Normal view

There are new articles available, click to refresh the page.
Today — 13 August 2025News

Three children charged with murder of man in Kent

13 August 2025 at 20:05
BBC A red background with the word "BREAKING" in whiteBBC

Three children have been charged with the murder of a man who was found dead on the Isle of Sheppey in Kent.

A 16-year-old girl and two boys, aged 14 and 15, were arrested following an altercation in Leysdown-on-Sea on Sunday night.

Alexander Cashford, 49, was pronounced dead at the scene, police said.

This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly. Please refresh the page for the fullest version.

You can receive Breaking News on a smartphone or tablet via the BBC News App. You can also follow @BBCBreaking on X to get the latest alerts.

Average mortgage rates below 5% for first time since Truss budget

13 August 2025 at 18:48
Getty Images Homebuyers look at an estate agents window display - stock shotGetty Images

The average two-year mortgage rate has dipped below 5% for the first time since former Prime Minister Liz Truss's mini-budget in September 2022, figures show.

The rate has dropped to 4.99%, according to Moneyfacts, which described it as a "symbolic turning point" for homebuyers and shows lenders are "competing more aggressively".

Interest rates have been cut five times since last August but at the Bank of England's last meeting, a split vote between policymakers raised questions about whether there would be another reduction this year.

A Moneyfacts spokesperson said that although mortgages are following the "mood music" set by the Bank's rate cuts, they are unlikely to fall at the same pace.

Gaza talks to focus on releasing hostages all in one go, Netanyahu hints

13 August 2025 at 19:35
ABIR SULTAN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images Headshot of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu staring ahead wearing a dark suit.ABIR SULTAN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
Netanyahu has dismissed international criticism of his plans to expand the war

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated that Gaza ceasefire efforts are now focused on a comprehensive deal to release all the remaining hostages at once.

The plan previously being pushed was for an initial 60-day truce and partial release of living hostages.

Hamas says a delegation of its leaders is in Cairo for "preliminary talks" with Egyptian officials.

Reports say that mediators see a window of opportunity in the coming weeks to try to push a deal through.

After indirect talks between Israel and Hamas broke down last month, Israel announced a controversial plan to widen its military offensive and conquer all the Gaza Strip - including the areas where most of its two million Palestinian residents have sought refuge.

However, Israeli media do not expect the new operation to begin until October - allowing time for military preparations, including a mass call-up of reservists.

In the meantime, witnesses say that Israel has stepped up its attacks on Gaza City with intense air strikes in the past day, destroying homes.

Early on Wednesday, al-Shifa Hospital said seven members of one family, five of them children, were killed when tents were targeted in Tel al-Hawa. Al-Ahli Hospital said 10 people were killed in a strike on a house in the Zaytoun area.

The Israeli military chief Lt Gen Eyal Zamir also "approved the main framework for the IDF's operational plan in the Gaza Strip", a statement released by the army said.

In an interview with the i24 Israeli TV Channel shown on Tuesday, Netanyahu was asked if a partial ceasefire was still possible.

"I think it's behind us," he replied. "We tried, we made all kinds of attempts, we went through a lot, but it turned out that they were just misleading us."

"I want all of them," he said of the hostages. "The release of all the hostages, both alive and dead - that's the stage we're at."

Palestinian armed groups still hold 50 hostages taken in the Hamas-led attack on 7 October 2023 that triggered the war. Israel believes that around 20 of them are still alive.

Netanyahu is under mounting domestic pressure to secure their release as well as over his plans to expand the war.

Last week, unnamed Arab officials were quoted as saying that regional mediators, Egypt and Qatar, were preparing a new framework for a deal that would involve releasing all remaining hostages at the same time in return for an end to the war and the withdrawal of Israeli troops.

However, this will be difficult to do in a short time frame as Israel is demanding that Hamas give up control of Gaza as well as its weapons.

This is likely to be why, at a news conference on Tuesday, Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty told journalists that Cairo was still "making great efforts" with Qatar and the US - the other mediators - to revive the earlier phased plan.

"The main goal is to return to the original proposal - a 60-day ceasefire - along with the release of some hostages and some Palestinian prisoners, and the flow of humanitarian and medical aid into Gaza without obstacles or conditions," Abdelatty said.

The Israeli prime minister says Israel's goals have not changed. He says that the war will end only when all hostages are returned and Hamas surrenders.

Netanyahu has said that, ultimately, Israel must keep open-ended security control over Gaza.

Hamas has long called for a comprehensive deal to exchange the hostages it is holding for Palestinian prisoners in Israel jails. It also wants a full pull-out of Israeli forces and an end to the war.

It refuses to disarm unless an independent Palestinian state is created.

Speaking to i24, Netanyahu also reiterated an idea that Palestinians should simply leave the territory through "voluntary" emigration, saying: "They're not being pushed out, they'll be allowed to exit."

He went on: "All those who are concerned for the Palestinians and say they want to help the Palestinians should open their gates and stop lecturing us."

Palestinians, human rights groups and many in the international community have warned that any forced displacement of people from Gaza violates international law.

Many Palestinians fear a repeat of what they call the "Nakba" (Catastrophe) when hundreds of thousands fled or were forced from their homes in the fighting that came before and after the state of Israel was created in 1948.

Most Gazans are descendants of those original refugees and themselves hold official refugee status.

UN-backed experts have warned of widespread famine unfolding in Gaza, where Israel has greatly limited the amount of humanitarian aid it allows in.

The UN's World Food Programme has warned that starvation and malnutrition are at the highest levels in Gaza since the conflict began.

Hamas's 2023 attack killed about 1,200 people in Israel, with 251 taken into Gaza as hostages.

Israel's offensive has since killed at least 61,722 Palestinians, according to the Hamas-run health ministry. It says that 235 people including 106 children have also died due to starvation and malnutrition.

Amber heat health alert remains in place with 33C forecast

13 August 2025 at 19:33
PA Media People shelter from the sun outside Buckingham Palace, London.PA Media

An amber heat health alert remains place for parts of the UK until 1800 on Wednesday, as areas in England and Wales officially entered their fourth heatwave this summer.

Temperatures will rise into the high 20Cs and low 30Cs, with parts of the East Midlands, Lincolnshire and Yorkshire experiencing the hottest weather with a maximum temperature of 33C forecast on Wednesday afternoon.

Wednesday brings "a more complex picture", the Met Office has said, as high temperatures coincide with a chance of thunderstorms across northern areas.

A yellow weather warning for thunderstorms will be in place for some parts of Scotland between 14:00 and midnight.

The weather warning, issued by the Met Office, covers northern, central and south-east Scotland, where showers are forecast. Conditions could be particularly heavy and thundery.

The downpours could lead to some localised disruption, with road spray and flash flooding leading to difficult conditions.

There are further heavy and thundery showers expected across Scotland and Northern Ireland on Thursday, with an additional yellow weather warning in place from midnight on Wednesday until 22:00 on Thursday.

While Scotland and Northern Ireland will not technically be in a heatwave, due to the three consecutive day rule, temperatures there are still well above the average for the time of year with a forecast of 25C to 29C on Wednesday.

The threshold is 25C for most of the UK, but rises to 28C in London and its surrounding areas, where temperatures are typically higher.

Areas in south-west England, south-west Midlands, north-west England and East Anglia already met the heatwave criteria, by having three consecutive days above a certain temperature.

An amber heat health alert, issued by the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) and the Met Office, means the weather's impacts are likely to be felt across the health service. It is under these circumstances that we can see an increase in risk to health for individuals aged over 65, or those with pre-existing health conditions.

Amber alerts are in place for London, the South East, East of England, West Midlands and East Midlands. A yellow heat health alert is in place for the South West, North East, North West and Yorkshire and the Humber.

Climate change is making heatwaves like those parts of the UK and Europe have experienced this summer more frequent and intense.

Extreme weather events in Europe should be treated as "a health emergency, not just a climate one", a World Health Organization (WHO) advisory group that looks into the health impacts of climate change said on Wednesday.

Citing a 2023 report, the Pan-European Commission on Climate and Health said that heat-related mortality in Europe has increased by 30% in the past two decades, with more than 100,000 deaths recorded.

There is no current law in the UK for maximum workplace temperatures, although employers have an obligation to keep them at a comfortable level.

Trade union Unite has called for the introduction of a maximum working temperature to be set at 30C and for work to be stopped where temperatures cannot be controlled indoors or when no protection - such as shaded areas - can be provided outdoors.

Overheating can lead to heat exhaustion or heatstroke. Heatstroke is considered to be a medical emergency that requires immediate treatment.

Older adults, young children and people with long-term health conditions are especially at risk.

Highest temperatures of 2025:

  • England - 35.8C Faversham, 1July
  • Wales - 33.1C Cardiff Bute Park, 12 July
  • Scotland - 32.2C Aviemore, 12 July
  • Northern Ireland - 30C Magilligan, 12 July

The heat will ease for most on Thursday with some thunderstorms and some cooler, less humid air into Friday - but temperatures could rise again into the weekend.

Thursday will still be a very warm day for eastern and south-east England, with temperatures reaching 29C. Elsewhere the forecast temperatures will be slightly lower at 24C to 27C.

Friday could be hotter again with temperatures rising back above 30C in south-east England and to mid to high 20s elsewhere across England and Wales.

It then stays very warm into the weekend. While cloudy at times, especially in the mornings over the coming days, there will still be lots of sunshine for most of us.

The lack of any significant rain into next week is another concern, especially for farmers and growers, as well as for those in areas experiencing a drought and hosepipe bans.

England is suffering widespread environmental effects from the shortage of water, which is hitting farms, damaging wildlife and increasing wildfires, the national drought group - which includes the Met Office, regulators, the government and water companies - said.

The group met on Tuesday as Yorkshire, Cumbria and Lancashire, Greater Manchester Merseyside and Cheshire, East Midlands, and the West Midlands experienced drought.

North-east England, Lincolnshire and Northamptonshire, East Anglia, Thames, Wessex, Solent and South Downs are currently classed as areas "in prolonged dry weather", the phase before drought.

Droughts began to occur earlier than expected this summer following a long period of low rainfall and the sixth driest spring since records began in 1836.

Millions of people in England are now under hosepipe bans aimed at limiting water consumption.

I cleared my £13,000 debt with TikTok earnings

13 August 2025 at 13:04
BBC Roxanne stands in front of her light talking into her camera on her phone wearing a dressBBC
Roxanne Freeman built up her online following while working as a slimming consultant

"This has been the turning point for me - it's improved my confidence, my own self-belief."

Single mum Roxanne Freeman says she lived beyond her means and used her credit cards to support her family, even using one to put down a deposit on a caravan.

She had racked up £13,000 worth of debt by summer 2023, but her fortunes changed after she turned her hand to content creation, filming and posting reviews of plus-size clothing on TikTok.

The 36-year-old from Leicester earns commissions on her videos - up to £5,000 a month now, she says - and has cleared her debt.

Roxanne is among a growing number of people turning to social media to boost their income and says: "It's literally life-changing."

Roxanne and her two boys sitting on the floor as she opens a new game
Roxanne says she can now afford to do more with her sons

Roxanne was working as a Slimming World consultant when she bought a dress from TikTok Shop and filmed herself trying it on before posting a review for her 1,000 followers in February 2024.

She says she earned £200 in commission from the dress manufacturer in a week - 10% for each one bought via the link she posted with her video - and was soon approached by other companies offering her samples to review.

"In my second month I earned £600 and it just went up and up gradually," she adds.

"I'm now earning up to £5,000 per month from just two to three hours' work a day, it's insane."

'Imposter syndrome'

Roxanne, who now has almost 50,000 followers, has since left her slimming consultant job and relies solely on her income from TikTok.

She says her earnings vary each month depending on her followers, but she has earned enough to pay off her debts and to do more with her sons, aged six and 10.

"I took the kids on holiday - my youngest boy had never been abroad before," she says.

