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Today — 30 April 2025News

Trump congratulates Canada's Carney as they agree to meet in 'near future'

30 April 2025 at 06:05
AFP via Getty Images Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks to the media upon arriving at his office on Parliament Hill April 29. 
He is smiling and waving, and wearing a dark blue suit and white shirt. AFP via Getty Images

US President Donald Trump has called Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney to congratulate him on his victory in the country's general election and the two have agreed meet in the near future.

The two countries were expected to enter talks about a new economic and security relationship after Monday's vote.

Trump's trade tariffs and repeated comments undermining Canada's sovereignty overshadowed the race, which ended with Carney's Liberals projected to win a minority government, according to public broadcaster CBC.

That result will make Carney's pressing tasks of negotiating with his US counterpart and tackling a range of domestic issues more of a challenge, as he'll need to wrangle support from other political parties.

In their first call since the election, Trump congratulated Carney on his victory, according to the prime minister's office on Tuesday.

The office also said the two leaders had "agreed on the importance of Canada and the United States working together – as independent, sovereign nations – for their mutual betterment".

The Liberals will need to rely on their support to pass legislation through the House of Commons.

They also face possible defeat in any vote of confidence in the chamber.

Results map

The Liberals are most likely to find willing partners with the diminished left-wing New Democrats, who have in the past supported the Liberals, and the Bloc Québécois.

The Liberals are projected to have won 169 seats, three short of the 172 needed for a majority in Canada's House of Commons.

It still marks a historic turnaround for a party that had seemed on course for collapse just months ago.

Carney, a former central banker for Canada and the UK, will continue as prime minister, having stepped into the role last month following his unpopular predecessor Justin Trudeau's resignation.

One issue where it may be easy for the Liberals to find support in the House is in passing legislation to help workers and industries affected by US tariffs - something all parties swung behind on the campaign trail.

On Tuesday morning, Bloc Québécois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet suggested Carney could benefit from at least a period of stability in the House.

Blanchet urged a "truce" among parties while Canada negotiated trade with the US, saying it was clear Canadians wanted political stability in unstable times.

He said it wasn't time for other parties to "threaten to overthrow the government anytime soon" and didn't see any scenario "other than collaboration for a period of slightly over a year".

The leader of the sovereigntist party, which only runs candidates in Quebec, did urge Carney to avoid pressing the province on certain issues, noting that collaboration goes both ways.

On Tuesday, the White House commented on Carney's win, with deputy press secretary Anna Kelly saying: "The election does not affect President Trump's plan to make Canada America's cherished 51st state."

In an interview with the BBC, Carney said that Canada deserves "respect" from the US and he will only allow a Canada-US trade and security partnership "on our terms".

Carney has told the BBC that a 51st state scenario was "never, ever going to happen".

Meanwhile, new US ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra, said in a video statement that he is "committed to making progress in this great relationship".

Carney has also promised action on a range of domestic issues, including tackling the country's housing crisis and tax cuts for lower- and middle-income Canadians.

The prime minister also needs to prepare for the G7 summit in June, which Canada is hosting in the province of Alberta.

In Monday's election, both the Liberals and the Conservatives saw a significant rise in their share of the national vote compared with four years ago.

The Conservative Party came in second, on track to win 144 seats, and will form Official Opposition.

Increased support for Canada's two largest parties has come at the expense of smaller parties, particularly the NDP, whose share of the popular vote is down by around 12 percentage points.

Voter turnout for the election was 67%.

Both Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh lost their seats, with Singh announcing he will step down as leader of the left-wing party.

Xi's real test is not Trump's trade war

30 April 2025 at 13:40
BBC A treated split image, showing a digital display with the figures of the stock market above China's President Xi Jinping 
BBC

If you say the name Donald Trump in the halls of wholesale markets and trade fairs in China, you'll hear a faint chuckle.

The US president and his 145% tariffs have not instilled fear in many Chinese traders.

Instead, they have inspired an army of online Chinese nationalists to create mocking memes in a series of viral videos and reels – some of which include an AI-generated President Trump, Vice-President JD Vance and tech mogul Elon Musk toiling on footwear and iPhone assembly lines.

China is not behaving like a nation facing the prospect of economic pain and President Xi Jinping has made it clear that Beijing will not back down.

"For more than 70 years, China has always relied on self-reliance and hard work for development… it has never relied on anyone's gifts and is unafraid of any unreasonable suppression," he said this month.

His confidence may come in part because China is far less dependent than it was 10 years ago on exports to the US. But the truth is Trump's brinkmanship and tariff hikes are pushing on pressure points that already exist within China's own struggling economy. With a housing crisis, increasing job insecurity and an ageing population, Chinese people are simply not spending as much as their government would like.

Xi came to power in 2012 with a dream of a rejuvenated China. That is now being severely tested – and not just by US tariffs. Now, the question is whether or not Trump's tariffs will dampen Xi's economic dreams, or can he turn the obstacles that exist into opportunities?

Xi's domestic challenges

With a population of 1.4 billion, China has, in theory, a huge domestic market. But there's a problem. They don't appear willing to spend money while the country's economic outlook is uncertain.

This has not been prompted by the trade war – but by the collapse of the housing market. Many Chinese families invested their life savings in their homes, only to watch prices plummet in the last five years.

Housing developers continued to build even as the property market crumbled. It's thought that China's entire population would not fill all the empty apartments across the country.

The former deputy head of China's statistics bureau, He Keng, admitted two years ago that the most "extreme estimate" is that there are now enough vacant homes for 3 billion people.

Getty Images A view of a complex of unfinished apartment buildings in Xinzheng City in Zhengzhou
Getty Images
China now has far more housing than it needs

Travel round Chinese provinces and you see they are littered with empty projects – lines of towering concrete shells that have been labelled "ghost cities". Others have been fitted out, the gardens have been landscaped, curtains frame the windows, and they appear filled with the promise of a new home. But only at night, when you see no lights, can you tell that the apartments are empty. There just aren't enough buyers to match this level of construction.

The government acted five years ago to restrict the amount of money developers could borrow. But the damage to house prices and, in turn, consumer confidence in China, has been done and analysts have projected a 2.5% decline in home prices this year, according to a Reuters poll in February.

And it's not just house prices that worry middle-class Chinese families.

They are concerned about whether the government can offer them a pension – over the next decade, about 300 million people, who are currently aged 50 to 60, are set to leave the Chinese workforce. According to a 2019 estimate by the state-run Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, the government pension fund could run out of money by 2035.

There are also fears about whether their sons, daughters and grandchildren can get a job as millions of college graduates are struggling to find work. More than one in five people between the ages of 16 and 24 in urban areas are jobless in China, according to official data published in August 2023. The government has not released youth unemployment figures since then.

EPA - EFE/REX/Shutterstock A screen on a pedestrian bridge shows financial data in Shanghai, ChinaEPA - EFE/REX/Shutterstock
China's domestic market does not appear to be in a position to make up for the potential economic impact of new tariffs

The problem is that China cannot simply flip a switch and move from selling goods to the US to selling them to local buyers.

"Given the downward pressure on the economy, it is unlikely domestic spending can be significantly expanded in the short term," says Prof Nie Huihua at Renmin University.

"Replacing exports with internal demand will take time."

According to Prof Zhao Minghao, deputy director of the Center for American Studies at Fudan University, "China does not have high expectations for talks with the Trump administration… The real battleground is in the adjustment of China's domestic policies, such as boosting domestic demand."

To revive a slowing economy, the government has announced billions in childcare subsidies, increased wages and better paid leave. It has also introduced a $41bn programme offering discounts on items such as consumer electronics and electric vehicles (EVs) to encourage more people to spend. But Prof Zhang Jun, the Dean of Economics at Fudan University, believes this is not "sustainable".

"We need a long-term mechanism," he says. "We need to start increasing residents' disposable income."

This is urgent for Xi. The dream of prosperity he sold when he took power 13 years ago has not become reality.

A political test for Xi

Xi is also aware that China has a disheartened younger generation worried about their future. That could spell bigger trouble for the Communist Party: protests or unrest.

A report by Freedom House's China Dissent Monitor claims that protests driven by financial grievances saw a steep increase in the last few months.

All protests are quickly subdued and censored on social media, so it is unlikely to pose a real threat to Xi for now.

"Only when the country does well and the nation does well can every person do well," Xi said in 2012.

This promise was made when China's economic rise looked unstoppable. It now looks uncertain.

Getty Images Chinese President Xi JinpingGetty Images
Political unrest caused by financial grievances is on the rise in China, according to a new report

Where the country has made huge strides over the past decade is in areas such as consumer electronics, batteries, EVs and artificial intelligence as part of a pivot to advanced manufacturing.

It has rivalled US tech dominance with the chatbot DeepSeek and BYD, which beat Tesla last year to become the world's largest EV maker.

Yet Trump's tariffs threaten to throw a spanner in the works.

The restrictions on the sale of key chips to China, including the most recent move tightening exports from US chip giant Nvidia, for instance, are aimed at curbing Xi's ambitions for tech supremacy.

Despite that, Xi knows that Chinese manufacturers are at a decades-long advantage, so that US manufacturers are struggling to find the same scale of infrastructure and skilled labour elsewhere.

Turning a challenge into an opportunity

President Xi is also trying to use this crisis as a catalyst for further change and to find more new markets for China.

"In the short term, some Chinese exporters will be greatly impacted," says Prof Zhang. "But Chinese companies will take the initiative to adjust the destination of exports to overcome difficulties. Exporters are waiting and looking for new customers."

Donald Trump's first term in office was China's cue to look elsewhere for buyers. It has expanded its ties across South East Asia, Latin America and Africa – and a Belt and Road trade and infrastructure initiative shored up ties with the so-called Global South.

China is reaping the rewards from that diversification. More than 145 countries do more trade with China than they do with the US, according to the Lowy Institute.

In 2001, only 30 countries chose Beijing as their lead trade partner over Washington.

Geopolitical gains

As Trump targets both friend and foe, some believe Xi can further upend the current US-led world order and portray his country as a stable, alternative global trade partner and leader.

The Chinese leader chose South East Asia for his first trip abroad after the tariff announcement, sensing his neighbours would be getting jittery about Trump's tariffs.

Around a quarter of Chinese exports are now manufactured or shipped through a second country including Vietnam and Cambodia.

Recent US actions may also present a chance for Xi to positively shape China's role in the world.

"Trump's coercive tariff policy is an opportunity for Chinese diplomacy," says Prof Zhang.

Getty Images China's President Xi Jinping waving upon his departure at Phnom Penh International Airport
Getty Images
Xi visited Vietnam, Malaysia and Cambodia on a tour of South East Asia in April

China will have to tread carefully. Some countries will be nervous that products being manufactured for the US could end up flooding into their markets.

Trump's tariffs in 2016 sent a glut of cheap Chinese imports, originally intended for the US, into South East Asia, hurting many local manufacturers.

According to Prof Huihua, "about 20% of China's exports go to the US - if these exports were to flood any regional market or country, it could lead to dumping and vicious competition, thereby triggering new trade frictions".

Getty Images President Donald Trump holds up a chart about tariffs while speaking into a microphone Getty Images
Trump has placed tariffs of up to 145% on Chinese goods

There are barriers to Xi presenting himself as the arbiter of free trade in the world.

China has subjected other nations to trade restrictions in recent years.

In 2020, after the Australian government called for a global inquiry into the origins and early handling of the Covid pandemic, which Beijing argued was a political manoeuvre against them, China placed tariffs on Australian wine and barley and imposed biosecurity measures on some beef and timber and bans on coal, cotton and lobster. Some Australian exports of certain goods to China fell to nearly zero.

