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Today — 1 May 2025News

'We don't care': A defiant China looks beyond Trump's America

1 May 2025 at 05:54
Laura Bicker explains how tariffs are affecting US and Chinese toy businesses

"We don't care about sales to the United States," says Hu Tianqiang as one of his toy fighter jets flies past our heads.

It's hard to hear him above the buzzing toy planes and miniature drones, an almost rhythmic backdrop to the cacophony of toys that surround him, all clamouring for the attention of buyers.

Hu's stall, Zhongxiang Toys, sits inside the world's biggest wholesale market in the small Chinese city of Yiwu.

It's a huge showroom of more than 75,000 shops where buyers come seeking just about everything, from twinkling Christmas lights and kitchenware to umbrellas and massage guns. It can take most of the day just to get around one department given each of them has an airport hangar's worth of goods on show.

Yiwu is in the province of Zhejiang, along China's eastern coast. The manufacturing and export hub, home to more than 30 ports, accounted for 17% of all Chinese sales to the US last year.

That puts Yiwu, and this region, at the frontline of the US-China trade war.

Mr Hu, too, is on the frontline. He sits among rows of snazzy toy jets, squeaking dogs, fluffy stuffed animals, barbies and motorcycle-riding spidermen – a sliver of the $34bn (£25bn) worth of toys China exported in 2024.

About $10bn of it went to the US. But now, these Chinese exports to America face up to 245% tariffs. And US President Donald Trump has made it clear that he blames Beijing in particular for cornering too much of the global market.

But things have changed here since Trump's first trade war against China, which kicked off in 2018. It taught Yiwu a lesson, summed up by Mr Hu: "Other countries have money too!"

That defiance has become a familiar theme in the world's second-biggest economy, which is bracing itself for another turbulent Trump presidency.

Beijing, which has been repeatedly telling the world that the US was bullying countries into trade negotiations, has not backed down yet from the trade war.

The propaganda online has ratcheted up, applauding Chinese innovation and diplomacy in contrast to the uncertainty unleashed by Trump. On the country's highly controlled social media, there are plenty of posts echoing the leadership's promise that China will keep fighting.

And in factories and markets, businessmen and exporters now say they have other alternatives, beyond Trump's America. Mr Hu, for instance, says around 20%-30% of his business came from US buyers. But not anymore.

BBC/ Xiqing Wang Dolls and other toys sit togetherBBC/ Xiqing Wang
China exported $34bn-worth of toys alone in 2024
BBC/ Xiqing Wang A toy Trump in a blue jacket and red tie in a glass case in a stall in Yiwu. BBC/ Xiqing Wang
And some $10bn worth of toys go to the US

"We don't care about that 20-30%," Mr Hu says. "We now sell mostly to South America and the Middle East. We are not lacking money, we are rich."

When we ask about Trump, his colleague Chen Lang jumps in, rolling his eyes: "He's cracking international jokes like no other. One day, one joke. Adding tariffs for him is like cracking a joke."

Nearby, one of the thousands of buyers that flock to this market every day is negotiating a price to buy more than 100 robots that turn into cars in a series of beeps and buzzes. After tapping various numbers into a calculator, the final price is written in chalk on the floor.

The buyer, we are told, is from Dubai. The BBC met many others from across Africa and South America.

Lin Xiupeng says he has noticed the shift away from American buyers in his last 10 years in the toy business.

"A few days ago, the shop next to us had an order from a US client. It's worth more than one million yuan. But because of tariffs, the shop owner decided to cancel it," he says, offering us cups of tea.

"They must need China," he says, adding that the country supplies most of America's toys.

"I think there are a lot of businesses in the US protesting these days."

BBC/ Xiqing Wang A man walks down a hall lined with toys hanging upBBC/ Xiqing Wang
People in the toy business that the BBC spoke to said they had plenty of interest from other parts of the world besides the US

Mr Lin is correct. Some toy shop owners in the US have written to the White House describing the tariffs as "disastrous" for their business.

"The tariffs are taking a hatchet to small businesses across America," Jonathan Cathey, who owns a toy company in Los Angeles, told the BBC over the phone.

He invested his last $500 in his company, Loyal Subjects, in 2009, which he ran from his two-bedroom bungalow in West Hollywood. He says it's now a multi-million-dollar business, but the tariffs could derail his plans.

"The entire toy industry could go under. We are looking at the total implosion of the supply chain. It's going to get really ugly," he warns.

He says swapping suppliers is a huge task: "You need a lot of resources on the ground to produce a toy and many of these Chinese businesses have spent 40 years perfecting their craft."

Trump's crusade

China has been a big part of Donald Trump's first 100 days in office, with his administration going head-to-head with Beijing.

"He seems to be launching a crusade against the whole world," says former Senior Colonel Zhou Bo, who served in the People's Liberation Army. "But of course he's trying to bash China the hardest."

Trump accused China of operating the Panama Canal, which is run by a Hong Kong-based firm, and vowed to take it back. He has been on the hunt for ways to mine rare earth minerals, which China effectively has a monopoly over, making this a key part of any deal with Ukraine. His threats to take Greenland are also likely aimed at curbing China's ambitions in the Arctic.

And, of course, he initiated another trade war, which takes special aim at China's neighbours, such as Vietnam and Cambodia, that have been crucial to its evolving supply chain.

BBC/ Xiqing Wang Zhou BoBBC/ Xiqing Wang
Zhou Bo tells the BBC that Trump seems to be launching a "crusade against the whole world"

In the last week, he suggested the levies on Chinese goods could be halved and spoke of "a fair deal with China" that his administration was "actively" negotiating.

But China's Commerce Ministry rebuffed this as "groundless with no factual basis". The headlines in state media haven't spared him either: "Trump is probably the worst president in American history," read one on state TV.

It seems the US president is waiting for his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping to pick up the phone.

"We in China say – we have to let the bullet fly for a moment," Col Zhou says. "That means in the fog of war, we do not know what will come next. I believe this kind of tit-for-tat would last for maybe one or two months – hopefully not more than three months."

It cannot go on, he adds, because that would not be good.

It's certainly not good for China. Trump's tariffs are not even the biggest challenge facing the country, which is also grappling with domestic economic pain, from low consumption to a housing crisis that has dented people's savings and confidence in the future.

The terrible timing aside, the tariffs are biting Chinese businesses.

Goldman Sachs has forecast that China's economy will grow by 4.5% this year, short of the government's target: 5%.

The BBC reported from the trading hub of Guangzhou in mid-April that US-China trade was grinding to a halt, with exports to American households piling up on factory floors. That is borne out by this month's economic data, which show that activity in factories has sharply slowed.

BBC/ Xiqing Wang Two men look at a stall that has a life-size toy soldier standing guard, with a toy gun.   BBC/ Xiqing Wang
Traders from everywhere come to Yiwu to buy goods, offering new markets to Chinese exporters

When the BBC rang suppliers to see if shipments to the US had resumed, what emerged was a messy picture. One supplier said he had half-a-million pieces of clothing waiting to ship to Walmart, and a few others echoed his uncertainty. But two exporters we spoke to said some shipments from US retailers had indeed restarted.

The range and complexity of the trade between the two economies, which includes cargo cranes, umbrellas and everything in between, means that it's often down to different businesses and supply chains as to how they deal with the tariffs.

But whatever the business, there is no doubt the American consumer will feel the absence, or potentially higher prices, of Chinese goods.

Opportunities beyond America

The US still relies heavily on Chinese manufacturing to meet its own domestic demand – think phones, computers, semiconductors, furniture, clothes and, of course, toys. Electronics and machinery alone account for more than 50% of US imports.

Walmart and Target reportedly told Mr Trump in a meeting last week that shoppers are likely to see empty shelves and higher prices from next month. They also warned that supply shocks could carry on until Christmas.

Some 90% of all Christmas decorations hung around American homes come from Yiwu in China where sellers, surrounded by signs wishing the world "Feliz Navidad" told us they're now trying to focus on sales to South America.

And that effort is very evident in Yiwu.

In the early morning, before the shutters even open, the cavernous lobby of the wholesale market echoes with voices reciting key phrases.