"Sometimes imposter syndrome does sneak in a little bit and I worry, but you could lose any job tomorrow."

Holly and Diego record a TikTok video in their kitchen.
Holly and Diego Hernandez's TikTok account has almost 300,000 followers

Like Roxanne, married couple Holly and Diego Hernandez also earn money by posting videos on TikTok.

Holly, from Leicester, and Diego, from Mexico, met on the social media platform when they were 16 and went on to set up an account to document their relationship and daily life.

The couple now have almost 300,000 followers and earn up to £5,000 a month, but they have both kept their day jobs - Holly, 22, is a nurse and Diego, 23, works for a medical supply company.

Some of their income comes via the TikTok Creator Fund, which pays users for their content.

To be eligible, creators must be 18 or older, have 10,000 followers or more and have had at least 100,000 video views in the 30 days before applying to join the fund.

For Holly and Diego, who live in Leicester, they are paid according to their video interactions.

They are also paid by record labels to play particular songs in the background of their videos.

Due to their success, the couple have become a limited company - registered with Companies House - and have signed with a management agency.

Diego - with black hair and wearing a green football shirt with three red stripes on the shoulder - and Holly - with long brown hair and wearing a grey top - both stand smiling.
Diego and Holly have both kept their day jobs

Holly says: "We were so young when the money came in, and we were going on amazing holidays and buying things.

"I wish there was somebody back then who guided us, because I think we would have invested or saved it.

"In the beginning, I was trying to manage the monetary side of it myself and I found it really overwhelming.

"Things like taxes came into play, so we ended up getting an accountant and becoming a limited company."

The couple post videos most days but admit there are negatives to sharing their lives so openly.

"I think the biggest downside is the trolls," says Holly.

"There's always someone hounding you because of our relationship or the way that we look, the way we speak or the way we dress.

"It can get to you when it's constant."

Estelle looks through newspaper and magazine cuttings featuring her social marketing clients
Estelle Keeber says "influencer marketing is here to stay"

Estelle Keeber, also from Leicester, started a Facebook group aimed at female business owners in 2017 and, after gaining a large following, started charging for her social media expertise.

The 42-year-old says she turned over £1.2m in the first two years and now runs a social media marketing consultancy firm called Immortal Monkey.

"Whether you want to be an influencer or an affiliate marketer, there has never been a better time for people to be jumping in," she says.

"But it does takes time, it takes a lot of hard work, especially if you're building a brand around yourself. It is constant hard work."

Estelle is now setting up a community interest company to link influencers with schools to educate the next generation on content creation.

"I think influencer marketing is here to stay because it's an organic way of marketing," she says.

"Nobody wants to be sold to, whereas when it's organic, people trust and believe in that person - and the bigger brands are really understanding this now."

'Big, fat juicy tax bill'

According to Statista, a global data and business intelligence platform, there are 54 million social media users in the UK and 84% of adults follow an influencer.

But anyone who makes a living from or supplements their income by posting content online is subject to the same tax laws as everyone else.

According to Revenue and Customs, income from creating online content includes gifts and services received from promoting products on social media.

If someone's total income is more than the £1,000 allowance for the tax year, including any gifts and services received, they must tell HMRC about it.

Zubair Ali, managing partner of MyTaxDoc Accountants, based in Birmingham, says three in 10 of the firm's clients are social media influencers.

"Just because you've got a million followers, HMRC won't let it slide," Zubair says.

"The last thing anyone wants is a big, fat juicy tax bill which they haven't got the means to pay for."

Follow BBC Leicester on Facebook, on X, or on Instagram. Send your story ideas to eastmidsnews@bbc.co.uk or via WhatsApp on 0808 100 2210.

Welsh Labour politician Hefin David dies aged 47

13 August 2025 at 20:12
BBC A man with dark hair, glasses and a beard wearing a suit. BBC
Hefin David had been a Labour backbench member in the Senedd

Welsh Labour politician Hefin David has died suddenly, aged 47.

Mr David had been Member of the Senedd (MS) for Caerphilly since 2016.

Paying tribute, First Minister and Welsh Labour leader Eluned Morgan called him an "outstanding politician" who would be "greatly missed".

Gwent Police said a 47-year-old man was found unresponsive at a property in Nelson, Caerphilly county, on Tuesday evening, and the death was not being treated as suspicious.

His partner was Cynon Valley MS Vikki Howells, the minister for further and higher education in the Welsh Labour government.

The first minister said: "We are extremely saddened by the sudden death of Hefin. Our thoughts are with his family at this terrible time.

"Hefin was a much-loved member of the Labour family. He served Caerphilly as a councillor and a Member of the Senedd with pride and passion.

"He was an outstanding politician, warm and enthusiastic and a great communicator – especially on behalf of his constituents.

"He will be greatly missed."

Mark Hobrough, Gwent Police chief constable, said his "thoughts and heartfelt condolences" are with Mr David's family, friends and colleagues.

"After I joined Gwent Police as the chief superintendent for the area covering Caerphilly, I worked closely with Hefin on many occasions and I found him to be an engaging and thoughtful individual.

"A dedicated public servant to Caerphilly, his commitment to our communities will be a significant loss."

Elected to Cardiff Bay in 2016, Mr David was one of the more prominent Labour backbench members and was never afraid to go against the party line.

UK firms chase £38bn India contracts but challenges loom

13 August 2025 at 05:40
Getty Images Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi shaking hands with the flags of their respective countries behind the leaders. Getty Images
UK firms bidding for Indian government contracts in specified areas will be treated on par with Indian suppliers

A standout feature of the India-UK free trade agreement signed last month was the Narendra Modi government's decision to open India's vast government procurement market to UK suppliers.

This typically includes a range of things the government buys - from goods and services to contracts for public works such as roads.

Some 40,000 high-value tenders worth £38bn from federal ministries will now be open to bidding for UK businesses in strategic sectors like transport, green energy and infrastructure - areas which have thus far been heavily protected from foreign competition.

The access is unprecedented, trade experts say.

It is "far greater" than what India had offered in its earlier agreement with the United Arab Emirates and "sets a new benchmark", Ajay Srivastava of the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI), a Delhi-based think-tank, told the BBC.

Under the agreement, UK firms bidding for Indian government contracts in specified areas will be treated almost on par with Indian suppliers and also have real-time access to information on forthcoming public tenders and procurement opportunities.

Also, goods from the UK made with just 20% domestic input can now be supplied to the Indian government, allowing UK companies the flexibility to source up to 80% of the parts or raw material from other countries and still qualify for procurement preference in India.

The minimum contract value at which these firms can bid for government projects has also been sharply reduced as a result of which "UK companies can now bid on a wide range of lower-value projects - such as rural roads, solar equipment for schools, or IT systems for government offices - that were previously out of reach", said Mr Srivastava.

Getty Images A rural village mud road in Purulia district, West Bengal flanked by fields and coconut trees. Getty Images
UK companies can now bid on a wide range of lower-value projects such as rural roads

But for British companies, realising this opportunity on the ground will be easier said than done, several experts told the BBC.

While UK suppliers are eligible to participate as Class-II local suppliers, Indian companies will continue to get preferential treatment as Class-I suppliers, says Dr Arpita Mukherjee, a trade expert with the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations.

Moreover, pricing plays a key role in winning contracts, and "UK companies tend to have higher prices" compared with Indian companies, which will be a major challenge for them, she adds.

A more significant deterrent will be delayed payments and difficult contract enforcement, which are "major legacy issues when it comes to public procurement in India", says Srijan Shukla of the Observer Research Foundation think-tank.

He says a study on procurement by India's central public sector enterprises from 2017 to 2020 found that pending payments to suppliers were often more than the total average procurement in a year.

"This will impact UK players trying to enter India's public procurement markets, especially when it comes to public contracts that have long-time horizons and are subject to regulatory and political uncertainties," Mr Shukla told the BBC.

Pending dues have been a major irritant for India's small businesses too, leading to short-term liquidity issues that often "force them out of these procurement markets and reallocate that business to the big players", according to Mr Shukla.

Much of this is reflected in India's poor ranking - 163 out of 190 - on contract enforcement in the World Bank's Doing Business report, the latest round of which was in 2020.

While things have improved since these rankings were published - with one-stop-shop portals like Government e-Marketplace, the Central Public Procurement Portal or the recently launched online dispute resolution portal bringing more transparency to the public tendering process - payment discipline by government entities continues to remain a challenge, says Mr Shukla.

According to Ms Mukherjee, the India-UK trade agreement emphasises transparency in procurement but omits issues like pending dues, contract enforcement and penalties.

She adds the deal excludes the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement's dispute settlement provisions for four years after the CETA takes effect - these provisions usually define how disputes are resolved.

"Doing business in India is an acquired skill. Over time, companies from the UK will have to learn the way to work around complexities regarding the art of winning public tenders and navigating though complex regulations," Mr Shukla says.

Getty Images A woman worker with a headscarf, wearing a maroon tunic, handles a sheet of processed leather at a tannery in Jalandhar, Punjab, India,. Getty Images
India's public procurement market has long been reserved for local small and medium enterprises

Despite the niggling issues, allowing foreign players entry into India's government procurement market marks a far-reaching policy shift.

It shows the Indian government's intentions to open up a space that has long been reserved for local small and medium enterprises, and could be reflective of the concessions Delhi is willing to give foreign players in future trade agreements like the one being negotiated with the US, according to GTRI.

India is late to including deep government procurement clauses in trade deals, making its current efforts a catch-up game, says Mr Shukla.

It is also a sign, he says, of the Indian government's "confidence that its own firms can compete with global firms both externally and at home".

The hope is that more foreign players will force more accountability from the Indian government and "help standardise" its tendering and public procurement process - marked by payment delays and poor contract enforcement - to global standards.

Follow BBC News India on Instagram, YouTube, X and Facebook.

Why are Trump and Putin meeting in Alaska and when will it happen?

13 August 2025 at 11:06
Getty Images File image of a lake and mountains in AlaskaGetty Images

The US and Russia have agreed to hold a meeting between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on Friday 15 August, to discuss how to end the war in Ukraine.

Trump announced the meeting a week beforehand - the same day as his deadline for Russia to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine or face more US sanctions.

Three rounds of talks between Russia and Ukraine held at Trump's behest this summer have yet to bring the two sides any closer to peace.

Here is what we know about the meeting between the two leaders, taking place in Alaska - which was once Russian territory - in Anchorage.

Why are they meeting in Alaska?

The US purchased Alaska from Russia in 1867, lending a historical resonance to the meeting. It became a US state in 1959.

Russian presidential assistant Yuri Ushakov pointed out that the two countries are neighbours, with only the Bering Strait separating them.

"It seems quite logical for our delegation simply to fly over the Bering Strait and for such an important and anticipated summit of the leaders of the two countries to be held in Alaska," Ushakov said.

The last time Alaska took centre-stage in an American diplomatic event was in March 2021, when Joe Biden's newly minted diplomatic and national security team met their Chinese counterparts in Anchorage.

The sit-down turned acrimonious, with the Chinese accusing the Americans of "condescension and hypocrisy".

Where in Alaska will Trump and Putin meet?

The meeting will be in Anchorage, the White House confirmed on Tuesday.

When announcing the bilateral, Trump said the location would be "a very popular one for a number of reasons", without disclosing it would be in the state's largest city.

The pair will be hosted at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, the largest military installation in Alaska. The 64,000 acre base is a key US site for Arctic military readiness.

Map showing Alaska, Canada, and Russia with the Bering Sea in between. Anchorage is marked in southern Alaska. The map highlights how Alaska and Russia are geographically close, separated by only a narrow stretch of water. An inset globe in the top left shows the region’s location in the northern Pacific

Why are Putin and Trump meeting?

Trump has been pushing hard - without much success - to end the war in Ukraine.