Australia's Defence Minister Richard Marles said earlier this month that his nation will not be "holding China's hand" as Washington escalated its trade war with Beijing.

China's past actions may impede Xi's current global outreach and many countries may be unwilling to choose between Beijing and Washington.

Getty Images Aerial view of shipping containers sitting stacked at Shanghai Port 
Getty Images
The real battleground of the current trade war might be China's domestic economy

Even with all the various difficulties, Xi is betting that Beijing will be able to withstand any economic pain longer than Washington in this great power competition.

And it does appear that Trump has blinked first, last week hinting at a potential U-turn on tariffs, saying that the taxes he has so far imposed on Chinese imports would "come down substantially, but it won't be zero".

Meanwhile, Chinese social media is back in action.

"Trump has chickened out," was one of the top trending search topics on the Chinese social media platform Weibo after the US president softened his approach to tariffs.

Even if or when talks do happen, China is playing a longer game.

The last trade war forced it to diversify its export market away from the US towards other markets – especially in the Global South.

This trade war has China looking in the mirror to see its own flaws – and whether it can fix them will be up to policies made in Beijing, not Washington.

Top picture credit: Getty Images

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How Spain powered back to life from unprecedented national blackout

29 April 2025 at 22:06
Watch: Disruption continues in Madrid as power resumes

As life in Spain and Portugal stutters back to normal, the big questions are not just what went wrong but how to prevent such a full-scale power failure from happening again.

It was not until 11:15 (09:15 GMT) on Tuesday, almost 23 hours after the system collapsed that Spain's electricity grid declared it was back to normal.

The trains have started running again although some lines are suspended and most homes have got their power back.

So how did it get back up and running and why did it take so long?

For most of Monday, Spain was in chaos.

The issue appears to relate to two separate connection problems in the south west within moments of each other and then a disconnection from the French network for almost an hour.

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez highlighted the sudden loss of 15 gigawatts of electricity at 12:33 on Monday, when about 60% of Spain's power generation suddenly vanished.

Graphic showing sudden loss of power in Spain

Eduardo Prieto, the director of operations for the grid Red Eléctrica, said the systems had been stable, until a loss of power generation in southwestern Spain.

Only the Canary Islands, the Balearics and Ceuta and Melilla on the North African coast were unaffected.

An increasing number of public figures are blaming a saturation of solar power and an over-reliance on renewable energy.

Minutes before the outage, Spain was running on 60.64% solar photovoltaic generation, with 12% wind and 11.6% nuclear.

Reuters People queue for a train on a platform in MadridReuters
By Tuesday, the Madrid metro was back up and running

However diversified and advanced Spain's energy mix is, the national power collapse at 12:35 on Monday required an enormous effort to get Spain back up and running.

The initial focus was to get the northern and southern power generating regions working again, which grid operator Red Eléctrica said was key to "gradually re-energising the transmission grid as the generating units are connected".

The risk lay in overloading the system by turning everything on at the same time and triggering another massive outage.

So everything had to be carefully phased for what experts call a "black start" working out as a success.

The initial focus was on hydro-electric plants, in particular pumped-storage plants with reservoirs full at this time of year and able to produce electricity fast from a standing start.

Combined-cycle gas plants also played a significant part in repowering the grid, but four nuclear power reactors at Almaraz, Ascó and and Vandellós were automatically shut down by the outage, and three others were already offline anyway.

EPA People use candles at a pub in Ourense, Galicia, northwestern Spain, amid a power outage, 28 AprilEPA
Power gradually returned overnight to all regions of Spain

Spain's neighbours France and Morocco also came to its aid.

Morocco said 900MW of power had been transferred through two high-voltage lines that cross the Strait of Gibraltrar from Fardioua to Tarifa in southern Spain.

French operator RTE said it had been "gradually transferring more electricity to the Spanish border" via its power lines supplying Catalonia in north-east Spain and the Basque country in the north-west.

RTE said the Iberian network had been disconnected from 12:38 to 13:30 on Monday, when the 400kV line to Catalonia was restored. Within minutes, France had supplied 700MW and RTE said it was later able to increase that by up to 2,000 MW.

Power was then eventually restored to Spain's electricity substations in the north, south and west of the peninsula.

By 19:20 on Monday, the grid operator said more than a fifth of demand had been restored by way of Spain's own electricity generation and from France.

Electricity provider Endesa said it had restored almost 3.5 million customers by 19:15 and had prioritised hospitals and other strategic infrastructure.

Just over an hour later the head of Red Eléctrica boss Eduardo Prieto said about 9,200 MW of demand - about 35.1% - had been restored.

That figure rose steadily to 61.35% by midnight on Monday and more than 99% by 07:00 on Tuesday.

Spain is only now beginning to count the cost. The CEOE bosses' organisation has estimated a €1.6bn hit on the economy.

And the political blame game has already begun.

The conservative head of the Madrid community, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, said the government's response had been slow and ineffective, while the leader of her People's Party Alberto Núñez Feijóo complained of a "lamentable" image of Spain being sent around the world.

Despite all the problems, Spaniards were praised by the government for rising to the occasion and showing solidarity.

Hospitals had back-up diesel-operated generators so they were able to keep critical care going.

Spain's Guardia Civil police force said it had rescued 13,000 passengers trapped on trains.

Residents in the southern town of Villanueva de Córdoba came to the aid of passengers stranded on a Ouigo train.

Local police in Barcelona returned to the old ways, regulating traffic in the Plaça España because the lights were out.

Passengers on the Barcelona metro had to walk to safety using the torches on their mobile phones when their trains became stuck in tunnels.

A conference centre in Girona was converted into a 180-bed shelter for people stranded by rail disruptions.

Although flights across the country were affected, airports operator Aena kept going throughout the disruption with the aid of generators.

Phone batteries ran down, TVs were on the blink and for many Spaniards their only lifeline to the outside world was from a car or battery-operated radio, as radio stations soldiered on through the blackout.

In Madrid there has been an urgent call for blood donations ahead of the big public holiday weekend.

Pedro Sánchez is determined that lessons will be learned and such a crisis will not happen again.

But energy expert Carlos Cagigal told Spanish TV there was a risk that it might, because Spain's infrastructure was simply not in a position to cope with all the renewable energy being produced.

The power grid operator warned earlier this year of the risks of excessive renewable energy while closing nuclear plants.

But a clip of its president Beatriz Corredor has gone viral from 2021, in which she insisted that Spain had "one of the safest and most advanced" electrical systems in the world and there was no reason to worry.

US president celebrates 100 days in office by touting record and blasting foes

30 April 2025 at 09:50
Watch: Trump’s first 100 days… in just 2 minutes

US President Donald Trump has celebrated the 100th day of his second term in office with a campaign-style speech, touting his achievements and targeting political foes.

Hailing what he called a "revolution of common sense", he told a crowd of supporters in Michigan that he was using his presidency to deliver "profound change".

The Republican mocked his Democratic predecessor, Joe Biden, and aimed fresh criticism at the US Federal Reserve's chairman, while dismissing opinion polls that show his own popularity slipping.

Trump has delivered a dramatic fall in the number of migrants crossing illegally into the US, but the economy is a political vulnerability as he wages an international trade war.

"We've just gotten started, you haven't seen anything yet," Trump told the crowd on Tuesday in a suburb of Detroit.

Speaking at the hub of America's automative industry, Trump said car firms were "lining up" to open new manufacturing plants in the Midwestern state.

But earlier in the day he softened a key element of his economic plan - tariffs on the import of foreign cars and car parts - after US car-makers warned of the danger of rising prices.

At his rally, Trump also said opinion polls indicating his popularity had slipped were "fake".

According to Gallup, Trump is the only post-World War Two president to have less than half the public's support after 100 days in office, with an approval rating of 44%.

But the majority of Republican voters still firmly back the president. And the rival Democratic Party is also struggling in polling.

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) said Trump's first 100 days were a "colossal failure".

"Trump is to blame for the fact that life is more expensive, it's harder to retire, and a 'Trump recession' is at our doorstep," the DNC said.

Trump conducted his own informal poll in Tuesday's remarks, asking the crowd for their favourite Biden nicknames. He also mocked his Democratic predecessor's mental agility and even how he appears in a swim suit, while continuing to insist he was the real victor of the 2020 election, which he lost.

Other targets of his ire included Jerome Powell, head of the US central bank, whom the president said was not doing a good job.

Trump touted progress on immigration – encounters at the southern border have plummeted to just over 7,000, down from 140,000 in March of last year.

On Tuesday the White House also said almost 65,700 immigrants had been deported in his term so far, although that is a slower pace than in the last fiscal year when US authorities deported more than 270,000.

A chart showing a large spike in arrests at the US border starting in 2021, reaching a peak of over 200,000, which reduced to just 7,181 in March 2025

Part of the way through his speech Trump screened a video of deportees being expelled from the US and sent to a mega-prison in El Salvador.

His immigration crackdown has faced a flurry of legal challenges, as has his effort to end the automatic granting of citizenship to anyone born on US soil.

During Tuesday's speech he insisted egg prices had declined 87%, a claim contradicted by the latest government price figures.

Inflation, energy prices and mortgage rates have fallen since Trump took office, although unemployment has risen slightly, consumer sentiment has sagged and the stock market was plunged into turmoil by the tariffs.

A chart showing stocks down around 9 percent since Trump's first day in office

Before the speech, Joe DeMonaco, who owns a carpentry business in Michigan, said Trump's patchwork of on-again, off-again import taxes were starting to increase prices, which he will have to pass on to his customers.

"I was hoping... he would approach things a little bit differently seeing that he's a little seasoned coming into a second term," Mr DeMonaco told the BBC. "But we're just treading water and seeing if things get better from here."

But it's clear that Trump's most steadfast supporters stand by him.

"I'm just thrilled," said Teresa Breckinridge, owner of the Silver Skillet Diner in Atlanta, Georgia.

"He's handling things wherever he can, multiple times a day, and he's reporting back to the people… I think the tariffs will end up definitely being in our favour."

Warning electricity meters in 300,000 homes could stop working

30 April 2025 at 07:06
Getty Images A woman is photographed from behind pointing at her RTS meter on the wall with her right index finger while the back of her head is visible in soft focus in the left side of the imageGetty Images

Hundreds of thousands of people are at risk of losing hot water or heating when their old type of electricity meter goes out of action.

Energy companies have said it will be "very, very difficult" to replace all Radio Teleswitching System (RTS) meters with smart meters before the old technology is switched off on 30 June.

Campaigners estimate more than 300,000 homes could lose heating - or have it stuck on constantly - in what energy regulator Ofgem has called "an urgent consumer welfare issue".

The government said the industry had to "work urgently to continue to increase the pace of replacements".

Since the 1980s, RTS meters have used a longwave radio frequency to switch between peak and off peak rates.

The technology is becoming obsolete and energy companies have a deadline to change their customers' meters by 30 June.

At the end of March, there were still 430,000 households using RTS meters for their heating and hot water, according to Energy UK, which represents energy companies.

It said more than 1,000 RTS meters were now being replaced each day.

But based on the 430,000 figure, this daily rate would need to be more like 5,000 to stand a chance of reaching everyone.

Ned Hammond, Energy UK's deputy director for customers, told BBC Radio 4's You and Yours the rate of replacement was rising, but added: "Obviously we'd need to increase from there significantly still to replace all the meters by the end of June."

Asked whether it was impossible to get every RTS meter switched over by 30 June, he said: "I wouldn't want to say impossible - but clearly very, very difficult to get to that point."

