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Today — 8 January 2025News

王星泰缅边境遇险背后,谁在招募中国演员赴东南亚

“境外电诈分子将影视行业作为诈骗目标,假冒选角副导演,潜入各类影视行业群组、演员群组,发布虚假剧组招聘信息……妄图利用从业者对工作机会的渴望,致使多人被诱骗至境外,甚至失去人身自由。”

发布招募信息的账号来自演艺圈人士,但尚不能确定是否由本人所为。颜文磊称账号被盗;杨泽琪去年底前往泰国“拍戏”,此后朋友再联络,“便像换了一个人一样冷淡”。

南方周末记者 汪徐秋林 南方周末实习生 郭晓雨

责任编辑:谭畅

泰国警方1月7日提供的照片显示,在泰缅边境失联的中国籍男演员(前左)在泰国达府与警方人员交谈。(新华社/图)

泰国警方1月7日提供的照片显示,在泰缅边境失联的中国籍男演员(前左)在泰国达府与警方人员交谈。(新华社/图)

在泰缅边境失联的男演员王星,已成功获救。泰国警方公布的近照中,他剃了头发,穿着一身白色运动服,状态消瘦,腿部有红斑。

2025年1月7日晚,中国驻泰国大使馆发布消息说,据泰方通报,中国公民王某已于当地时间7日下午成功获救。稍早前,中国驻泰国清迈总领馆称,从泰国达府移民局获悉,该局已接到在泰缅边境失联的中国籍男演员,目前正在按规定进行相关询问工作。

王星女友(网名“失眠爹地”)2025年1月5日发微博求助,称王星赴泰国进组拍戏,于1月3日4时许乘车从泰国曼谷索万那普机场出发,约7小时后,在泰国边境湄索县失联。此事迅速引起国内高度关注。

求助文称,2024年12月24日,自称演员统筹的“颜十六”在演员资源群发布招募演员的组讯通告,项目拍摄地在泰国曼谷。希望得到工作机会的王星联系上颜十六,12月30日,二人见了一面,2025年1月2日,王星从上海出发前往曼谷。

南方周末记者根据网络公开信息和采访统计,除了王星,近期有超过10位演员被邀请赴泰国工作,其中被“颜十六”“崇明堂”邀请的有9人。除了演员,颜十六还招募灯光、场务等幕后工作人员赴泰国。二人都有演艺圈背景,但尚不能确定是本人行骗,还是境外组织利用其社交账号行骗。

演员赵欣(化名)称,2024年12月20日后,她在多个演员资源群里见过二人账号发布的赴泰国招募信息。她告诉南方周末记者,目前相当一部分个体演员没有经纪人,平时多依靠微信群、公众号寻找工作机会,为压缩成本,演员们试戏也在线上完成,在她看来,一些剧组的工作流程也难称得上正规,“很多演员只能靠自己筛选项目的可信度,以防被骗。”

“演员试戏是最新诈骗手段”

王星失联后,多名演员在社交媒体发布信息,称2024年12月也因为找工作联系过颜十六、崇明堂

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校对:吴依兰

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

AI时代,BAT还能“霸榜”多久? | 互联网和相关服务业榜单解读

在科技发展一日千里的时代,越来越多的竞争者也将涌现。如何将研发投向核心技术,如何运用技术迭代产品、驱动增长,才是企业最终的制胜关键。

南方周末研究员 曹妍

责任编辑:黄金萍

AI洪流之下,中国互联网科技企业,尤其是头部企业发生了哪些变化?

南方周末科创力研究中心中国企业科创力数据库聚焦144家互联网和相关服务企业,基于研发投入(60%)、研发产出(20%)、公司发展(20%)三大维度30个指标,进行了综合评分。

2024年度,腾讯依然位列榜单首位,与第二名阿里拉开了13差距。其中,阿里与腾讯的主要差距来自研发投入的7.418分,百度则在企业发展维度落后于腾讯9.119分。

对比2023年度,榜单新增了携程集团和神州控股,特别是神州控股从上年87位跻身前十,各指标稳步提升。

得益于体量优势,BAT(百度、阿里、腾讯)在基本面指标上已经占得头筹,从而连续三年霸榜前三。与此同时,们在行业中的总得分在下降,说明已经有其他企业在不同指标项上,使得头部企业也无法在每个指标项上拿到最高分。

我们从BAT的科创核心指标及变化,探究其背后的战略布局——加大研发力度,押注人工智能,以期为收入打开新的增量空间。

加码投资AI

作为中国互联网科技巨头,BAT此前分别在搜索、电商、社交和游戏领域枝繁叶茂,但近年却面临存量竞争时代的增长瓶颈。2023年,BAT的收入增速接近10%从市场环境看,对于营收规模千亿元的企业来说,这一增速颇为难得

不过,新的参与者已经快速崛起——比如曾引发众平台联合围剿的拼多多,2023年营收增速达到惊人的89.68%,净利润也增长了90.33%。即使研发投入和研发强度位于榜单末位,拼多多仍成功跃至第六,并且市值已超过百

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校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

Sub-zero temperatures across UK as floods remain

8 January 2025 at 15:32
PA Two workmen in orange high-vis gear survey a flooded railway track passing under a bridge, surrounded by snow.PA
Railway lines in Cheshire were submerged by flood water.

Wintry weather is forecast to tighten its grip in many parts of the UK this week with sub-zero temperatures plunging even lower than during the heavy snowfall of the past weekend.

Weather forecasters predict the coldest nights of the year so far on Wednesday and Thursday, and temperatures are expected to fall as low as -20 C in some areas.

A series of yellow weather warnings covering the next few days have already become active - with the latest warnng of the danger of ice in parts of northern Wales, as well as areas in central and northern England, until 12:00 GMT on Wednesday.

The cold weather comes after another day of flooding causing havoc in central England but, with no further rainfall expected in flood-hit areas in the coming days, flood waters are likely to begin subsiding.

Travel disruption continued on Tuesday, with flights delayed, roads closed and railways impacted by the poor weather.

People continued to grapple with the impact of the severe flooding that has affected homes and businesses across the Midlands in England and a man had to be rescued from a flooded caravan park in Leicestershire's Barrow upon Soar.

There were 114 flood warnings, meaning flooding is expected, and 205 flood alerts, meaning flooding is possible, in place across England on Tuesday afternoon.

One flood warning and six flood alerts were active in Wales.

Looking ahead, weather forecasters expect the flood waters and warnings to begin to subside, with no significant rain predicted in the areas currently experiencing flooding.

Man wakeboards along flooded road in Leicestershire

But by then the focus will have switched back to how far temperatures are likely to fall, particularly during the night.

The ice warning covering Tuesday night and Wednesday morning is accompanied by another, also up to 12:00 on Wednesday, which tells people to be aware of the likelihood of snow and ice in Northern Ireland and parts of northern and western Scotland.

A separate yellow warning for snow in some southern counties of England will come into force at 09:00 on Wednesday, and will last until midnight.

The wintry conditions have caused significant disruption across the UK since snow swept many parts of the country at the weekend.

Hundreds of schools were closed in England, Scotland and Northern Ireland, including schools in Yorkshire, Merseyside, the Midlands and Aberdeenshire.

Most flights are running again after they were temporarily halted at airports in Liverpool, Bristol, Aberdeen and Manchester – but operators have warned some delays are still likely.

Some major roads were shut because of poor weather conditions, including the A1 in Lincolnshire which was still closed on Tuesday afternoon due to extensive flooding.

Worst since 2021?

Flood warnings and more cold to come: UK forecast for Tuesday

Bitter cold is expected in many parts of the UK in the coming days, with the likelihood of sharp overnight frosts.

Temperatures are expected to drop well below freezing on Wednesday and Thursday night, with forecasters expecting many parts of the UK to experience a hard frost and lows of between -3C and -10C.

In places that are still experiencing snow cover, it could be as cold as -14C to -16C on Wednesday night, and on Thursday the Pennines and snow fields of Scotland could register temperatures as low as -16C to -20C.

That would actually be far colder than was experienced at the weekend when a low of -13.3 C was recorded at Loch Glascarnoch in the Highlands.

It is also significantly lower than anything seen last winter when a particularly bitter night in Dalwhinnie in the Highlands saw a mark of -14C being recorded.

The last time the UK had any temperature that below -20C was in February 2021 when Braemar in Aberdeenshire was measured at -23C.

Meghan speaks of devastation after death of rescue dog Guy

8 January 2025 at 12:27
Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex A handout photo shows the Duke and Duchess of Sussex with their late dog, Guy. The two are seen leaning together as the dog pokes his head between their shoulders and looks towards the camera. Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex

The Duchess of Sussex has said she is "devastated" following the death of her dog, Guy.

In a post on Instagram, Meghan said had "cried too many tears to count" over the dog's passing and thanked him for "so many years of unconditional love".

The duchess said she had adopted the beagle from an animal rescue in Canada in 2015 and that he had been "with me for everything" ever since.

She did not say when the dog had died or its cause of death.

The post was accompanied by a montage of photos and video showing the duchess and her family playing with Guy.

In one, she is seen boiling fruit on a stove to make jam and telling the dog, "We're jamming, Guy". In another her husband, the Duke of Sussex, is seen running along a beach with him.

At the end, Meghan can be heard with one of the couple's children singing: "We love you Guy, yes we do".

The duchess said staff at the shelter from where she had adopted the dog "referred to him as 'the little guy' because he was so small and frail".

"So I named him 'Guy'. And he was the best guy any girl could have asked for," she said.

"He was with me at Suits, when I got engaged, (and then married), when I became a mom….

"He was with me for everything: the quiet, the chaos, the calm, the comfort."

Courtesy of Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex A handout photo shows the Duke and Duchess of Sussex with their late dog, Guy. The two are standing in a field in the middle distance with their backs to the camera. The duke's left arm is round the duchess's shoulders and the two are kissing. Guy is on a lead held by the duchess and is standing next to them. Courtesy of Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex
Guy featured in the couple's Netflix docuseries Harry & Meghan

The duchess added that Guy would feature in her upcoming Netflix series, titled With Love, Meghan.

"I hope you'll come to understand why I am so devastated by his loss. I think you may fall a little bit in love too," she said.

"I have cried too many tears to count - the type of tears that make you get in the shower with the absurd hope that the running water on your face will somehow make you not feel them, or pretend they're not there. But they are. And that's okay too.

"Thank you for so many years of unconditional love, my sweet Guy. You filled my life in ways you'll never know."

Musk's 'disinformation' endangering me, Jess Phillips tells BBC

8 January 2025 at 10:43
BBC Jess PhillipsBBC

Safeguarding minister Jess Phillips has told BBC's Newsnight that "disinformation" spread by Elon Musk was "endangering" her but that it was "nothing" compared to the experiences of victims of abuse.

The tech billionaire and adviser to US President-elect Donald Trump labelled Phillips a "rape genocide apologist" and said she should be jailed.

Asked if the threat to her own safety had gone up since his social media posts and whether protections were in place for her safety, Phillips replied "yes".

She said the experience had been "very, very, very tiring" but that she was "resigned to the lot in life that you get as a woman who fights violence against women and girls".

She added: "I'm no stranger to people who don't know what they're talking about trying to silence women like me."

Musk's intervention came in response to Phillips rejecting a request for the government to lead a public inquiry into child sexual exploitation in Oldham - which sparked calls from the Conservatives and Reform UK for a national inquiry into grooming gangs.

Her decision was taken in October but first reported by GB News at the start of the year and then picked up by Musk on his social media platform X.

Phillips defended the government's decision not to hold a national inquiry, arguing that local inquiries, such as one held in Telford, were more effective at leading to change.

Not a snowball's chance in hell Canada will join US, says Trudeau

8 January 2025 at 05:34
Reuters Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks to reporters, announcing he intends to step down as Liberal Party leaderReuters

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has hit back at Donald Trump's threat to use "economic force" to absorb Canada into the US saying there isn't "a snowball's chance in hell" to join the two.

On Tuesday, President-elect Trump reiterated his threat to bring in a 25% tariff on Canadian goods unless the country took steps to increase security on the shared US border.

Trump has in recent weeks repeatedly needled Canada about it becoming the 51st US state.

"You get rid of that artificially drawn line, and you take a look at what that looks like, and it would also be much better for national security," Trump said.

"Canada and the United States, that would really be something," he said at a press conference at his Florida residence of Mar-a Lago.

The ongoing tariff threat comes at a politically challenging time for Canada.

On Monday, an embattled Trudeau announced he was resigning, though he will stay on as prime minister until the governing Liberals elect a new leader, expected sometime by late March.

Canada's parliament has been prorogued - or suspended - until 24 March to allow time for the leadership race.

Economists warn that if Trump follows through on imposing the tariffs after he is inaugurated on 20 January, it would significantly hurt Canada's economy.

Almost C$3.6bn ($2.5bn) worth of goods and services crossed the border daily in 2023, according to Canadian government figures.