As a presidential candidate, he pledged that he could end the war within 24 hours of taking office. He has also repeatedly argued that the war "never would have happened" if he had been president at the time of Russia's invasion in 2022.

Last month, Trump told the BBC that he was "disappointed" by Putin.

Frustrations grew and Trump set an 8 August deadline for Putin to agree to an immediate ceasefire or face more severe US sanctions.

As the deadline hit, Trump instead announced he and Putin would meet in person on 15 August.

The meeting comes after US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff held "highly productive" talks with Putin in Moscow on Wednesday, according to Trump.

Ahead of the meeting, the White House sought to play down speculation that the bilateral could yield a ceasefire.

"This is a listening exercise for the president," said White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt. She added that Trump may travel to Russia following the Alaska trip.

Speaking to reporters on Monday, Trump said he viewed the summit as a "feel-out meeting" aimed at urging Putin to end the war.

Is Ukraine attending?

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is not expected to attend. Trump said on Monday: "I would say he could go, but he's been to a lot of meetings."

Trump did, however, say that Zelensky would be the first person he would call afterwards.

A White House official later said that Trump and Zelensky would meet virtually on Wednesday, ahead of the US president's summit with Putin. The Zelensky meeting will be joined by several European leaders.

Putin had requested that Zelensky be excluded, although the White House has previously said that Trump was willing to hold a trilateral in which all three leaders were present.

Zelensky has said any agreements without input from Ukraine would amount to "dead decisions".

What do both sides hope to get out of it?

While both Russia and Ukraine have long said that they want the war to end, both countries want things that the other harshly opposes.

Trump said on Monday he was "going to try to get some of that [Russian-occupied] territory back for Ukraine". But he also warned that there might have to be "some swapping, changes in land".

Ukraine, however, has been adamant that it will not accept Russian control of regions that Moscow has seized, including Crimea.

Zelensky pushed back this week against any idea of "swapping" territories.

"We will not reward Russia for what it has perpetrated," the Ukrainian president said.

Watch: 'We're going to change the battle lines' Trump on the war in Ukraine

Meanwhile, Putin has not budged from his territorial demands, Ukraine's neutrality and the future size of its army.

Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, in part, over Putin's belief the Western defensive alliance, Nato, was using the neighbouring country to gain a foothold to bring its troops closer to Russia's borders.

Map showing which areas of Ukraine are under Russian military control or limited Russian control. A large section of the map, including Crimea and Donetsk are coloured in red to show that the areas are fully under Russian military control.

The Trump administration has been attempting to sway European leaders on a ceasefire deal that would hand over swathes of Ukrainian territory to Russia, the BBC's US partner CBS News has reported.

The agreement would allow Russia to keep control of the Crimean peninsula, and take the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine, which is made up of Donetsk and Luhansk, according to sources familiar with the talks.

Russia illegally occupied Crimea in 2014 and its forces control the majority of the Donbas region.

Under the deal, Russia would have to give up the Ukrainian regions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, where it currently has some military control.

Speaking to Fox News, US Vice-President JD Vance said any future deal was "not going to make anybody super happy".

"You've got to make peace here… you can't finger point," he said.

"The way to peace is to have a decisive leader to sit down and force people to come together."

特朗普提“互换土地” 乌克兰难以放弃顿巴斯

13 August 2025 at 20:17
David Ehl
2025-08-13T12:01:51.697Z
泽连斯基已坚决拒绝“割地”,表示这有违宪法

(德国之声中文网)在俄罗斯看来,乌克兰领土面积小了五分之一,因为莫斯科将乌东地区视为己有。

特朗普与普京即将于周五会晤之际,再次提及“互换土地”

然而,乌克兰目前并不控制俄罗斯领土:2024年8月对俄库尔斯克地区的反攻如今已基本终结。因此,乌克兰手中并无可交换的占领俄罗斯的领土。乌克兰及其盟国因此担心周五的会晤会绕过基辅谈“割地”。

俄罗斯控制乌克兰哪些地区?

俄罗斯对乌东地区觊觎已久。2014年3月,俄罗斯军队违反国际法占领克里米亚半岛。当时,乌克兰爆发所谓“独立广场革命”,推翻了基辅的亲俄政府。3月18日,俄罗斯正式吞并克里米亚,此前在那里举行了俄操控下的公投。此后,俄罗斯进一步在乌克兰东部地区顿涅茨克和卢甘斯克制造不稳定。顿巴斯也位于该地区。

2022年2月21日,俄罗斯承认所谓的“顿涅茨克人民共和国”和“卢甘斯克人民共和国”。三天后,莫斯科发动大规模入侵。战争初期,乌克兰在北部基本扫除入侵者。在东部,俄军动用大规模力量控制大范围土地。除顿涅茨克和卢甘斯克外,也包括东南部地区扎波罗热和赫尔松。

2022年9月,俄罗斯在这四个地区举行操纵下的公投,宣称加入俄罗斯联盟是民心所向。但欧洲委员会报告称,当地平民遭受暴力和强迫。拒绝加入俄罗斯国籍者无法获得社会福利以及教育、医疗服务。

顿巴斯的重要意义

对俄罗斯而言,这些地区具有重要的地缘政治意义。顿巴斯有丰富的煤炭和铁矿石,因此该地区是钢铁和化工中心。乌东地区据估计还蕴藏着稀土矿藏。与此同时,这里还与克里米亚陆路连接。乌克兰目前已没有通往亚速海的路径。

目前,围绕顿巴斯正在激战。自2014年以来,该地区对乌克兰的军事重要性也增加。乌军在这里建立了一条“堡垒地带”,是迄今最重要的一条防线。尽管俄罗斯控制顿巴斯大部分地区,但一致未能攻破这条“堡垒地带”。

美国战争研究所分析说,如果乌克兰被迫放弃该“堡垒地带”,那么将无保障阻止战事重燃。

国际法十分明确

俄罗斯在举行操纵下的公投后,将吞并的乌克兰领土列入本国宪法。倘若撤销这一步,可能会被俄民众视为失败。

与此同时,泽连斯基也屡次强调,该国宪法规定领土“不可分割”。

而从国际法而言,十分明确:俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以及操纵下的公投,均违反国际法。

DW中文有 Instagram!欢迎搜寻dw.chinese,看更多深入浅出的图文与影音报道。

© 2025年德国之声版权声明:本文所有内容受到著作权法保护,如无德国之声特别授权,不得擅自使用。任何不当行为都将导致追偿,并受到刑事追究。

Gaza talks to focus on releasing hostages all in one go, Netanyahu hints

13 August 2025 at 19:35
ABIR SULTAN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images Headshot of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu staring ahead wearing a dark suit.ABIR SULTAN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
Netanyahu has dismissed international criticism of his plans to expand the war

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated that Gaza ceasefire efforts are now focused on a comprehensive deal to release all the remaining hostages at once.

The plan previously being pushed was for an initial 60-day truce and partial release of living hostages.

Hamas says a delegation of its leaders is in Cairo for "preliminary talks" with Egyptian officials.

Reports say that mediators see a window of opportunity in the coming weeks to try to push a deal through.

After indirect talks between Israel and Hamas broke down last month, Israel announced a controversial plan to widen its military offensive and conquer all the Gaza Strip - including the areas where most of its two million Palestinian residents have sought refuge.

However, Israeli media do not expect the new operation to begin until October - allowing time for military preparations, including a mass call-up of reservists.

In the meantime, witnesses say that Israel has stepped up its attacks on Gaza City with intense air strikes in the past day, destroying homes.

Early on Wednesday, al-Shifa Hospital said seven members of one family, five of them children, were killed when tents were targeted in Tel al-Hawa. Al-Ahli Hospital said 10 people were killed in a strike on a house in the Zaytoun area.

The Israeli military chief Lt Gen Eyal Zamir also "approved the main framework for the IDF's operational plan in the Gaza Strip", a statement released by the army said.

In an interview with the i24 Israeli TV Channel shown on Tuesday, Netanyahu was asked if a partial ceasefire was still possible.

"I think it's behind us," he replied. "We tried, we made all kinds of attempts, we went through a lot, but it turned out that they were just misleading us."

"I want all of them," he said of the hostages. "The release of all the hostages, both alive and dead - that's the stage we're at."

Palestinian armed groups still hold 50 hostages taken in the Hamas-led attack on 7 October 2023 that triggered the war. Israel believes that around 20 of them are still alive.

Netanyahu is under mounting domestic pressure to secure their release as well as over his plans to expand the war.

Last week, unnamed Arab officials were quoted as saying that regional mediators, Egypt and Qatar, were preparing a new framework for a deal that would involve releasing all remaining hostages at the same time in return for an end to the war and the withdrawal of Israeli troops.

However, this will be difficult to do in a short time frame as Israel is demanding that Hamas give up control of Gaza as well as its weapons.

This is likely to be why, at a news conference on Tuesday, Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty told journalists that Cairo was still "making great efforts" with Qatar and the US - the other mediators - to revive the earlier phased plan.

"The main goal is to return to the original proposal - a 60-day ceasefire - along with the release of some hostages and some Palestinian prisoners, and the flow of humanitarian and medical aid into Gaza without obstacles or conditions," Abdelatty said.

The Israeli prime minister says Israel's goals have not changed. He says that the war will end only when all hostages are returned and Hamas surrenders.

Netanyahu has said that, ultimately, Israel must keep open-ended security control over Gaza.

Hamas has long called for a comprehensive deal to exchange the hostages it is holding for Palestinian prisoners in Israel jails. It also wants a full pull-out of Israeli forces and an end to the war.

It refuses to disarm unless an independent Palestinian state is created.

Speaking to i24, Netanyahu also reiterated an idea that Palestinians should simply leave the territory through "voluntary" emigration, saying: "They're not being pushed out, they'll be allowed to exit."

He went on: "All those who are concerned for the Palestinians and say they want to help the Palestinians should open their gates and stop lecturing us."

Palestinians, human rights groups and many in the international community have warned that any forced displacement of people from Gaza violates international law.

Many Palestinians fear a repeat of what they call the "Nakba" (Catastrophe) when hundreds of thousands fled or were forced from their homes in the fighting that came before and after the state of Israel was created in 1948.

Most Gazans are descendants of those original refugees and themselves hold official refugee status.

UN-backed experts have warned of widespread famine unfolding in Gaza, where Israel has greatly limited the amount of humanitarian aid it allows in.

The UN's World Food Programme has warned that starvation and malnutrition are at the highest levels in Gaza since the conflict began.

Hamas's 2023 attack killed about 1,200 people in Israel, with 251 taken into Gaza as hostages.

Israel's offensive has since killed at least 61,722 Palestinians, according to the Hamas-run health ministry. It says that 235 people including 106 children have also died due to starvation and malnutrition.

UK, France and Germany ready to reimpose sanctions on Iran over nuclear programme

13 August 2025 at 18:04
Reuters Germany's Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul, France's Minister for Europe and Foreign Affairs Jean-Noel Barrot, and British Foreign Secretary David Lammy stand next to each other speaking to journalists following nuclear talks with Iran in Geneva in June.Reuters
The foreign ministers of Germany, France and the UK have offered an extension for negotiations with Iran until the end of August

The UK, France and Germany have told the UN they are ready to reimpose sanctions on Iran over its nuclear programme if it fails to resume talks by the end of August.

The three countries, known as the E3, said they were prepared to trigger a "snapback" mechanism - meaning previous sanctions would be reinstated - unless Iran resumes negotiations.

The E3 said they had offered to extend a deadline for negotiations to the end of August, which Iran has not replied to.

Last month, Iran said it was prepared for further talks but only once sanctions already in place were lifted and its right to a civilian nuclear programme was agreed.

It comes after initial talks between E3 and Iranian diplomats took place in Istanbul, Turkey last month.

In a letter to the UN and its chief António Guterres, three foreign ministers - Jean-Noël Barrot from France, David Lammy from the UK and Johann Wadephul from Germany - said they would enforce severe sanctions on Iran unless it agrees to limit its nuclear programme.