"Shukran," says the teacher in Arabic. The students repeat it several times to perfect the pronunciation before learning that it means "thank you". "Aafwan" comes the reply, or "you're welcome".

BBC/ Xiqing Wang Women stand in a line with notebooks and phonesBBC/ Xiqing Wang
Salespeople in Yiwu are learning to speak to buyers from different countries

These are free lessons offered by a local government association. Most of the students are women, dressed in their best to also impress their customers.

"These women are the backbone of trade across China," says one stall holder, who originally from Iran and is giving private lessons to an eager student.

"They're doing these lessons to stay ahead of one another, to stay in competition."

Most of the traders can already speak a few words of English. but now they say they need to greet their new buyers in Spanish and Arabic – a small but crucial sign of China's shifting trade relationships.

Oscar, a Columbian who would only give us his first name, was wandering the halls of the market with bags filled with fluffy bunnies and bears.

He says the US-China trade war offers "many opportunities" for traders from other parts of the world.

"Doing business with China is very important," he insists. "[Doing business with] the US these days, less so."

Local elections 2025: Polls to open across England

1 May 2025 at 07:00
PA Media File photo dated 15/02/24 of a polling station in a church in Kingswood.PA Media

Voters are set to head to the polls for local and mayoral elections being held in some parts of England on Thursday.

There are local elections to 24 of England's 317 councils and six mayoral authorities on 1 May.

A by-election in Runcorn and Helsby will also decide who becomes the new MP for the constituency in Cheshire.

Polling stations will open at 07:00 BST and close at 22:00 on Thursday, with results to be declared through the night and on Friday.

It is the first big set of polls since Labour's landslide victory in last year's general election.

About 1,650 seats will be contested on 14 county councils, eight unitary authorities, one metropolitan district and in the Isles of Scilly.

The six mayoral elections are taking place in the West of England, Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, Doncaster, North Tyneside and - for the first time - in Hull and East Yorkshire, and Greater Lincolnshire.

The by-election in Runcorn and Helsby was triggered by the resignation of former Labour MP Mike Amesbury following his conviction for assaulting a constituent.

Elections to all 21 county councils in England had been due to take place.

But the government announced elections would be postponed in nine areas, where local authorities are being reorganised.

The areas where there are elections to county councils include: Cambridgeshire, Derbyshire, Devon, Gloucestershire, Hertfordshire, Kent, Lancashire, Leicestershire, Lincolnshire, Nottinghamshire, Oxfordshire, Staffordshire, Warwickshire and Worcestershire.

The other elections are to the unitary authorities of Buckinghamshire, Cornwall, Durham, North Northamptonshire, Northumberland, Shropshire, West Northamptonshire and Wiltshire, plus Doncaster Metropolitan Council and the Isles of Scilly, which has a unique governance structure.

Most of the results are expected to be declared by Friday evening.

There are no local elections scheduled in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

People who want to vote in person will be asked to show photo ID to do so.

There are more than 20 acceptable forms of ID, including passports, driving licences and - from 1 May - Armed Forces Veteran Cards.

The BBC has published detailed election guidelines outlining its approach to covering polling day.

Like other broadcasters, the BBC is not allowed to report details of campaigning or local election issues on TV, radio or online on polling day until 22:00, when voting closes.

A purple banner reading "More on local elections 2025" with a multi-coloured pyramid on the right-hand-side

Is there an election in my area and where can I vote?

30 April 2025 at 18:03
BBC An image of a woman tying a polling station sign to iron railings, with a multicoloured triangle superimposed on the photo. BBC

Anyone who wants to vote in May's local elections must register before midnight on Friday.

Voters in some parts of England will elect councillors and mayors on Thursday 1 May.

These are the first local elections since the general election was held in July 2024.

Which elections are taking place on 1 May?

Elections are taking place in 23 councils across England.

All seats will be contested in:

  • 14 county councils: Cambridgeshire, Derbyshire, Devon, Gloucestershire, Hertfordshire, Kent, Lancashire, Leicestershire, Lincolnshire, Nottinghamshire, Oxfordshire, Staffordshire, Warwickshire and Worcestershire
  • 8 unitary authorities: Buckinghamshire, Cornwall, County Durham, North Northamptonshire, Northumberland, Shropshire, West Northamptonshire and Wiltshire
  • 1 metropolitan district: Doncaster

Six mayoral elections are also happening: in the West of England, Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, North Tyneside, Doncaster and – for the first time – in Greater Lincolnshire and Hull and East Yorkshire.

In addition, council elections are taking place in the Isles of Scilly.

A map showing where local elections are taking place in England on Thursday 1 May 2025, including the six mayoral contests.

On 5 February, the government announced that some local elections would not take place as planned.

Elections in East Sussex, West Sussex, Essex, Thurrock, Hampshire, the Isle of Wight, Norfolk, Suffolk and Surrey will be delayed until 2026 as part of a wider shake-up of local government.

Voters in the Runcorn and Helsby constituency will also elect their new MP on 1 May.

The former Labour MP Mike Amesbury announced he was standing down after his conviction for assaulting a constituent.

No routine elections are taking place in Wales, Scotland or Northern Ireland.

How can I vote in the May elections?

There are three ways to vote:

  • in person at your local polling station on election day between 0700 BST and 2200 BST
  • by postal vote
  • by nominating a proxy - someone to vote on your behalf

To vote in local elections you must be:

Voters in some areas may have several ballot papers for the different elections taking place.

In council elections, voters generally have one vote for each available seat in an election area - known as a ward or division. However, some large wards have several seats.

As in general elections, whoever receives the most votes wins. If, for example, there are three seats available, then the top three candidates win.

Mayors are also elected under this system, known as first-past-the-post.

EU citizens cannot vote in the Runcorn and Helsby parliamentary by-election.

What is the deadline for registering to vote?

To vote in person in England and Wales, you must be on the electoral register by 23:59 BST on Friday 11 April 2025.

You can register online with your National Insurance number, or by writing to your council's electoral registration office.

If you are already registered, the deadline to request a postal vote is 17:00 BST on Monday 14 April.

If you are already registered, the deadline to apply for a proxy vote is 17:00 BST on Wednesday 23 April.

The rules about postal voting have changed, and you now need to reapply every three years. Any postal vote which was set up before 31 October 2023 will expire on 31 January 2026.

The proxy rules have also changed. Proxy votes in place before 31 October 2023 have already expired, and you must apply for a new one.

What ID do I need to vote?

You must show photo ID in order to vote in person. You do not need your polling card.

There are more than 20 acceptable forms of ID, including passports, driving licences and - from 1 May - Armed Forces Veteran Cards.

You can use out-of-date ID as long as you are still recognisable.

Anyone who is already registered to vote but doesn't have the correct ID - or who no longer looks like their photo - can apply for a free document known as a Voter Authority Certificate.

The deadline to apply for a certificate to use in the May elections is 17:00 BST on Wednesday 23 April.

What can and can't I do in the polling station?

You must not take selfies or any other photographs inside a polling station.

With the exception of assistance dogs, animals are not usually allowed in polling stations, but can be admitted at the discretion of the local authority.

You are welcome to bring your children but they must not mark your vote on the ballot paper.

Writing implements are provided but you can bring your own pen or pencil.

You can wear political clothing but you must not discuss any of the candidates inside the polling station.

What happened in the 2024 local elections?

In the May 2024 local elections, when different councils were up for election, Labour won more than 1,000 of the 2,660 seats being contested.

The Conservatives lost almost as many councillors as they held and ended up in third place behind the Liberal Democrats.

In total, 20 councils changed hands, with Labour gaining 10 and losing two.

Labour also won nine out of the 10 mayoral contests, with the Conservatives winning the other.

What do local councils do and why do local elections matter?

Different types of councils are responsible for a variety of local services. These include:

  • care for the elderly and disabled
  • fixing potholes on some roads
  • collecting rubbish and recycling
  • housing
  • education
Getty Images A smiling woman with blonde hair wears as light blue coat as she pushes a grinning young boy on a tyre swing in a park. Getty Images

Many councils are facing a funding crisis, and have cut services.