The Trudeau government has said it is considering imposing counter-tariffs if Trump follows through on the threat.

The prime minister also said on X that: "Workers and communities in both our countries benefit from being each other's biggest trading and security partner."

On Tuesday, Trump reiterated his concerns he has expressed about drugs crossing the borders of Mexico and Canada into the US.

Like Canada, Mexico faces a 25% tariff threat.

The amount of fentanyl seized at the US-Canada border is significantly lower than at the southern border, according to US data.

Canada has promised to implement a set of sweeping new security measures along the border, including strengthened surveillance and adding a joint "strike force" to target transnational organised crime.

Trump said on Tuesday he was not considering using military force to make Canada part of the United States, but raised concerns about its neighbour's military spending.

"They have a very small military. They rely on our military. It's all fine, but, you know, they got to pay for that. It's very unfair," he said.

Canada has been under pressure to increase its military spending as it continues to fall short of the target set out for Nato members.

Its defence budget currently stands at C$27bn ($19.8bn, £15.5bn), though the Trudeau government has promised that it will boost spending to almost C$50bn by 2030.

On Monday, Doug Ford, the leader of Canada's most populous province Ontario, said Trudeau must spend his remaining weeks in office working with the provinces to address Trump's threat.

"The premiers are leading the country right now," he said.

Ontario has a deep reliance on trade with the US. The province is at the heart of the highly integrated auto industry in Canada, and trade between Ontario and the US totalled more than C$493bn ($350bn) in 2023.

"My message is let's work together, let's build a stronger trade relationship - not weaken it," he said.

Reuters A close-up profile image Ontario Premier Doug Ford with provincial flags hanging in the background. Reuters

The premier warned "we will retaliate hard" if the Trump administration follows through, and highlighted the close economic ties between the two nations, including on energy.

The US relies "on Ontario for their electricity. We keep the lights on to a million and a half homes and businesses in the US", he said.

At a press conference early this week, Ford also pushed back on Trump's 51st state comments.

"I'll make him a counter-offer. How about if we buy Alaska and we throw in Minneapolis and Minnesota at the same time?" Ford said.

Heads say they face tough choices on school spending as costs rise

8 January 2025 at 11:28
Hope Rhodes / BBC Head teacher Dan Crossman standing at the school gates. He is wearing a navy coat, checked scarf and there is snow on the grass behind him.Hope Rhodes / BBC
Head teacher Dan Crossman says he faces choosing between meeting the needs of the children, or balancing the books

Head teachers say they face "difficult choices" over what their schools can afford, as a new report says they could be forced into further cuts next year.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) says costs will outpace funding for schools in 2025-26.

Schools say that means they will struggle to fund the government's proposed pay rise for teachers, as well as the support needed for children with special educational needs.

The Department for Education (DfE) said it would work with schools and local authorities to provide a "fair funding system that directs public money to where it is needed".

The IFS estimates that school funding will rise by 2.8% in the 2025-26 financial year. But Wednesday's report warns that costs are likely to rise by 3.6%, leaving schools facing tough choices.

Staff pay usually takes up the majority of a school budget. The government has suggested teachers' pay should go up by 2.8% for the school year beginning September 2025, in line with plans for school spending.

While spending on schools has grown in recent years - redressing previous cuts - the cost of supporting pupils with special educational needs and disabilities (Send) has also increased.

Marlborough St Mary's School in Wiltshire has had to find money from its existing budget to support pupils like six-year-old Thomas, who is waiting for an autism assessment.

His mum, Penny Reader, says Year One pupil Thomas loves everything about space and creatures who live under the sea.

He has one-to-one support at school, but was declined an Education, Health and Care Plan (EHCP) - which sets out a child's legal right to support and additional funding - last year. A tribunal date to appeal that decision has been set for November.

Hope Rhodes / BBC Penny and her son Thomas, sitting in a classroom. They both have blonde hair and are smiling.Hope Rhodes / BBC
Penny is waiting for an autism assessment for her son Thomas

Mrs Reader says it is "utterly insane" that the school does not get additional funding to support Thomas, who would previously hide in the classroom getting distressed and upset.

"He just couldn't cope with the other children," Mrs Reader says. "It was too noisy, too chaotic for him."

Now, Thomas loves being at school and can join in with all of his lessons, she says.

"It's just so reassuring," says Mrs Reader. "It's so lovely to see him thrive.

"Without that, Thomas wouldn't be here. That funding has made such a huge difference."

Head teacher Dan Crossman says the school is in an in-year deficit, spending more money than it has got coming in.

He says he faces a choice between meeting the needs of the children, or balancing the books.

Hope Rhodes / BBC Headteacher Dan Crossman and the school's therapy dog Woody, standing in the school's forest schoolHope Rhodes / BBC
Mr Crossman, pictured with the school's support dog Woody, says schools are facing tough decisions on spending

Additional funding to support pupils with Send often takes a long time to materialise, he says.

So, Mr Crossman employs six teaching assistants to meet the needs of children awaiting additional support, such as through an EHCP.

"It means that they are safe. It means that they are happy, and it means that they have the opportunity to learn in a mainstream school," he says.

Mr Crossman says schools face "really hard" decisions, like staff redundancies and cutting counselling services.

The school has received financial support from a private donor to set up a forest school.

But Mr Crossman says such resources should come from "core budgets" rather than private investment.

Hope Rhodes / BBC Children toast marshmallows over a fire in their forest school. They are wrapped up in their winter clothes.Hope Rhodes / BBC
The school plans to hire out its forest school to other schools in the local area, to make it financially viable

The IFS says per-pupil spending in mainstream schools rose by about 11% between 2019 and 2024, when adjusted for inflation.

But much of that increase was absorbed by the rising cost of Send provision, meaning the actual increase was only about 5%.

The new analysis comes as the government considers its spending plans for 2026 onwards.

Steve Hitchcock, head teacher of St Peter's Primary School in Devon, and the region's National Association of Head Teachers (NAHT) representative, says he has also had to come up with innovative ways to raise more money.

He says sourcing top-up funding is now a "really important part" of his role.

"Just in this last year I've managed to find £20,000 myself, which is just going out to our very generous community," he says.

The "absolutely fantastic" parent-teacher association has also raised £20,000 in the last year through sponsored challenges, film nights and discos at the school.

In the past, this money would go to "cherry-on-top" activities like play equipment. But now, it has to fund basic curriculum resources like buying paper, Mr Hitchcock says.

Steve Hitchcock Selfie photo of headteacher Steve Hitchcock. He is wearing glasses and has black hair and a beard and is smilingSteve Hitchcock
Mr Hitchcock says he cannot find money to pay for 'very important' staff pay rises

Staff costs take up 85% of the school's budget. Mr Hitchcock says pay rises are "very important" to recruit and retain staff, and to make sure it's a competitive profession.

The government's recommended 2.8% pay rise for teachers next year is being considered by the independent teacher pay review body.

Education unions have already described the proposal as being disappointingly low, but Mr Hitchcock says he does not know where he will find the extra money, even without any further increases.

"A nearly 3% pay rise is going to mean I have to find £30,000, which just isn't possible," he says.

"We were hoping desperately that this government would have a different approach to funding schools. It's going to be enormously challenging for the whole profession."

Daniel Kebede, National Education Union general secretary, says schools have "no capacity to make savings without cutting educational provision".

Julie McCulloch, from the Association of School and College Leaders, says the financial pressures facing the sector are a "death by a thousand cuts".

"Schools and colleges have been expected to absorb relentless financial pressures over the past 15 years, and they have done an incredible job in minimising the impact on students," she added. "But we cannot go on like this."

The Department for Education said school funding will increase to almost £63.9bn in the next financial year, including £1bn for children and young people with high needs.

A spokesperson said the government is "determined to fix the foundations of the education system".

Additional reporting by Hope Rhodes.

Hundreds rescued as search for quake survivors continues in Tibet

8 January 2025 at 13:57
Getty Images Buildings and a monastery in Shigatse city, against a backdrop of green mountainsGetty Images
The region, which lies on a major fault line, is home to frequent seismic activity

At least 32 people have been confirmed dead after a major earthquake struck China's mountainous Tibet region on Tuesday morning, Chinese state media reported.

The earthquake that hit Tibet's holy Shigatse city around 09:00 local time (01:00 GMT) had a magnitude of 7.1 and a depth of 10 kilometres (six miles), according to data from the US Geological Survey, which also showed a series of aftershocks in the area.

Tremors were also felt in neighbouring Nepal and parts of India.

Earthquakes are common in the region, which lies on a major geological fault line.

Shigatse is considered one of the holiest cities of Tibet. It is the traditional seat of the Panchen Lama, a key figure of Tibetan Buddhism whose spiritual authority is second only to the Dalai Lama.

Chinese state media reported the earthquake as having a slightly lesser magnitude of 6.8, causing "obvious" tremors and leading to the collapse of many houses.

Social media posts show collapsing buildings and there have been several strong aftershocks.

"After a major earthquake, there is always a gradual attenuation process," Jiang Haikun, a researcher at the China Earthquake Networks Center, told CCTV.

While another earthquake of around magnitude 5 may still occur, Jiang said, "the likelihood of a larger earthquake is low".

The Chinese air force has launched rescue efforts and drones to the affected area, which sits at the foot of Mount Everest and where temperatures are well below freezing.

Both power and water in the region have been cut off.

While tremors were felt in Nepal, no damage or casualties were reported, a local official in Nepal's Namche region, near Everest, told AFP.

Tibet's earthquake bureau told the BBC on Tuesday that they were unable to provide estimates on casualties as they were still verifying the numbers.

The region, which lies on a major fault line where the Indian and Eurasian tectonic plates collided, is home to frequent seismic activity. In 2015, a 7.8 magnitude earthquake near Kathmandu, the capital of Nepal, killed nearly 9,000 people and injured over 20,000.

Keeper charged after elephant gores tourist to death

8 January 2025 at 12:51
Getty Images An elephant sprays water on a tourist during an elephant bathing activity at the beach on Koh Chang Island. Riding an elephant is not illegal in Thailand, as the mahout stands by Getty Images
There are nearly 3,000 elephants in Thailand's tourists attractions

Thai police have charged a mahout after an elephant in his care gored a Spanish tourist to death last week.

Theerayut Inthaphudkij, 38, was charged with negligence causing death, local authorities said Monday.

The tourist - 22-year-old Blanca Ojanguren García - was bathing the elephant at the Koh Yao Elephant Care Centre in southern Thailand when she was attacked by the animal.

This has renewed concerns over Thailand's booming elephant tourism industry, which animal rights groups have long criticised as unethical and dangerous.

Activists say that elephant bathing is disruptive to natural grooming behaviours and could injure the animals, exposing them to unnecessary stress.

After the attack, experts weighed in to say that the elephant might have been stressed because of the interaction with tourists.

García sustained a head injury - and later died in the hospital - after the elephant, 45-year-old female Phang Somboon, pushed her with its tusk. Her boyfriend, who was travelling with her, witnessed the attack.

There are nearly 3,000 elephants held in tourist attractions across Thailand, according to an estimate by international charity World Animal Protection.

People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (Peta) told the BBC in a statement that "such incidents highlight the dangers to both humans and animals alike."

"Any 'sanctuary' that allows humans to touch, feed, bathe, or closely interact with elephants in any way is no place of refuge for elephants and puts the lives of tourists and animals in critical danger," said Peta senior vice president Jason Baker.

Similar charges of negligence have previously been pressed against mahouts whose elephants killed tourists.

In 2017, an elephant camp owner and a mahout were charged with recklessness causing death and injuries after an elephant killed a Chinese tour guide and injured two tourists in the Thai beach town, Pattaya. In 2013, a 27-year-old elephant had its tusks cut after it attacked and killed a woman.

García, a law and international relations student at Spain's University of Navarra, was living in Taiwan as part of a student exchange programme. She and her boyfriend arrived in Thailand on 26 December 2024.

Spain's foreign minister, Jose Manuel Albares, said the Spanish consulate in Bangkok was assisting García's family.

Additional reporting by Kelly Ng

How Bodyguards Are Keeping South Korea’s President Yoon From Detention

8 January 2025 at 16:00
President Yoon Suk Yeol’s security service stopped an effort to detain him on insurrection charges and has vowed to do so again. Its roots are in the era of military dictatorships.

© Chang W. Lee/The New York Times

Security personnel at the Seoul residence of Yoon Suk Yeol, the suspended president of South Korea. Mr. Yoon was impeached after a short-lived martial law declaration last month.