On Tuesday, the E3 said their offer of an extension to the negotiations "remained unanswered by Iran".

"We have made it clear that if Iran is not willing to reach a diplomatic solution before the end of August 2025, or does not seize the opportunity of an extension, the E3 are prepared to trigger the snapback mechanism," the letter said.

They added they were committed to using "all diplomatic tools" to ensure Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon - something Iran has denied intending to do.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said in July that triggering sanctions would be "completely illegal".

Sanctions on Iran's nuclear programme were previously lifted in 2015 after Iran signed a nuclear deal with the E3, the US, Russia and China, agreeing limits on its nuclear operations and to allow international inspectors entry to its nuclear sites. The deal is due to expire in October.

The US withdrew from the deal in 2018 during President Donald Trump's first term, with the leader saying it did too little to stop Iran from creating a pathway to a nuclear bomb.

With its withdrawal, all US sanctions were re-imposed on Iran.

Iran retaliated by increasingly breaching the restrictions. In May, the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), said it had more than 400kg of uranium enriched to 60% purity - well above the level used for civilian purposes and close to weapons grade.

In June Iran's parliament suspended cooperation with the IAEA after tensions with Israel and the US came to a head.

Israel launched attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities the same month, triggering a 12-day war.

The US bombed a number of Iran's nuclear sites, bringing US-Iran talks to an abrupt end.

Following the strikes, the E3 countries stepped up warnings to Iran about its suspension of cooperation with the IAEA.

The BBC has contacted the UK Foreign Office for comment.

The Iranian mission to the UN did not immediately respond to the BBC's request for comment.

Greece battles wildfires as heatwave rages across southern Europe

13 August 2025 at 18:27
Reuters Women in shorts walk past a fully charred and burnt car ion a street surrounded by charred treesReuters
A major blaze in Turkey forced hundreds from their homes

A scorching heatwave is fuelling dozens of wildfires across parts of southern Europe, forcing thousands of people from their homes and pushing temperatures above 40C (104F).

Red heat alerts have been issued in parts of Italy, France, Spain, Portugal and the Balkans, warning of significant risks to health.

Spain's weather service Aemet said temperatures could reach 44C (111.2F) in Seville and Cordoba, while authorities in southern Portugal also warned of possible 44C highs.

In Italy, a child died of heatstroke on Monday, and in Tres Cantos, north of Spain's capital Madrid, a man who suffered serious burns died in hospital, officials said.

Reuters Two people both wearing hats have their backs to the camera as they look on as smoke rises from a wildfire burning in the distance with white smoke and orange flames fanningReuters
Wildfires in Albania forced people to evacuate their homes on Monday

Hundreds of Tres Cantos residents were forced to leave their homes amid Spain's wildfires and the regional environment minister described the fire as having "explosive characteristics because of a dry storm that has brought winds of more than 70km/h (43.5mph)".

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez posted on X on Tuesday and said that rescue services "are working tirelessly to extinguish the fires". "We are at extreme risk of forest fires. Please be very cautious," he added.

In Spain's north-western region of Castile and Leon, almost 4,000 people were evacuated and more than 30 blazes were reported - with one threatening Las Medulas, a Unesco World Heritage site renowned for its ancient gold mines.

Another 2,000 people were evacuated from hotels and homes near the tourist hotspot of Tarifa in the southern region of Andalusia.

Almost 1,000 soldiers were deployed to battle wildfires around the country, Spain's national military emergency unit said on Tuesday morning.

In neighbouring Portugal, firefighters battled three large wildfires, with the most serious near Trancoso contained in the centre of the country on Tuesday.

Getty The aerial view of Canakkale in Turkiye shows beautiful blue sea to the left with a whole area of forest scorched and blackened to the right with homes and cars dotted aroundGetty
Firefighting efforts continue in Canakkale, Turkey, where a large blaze spread

More than 1,300 firefighters and 14 aircraft were deployed, with Morocco sending two planes after Portuguese water bombers broke down, Reuters reported. Authorities warned southern regions could hit 44C, with the temperature not expected to dip below 25C.

One child died of heatstroke in Italy on Monday, where temperatures of 40C are expected to hit later this week and red heat alerts were in place for 16 cities including Rome, Milan and Florence.

The four-year-old Romanian boy, who was found unconscious in a car in Sardinia was airlifted to a hospital in Rome but died due to irreversible brain damage, reportedly caused by heatstroke, medical authorities told AFP.

Almost three-quarters of France was placed under heat alerts on Tuesday, with temperatures forecast to top 36C in the Paris region and 40C in the Rhône Valley.

French Health Minister Catherine Vautrin said hospitals were braced for fallout from the country's second heatwave in just a few weeks. On Monday, 80 weather stations broke August records, 58 reaching all-time highs.

Reuters A woman in a black sleevless dress looks passes by the burnt out shell of her home in Piperi Village, Montenegro.Reuters
Wildfires in Montenegro destroy property near the capital Podgorica

In Greece, gale-force winds fanned fires on tourist islands Zakynthos and Cephalonia, prompting village and hotel evacuations. Another blaze near the western Greek town Vonitsa threatened homes, while four areas of the mainland also faced evacuations.

Turkey's northwestern Canakkale province saw a major fire force hundreds from their homes. Canakkale Governor Omer Toraman said in a post on X that seven planes and six helicopters were tackling the blaze on Tuesday.

He added the Dardanelles Strait, a waterway linking the Aegean Sea to the Sea of Marmara, was closed to allow water-dropping planes and helicopters to operate safely.

Wildfires in Albania forced people to evacuate their homes on Monday, while in Croatia a large fire raged in Split and was contained on Tuesday. A major wildfire swept through Piperi village near Montenegro's capital Podgorica, devastating houses in the area.

Parts of the UK are sweltering in its fourth heatwave of the year, with amber and yellow heat health alerts in place for all of England and potential highs of 34C forecast.

Scientists warn global warming is making Mediterranean summers hotter and drier, fuelling longer and more intense fire seasons.

National Guard troops appear in Washington DC as mayor rejects Trump's 'authoritarian push'

13 August 2025 at 19:59
Crime in DC: What do the figures say and how safe do people feel?

US National Guard troops have begun appearing on the streets of Washington DC, a day after President Donald Trump deployed the troops to the city and took control of its police force as he argued violent crime was out of control.

Armoured vehicles were spotted at urban centres and tourist sites around the US capital on Tuesday evening.

Officials have said that 800 National Guard troops are expected to be deployed, as well as 500 federal law enforcement agents.

Washington DC Mayor Muriel Bowser, a Democrat, who has denied crime is out of control in her city, described the troop deployment as an "authoritarian push".

Watch: National Guard arrives in Washington DC

Trump, a Republican, has also threatened similar deployments against New York and Chicago, two other Democratic-controlled cities.

The camouflaged troops have been trickling into the US capital since Trump's announcement on Monday.

They have been seen erecting barricades outside several government buildings, and taking photos with tourists.

Twenty-three people were arrested by federal agents on Monday night, according to White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt. The agents are aiding local law enforcement.

She said the arrests were for homicide, gun offences, drug dealing, lewd acts, stalking, reckless driving, and other crimes.

"This is only the beginning," said Leavitt.

"Over the course of the next month, the Trump administration will relentlessly pursue and arrest every violent criminal in the District who breaks the law, undermines public safety, and endangers law-abiding Americans."

Getty Images A soldier erecting a barricade outside a government buildingGetty Images

FBI Director Kash Patel later said FBI agents were involved in around half of those arrests.

Both the mayor of Washington and the city's police chief said earlier in the day they shared the same goal as the federal agents.

"What I'm focused on is the federal surge and how to make the most of the federal officers that we have," Bowser said after a meeting on Tuesday with US Attorney General Pam Bondi.

Metropolitan Police Department Chief Pamela Smith said: "We know that we have to get illegal guns off of our streets, and if we have this influx of enhanced presence, we know that it's going to make our city even better."

But at a town hall on Tuesday night, the mayor sharpened her criticism of Trump.

Bowser called on community members to "protect our city, to protect our autonomy, to protect our home rule and get to the other side of this guy and make sure we elect a Democratic House so that we have a backstop to this authoritarian push", according to the New York Times.

Getty Images Troops seen standing with the US Capitol building in the backgroundGetty Images

It comes as a manhunt was launched for an armed assailant who killed a man on Monday night in Logan Circle, one of Washington DC's trendiest neighbourhoods, just a mile from the White House.

It was the 100th homicide recorded in Washington DC this year, according to local media.

Police say the suspect was last seen wearing a black shirt and carrying a rifle.

The shooting prompted US Secret Service to bolster security outside the president's home as a precaution.

According to crime figures published by Washington DC's Metropolitan Police, violent offences peaked in 2023 and fell 35% last year to their lowest level in three decades.

But DC Police Union chairman Gregg Pemberton has disputed those figures, previously accusing the city police department of "deliberately falsifying crime data, creating a false narrative of reduced crime while communities suffer".

FBI data has also indicated a drop in crime in Washington DC last year - a more modest decrease of 9%.

Studies suggest the capital's homicide rate is higher than average compared with other major US cities.

Getty Images Troops were seen posing with tourists on the National Mall near the Washington MonumentGetty Images
Troops were seen posing with tourists on the National Mall near the Washington Monument

剥洋葱people|缝纫机与透析机:尿毒症工厂里的生存实验

13 August 2025 at 19:05

file

对于他来说,最务实的生存法则是,“可以病,不能病态,也不能太病。”他反复把这句话解释给新来的年轻人:“我们是有病,但不能病恹恹躺平,肾坏了脑子没坏;也得照顾好身体,身体是本钱,本钱没了,都是白玩。”

文丨新京报记者 吴瑜 实习生 罗丽娟

编辑 丨陈晓舒

校对 丨赵琳

老裁缝终于坐回缝纫机前,生计和尊严都回来了。

两年前,听说广州有服装厂专收尿毒症病人,待业多年的43岁尿毒症病人张顺,从江西老家赶来。没带什么行李,除了三支缝纫用的旧锥子。

厂里都知道来了个“狠人”——早七点多到,晚十点多才走。揽最多的货,布料把缝纫机桌面铺满,剩下的堆在腿上。踏板“踩到飞起”,“下一件永远要比上一件快。”再后来,他要和“普工组”的健康工人争货单,比试工作量。

“风吹不着,雨打不着,让咱们病人过正常人一样的生活”,张顺一直记着员工大会上,主管说过的话。

这家“收留”尿毒症患者的工厂,其实是广州城郊的一家民营透析中心开的。二三层是透析室,四层就是服装厂。尿毒症工人——最大的60岁、最小的18岁,每日上上下下,把服装厂里挣到的钱用来交透析费,透析完的身体再继续投入工作。

在广州这不是个例。3年来,边打工边透析的外地尿毒症病人,占据数十家民营透析中心近半数床位。他们在这座城市,开辟出以工养医的生存路径,也过上抱团取暖的集体生活。

但这不仅仅是尿毒症病人希望以更“体面”的方式生存的故事。

根据中国肾脏疾病数据系统统计,截至2024年底,我国有超200万尿毒症病人,其中大陆地区透析患者总数达118.3万例,年新增患者约2万人。大量乡镇县城尿毒症病人,仍面临着就业、就医和经济上的困境。

在广州这个生态圈里,民营透析中心和病人彼此依存。一方面,民营透析中心提供的食宿、就业、补贴等福利,为病人提供生存空间;另一方面,靠福利吸引来的病人,又为透析中心带来医疗营收。

与此同时,这个生态圈也处在规则的灰色地带。

image

夜里十点半,张顺在加班。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

CDT 档案卡
标题:缝纫机与透析机:尿毒症工厂里的生存实验
作者:剥洋葱
发表日期:2025.8.13
来源:微信公众号“剥洋葱people”
主题归类:活着
CDS收藏:人物馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