Voters in the May elections will have seen their council tax increase in April.

What do mayors do?

Six mayors will be elected on 1 May:

  • two single authority mayors in Doncaster and North Tyneside
  • four metro mayors in the West of England, Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, Greater Lincolnshire, and Hull and East Yorkshire

A single authority mayor is the political leader of the council. They are responsible for delivering local council services.

Metro mayors are regional leaders who chair combined authorities, which are groups of several local councils.

They set out plans to boost their local economy, and have some powers over housing and transport.

When will the May election results be known?

Some local election results will be announced overnight into Friday 2 May, including three of the mayoral results.

Most of the council seats will be counted on Friday, and no results are expected over the weekend.

It is not clear when the result of the Runcorn and Helsby by-election will be announced. At the general election in July 2024, the outcome was known fairly early - at around 02:25.

How does the BBC report polling day?

Detailed BBC election guidelines are written and published for each election, setting out the approach it has to take on polling day.

The BBC, like other broadcasters, is not allowed to report details of campaigning or local election issues on TV, radio or online on polling day between 06:00 and 22:00, when voting closes.

While polls are open, it is a criminal offence to report any exit polls, which aim to predict election results on the basis of surveys of how people say they have voted.

References to the local elections on the day are normally restricted to uncontroversial factual accounts, such as the appearance of politicians at polling stations, the weather, or practical information about how to vote.

Once the polls have closed at 22:00, the election guidelines no longer apply.

However, the BBC must still report the results with the impartiality required both by Ofcom and the BBC's own Editorial Guidelines.

Banner with the words More on local elections 2025 against a purple backdrop. There is a multi-coloured pyramid on the right hand side.

Can I take children or pets to a polling station?

29 April 2025 at 20:06

Selfies, dogs, children and drinking: What can't you do in a polling station?

  • Published
A small boy wearing a yellow raincoat walks with his dad into a polling station in a primary school.Image source, Getty Images

Voters in parts of England will elect councillors and mayors on 1 May.

Voters in the Runcorn and Helsby constituency will also choose their new MP on the same day.

What can and can't you do in the polling station when voting in person?

Do I need my polling card to vote and can I vote in any polling station?

If you are registered to vote, external, you will be sent a polling card with your polling number and polling station details.

You do not need to take the polling card with you but it might speed up the process.

You do have to take valid photo ID, external.

You can only vote at your local polling station, which might not be the same as in previous elections.

You can also find your local polling station online, external.

Polling stations are open between 0700 BST and 2200. You can vote after 22:00 as long as you were already in the queue at that point.

Can I use my own pen or pencil?

Writing implements are provided but you can bring your own if you wish.

Can I take a selfie?

You are not allowed to take photos inside a polling station because the Electoral Commission - which oversees UK elections - says it risks the secrecy of the ballot.

The punishment for revealing how someone else voted - even accidentally - is a fine of up to £5,000, or six months in prison.

People are welcome to take photos outside.

Can I take children or pets to a polling station?

A man takes a selfie on his mobile phone while standing outside a polling station. He wears glasses, a dark brown coat and a red hat.Image source, Getty Images

Can I tell my social media followers how I voted?

You can, but voters are advised not to update their social media accounts inside the polling station.

The rules for postal voting are different, so voters can share photos of their own postal ballot paper on social media if they wish.

Can I wear political clothing?

The Electoral Commission says there is nothing in law to prevent someone wearing a political slogan when going into a polling station to vote.

However, they should leave immediately afterwards, as campaigning inside polling stations is not allowed.

Can I discuss the candidates?

Political discussion is banned inside polling stations.

Staff will intervene if they hear any references to candidates or parties.

Can I bring my pet?

Animals, apart from assistance dogs, are not usually allowed in polling stations., external

However, other dogs can be admitted at the discretion of the local authority.

Dogs waiting outside a polling stationImage source, Getty Images

Can I take my children with me to vote?

Bringing children to the polling station is encouraged, to help educate them about democracy.

But children are not allowed to mark your vote on the ballot paper.

Can I vote if I've been drinking?

People who have been drinking or are drunk can vote, unless they are disruptive.

Can I have help if I am disabled?

Polling station staff can help you, or you can bring someone with you.

In England, anyone over the age of 18 can help you cast your vote. They do not need to be eligible to vote in the election.

Polling stations should have large-print sample ballot papers and tactile voting devices to help people with visual impairments.

You can take your phone into the polling booth to use magnifier or text-to-speech apps, or the phone torch to improve lighting. But you must not take any photos inside the polling station.

Do I have to vote?

Voting in UK elections is not compulsory. It is entirely up to you whether or not to vote.

Can I spoil my ballot paper?

Some people deliberately spoil their vote - for example, by writing a message on the ballot paper as a protest.

These are recorded, but do not count for or against any candidate.

If you sign your ballot and your name is identifiable, the vote does not count.

Do I have to give my details to 'tellers' outside the polling station?

Sometimes so-called "tellers" stand outside the polling station and ask voters for the number on their polling card.

They are volunteers who work for candidates. They use the information to check who has voted, so they can remind people who have not yet done so.

They are allowed to ask for your polling card number, but you do not have to give it to them.

The photo ID you will need to cast your vote

29 April 2025 at 18:37

What photo ID will you need to vote in the local elections?

  • Published
A polling station sign outside a polling station in Wakefield. The laminated sign is on metal railings surrounded by flowering shrubsImage source, Getty Images

Everyone voting in person at the local elections in England on 1 May must show valid photo ID.

Voters in the Runcorn and Helsby by-election also need to provide proof of their identity.

Anyone without the correct ID will be turned away.

What voter ID can you use at the May elections?

More than 20 forms of ID will be accepted, external, including:

  • passports

  • driving licences

  • older or Disabled Person's bus passes

  • Oyster 60+ cards

  • Armed Forces Veteran Cards (from 1 May)

You can use out-of-date photo ID as long as you look the same.

If you wear a face covering, such as a medical mask or a veil worn on religious grounds, you will be asked to remove it briefly, external so polling station staff can check that your ID looks like you.

What if you don't have an acceptable form of ID?

You can exchange a paper driving licence for a photocard, or apply for a photocard travel pass if you are aged 60 or over, disabled or registered blind or partially sighted.

Alternatively, anyone registered to vote, external without the correct ID - or who no longer looks like their photo - can apply for a free document called a voter authority certificate, external.

However it is too late to get one to use in the May elections.

Voters in England whose ID is lost or stolen can apply for an emergency proxy vote, external up until 17:00 on polling day.

Both they and their proxy - a person nominated to vote on their behalf - must already be registered to vote.

What happens if you can't show valid ID at the polling station?

If you go to the polling station without the correct ID, you will be asked to come back with valid documentation.

If you think your ID has been wrongly rejected, the Electoral Commission - which oversees UK elections - says you should notify the presiding officer at the polling station., external

If this does not resolve the issue, you can raise your concerns with your council's returning officer.

Polling station staff record how many voters are turned away, as well as the number who return with valid ID.

According to the commission:

  • 0.2% of people trying to vote at a polling station in the May 2024 local elections were unable to because of the ID requirement

  • 0.08% were turned away from polling stations at the general election because of a lack of ID

Why do voters need photo ID?

When the photo ID rules were introduced in May 2023, the government said it would stop votes being stolen, although that is quite unusual in the UK.

There were 1,462 cases of alleged electoral fraud reported to police between 2019 and 2023, according to the most recent figures from the Electoral Commission., external

Of these, 11 involved impersonation at polling stations. One resulted in a conviction and one in a caution, and the police took no further action in the other nine cases.

The Electoral Commission has called on the government to expand the list of accepted ID and to allow voters to cast their ballot without ID if another registered voter could vouch for their identity.

US and Ukraine sign critical minerals deal

1 May 2025 at 07:22
Getty Images Earth and minerals are loaded onto a truck at an open-pit mine in Donetsk region in February.Getty Images
Ukraine has a vast mining industry and large reserves of rare minerals

Both the US and Ukraine have said they are broadly ready to sign a deal which would give American firms access to Ukraine's minerals.

"We are ready to sign this afternoon if they are," US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday, adding that Ukraine "decided to make last minute changes" to the agreement.

Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko was flying to Washington on Wednesday after an apparent breakthrough in negotiations.

Earlier, BBC News saw a draft copy of the deal, which provides for the creation of a joint Ukrainian-US investment fund to search for minerals in Ukraine, and set outs how revenues would be split.

On Wednesday afternoon a US source familiar with the talks criticised Ukraine for seeking to re-open some terms that had already been agreed upon over the weekend.

Both US and Ukrainian teams worked through the night on Friday into Saturday to finalise the documents, as well as into the early morning on Wednesday, the source told the BBC.

They added that the sticking points include governance of the fund, the transparency mechanism, and steps to ensure that all funds are fully traceable.

Despite these last minute negotiations, the signing could still happen by the end of Wednesday if the US side believes that Ukraine is complying with already agreed upon terms, the source said.

"Nothing's been removed," Bessent said when asked about any changes to the deal. "It's the same agreement that we agreed to on the weekend. No changes on our side."

Technical documents were signed last week by representatives of both countries.

In Kyiv, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said that Ukraine expected the deal to be signed within "the next 24 hours".

"This is truly a good, equal and beneficial international agreement on joint investments in the development and recovery of Ukraine," Shmyhal said.

EPA Donald Trump and Zelensky sitting talking face to face at the Vatican.EPA
Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky spoke face-to-face while they were in Rome for the funeral of Pope Francis at the weekend

Since returning to the White House, US President Donald Trump has repeatedly pushed for an agreement as a prerequisite to offering any future security guarantees to Kyiv, as Ukraine continues to fight against invading Russian forces.

Ukraine is believed to have vast reserves of critical rare minerals like graphite, titanium and lithium beneath its soil. They are highly sought after because of their use in renewable energy, military applications and industrial infrastructure.

The Trump administration's push for access to another country's mineral wealth comes amid a growing trade war with China, where 90% of the world's current stocks are sourced from.

The draft deal also appears to give the US sweeping access to Ukrainian industries beyond minerals.

While it does not specify security support that Washington is willing to provide in return, it states that the deal is "a tangible demonstration of the United States of America's support for Ukraine's security".

The agreement comes days after Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky held a face-to-face meeting on the sidelines of Pope Francis' funeral, and as talks between Moscow and Washington over a possible ceasefire in Ukraine continue.

The latest Trump-Zelensky talks appeared to be far more amicable than their meeting at the White House in February, and have led to a softening in tone from the US president towards his Ukrainian counterpart in the days that followed, as well as an increased level of criticism of Russia's attacks.

Speaking on Wednesday, Trump said: "As you know, we're looking for rare earth [minerals] all the time.

"They have a lot, and we made a deal, so we can start digging and doing what we have to do. It's also good for them."

The initial agreement was due to be signed in February, but fell apart following the heated exchange between the two leaders, when Trump accused Zelensky of "gambling with World War Three".

Judge Rebukes Apple and Orders It to Loosen Grip on App Store

1 May 2025 at 08:39
The ruling was a stinging defeat for Apple in a long-running antitrust case brought by Epic Games, the maker of Fortnite, on behalf of app developers.

© Patrick Semansky/Associated Press

The App Store makes up a large portion of the nearly $100 billion in annual services revenue that Apple collects.

事实查核|网传视频显示,白宫墙上挂着「2028竞选红帽」销售图?

查核结果:错误

一分钟完读:

近日在微博、X等平台上流传一则短视频,画面是美国总统特朗普向福克斯新闻记者展示白宫墙上挂着的「2028竞选红帽」销售页面截图,特朗普还问记者,「很酷,对吧?」

但经查,福克斯新闻播出的原始影像中,挂在白宫墙上的是《独立宣言》文件,社媒用户传播的短视频显然经过修改。

深度分析:

微博大VX蓝勾用户在4月25日发布一则16秒的短视频,画面是美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump, 又译川普)向福克斯新闻 (Fox News)主持人劳拉‧殷格拉汉(Laura Ingraham)介绍白宫椭圆形办公室,并且揭开挂在墙上的帘子,里面的相框展示写着「TRUMP 2028」红色帽子的图像。

在短视频中,特朗普向殷格拉汉说,「这很酷,对吧?昨天才挂上的。妳认为拜登会这么做吗?我不认为。」字幕写着「特朗普向劳拉展示惊人的东西」。

转传这则短视频的社媒用户宣称,特朗普「把(2028竞选帽子)网站的销售页面截图起来,像一幅油画,挂在白宫里,还挂了个帘子,自己亲自向福克斯记者Laura揭幕」。

社媒流传一则短视频,美国总统特朗普在白宫办公室墙上挂着竞选红帽的图像。
社媒流传一则短视频,美国总统特朗普在白宫办公室墙上挂着竞选红帽的图像。
(微博截图)

亚洲事实查核实验室(Asia Fact Check Lab, AFCL)以关键字查询,找到福克斯新闻网站上的相符影像,播出时间为2025年3月中。在福克斯新闻的原始影像3分28秒处,出现了和网传短视频高度相似的画面,特朗普向殷格拉汉展示挂在白宫办公室墙上的相框,但不同的是,特朗普拉开帘子后,相框里放的是《独立宣言》文件,字幕也写着「特朗普向劳拉展示独立宣言」。网传短视频的画面显然经过修改。

福克斯新闻的原始影片显示,美国总统特朗普展示挂在白宫墙上的是独立宣言。
福克斯新闻的原始影片显示,美国总统特朗普展示挂在白宫墙上的是独立宣言。
(福克斯新闻截图)

AFCL注意到,网传短视频右下角有「Dilley Meme Team」的浮水印,据《英国广播电台》(BBC)新闻报道,这是一个制作支持特朗普影片和图像的团体,提供许多讽刺政治内容;但没有迹象表明,该团体是由特朗普竞选团队所资助。

根据《美国广播公司》(ABC)等多家媒体近期新闻报道,特朗普的网路商店开始贩售印有「Trump 2028」字样的红色帽子,此前特朗普曾暗示有意竞选第三任期。美国宪法第22条修正案规定,「无论何人,当选担任总统,职务不得超过两次」。

亚洲事实查核实验室(Asia Fact Check Lab)针对当今复杂媒体环境以及新兴传播生态而成立。我们本于新闻专业主义,提供专业查核报告及与信息环境相关的传播观察、深度报导,帮助读者对公共议题获得多元而全面的认识。读者若对任何媒体及社交平台传播的信息有疑问,欢迎以电邮afcl@rfa.org寄给亚洲事实查核实验室,由我们为您查证核实。

亚洲事实查核实验室更详细的介绍请参考本文。我们另有X、脸书、IG频道,欢迎读者追踪、分享、转发。 X这边请进:中文@asiafactcheckcn;英语:@AFCL_engFB在这里IG也别忘了

© AFCL制图

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Trump Tariffs and Shrinking GDP Raise Political Stakes

1 May 2025 at 08:24
The report that the economy contracted in the first quarter underscored how much President Trump has at risk as he pursues an aggressive trade war.

© Pete Marovich for The New York Times

President Trump met with his cabinet at the White House on Wednesday.

David Horowitz, Leftist Turned Trump Defender, Is Dead at 86

1 May 2025 at 07:17
Once a Marxist, he came to embrace hard-right positions, including the falsehood that Mr. Trump won in 2020, and to mentor Stephen Miller, later the Trump adviser.

© Monica Almeida/The New York Times

David Horowitz in his office in Los Angeles in 2000.

New Mideast Project Is Latest Trump Company Deal Tied to Foreign Government

The Trump Organization agreed to partner on a real estate project in Qatar in the latest of a series of projects tied to foreign governments.

© Bassam Masoud/Reuters

Eric Trump looking at a model of a planned Trump project with officials in Doha, Qatar, on Wednesday.

Meta warns of 'worse' experience for European users

1 May 2025 at 05:47
Getty Images Blonde woman looks frustrated while using her smartphone at homeGetty Images

Meta warned Wednesday that European users could face a "materially worse" experience following a key regulatory decision by the European Commission.

