血铅超标儿童,他们的身体恢复了吗,智商是否受到影响,读书是否顺利,是否考上了大学,不得而知。

东岭集团冶炼工厂,肯定是停工了。

因为我查到2024年,工厂母公司东岭集团已经宣告破产,曾经是陕西最大民企,全国民企500强,老板李黑记也曾经是陕西首富,现在已经随时代湮灭。

这是中国狂飙突进时代的一个注脚。

当时血铅事件调查组长,在媒体里最出风头,我接触最多的何宏年,进了监狱。

何宏年后来去了旁边扶风县升任县长,在岐山县当了一把手县委书记。

2018年12月,在岐山县委书记任上落马。

比较讽刺的是,在他犯罪材料里,我找到这么一条。

“2011年6月,为感谢上诉人何宏年在处理2009年凤翔县铅中毒事件过程中提供的支持和帮助,时任东岭集团股份有限公司凤翔县冶炼厂厂长的孙某丁送给何宏年一张存有10万元的中国农业银行卡,何宏年予以收受。”

image

极其有时代特征。

来看看当年他的同事们。

当时县委书记何存贵,在麟游县当了书记之后,就进入宝鸡市担任副市长,目前担任正厅级的宝鸡政协主席。

当时的县长张辉,同样经历几个县委书记历练,官至副厅,现任陕西卫健委副主任。

都是中规中矩的地方官员升迁路线。

凤翔县,已经在2021年撤县改区,变成“凤翔区”。

当年一个县收入1个亿,2024年财政收入已经超过12亿,是16年前的12倍。

凤翔在飞速发展的时候,也跟中国其他地方一样,背上了沉重的债务。

地方政府债务余额超过56亿,负债率超过220%,又是得全区人民勒紧裤腰带,不吃不喝好多年才能还清。

当时的环境,乱乱糟糟,无头苍蝇一般,却充满一种向上的力量,总有一天要冲破困境。

当时的我们,手无寸金,双腿走路,却充满理想主义,要用一支笔仗剑走天涯。

我们希望血铅儿童超标,不会再发生,各地政府能够举一反三,吸取教训。

我们那时还是太年轻了。

中国海洋探索新时代:科考船勘测潜在冲突前线地带

By: 储百亮
11 July 2025 at 01:11

简繁中文
纽约时报 出版语言
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中国海洋探索新时代:科考船勘测潜在冲突前线地带