病人与工人 

距离广州市中心20公里,一家五层民营透析中心临街坐落,日晒雨淋后,招牌褪成灰蓝色,在往来的车流中并不打眼。每个清晨,一群尿毒症工人簇拥着钻进这栋楼,天黑,又四散消失在背后的握手楼群中。

楼内运转着一个精密的医疗工业系统——四层是服装厂,58名尿毒症工人在此工作,日产能最高可达两千件;二三层是透析室,50台透析机并列排开,可供200人轮班透析;一楼是理疗室,为病人提供推拿按摩服务。电梯入口,挂着街道办事处颁发的“爱心工厂”证书,上面写着“帮助病人回归社会”。

餐饮、手工、医疗耗材组装,广州几家民营透析中心提供的就业类型各异。张顺所在的服装厂,开办得早,规模较大,在圈里小有名气。

每早八点半,四楼工厂里,随着缝纫机的声音吱吱呀呀响起,58双黑瘦的手忙碌起来。技术好的车裤子,细心的剪线头,眼力好的查货,年纪大的打扫地面的废布条,最后熨烫、打包。这天,共产出1000多条裤子。工人们比画着过大的裤腰,猜测,这批货最终要发往海外。

除了速度慢,外行人也能一眼看出工厂的特殊。

每一双劳作的手臂上,用于透析的血管丘陵一般凸起;零星的水杯里混着蛋白粉,防止手脚抽筋耽误干活;头部车间里,十几名健康的熟练工人带动产量,近九成肾友工人堆积在尾部,干技术门槛低的碎活,他们围坐在一张方形大桌子边,穿腰带,钉扣子,挂吊牌,货不够分时,“把活儿让点儿给家里有小孩的”,大多只拿底薪维生。

image

尿毒症病人透析中,枕边备着速效救心丸、防止低血糖的彩虹糖。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

中午十二点,张顺乘电梯下到三楼透析室,从工人变成病人。为了确保每个工种都不缺人,工人们分早中晚三个批次离岗透析。

透析室里,透析机通过两根针连接他的身体,血液经过一个针眼流入小拇指粗的透析管,透析机代替衰竭的肾脏,把体内淤积的水分混带毒素甩出,最后干净的血液再从另一个针眼输回身体。除了换肾,这是尿毒症病人维持生命的主要方式,血液透析。通常一周三次,一次四小时,直到生命终结。

“存不到钱,但能养活自己”,工厂包吃住的情况下,叠加每月400元的“控水奖金”,工人们的工资能基本覆盖医疗和生活支出。

作为“劳模”,张顺收入最高,月平均工资在4500元左右。近三个月,除去透析费、药费和生活费,结余下的1000多元,他都用来打营养针,238元一针,相当于缝600条裤脚的工钱,一星期一针,“打完有力气继续挣钱。”

得病前,张顺在沿海各地的制衣厂打工,用几十年劳作,换来县城的一套房;得病后,他又在各地辗转求医,积蓄、工作、婚姻,连同残存的排尿能力一起流失。最后,需要终身透析的他,困在老家,坐吃山空。

与张顺一样,工友们的面目是相似的。他们来自全国各地的乡镇或县城郊区,年龄大多在二十岁到五十岁之间,经济能力不足以支持换肾,需要终身透析。时间拉长一些,他们曾经从事各行各业,用当外卖员、长途车司机、装修工人、流水线工人的收入,支撑起一个家庭的运转,得病后,被劳动市场淘汰,面临经济压力。他们希望自力更生,不做家人的负累。

具体来说,钱是一点一点流走的。

透析前的漫长时间里,“死马当活马医”的钱,已经让一些家庭掏光家底。慢性肾脏病分为五期,不可逆地向前发展,周期慢的长达20年。

2012年,血液透析被纳入大病医保,大部分地区报销比例提升至九成左右,极大减轻了尿毒症患者的负担。但是,透析自付部分、并发症、用药、交通、在透析中心附近租房等费用叠加,对于失去收入来源的病人,仍是一笔不小的开支。

光是血液透析的自付部分,不同省市县、不同医保类型,报销程度都不同,患者的医疗负担也因此相差较大。一些地区的透析费仅能报销七成左右,患者每年需自付3万-4万元。部分地区设有报销上限,超出部分需患者自行承担。一位湖南籍工人透露,老家每月报销限额在4000元左右,额度经常不够用,“后来,我不得已把每周3次透析改为2周5次,每月仍要自付2000多元。”这笔支出,几乎相当于这个农村家庭整月的收入。

image

工厂考勤表,标注着工人离岗透析的时间点。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

生计和尊严

来广州之前,工人们怀揣着一堆求职不得的经历。

偏见、比常人差的体力、被透析耽误的工时、雇主怕出意外担责等,使他们的就业之路困难重重。于是他们隐藏身份,带袖套、穿长袖,“小偷一样”工作,最后纸还是没包住火;许多基层公立医院,只在白天开放透析,工作和透析时间冲突,病人们选择上夜班,连续几个月通宵,“身体遭不住了”;有人干脆做日结搬运工,用工时段灵活,但手臂上透析用的血管,因用力过猛堵塞了。

最后,他们退回到一方床位上。

关于老家的生活,工人们多多少少描述过这样的画面——日子长在两张床上,一张床在家,床边窗户紧闭,白天黑夜,风晴雪雨,生活没什么分别;另一张床在医院,“黑麻麻的病人钉在越来越挤的透析室”,直到病人一波波被更替。

连接两张床的,是一辆风雨无阻,每周三次往返“续命”的电动车。由于基层医疗资源覆盖不足,在偏远地区,有的电动车需要跋涉到市级医院。根据国家卫健委2025年发布的数据,目前,全国仍有72个常住人口超过10万的县,公立综合县医院不具备血液透析服务能力。

于是,经年累月,与钱一起丧失的,还有尊严和体面。

他们或许还能活很久,但因疾病,很多生的权利提前丧失了,不仅是婚姻、社会关系,还有工作机会,这些和病痛一样难以承受。

张顺就曾面临这种处境。离异、无业,儿子尚未迈入社会。邻居眼里,当年意气风发的老裁缝,变成了总穿长袖衬衫的无业游民,没人知道,长袖下面是越来越密集的针眼,像给往后人生打出的一串省略号。

他想去大城市打工挣钱,但医保报销是个问题。“异地就医”手续繁杂,高额垫付费用难以承担。另一种思路,放弃老家医保,购买大城市的医保,也难办——“五险一金成套下来得一千多元”,更重要的是,得在当地有正经工作,打零工不算。

2021年,生活像是开了一道口。

那年9月,国家医保局在全国启动5种门诊慢特病治疗费用跨省直接结算试点,尿毒症透析是其中一种,相关费用的实时报销在各地逐渐普及。

不久后的2022年1月,广东省率先开放灵活就业人员参加医保的户籍限制,这意味着,在广东打零工的尿毒症病人,如果来自医保报销程度低的地区,可选择在广东就地参加职工医保,且不与其他险种挂钩。3年后的2025年1月,国家发展改革委发文提出,全面取消在就业地参加医保的户籍限制,以推动参保公平,目前部分地区仍有居住证等条件限制。

两项医保政策的开放,让作为“试验田”的广州,一定程度上打破了参保就医的地域和身份限制,透析病人得以前来谋生。

“黑麻麻的,浑身中药味,甚至没有去考察透析室,直接杀到车间试缝纫机。”老员工都记得当年张顺冲进工厂,着急挣钱的样子。“我只想努力挣钱,比之前过得好。”

隔天在宿舍醒来,“熟悉的感觉回来了。”握手楼群,窗户挨着窗户,天没亮,稀稀拉拉的声响就钻进耳朵,接着晚归人的脚步声的,是清洁工、外卖员、工厂工人电动车滴滴的启动声。他起床上班,走在这群人中——得病前他是其中一员,现在,他“回归正常人的世界了”。

image

张顺在工作。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

张顺对桌的邱秀兰,比他晚一拨儿到。

邱秀兰今年35岁,因病被雇主辞退后,她在云南家中“躺了”5年,靠在电子厂工作的丈夫供养自己和两个小孩。“大部分尿毒症家庭,婚姻都不会持久的”,丈夫有了新的感情,她不反抗,“我什么价值都提供不了”,何况,每月总归是要管他伸手要钱。

丈夫不同意邱秀兰外出打工,“别累死在外面。”“我宁愿累死,也不要病死”,临行前,她给院里安上监控,想孩子时能看上一眼。然后,在一个清晨的狗吠声中悄悄出了门。

在工厂里,她一步步学技术,一年内成为车间主力,第一个月赚的3600元,除去医疗和日常开支,她把剩下的寄给老家的孩子,另一笔攒下的钱用来张罗公公的葬礼。丈夫照常不联系她,不过现在无所谓了,她能养活自己。

当生活趋向平稳后,她把更多的年轻女性同乡带出来。

18岁的叶晓敏是其中之一,她是县城医院里年龄最小的尿毒症病人,辍学后,没机会迈入社会。父母都是务工人员,收入并不高,她还有两个正上学的兄妹。因为家住得偏远,母亲不得不在县城医院附近租房照顾她。透析费和租房费,给家里带来很大压力。

压力还来自对未来的迷茫。“我年纪小,每次进透析室,其他病人都用可怜的眼神看我,好像能看穿我的一生。”县城小社会里,她避着人走路,大部分时间沤在出租屋里,就这样过了三年。“我不甘心一辈子这样。”当地医院的透析群里,她加上邱秀兰的微信。

叶晓敏爱学习,能吃苦,一进厂就要求去头部车间学技术活。邱秀兰教她用缝纫机,从走直线、打圈,再到打边。她还用剩余的布料给叶晓敏缝了坐垫,“坐着不累”,厂里发的1000元介绍费,邱秀兰也“分享”给叶晓敏一半。很快叶晓敏学会了车整条裤子。

她们彼此陪伴,挨着床位透析,又一起上班,自食其力付医药费。

10平方米的宿舍里,她们和另一位云南老乡合住,两张上下铺的床,多出的床位码满药,窗台上晾着粉格子样式的枕巾,那是用厂里的废弃布料缝制的。下班后的夜晚,微风顺着楼群间的缝隙吹进来,满屋都是洗衣粉的味道。

像窗台上被拼接晾起的布料,三个被疾病磨损的身体,在这个能够到的“最宽广”的地方,重建起“体面”的生活。

image

邱秀兰和叶晓敏在工作。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

老板的生意

“我开厂的目的很简单,通过帮助他们,增加病人数量。”五楼办公室里,兼任透析中心老板和服装厂厂长的贺军坐在监视器前。他按动遥控器,屏幕里十三个画面依次切换,工厂和透析室尽收眼底。

2017年,为缓解公立医院床位压力,推进分级诊疗,原国家卫计委正式允许社会资本进入透析领域,也是那一年,贺军从公立医院提前退休,创办了这家民营血液透析中心。据中国非公医疗机构协会统计数据,截至2021年年底,全国共有独立透析中心611家,约占全国透析服务机构总量的十分之一。其中,广东是全国独立透析中心数量最多的省份,占96家。

但分级诊疗效果仍难以实现。“本地人更信赖公立医院,公立医院依然一床难求,民营透析中心大量机器闲置。”于是,多家民营透析中心通过发放福利吸引客源。所谓的福利包括,包吃住、安排就业、发补贴等,补贴金额从几百到小几千元不等,“不提供住宿和就业的,补贴高一些。”

激烈竞争下,一些民营透析中心还会通过中介触达外地客源,这些“透析头子”在短视频平台发布广告,对接外地尿毒症病人,有时还负责去车站接人、安顿食宿和介绍工作。当病人透满三个月,他们从透析中心处按人头拿介绍费,金额在百元到千元不等。