台海开战将引发经济危机,美国尚未做好准备

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台海开战将引发经济危机,美国尚未做好准备

EYCK FREYMANN, HUGO BROMLEY
2022年,一名台湾军人。
2022年,一名台湾军人。 Lam Yik Fei for The New York Times
12月,中国在台湾周边海域举行了近30年来规模最大的军事演习,凸显出美中关系全面破裂的风险日益增大。全面入侵台湾是可能发生的;2023年,中情局局长威廉·伯恩斯指出,中国国家主席习近平指示中国军队做好在2027年前入侵台湾的准备。
那不是习近平唯一的选择。他可以利用其规模大得多的海岸警卫队和军队实施“隔离”,只允许商船和商业航空公司按照中国的条件进出台湾。这一战略将与北京在南海的行动如出一辙,在那里,中国海警正试图控制属于美国条约盟友菲律宾的水域和环礁。
中国声称台湾是自己的领土,如果中国在台湾问题上强行展开对抗,美国将需要做出果断反应:其影响是巨大的,可能包括一场比新冠大流行造成的冲击更为严重的全球经济危机。
现在,美国还没有准备好。
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正如众议院小组去年的一份报告所总结的那样:“面对与中国发生冲突的经济和金融影响,美国缺乏应急计划。”
这种缺乏准备必须成为两党优先考虑的问题。新一届政府必须与国会和盟国政府合作,制定一项明确的计划,以美国的经济领导地位为基础,清楚地勾勒出危机期间和危机后全球经济的愿景。
最明显的经济影响与半导体有关。台积电生产了世界上90%的最先进的计算机芯片。有些芯片目前在亚利桑那州生产,但该公司最尖端的芯片仍在台湾生产。从汽车到医疗设备等行业都依赖于这些芯片;如果台湾的芯片生产陷入瘫痪,全球经济将陷入严重衰退。如果台积电的工厂落入中国手中——中国也同样依赖台积电的芯片——北京可能会夺取竞争优势,包括在人工智能技术的发展方面,令美国和欧洲的制造商只能听从摆布。
但是,入侵或隔离台湾的经济意义远不止于半导体生产。有两项承诺构成了印太地区经济秩序的基础:首先是美国在1979年的《台湾关系法》中警告,任何威胁台湾政治或经济自主权的暴力行动都将是美国“严重关切”的问题。其次是中国在1982年承诺通过和平手段实现与台湾的统一,习近平本人将此称为中美关系政治基础的一部分。
如果美国未能对入侵或隔离采取行动,包括日本、韩国、澳大利亚和菲律宾在内的盟国将更容易受到经济胁迫的影响。美国与其最亲密盟友的关系将受到质疑。
因此,美国需要为任何台湾危机制定经济应急计划。
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美国对伊朗和俄罗斯实施的经济制裁从表面上看似乎很有吸引力,但由于中国在全球供应链中的核心地位,类似的破坏中国贸易能力的措施将会弄巧成拙。
事实上对中国实施全面制裁会破坏国际经济体系,而国际经济体系正是美国所要保护的。盟国和中立国家都可能拒绝与美国主导的制裁机制合作,因为遵守制裁会给本国经济带来巨大损失。许多美国人会觉得消费品价格可能上涨是难以承受的。
我们的领导人必须面对现实:中国不能被边缘化,也不能被逐出全球经济。相反,美国需要一个积极的愿景——在台湾危机中如何应对,以捍卫全球经济。这样一个计划涉及三个关键要素。
任何台湾危机发生期间和之后,市场都将处于恐慌状态。美联储将需要与其他国家的央行协调提供流动性,以防止全球金融崩溃。为了维持企业对国际贸易体系的信心,美国及其盟国应该建立并资助一个经济安全合作委员会,向除流氓国家以外的所有国家开放。该委员会将把对成员国的财政支持与一个执行以美国国家安全利益为基础的贸易政策的框架结合起来。
华盛顿还必须与盟友合作,将美国和其他国家严重依赖的关键产品的生产迅速转移到中国以外的地方,包括活性药物成分和无人机等等。(去年9月,众议院通过了《生物安全法案》,目标是在生物技术领域与中国进行战略脱钩,但该法案在参议院陷入停滞。)
为了减少对来自中国的非关键消费品——烤面包机和玩具之类——的依赖,美国应该采取循序渐进的方法。对中国进口商品征收可预测的、逐步提高的关税,可以引导制造商、进口商和零售商将生产转移出中国,同时不会造成突然的通胀压力,这与特朗普提议的威胁立即征收高关税以换取让步的做法不同。华盛顿不应该试图指导非关键商品的生产。相反,它应该努力创造一个公平的竞争环境,允许各国竞相吸引从中国转移出去的生产业务。
广告
实现这一愿景并非易事。中国很可能会进行报复,包括惩罚在华的外国公司。尽管如此,建立一个包容性的经济安全框架将是抵御贸易和金融市场中断威胁的最佳防御。为了维护国际团结,以美国为首的联盟需要援助所有成为中国经济胁迫目标的国家。
为这类支出而获得政治上的支持并非易事。合理的第一步应该是国会就台湾问题的对抗所带来的经济影响举行听证会,最终目标是起草在危机来临时可以立即生效的法律。
无论答案是什么,华盛顿需要在事情发生之前解决这些问题。请记住:如果中国入侵或隔离台湾,它的目标不仅仅是这一个岛国。它将试图强行重塑印太地区秩序,破坏以规则为基础的全球经济。如果没有计划,台湾危机有可能破坏美国繁荣与安全的基础。

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Men on secret 1970s pro-paedophile list could still work with children today

8 January 2025 at 14:02
BBC Designed image showing the edge of the pink cover leaf that came with the list, glimpses of membership sheets with numbers showing, and a dark shadowy figure with hues of brown and orange.BBC

A secret list of more than 300 people who belonged to a network that called publicly for the legalisation of sex with children has been handed to the BBC.

A small number of those named on the list may still have contact with children through paid work or volunteering, the BBC has discovered.

They were all members of a group called the Paedophile Information Exchange (PIE).

The Metropolitan Police had the list for about 20 years from the late 1970s, a BBC Radio 4 podcast team has been told.

Spread across several dozen pages, with a pink cover page added by police in the early 1980s, the typed list contains 316 names - all but a handful men, most with addresses alongside.

Most PIE members were based in the UK - but there are also details of people in other parts of western Europe, Australia and the US.

The BBC has established that a small number of the men are still alive and may currently be in contact with, or have care of, children through paid work or volunteering. The BBC has found no evidence any of them has carried out abuse.

The Met told us it was unable to provide specific information about its historical investigations into the Paedophile Information Exchange - but will still investigate crimes if sufficient evidence exists and alleged perpetrators are still alive.

PIE was formed in 1974 - when the country was going through rapid transformative social change. Its leaders sought to further their cause by attempting to align themselves with feminist, anti-racist and gay rights movements. It was not an illegal organisation and cost £4 a year to join, and to receive its members' magazine.

Over a decade, PIE spokesmen gave interviews to the media arguing that adults and children had a human right to have sex with each other. Four years old, they argued, was an age at which most children could give consent.

However, while PIE's leaders may have been happy to speak publicly, the names of rank-and-file members were very much kept secret.

Example page of a list of some of the names - blacked out - with locations and membership numbers highlighted. For example: USA 392, London W6 not known, Amersham Buckinghamshire 92, Harrow Middlesex 353, Portsmouth Hampshire 206, Hartlepool 154

The list - and dozens of other documents relating to PIE members - were given to the BBC team and journalist Alex Renton, who has written extensively about historical institutional child sexual abuse and presents the BBC podcast, In Dark Corners.

We then searched for the names in media archives, crime reports and death register listings from the past 50 years.

They found records or further information for 45% of the people on the list - with a reasonable degree of certainty - and discovered that half of them had been convicted or cautioned (or had been charged and died before trial) for sexual offences against children. Charges included distributing abuse images, kidnap and rape.

Of the small number of men who may still be in contact with children professionally, none has any criminal conviction that the BBC has been able to find - meaning they could have passed in-depth background checks when applying for jobs.

Those men are part of a wider group of nearly 70 on the list, who the BBC team has identified as having been in work likely to bring them into contact with minors.

Teachers make up half that group - work addresses are typed alongside some of the names on the list. The rest include social workers, sports coaches, youth workers, doctors, clergy, lay preachers and military officers involved in youth activities.

The podcast team tried to contact all those people still alive and working - most of whom are believed to be living in the UK.

One claimed his name was on the list because of PIE's links in the 1970s with a gay youth support group.

A second admitted he had been a member, but only because he had agreed with PIE that the disparity in the age of consent laws was unjust. Men in England and Wales had to be 21 to have sex with other men prior to 1994 - when the legal age was lowered to 18. Six years later it was reduced to 16, in line with straight sex. The man told the BBC he was not and never had been a paedophile.

A third man, currently teaching children in a private school outside of the UK, refused to speak any further after PIE was mentioned to him.

No-one else has so far responded to approaches by the BBC.

The BBC team obtained the PIE list from a former senior social worker - Peter McKelvie - who handed over a shopping bag full of historical documents, letters, internal memos and old newspaper cuttings spanning three decades.

Through his work, Mr McKelvie had started seeing connections between child abusers in the information he collected through his work - but gradually became frustrated about the abilities of police or social services to stop paedophile networks.

The PIE list came into his possession in 1998. Until then, for about 20 years, it had been in the hands of the Metropolitan Police's Obscene Publications Unit, known internally as "The Dirty Squad".

Top down image looking at the pink front cover sheet on the PIE list that Dave Flanagan added when he was in the Met Police. The cover reads in felt tip pen "PIE list - 1983-84". There is a crumpled brown envelope behind, with a red Royal Mail stamp, that reads "Copy of PIE list inside".
Det Con Dave Flanagan says he added the pink cover sheet when he and his team worked on the list in the early 1980s

The former officer who handed it over, Dave Flanagan, told the BBC he believed the list may originally have been seized in a police raid in the late 1970s.

The document given to the BBC has scribbled notes in the margins - and Mr Flanagan, a detective constable at the time, says he wrote some of them.

He also attached and dated the pink cover page - as he and colleagues added more up-to-date PIE intelligence during the 1980s.

Police raided plenty of people on the list, he says - but, on its own, it was unusable as information for a search warrant.

"You couldn't go in front of a magistrate and say: 'Look, we believe he's a paedophile. We believe there'll be indecent photographs of children because he's on the PIE list.'"

Legally, being a member of a pro-paedophile group didn't make someone a sex offender.

Police did manage to close in on PIE in the early 1980s - focusing on three senior members who all had links to contact adverts in the members' magazine, Magpie.

The men were prosecuted under a 17th Century law of "conspiracy to corrupt public morals". Two received conditional discharges, while the third was jailed for two years.

Publicly, PIE ceased to exist in 1984.

Dave Flanagan says his team's detective work on the membership list also ground to a halt.

"Information was passed to other police forces and they did what they did with it - we had no control over any of that."

The BBC understands the PIE list was digitised in 1994 by a police team that no longer exists. The National Crime Agency, which was formed in 2013 and whose officers deal with child abuse cases, told us it has "no knowledge of receiving the [digitised] list".

Dave Flanagan kept the original in his briefcase until he retired in 1998, when he handed it to Peter McKelvie.

Mr McKelvie told the BBC that over the past 30 years he had pushed police, a Labour MP and a Conservative government minister to look at PIE members linked to social services and special schools, but without success.

He wrote to the Department of Health in 1993 outlining his concerns. His letter began: "The infiltration of the social work profession by paedophiles appears to be an extensive and serious problem..."

Image of letter Peter McKelvie write to the Department of Health in May 1993. We have highlighted the words: "It has become apparent that there may be a co-ordinated network of professionals at every level who are involved in the abuse of children... The traffic of children about the country as they are passed from the hands of one set of abusers to another is especially worrying."

He suggested the formation of a specialist team of social workers and police to track down every member of PIE working in social care. The letter got no response, he says.

The Department for Health and Social Care told the BBC it could not comment on "individual historic cases".

On Monday, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper said those who cover up or fail to report child sexual abuse could face professional or criminal sanctions under a new offence to be introduced this year.

The proposal was one of 20 recommendations made by Prof Alexis Jay following her seven-year inquiry into child sex abuse, which concluded in 2022. The Independent Inquiry Child Sexual Abuse (IICSA) was set up in response to concerns that some organisations had failed to protect children.

In a statement, Det Supt Nicola Franklin, from the Met's Central Specialist Command, said the force was "committed to tackling" paedophilia, "an abhorrent crime".

"If anyone has information that should be shared with police we would urge them to do so. Despite the passage of time, we will still investigate provided sufficient evidence exists to do so and the perpetrator is still alive."

Reporting team: Alex Renton, Caitlin Smith, Gillian Wheelan

Meghan 'devastated' after death of rescue dog

8 January 2025 at 12:27
Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex A handout photo shows the Duke and Duchess of Sussex with their late dog, Guy. The two are seen leaning together as the dog pokes his head between their shoulders and looks towards the camera. Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex

The Duchess of Sussex has said she is "devastated" following the death of her dog, Guy.

In a post on Instagram, Meghan said had "cried too many tears to count" over the dog's passing and thanked him for "so many years of unconditional love".

The duchess said she had adopted the beagle from an animal rescue in Canada in 2015 and that he had been "with me for everything" ever since.