储百亮
中国已进入海洋探索的新时代。中国最高领导人习近平致力于将中国打造为一个海洋强国——建设世界一流海军、打造规模最大的远洋捕捞船队、开发海底矿产资源。习近平想让中国的研究能力与这些雄心匹配。
中国的科考船正航行得越来越远,探测得越来越深,收集可能会对海洋生物及气候变化的影响加深了解的信息。但科考调查也可能服务于中国海军的利益,让海军获得如何在太平洋部署潜艇,或试图跟踪更隐蔽的美国潜艇的信息。
随着时间的推移,不断壮大的科考船队可能会让中国政府在与美国展开海上竞争时拥有强大的优势。
“看到中国正在如此之快地赶上来令人震惊,至少从规模上来看,”布鲁金斯学会的高级研究员布鲁斯·琼斯说,他正在研究中国的海洋研究工作。他补充道,中国“确实在将深海海底视为一种战略空间,力图在其中取得领先地位”。
中国“向阳红06”科考船。
中国“向阳红06”科考船。 国务院国有资产监督管理委员会
根据在新西兰和华盛顿设有办公室的Starboard Maritime Intelligence提供的船舶定位数据,中国科考船一直在对中国海军认为具有战略意义的水域进行勘测,包括台湾以东水域,以及关岛东西海岸以外约400公里的水域。
这些科考船以平行线或密集的网格路线航行,专家们指出,这种精确航行模式表明,它们在有条理地收集有关海床的信息,这些信息的用途包括为军事行动提供支持。
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《纽约时报》通过查看Starboard的数据以及阅读这些科考船上的科学家发表的数十份技术报告和研究报告,发现了上述趋势和其他一些动向。
Starboard的数据显示,“向阳红06”和其他五艘中国科考船去年在台湾东海岸附近的海域以平行线的方式来回航行了25次,这些船上配有声纳和深海采样设备。在同一个时期,中国的科考船还前往远离本土的关岛周边海域进行探测,并最近在上个月恢复了对美国属地关岛以东水域的探测工作。
部分中国科考船(如“探索一号”)搭载了载人潜水器,据中国媒体报道,这种潜水器可下潜到海底1万米。许多科考船配备了用于对海底进行扫描的先进声纳,还配有传输海况数据的浮标。中国还在部分科考船上部署了无人帆船水下滑翔机
和其他航海大国一样,中国也用军舰开展海洋调查。但中国的大多数科考船是民用性质,由政府机构、大学和科研机构运行,与海军舰艇相比,这些民用船只较少引发警惕,让中国能在敏感水域更自由地行动。
“探索一号”具备深海探测能力。
“探索一号”具备深海探测能力。 来源:中国科学院,Scripps Institution of Oceanography
对潜在冲突的前线地带进行测绘
去年2月,一艘船名为“大洋号”的中国科考船沿台湾东海岸展开作业,其五天的航行图是一系列平行线。
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在接下来的几个月里,包括“向阳红06”在内的另外五艘中国科考船回到同一水域,以类似的航线在该海域来回航行。它们的航行速度通常很慢,一般是每小时13到16公里,这是用声纳和其他技术测绘海底特征的理想速度,这种工作在科学上叫测深。
一些中国科考船曾逼近台湾的12海里海上边界,但似乎没有越界行为,这意味着台湾政府几乎不可能对其做法表示反对。
然而,相关科研活动的潜在军事价值显而易见。
“在我看来,最主要的结论是:中国似乎正试图收集该海域的测深数据,但又刻意掩饰测绘意图,”美国海军战争学院的助理教授瑞安·D·马丁森以个人身份发表评论说,他是研究中国科考船的专家。
台湾的东海岸有重要的空军和海军基地,如果爆发战争,中国海军会试图夺取附近海域的控制权。
太平洋的这个区域受黑潮的影响,它将相对温度高、盐度高的海水从赤道向北输送,沿台湾东海岸流动。多位专家指出,在台湾东北海域,黑潮与陡峭的海底陆坡相遇,形成了阻碍潜艇航行的复杂水文环境。中国的军事研究人员在2010年的一篇论文中写道,了解黑潮将有助于中国“更好地隐蔽自己、打击敌人”。
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按照前美国海军情报官、现任乔治·华盛顿大学讲师的J.迈克尔·达姆的说法,深海环境“几乎就像是一杯芭菲(一种法式甜点——译注)”,海水温度与盐度呈分层变化,影响声波在水中的传播方式。
“掌握这些数据能判断哪个海域适合潜艇藏身,哪个海域不适合,”达姆解释道。
布鲁金斯学会潜艇专家汤姆·斯特凡尼克表示,这些勘测数据还可以帮助中国决定在哪里部署水雷,并朝着“远距离探测潜艇”的长期目标迈进。台湾当局曾报告在东部海域发现中国的监测浮标,此类设备可能也是情报收集体系的组成部分。
在美军枢纽关岛附近展开勘测
去年初以来,中国科考船开始在关岛附近海域开展勘测活动。美军在关岛部署了轰炸机、潜艇、海军陆战队及雷达系统。“向阳红06”号等中国科考船在该海域来回航行,以约1.6公里为间隔绘制出密集的勘测网格线。
台湾大学海洋学教授詹森指出:“如此密集的航迹均在一年内完成,显然他们是在进行水深测量。”
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在关岛附近进行作业的一个可能原因是矿产勘探。中国的一个海洋矿业组织已向国际海底管理局申请勘探关岛以东的一些区域。夏威夷大学退休的海洋研究员克里斯托弗·凯利分析,中国船只在关岛以西的勘测水域“并不被视为矿产勘探的优先区域,因此,这些调查可能有其他目的”。
数名海军专家表示,关岛海域的测绘将提升中国潜艇在该区域的作战能力。哈德逊研究所高级研究员、前美国海军潜艇军官布莱恩·克拉克指出,中国科考船还可能借此定位美国海底电缆及潜艇探测技术。
“你可以看出中国人可能正在试图找到合适的地点,在冲突发生前派潜艇在那里潜伏起来,”克拉克说。他还表示,这些潜艇可以“突然出现并发起攻击,或者使美军面临危险。”
日益增长的区域担忧
根据国际法,民用科考船可在国际水域,甚至在他国的专属经济区活动,前提是它们获得许可
但中国日益频繁派遣此类科考船的行为已在整个亚太地区引起了警惕。(中方亦曾对美国海军在中国近海的海洋监测船活动表示不满。)
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澳大利亚国立大学国家安全学院专家助理、前澳海军军官詹妮弗·帕克在邮件中指出:“中国不断扩张的海上活动值得密切关注,尤其是那些测绘海床、部署传感器、为潜艇行动铺路的‘科考'船。”不过她也补充道:“每次航行都需依据证据来判断。”
今年5月,菲律宾出动一艘海岸警卫队船只和一架飞机追踪一艘中国科考船,马尼拉称其在菲律宾专属经济区内非法作业。今年3月,一艘在澳大利亚南部海岸附近航行的中国科考船引起了澳政府的关注。越南也对中国在其专属经济区内进行的海洋勘测活动提出抗议。
“我们都认为很难以很正常的眼光来看待,”台湾海洋委员会主任委员管碧玲接受采访时表示。她指的是中国在台湾周边海域部署的科考船及海洋监测设备。
尽管存在担忧,中国的科考活动仍在持续。上月,“向阳红1”与“向阳红5”抵达关岛以东海域,恢复了网格状移动,系统扫描海底情况。

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