Meta recently introduced a "consent or pay" model which leaves users to choose between paying for a monthly subscription or letting Meta combine data it has collected on Facebook and Instagram.

Last week, the European Commision - the EU's executive - announced it had decided that the model does not comply with the Digital Markets Act (DMA) and fined Meta €200m (£171m).

"Based on feedback from the EC in connection with the DMA, we expect we will need to make some modifications to our model," Meta said in its quarterly earnings statement.

Meta said it expected those modifications "could result in a materially worse user experience for European users and a significant impact" to its European business and revenue.

The company said those impacts could kick in as soon as the third quarter of this year, and may be in effect while it appeals the decision.

Eric Seufert, analyst at Mobile Dev Memo, said Meta may be trying to strategically turn European users into "vocal cheerleaders" for its products amid a regulatory clampdown.

"What they ultimately want to do is turn public opinion against this regulatory regime which will demonstrably degrade the product offerings that are available to EU residents," Seufert told the BBC in a phone interview after the announcement.

Meta, formerly known as Facebook, includes the social media network in addition to the photo sharing app Instagram and the messaging service WhatsApp.

The Commission has said that Meta's consent-or-pay model does not allow users to freely consent to how their data is used.

The body is currently assessing another option Meta introduced last year, which the company says uses less personal data to display advertisements.

Meta was given 60 days to comply with the DMA's recent decision, or risk further fines.

Apple was also issued a €500m (£428m) fine over its App Store practices last week.

Meta's announcement comes as it released quarterly earnings that beat Wall Street expectations.

The results showed Meta continues to bring in significant advertising revenue.

The company touted its AI tools on Wednesday.

"We're making good progress on AI glasses and Meta AI, which now has almost 1 billion monthly actives," Meta founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg said in a statement.

"Our community continues to grow and our business is performing very well," he said.

Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown said the results showed that Meta has gone "full throttle on investments in AI" and notes

Britzman also noted the 6% jump in daily active users.

"There had been some concerns that we might see a slowdown in new users this year, but this was a very strong start and a signal to investors that Meta's family of apps has a grip on users that's hard to displace," Britzman said.

The EC fine comes amid what Meta called "an active regulatory landscape" in its earnings report.

The company is currently defending itself at trial in a case brought by the US Federal Trade Commission which alleges that Meta runs a social media monopoly.

The FTC, the top antitrust watchdog in the US, says Meta cemented its monopoly by purchasing Instagram in 2012 and WhatsApp in 2014.

Trump, on Tariffs, Says ‘Maybe the Children Will Have 2 Dolls Instead of 30’

1 May 2025 at 06:13
At the end of a cabinet meeting, the president allowed for the possibility that trade war could disrupt supply chains.

© Krista Schlueter for The New York Times

Toy stores may see a shortage of dolls because of President Trump’s tariff policies, an executive of an industry group said.

At Vietnam War Memorial, Grief, Anger and a Sense of Finally Moving On

1 May 2025 at 08:44
Visitors to the Vietnam Veterans Memorial on the anniversary of the fall of Saigon said they still felt sadness and fury. And some, at last, had a sense of closure.

© Allison Robbert for The New York Times

A National Park Service volunteer, Sam Calabrese, helps a visitor trace a name at the Vietnam Veterans Memorial on Wednesday, the 50th anniversary of the fall of Saigon.

South Africa to review claims past ANC governments impeded apartheid crimes investigations

1 May 2025 at 04:02
Four men walking

South Africa’s president, Cyril Ramaphosa, is setting up an inquiry into whether past ANC governments interfered with the investigation and prosecution of apartheid-era crimes, amid criticism from the families of victims.

A group of 25 relatives and survivors of apartheid-era deaths and violence sued the government in January, claiming that interference from “the highest levels of government” blocked investigations into cases referred to the National Prosecuting Authority by the Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC).

On Wednesday, the presidency said in a statement: “Allegations of improper influence in delaying or hindering the investigation and prosecution of apartheid-era crimes have persisted from previous administrations.

“Through this commission, President Ramaphosa is determined that the true facts be established and the matter brought to finality … President Ramaphosa appreciates the anguish and frustration of the families of victims, who have fought for so many years for justice.”

The families suing the government include those of four men known as the Cradock Four, who were beaten, strangled with telephone wire, stabbed and shot to death in one of the most notorious killings of South Africa’s apartheid era.

In 1999, the country’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC) denied six security officers amnesty for their role in the killings of Fort Calata, Sparrow Mkonto, Matthew Goniwe and Sicelo Mhlauli. The officers were never prosecuted and are all now dead.

The families criticised Ramaphosa’s decision that an inquiry should assess their claims for “constitutional damages” – their high court case asked for 167m rand (£7.3m) to fund further investigations and litigation, as well as memorials and public education – and said that their rights were violated.

They said in a statement that an inquiry would have no authority over these areas and would only be able to offer advice. “This fundamental shortcoming was pointed out to the president’s legal team, as well as the fact that it will likely result in the issues remaining unresolved for years. This will perpetuate the pain and trauma that the families and survivors have experienced for many years.”

South Africa’s governments have been led by the African National Congress party of Nelson Mandela since the end of apartheid over 30 years ago.

In March, Thabo Mbeki, who was president from 1999 to 2008, and the former justice minister Brigitte Mabandla applied to intervene in the families’ high court case. Mbeki has repeatedly denied interfering in decisions to prosecute apartheid-era cases.

US and Ukraine inch towards critical minerals deal

1 May 2025 at 05:10
Getty Images Earth and minerals are loaded onto a truck at an open-pit mine in Donetsk region in February.Getty Images
Ukraine has a vast mining industry and large reserves of rare minerals

Both the US and Ukraine have said they are broadly ready to sign a deal which would give American firms access to Ukraine's minerals.

"We are ready to sign this afternoon if they are," US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Wednesday, adding that Ukraine "decided to make last minute changes" to the agreement.

Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko was flying to Washington on Wednesday after an apparent breakthrough in negotiations.

Earlier, BBC News saw a draft copy of the deal, which provides for the creation of a joint Ukrainian-US investment fund to search for minerals in Ukraine, and set outs how revenues would be split.

On Wednesday afternoon a US source familiar with the talks criticised Ukraine for seeking to re-open some terms that had already been agreed upon over the weekend.

Both US and Ukrainian teams worked through the night on Friday into Saturday to finalise the documents, as well as into the early morning on Wednesday, the source told the BBC.

They added that the sticking points include governance of the fund, the transparency mechanism, and steps to ensure that all funds are fully traceable.

Despite these last minute negotiations, the signing could still happen by the end of Wednesday if the US side believes that Ukraine is complying with already agreed upon terms, the source said.

"Nothing's been removed," Bessent said when asked about any changes to the deal. "It's the same agreement that we agreed to on the weekend. No changes on our side."

Technical documents were signed last week by representatives of both countries.

In Kyiv, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said that Ukraine expected the deal to be signed within "the next 24 hours".

"This is truly a good, equal and beneficial international agreement on joint investments in the development and recovery of Ukraine," Shmyhal said.

EPA Donald Trump and Zelensky sitting talking face to face at the Vatican.EPA
Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky spoke face-to-face while they were in Rome for the funeral of Pope Francis at the weekend

Since returning to the White House, US President Donald Trump has repeatedly pushed for an agreement as a prerequisite to offering any future security guarantees to Kyiv, as Ukraine continues to fight against invading Russian forces.

Ukraine is believed to have vast reserves of critical rare minerals like graphite, titanium and lithium beneath its soil. They are highly sought after because of their use in renewable energy, military applications and industrial infrastructure.

The Trump administration's push for access to another country's mineral wealth comes amid a growing trade war with China, where 90% of the world's current stocks are sourced from.

The draft deal also appears to give the US sweeping access to Ukrainian industries beyond minerals.

While it does not specify security support that Washington is willing to provide in return, it states that the deal is "a tangible demonstration of the United States of America's support for Ukraine's security".

The agreement comes days after Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky held a face-to-face meeting on the sidelines of Pope Francis' funeral, and as talks between Moscow and Washington over a possible ceasefire in Ukraine continue.