Simon Francis, from campaign group the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, said the Energy UK figures suggested more than 300,000 households could be left with a meter that doesn't work from 1 July.

He added: "With pressures on the replacement programme growing and with limited engineer availability, especially in rural areas, there's a real risk of prolonged disruption, particularly for vulnerable households."

RTS meters typically control heating and hot water on a separate circuit to the rest of the household's electricity, so things like plug sockets and lights are unlikely to be affected by the switch-off, Ofgem said.

The RTS network was originally planned to be switched off in March 2024, but this was extended to give energy companies more time to get through everyone.

Energy companies are still targeting 30 June "as things stand", Mr Hammond added, and are developing plans for a "managed and very careful phase down of the system", aiming to protect vulnerable customers.

'I don't want a smart meter'

One challenge of changing everyone on to the new system is a distrust of smart meters. The BBC has previously found that smart meters can sometimes give inaccurate readings and can work worse or better depending on where you live.

Jane from Norfolk told the BBC she is on an RTS meter and does not want a smart meter but feels as if she is being forced into getting one. She is currently on an Economy 7 tariff and does not want to switch.

"It's not yet lawful to say I've got to have one. And I really, really don't want one. I'm perfectly happy with the way things are," she said.

Diane Gray, who lives near Cockermouth in Cumbria, uses RTS to control the heating and hot water in her home on an Economy 7 tariff. She wants a smart meter but has been told one won't work in her house.

In December, her supplier wrote to her to say: "At the moment we're not able to install a new meter in your home that works with your current meter's heating set up. Please bear with us. We are working hard on a solution for your meter type."

She's since received another notification that a smart meter will be fitted in early June.

"I've got no idea where it's going to leave us," she told the BBC.

"It is very concerning. Because they're doing it in the summer, come the winter I keep thinking there must be some solution they're going to give us before we need to start using the heating."

If your energy supplier cannot fit a smart meter in your home, Ofgem says your supplier must install a "suitable meter" with no disruption to your service.

Getty Images A close up of a woman's hand as she calculates her energy bill and other outgoings using a calculator and a lined pad of A4 paper - her right hand is holding a pen and pressing numbers on the calculator and bills are spread over the tableGetty Images

What to do if you think you have an RTS meter

According to Ofgem, you may have an RTS meter if

  • Your home has a separate switch box near your meter with a Radio Teleswitch label on it
  • Your home is heated using electricity or storage heaters
  • There is no gas supply to your area
  • You get cheaper energy at different times of day, for example, on an Economy 7 tariff
  • If you haven't been contacted, Ofgem recommends reaching out to your supplier to arrange the replacement
  • However, beware if someone contacts you claiming you need to pay to change your meter as it's likely a scam.

Pakistan claims 'credible intelligence' India is planning an imminent military strike

30 April 2025 at 11:42
Getty Images An Indian paramilitary serviceman keeps watch in Pahalgam, Indian-administered Kashmir, where militants killed 26 tourists last weekGetty Images
An Indian paramilitary serviceman keeps watch in Pahalgam, Indian-administered Kashmir, where militants killed 26 tourists last week

Pakistan's information minister says that the country has "credible intelligence" that India intends to launch a military strike within the next 24 to 36 hours.

Attaullah Tarar's comments come after India accused Pakistan of supporting militants behind an attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that killed 26 tourists last week. Islamabad rejects the allegations.

Tarar said that India intends to use the attack as a "false pretext" for a strike and that "any such military adventurism by India would be responded to assuredly and decisively".

The BBC has contacted the Indian foreign ministry for comment.

The attack near the tourist town of Pahalgam was the deadliest attack on civilians in two decades in the disputed territory. Both India and Pakistan claim the region and have fought two wars over it.

Troops from both sides have traded intermittent small-arms fire across the border in recent days.

There has been speculation over whether India will respond with military strikes against Pakistan, as it did after deadly militant attacks in 2019 and 2016.

Authorities said last week they had conducted extensive searches in Indian-administered Kashmir, detaining more than 1,500 people for questioning. More people have been detained since then, although the numbers are unclear.

Authorities have demolished the houses of at least 10 alleged militants. At least one was reportedly linked to a suspect named in the shootings.

Kashmir, which India and Pakistan claim in full but administer only in part, has been a flashpoint between the two nuclear-armed countries since they were partitioned in 1947.

Indian-administered Kashmir has seen an armed insurgency against Indian rule since 1989, with militants targeting security forces and civilians alike.

India has not named any group it suspects carried out the attack in Pahalgam and it remains unclear who did it. A little-known group called the Resistance Front, which was initially reported to have claimed it carried out the shootings, issued a statement denying involvement. The front is reportedly affiliated with Lashkar-e-Taiba, a Pakistan-based militant group.

Indian police have named three of four suspected attackers. They said two were Pakistani nationals and one a local man from Indian-administered Kashmir. There is no information on the fourth man.

Many survivors said the gunmen specifically targeted Hindu men.

The attack has sparked widespread anger in India, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi publicly saying the country will hunt the suspects "till the ends of the earth" and that those who planned and carried it out "will be punished beyond their imagination".

Warning shops could be forced to accept cash in future

30 April 2025 at 07:06
BBC Signs showing prices on a fruit and veg stall, including £1.50 each for celeriac, with a couple shopping in the background.BBC

Shops and services may have to be forced to accept cash in the future to help protect vulnerable people who rely on it, MPs have said.

A Treasury Committee report into cash acceptance stopped short of recommending a change in the law, but said the government had to improve its monitoring of the issue.

"There may come a time in the future where it becomes necessary for HM Treasury to mandate cash acceptance if appropriate safeguards have not been implemented for those who need physical cash," the report said.

Some countries, such as Australia or parts of the EU, are planning requirements to accept cash for essential services in some circumstances.

Poverty premium

In evidence to the inquiry, a government minister said there were no plans to make cash acceptance mandatory.

Shops and services can currently accept whichever form of payment they want.

With an increasing number going card-only, the committee said prices would rise for essential goods and services in the remaining outlets that accepted cash.

That would create a poverty premium for those who wanted to use cash to budget, as well as for vulnerable groups such as people with learning difficulties and the elderly.

"A sizeable minority depend on being able to use cash," said Dame Meg Hillier, who chairs the influential Treasury Committee.

She said the report should be a "wake-up call" about the risks of ignoring those affected by the falling use of banknotes and coins.

Dame Meg Hillier holding a purse and chatting with a greengrocer at Darlington's Victorian Covered Market who is wearing a green work tunic and gloves.
Dame Meg Hillier was one of the MPs on the committee who visited Darlington's Victorian Covered Market as part of the inquiry

The committee called on the government to "vastly improve" monitoring and reporting of cash acceptance levels.

Otherwise it warned it risked people being excluded from leisure centres, theatres or public transport. It also heard evidence about frustrated motorists unable to pay by cash in car parks.

"The government is in the dark on how widely cash is being accepted and that is completely unsustainable," said Dame Meg.

There was particular concern for victims of domestic and economic abuse who need cash to avoid being traced through card transactions or to gain financial independence from abusive partners.

'Cash or card, madam?'

Tom Cresswell stands at The Fruit Machine fruit and veg stall with punnets of strawberries in front of him, and a sign saying they are priced at £4 a box.

The committee's report is one of the most significant developments in the debate over the future of notes and coins since the Access to Cash Review, published in 2019 which called for urgent action on the viability of cash.

Among this latest report's findings is a conclusion that for some businesses, such as market stallholders, cash remains fundamental to the preservation of their trade.

There has been a market in Epsom, Surrey, for centuries - but it is only in recent years that traders have seen the majority of shoppers switch to electronic payments.

Chris Ilsley stands at his plant stall at Epsom market with cut flowers ready to sell behind him.

Chris Ilsley has been running his plant stall - CI Plants - on the market for 13 years.

When he started it was 100% cash, now it is 70% to 80% card payments.

Speaking surrounded by geraniums, he said he was happy to take any form of payment, although card was slightly easier albeit slower to process.

"We'll take anything," the 47-year-old said. "I prefer the older generation to use card and put their purse away [for safety]."

Over at The Fruit Machine greengrocer stall, Tom Cresswell also has a long line of customers, and he said most paid by card.

"The youngsters don't ever pay by cash; they pay with their phones and their watches," the 52-year-old said.

"The older gentlemen tend to use cash. Whatever is easier for the customer."

The report comes as the Post Office announced a renewed deal with banks to ensure customers can access basic banking services at post office counters.

The deal, which runs until the end of 2030 allows customers of 30 banks and building societies to use their local post office to withdraw and deposit cash, make balance queries and deposit cheques.

Some campaigners have called for cash acceptance to be enforced by the law now.

Ron Delnevo, from the Payments Choice Alliance, said he was disappointed about the "procrastinating approach" of the committee.

The Treasury said the government was committed to seeing 350 banking hubs in place.

"We welcome businesses who do want to continue accepting cash and new rules introduced by the Financial Conduct Authority support this by helping them to make deposits," a spokesman said.

Tony Blair says UK's current net zero policies are 'doomed to fail'

30 April 2025 at 06:00
PA Media Close up Tony Blair PA Media
Brian Wheeler
Political reporter

Sir Tony Blair has called for a major rethink of net-zero policies, arguing that limiting energy consumption and fossil fuel production is "doomed to fail".

In a new report, the former Labour prime minister says voters "feel they're being asked to make financial sacrifices and changes in lifestyle when they know the impact on global emissions is minimal".

He does not call for Labour to halt its push to decarbonise the UK economy - but says all governments need to rethink their approach, as it is not working.

The Tories - who have joined Reform UK in opposing net-zero emissions by 2050 - urged Labour to end the "mad dash" to this goal - but Downing Street said it would not be changing course.

In its report The Climate Paradox: Why We Need to Reset Action on Climate Change, The Tony Blair Institute argues that global institutions such as COP and the UN have failed to make sufficient progress in halting climate change.

At the same time, it argues, the public have lost faith in climate policies because the promised green jobs and economic growth have failed to materialise, thanks in part to global instability and the Covid pandemic.

Writing in the foreword, Sir Tony says: "Though most people will accept that climate change is a reality caused by human activity, they're turning away from the politics of the issue because they believe the proposed solutions are not founded on good policy."

He says "any strategy based on either 'phasing out' fossil fuels in the short term or limiting consumption is a strategy doomed to fail".

He also warns against the "alarmist" tone of the debate on climate change, which he says is "riven with irrationality".

The report calls for the rapid deployment of carbon capture and storage technology, greater use of AI to make energy grids efficient and investment in small scale nuclear reactors.

It also argues for a greater focus on climate change mitigation measures such as flood defences and a new international push to persuade China and India to cut emissions.

Downing Street said it would not be changing course on net zero - and rejected Sir Tony's suggestions that the public was no longer prepared to make sacrifices to meet green goals.

"We will reach net zero in a way that treads lightly on people's lives, not telling them how to live or behave," said the prime minister's official spokesman.

"Net zero is the economic opportunity of the 21st century, one that has the potential to reignite our industrial heartlands, create good jobs for the future and lower bills in the long term."

The government claims its net-zero strategy is already delivering results, with £43bn of private investment since last July and that its climate policies "now support around 600,000 jobs across the UK".

Labour sources are also pushing back against the idea that Sir Keir Starmer is going cold on the net-zero agenda, pointing to a speech he made last week in which he said the clean energy mission was "in the DNA of my government".

Reacting in the Commons to Sir Tony's comments in the report, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband said he agreed "with a lot of what it says" particularly on carbon capture and storage and AI "which the government are doing".

But Labour's opponents were quick to seize on the former prime minister's words.