She did not say when the dog had died or its cause of death.

The post was accompanied by a montage of photos and video showing the duchess and her family playing with Guy.

In one, she is seen boiling fruit on a stove to make jam and telling the dog, "We're jamming, Guy". In another her husband, the Duke of Sussex, is seen running along a beach with him.

At the end, Meghan can be heard with one of the couple's children singing: "We love you Guy, yes we do".

The duchess said staff at the shelter from where she had adopted the dog "referred to him as 'the little guy' because he was so small and frail".

"So I named him 'Guy'. And he was the best guy any girl could have asked for," she said.

"He was with me at Suits, when I got engaged, (and then married), when I became a mom….

"He was with me for everything: the quiet, the chaos, the calm, the comfort."

Courtesy of Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex A handout photo shows the Duke and Duchess of Sussex with their late dog, Guy. The two are standing in a field in the middle distance with their backs to the camera. The duke's left arm is round the duchess's shoulders and the two are kissing. Guy is on a lead held by the duchess and is standing next to them. Courtesy of Prince Harry and Meghan, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex
Guy featured in the couple's Netflix docuseries Harry & Meghan

The duchess added that Guy would feature in her upcoming Netflix series, titled With Love, Meghan.

"I hope you'll come to understand why I am so devastated by his loss. I think you may fall a little bit in love too," she said.

"I have cried too many tears to count - the type of tears that make you get in the shower with the absurd hope that the running water on your face will somehow make you not feel them, or pretend they're not there. But they are. And that's okay too.

"Thank you for so many years of unconditional love, my sweet Guy. You filled my life in ways you'll never know."

“取消公摊”之后:销售更透明,但契税、物业费没变

取消公摊后,衡阳市多家中介均表示购房总价不会变。

一楼盘工作人员表示,现在肇庆市新房总价是不变,但会有按建筑面积和套内面积计价两种方式,“套内面积比较小,因而单价会更高”。

无论取消公摊已有23年的重庆,还是落地8个多月的肇庆,均没有改变契税、物业费等仍按建筑面积计算的模式。

南方周末特约撰稿 周倩欣

责任编辑:张玥

取消公摊后,衡阳市多家中介均表示购房总价不会变。视觉中国/图

取消公摊后,衡阳市多家中介均表示购房总价不会变。视觉中国/图

每当有取消公摊的信息放出,总能一石激起千层浪。

2024年12月12日,湖南省衡阳市发布通知,自2025年1月1日起,在全市实行商品房按套内建筑面积计价销售。五天后,河北省张家口市发布政策鼓励实行“现房销售”,逐步推进取消公摊。很快,话题“多地官宣取消公摊”登上微博热搜榜。

2024年以来,广东省肇庆市、湖南省湘潭市也出台了取消公摊相关政策。更早一些,2023年安徽省合肥市提出“积极探索商品房销售按套内面积计价”。而“公摊”的起源地香港,在2013年取消了公摊,重庆早在2002年就探索了取消公摊。(详见2023年南方周末报道《合肥“取消公摊”?重庆已经试了21年,香港更彻底

近两年,取消公摊的城市,落地效果如何?对当地房价产生了怎样的影响?

购房“所见即所得”

行至小区楼栋的一楼,沿着外墙边缘画上一圈,这个圈起来的图形就是该栋一层的建筑面积,乘以楼层则是这栋楼总的建筑面积。

这个算法不精确,但很好地展示了何为建筑面积。建筑面积,包含了每个单元住户的套内面积和公摊面积。而公摊面积,一般包括电梯井、管道井、楼梯间、变电室、设备间、公共门厅、过道、值班警卫室、共用墙体以及整栋建筑的共有房屋和管理房屋等。

1995年,建设部颁布《商品房销售面积计算及公用建筑面积分摊规则》,“公摊面积”从中国香港进入内地。此后,内地商品房实行按建筑面积计价销售,其中包含的公摊面积因测算透明度低而饱受诟病。

根据湖南省衡阳市自然资源和规划局、衡阳市住房和城乡建设局、衡阳市发展和改革委员会联合发布的《关于全市商品房销售实行套内建筑面积计价的通知》,2025年1月1日起,湖南省衡阳市商品房销售实行套内建筑面积计价。

上海易居房地产研究院副院长严跃进对南方周末表示,取消公摊的准确含义,不是要取消公摊这类建筑形态,而是“住房销售环节取消公摊”,让购房者“所见即所得”,清楚地知道所购房产的实用面积。

取消公摊后,衡阳楼市发生了什么变化?

2025年1月3日,衡阳资深房产中介老刘形

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校对:星歌

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

中国公益慈善2024年十大进展与2025年五大趋势

2024年中国公益慈善事业在政策体系、组织发展、捐赠形式、技术赋能、区域探索等均取得不同程度进展。2025年,随着公益慈善的价值提升和结构调整,呈现出五大发展趋势。

北京师范大学中国公益研究院慈善研究中心

责任编辑:钟金秀

2024年,“支持发展公益慈善事业”被写入中共二十届三中全会通过的《中共中央关于进一步全面深化改革 推进中国式现代化的决定》,体现了党中央对公益慈善事业的高度重视。修改后的《慈善法》正式施行,中国慈善法律政策体系进一步完善,志愿服务、慈善信托、慈善捐赠取得不同程度的进展;应急慈善、社区慈善和个人求助有法可依,取得重要进展;互联网技术继续赋能慈善创新;慈善区域合作和国际交流深化。展望2025年,慈善事业进入价值提升和结构调整期,呈现五大趋势。

2024年十大进展

进展一:多层次法律政策体系日益完善

2024年9月5日,修改后的《中华人民共和国慈善法》正式施行。新修改的《慈善组织公开募捐管理办法》和《慈善组织认定办法》,以及新制定的《个人求助网络服务平台管理办法》三个配套政策亦同时施行。12月24日,民政部发布《基金会管理条例(修订稿)》,公开征求社会意见。

近5年来,我国慈善法制建设取得较大突破,国家和地方层面共出台慈善相关法律法规、政策文件400多份,多层次法律政策体系基本建立,为促进慈善事业高质量发展提供法治保障。在修改后的《慈善法》施行后,贵州和吉林两省省级慈善条例也开始施行。据不完全统计,2016至2024年,已有江苏、山东、山西、湖北、上海、重庆、吉林、贵州等8个省份颁布了慈善条例(或慈善事业促进条例),浙江、安徽、江西、陕西、湖南5省颁布了实施《中华人民共和国慈善法》的办法,北京、福建、河北3地出台了慈善事业促进办法(或促进慈善事业若干规定)。

在慈善信托方面,2024年11月15日,民政部会同财政部、税务总局、金融监管总局,就《慈善信托年度支出和管理费用的规定》公开征求意见,旨在规范年度支出和管理费用的比例标准。北京、上海、天津、广东、江苏、山东等6个省份近年来也陆续出台地方政策,规范慈善信托的设立、运行、变更、终止等流程管理与指引。

进展二:志愿服务组织和队伍建设加强

2024年4月12日,中共中央办公厅、国务院办公厅印发《关于健全新时代志愿服务体系的意见》(简称《意见》),为志愿服务事业发展提供了明确的方向指引,推动志愿服务向更加规范化、系统化、专业化方向发展。司法部、生态环境部、文化和旅游部等部门相继制定本领域志愿服务发展支持政策以贯彻《意见》的实施。江苏、宁夏、北京、内蒙古等多地先后出台了健全新时代志愿服务体系意见方面的措施,通过提供制度支撑与组织保障促进志愿服务持续健康发展。

据中国志愿服务网数据显示,截至2025年1月3日,我国实名注册志愿者2.38亿人,各类志愿团队达135万个,志愿项目总数1281万个,覆盖文化、文艺、体育、医疗、环保、法律等多个领域。志愿者队伍不仅在数量上有所增加,人才能力建设也不断加强。9月3日,全国志愿服务重点行业领域和重点项目实施示范培训班在广西南宁开班。各地也积极开展志愿服务人才常态化培训活动,提升志愿服务人才的专业素养。

进展三:亿元捐赠形式多样

2024年,爱心个人和企业以现金捐赠、物资捐赠、股权捐赠、服务捐赠等方式,踊跃支持各类慈善活动的开展。据不完全统计,2024年亿元以上的大额捐赠共33次,善款总额127亿元。

捐赠的财产类型多样,包括现金、股票、物资、服务等。其中,现金类大额捐赠金额最多,接下来依次为股票类、物资类和服务类捐赠。杭州骋风而来数字科技有限公司向浙江大学捐赠价值1亿元的算力服务,开创我国新质生产力捐赠的先河。

2024年大额捐赠的投入方向主要聚焦教育,同时集中在医疗、乡村振兴、文化、环保等领域。11月18日,比亚迪董事长王传福宣布将捐赠30亿元设立慈善基金,投入教育事业,为本年度规模最大的一次慈善捐赠。韦尔股份董事长虞仁荣在年内2次分别捐赠价值15.12亿元和27.99亿元的股票,支持创建宁波东方理工大学。

捐赠主体类型多元,包括比亚迪、蚂蚁集团、茅台集团等大型企业,虞仁荣、段永平、关杰初夫妇、许书典家族等爱心人士和家族,北京小米公益基金会、宁夏燕宝慈善基金会等慈善组织。值得注意的是,香港赛马会、邵氏基金会、印尼国信集团等香港及海外华侨华人主体,心怀大陆慈善事业发展,皆在年内发起亿元以上捐赠。 

进展四:慈善信托县级备案范围扩大

2024年,慈善信托总体保持稳健发展态势。截至2024年12月27日,全国新增备案506单,较2023年(454单)增加52单;新增备案财产规模11.41亿元,较2023年(12.77亿元)略有下降。从地域来看,浙江省新备案的慈善信托数量最多,达169单;其次为广东省和北京市,分别为48单和41单。北京市新备案财产规模最大,为3.13亿元,其次为广东省和浙江省,分别为3.02亿元和1.53亿元。

近年来,越来越多的县级民政部门开始接受慈善信托备案。2024年北京市海淀区民政局和上海市浦东新区民政局首次备案慈善信托。目前已有浙江、广东、陕西、四川、安徽、上海、北京、河北、江苏、青海、重庆等11个省份落地县级慈善信托。值得注意的是,浙江省温州市瓯海区成立了全国首家专门开展慈善信托服务的慈善组织——温州市瓯海区善家慈善信托服务中心,旨在破解外地信托机构在本地县级民政部门备案的难题。该中心作为联合受托人,已备案7单慈善信托,财产规模为181.5万元。

2024年共有3单亿元规模、21单千万元规模的慈善信托,大额慈善信托数量较2023年(亿元1单、千万元21单)略有上升。75.1%的新备案慈善信托财产规模在10万元到1000万元之间(百万元126单、千万元254单)。万元和万元以下规模的慈善信托分别有95单和7单。

新备案的无固定期限和永续型慈善信托数量出现较大增长,分别由2023年的211单和43单,增长至2024年的223单和60单。在期限设置方面,越来越多的慈善信托倾向于灵活期限或长期限的设计。

进展五:生成式AI赋能多领域公益

2024年,随着生成式AI的兴起,该技术也被应用在公益慈善的多个领域。互联网平台在网络募捐、技术产品等方面持续赋能公益行业发展。

AI 技术在公益领域的应用已经取得了不少成果,包括在野生动物保护与研究、医疗诊断、文物修复、寻人等领域的应用。今年,生成式AI的兴起为科技公益的发展带来了新的机遇,多款生成式AI产品在不同公益领域得以应用。如赋能行业,专业协助公益从业者日常工作的阿里巴巴“AI公益小蜜”;支持医疗,聚焦健康管理、患者服务、临床诊疗辅助以及医学科研四大领域的医疗大模型“大医”;服务老年人群体,在“银杏时光”公益项目中帮助认知障碍老人进行记忆训练的“豆包”AI;助力乡村教育,激发乡村儿童创造力的快手“可灵”AI等。

在互联网公益方面,以腾讯公益、阿里巴巴公益、字节跳动公益为代表的互联网平台在网络募捐与技术公益创新方面继续发挥积极作用。在9月公益活动热潮中,各大互联网公益平台通过独具特色的公益活动,不仅为众多公益项目募集到可观的款物,更在全社会范围内营造了积极参与公益、奉献爱心的良好氛围。腾讯公益“久久公益节”通过“摇一摇”“点个赞”等多元方式吸引公众募款,公益节期间参与互动人次达到7.1亿。阿里巴巴公益在“95公益周”期间尝试创新公益直播模式,前后带动了2.2亿人参与支持多个乡村公益议题。字节跳动公益平台发起“dou爱公益日”活动,吸引3093位抖音创作者、521家公益机构加入,助力1075个公益项目,通过短视频形式提高了公益的透明度、增加了互动性,带动1250万用户一起做好事。