The latest Trump-Zelensky talks appeared to be far more amicable than their meeting at the White House in February, and have led to a softening in tone from the US president towards his Ukrainian counterpart in the days that followed, as well as an increased level of criticism of Russia's attacks.

Speaking on Wednesday, Trump said: "As you know, we're looking for rare earth [minerals] all the time.

"They have a lot, and we made a deal, so we can start digging and doing what we have to do. It's also good for them."

The initial agreement was due to be signed in February, but fell apart following the heated exchange between the two leaders, when Trump accused Zelensky of "gambling with World War Three".

House Votes to Repeal California’s Clean Truck Policies

1 May 2025 at 06:22
Lawmakers voted to stop the state from requiring that an increasing share of new trucks sold there have zero emissions.

© Mark Abramson for The New York Times

An electric truck at the Port of Los Angeles in 2023.

访谈:维吾尔人权活动家茹仙·阿巴斯和她为自由的抗争

By: 维语组
1 May 2025 at 05:57

茹仙·阿巴斯(Rushan Abbas)是最杰出的维吾尔族群人权倡导者之一。她的回忆录《不屈:一个维吾尔人为自由的抗争》将在6月10日出版。

这本书讲述了她的个人旅程:从1980年代在中国做学生时从事民主运动,到1989年移居美国,再到她努力提醒人们关注维吾尔人的困境,即遭遇大规模拘禁和其它严重虐待——美国政府说这些行为构成了种族灭绝。

在她为之发声的人中,包括她的姐姐古丽仙·阿巴斯(Gulshan Abbas),她在2018年被中国监禁。她的父亲阿巴斯·包尔汉,一位杰出的维吾尔学者,因为她的活动被迫离开了新疆科学技术协会主席的职务。

茹仙·阿巴斯目前担任总部位于美国人权组织维吾尔运动(Campaign for Uyghurs)的执行主任。她表示,她由奥普蒂姆国际出版社(Optimum Publishing International)出版的这本书既是个人证词,也是为让世界范围内的政府和公民展开行动发出的政治呼吁。她接受了自由亚洲电台维吾尔语组记者Shahrezad Ghayrat的采访。这一采访已经过编辑,以保证篇幅和清晰度。

RFA:您的书名是《不屈》。在您经历和目睹了这一切之后,不屈对您个人意味着什么?

茹仙·阿巴斯:不屈意味着尽管我的人民和我的家庭经历了一切——分离、苦难、压迫和大规模拘禁——我们的精神、尊严、希望没有被摧毁。这是对韧性的见证,也是对这样的理念的证明:即使在最困难的条件下,维吾尔人也不会被打败,我们会抗争。我们会带着不屈的意志和勇气继续抗争。

RFA:您分享了您已故父亲的部分回忆录。他的故事怎样影响了您今天争取维吾尔自由的抗争?

茹仙·阿巴斯:我父亲的故事,他在文化大革命期间所经历的一切,是我自己争取维吾尔自由斗争的核心。他的回忆录是在他在美国的短暂时期写成的。他经历了难以想象的压迫,和我的母亲、我的祖父母一起,在文化大革命期间坚持着对后代的希望。他始终对后代抱有希望,为下一代倡导人权铺平了道路。我今天能在这里,就是因为他。我很小的时候就这样。我将我的人民和奉献交给这项事业,这都归功于他。因此,这不仅仅是我通过这本书写下的一个政治故事,也不仅仅是我个人的故事,或仅仅是我家庭的故事,它是一个属于所有在家乡的维吾尔人民的故事。

RFA:您将《不屈》描述为既一个个人故事,也是一个关于展开行动的政治呼吁。您最希望谁能听到这个呼吁:政策制定者、公众,还是两者都希望?

茹仙·阿巴斯:其实是两者——政策制定者和公众。我希望公众了解正在发生的事的人道代价,与我们站在一起。我也希望政策制定者能感受到采取行动的急迫,了解如果我们不追究中国专制政府的责任,世界将会付出什么样的代价。各国政府必须行动,向中国政府施加压力、追究责任,因为我们在谈论自由世界的未来,而不仅仅是正发生在维吾尔人身上的事或中国在它境内做的事。

RFA:尊者达赖喇嘛、(知名维吾尔人被迫害问题学者)郑国恩博士(Dr. Adrian Zenz)以及其他人都对您的书表达了支持。国际团结,包括来自不同社区的声音,在对抗中国压迫方面有多重要?

茹仙·阿巴斯:国际团结不可或缺,它很重要。中国的压迫是一个全球人权问题,它影响着未来的世界……它不仅仅是一个维吾尔人的问题。因此,我们不是在讨论一些只发生在维吾尔人身上的事,也是(关于)如果我们不发声、不向中国追责,中国将会怎样影响世界。因为如果我们不现在就阻止中共,我们的后代将会(面对)一个不自由的世界带来的后果。所以,当来自不同社区的声音站在一起,比如藏人、香港人、中国民运人士、穆斯林社区、学者和立法者,它就向世界表明,任河地方的不公都需要所有地方的行动。

RFA:您的书涵盖了拘禁营地、强制绝育和监控等痛苦的话题。对您来说,最难写的一章是什么,为什么?

茹仙·阿巴斯:正如你提到的,所有这些暴行——拘禁营地、强制绝育、强制结婚、监控、儿童被掳走——所有这些都不堪回首,但最后一章尤其难写。最后一章的题目是《希望之光》,它反映了我们作为一个组织或一个活动人士在过去几年里获得的一些成果。写关于成就的事尤其具有挑战性和困难,因为我们知道就在今天,维吾尔人民的现实状况仍然没有改变。这场种族灭绝仍在继续。我持续着每天与海外维吾尔人交谈,谈论我们的人民在家乡经历的可怕遭遇。因此,在局势如此,你知道,仍然如此可怕的情况下,要写关于成就的事并试着带给人们希望是困难的。

RFA:您一直是全球范围内坚定的人权提倡者。您如何看待海外侨民社区——不仅是维吾尔人,也包括其它群体在世界范围内捍卫人权承担的角色?

茹仙·阿巴斯:侨民社区有至关重要的角色。我们通过发声、组织、建立联盟,讲述那些高压政权试图封锁的故事。我们促成让这些迫害人权的行为保留在国际视野中,出现在国际对话中,并推动为中共残酷统治下的所有人追究责任和争取自由。因此,这个角色极为重要。

RFA:随着《不屈》的出版,您希望国际社会,特别是各国政府接下来采取什么具体行动?

茹仙·阿巴斯:我希望各国政府不要只说空洞的话和声明。我希望他们将开始采取行动,对那些从强迫劳动中获利的公司实施制裁,对那些对暴行负有责任的中国官员进行制裁,禁止维吾尔奴工制造的产品;并且在他们的对华外交政策中优先考虑人权问题,每当与中国进行贸易对话或任河形式的外交接触时,维吾尔问题都应被放在前面和核心。维吾尔人民理应生活在自由中,享有对他们人格尊严的完全尊重。

RFA:跨国镇压是您强调的一个主题。您个人是如何体验到中国试图让您在它的境外保持沉默的?

茹仙·阿巴斯:我经历了不断的骚扰、攻击、死亡威胁和通过网络威胁进行的诽谤……各种恐吓企图,但最具破坏性的跨国镇压例子是我姐姐的事,她是古丽仙·阿巴斯博士,一个退休医生。她被中国政府不公正地囚禁,这是对我作为一个美国公民的主张和在美国行使我的言论自由的报复。甚至尽管,你知道,我已经在中国之外生活了36年。他们仍然继续……针对我的姐姐,试图通过把她关进监狱让我沉默。因此,这是中国试图让我沉默的过程中,我经历的最严酷的跨国镇压。但他们犯了一个如此巨大的错误,持续地将我姐姐作为人质,不仅给了我完全的力量去更有力地抗争,而且这也成了国际舞台、论坛、峰会和各种平台邀请我讲话的原因,因为我是直接受害者的妹妹,她在狱中受到虚假的指控。所以,中国政府的这种企图正在反噬他们。它没有奏效,反而实际上给了我更多讲话的机会。

RFA:回顾您数十年的倡导,是什么在今天给了您关于维吾尔人民未来最多的希望?