Writing on social media, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage said: "Even Tony Blair now says the push for Net Zero has become 'irrational' and 'hysterical'. We are winning the argument!"

Conservative acting shadow energy secretary, Andrew Bowie said the government needed to "urgently change course".

"It seems even Tony Blair has come to the realisation that Keir Starmer and the Labour Party's mad dash to net zero by 2050 is simply not feasible, or sustainable," he added.

Green Party co-leader Adrian Ramsay said: "Blair is wrong, both morally and pragmatically. The British public understands the need for decisive climate action and expects politicians to lead in delivering this action."

Sir Tony's intervention has also been met with dismay by Labour-supporting environmental groups.

One campaigner told the BBC: "This is an oddly public and oddly-timed intervention that would usually be made by someone struggling for access.

"The Labour government are getting on with many of the policies outlined in the report because they know this is popular with people, especially the voting coalition they need to maintain for the next election.

"But adopting the anti-net-zero framing of [Tory leader Kemi] Badenoch and Reform is out of step with where the public are on this issue and will not help Labour."

The Liberal Democrats have been contacted for a response.

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Harvard head apologises as scathing reports on campus prejudice released

30 April 2025 at 10:46
Getty Images Student sit on steps at Harvard outside a large academic brick buildingGetty Images

Harvard University President Alan Garber has apologised following the release of internal reports into antisemitic and anti-Muslim prejudice at America's oldest university.

The reports included testimony from students who described feeling alienated and pressured to conceal their identity from their peers and educators.

In response to the findings, Harvard pledged to review its academic offerings and admissions policies - a key demand of the White House, which accuses the Ivy League institution of failure to stamp out campus antisemitism.

A pair of taskforces were established to look into bias at Harvard in the aftermath of last year's pro-Palestinian protests over the Israel-Gaza war.

"I'm sorry for the moments when we failed to meet the high expectations we rightfully set for our community," Dr Garber said in a letter on Tuesday accompanying the reports.

He said the Hamas attack on Israel of 7 October 2023, and the ensuing Israeli bombardment of Gaza unleashed "long-simmering tensions" on Harvard's campus.

"Members of our community reported incidents that led them to feel targeted and shunned on the basis of their identities," Dr Garber said.

"Harvard cannot - and will not - abide bigotry," his statement added.

The twin internal reports list some "actions and commitments", including that Harvard will review admissions processes.

The college said it would aim to ensure applicants are evaluated based on their ability to "engage constructively with different perspectives, show empathy and participate in civil discourse".

But the proposed remedial action appears to fall short of the White House's demands for Harvard to end all preferences "based on race, color, national origin, or proxies thereof" and implement "merit-based" policies by August.

The Trump administration has threatened to ban the university from enrolling foreign students and strip its tax exempt status if it does not comply.

In response, Harvard has sued the federal government to block the measures, including the freezing of more than $2bn in academic grants.

Lawyers for Harvard argue the government violated the university's constitutional rights and federal funding was being used as "leverage to gain control of academic decision making" on campus.

Dr Garber, who is Jewish, last month wrote in a letter to students that he had personally "experienced antisemitism directly, even while serving as president".

He did not offer details, but said it led him to understand "how damaging it can be to a student".

制造阵营对立,透视美菲规模最大军演“肩并肩-2025”丨智库视点2025

随着美国所谓“印太战略”的推进,军演性质已悄然转变。美菲极力拉拢其他盟友和伙伴参与“肩并肩”联合军演,企图在西太平洋地区制造阵营对立,加剧西太平洋地区紧张态势,谋求地缘政治和商业利益。

美国借“肩并肩”联演向菲律宾部署陆基反舰系统、高性能无人水面艇、濒海作战团等新型作战力量,展示其所谓“保护”盟友的决心,这明显就是在激化地区矛盾、鼓动对抗对立,搅动亚太地区安全局势。

南方防务智库特约研究员 金默

责任编辑:姚忆江

2025年4月21日,美菲年度“肩并肩-2025”联合军演启动,西太平洋的海风中弥漫着一股火药味。此次演习将持续至5月9日。这是美菲两国之间诸军兵种联合演习中的“重头戏”。相比以往,今年的军演呈现出参演国家多、持续时间长、指向性和针对性强等特点。

菲律宾武装部队声明称,6000名菲律宾军人和12000名美方人员将参与演习,澳大利亚和日本等一些国家派出了规模较小的特遣队,另有部分国家以观察员身份参与。约2万兵力集结南海咽喉之地,演习区域涉及菲律宾北部、西部,覆盖吕宋岛北部、巴丹群岛至巴士海峡,剑指南海争议海域。

美菲“肩并肩-2025”联合演习,号称“全面作战测试”的“印太版超级碗”军事行动,演习课目包括防空反导作战、海空作战、岛屿作战,并击沉菲律宾海军退役的二战老旧舰“马尔瓦号”,借此展现多种场景下联合战力与决心。

美国作为菲律宾最主要的盟友“靠山”,双方自1951年互助防御条约签署以来长期举行联合军演。菲律宾过度依赖美国的安全承诺,而特朗普政府的“交易政治”更让菲政府不得不寻求与日本、法国等国的多边防卫合作。美菲双边演习,现在日本自卫队也堂而皇之地进入,企图打造一个多角度、多层次的安全合作框架。

当地时间2025年4月26日,菲律宾吕宋岛,2025年度“肩并肩”联合军事演习期间,美国海军远征舰艇拦截系统NMESIS导弹系统从美国军用飞机上卸载。 (视觉中国/图)

多重政治军事企图

美菲“肩并肩”联演始于1982年,演习主题和课目随着美菲安全形势的发展变化不断调整,2015年后逐步由应对菲境内恐怖威胁和自然灾害为主,向应对外部威胁和高端战争转变。在美菲每年举行的多场联合军演中,“肩并肩”联演规模最大、要素最全、综合性最强,是观察美菲军事关系的风向标。

随着美国所谓“

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校对:星歌

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警惕呼吸道疾病反季流行,疾控专家详解防控策略

“麻疹曾是全球极力推动消除的疾病,新冠疫情后,全球消除麻疹进程放缓,已经消除麻疹的部分国家出现麻疹局部聚集或暴发流行。”

曾玫注意到,现在许多非儿科医院几乎不做百日咳检测,监测报告中成人和青少年病例被严重漏报,“需要加强对成人和青少年的百日咳监测,探索全生命周期的百日咳免疫策略”。

既非疫苗,也非药品,作为预防性生物制品的RSV单抗落地应用面临难题——由什么部门管理、是否需要处方、在哪里开放接种?

南方周末记者 黄思琪

发自: 武汉

责任编辑:曹海东

2025年1月7日,重庆市儿童医院,呼吸道传染病患儿增多。视觉中国|图

冬春季流行的部分呼吸道传染病,有“全年无休”的发展趋势?

4月19日-20日,在武汉举办的2025年全国疫苗与健康大会上,多位疾控专家呼吁关注麻疹、百日咳、RSV(呼吸道合胞病毒)等呼吸道疾病的反季流行与防控挑战。

南方周末记者了解到,2025年以来,全国报告985例麻疹病例(截至4月13日),较去年同期上升6.5倍。2024年11月开启的RSV流行期尚未结束,而往年到5月份基本结束流行的麻疹、百日咳等多种呼吸道传染病,在夏季仍有发病可能。

接种疫苗是预防传染病最有效、便利的手段,能有效降低感染、重症和死亡概率。每年4月24日-30日是世界免疫周,2025年世界卫生组织(WHO)公布的主题是“人人享有免疫服务,我们可以做到”。

自1978年全面实施计划免疫以来,我国可预防传染病发病率降至历史最低,2007年,我国实施扩大国家免疫规划,疫苗种类增加到14种,可预防15种传染病。

近两年来,麻疹、百日咳在全球重现,提示着这类免疫规划内的疾病防治并非一劳永逸。而对于流感、RSV等免疫规划外的疾病,“自费疫苗”接种率低的难题依然待解,南方周末记者在2025年全国疫苗与健康大会上获悉,2024-2025流行季,我国全人群流感疫苗估算接种率仅约3%。

国家卫生健康委副主任、国家疾控局局长沈洪兵在前述大会上表示,未来将动态调整优化国家免疫规划策略,逐步缩小国内免疫规划与国际差距,同时将探索建立通过纳入医保个人账户支付、财政补助等多渠道筹资机制,支持为老年人等重点人群接种流感疫苗、肺炎球

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校对:吴依兰

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从安防到场景数字化,海康威视如何破局?| 探访新质生产力先锋系列

南方周末特约撰稿 刘诗君

责任编辑:黄金萍

很多人对海康威视(002415.SZ)的印象还停留在“安防茅”,全球第一大安防企业,殊不知拉着它往前奔跑的马车,早已不只是传统安防。

2018年,海康威视重组业务,以公安、交通、司法等事业部为基础组建公共服务事业群(PBG),以金融、能源、楼宇、文教卫为基础组建企事业事业群(EBG),以渠道经销管理团队为基础组建中小企业事业群(SMBG)。

从安防,再到针对数字化转型的应用需求,基于物联感知、人工智能和大数据,帮助千行百业提质、降本、增效。一家行业龙头,就此摆脱路径依赖,在数智化浪潮中转型,立在了智能物联的潮头。海康威视的故事,也是中国当下千行百业数智化转型的缩影。

身处企业投资决策极为谨慎和务实的时代,海康威视副总裁、EBG解决方案总裁李亚亚对南方周末表示,要让用户真正愿意投资、购买,必须得帮助他们解决核心问题。这个问题往往朴素且直击要害,“你到底能不能解决问题、能不能产生价值?”

3万种产品的进化论

算算时间,李亚亚加入海康威视已经满15年了,2009年入门时还是一个不懂摄像机的程序员,现任海康威视副总裁、EBG解决方案总裁。

2001年,海康威视以安防起家,彼时,中国的数字视频监控还处于萌芽阶段。2002年,海康威视便发布板卡、DVR(硬盘刻录机)等产品,将H.264算法引入视频监控领域,后又不断迭代技术,推出摄像机产品,不仅搭上了行业技术换代的列车,还通过提高产品性能赢得市场。

2010年A股上市后,海康威视持续稳步前进,2011年跃居全球视频监控市占率第一位(据市场研究公司IHS排名)。自2016年至今,它一直稳居a&s(《安全&自动化》)全球安防50强榜单”榜首。当外界对其的印象还停留在安防茅”时,它早已开始布局数字化转型的新赛道。

海康威视位于杭州的总部大楼

海康威视位于杭州的总部大楼

李亚亚见证了这一过程,并投身其中。他入职后,最早在海康威视的金融行业事业部写联网软件代码,接着做金库、自助银行等业务场景的产品研发,然后转向解决方案。2018年金融、能源、楼宇、文教卫等事业部一起组建成为EBG之后,他们的业务也转向了千行百业的数字化产品和解决方案。

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校对:赵立宇

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“小额豁免”终止后,一件10美元T恤或将涨至24.50美元

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“小额豁免”终止后,一件10美元T恤或将涨至24.50美元