进展六:个人求助规范化发展

2024年,对个人求助网络服务平台的管理有了明确的法律依据,使个人网络求助在更规范化的运作方式下对我国多层次医疗保障体系起到积极的补充作用。

根据艾瑞咨询发布的《中国大病网络众筹用户调研报告》,与世界主要发达国家相比,中国内地居民医疗支出个人自付比例约43%,居民就医负担较重。在这一背景下,个人求助网络服务平台能够对缓解大病患者经济负担起到积极作用。以水滴筹为例,截至2024年9月,平台累计筹款金额达663亿元,有超过4.66亿爱心人士通过水滴筹平台捐款,帮助超过332万大病患者。

在2024年以前,对于个人求助网络服务平台的管理仅有行业自律公约,因此实践中也存在一些乱象,如求助信息不实,甚至有不法分子通过伪造求助平台获利。2023年,慈善法的修改对求助人和信息发布人、网络服务平台等主体的权利义务做出规范要求。2024年9月5日,修改的慈善法正式施行,同日《个人求助网络服务平台管理办法》(简称《管理办法》)公布施行,对个人网络求助做出了更明确的规定,为网络个人求助发展提供了有力的法律保障。10月14日,民政部发布了《关于遴选个人求助网络服务平台的公告》,并在12月16日公示了拟指定的个人求助网络服务平台名单。通过公示期后,相关平台仍要依据《管理办法》开展服务并规范平台使用者的相关活动。 

进展七:应急慈善政社协同深化

2024年,新修订的《突发事件应对法》正式施行,明确鼓励社会力量参与突发事件应对,为应急慈善领域政社协同发展奠定了法律基础。在此背景下,应急慈善政社协同在救灾物资保障和救援方面取得新进展。同时,更多慈善组织关注防减灾与韧性社区建设。

在物资保障方面,2024年汛期,国家防灾减灾救灾委员会和应急管理部多次启动应急物资政社协同保障机制,协调部分基金会向灾区援助物资共约150万份。2024年11月,国家防灾减灾救灾委员会办公室印发《关于进一步强化救灾物资管理工作的通知》,正式提出要建立应急物资政社协同保障机制,鼓励企业和社会组织等按需开展救灾捐赠。

在救援协同方面,7月,在应对南方地区强降雨过程中,应急管理部引导社会应急力量261支7100余人,参与人员搜救、堤防巡查和物资分发等工作,转移安置受灾群众1.6万余人。10月,应急管理部印发《社会应急力量分类分级测评实施办法(试行)》,规范社会应急力量建设,助力提升整体救援效能。

慈善力量参与灾害响应的工作前移,愈发重视基层防减灾能力建设。2023年底积石山地震后,多家慈善组织在当地开展提升防减灾能力的项目或培训,如深圳壹基金公益基金会的“安全家园”、中国乡村发展基金的“应急小站”和“校园减灾教室项目”、中国红十字基金会的“社会救援力量保障提升计划”、爱德基金会的“喇叭地震预警生命守护工程”和北京恒善公益基金会的“积石山县乡村应急能力建设培训”等。2024年8月-12月,腾讯公益慈善基金会启动“云南数字备灾与韧性社区建设项目”和“爱心云备灾项目”北京和广东试点,通过发放数字爱心券,助力韧性社区建设。

进展八:社区慈善进入快速推进期

2024年,社区慈善基金进入快速推进阶段。据不完全统计,截至2024年10月,重庆、山东、四川、湖北、海南和江西6个省份已出台社区慈善基金发展指引,通过规范社区慈善基金运作来促进社区慈善发展。山东、四川、安徽、江苏、湖南、湖北、广东7省份在全省范围内设立的社区慈善基金数量均超过1000支。辽宁、黑龙江2省份首次设立社区慈善基金。山东首次公布100支“金种子”社区慈善基金,对优秀的社区慈善基金进行表彰。

“幸福家园”村社互助工程由中华慈善总会联合全国各地慈善会于2020年9月4日启动实施,为全国所有社区设立具备互联网筹款功能的冠名基金。截至2024年12月25日,共激活全国各地村社53067个,累计筹款超21.78亿元,超207.75万人次献爱心。

社区慈善对新就业群体的关注进一步提升。2024年,辽宁、海南、重庆等地出台相关政策,鼓励打造新就业群体友好社区,为外卖员、快递员等提供暖心驿站、暖心食堂等便利服务。截至2024年9月,中国物业管理协会联合美团在全国各地共建近600个骑手友好社区。北京朝阳区、上海长宁区、广州白云区、青岛黄岛区和兰州新区等多地均为新就业群体设立了慈善暖心驿站。 

进展九:多个区域探索“慈善一体化”

2024年,长三角、京津冀、粤港澳大湾区持续推进引领区域慈善协同发展,丝路沿线省份也开启了区域化慈善协同发展的探索。

长三角区域在慈善协同发展领域已有多年经验。2024年,在过往实践基础上,长三角慈善一体化加强了理论研究,在10月的长三角慈善一体化会长联席会议上由各成员单位共同发起设立“长三角公益慈善发展报告”研究项目,探索如何更好发挥长三角慈善一体化引领示范和辐射带动作用。

京津冀地区按照2023年签署的《京津冀慈善事业协同发展合作框架协议》,联合推出了“十大协同发展合作示范项目”和“百个资源互助项目”,推动京津冀慈善事业高质量发展。发布首批社会支持签约名单,三地共同探索区域协同慈善资源的创新合作方式。

粤港澳大湾区充分发挥平台交流作用。6月28日,粤港澳大湾区“一老一小”社会服务创新交流会在广州南沙举办,探讨大湾区社会福利和公益创新发展方向和路径。下半年,广州粤港澳大湾区社会组织合作发展中心、粤港澳大湾区(南沙)社会组织合作创新基地联合举办了两期“粤港澳大湾区社会服务公益伙伴学习营”,通过实地参访港澳社会服务机构、与港澳学者和资深实务专家展开对话等多种方式,加强慈善专业人才的培养,并促进慈善组织之间的协同合作。

丝路沿线省份也开始了区域慈善协同的积极探索。10月,首届“丝路慈善大会”在银川举办,以“丝路共善,东西协同”为主题,聚焦公益金融、乡村振兴与东西部均衡发展。

进展十:慈善国际交流稳步深化

2024年,我国慈善国际交流稳步推进,在亚洲构建慈善生态,与非洲深化合作,国际影响力持续增强。

在亚洲交流方面,9月,香港国际慈善论坛宣布启动亚洲公益慈善研究计划,为期3年,计划与10家亚洲顶尖基金会合作,构建“植根亚洲、惠泽亚洲”的慈善生态系统。11月,第二届亚洲公益论坛聚焦“多元合作、永续发展”,来自18个国家和地区的公益慈善组织以及24个国际组织的近400名中外嘉宾,共同探讨交流亚洲公益发展的新趋势和新使命。

在中非合作方面,7月,第七届中非民间论坛开设公益慈善与中非减贫合作论坛。中国和平发展基金会在会上宣布未来五年将对非投入1000万元人民币,在教育公平、性别平等、消除贫困、绿色能源和人文交流等领域开展更多以人为本的公益民生项目。9月,中非合作论坛峰会召开,会上发布的《中非合作论坛—北京行动计划(2025-2027)》提出,在未来三年中方单方面支持非洲重点举措中,将深入开展“百企千村”活动,在妇幼健康、教育培训、乡村发展、清洁饮水等领域实施500个公益项目。

根据2024年10月发布的《中国民间组织国际化发展基线调研项目报告》,中国民间组织覆盖的区域从过去以东南亚和东非为主,拓展到南亚、中东、中欧等区域,实施项目的社区也正在从单点向多点扩大,超过一半的受益民众认为“中国是一个帮助我们的友好大国”。

2025年五大趋势

趋势一:慈善的功能价值融入中国式现代化建设

慈善事业进入法律政策进一步完善、监管进一步加强、行业进一步自律的高质量发展期。这也是进一步认知慈善价值、凝聚社会共识的时机。

慈善事业是中国特色社会主义事业的重要组成部分。在进一步全面深化改革、推进中国式现代化建设的大局中,公益慈善的社会和经济价值将更为凸显。

慈善是社会价值的重要载体。第一,探索社会创新。慈善力量发现社会问题,以试点或小切口探索社会问题的解决思路,采用新的技术方法,创新工作机制,进而推动系统性变革。第二,丰富精神文明。慈善服务、爱心捐赠等慈善行为,将仁爱、互助、与人为善的中国传统慈善文化价值观,与公益、利他、志愿等现代慈善理念相结合,有助于弘扬慈善文化,提升社会价值认同和文化凝聚力,丰富精神文明。第三,健全社会治理体系。通过社会组织治理、社会力量参与城乡基层治理体系建设、志愿服务体系建设、社会工作体制机制建设等,慈善在促进社会治理体系和治理能力现代化方面也将发挥积极作用。

慈善将发挥更显著的经济功能。第一,形成社会服务产业。中国进入社会服务的量质双重需求提升期,慈善力量作为政府和市场之外的社会服务重要提供主体,将有更广阔的发展空间。其服务的领域覆盖民生、公共文化、生态文明建设、乡村振兴、国际交流等中国式现代化建设的方方面面,形成巨大的社会服务产业。第二,创造就业机会。慈善在成为社会服务主要提供主体的同时,将吸纳大量就业,形成庞大的社会服务队伍。第三,推动共同富裕。通过提供广泛的社会服务,慈善将创造更多直接经济价值,向服务提供者进行第一次分配。通过扩大捐赠、志愿服务等,慈善将深化第三次分配的功能,进一步调节社会财富分配格局,促进社会公平正义、推动实现共同富裕。

趋势二:步入“慈善+”时代,慈善趋向专业化、精细化发展

随着慈善事业覆盖的领域日趋扩大,要解决的社会问题也日益复杂化,带动慈善服务价值链不断延展,慈善行业趋向专业化、精细化发展。最明显的体现是,慈善行业逐步与更广泛的产业相结合,形成“慈善+金融”“慈善+科技”“慈善+家族传承”等创新领域。

党中央提出要做好科技金融、绿色金融、普惠金融、养老金融、数字金融五大领域。金融工作需要更好地服务民生需求,推动慈善与金融的交叉领域逐步成型。信托公司、保险公司、商业银行等金融服务机构将慈善融入主营业务范围。一方面,通过慈善信托、慈善保险等创新工具,为慈善事业提供资源供给。另一方面,为慈善机构开发专属的财务管理产品,保障慈善资产的增值保值。

公益慈善与科技之间的融合态势愈发显著且深入,呈现出相辅相成、协同共进的崭新格局。一方面,慈善借助科技力量,能够不断优化服务模式、拓展服务范畴。修改后的《慈善法》要求完善互联网公开募捐服务平台和个人求助网络服务平台管理、建立全国统一的慈善信息平台、加强慈善组织的应急信息共享,数字化慈善的需求进一步增强。信息技术相关主体逐步开发拓展慈善相关的数字化服务,既为社会公众提供更快捷的慈善捐赠渠道,又为慈善机构提供更高效的管理、沟通工具。人工智能技术也在教育、医疗、环保等多个关键领域为公益服务质量的提升贡献卓越力量。另一方面,科技将吸引更多慈善资源涌入,加速自身迭代。二者携手共进,为社会发展注入源源不断的动力。

近年来,随着国民财富的不断增长、精神文化的不断丰富,高净值爱心人士逐步把慈善与家族传承结合起来,希望以慈善事业为纽带,链接子孙后代的家族向心力。私人银行、家族办公室等财富管理机构,为高净值人士开发带有慈善属性的家族理财产品,既解决家族的传承需求,又为慈善事业提供了新的资源。

律师事务所、会计师事务所等服务保障机构,加大对于慈善领域的资源倾斜,为慈善机构、慈善项目、慈善信托等提供法务或会计等专业服务,保障捐赠人、慈善信托委托人、受益人的权益。此外,高校、智库等研究咨询机构,也投入到慈善行业研究中,为促进慈善事业的发展提供智力支持。

趋势三:慈善和政府、市场的跨部门协同合作更加密切

从实践探索看,为解决复杂的社会问题,提高资源的使用效率,慈善与政府、市场不断拓展合作领域。比如在公共卫生领域,盖茨基金会推动“共建式慈善”,支持中国企业开发的脊髓灰质炎、乙脑等疫苗通过世界卫生组织的预认证、扩大产能,并通过“开放获取政策”,促进产能扩大和中低收入国家地区对疫苗的公平获取。在应急领域,腾讯公益慈善基金会捐赠15亿资金,设立“抗击新型冠状病毒感染肺炎疫情综合保障基金”,联合41家国内外企业保障抗疫物资的供应、运输和战疫后备,联合39家数字科技企业支持全国各地抗疫小程序开发,形成一个覆盖全国、多主体共同参与的社会应急网络。应急管理部与多家慈善组织、电商平台等探索救灾物资保障的协同机制。在助残领域,阿里巴巴公益基金会与残联、各级助残公益组织联合开展助残行动,形成“政府引导、企业行动、社会组织参与、志愿者助力、残疾人受益”多元助残模式。