茹仙·阿巴斯:给我带来最大希望的,是维吾尔人民的韧性,以及全球对中共是对全人类、自由和民主的威胁的认知和理解在增长。无论如何,我们的文化、我们的身份和我们的精神仍然存在,随着越来越多的人开始认识和了解中国共产党意图向全球输出它的压迫和专制模式,全世界越来越多的人与我们站在一起。

RFA:如果您能直接对那些感到害怕或被沉默的维吾尔年轻人传递一条信息,那会是什么?

茹仙·阿巴斯:你们并不孤单,你们的声音很重要。我们的历史、我们的身份和我们的未来通过你们存在。不管中共如何努力尝试,他们都无法抹杀掉我们是谁。让我们带着一种不屈的内在力量和精神,一同全力对抗极权体系。正义将会胜利,我们需要发声。除非我们今天就说出来,否则剩下的就只有遗憾。

© AP

维吾尔人权活动家茹仙·阿巴斯在华盛顿国会山举行的美国国会行政当局中国委员会听证会上作证。

中美贸易谈判罗生门 美专家:北京更在乎报复美国

“中国不退⋯⋯世界的公理就有人守护。”为应对美国关税战,中国外交部加大宣传力度,周二(29日)发布题为“不跪!”(Never Kneel Down)的中英双语宣传片,强调不会向霸权低头。同日稍晚,美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)则指关税战是否降温由中方决定,但其侵略性的经济模式将难以持久。

根据美国投资银行高盛的报告估算,美国总统特朗普发起的关税战,将使中国2025年的GDP增长降到约4%,2026年的GDP 预估增长降到约3.5%;美国对中国形同施加贸易禁运的做法,预计危及中国境内将近1620万个工作。

不过,中国外交部29日加大宣传中方强硬立场,发布题为“不跪“的中英语宣传片。在美国施加145%关税的压力下,北京的政策选择已经越发鲜明。

对于中国选择采取强硬的做法,前拜登政府国家安全委员会中国事务主任、现任布鲁金斯学会桑顿中国研究中心外交政策研究员秦江南(Jonathan Czin)对自由亚洲电台分析指出,相较于衡量中国经济可能承受的压力,北京更在乎的是反击美国总统这种对中国家关税的做法,“我认为在这几周里非常明显,他们并不急于这么做(谈判),实际上我认为北京方面想做的是,对美国进行报复,并采取一系列行动,他们希望让美国消费者、美国经济和一些关键的美国行业,像我们的科技行业,感受到痛苦,然后再采取任何形式的谈判。“

他进一步指出,”我认为北京不仅仅是在回应特朗普政府在解放日的举措。我认为他们还想向未来的美国总统政府传递一个信号,那就是,如果再次加征关税,中国将以让美国感到痛苦的方式反击。”

北京不急于谈判

自美国总统特朗普在4月2日宣布对美国贸易伙伴施加“对等关税”以来,美国贸易专家一度对中美贸易谈判感到乐观,认为一旦双方都承受不住压力,谈判就会水到渠成。

特朗普自4月10日也开始对中国松口,称自己与中国国家主席习近平有著”良好关系”,并对双方最终达成协议抱持乐观态度;17日,他又表示,“我认为我们会与中国达成一个非常好的协议”。在22日的白宫新闻发布会上,特朗普甚至进一步对税率做出表态,“145%是非常高的”,并指出该税率可以通过中美谈判降低。

但是中国商务部发言人在24日例行记者会上,否认中美双方已展开任何谈判,且强调“如果美方真想解决问题,就应该...彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施,通过平等对话找到解决分歧的办法。”

美国华盛顿智库亚洲协会政策研究所(ASPI)副主席、美国前贸易副代表科特勒(Wendy Cutler) 对本台指出,要求完全撤除关税对美国是“不切实际的(要求),而且中国对此也非常清楚。在准备长期(抗争)的同时,北京很显然相信时间是在他们那一方,” 中美谈判的前景已经更为复杂了。

美国《华尔街日报》23日引用一位白宫高级官员和知情人士指出,白宫正考虑削减对华关税至大约50%到65%之间。同时,政府也在考虑一种分级制度,类似于众议院中国问题委员会去年底提出的方案:对被美国视为不构成国家安全威胁的商品征收35%的关税,对被认为具有战略意义、关系到美国利益的商品征收至少100%的关税,整个制度在五年内逐步实施落实。

秦江南指出,随着特朗普政府不断做出表态,北京也在评估特朗普政府在谈判过程中,在多大程度上会自我妥协,“愿意在对方提出任何明确提案之前,不断让步来换取谈判的机会。”

他强调,”我认为习近平判断,中国在这场贸易战中能承受的痛苦指数比美国高“ , ”尤其是现在习近平已经进入第三个任期,他比上一次贸易战时更有权力。我认为他在国内政治上有更多的空间来度过这一局面。“

借贸易战加强控制和影响力

在贸易战展开后,习近平在4月14日展开为期一周东南亚之行,依次访问越南、马来西亚和柬埔寨;他一路反复强调“团结一致、共同应对外部威胁”。

秦江南指出,从访问结果看来,北京并未对这些国家提供很多诱因,但事实上北京在第一回合也不需要这么做,因为北京的目标是避免美国建构一个孤立中国的联盟,当美国的关税政策已经疏远了传统盟友和伙伴的同时,中国只要在充分了解美国政策对这些国家的伤害后,再提供一些诱因或好处就够了。

而且从另一角度来说,中国对美国的报复性反应,也是为了阻止第三国站队美国, 或在这些贸易问题上与美国站在一起,秦江南强调,”我认为他们已经传递了一个强烈的信号,就是中国是少数几个第一时间愿意采取报复行动的国家之一。“ 如果中国真的能够对美国经济造成痛苦,这将向像越南和其他国家,”特别是那些与中国有重要贸易关系的国家传送强烈讯息,提醒他们在与北京打交道时要小心谨慎。“

华盛顿智库美国企业研究所(American Enterprise Institute)资深研究员、经济和贸易专家史剑道(Derek Scissors), 也对本台指出,北京的首要目标并非中国经济的繁荣,而是”在降低别国对自身经济影响力的同时,增加自身经济对他国的影响力。“ 他强调,如果在关税战后,中国出口和就业降低了对美国的依赖,”习近平会欢迎这个结果“。

对于未来中美谈判的前景和管道建立,科特勒指出,从美国财政部、商务部到贸易代表办公室,太多的官员可以参与谈判,“真正而紧迫的障碍是启动初步对话,推动重返谈判桌。但是如果白宫坚持在几乎没有任何准备的情况下进行领导人之间的通话,那么在近期内与中国重新接触可能仍将难以实现。”

秦江南也强调,特朗普被认为想要自己和习近平进行一对一的谈判,但是习近平的做法会恰恰相反。“对于习近平来说,尤其是在泽伦斯基事件之后,这种直接对话的风险太大了,可能会出现什么意外情况。我认为他的偏好是让下级人员,也就是那些“手下”,先进行这些困难的对话,先谈判这些复杂而棘手的问题,然后习近平实际上是谈判的收尾者...我认为这就是我们现在看到的僵局“。

© 路透社資料圖片

北京加强游说与美方谈判的国家,宣称美国行为霸道,并不可信:而特朗普则利用对中国以外国家的90日关税宽限期,争取签订双边贸易协议。

U.S. and Ukraine Sign Minerals Deal

The agreement is intended to give the U.S. access to proceeds from Ukraine’s reserves of minerals and to help fund the rebuilding of Ukraine when the fighting stops.

© Brendan Hoffman for The New York Times

A uranium mine in Neopalymivka, Ukraine.

Meta Says It Anticipates Continued Growth Despite Tariffs

The Silicon Valley company made the revenue projection as it reported a 35 percent rise in profit in the first quarter.

© Jason Henry for The New York Times

Meta’s business has been robust in recent years as it has invested in using artificial intelligence to suggest different posts, videos and ads to users.