PETER EAVIS, JULIE CRESWELL
位于佐治亚州帕尔梅托的一处邮政设施。从周五开始,通过邮政进口的中国商品将面临相当于其价值120%的关税,或每包100美元的费用。
位于佐治亚州帕尔梅托的一处邮政设施。从周五开始,通过邮政进口的中国商品将面临相当于其价值120%的关税,或每包100美元的费用。 Kendrick Brinson for The New York Times
一个漏洞让美国消费者可以从中国大陆和香港购买大量廉价商品而无需支付关税和填写报关表格,它将于周五关闭。
价格已经在涨。
由于更高的价格和新的不便让消费者望而却步,来自希音和Temu等零售商的许多进口商品的订单可能会减少。但是,就像特朗普总统贸易战的大部分举措一样,政府对该漏洞的政策也经历了变化。总统曾下令在2月份关闭这一漏洞,但几天后又恢复了它。物流专家表示,短暂的关闭导致了边境的包裹堆积。
到底取消了什么?
广告
自2016年以来,价值800美元或以下的物品可以零关税进口到美国,甚至无需提交通常与购买外国商品相关的文件。这个漏洞被称为“小额豁免”。特朗普只取消了对来自中国大陆(小额豁免货物的最大来源地)和香港的商品的小额豁免。
今年提交给国会的一份报告称,海关和边境保护局每年处理超过10亿个小额豁免包裹。2023年,这些包裹的平均价值为54美元。
价值低于800美元的货物向来豁免关税,因为国会认为处理这些货物的费用和不便与它们带来的关税收入不符。特朗普终止豁免的部分原因是为了阻止芬太尼和芬太尼的前体物质通过小额豁免包裹进入美国。
特朗普在第一任期内对中国征收关税后,小额豁免包裹发货量激增,这表明人们和企业正在转向这一途径以避免关税。
这对购物者有什么影响?
由于对中国商品征收的关税高得离谱,小额豁免包裹商品的价格已经开始大幅上涨。
中国电子商务网站Temu的购物者明显感受到了这一点。该公司最近开始详细说明关税将增加的购物成本。
举个例子,在购物车里放入来自Temu的10件商品,包括50个装的重型衣架,70.50美元;一件绿色亚麻男衬衫,19.38美元;一张粉红色毛绒狗床,24.05美元;合计275.03美元,包括国际运费和10.20美元的销售税。但在结账时,该网站增加了343.26美元的进口费用,使总额达到628.49美元。(Temu给购物者的选择是购买标明来自本地仓库的商品,这样就不会产生进口费用。)
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在Temu的竞争对手希音,一购物车10件类似商品的价格为244.03美元。虽然没有详细说明商品的额外进口费用,但希音网站告诉购物者:“关税已包含在您支付的价格中。您永远不必在送货时支付额外费用。”
不过,购物者表示,他们看到希音网站上一些商品的价格在周末有所上涨。尽管关税豁免预计要到周五才会结束,但这些收费已经出现,因为现在下的订单要到周五之后才会跨境。
亚特兰大的林赛·奥利弗经常在希音购物,她上周在购物车里放了几件夏日衣裙,其中一件蓝色裙子售价10.88美元,一件碎花裙子售价11.29美元。她分享的截屏显示,当她周末去结账时,蓝色裙子的价格涨到了13.88美元,花裙的价格涨到了15.43美元。
“我知道东西要开始涨价了,我想在涨价之前买些夏装,”39岁的奥利弗说。她预计价格还会进一步攀升。
亚马逊周二表示,它曾考虑在其与Temu竞争的Amazon Haul网站上详细列出进口费用,但最终决定不这么做。
“团队总是在不断讨论各种点子,”发言人泰·罗杰斯在声明中说。他说,亚马逊的主网站从未考虑过这一方案,并且“这从未获得批准,也不会发生”。
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进口费用可能因货物的运输方式而异。如果通过DHL或联邦快递这样的快递公司运输,这些货物将被征收高达145%的关税,相当于一件10美元的T恤要缴纳14.50美元的关税。
从周五开始,通过邮政服务进入的货物将面临相当于货物价值120%的关税,或者每个包裹100美元的费用。6月份费用将增加到200美元。
手续上有什么不同?
小额豁免包裹的一个便利之处在于,收货人不需要像领取其他进口商品那样提供社会保障号码来领取货物。
收取小额豁免货物只需要姓名和地址。
从周五开始,来自中国的小额豁免货物将被归类为“非正式入境”进口。美国海关和边境保护局在声明中表示,价值最高可达2500美元的非正式入境物品不需要收件人的社会保障号码。尽管如此,该机构在1月份表示,承运商通常需要社会保障号码,因为有了这个号码可以加快通关速度。
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联邦快递表示,根据海关和边境保护局的要求,对于周五失去小额豁免的来自中国的货物,它不会要求提供社会保障号码。DHL表示,它不会对非正式入境货物要求社会保障号码。UPS拒绝透露是否需要,但该公司补充说,它有专业知识帮助客户“驾驭全球贸易,遵守所有适用的法律法规”。
邮政服务的一名代表表示,它将“不参与对小额豁免邮政货物的关税征收”。关税必须由将货物运往美国的承运人负责收取。
会有延误吗?
征收关税和检查更多的包裹可能为承运人和海关及边境保护局带来挑战。但目前尚不清楚这些举措是否会让包裹延误一两天或者更长时间。
海关总署在一份声明中表示,尽管“手头任务艰巨”,但它“具备实施和执行总统的关税政策的独特优势”。

Ana Swanson和Madeleine Ngo对本文有报道贡献。

Peter Eavis报道全球货物运输业务。

Julie Creswell是一名商业记者,为时报报道食品行业,他撰写有关食物的各个方面,包括农业、食品通胀、供应链中断和气候变化。

翻译:晋其角

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The white Afrikaners lining up to accept Trump’s offer of asylum

30 April 2025 at 12:49
Two people in 'Maga' red capsRachel Savage

Kyle believed God was looking out for him when he survived a violent farm robbery in South Africa eight years ago with only a black eye and broken ribs. The robbers failed to get the kettle and iron working, so were unable to burn anyone. Then the gun trigger jammed when they tried to shoot Kyle in the spine.

“They specifically said they were coming back for this farm … [that] it was their land,” said the 43-year-old, who did not want to use his full name. “Only afterwards, we found out that the guy that stays on the plot was actually killed … the farmhand … I don’t know what his name was.”

Kyle, a divorced father of three, is one of thousands of white South Africans hoping to take up Donald Trump’s offer of refugee status, to escape crime and what they allege is discrimination against white people.

The Trump administration’s support for these claims, while stopping other new refugee arrivals, has inflamed uncomfortable conversations about how far racial reconciliation still has to go, three decades after the end of white minority rule.

The US president’s offer was a “godsend”, said Kyle, now a salesman working remotely for an overseas company: “I’ve got white children, they’re at the bottom of the hiring list here. So, there is no future for them. And the sad thing is they don’t even know what apartheid is.”

White Afrikaner governments racially segregated every aspect of life from relationships to where people were allowed to live during apartheid, repressing South Africa’s Black majority while keeping the white minority safe and much better off.

South Africa remains deeply unequal, more than 30 years since the system ended. The black South African unemployment rate is 46.1%, for example, compared with 9.2% for white people.

Affirmative action has created a Black elite, but also nurtured feelings of disfranchisement among some white South Africans. Less than two-thirds of white South Africans agreed that apartheid deprived black people of their livelihoods, v three-quarters of Black South Africans, according to the 2023 Reconciliation Barometer, a survey by the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation, a thinktank.

Kate Lefko-Everett, the report’s author, said: “The level of contact and interaction between South Africans of different race groups has not really changed substantially.”

South Africa’s high violent crime rate – in the last quarter of 2024 there were almost 7,000 murders, according to police figures – affects everyone. But it has also added to a siege mentality among some white people. Almost two-thirds of white people were considering emigrating, compared with 27% of all South Africans, according to 2022 Afrobarometer data.

More than 8,200 people have registered their interest in US refugee status, the New York Times reported in March. The US embassy in Pretoria refused to comment.

Chilly Chomse, a 43-year-old carpenter, said he wanted to claim asylum for the sake of his four daughters.

He moved to Orania, a white, Afrikaner-only town, for work during the Covid-19 pandemic, but said he was not committed like some residents: “Once you leave this Orania premises, you are still in South Africa … you’re not safe and you can’t remain here 24/7 for the rest of your life.”

While some white English-speaking South Africans like Kyle hope the refugee programme will include them too, Trump’s February executive order referred to “ethnic minority Afrikaners”. It claimed a recently signed South African law that allows land expropriation in limited circumstances would enable the government to seize Afrikaners’ property, while state policy was “fuelling disproportionate violence against racially disfavoured landowners” (a longstanding far-right claim).

When Esté Richter, a friend of Chomse’s in Orania, heard about Trump’s refugee policy, she initially did not believe it. “Then I felt that someone has heard us, finally, that someone has heard the cries of Afrikaners,” said Richter, 35, who homeschools her two children and helps her husband with plumbing jobs.

“The main reason why we are looking at the refugee programme is in September 2022 my husband’s father was murdered on his farm,” she said. Richter’s mother-in-law was burned with a hot iron, beaten up and abandoned in the bush, but survived.

The Afrikaner rights group AfriForum met Trump allies in the US during his first term, claiming the South African government was “complicit” in white farmer murders. The group, which has 300,000 members, continues to claim that “Afrikaners are the target”.

Rudolph Zinn, a University of Limpopo professor, noted South African police data on farm attacks – which listed 12 “farming community” murders in the final quarter of 2024 – included black smallholder farms and non-commercial plots.

He said: “It’s definitely not linked to any political motive or a specific race. It’s all about the money.”

Zinn said imprisoned farm robbers he interviewed said they would tailor their language to instil as much fear as possible to get victims to hand over cash and valuables. “If it’s a white victim, then they would say: ‘I hate you because you’ve taken our land.’ But the very same offender would, when it’s a Black victim, say: ‘You’re a coconut, black on the outside, but inside you’re white.’”

Both AfriForum, which promotes staying in South Africa, and the prospective refugees raised the controversial Kill the Boer song as a reason for their fears. A South African court ruled in 2022 that the song, sung by the populist, far-left Economic Freedom Fighters party at political rallies, was not meant literally.

Others said South Africa risked a “white genocide”, a conspiratorial claim repeated by Trump’s billionaire, South African-born adviser Elon Musk.

Sam Busa, a 60-year-old business consultant of British descent, wants to claim asylum for herself and her three adult sons. She set up an “Amerikaners” website and social media pages to disseminate information, and gathered 30,000 signatures to thank Trump for offering refugee status.

She said: “We’re in, in my personal opinion, an advanced stage of a genocide potentially unfolding. What that does is it effectively throws out any argument about economic status.”

Chilly Chomse.Family of four smilingThe Orania town sign outside a shopping centre.

Pakistan claims 'credible intelligence' India is planning an imminent military strike

30 April 2025 at 11:42
Getty Images An Indian paramilitary serviceman keeps watch in Pahalgam, Indian-administered Kashmir, where militants killed 26 tourists last weekGetty Images
An Indian paramilitary serviceman keeps watch in Pahalgam, Indian-administered Kashmir, where militants killed 26 tourists last week

Pakistan's information minister says that the country has "credible intelligence" that India intends to launch a military strike within the next 24 to 36 hours.

Attaullah Tarar's comments come after India accused Pakistan of supporting militants behind an attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that killed 26 tourists last week. Islamabad rejects the allegations.

Tarar said that India intends to use the attack as a "false pretext" for a strike and that "any such military adventurism by India would be responded to assuredly and decisively".

The BBC has contacted the Indian foreign ministry for comment.

The attack near the tourist town of Pahalgam was the deadliest attack on civilians in two decades in the disputed territory. Both India and Pakistan claim the region and have fought two wars over it.

Troops from both sides have traded intermittent small-arms fire across the border in recent days.

There has been speculation over whether India will respond with military strikes against Pakistan, as it did after deadly militant attacks in 2019 and 2016.

Authorities said last week they had conducted extensive searches in Indian-administered Kashmir, detaining more than 1,500 people for questioning. More people have been detained since then, although the numbers are unclear.