未来一段时间内,气候变化、人口老龄化少子化、就业等将是全社会共同面临的问题。灾害响应、社区韧性建设、大病救助、公共卫生、养老、托育、教育、环境保护、文化发展等社会议题具有综合性、复杂性,政府、市场、社会等单一主体无法完全承担,需要跨界力量的合作协同,以系统性解决。因此,未来公共部门、企业和慈善力量的合作将更为普遍。政府提供兜底、基础性支持,商业力量解决市场化的需求,慈善开展创新和精细化服务。

趋势四:慈善力量助力建设气候变化适应型社会

气候系统变暖趋势在持续。中国是全球气候变化的敏感区和影响显著区。国家气候中心数据显示,2024年我国平均气温10.9℃,较常年偏高1.01℃,再创历史新高。气候变化加剧灾害风险。在应对气候变化过程中,不同群体和地区的暴露程度和抗灾能力不均衡。老人、残疾人、儿童、妇女和低收入者等群体,以及欠发达地区的人们更为脆弱,更加需要慈善力量的关注。

根据全球气候资助报告,2023年全球减缓气候变化资助总额达到93亿至158亿美元,同比增长20%。但全球减缓气候变化资助占全球慈善捐赠总量依然低于2%。同时,仅有约十分之一的全球气候资金用于气候适应。

按照《国家适应气候变化战略2035》要求和建设“气候变化适应型社会”的目标,国家疾控局、应急管理等13个部委在2024年9月联合发布《国家气候变化健康适应行动方案(2024—2030年)》,明确要“教育、引导、促进公众践行简约适度、绿色低碳、文明健康的生活方式,掌握应对极端天气气候事件的自救互救措施,提升公众应对气候变化与健康素养水平。开展气候变化健康适应城市、乡村、社区、重点场所(医院、工业企业、托幼机构、学校和养老机构等)行动试点,总结可推广的适应模式”。未来,气候变化和适应将成为中国公益慈善持续关注的议题,更多的慈善资源也将随之投入其中。

趋势五:社区慈善发展前景更加广阔

《慈善法》明确支持发展社区慈善事业,鼓励有条件的地方设立社区慈善组织,加强社区志愿者队伍建设,为社区慈善的发展奠定法律基础。随着社会治理重心下沉,社区作为社会治理的基本单元,在防范化解社会矛盾方面的重要性日益凸显。当下,各个公益领域在不断向基层延伸,使得社区慈善的服务内容持续拓展,从传统的救助困难及特殊群体,逐步转变为向社区群众提供涵盖教育、文化、体育、环保和应急等多元的社会服务。

社区慈善具备“看得见”的特性,捐赠者能直接看到捐赠款项给社区带来的改变,受益者就在身边,这种“人人参与,人人受益”的模式更能激发参与热情。同时,与国外相比,中国大部分慈善捐赠来自于慈善家和企业,公众捐款占比较低且多用于社区之外,这反映出中国社区慈善蕴藏着巨大发展潜力。

未来,随着公益事业从大范围公益向社区慈善的转变,社区成员之间的互助将成为主流,社区慈善将迎来更加广阔的发展前景。

(本文作者系北京师范大学中国公益研究院慈善研究中心王明媚、周佳如、尹力子、赵延会、程芬)

校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

OpenAI boss denies sister's allegations of childhood rape

8 January 2025 at 13:02
Getty Images OpenAi chief executive Sam Altman speaking during the New York Times annual DealBook summit in December 2024.Getty Images

OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman's sister, Ann Altman, has filed a lawsuit alleging that he regularly sexually abused her between 1997 and 2006.

The lawsuit, which was filed on 6 January in a US District Court in the Eastern District of Missouri, alleges that the abuse started when she was three and Mr Altman was 12.

In a joint statement on X, with his mother and two brothers, Mr Altman denied the allegations, saying "all of these claims are utterly untrue."

"Caring for a family member who faces mental health challenges is incredibly difficult," the statement added.

"This situation causes immense pain to our entire family."

In the filing, which has been seen by the BBC, Ms Altman alleged that the abuse, which took place over many years, included rape.

The lawsuit added the last instance of the alleged abuse took place when Mr Altman was an adult but she was still a minor.

The lawsuit requested a jury trial and damages in excess of $75,000 ($60,100).

Ms Altman has previously made similar allegations against her brother on social media platforms such as X.

Mr Altman is one of the technology world's most high profile figures.

In late 2022, OpenAi launched the ChatGPT generative artificial intelligence (AI) chatbot.

Additional reporting by Lily Jamali

Mahout charged after elephant gores tourist to death

8 January 2025 at 12:51
Getty Images An elephant sprays water on a tourist during an elephant bathing activity at the beach on Koh Chang Island. Riding an elephant is not illegal in Thailand, as the mahout stands by Getty Images
There are nearly 3,000 elephants in Thailand's tourists attractions

Thai police have charged a mahout after an elephant in his care gored a Spanish tourist to death last week.

Theerayut Inthaphudkij, 38, was charged with negligence causing death, local authorities said Monday.

The tourist - 22-year-old Blanca Ojanguren García - was bathing the elephant at the Koh Yao Elephant Care Centre in southern Thailand when she was attacked by the animal.

This has renewed concerns over Thailand's booming elephant tourism industry, which animal rights groups have long criticised as unethical and dangerous.

Activists say that elephant bathing is disruptive to natural grooming behaviours and could injure the animals, exposing them to unnecessary stress.

After the attack, experts weighed in to say that the elephant might have been stressed because of the interaction with tourists.

García sustained a head injury - and later died in the hospital - after the elephant, 45-year-old female Phang Somboon, pushed her with its tusk. Her boyfriend, who was travelling with her, witnessed the attack.

There are nearly 3,000 elephants held in tourist attractions across Thailand, according to an estimate by international charity World Animal Protection.

People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (Peta) told the BBC in a statement that "such incidents highlight the dangers to both humans and animals alike."

"Any 'sanctuary' that allows humans to touch, feed, bathe, or closely interact with elephants in any way is no place of refuge for elephants and puts the lives of tourists and animals in critical danger," said Peta senior vice president Jason Baker.

Similar charges of negligence have previously been pressed against mahouts whose elephants killed tourists.

In 2017, an elephant camp owner and a mahout were charged with recklessness causing death and injuries after an elephant killed a Chinese tour guide and injured two tourists in the Thai beach town, Pattaya. In 2013, a 27-year-old elephant had its tusks cut after it attacked and killed a woman.

García, a law and international relations student at Spain's University of Navarra, was living in Taiwan as part of a student exchange programme. She and her boyfriend arrived in Thailand on 26 December 2024.

Spain's foreign minister, Jose Manuel Albares, said the Spanish consulate in Bangkok was assisting García's family.

Additional reporting by Kelly Ng

Bezos-owned Washington Post cuts more jobs, reports say

8 January 2025 at 12:41
Getty Images Jeff Bezos, founder and executive chairman of Amazon and owner of the Washington Post, on stage at  the New York Times annual DealBook summit.Getty Images
The lay offs come at a time of growing losses and turmoil over editorial decisions at the storied US newspaper

The Washington Post announced it will lay off nearly 100 workers, or 4% of its staff, in an attempt to stem growing losses, according to media reports.

The cuts reportedly will affect mainly employees on the business side of the storied US newspaper owned by Amazon founder Jeff Bezos.

The publication is among many news outlets struggling in the digital age as a growing number of online platforms compete for advertising revenues.

The layoffs, announced on Tuesday, come at a time of turmoil at the company after Mr Bezos broke with tradition and blocked an endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of the US presidential election in November.

In 2023, the Washington Post reported losses of $77m (£45m) and falling readership on its website. That same year, the newspaper announced it was offering workers voluntary buyouts in a bid to cut headcount by 10%.

Mr Bezos wrote an opinion piece explaining that blocking the endorsement was necessary because of growing public perception that the "media is biased."

Still, the newspaper said 250,000 of its readers canceled their subscriptions in protest.

Since then, several high-profile journalists, including investigative reporter Josh Dawsey, who confirmed on X that he was taking a job at The Wall Street Journal, have also left the newspaper. Managing editor Matea Gold is joining Post competitor The New York Times, the Times confirmed.

The apparent conflict between Bezos and the newspaper's top talent took a turn for the worse on Saturday when Pulitzer Prize-winning cartoonist, Ann Telnaes, said she was resigning from the Washington Post.

That came after the newspaper refused to publish a satirical cartoon that showed Mr Bezos and other tycoons kneeling before a statue of President-elect Donald Trump.

Last month, Mr Bezos announced Amazon would donate $1m to Trump's inauguration fund and make a $1m in-kind contribution. Mr Bezos also described Trump's re-election victory as "an extraordinary political comeback" and dined with him at the president-elect's Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida.

'Run for your lives!' LA residents abandon cars to flee wildfire on foot

8 January 2025 at 12:24
Watch: LA reporter battles heavy winds and flying ash during broadcast

Screaming Los Angeles residents left their cars behind to flee a fast-moving wildfire as it closed in on a picturesque celebrity enclave, eyewitnesses said, describing scenes straight out of a Hollywood disaster movie.

A windstorm whipped a seemingly typical brush fire into a raging inferno within a matter of hours on Tuesday, sending the blaze racing towards the Pacific Palisades area.

Thirty thousand people were ordered to evacuate as the conflagration surrounded the neighbourhood in the west of the city, exploding rapidly from 10 acres to several thousand in size.

Bordering Malibu, Pacific Palisades is a haven of hillside streets and winding roads nestled against the Santa Monica Mountains and extending down to beaches along the Pacific Ocean.

Watch: Firefighters suppress blaze approaching home

But the Pacific Coast Highway, the main route in - or out - quickly became gridlocked, leading many motorists to ditch their vehicles near Sunset Boulevard as the flames drew near.

One resident, Marsha Horowitz, said firefighters told people to get out of their cars as the blaze, fanned by gusts sometimes topping 100mph (160km/h) in the mountains and foothills, approached.

"The fire was right up against the cars," she said.

Another Pacific Palisades resident told ABC News that she rushed home from her job in Hollywood once she heard about the evacuations.

After abandoning her car, she went home to grab her cat. While running to safety, flaming pieces of palm tree fell on her.

"I'm getting hit with palm leaves on fire, I ran into a car," said the woman, who did not give her name.

"It's terrifying. It's like a horror movie. I'm screaming and crying going down the street."

Getty Images  Flames overtake an intersection of the Palisades Fire on 7 January 2025Getty Images

Some evacuees described seeing homes burn as they fled.

Hollywood actor James Woods was among celebrities forced to flee their properties.

Actor Steve Guttenberg, also a Pacific Palisades resident, urged people who abandoned their cars to leave their keys inside so the vehicles could be moved to make way for fire trucks.

"This is not a parking lot," Guttenberg told KTLA. "I have friends up there and they can't evacuate."

Bulldozers later cleared abandoned vehicles to open the route for emergency vehicles.

Watch: Bulldozers used to move abandoned vehicles in Palisades fire

Jennifer Aniston, Bradley Cooper, Tom Hanks, Reese Witherspoon, Adam Sandler and Michael Keaton also have homes in the Pacific Palisades, according to the Hollywood Reporter.

People fled wildfire flames in the nearby Los Angeles suburb of Topanga Canyon, where Ewan McGregor has a home.

One resident named Melanie told KTLA she tried to get out, but the path was engulfed by flames and she was forced back home.

She was trying to take Palisades Drive down to the Pacific Coast Highway and said had to make "a very fast U-turn because there were flames coming down the hill to the road".

"I would have been driving right into the fire," she said. "We're stuck up here. I don't see any flames but I know they're close by."

Residents in Venice Beach, some six miles (10km) away, reported seeing the flames, too.

Kelsey Trainor said ash fell all around as the fire jumped from one side of the road to the other.

"People were getting out of the cars with their dogs and babies and bags, they were crying and screaming," she told the Associated Press news agency.

"The road was just blocked, like full-on blocked for an hour."

Ellen Delosh-Bacher told the Los Angeles Times how she rushed from downtown Los Angeles to her home, where her 95-year-old mother and their two dogs live.

She, too, hit gridlock at Sunset Boulevard and Palisades Drive.

Ms Delosh-Bacher described fire exploding behind a nearby Starbucks and police rushing down the road shouting to stuck motorists: "Run for your lives!"

She left her car, keys still in the ignition and ran half a mile down to the beach.

"This is like an apocalypse," she said.

In Tibet, Earthquake Survivors Face Freezing Weather Conditions

8 January 2025 at 13:56
Rescuers rushed to distribute blankets and tents to those displaced by the magnitude-7.1 quake that struck Tibetan villages near Nepal, toppling over 3,000 homes.