凭借商人的敏锐和冒险精神,2022年,看准尿毒症病人就业难的痛点,贺军在透析室楼上办起制衣厂,帮助病人以工养医。此后,靠安排就业吸引来的透析患者,占据了客源总数的大半,一度萧条的透析中心得以起死回生。

其实,工厂本身难以盈利。工人们戏称,下楼透析才是“体现价值”的时候。

“价值”可以量化为数字。据2025年7月15日实施的《广东省医疗保障局关于公布泌尿系统透析类医疗服务价格项目的通知》,“血液透析费”项目的全省最高限价为每次390元,各地市据此合理制定具体价格。不考虑用药和其他治疗项目,如果按每周血液透析3次计算,月人均血液透析费用约为4000元到5000元。医保报销的九成左右费用,通过医保经办机构拨付给透析中心。

“单人月毛利润在2000元左右。”贺军说。“毛利润”指从医疗上赚到的钱,减服装厂“贴出去的钱”。

“终究不是慈善,我能提供的很有限”,晚上十点,五楼办公室里,监视器的蓝光打在贺军脸上,屏幕一角,张顺佝着身子加班,夹在缝纫机上的小夜灯,把他的脸映得黑亮。贺军坦率地说,“只能是给他一个好身体,再给一个工作机会,让他能回归社会,自食其力。”因为担心出意外,他通常等到张顺下班才离开。

这样的生态圈里,民营透析中心和病人是彼此依存的。一方面,民营透析中心提供的食宿、就业、补贴等福利,为病人提供生存空间;另一方面,靠福利吸引来的病人,又为透析中心带来医疗营收。

也正因为这样的福利,使这个生态圈始终处在规则的灰色地带。这背后,是一个争议已久的话题——发放福利是否合规?一些外省案例中,已有类似行为被有关部门叫停整改。

有律师认为,发福利不仅涉及不正当竞争,也可能属于医保基金的不合理使用。有业内人士抱怨,个别透析中心每月补贴高达两千元,类似“花钱买病人”。但也有律师称,民营透析中心“让利”患者,属于市场行为,不该被过多干涉。总之,“不能在明面上说”的福利,给圈里人带来隐隐的不安全感。

“什么规则,没有规则,规则就是活下去”,缝纫机边,张顺快速输出,语速和针脚一样密。他听说过类似传言,比起老板,他更担心工厂的存续。厂里缺货源,发不出工资的那个月,他借给贺军数万元维持运转。他想在这里干一辈子。

而贺军则更希望得到一些政策扶持,比如,有关部门能提供一栋廉租房,作为病人的宿舍。有律师表示,目前法律上没有专门针对尿毒症病人的用工规范,如果给企业以雇佣残疾人一样的政策优惠,或许能提高雇佣积极性。

“如果这样的就业模式,能从广州推广出去,我们找工作就没这么难了。”一位工人病友说。

image

尾部车间里,尿毒症工人在剪线头。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

“扳命”

“在这里没有失落感,大家都是一样的人。”从第一批尿毒症病人来到广州,已经过去近五年。他们早就把自己连根拔起,一些人离家前,把户口本从父母处分割出来,怕出事后连累家人。

在这片开辟出的领地上,尿毒症病人建立起自己的语言体系,健康人叫“正常人”,健康的工人叫“普工”,而病人间互称“肾友”,一些病友继而发展成情侣,圈里叫“透析搭子”。分散在不同透析中心的老乡会彼此惦记,“隔段时间就打个电话,就怕人消失了。”

日子是共同过的。下班路上,小瓶冰镇矿泉水一个传一个,轮着喝一瓶;宿舍里,一人生病,其他人帮着送医院;钱被借来借去,肾友来来往往,有的去了别的透析中心,有的后来去世,这些钱不一定都还得上。张顺赚到的钱,请肾友吃过饭,帮回家探亲的肾友报销过飞机票。赚得最多的那个月,他捐出去1000元,街道颁发的爱心证书至今放在每日通勤的公文包里,把包的四个角撑得周正。

与老家相比,唯一没变的是眼前的死亡风险。毕竟,透龄、肤色和手臂上针孔的密度,年轮一样呈现着剩余生命的刻度。

从医学上来说,年轻尿毒症病人的生存期,通常为5年到20年,受年龄、病情等因素影响,部分可达20年以上。根据中国非公立医疗机构协会肾脏病透析专业委员会统计数据,截至2020年,我国透析患者平均年龄为56.9岁。

风险的形式是具体的。透析过程中出现的低血压、肌肉痉挛、低血糖等情况,如果得不到及时抢救,重则危及生命。张顺透析时不睡觉,“怕出意外醒不来”;一位透龄长的病人手里攥着速效救心丸,四小时透析过程中,他不断地睡过去,醒来后又在枕头缝里翻找药瓶,“这药跟钱似的,可以不用,但得有心里才踏实”;“扳命”,病床上一位贵州患者用方言形容透析,这个词原意指离开水的鱼拼命摆动尾巴。

这里的确出现过死亡的案例:高龄病人透析后晕倒死亡了;清晨宿舍里,工人被发现时已经不幸离世。作为“高危”群体,他们的死因难定。家属来闹,工厂赔钱,遗体被领走,之后的事大家不愿多讨论。直到一切恢复如常,传言湮灭在工厂机器的运作声中。

即便是这样的风险,大家也都选择用集体主义的方式应对。

两年前,病人们自发成立互助基金,每月一发工资,就往里面存十块钱。起初只有厂里员工参与,后来逐渐扩展到外面的透析中心,甚至是线上的肾友微信群。发起人张永宏记过一笔账,先后有上百位病友参与互助,最多的时候,基金里有过8000元。它让贫血的女孩输上了血,也救过返工路上出车祸的肾友,“没这笔钱,人就没了。”

每逢生日,病友一起庆祝又活过一年。“老东北”“桂林仔”“云南妹”……围坐一圈,用厂里发的两百元生日奖金吃饭喝酒。祝酒词里,大家心照不宣,不谈因疾病而雷同的过去,更不兴聊未来,活在当下的日子里,日常琐碎才是下酒料。酒桌上,脸色乌黑,五官的界限都因此模糊起来的,是透龄长的,他们放得开、喝得多,给年轻人斟酒时,手里的酒瓶被慎重地掂来掂去,倒倒停停,“他们路还长,得控制。”

image

结束完一天的工作,晚上八点,透析床位上叶晓敏打着哈欠,邻床邱秀兰已熟睡。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

对于年轻的工友,人生的确有更多可能性。

“从透析的第一天,我就没有打算透析一辈子。”叶晓敏非常肯定地说。18岁的她,大概率会活过厂里年老的工人;或者,按照她的预设,活到医学进步,治愈疾病,“换不起人肾,换个猪肾也行”,但这是一项遥远的技术,称为“异体猪肾移植”,目前全球仅实验三例,均未完全成功;当然,最理想的状况是,活到攒够钱换肾,那才是透析圈里所谓的“终极上岸”。目前,受制于数十万元的费用和受限的肾源,我国超200万名尿毒症患者中,每年能完成肾移植手术的仅5000例。

透析室里,年轻的工人隔床平躺,聊起对未来的规划,关于遥远的医疗技术,关于换肾的价格,关于如何挣更多的钱,关于病好后和“正常人”一样恋爱、结婚。有时有人聊到血压升高,透析机发出滴滴的警报声。

目前的工作,是支撑这些“可能性”的支点。

厂里35岁以下的肾友占了三分之一,初中、技校、大学辍学的都有,许多人在这里才第一次迈入社会。他们大多进入头部车间学技术活儿,干得上心,总拿全勤奖,在各个车间里当上小组长。

透龄长的,没这些念想,工作只为维生。日复一日,他们围在尾部的大方桌边干碎活儿,平均工资不超过2000元,基本抵消开支。午休时间,大桌子变成床,他们直直躺着,睡得踏实,像一排搁浅的鱼。即便底薪连降三次,直到没有,也有人继续待着。他们或许做过其他尝试,发现活路不多,于是不再折腾。

命运无力逆转,不妨舒坦活一日算一日,“不当家里负累就成。”

在这样的尾部车间,工人流动率极高,据贺军统计,来来往往有过百来人,大部分不超3个月就离开,通常,他们在提供不同福利的透析中心间试探、流转。

张顺不属于其中任何一类。

image

透析室门口的储物间,工人离岗透析时,把物品存放在里面。柜门上的人名换了一波又一波。新京报记者 吴瑜 摄

对于他来说,最务实的生存法则是,“可以病,不能病态,也不能太病。”他反复把这句话解释给新来的年轻人:“我们是有病,但不能病恹恹躺平,肾坏了脑子没坏;也得照顾好身体,身体是本钱,本钱没了,都是白玩。”

靠着这样的法则,他过上自足的生活。去年挣了四万多元,攒下两万,打营养针和住院,都没愁过钱;旧宿舍又黑又暗,他自费800元住进大单间,有两扇大窗户,握手楼间距近,阳光照不进屋里,但“有窗户才像人住的地方”。总有外面的透析中心打来电话挖人,他不为所动,“不想像商品一样被换来换去”,稳定才是安全感。

顺利的话,人生将这样有序地运转下去。就像床边桌上,永远码着药片、枸杞、眼药水、矿泉水、创可贴,生活就围绕这些物件展开。

早起,来一片药“抗病毒”;一把枸杞明目,再滴上眼药水,尿毒症影响视力,可他“靠眼力挣钱”;塞进包里的矿泉水,是两天的饮水量,一口都多不得;最后,用创可贴把胳膊上的针孔盖严实,“房东看到不敢租给你的。”

做好这些准备工作,他出门上班,新的一天,周而复始。

(应受访者要求,文中张顺、邱秀兰、叶晓敏、贺军为化名)

张3丰的世界|发声的代价向来巨大

13 August 2025 at 18:50

file

这位较真的家长,发现校服质量有问题(材质和标签上宣称的不符),录了一个视频,点击量11万。

和学校沟通无果,他又做了一个视频。然后校服生产商举报了他,当地公安把他拘留了七天。

现在法院判他无罪,当地警方违法,对他进行国家赔偿,金额是3200元。这个金额是根据相关法律测算的,本身并没有问题。

但是,这位男子已经失去了一切。画面中他悲苦的脸庞,实在触动人心。我认为,这就是“典型中国人”,在这副面孔中,我们能看到自己的影子上次让我有这种感觉的,是“鸿毛药酒事件”中从拘留所出来的那位医生。

filev

CDT 档案卡
标题:发声的代价向来巨大
作者:张3丰
发表日期:2025.8.13
来源:微信公众号“张3丰的世界”
主题归类:因言获罪
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

因为被拘留,邓建国就成了“有问题的人”,他失去了工作。家里人不理解他,于是也只有离婚了。在申诉的过程中,周围的人可能也觉得他是“神经病”,于是他也就真的抑郁了。

这是一个极端个案,但也是一种普遍的处境:在这片土地上,“发声”往往意味着很大的代价。权力的打压只是一方面,更严重的是来自社会(甚至包括自己家庭)的孤立。

就像鲁迅在《狂人日记》中所写的那样。大家可以回味一下,一个不小心说出真相的人,是如何一步步被周围的人指证为“疯子”的。

对此我也有一点体会。因为过去几年写的一些文章,我也被很多人认为是“敏感的”。据说成都某机构举办活动,特别提示不要我过去。我觉得很好玩。“难道我自己的书店是一个文化特区?”

很多人处在一种发声的阴影之中,这个阴影就会不断扩大——实际上它已经无边无际了。

本文的截图,来源于凤凰网的视频,这个视频的转发和点赞量很大,但是它的评论数却还不到5,显示出来的几条,不过是“🙏”这样的表情符号,这本身就是一种嘲讽。

可以尝试把自己放在这位男子的身边。你是属于他的“单位”,“家庭”,孩子就读的学校,校服生产商,或者是当地警方?你会做出怎样的选择?