Authorities have demolished the houses of at least 10 alleged militants. At least one was reportedly linked to a suspect named in the shootings.

Kashmir, which India and Pakistan claim in full but administer only in part, has been a flashpoint between the two nuclear-armed countries since they were partitioned in 1947.

Indian-administered Kashmir has seen an armed insurgency against Indian rule since 1989, with militants targeting security forces and civilians alike.

India has not named any group it suspects carried out the attack in Pahalgam and it remains unclear who did it. A little-known group called the Resistance Front, which was initially reported to have claimed it carried out the shootings, issued a statement denying involvement. The front is reportedly affiliated with Lashkar-e-Taiba, a Pakistan-based militant group.

Indian police have named three of four suspected attackers. They said two were Pakistani nationals and one a local man from Indian-administered Kashmir. There is no information on the fourth man.

Many survivors said the gunmen specifically targeted Hindu men.

The attack has sparked widespread anger in India, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi publicly saying the country will hunt the suspects "till the ends of the earth" and that those who planned and carried it out "will be punished beyond their imagination".

Chinese Factories Slow in Early Sign of Trade War’s Toll

30 April 2025 at 13:57
A slowdown in commerce between the United States and China caused by escalating tariffs was evident in a report Wednesday on manufacturing activity in April.

绿茶是天然“减肥神器”吗?

By: DANI BLUM
30 April 2025 at 02:10

简繁中文
纽约时报 出版语言
字体大小
健康

绿茶是天然“减肥神器”吗?

DANI BLUM
Joyce Lee for The New York Times
问:我经常看到TikTok上说绿茶“天然的奥泽匹克(Ozempic)”。这有什么依据吗?
几个世纪以来,绿茶一直被当作一种减肥妙招:在2000年前的古代中国,人们将这种饮品奉为减肥工具。在现代,绿茶也一直是减肥书籍和膳食计划中的常见饮品。
如今,绿茶也走上了所有减肥窍门都不可避免的道路:在TikTok上大火。疯转视频声称这种饮品有助于减肥,甚至称其为“天然的奥泽匹克”。有些视频建议每天喝多达五杯绿茶。
约翰·霍普金斯大学的肥胖症专科医生乔茨娜·戈什博士表示,虽然有一些关于绿茶与体重的研究,一杯(或几杯)绿茶是否能减轻体重,仍有待证实。
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绿茶与饥饿激素之间的联系
许多TikTok视频声称,绿茶能促进胰高血糖素样肽-1(GLP-1)的分泌,这是一种肠道激素,会促使胰腺在进食后释放胰岛素。而胰岛素反过来又会降低血糖。GLP-1还会减缓食物从胃部排空的速度,影响大脑中调节饥饿感的区域。
奥泽匹克及类似药物能提供一种模拟GLP-1的化合物,让人更快产生饱腹感。许多人因此不再对食物产生强烈的渴望
一些研究人员推测,绿茶可能会刺激GLP-1的分泌,部分原因是研究发现绿茶提取物能降低糖尿病小鼠的血糖。但针对人类的研究很少,而且结果也不确定。该课题为数不多的临床试验之一是对92名2型糖尿病患者的观察,结果表明服用绿茶提取物的人和服用安慰剂药丸的人在GLP-1分泌方面没有显著差异。
专家表示,绿茶就算对GLP-1能产生什么影响,可能也微乎其微。戈什说,任何食物或饮品都能轻微提高GLP-1水平。但在进食或饮用几分钟后,血液中的GLP-1水平就会下降;这就是我们会再次感到饥饿的原因之一,也是暂时提高这种激素水平并不能保证减肥的原因。
相比之下,奥泽匹克及类似药物会在体内停留数天,而且效力远远超过天然产生的激素,这使得它们在抑制食欲方面有着独特的优势。
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绿茶有助于减肥吗?
许多关于绿茶和减肥的说法都提到了这种饮品中的两种成分:咖啡因和抗氧化剂。
从理论上讲,咖啡因可能会稍微加快人的新陈代谢。但戈什说,这种效果不太可能直接转化为显著的体重减轻。
绿茶还含有一种叫做多酚的化合物,这是一种抗氧化剂,有助于保护细胞免受损伤并减轻炎症。对动物和人体细胞的研究表明,这些化合物可以改善新陈代谢,并减少肠道对脂肪的吸收。但在人体上进行的试验结果却好坏参半
也有几项小型研究直接探究了绿茶与减肥的关联。一篇综述论文对十几项此类随机对照试验进行了研究,发现服用绿茶提取物的人往往只会减轻一点点体重,“不太可能具有临床意义”其他研究也发现,饮用绿茶的人往往会减轻少量体重,通常不到两公斤。
乔治·华盛顿大学米尔肯公共卫生学院运动与营养科学教授罗布·范达姆说,想通过喝绿茶来减肥的人“不要指望得到多明显的效果,当然也跟奥泽匹克这样的药物没法比”。
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俄亥俄州克利夫兰诊所的注册营养师朱莉娅·祖恩帕诺补充说,只关注某一种食物或饮品,就忽略了在减肥过程中起作用的多种其他因素。这些因素包括一个人整体的饮食习惯、运动习惯、基因、精神压力、代谢健康,甚至是个人的睡眠质量。
“如果你的目标是减肥,那就考虑如何改善生活方式,”她说。“而不只是专注于某一种食物、药物、补充剂之类的东西。”

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Chinese Factories Slow in Early Sign of Trade War’s Toll

30 April 2025 at 13:57
A slowdown in commerce between the United States and China caused by escalating tariffs was evident in a report Wednesday on manufacturing activity in April.

© Qilai Shen for The New York Times

A garment factory in Guangzhou, China, this month.

索馬利亞禁台灣護照入境 台外交部:中國唆使

30 April 2025 at 13:47
德正
2025-04-30T05:38:52.343Z
台灣政府批評索馬里亞政府的舉動是遭到中國「唆使」。

(德國之聲中文網)台灣外交部週四(29日)發聲明指出,索馬利亞政府自30日起,禁止持台灣護照或台方附屬機構簽發的相關旅行證件進出及過境索馬利亞聯邦。

台灣外交部稱,索馬利亞民航局於上週二(22日)通告,稱以「聯合國大會第2758號決議」為依據,主張「一個中國」原則,因此做出禁用台灣護照及旅行證件的決定。

台灣外交部也譴責索馬利亞政府受到中國「唆使」,錯誤解釋聯大第2758號決議、與北京主張的「一中原則」掛勾,「圖謀製造台灣隸屬於中華人民共和國的假象」,要求索馬利亞撤銷該公告。

索馬利亞民航局及中國外交部尚未回應。

近年來,中國對於2758決議的詮釋更加強勢,多次以該決議為依據,公開宣稱擁有對台灣主權,但也引發多國反彈,包含美國、歐盟、澳洲、荷蘭國會均陸續表態,強調2758決議「對台灣地位問題並未採取立場」。

值得注意的是,台灣外交部週四在聲明中也提及索馬利蘭,批評索馬利亞政府藉由控制索馬利蘭領空,阻止雙邊人民交流,對非洲之角情勢造成惡劣影響。

2020年,台灣及索馬利蘭於互設代表處,引發中國及索馬利亞不滿。

索馬利蘭在1991年宣告脫離索馬利亞獨立,但並未獲得國際社會的廣泛承認。

(綜合報導)

DW中文有Instagram!歡迎搜尋dw.chinese,看更多深入淺出的圖文與影音報導。

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“被反华势力利用”?山东十余名受害储户转发外媒报道遭拘

山东江海汇集团于去年“暴雷”,涉案金额高达200亿元人民币,波及逾六万个家庭。随着集团董事长夫妇潜逃美国、维权无门的受害者逐步寻求外界关注,多位因转发外媒报道或接受采访的储户,近期却遭警方以“被境外反华势力利用”为由行政拘留,进一步引发舆论对中国当局对封锁信息流通和言论管控的担忧。

王女士是江海汇案的受害者之一,因安全考量不愿公开全名。她在本周三(4月30日)接受自由亚洲电台采访时披露,潍坊、枣庄等地的十余名储户因在群组或私下分享外媒报道或曾接受自由亚洲电台采访,近期陆续被当地警方行政拘留:“我们这边原来和你联系过的人都拘留了,说是被国际反华势力所利用,还说我们都在犯罪。他们(警方)拿着(海外)各大网站上发布的消息,拘留了十几个人,还有一些外省市的人,其中还有互相推荐(分享报道)的人。公安局的人拿来(报道)给我看了,说是反华势力。”

江海汇集团爆雷后,董事长安志斌与妻子周春卫被指在地方政府官员的庇护下远赴美国,而六万多名受害家庭损失惨重。尽管受害人多次请求官方公开案件真相、追回资金,却屡遭公安机关传唤、拘留与监控。

另一名不愿具名的张女士告诉本台,被拘留者多数为女性:“有的已经获释两周,也有少数人仍然没有获释。被拘留的人都说,他们不知道采访他们的是记者,就说是在跟北京的律师联系。我们都说相信让律师协助我们声张正义,把被诈骗的钱追回来,所以我们都这样说。警察还不让我们再和境外反华势力接触。我说,你们(政府)不做那些事情,我们能被人家利用吗?我说我只想把消息发出去看看你们(警察)是否违法,至于是否‘反华’,我不懂。”

本台就此分别致电山东省潍坊和枣庄公安局,试图了解被拘留者相关信息,但电话始终无人接听。

受害者公开信指控案件定性错误

受害者们已经向中共中央纪委监委及公安部呼吁,要求彻查案件、追讨涉案200多亿元资金,依法维护自身合法权益。根据受害者提供的内容显示,他们批评山东警方将江海汇案定性为“非法吸收公众存款”存在严重错误,强调该案应属“合同诈骗”。公开信指出:“经侦(警察)提交的江海汇案件,有些地方不符合事实,对我们受害人造成了极大的伤害……程序违法,案件还没立案,山东省公安厅就主观地定为‘非吸’,设计好‘非吸’表格让受害者填写……内容也违法,江海汇集团持有政府官方颁发的六大金融业务许可牌照,年年依法纳税,次次年检合格……”

信中还质问:“哪有人民政府政策鼓励的非法集资?哪有政府参股经营、官员站台支持的非法集资?又哪有政府收保证金的非法集资?”

受害者强调,江海汇所从事的“应急转贷”业务原本就是政府主导,旨在帮助民营企业渡过资金难关,并引用山东省多个政府部门联合发布的相关文件,指出地方政府不但未尽监管职责,反而涉嫌行政违法。并呼吁:“我们是相信政府才成为出借人的,希望政府给我们一个公正、满意的结果。‘为人民服务’不能只是一句空话!‘安居乐业’不能只是空中楼阁!”

金融公司以融资为名 敛财为实

对于江海汇集团暴雷案,山东临沂居民乐女士接受本台采访时说,2023年以来,山东多家集资企业因资金链断裂而先后倒闭,而去年最为严重:“各地很多融资公司他们吸收资金的目的都很明确,用这种模式去有计划的融资,然后把这笔资金转移出去(境外),再选择时机逃离(中国),还有的把资产转移后,推出一个代理人来顶罪。老百姓的钱就拿不回来了。”

成千上万投资人维权受阻

据本台3月26日报道,江海汇集团董事长夫妇逃至美国后,约十万受害人持续维权,质疑警方将案件归类为“非法集资”是为规避责任,并计划发动大规模集会。

江海汇公司骗案引发民众抗争并非孤例。据X平台账号“李老师不是你老师”披露,4月22日,中融信托暴雷引发受害者前往北京维权,数百人被警察强制带走,部分老年人、妇女、癌症患者也遭遇粗暴对待,双方发生肢体冲突。3月25日,海银诈骗案受害者在上海维权时,同样遭到当局暴力应对。

责编:许书婷 陈美华

© 受访者提供/记者乾朗

3月上旬,山东的一批贷款人向当地政府下跪,要求追查江海汇集团涉嫌合同诈骗。

My Father Founded Singapore. He Would Be Troubled by What It’s Become.