© Jigme Dorje/Xinhua, via Associated Press

Rescue workers conducting search and rescue for survivors in the aftermath of an earthquake in Changsuo Township of Dingri County in Tibet on Tuesday.

Thandiswa Mazwai Is the Voice of South Africa’s First Post-Apartheid Generation

7 January 2025 at 23:21
Thandiswa Mazwai has sung of South Africa’s highs and lows since the country became a multiracial democracy 30 years ago. “My calling is to sing the people’s joy, to sing the people’s sadness.”

© OJ Koloti/Gallo Images, via Getty Images

Thandiswa Mazwai performing in Midrand, South Africa, in September. Ms. Mazwai has used her mezzo-soprano voice to amplify South Africa’s struggles.

拜登的总统任期:四大错觉和四大欺骗

8 January 2025 at 12:41

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拜登的总统任期:四大错觉和四大欺骗

BRET STEPHENS
Tom Brenner for The New York Times
美国人往往对前任总统抱有一份特殊的情感。即使对差劲的总统也不例外。
1994年理查德·尼克松去世时,人们关于他任内对中国开放或成立环境保护局的赞誉与对水门事件的指责不相上下。杰拉尔德·福特对尼克松的赦免当时被愤怒地谴责为肮脏的政治交易,后来却被誉为无私政治家的典范。吉米·卡特声誉的恢复——不仅是因为他卸任总统后的行事,还因为他在任期间的所作所为——会让那个在1980年滞胀和人质危机中将他送走的国家感到震惊。
乔·拜登会在我们的国家记忆中占据类似的位置吗?有可能,他的政府也有其成就:扩大北约、两党基础设施法案、保卫乌克兰和以色列、加强太平洋地区的联盟。
但拜登的总统任期也将因四大错觉和四大欺骗而被铭记。这将不利于他的政治遗产。
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这些错觉是:第一,2021年的移民潮是季节性的(“每年都会发生”,拜登在那年3月说);第二,塔利班不会迅速占领阿富汗(“塔利班占领一切并拥有整个国家的可能性很小”,他在那年7月说);第三,通货膨胀是暂时的(“我们的专家认为,数据也显示,我们看到的大多数价格上涨预计都是暂时的”,也是他在那年7月说的)。
第四个错觉,也是最大的一个错觉:他是打败特朗普的最佳民主党候选人。“我打败过他一次,我还会再打败他,”他经常这样坚持,即使在那场失败的辩论之后也是如此。
最后一个错觉纯属狂妄自大。但前三个错觉中也有傲慢的成分,因为在每件事上,都有人(好吧这其中包括)大声提醒他,他正在犯一个根本性的错误。2021年,白宫花了几个月的时间拒绝在边境问题上使用“危机”一词——仅仅说这是“挑战”。五角大楼领导人警告总统,如果美国撤军,阿富汗政府很快就会垮台。拜登耸了耸肩。拉里·萨默斯直言不讳地指出,拜登的1.9万亿美元经济刺激计划存在通胀风险。拜登对此也置若罔闻。
这些错误判断注定了拜登总统任期的失败,在阿富汗撤军后,拜登的支持率从未让人满意。如果南希·佩洛西等资深民主党人能在2022年春天,而不是2024年夏天才与拜登和吉尔·拜登谈一谈他的连任前景,也许会对民主党的获胜机会有所帮助。最终是明尼苏达州前众议员迪恩·菲利普斯扮演那个指出皇帝其实没穿衣服的男孩的角色。应该有人提名他获得“勇气奖”。
错误判断的背后是欺骗。
拜登在2020年的竞选中做出了让人心照不宣的承诺,他打算只担任一届总统。(“如果拜登当选,四年后他就82岁了,”一位竞选顾问在2019年告诉Politico,“他不会竞选连任。”)他承诺要成为白宫中得到两党支持的温和派人物:“团结”是他就职演说的主题。他和他的整个政府坚称,他的精神和身体状况都适合连任。他还承诺,如果他的儿子亨特被判有罪,他不会赦免他。
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在这些欺骗中,第一个是最容易被原谅的,也是最愚蠢的:正因为权力如此诱人,自愿卸任才会如此令人钦佩。他在7月勉强决定不再参选,但为时已晚,称不上政治家风范。
其他的欺骗就不那么容易被原谅了。让拜登入主白宫的中间派选民认为他是一双安全而令人欣慰的手。相反,他试图效仿林登·约翰逊的方式执政,提出了高达7.5万亿美元的支出建议——根据通货膨胀率调整后,几乎是我们赢得二战所花费的两倍。他还谴责“恢复美国伟大荣光派(MAGA)共和党人”威胁到了“我们共和国的根基”。
次年,这些MAGA共和党人再次团结在特朗普周围,现在他获得了第二个任期,而这要归功于拜登的唯一一个任期。
最糟糕的是最后两次欺骗。上个月,《华尔街日报》就总统每况愈下的健康状况发表了一篇令人震惊的全面报道。报道称,一位前助手回忆一位国家安全官员曾说:“他有好的时候,也有坏的时候,今天不算好,所以我们明天再来处理这个问题。”——那是在2021年春天。也许总统没有注意到自己的衰退,所以不是他在欺骗。但他的所有高级幕僚肯定都注意到了,而且正如《华尔街日报》所报道的,他们利用这一点来提升自己的权力。这是一个全国性的丑闻,值得国会进行调查。
那么关于亨特呢?父爱令人钦佩,总统的谎言则不然。在其任内最后的重大政治行动之一中,拜登忘了自己是谁。然而这样的事似乎在几年前就已经发生过。历史不会轻易原谅。

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How Canada's immigration debate soured - and helped seal Trudeau's fate

8 January 2025 at 08:21
BBC Montage image with Justin Trudeau in front of Canadian flags, with headshot of Trump below
BBC

Immigration has long been a polarising issue in the West but Canada mostly avoided it - until now. With protests and campaign groups springing up in certain quarters, some argue that this - together with housing shortages and rising rents - contributed to Justin Trudeau's resignation. But could Donald Trump's arrival inflame it further?

At first glance, the single bedroom for rent in Brampton, Ontario looks like a bargain. True, there's barely any floor space, but the asking price is only C$550 (£300) a month in a Toronto suburb where the average monthly rent for a one-bedroom flat is C$2,261. Inspect it more closely, however, and this is actually a small bathroom converted into sleeping quarters. A mattress is jammed up next to the sink, the toilet is nearby.

The ad, originally posted on Facebook Marketplace, has generated hundreds of comments online. "Disgusting," wrote one Reddit user. "Hey 20-somethings, you're looking at your future," says another.

But there are other listings like it - one room for rent, also in Brampton, shows a bed squashed near a staircase in what appears to be a laundry area. Another rental in Scarborough, a district in Ontario, offers a double bed in the corner of a kitchen.

While Canada might have a lot of space, there aren't enough homes and in the past three years, rents across the country have increased by almost 20%, according to property consultancy Urbanation.

Getty Images Justin Trudeau announces his resignation at Rideau Cottage in Ottawa, Canada on 6 JanuaryGetty Images
Justin Trudeau cited 'internal battles' when he resigned as prime minister on 6 January following nine years in office

In all, some 2.4 million Canadian families are crammed into homes that are too small, in urgent need of major repairs or are seriously unaffordable, a government watchdog report released in December has suggested.

This accommodation shortage has come to a head at the same time that inflation is hitting Canadians hard - and these issues have, in turn, moved another issue high up the agenda in the country: immigration.

For the first time a majority of Canadians, who have long been welcoming to newcomers, are questioning how their cities can manage.

Politics in other Western countries has long been wrapped up in polarised debates surrounding immigration but until recently Canada had mostly avoided that issue, perhaps because of its geography. Now, however, there appears to be a profound shift in attitude.

In 2022, 27% of Canadians said there were too many immigrants coming into the country, according to a survey by data and research firm Environics. By 2024, that number had increased to 58%.

Campaign groups have sprung up too and there have been marches protesting against immigration in Ottawa, Vancouver and Calgary, and elsewhere around the country.

"I would say it was very much taboo, like no one would really talk about it," explains Peter Kratzar, a software engineer and the founder of Cost of Living Canada, a protest group that was formed in 2024. "[But] things have really unfrozen."

Getty Images Small Canadian flags held in a handGetty Images
For the first time more than half of Canadians believe immigration to be too high

Stories like that of the bathroom for rent in Brampton have fuelled this, he suggests: "People might say, like, this is all anecdotal evidence. But the evidence keeps popping up. You see it over and over again."

"People became concerned about how the immigration system was being managed," adds Keith Neuman, executive director at Environics. "And we believe it's the first time the public really thought about the management of the system."

Once the golden boy of Canadian politics, prime minister Justin Trudeau, resigned on 6 January during a crucial election year, amid this widespread discontent over immigration levels.

His approval levels before his resignation were just 22% - a far cry from the first year of his premiership, when 65% of voters said they approved of him.

Though immigration is not the main reason for his low approval levels nor his resignation - he cited "having to fight internal battles" - he was accused of acting too late when dealing with rising anxiety over inflation and housing that many blamed, in part, on immigration.

"While immigration may not have been the immediate cause of the resignation, it may have been the icing on the cake," says Professor Jonathan Rose, head of the department of political studies at Queen's University in Kingston, Ontario.

Under Trudeau's administration, the Canadian government deliberately chose to radically boost the numbers of people coming to the country after the pandemic, believing that boosting quotas for foreign students and temporary workers, in addition to skilled immigrants, would jumpstart the economy.

The population, which was 35 million 10 years ago, now tops 40 million.

Immigration was responsible for the vast majority of that increase - figures from Canada's national statistics agency show that in 2024, more than 90% of population growth came from immigration.

As well as overall migration levels, the number of refugees has risen too. In 2013, there were 10,365 refugee applicants in Canada - by 2023, that number had increased to 143,770.

Voter dissatisfaction with immigration was "more a symptom than a cause" of Trudeau's downfall, argues Prof Rose. "It reflects his perceived inability to read the room in terms of public opinion."

It's unclear who might replace Trudeau from within his own Liberal Party but ahead of the forthcoming election, polls currently favour the Conservative Party, whose leader Pierre Poilievre advocates keeping the number of new arrivals below the number of new homes being built.

Since Donald Trump won the US presidential election in November, Poilievre "has been speaking much more about immigration", claims Prof Rose - "so much that it has become primed in the minds of voters".

Certainly Trump's arrival for a second term is set to pour oil on an already inflamed issue in Canada, regardless of who the new prime minister is.

He won the US election in part on a pledge to carry out mass deportations of undocumented migrants - and since his victory, he has said that he will enlist the military and declare a national emergency to follow through on his promise.

He also announced plans to employ 25% tariffs on Canadian goods unless border security is tightened.

Drones, cameras and policing the border

Canada and the US share the world's longest undefended border. Stretching almost 9,000km (5,592 miles), much of it crosses heavily forested wilderness and is demarcated by "The Slash," a six-metre wide land clearing.

Unlike America's southern border, there are no walls. This has long been a point of pride between Ottawa and Washington - a sign of their close ties.

After Trump first entered office in 2017, the number of asylum claims skyrocketed, with thousands walking across the border to Canada. The number of claims went from just under 24,000 in 2016 to 55,000 a year by 2018, according to the Canadian government. Almost all crossed from New York state into the Canadian province of Quebec.

Reuters Birds eye view of the border between Canada and the US. There is a 6 metre wide path lightly covered in snow and trees on either side.Reuters
The 6 metre wide clearing called "The Slash" is all that marks out thousands of miles of the Canada-US border

In 2023, Canada and the US agreed to a tightened border deal that stopped most migrants from crossing the land border from one country to another. Under the agreement, migrants that come into contact with the authorities within 14 days of crossing any part of the border into either the US or Canada must return to whichever country they entered first — in order to declare asylum there.

The deal, reworked by Trudeau and Joe Biden, is based on the idea that both the US and Canada are safe countries for asylum seekers.

This time around, Canada's national police force – the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) – says it began preparing a contingency plan for increased migrant crossings at the border well ahead of Trump being sworn in.

This includes a raft of new technology, from drones and night vision goggles, to surveillance cameras hidden in the forest.

Getty Images Justin Trudeau shakes hands with Joe BidenGetty Images
Biden and Trudeau: In 2023, the pair agreed to a tightened border deal that stopped most migrants from crossing the land border

"Worst-case scenario would be people crossing in large numbers everywhere on the territory," RCMP spokesperson Charles Poirier warned in November. "Let's say we had 100 people per day entering across the border, then it's going to be hard because our officers will basically have to cover huge distances in order to arrest everyone."

Now, the national government has committed a further C$1.3bn (£555m) to its border security plan.

'We want our future back!'

Not everyone blames the housing crisis on the recent rise in immigration. It was "30 years in the making" because politicians have failed to build affordable units, argues Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow.

Certainly the country has a long history of welcoming newcomers. "Close to 50% of the population of Canada is first or second generation," explains Mr Neuman. "That means either they came from another country, or one or both of their parents came from another country. In Toronto, Vancouver, that's over 80%."