黄国昌警告台湾能源供给毫无韧性 讽“台电跌倒,绿友友吃饱”

13 August 2025 at 19:00

台湾在野的民众党主席黄国昌警告,在当前的能源政策之下,天然气存量仅有7至11天,煤炭安全存量也只有1个月,能源供给毫无韧性可言。

综合中时新闻网和联合报报道,台湾将在下个星期六(8月23日)就第三座核电站重启进行公投,台湾中选会星期三(8月13日)举办第四场公投意见发表会。

会上,支持重启核三的正方黄国昌表示,本次公投是是在为台湾争取更低廉、稳定、永续的能源,真正推动“能源公正转型”的契机。

他说,台湾前总统蔡英文在2016年提出2025年再生能源发电比例达到20%,如今能源转型早已失败,而依照民进党公布的官方资料,即便到了2026年底都无法达成目标,而目前台湾的发电现况是火力全开,完全违背净零碳排的国际趋势。

黄国昌指,尽管电价在过去三年涨价四次,也用人民的纳税钱拨补台电3000亿元(新台币,下同,128.4亿新元),截至去年底亏损仍然超过4000亿元。“唯一受益的却是民进党权贵,一个又一个绿友友洞烛机先,藉由势力结合大赚一笔”。

他说:“稗官野史曾经说过‘和珅跌倒,天下吃饱’,当前的台湾已经沦为‘台电跌倒,绿友友吃饱’”。

与黄国昌辩论的反方公民代表吴亚盺则质疑,黄国昌在2018年担任以核养绿公投的反方代表,当时也认为核废料难以处理,如今却选择站在重启核三的那边,但至今核废料的处理条件仍与2018年一样,“是因为核废料的风险变小了,还是因为政治立场改变风险就能够被接受了”。

她说:“盼黄国昌能够明确的告诉我们‘核废料究竟要放在哪里’,又要如何克服断层的问题,以及怎么面对核灾风险和世代正义带来的挑战。”

Gaza Plan Stokes Tension Between Israel’s Military Chief and Government

13 August 2025 at 19:56
Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir has pushed back against a proposal to control Gaza City, according to officials. One hard-right member of the government suggested he could be dismissed.

© Menahem Kahana/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, the Israeli military’s chief of staff, in Jerusalem in March. He has been criticized over promotions of top officers and for consulting with outside advisers.

Europe Battles Deadly Wildfires as High Winds Fuel Flames

Firefighters were struggling to tame blazes in several countries in southern Europe, including Albania, Greece, Montenegro and Spain, and in Turkey.

© Thanassis Stavrakis/Associated Press

Fighting a wildfire on the outskirts of Patras, Greece, on Wednesday.

普京与金正恩通话谈及周五俄美会谈 会谈将在安克雷奇美军基地举行

13 August 2025 at 19:45
13/08/2025 - 13:37

据朝中社报导称,朝鲜最高领导人金正恩周二(12日)与俄罗斯总统普京通电话,双方重申今后加强合作的意志。两国元首就共同关心的问题交换了意见。韩联社报导指,这是朝媒首次发布朝鲜最高领导人与外国元首通话的消息。

朝中社报导称,金正恩说,在迎接祖国解放80周年之际,朝鲜全体人民将虔敬地缅怀80年前红军官兵所建树的英雄殊勋,视之为真正的国际主义的楷模,并向为解放朝鲜而牺牲的苏军烈士表示崇高的敬意。金正恩对于普京高度评价朝鲜国家和军人表示由衷的感谢,并肯定地说,朝方将始终忠于朝俄《全面战略伙伴关系条约》精神,一如既往地完全支持俄罗斯领导班子采取的一切措施。

俄总统府网站则指出,普京高度赞赏朝方“在库尔斯克州从基辅政权入侵部队手中解放过程中提供的支持,以及朝鲜官兵表现出的勇敢、英雄主义和无私精神”。普京还对朝鲜即将迎来摆脱日本殖民统治的“祖国解放”(光复节、8月15日)80周年表示祝贺。

俄总统府介绍称,普京在即将与美国总统特朗普举行会谈的背景下与金正恩分享了信息。普京和金正恩同意进一步进行个人接触。朝中社则没有提及金正恩与普京通话中有关美俄领导人会谈的内容。

此外,据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)引述两名白宫官员报导称,特朗普和普京可能在阿拉斯加州的一座美军军事基地进行会晤。

特朗普和普京周五在阿拉斯加会面,这将是普京近10年来首次踏上美国土地,也是特朗普今年1月重返白宫后首次与普京面对面会谈。两名白宫官员说,此次会谈可能在位于阿拉斯加州最大城市安克雷奇北部的埃尔门多夫-理查森联合基地举行。

报导指,尽管美方“希望避免在美军基地内接待普京及俄方随行人员的场面曝光”,但目前只有该军事基地符合安全要求。由于目前是阿拉斯加州的旅游旺季,会晤地点的选择受限。

UK, France and Germany ready to reimpose sanctions on Iran if nuclear talks don't resume

13 August 2025 at 18:04
Reuters Germany's Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul, France's Minister for Europe and Foreign Affairs Jean-Noel Barrot, and British Foreign Secretary David Lammy stand next to each other speaking to journalists following nuclear talks with Iran in Geneva in June.Reuters
The foreign ministers of Germany, France and the UK have offered an extension for negotiations with Iran until the end of August

The UK, France and Germany have told the UN they are ready to reimpose sanctions on Iran over its nuclear programme if it fails to resume talks by the end of August.

The three countries, known as the E3, said they were prepared to trigger a "snapback" mechanism - meaning previous sanctions would be reinstated - unless Iran resumes negotiations.

The E3 said they had offered to extend a deadline for negotiations to the end of August, which Iran has not replied to.

Last month, Iran said it was prepared for further talks but only once sanctions already in place were lifted and its right to a civilian nuclear programme was agreed.

It comes after initial talks between E3 and Iranian diplomats took place in Istanbul, Turkey last month.

In a letter to the UN and its chief António Guterres, three foreign ministers - Jean-Noël Barrot from France, David Lammy from the UK and Johann Wadephul from Germany - said they would enforce severe sanctions on Iran unless it agrees to limit its nuclear programme.

On Tuesday, the E3 said their offer of an extension to the negotiations "remained unanswered by Iran".

"We have made it clear that if Iran is not willing to reach a diplomatic solution before the end of August 2025, or does not seize the opportunity of an extension, the E3 are prepared to trigger the snapback mechanism," the letter said.

They added they were committed to using "all diplomatic tools" to ensure Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon - something Iran has denied intending to do.

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said in July that triggering sanctions would be "completely illegal".

Sanctions on Iran's nuclear programme were previously lifted in 2015 after Iran signed a nuclear deal with the E3, the US, Russia and China, agreeing limits on its nuclear operations and to allow international inspectors entry to its nuclear sites. The deal is due to expire in October.

The US withdrew from the deal in 2018 during President Donald Trump's first term, with the leader saying it did too little to stop Iran from creating a pathway to a nuclear bomb.

With its withdrawal, all US sanctions were re-imposed on Iran.

Iran retaliated by increasingly breaching the restrictions. In May, the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), said it had more than 400kg of uranium enriched to 60% purity - well above the level used for civilian purposes and close to weapons grade.

In June Iran's parliament suspended cooperation with the IAEA after tensions with Israel and the US came to a head.

Israel launched attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities the same month, triggering a 12-day war.

The US bombed a number of Iran's nuclear sites, bringing US-Iran talks to an abrupt end.

Following the strikes, the E3 countries stepped up warnings to Iran about its suspension of cooperation with the IAEA.

The BBC has contacted the UK Foreign Office for comment.

The Iranian mission to the UN did not immediately respond to the BBC's request for comment.

Macron admits French repression in Cameroon's independence struggle

13 August 2025 at 16:29
Universal Images Group via Getty Images French soldiers under colonel Brisset in the Cameroon colony in 1916Universal Images Group via Getty Images
Investigation into atrocities committed by France in Cameroon followed pressure from within the Central African country

French President Emmanuel Macron has acknowledged the violence committed by his country's forces in Cameroon during and after the Central African nation's struggle for independence.

It followed a joint report by Cameroonian and French historians examining France's suppression of independence movements from 1945 to 1971.

In a letter to Cameroon's President Paul Biya made public on Tuesday, Macron said the report made clear "a war had taken place in Cameroon, during which the colonial authorities and the French army exercised repressive violence of several kinds in certain regions of the country".

"It is up to me today to assume the role and responsibility of France in these events," he said.

However, Macron fell short of offering a clear apology for the atrocities committed by French troops in its former colony, which gained independence in 1960.

The French leader cited four independence icons who were killed during military operations led by French forces, including Ruben Um Nyobe, the firebrand leader of the anti-colonialist UPC party.

France pushed hundreds of thousands of Cameroonians into internment camps and supported brutal militias to quash the independence struggle, the AFP news agency quotes the report as saying.

Tens of thousands of people were killed between 1956 and 1961, the historians' report said.

The decision to investigate and publish the findings on France's role in Cameroon's independence struggle was made in 2022, during Macron's visit to Yaoundé.

It followed pressure from within the country for France to acknowledge its atrocities in its former colony and pay reparations.

Macron also expressed willingness to work with Cameroon to promote further research on the matter, while highlighting the need for both countries to make the findings available to universities and scientific bodies.

The BBC has reached out to Cameroon's government for comment on the French president's admission.

While Macron did not address calls for reparations, it is likely to be a key talking-point in Cameroon going forward.

Under Macron, France has attempted to confront its brutal colonial past.

Last year, it acknowledged for the first time that its soldiers had carried out a "massacre" in Senegal in which West African troops were killed in 1944.

Macron has previously acknowledged France's role in the Rwandan genocide, in which about 800,000 ethnic Tutsis and moderate Hutus died, and sought forgiveness.

In 2021, he said France had not heeded warnings of impending carnage and had for too long "valued silence over examination of the truth".

You may also be interested in:

Getty Images/BBC A woman looking at her mobile phone and the graphic BBC News AfricaGetty Images/BBC

Go to BBCAfrica.com for more news from the African continent.

Follow us on Twitter @BBCAfrica, on Facebook at BBC Africa or on Instagram at bbcafrica

Why are Trump and Putin meeting in Alaska and when will it happen?

13 August 2025 at 11:06
Getty Images File image of a lake and mountains in AlaskaGetty Images

The US and Russia have agreed to hold a meeting between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on Friday 15 August, to discuss how to end the war in Ukraine.

Trump announced the meeting a week beforehand - the same day as his deadline for Russia to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine or face more US sanctions.

Three rounds of talks between Russia and Ukraine held at Trump's behest this summer have yet to bring the two sides any closer to peace.

Here is what we know about the meeting between the two leaders, taking place in Alaska - which was once Russian territory - in Anchorage.

Why are they meeting in Alaska?

The US purchased Alaska from Russia in 1867, lending a historical resonance to the meeting. It became a US state in 1959.

Russian presidential assistant Yuri Ushakov pointed out that the two countries are neighbours, with only the Bering Strait separating them.

"It seems quite logical for our delegation simply to fly over the Bering Strait and for such an important and anticipated summit of the leaders of the two countries to be held in Alaska," Ushakov said.

The last time Alaska took centre-stage in an American diplomatic event was in March 2021, when Joe Biden's newly minted diplomatic and national security team met their Chinese counterparts in Anchorage.

The sit-down turned acrimonious, with the Chinese accusing the Americans of "condescension and hypocrisy".

Where in Alaska will Trump and Putin meet?

The meeting will be in Anchorage, the White House confirmed on Tuesday.

When announcing the bilateral, Trump said the location would be "a very popular one for a number of reasons", without disclosing it would be in the state's largest city.

The pair will be hosted at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, the largest military installation in Alaska. The 64,000 acre base is a key US site for Arctic military readiness.