30 April 2025 at 13:00
The nation’s current leaders are not living up to my father’s high standards of governance, and Singapore is suffering as a result.

© Jean Guichard/Gamma-Rapho, via Getty Images

After an Awkward Photo, Whitmer Coaxes a Win for Michigan Out of Trump

Weeks after she hid from the cameras in the Oval Office, Gretchen Whitmer welcomed the president to her state as he delivered the federal funding she had sought for an air base.

© Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, left, welcomed President Trump at Selfridge Air National Guard Base in Harrison Township, Mich., on Tuesday.

排除燃气爆炸、人为放火可能 辽宁辽阳火灾事故起火原因正在调查

30 April 2025 at 11:10

央视新闻

4月29日12时25分,辽宁辽阳市白塔区三里庄回迁楼附近一饭店发生火灾。截至当天14时,事故已造成22人死亡、3人受伤。今天(4月30日),辽宁召开新闻发布会,介绍最新情况。

目前,公安机关已封闭火灾现场,依法控制事故饭店经营者。经调查,起火部位为门口的侧面,饭店内部无燃气管线,现场3个钢瓶处于完好状态,起火原因排除燃气爆炸,公安部门排除人为放火可能,事故具体原因正在调查中,目前正围绕遗留烟头、电气故障等方向开展调查。

初步分析,由于饭店内家具和装修材料易燃,加之室外风力较大,火势迅速封闭出口,室内被困人员逃生困难,短时间吸入大量有毒气体导致窒息死亡

网络编辑:澍生

辽宁辽阳市白塔区饭店火灾事故3名伤者无生命危险

30 April 2025 at 11:09

央视新闻

4月29日12时25分,辽宁辽阳市白塔区三里庄回迁楼附近一饭店发生火灾,事故共造成22人死亡、3人受伤。今天(4月30日),辽宁召开新闻发布会,介绍最新情况。

发布会上介绍,本次事故3名伤者经全力抢救,均无生命危险。

4月29日12时25分许,辽阳市消防救援支队指挥中心接到报警,白塔区三里厨娘饭店发生火灾。接警后,辽阳市消防救援支队调集4个消防站、22辆消防车、85名指战员赶赴现场。支队全勤指挥部、应急通信保障分队和战勤保障大队遂行出动,市公安、应急、医疗、卫健等部门同步开展应急处置。全勤指挥部先后组织8个搜救组、共32名指战员深入火场内部搜寻被困人员。12时43分许,明火被扑灭。

火灾事故具体原因正在调查中,调查结果将第一时间向社会公布。

网络编辑:澍生

移动互联网未成年人模式正式发布

By: 新华社
30 April 2025 at 10:43

新华社

4月29日上午,移动互联网未成年人模式在第八届数字中国建设峰会主论坛上正式发布。

立足未成年人网络保护现实需要、回应社会各界期待关切,国家网信办持续指导国内软硬件企业共同推进移动互联网未成年人模式(以下简称“未成年人模式”)建设工作。今年4月,未成年人模式突破一系列技术瓶颈,实现了全方位优化和系统性升级。

发布仪式全面展示了未成年人模式的特色亮点和主要功能。从操作方式看,移动智能终端、应用程序、应用程序分发平台实现三方联动,大大降低了模式的使用门槛。家长可在手机端显著位置点击图标,“一键启动”未成年人模式,所有应用程序同步切换,形成一个相对独立、安全可控的上网环境。从内容生态看,适合未成年人的优质内容得到大幅扩充,重点平台依托儿童内容创作者、版权资源、权威机构等,筛选海量内容纳入未成年人模式,并建立年龄分层、内容分类、推荐分众的梯度化内容体系,更好满足未成年人的精神文化需求。从功能服务看,未成年人模式可以提供每日上网总时长控制、使用时段设置、休息提醒、应用管理、使用情况统计等功能,家长可根据实际情况调整各项设置,实现对未成年人上网行为的合理引导。从覆盖范围看,华为、OPPO和中兴在手机系统更新后提供未成年人模式,小米、荣耀和vivo在发布的新机上搭载未成年人模式,应用商店建立未成年人专区,短视频、社交、电商、教育、工具等领域重点应用程序全面升级未成年人模式。后续模式的覆盖范围还将持续扩大,满足未成年人日常使用需求、提供丰富多元服务。

国家网信办相关负责人表示,充分发挥未成年人模式保护作用,离不开各方面的共同努力。一方面,将持续指导和支持鼓励平台优化未成年人模式,让这一技术工具更易用更好用。另一方面,希望广大家长和未成年人主动开启未成年人模式,提出宝贵意见,共同营造安全健康、清朗向上的网络环境。

微信公众号截图

网络编辑:澍生

‘A godsend’: the white Afrikaners lining up to accept Trump’s offer of asylum

30 April 2025 at 12:00
Two people in 'Maga' red capsRachel Savage

Kyle believed God was looking out for him when he survived a violent farm robbery in South Africa eight years ago with only a black eye and broken ribs. The robbers failed to get the kettle and iron working, so were unable to burn anyone. Then the gun trigger jammed when they tried to shoot Kyle in the spine.

“They specifically said they were coming back for this farm … [that] it was their land,” said the 43-year-old, who did not want to use his full name. “Only afterwards, we found out that the guy that stays on the plot was actually killed … the farmhand … I don’t know what his name was.”

Kyle, a divorced father of three, is one of thousands of white South Africans hoping to take up Donald Trump’s offer of refugee status, to escape crime and what they allege is discrimination against white people.

The Trump administration’s support for these claims, while stopping other new refugee arrivals, has inflamed uncomfortable conversations about how far racial reconciliation still has to go, three decades after the end of white minority rule.

The US president’s offer was a “godsend”, said Kyle, now a salesman working remotely for an overseas company: “I’ve got white children, they’re at the bottom of the hiring list here. So, there is no future for them. And the sad thing is they don’t even know what apartheid is.”

White Afrikaner governments racially segregated every aspect of life from relationships to where people were allowed to live during apartheid, repressing South Africa’s Black majority while keeping the white minority safe and much better off.

South Africa remains deeply unequal, more than 30 years since the system ended. The black South African unemployment rate is 46.1%, for example, compared with 9.2% for white people.

Affirmative action has created a Black elite, but also nurtured feelings of disfranchisement among some white South Africans. Less than two-thirds of white South Africans agreed that apartheid deprived black people of their livelihoods, v three-quarters of Black South Africans, according to the 2023 Reconciliation Barometer, a survey by the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation, a thinktank.

Kate Lefko-Everett, the report’s author, said: “The level of contact and interaction between South Africans of different race groups has not really changed substantially.”

South Africa’s high violent crime rate – in the last quarter of 2024 there were almost 7,000 murders, according to police figures – affects everyone. But it has also added to a siege mentality among some white people. Almost two-thirds of white people were considering emigrating, compared with 27% of all South Africans, according to 2022 Afrobarometer data.

More than 8,200 people have registered their interest in US refugee status, the New York Times reported in March. The US embassy in Pretoria refused to comment.

Chilly Chomse, a 43-year-old carpenter, said he wanted to claim asylum for the sake of his four daughters.

He moved to Orania, a white, Afrikaner-only town, for work during the Covid-19 pandemic, but said he was not committed like some residents: “Once you leave this Orania premises, you are still in South Africa … you’re not safe and you can’t remain here 24/7 for the rest of your life.”

While some white English-speaking South Africans like Kyle hope the refugee programme will include them too, Trump’s February executive order referred to “ethnic minority Afrikaners”. It claimed a recently signed South African law that allows land expropriation in limited circumstances would enable the government to seize Afrikaners’ property, while state policy was “fuelling disproportionate violence against racially disfavoured landowners” (a longstanding far-right claim).

When Esté Richter, a friend of Chomse’s in Orania, heard about Trump’s refugee policy, she initially did not believe it. “Then I felt that someone has heard us, finally, that someone has heard the cries of Afrikaners,” said Richter, 35, who homeschools her two children and helps her husband with plumbing jobs.

“The main reason why we are looking at the refugee programme is in September 2022 my husband’s father was murdered on his farm,” she said. Richter’s mother-in-law was burned with a hot iron, beaten up and abandoned in the bush, but survived.

The Afrikaner rights group AfriForum met Trump allies in the US during his first term, claiming the South African government was “complicit” in white farmer murders. The group, which has 300,000 members, continues to claim that “Afrikaners are the target”.

Rudolph Zinn, a University of Limpopo professor, noted South African police data on farm attacks – which listed 12 “farming community” murders in the final quarter of 2024 – included black smallholder farms and non-commercial plots.

He said: “It’s definitely not linked to any political motive or a specific race. It’s all about the money.”

Zinn said imprisoned farm robbers he interviewed said they would tailor their language to instil as much fear as possible to get victims to hand over cash and valuables. “If it’s a white victim, then they would say: ‘I hate you because you’ve taken our land.’ But the very same offender would, when it’s a Black victim, say: ‘You’re a coconut, black on the outside, but inside you’re white.’”

Both AfriForum, which promotes staying in South Africa, and the prospective refugees raised the controversial Kill the Boer song as a reason for their fears. A South African court ruled in 2022 that the song, sung by the populist, far-left Economic Freedom Fighters party at political rallies, was not meant literally.

Others said South Africa risked a “white genocide”, a conspiratorial claim repeated by Trump’s billionaire, South African-born adviser Elon Musk.

Sam Busa, a 60-year-old business consultant of British descent, wants to claim asylum for herself and her three adult sons. She set up an “Amerikaners” website and social media pages to disseminate information, and gathered 30,000 signatures to thank Trump for offering refugee status.

She said: “We’re in, in my personal opinion, an advanced stage of a genocide potentially unfolding. What that does is it effectively throws out any argument about economic status.”

Chilly Chomse.Family of four smilingThe Orania town sign outside a shopping centre.

Chris Mason: A wildly unpredictable local elections

30 April 2025 at 11:20
BBC Composite image showing a dog at a polling stationBBC

If last year's general election was all consuming and everywhere, this year's local elections, in truth, are neither.

That is not to denigrate for a moment how much they matter in the places where they are happening, nor the extent to which they will mould the mood of national politics in their aftermath.

But the reality is there are not many contests this year, not least because some have been postponed because of an imminent shake-up in local government structures in some places.

So there is a very good chance you are reading this in a part of the country without any contests.

And there is a good chance too, given what I hear from the political parties, that your heart might not be pulsating in ecstasy even if the community centre down the road is morphing into a polling station tomorrow.

I detect a curious paradox right now: anger confronts an expectation of widespread indifference.

Turnout in local elections that do not coincide with a general election are almost always shrivelled.

But what I pick up anecdotally – I've just spent the last few days in Lincolnshire, reporting on the race to be the county's first directly elected mayor – matches what the research group More in Common has picked up in focus groups.

The group's UK Director, Luke Tryl, diagnoses a "despondency or misery about the state of Britain that doesn't feel sustainable".

Put that sentiment, reduced turnout and a splintering of party support in all sorts of directions into the mixer and what you end up with is a wildly unpredictable politics where the margins between victory and defeat could be very narrow indeed.