This makes Canada "a very different place than a place that has a homogeneous population," he argues.

He has been involved in a survey examining attitudes towards newcomers for 40 years. "If you ask Canadians: what's the most important or distinctive thing about Canada, or what makes the country unique? The number one response is 'multiculturalism' or 'diversity'," he says.

Nonetheless, he says the shift in public opinion - and the rise in concerns about immigration - has been "dramatic".

"Now there is not only broader public concern, but much more open discussion," he says. "There are more questions being asked about how is the system working? How come it isn't working?"

Getty Images Olivia Chow Getty Images
Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow rejects the suggestion that anti-immigrant sentiment will spread in Canada

At one of the protests in Toronto, a crowd turned out with hand-painted signs, some proclaiming: "We want our future back!" and "End Mass Immigration".

"We do need to put a moratorium on immigration," argues Mr Kratzar, whose group has taken part in some of them. "We need to delay that so wages can catch up on the cost of rents."

Accusations against newcomers are spreading on social media too. Last summer, Natasha White, who describes herself as a resident of Wasaga Beach in Ontario, claimed on TikTok that some newcomers had been digging holes on the beach and defecating in them.

The post generated hundreds of thousands of views and a torrent of anti-foreigner hatred, with many arguing that newcomers should "go home".

Tent cities and full homeless shelters

People I interviewed who work closely with asylum seekers in Canada say that the heightened concerns around the need for more border security is making asylum seekers feel unsettled and afraid.

Abdulla Daoud, executive director at the Refugee Center in Montreal, believes that the vulnerable asylum seekers he works with feel singled out by the focus on migrant numbers since the US election. "They're definitely more anxious," he says. "I think they're coming in and they're feeling, 'Okay, am I going to be welcomed here? Am I in the right place or not?'"

Those hoping to stay in Canada as refugees can't access official immigration settlement services until it has been decided they truly need asylum. This process once took two weeks but it can now take as long as three years.

Getty Images RCMP police vehicle in the snowGetty Images
The Royal Canadian Mounted Police began preparing a contingency plan for increased migrant crossings at the border in late 2024

Tent cities to house newly-arrived refugees and food banks with empty shelves have sprung up in Toronto. The city's homeless shelters are often reported to be full. Last winter, two refugee applicants froze to death after sleeping on Toronto's streets.

Toronto mayor Olivia Chow, an immigrant herself having moved to Canada from Hong Kong at age 13, says: "People are seeing that, even with working two jobs or three jobs, they can't have enough money to pay the rent and feed the kids.

"I understand the hardship of having a life that is not affordable, and the fear of being evicted, absolutely, I get it. But to blame that on the immigration system is unfair."

Trudeau: 'We didn't get the balance quite right'

With frustrations growing, Trudeau announced a major change in October: a 20% reduction in immigration targets over three years. "As we emerged from the pandemic, between addressing labour needs and maintaining population growth, we didn't get the balance quite right," he conceded.

He added that he wanted to give all levels of government time to catch up – to accommodate more people. But, given that he has since resigned, is it enough? And does the Trump presidency and the increasing anti-immigrant sentiment on that side of the border risk spilling further into Canada?

Mr Daoud has his own view. "Unfortunately, I think the Trump presidency had its impact on Canadian politics," he says. "I think a lot of politicians are using this as a way to fear-monger."

Others are less convinced that it will have much of an impact. "Canadians are better than that," says Olivia Chow. "We remember that successive waves of refugees helped create Toronto and Canada."

Politicians wading into the debate around population growth ahead of the next election will be conscious of the fact that half of Canadians are first and second-generation immigrants themselves. "If the Conservatives win the next election, we can expect a reduction in immigration," says Prof Jonathan Rose. But he adds that Poilievre will have to walk "a bit of fine line".

Prof Rose says: "Since immigrant-heavy ridings [constituencies] in Toronto and Vancouver will be important to any electoral victory, he can't be seen as anti-immigration, merely recalibrating it to suit economic and housing policy."

And there are a large number of Canadians, including business leaders and academics, who believe that the country must continue to pursue an assertive growth policy to combat Canada's falling birth rate.

"I really have high hopes for Canadians," adds Lisa Lalande of the Century Initiative, which advocates for policies that would see Canada's population increase to 100 million by 2100. "I actually think we will rise above where we are now.

"I think we're just really concerned about affordability [and] cost of living - not about immigrants themselves. We recognise they're too important to our culture."

Top picture credit: Getty Images

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'Music is back' as sales hit a 20-year high

8 January 2025 at 11:05
Getty Images Billie Eilish in white shirt and black jacketGetty Images
Billie Eilish had one of the year's biggest-selling albums, as fans spent more than ever before on recorded music

Captivated by major new releases from Taylor Swift, Coldplay and Billie Eilish, music fans in the UK spent more on recorded music in 2024 than ever before, new figures show.

Streaming subscriptions and vinyl sales shot up, with consumers spending a total of £2.4 bn over the last 12 months.

That overtakes the previous high of £2.2bn, achieved at the peak of CD sales in 2001.

The biggest-selling album of the year was Taylor Swift's The Tortured Poets Department which sold 783,820 copies; while Noah Kahan had the year's biggest single with Stick Season, which generated the equivalent of 1.99 million sales.

The figures came from the Digital Entertainment and Retail Association (ERA), which said subscriptions to services like Spotify, Amazon Music and Apple Music accounted for almost 85% of the money spent on music last year.

The market for vinyl records grew by 10.5%, with 6.7 million discs sold last year, generating £196m.

CD sales remained flat at £126.2m - although the format still sells more than vinyl in terms of units, with 10.5 million albums bought.

The head of ERA, Kim Bayley, called 2024 a "banner year" for music, with sales at more than double the low point of 2013.

"We can now say definitively - music is back," she added in a statement.

However, music industry revenue still lags far behind the 2001 figures in real terms.

Adjusted for inflation, the industry made the equivalent of £4bn in 2001, when Dido's was the year's biggest album, with sales of 1.9 million.

There are also lingering questions over how artists get paid in the streaming economy. According to the Musicians Union, almost half of working musicians in the UK earn less than £14,000 a year.

EA Sports A screenshot from EA Sports FC 25 shows a player perform a sliding tackle on a rain-drenched football pitchEA Sports
EA Sports FC 25 was the year's biggest-selling video game

Elsewhere, ERA said video was the most popular form of home entertainment, with cinephiles and telly addicts spending more than £5bn on streaming services, movie rentals and DVDs.

The biggest-selling title of the year was the comic book movie Deadpool & Wolverine, with sales of 561,917, more than 80% of which were digital.

Video games saw a drop in revenue, from £4.8bn in 2023 to £4.6bn last year.

The figures reflect a year of high-profile flops, with A-list games like Concord, Suicide Squad and Skull & Bones all failing to find an audience.

There was also a huge shift away from boxed physical games, whose sales fell by 35%.

The biggest-selling game of the year was once again EA Sports FC 25 – formerly known as FIFA – which sold 2.9m copies, 80% of them in digital formats.

However, only four of the games in the top 10 were new releases, and two of those were updates to existing franchises.

The power of Nintendo's Switch was also apparent, with half of the top 10 including games comprised of titles that are exclusive to the console.

Rising costs force 'difficult choices' on schools

8 January 2025 at 11:28
Hope Rhodes / BBC Head teacher Dan Crossman standing at the school gates. He is wearing a navy coat, checked scarf and there is snow on the grass behind him.Hope Rhodes / BBC
Head teacher Dan Crossman says he faces choosing between meeting the needs of the children, or balancing the books

Head teachers say they face "difficult choices" over what their schools can afford, as a new report says they could be forced into further cuts next year.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) says costs will outpace funding for schools in 2025-26.

Schools say that means they will struggle to fund the government's proposed pay rise for teachers, as well as the support needed for children with special educational needs.

The Department for Education (DfE) said it would work with schools and local authorities to provide a "fair funding system that directs public money to where it is needed".

The IFS estimates that school funding will rise by 2.8% in the 2025-26 financial year. But Wednesday's report warns that costs are likely to rise by 3.6%, leaving schools facing tough choices.

Staff pay usually takes up the majority of a school budget. The government has suggested teachers' pay should go up by 2.8% for the school year beginning September 2025, in line with plans for school spending.

While spending on schools has grown in recent years - redressing previous cuts - the cost of supporting pupils with special educational needs and disabilities (Send) has also increased.

Marlborough St Mary's School in Wiltshire has had to find money from its existing budget to support pupils like six-year-old Thomas, who is waiting for an autism assessment.

His mum, Penny Reader, says Year One pupil Thomas loves everything about space and creatures who live under the sea.

He has one-to-one support at school, but was declined an Education, Health and Care Plan (EHCP) - which sets out a child's legal right to support and additional funding - last year. A tribunal date to appeal that decision has been set for November.

Hope Rhodes / BBC Penny and her son Thomas, sitting in a classroom. They both have blonde hair and are smiling.Hope Rhodes / BBC
Penny is waiting for an autism assessment for her son Thomas

Mrs Reader says it is "utterly insane" that the school does not get additional funding to support Thomas, who would previously hide in the classroom getting distressed and upset.

"He just couldn't cope with the other children," Mrs Reader says. "It was too noisy, too chaotic for him."

Now, Thomas loves being at school and can join in with all of his lessons, she says.

"It's just so reassuring," says Mrs Reader. "It's so lovely to see him thrive.

"Without that, Thomas wouldn't be here. That funding has made such a huge difference."

Head teacher Dan Crossman says the school is in an in-year deficit, spending more money than it has got coming in.

He says he faces a choice between meeting the needs of the children, or balancing the books.

Hope Rhodes / BBC Headteacher Dan Crossman and the school's therapy dog Woody, standing in the school's forest schoolHope Rhodes / BBC
Mr Crossman, pictured with the school's support dog Woody, says schools are facing tough decisions on spending

Additional funding to support pupils with Send often takes a long time to materialise, he says.

So, Mr Crossman employs six teaching assistants to meet the needs of children awaiting additional support, such as through an EHCP.

"It means that they are safe. It means that they are happy, and it means that they have the opportunity to learn in a mainstream school," he says.

Mr Crossman says schools face "really hard" decisions, like staff redundancies and cutting counselling services.

The school has received financial support from a private donor to set up a forest school.

But Mr Crossman says such resources should come from "core budgets" rather than private investment.

Hope Rhodes / BBC Children toast marshmallows over a fire in their forest school. They are wrapped up in their winter clothes.Hope Rhodes / BBC
The school plans to hire out its forest school to other schools in the local area, to make it financially viable

The IFS says per-pupil spending in mainstream schools rose by about 11% between 2019 and 2024, when adjusted for inflation.

But much of that increase was absorbed by the rising cost of Send provision, meaning the actual increase was only about 5%.

The new analysis comes as the government considers its spending plans for 2026 onwards.

Steve Hitchcock, head teacher of St Peter's Primary School in Devon, and the region's National Association of Head Teachers (NAHT) representative, says he has also had to come up with innovative ways to raise more money.

He says sourcing top-up funding is now a "really important part" of his role.

"Just in this last year I've managed to find £20,000 myself, which is just going out to our very generous community," he says.

The "absolutely fantastic" parent-teacher association has also raised £20,000 in the last year through sponsored challenges, film nights and discos at the school.

In the past, this money would go to "cherry-on-top" activities like play equipment. But now, it has to fund basic curriculum resources like buying paper, Mr Hitchcock says.

Steve Hitchcock Selfie photo of headteacher Steve Hitchcock. He is wearing glasses and has black hair and a beard and is smilingSteve Hitchcock
Mr Hitchcock says he cannot find money to pay for 'very important' staff pay rises

Staff costs take up 85% of the school's budget. Mr Hitchcock says pay rises are "very important" to recruit and retain staff, and to make sure it's a competitive profession.

The government's recommended 2.8% pay rise for teachers next year is being considered by the independent teacher pay review body.

Education unions have already described the proposal as being disappointingly low, but Mr Hitchcock says he does not know where he will find the extra money, even without any further increases.

"A nearly 3% pay rise is going to mean I have to find £30,000, which just isn't possible," he says.

"We were hoping desperately that this government would have a different approach to funding schools. It's going to be enormously challenging for the whole profession."

Daniel Kebede, National Education Union general secretary, says schools have "no capacity to make savings without cutting educational provision".

Julie McCulloch, from the Association of School and College Leaders, says the financial pressures facing the sector are a "death by a thousand cuts".

"Schools and colleges have been expected to absorb relentless financial pressures over the past 15 years, and they have done an incredible job in minimising the impact on students," she added. "But we cannot go on like this."

The Department for Education said school funding will increase to almost £63.9bn in the next financial year, including £1bn for children and young people with high needs.

A spokesperson said the government is "determined to fix the foundations of the education system".

Additional reporting by Hope Rhodes.

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