More Kneecap gigs cancelled after 'kill your MP' controversy

1 May 2025 at 03:18
Getty Images Three young men are standing close to each other posing for a photo. They are standing in front of a pink backdrop. One is crouched down and smiling. The man in the middle is wearing a Irish tricolour balaclava.Getty Images
Kneecap say they have faced a "smear campaign"

Three more concerts by Irish rap band Kneecap have been cancelled in Germany.

It comes after news that footage of the band allegedly calling for MPs to be killed is being assessed by counter-terrorism police.

A ticket site for the gigs in Hamburg, Berlin and Cologne states that the summer shows are no longer going ahead.

A number of politicians have been calling for the band to be uninvited from some UK gigs, with Tory MP Mark Francois saying the group should not be allowed to play Glastonbury in light of the ongoing police investigation.

Speaking on RTÉ's Prime Time on Tuesday, the band's manager said "moral hysteria" had taken hold and that the band are being held to a higher moral standard than politicians.

Daniel Lambert claimed a "concerted campaign" against the group is "solely about de-platforming artists".

"It's about telling the next young band, both through the music industry and through the political class, that you cannot speak about Palestine," he said.

On having gigs cancelled, the band's manager said: "It's not for us to worry, it's for us to have the strength of conviction that we did the right thing."

He added that going to Coachella was the right thing to do, and "all of this has emerged from that".

TV personality Sharon Osbourne called for the band's US work visas to be revoked after their performance at the Coachella music festival in California earlier this month, where they described Israel's military action in Gaza as a US-funded genocide.

Which Kneecap gigs have been cancelled?

Scheduled appearances at Hurricane and Southside festivals, also in Germany, were cancelled last week.

A gig at the Eden Project in Cornwall has also been cancelled.

On Tuesday, an Eden Sessions Limited spokesperson said: "Ticket purchasers will be contacted directly and will be fully refunded."

The band are set to support Fontaines DC at Boucher Playing Fields, Belfast, in August.

Speaking to BBC Radio Ulster's The Nolan Show, councillor Jim Rodgers said "serious consideration should be given" on whether the concert should go ahead.

"I've already spoken to some of the council officers and I'm hoping that the necessary action will be taken. We have to lead by example," he said.

"We would be sending out the wrong message if we were to allow this group to go ahead with their event."

A Belfast City Council spokesperson said: "Use of the venue for these events is managed via a legal agreement between the council and the promoter. Events programming remains a matter for the organisers.

"Any matter that an elected member wishes to raise would be considered by the relevant committee and full council."

Who are Kneecap?

Getty Images Three young men are posing for a photo. Two are wearing caps and one is wearing a green, white and orange balaclava.Getty Images
The group go by the stage names of Móglaí Bap, Mo Chara and DJ Próvaí

Kneecap are an Irish-speaking rap trio who have courted controversy with their provocative lyrics and merchandise.

The group was formed in 2017 by three friends who go by the stage names of Mo Chara, Móglaí Bap and DJ Próvaí.

Their rise to fame inspired a semi-fictionalised film starring Oscar-nominated actor Michael Fassbender.

The film won a British Academy of Film Award (Bafta) in February 2025.

'Smear campaign'

Last week, a video emerged of the west Belfast trio at a November 2023 gig appearing to show one person from the band saying: "The only good Tory is a dead Tory. Kill your local MP."

The daughter of the Conservative MP David Amess whose father was stabbed to death at a constituency surgery called for Kneecap to apologise.

In a statement on X, the band said that "an extract of footage, deliberately taken out of all context, is now being exploited and weaponised, as if it were a call to action".

They also called some of the backlash a "smear campaign" and said it was "a transparent effort to derail the real conversation" away from their messages of "love" and support for Palestine.

They added: "To the Amess and Cox families, we send our heartfelt apologies, we never intended to cause you hurt."

Getty Images A floral tribute to Jo Cox. Flowers are lying around a photo of Ms Cox.Getty Images
Jo Cox, the former Batley and Spen MP, was killed by far-right terrorist Thomas Mair in 2016, a week before the EU referendum vote

On Tuesday, the husband of murdered MP Jo Cox called on Kneecap to give a "real apology".

Brendan Cox, whose wife was killed in June 2016, said this was "only half an apology".

None of the members of Kneecap have been charged with any offences.

Royal Mail takeover approved by shareholders

1 May 2025 at 01:12
Getty Images A Royal Mail postman walks down a street in a high vis jacket delivering mailGetty Images

The sale of Royal Mail's parent company to a Czech billionaire has been cleared by shareholders.

The approval of the £3.6bn deal, first proposed a year ago, will see the 500-year institution taken over by Daniel Kretinsky's EP Group.

Just over 80% of the shareholders of International Distribution Services (IDS), Royal Mail's owner, voted in favour of the takeover on Wednesday afternoon.

Mr Kretinksy said "the pathway to success for IDS lies in taking a truly long-term view of the future".

One in six seats changed hands in Canada election

1 May 2025 at 03:15
Reuters People wait in line to register to vote at a polling station for Canada's federal election, in Toronto, OntarioReuters

While the government of Canada may not have changed hands, the federal election results are anything but business as usual.

Party leaders lost their own seats, the New Democratic Party (NDP) now faces the possibility of life on the sidelines and the Liberal Party pulled off a dramatic turnaround in fortunes, all while led by a prime minister who wasn't even a member of Parliament (MP).

Preliminary results from Elections Canada show that 17% of seats - 59 out of 343 - changed hands in this election, up from just 7% - 22 out of 338 - in 2021.

The rise in the number of available seats in the House of Commons, from 338 to 343, reflects a new political map which accounts for changes in population.

Leaders from three of the five parties represented in the House of Commons failed to win their seats.

Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre - who was on course to become prime minister three months ago when his party held a double-digit lead in the polls - lost his seat in Carleton, Ontario to the Liberals.

Jagmeet Singh resigned as NDP leader after finishing third in his British Columbia seat of Burnaby Central, while the Green Party's co-leader Jonathan Pedneault came fifth in Outremont, Quebec.

Only Yves-François Blanchet of the Bloc Québécois and Elizabeth May, the other Green co-leader, retained their seats while Mark Carney became an MP for the first time.

All 59 seats that flipped went to either the Liberals or Conservatives.

The NDP lost 17 of the 24 seats they were defending - 10 to the Conservatives and seven to the Liberals - and fell short of the 12 seats required for official party status.

This means the loss of parliamentary funding for things like office budgets and technology equipment, as well as fewer chances to ask questions of the government and sit on committees.

NDP losses were part of a wider shift away from Canada's smaller parties.

The Bloc Québécois had 35 seats going into Monday's vote, taking into consideration the impact of boundary changes on 2021 results - calculated by Elections Canada - and last year's victory in the LaSalle-Émard-Verdun by-election.

It lost 13 of them in Quebec, with all but one going to the Liberals.

Terrebonne, a suburb of Montreal, flipped from the Bloc to the Liberals by just a few dozen votes.

Meanwhile, the Greens lost their Kitchener Centre riding, the first Ontario seat in their history, to the Liberals.

A map shows election results in 2021 and 2025 in and around Montreal in Quebec. Terrebonne has flipped from Bloc Quebecois to the Liberals. There is one NDP seat that has not changed. Les Pays-d'en-Haut has flipped. from BQ to Liberal along with Châteauguay-Les Jardins-de-Napierville.

Despite making overall gains it was still a turbulent night for incumbents in the two largest parties.

The Liberals gave up 16 seats - all to the Conservatives - which was twice as many as the eight they lost in 2021.

Nine of the 16 losses came in Toronto and the surrounding "905" - places that all share the same area code.

The Conservatives saw 12 of their MPs suffer defeat including Poilievre, up from nine four years ago.

All 12 were won by Liberals, including Toronto St Paul's which the Conservatives previously flipped in a 2024 by-election.

A map shows the election results in 2021 and in 2025 in areas surrounding Toronto. In Toronto itself, most seats are Liberal red including one in St Paul's won back from the Conservatives. It had been lost in a by-election in 2024. The Conservatives have turned 9 seats from red to blue. And the NDP have lost their only seat on this map to the Liberals.
The words "Canada election" on a red background with a white maple leaf
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