Or to put it more bluntly: if not many votes in total then go in lots of different directions, two things are likely: the gap between the winner and the runners-up might be rather limited, and the share of the vote needed to win could be very small.

And winning on a small share of the vote raises immediate questions about your mandate.

The elections analyst Sir John Curtice argues in the Telegraph that "the mainstream is dead", five parties have a chance of making real inroads in these contests and what stands out now is that both Labour and the Conservatives are struggling, rather than the conventional dynamic of one being up while the other is down.

The Conservatives have spent weeks talking up how down they feel about these elections.

And senior Labour folk too are cranking up the gloom in the conversations I have with them.

Which then leaves us with Reform UK, the Liberal Democrats, the Green Party and an often overlooked element of local English democracy – independents.

This is a huge moment for Reform.

One of the standout trends in British politics since the general election last year has been the party's rising support in the opinion polls.

What Thursday will test is the extent to which that translates into real votes in real elections.

The party's talk is big – they say they can win the next general election. The next few days will give us a sense of how or whether, albeit up to four years out from choosing the next government, that is a plausible claim.

When you wake up on Friday morning. if, unlike political nerds, you have actually been to bed, the headlines that will greet you will be about Reform.

That is because a lot of the contests where there is an expectation that they could win are being counted overnight.

There is the parliamentary by-election in Runcorn and Helsby near Liverpool and the race to be Lincolnshire's first mayor, for a start.

Later in the day on Friday, the emphasis will shift somewhat, as local authorities particularly but not exclusively in the south of England do their counting, and the Liberal Democrats will be looking to make extensive gains against the Conservatives in particular and we will be able to assess if the Green Party's collection of councillors has grown again.

It is only by Friday teatime that we will have a rounded picture of how all of the parties and the independents contesting these elections have fared.

And then the debate on what it all means will begin.

A purple banner reading "More on local elections 2025" with a multi-coloured pyramid on the right-hand-side

Life inside Iraq's 'Forbidden Zone' controlled by Turkey

30 April 2025 at 07:29
Phil Caller A middle-aged man in a head scarf and brown jacket stares contemplativelyPhil Caller
For generations Sherwen Sergeli and his family have made a living from his village's land, but that's now under threat

Nestled in the mountains of Iraqi Kurdistan sits the picturesque village of Sergele.

For generations villagers have made a living growing pomegranates, almonds and peaches and foraging in the surrounding forests for wild fruits and spices.

But Sergele, located 16km (10 miles) from the border with Turkey, has become increasingly surrounded by Turkish military bases, which are dotted across the slopes.

One, perched halfway up the western ridge, looms over the village, while another in the east is under construction.

At least seven have been built here over the past two years, including one by a small dam that regulates Sergele's water supply, rendering it off limits to villagers.

"This is 100% a form of occupation of Kurdish [Iraqi Kurdistan] lands," says farmer Sherwan Sherwan Sergeli, 50, who has lost access to some of his land.

"The Turks ruined it."

Phil Caller A panoramic shot of an attractive village with small houses and other buildings nestled among trees, greenery and farming land. Mountains loom over the village Phil Caller
Sergele, a village in the Iraqi Kurdistan region, is now on the front line of Turkey's war with the Kurdish militant PKK group

Sergele is now in danger of being dragged into what's known locally as the "Forbidden Zone" - a large strip of land in northern Iraq affected by Turkey's war with the Kurdish militant group the PKK, which launched an insurgency in southern Turkey in 1984.

The Forbidden Zone spans almost the entire length of the Iraqi border with Turkey and is up to 40km (25 miles) deep in places.

Community Peacemaker Teams, a human rights group based in Iraqi Kurdistan, says that hundreds of civilians have been killed by drone and air strikes in and around the Forbidden Zone. According to a 2020 Kurdistan parliamentary report, thousands have been forced off their land and whole villages have been emptied out by the conflict.

Sergele is now effectively on the front line of Turkey's war with the PKK.

When the BBC World Service Eye Investigations team visited the area, Turkish aircraft pummelled the mountains surrounding the village to root out PKK militants, who have long operated from caves and tunnels in northern Iraq.

Much of the land around Sergele had been burned by shelling.

"The more bases they put up, the worse it gets for us," says Sherwan.

A map showing northern Iraq, Iraqi Kurdistan, the Forbidden Zone, the border with Syria, Turkey and Iran, and the Turkish military bases dotted around northern Iraq

Turkey has been rapidly growing its military presence in the Forbidden Zone in recent years, but until now the scale of this expansion was not publicly known.

Using satellite imagery assessed by experts and corroborated with on-the-ground reporting and open-source content, the BBC found that as of December 2024, the Turkish military had built at least 136 fixed military installations across northern Iraq.

Through its vast network of military bases, Turkey now holds de-facto control of more than 2,000 sq km (772 square miles) of Iraqi land, the BBC's analysis found.

Satellite images further reveal that the Turkish military has built at least 660km (410 miles) of roads connecting its facilities. These supply routes have resulted in deforestation and left a lasting imprint on the region's mountains.

While a few of the bases date back to the 1990s, 89% have been constructed since 2018, after which Turkey began significantly expanding its military presence in Iraqi Kurdistan.

The Turkish government didn't respond to the BBC's requests for interviews, but has maintained that its military bases are necessary to push back the PKK, which is designated a terrorist organisation by Ankara and a number of Western nations, including the UK.

Phil Caller A middle-aged man in a striped shirt picks apples from an apple tree. He has surrounded by fruit trees Phil Caller
Salam Saeed, whose land is in the shadow of a large Turkish military base, has not been able to cultivate his vineyard for three years

The sub-district capital of Kani Masi, which is only 4km (2.5 miles) from the Iraqi-Turkish border and parts of which are within the Forbidden Zone, may offer a glimpse into Sergele's future.

Once famous for its apple production, few residents remain here now.

Farmer Salam Saeed, whose land is in the shadow of a large Turkish base, hasn't been able to cultivate his vineyard for the past three years.

"The moment you get here, you will have a drone hover over you," he tells the BBC.

"They will shoot you if you stay."

The Turkish military first set up here in the 1990s and has been consolidating its presence since.

Its main military base, featuring concrete blast walls, watch and communication towers and space for armoured personnel carriers to move inside, is much more developed than the smaller outposts around Sergele.

Salam, like some other locals, believes Turkey ultimately wants to claim the territory as its own.

"All they want is for us to leave these areas," he adds.

Phil Caller A distant view of a building and trucks on the edge of a mountainPhil Caller
Few residents remain in Kani Masi, where a large Turkish military base (pictured) is now present

Little leverage

Near Kani Masi, the BBC saw first-hand how Turkish forces have effectively pushed back the Iraqi border guard, which is responsible for protecting Iraq's international boundaries.

At several locations, the border guards were manning positions well inside Iraqi territory, directly opposite Turkish troops, unable to go right up to the border and potentially risk a clash.

"The posts that you see are Turkish posts," says General Farhad Mahmoud, pointing to a ridge just across a valley, about 10km (6 miles) inside Iraqi territory.

But "we cannot reach the border to know the number of posts", he adds.

Turkey's military expansion in Iraqi Kurdistan - fuelled by its rise as a drone power and growing defence budget - is seen as part of a broader foreign policy shift towards greater interventionism in the region.

Similar to its operations in Iraq, Turkey has also sought to establish a buffer zone along its border with Syria to contain Syrian armed groups allied with the PKK.

In public, Iraq's government has condemned Turkey's military presence in the country. But behind closed doors it has accommodated some of Ankara's demands.

In 2024, the two sides signed a memorandum of understanding to jointly fight the PKK.

But the document, obtained by the BBC, did not place any limitations on Turkish troops in Iraq.

Iraq depends on Turkey for trade, investment and water security, while its fractured internal politics have further undermined the government's ability to take a strong stance.

Iraq's national government did not respond to the BBC requests for comment.

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Meanwhile, the rulers of the semi-autonomous region of Iraqi Kurdistan have a close relationship with Ankara based on mutual interests and have often downplayed the civilian harm due to Turkey's military action.

The Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), an arch enemy of the PKK, dominates the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) and has officially been in charge since 2005, when Iraq's constitution granted the region its semi-autonomous status.

The KDP's close ties with Turkey have contributed to the region's economic success and have strengthened its position, both against its regional political rivals and with the Iraqi government in Baghdad, with which it tussles for greater autonomy.

Hoshyar Zebari, a senior member of the KDP's politburo, sought to blame the PKK for Turkey's presence in Iraqi Kurdistan.

"They [the Turkish military] are not harming our people," he told the BBC.

"They are not detaining them. They are not interfering in them going about their business. Their focus, their sole goal is the PKK."

Phil Caller A middle-aged man in a white shirt stands in front of a burned-out vehicle in a field of straw, with mountains in the distance. Phil Caller
When Hashem Shaker filed a complaint after surviving an air strike he was detained by Kurdish security forces and held for eight months on suspicion of supporting the PKK - an accusation he and his family deny

The conflict shows no signs of ending, despite the PKK's long-jailed leader Abdulla Ocalan calling in February for his fighters to lay down arms and disband.

Turkey has continued to shell targets across Iraqi Kurdistan, while the PKK claimed responsibility for downing a Turkish drone last month.

And while violent incidents in Turkey have declined since 2016, according to a tally by the NGO Crisis Group, those in Iraq have spiked, with civilians living on the border region facing growing risk of death and displacement.

One of those killed was 24-year-old Alan Ismail, a stage-four cancer patient hit by an air strike in August 2023 while on a trip to the mountains with his cousin, Hashem Shaker.

The Turkish military has denied carrying out a strike that day, but a police report seen by the BBC attributes the incident to a Turkish drone.

When Hashem filed a complaint in a local court about the attack he was detained by Kurdish security forces and held for eight months on suspicion of supporting the PKK - an accusation he and his family deny.

"It has destroyed us. It's like killing the whole family," says Ismail Chichu, Alan's father.

"They [the Turks] have no rights to kill people in their own country on their own land."

Turkey's Defence Ministry did not respond to the BBC's requests for comment. It has previously told the media that the Turkish armed forces follow international law, and that in the planning and execution of their operations they only target terrorists, while taking care to prevent harm to civilians.

Phil Caller A middle-aged man in white shirts sits contemplatively on a large brown sofa, his hands folded in his lap, as he stares aheadPhil Caller
Ismail Chichu says he wants the Kurdish authorities to acknowledge his son's death and send their condolences

The BBC has seen documents suggesting Kurdish authorities may have acted to help Turkey evade accountability for civilian casualties.

Confidential papers seen by the BBC show a Kurdish court closed the investigation into Alan's killing, saying the perpetrator was unknown.

And his death certificate - issued by Kurdish authorities and seen by the BBC - says he died because of "explosive fragments".

Failing to mention when victims of air strikes have died as a result of violence, rather than an accident, makes it difficult for families to seek justice and compensation, to which they're entitled under both Iraqi and Kurdish law.

"In most of the death certificates, they only wrote 'infijar', which means explosion," says Kamaran Othman from Community Peacemaker Teams.

"It can be anything exploding.

"I think the Kurdish Regional Government doesn't want to make Turkey responsible for what they are doing here."

The KRG said it acknowledged the "tragic loss of civilians resulting from military confrontation between the PKK and Turkish army in the region".

It added that "a number of casualties" had been documented as "civilian martyrs", meaning they have been unjustly killed and entitling them to compensation.

Almost two years after Alan was killed, his family is still waiting, if not for compensation, at least for acknowledgement from the KRG.

"They could at least send their condolences - we don't need their compensation," says Ismail.

"When something is gone, it's gone forever."

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