Map showing Alaska, Canada, and Russia with the Bering Sea in between. Anchorage is marked in southern Alaska. The map highlights how Alaska and Russia are geographically close, separated by only a narrow stretch of water. An inset globe in the top left shows the region’s location in the northern Pacific

Why are Putin and Trump meeting?

Trump has been pushing hard - without much success - to end the war in Ukraine.

As a presidential candidate, he pledged that he could end the war within 24 hours of taking office. He has also repeatedly argued that the war "never would have happened" if he had been president at the time of Russia's invasion in 2022.

Last month, Trump told the BBC that he was "disappointed" by Putin.

Frustrations grew and Trump set an 8 August deadline for Putin to agree to an immediate ceasefire or face more severe US sanctions.

As the deadline hit, Trump instead announced he and Putin would meet in person on 15 August.

The meeting comes after US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff held "highly productive" talks with Putin in Moscow on Wednesday, according to Trump.

Ahead of the meeting, the White House sought to play down speculation that the bilateral could yield a ceasefire.

"This is a listening exercise for the president," said White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt. She added that Trump may travel to Russia following the Alaska trip.

Speaking to reporters on Monday, Trump said he viewed the summit as a "feel-out meeting" aimed at urging Putin to end the war.

Is Ukraine attending?

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is not expected to attend. Trump said on Monday: "I would say he could go, but he's been to a lot of meetings."

Trump did, however, say that Zelensky would be the first person he would call afterwards.

A White House official later said that Trump and Zelensky would meet virtually on Wednesday, ahead of the US president's summit with Putin. The Zelensky meeting will be joined by several European leaders.

Putin had requested that Zelensky be excluded, although the White House has previously said that Trump was willing to hold a trilateral in which all three leaders were present.

Zelensky has said any agreements without input from Ukraine would amount to "dead decisions".

What do both sides hope to get out of it?

While both Russia and Ukraine have long said that they want the war to end, both countries want things that the other harshly opposes.

Trump said on Monday he was "going to try to get some of that [Russian-occupied] territory back for Ukraine". But he also warned that there might have to be "some swapping, changes in land".

Ukraine, however, has been adamant that it will not accept Russian control of regions that Moscow has seized, including Crimea.

Zelensky pushed back this week against any idea of "swapping" territories.

"We will not reward Russia for what it has perpetrated," the Ukrainian president said.

Watch: 'We're going to change the battle lines' Trump on the war in Ukraine

Meanwhile, Putin has not budged from his territorial demands, Ukraine's neutrality and the future size of its army.

Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, in part, over Putin's belief the Western defensive alliance, Nato, was using the neighbouring country to gain a foothold to bring its troops closer to Russia's borders.

Map showing which areas of Ukraine are under Russian military control or limited Russian control. A large section of the map, including Crimea and Donetsk are coloured in red to show that the areas are fully under Russian military control.

The Trump administration has been attempting to sway European leaders on a ceasefire deal that would hand over swathes of Ukrainian territory to Russia, the BBC's US partner CBS News has reported.

The agreement would allow Russia to keep control of the Crimean peninsula, and take the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine, which is made up of Donetsk and Luhansk, according to sources familiar with the talks.

Russia illegally occupied Crimea in 2014 and its forces control the majority of the Donbas region.

Under the deal, Russia would have to give up the Ukrainian regions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, where it currently has some military control.

Speaking to Fox News, US Vice-President JD Vance said any future deal was "not going to make anybody super happy".

"You've got to make peace here… you can't finger point," he said.

"The way to peace is to have a decisive leader to sit down and force people to come together."

Inside Australia's billion-dollar bid to take on China's rare earth dominance

13 August 2025 at 06:05
Bloomberg via Getty Images NdFeB alloy strip at the Australia Strategic Materials Ltd.'s Korean Metals Plant, in the Ochang Foreign Investment Zone, in Cheongju, South KoreaBloomberg via Getty Images
Rare earths are essential in the production of alloys for magnets

Drive three hours north of Perth, and you'll arrive in Eneabba.

This is Western Australia mining territory - the landscape is barren and desolate, just the odd hill in the distance.

Buried in this vast terrain is a massive pit, full of what looks like mounds of worthless dirt.

But appearances can be deceiving: in fact, this pit is home to a million tonne stockpile containing critical minerals, and Australia's bet on the future.

Earlier this year, carmakers and other manufacturers around the world rushed to their war rooms, alarmed that China's tight export controls on rare earth magnets – crucial for making electric vehicles, wind turbines and defence equipment – could cripple production.

Ford was forced to halt production of its popular Explorer SUV for a week at one of its Chicago plants - a bold move for a major automaker already grappling with pressure from Trump's tariffs.

A month later, CEO Jim Farley revealed the pause was triggered by a shortage of rare earths, admitting the company was still struggling to secure reliable supply of the critical minerals.

"It's day to day," Mr Farley told Bloomberg TV.

Beijing has since agreed to let rare earths minerals and magnets flow to the United States, which eased the disruption.

But without a trade deal between the US and China, the fear is that the rare earths bottleneck could return, creating a massive supply chain shock.

It's triggered a realisation amongst policymakers and manufacturers everywhere: Beijing's control of rare earths has the world in a chokehold.

"The West dropped the ball – that's the reality. And China was in for the long run – it saw the benefit and was willing to invest in it," says Jacques Eksteen, chair for extractive metallurgy at Curtin University.

Why rare earths matter

The phrase "rare earths" - referring to 17 elements on the periodic table which are lightweight, super strong and resistant to heat, making them useful in small electric motors - is something of a misnomer.

"Rare earths are not rare or scarce. Gold is scarce, but it's not a critical material," Professor Eksteen explains.

Rare earths are critical, however. Take the average electric vehicle – there might be rare earths-based motors in dozens of components from side mirrors and speakers to windshield wipers and breaking sensors.

The problem is therefore not amount, but the fact "somewhere in the supply chain you've got one or maybe a few countries controlling that bottleneck", Professor Eksteen adds.

In the 90s, Europe and France in particular had a prominent rare earths industry. Today, almost all these minerals come from China, which has spent decades mining and refining at scale.

China now accounts for more than half of global rare earth mining, and almost 90% of processing.

The US sources 80% of its rare earth imports from China, while the European Union relies on China for about 98% of its supply.

"China has since very deliberately and overtly sought to control the market for the purposes of supporting their downstream manufacturing and defence industries," says Dan McGrath, head of rare earths for Iluka Resources, in between driving us around the company's vast Eneabba site.

But Mr McGrath, and Iluka, are hoping to make a dent in that control - even if it wasn't necessarily in the company's original plan.

Iluka Resources stockpile can be seen from above. It looks like piles of sand in what appears to be a rocky desert.
Iluka's 1mn tonne stockpile is worth more than $650m

For decades, Iluka has been mining zircon in Australia - a key ingredient in ceramics, and titanium dioxide used in the pigmentation of paint, plastics and paper.

It just so happens the byproducts of these mineral sands include dysprosium and terbium - some of the most sought-after rare earths.

Over the years, Iluka has built up the stockpile, and is now worth more than $650m (£440m).

This was the easy part, however. The processing or refining is another matter altogether.

"They're chemically very similar so to try and separate them requires a huge number of stages," Professor Eksteen explained.

"Also, you've got residues and wastes that you have to deal with out of this industry, and that's problematic. They often produce radioactive materials. It comes at a cost."

And that is one of the reasons why the Australian government is loaning Iluka A$1.65bn ($1bn; £798m) to build a refinery to meet demand for rare earths which Iluka sees growing by 50-170% by the end of the decade.

"We expect to be able to supply a significant proportion of Western demand for rare earths by 2030. Our customers recognise that having an independent, secure and sustainable supply chain outside of China is fundamental for the continuity of their business," says Mr McGrath.

"This refinery and Iluka's commitment to the rare earth business is an alternative to China."

Australia's Resources Minister Madeleine King stands in a barren landscape. There are clouds in a blue sky. She wears and blue shirt with pink edging, and glasses.
The Australian government see investment in rare earths as a strategic decision

But the refinery will take another two years to build and come online.

"Without the strategic partnership we have with the Australian government, a rare earths project would not be economically viable," Mr McGrath says.

A strategic necessity

China's recent willingness to turn supply of rare earths on and off has spurred trading partners to diversify their suppliers.

Iluka says because automakers for example plan their production years in advance, it is already fielding requests for when its refinery does come online.

Rare earths are critical to the green transition, electric vehicles, and defence technologies – making their control a pressing national priority.

"The open international market in critical minerals and rare earths is a mirage. It doesn't exist. And the reason it doesn't exist is because there is one supplier of these materials and they have the wherewithal to change where the market goes, whether that be in pricing or supply," Australia's resources minister Madeleine King says.

Canberra sees government intervention as necessary to provide an alternative supply, and help the world rely less on China.

"We can either sit back and do nothing about that... or we can step up to take on the responsibility to develop a rare earths industry here that competes with that market," Ms King adds.

But there is something that Australia will have to contend with as it invests and works to expand a rare earths industry – pollution.

Getty Images Labourers work at the site of a rare earth metals mine at Nancheng county, Jiangxi provinceGetty Images
Critics say China's environmental protections and regulations are weak

In China, environmental damage from years of processing rare earths has led to chemicals and radioactive waste seeping into waterways - cities and people bearing the scars of decades of poor regulation.

With rare earths, it's not so much about the mining footprint, rather the processing that is a dirty business – because it involves extraction, leaching, thermal cracking and refining which produce radioactive components.

"I think there is no metal industry that is completely clean... unfortunately, it's a matter of picking your poison sometimes," Professor Eksteen says.

"In Australia, we've got mechanisms to handle that. We've got a legal environment and a framework to work with that to at least deal with it responsibly."

The EU has in the past accused China of using a "quasi monopoly" on rare earths as a bargaining chip, weaponising it to undermine competitors in key industries.

The bloc - which is home to hundreds of auto manufacturers that so desperately need rare earths - said even if China has loosened restrictions on supplies, the threat of supply chain shocks remains.

Even if building a brand new industry will take time, Australia seems to have a lot going for it in the rare earths race, as it tries to be a more reliable and cleaner source.

And one that - crucially - is independent of China.

Additional reporting by Jaltson Akkanath Chummar

Jimmy Fallon Isn’t Optimistic About the Trump-Putin ‘Listening Exercise’

13 August 2025 at 14:35
That’s how the White House described the upcoming Alaska talks. Fallon said “listening and exercise are Trump’s two favorite things, so this should go well.”

港法庭认可被控侮辱国歌男学生为正面青年人 押后判刑

13 August 2025 at 18:00

去年香港世界杯亚洲区外围赛期间,一名香港男学生在国歌播放期间转身背对球场,被指控侮辱国歌罪成。案件原定于星期三(8月13日)宣判,但法庭接纳被告过往多方面为正面的年青人,考虑后押后宣判。

据香港《明报》、香港01报道,19岁的被告刘本晞被控去年6月6日在香港大球场公开及故意侮辱国歌。裁判官林子康早前裁决称,被告在中国国歌奏唱前故意转身,维持姿态、低头和垂下双手,以表不满或不屑,行为贬损国家尊严。

香港裁判官7月30日裁定罪名成立,但裁判官星期三称基于背景报告,法庭接纳被告过往在多方面都是“正面的年青人”,经再三考虑后,认为需要兼顾刑罚的阻吓与被告的更生,押后案件至8月27日判刑,为被告索取感化与社会服务令报告。

辩方也强调,被告的重犯机会极低,此定罪本身已有一定的阻吓性,控罪中心是侮辱国歌,间接侮辱国家,服务社会是服务国家,是抚平其犯罪行为的好方法,望法庭可考虑为被告索取社会服务令报告。

辩方提出,虽然被告就读政治与行政学,但其兴趣在于环保。被告的父母也不相信他会想透过此表达政治理念。被告在事发时刚与初恋恋人分手三个月,故当时可能冲动及不理性。辩方相信若索取社会服务令报告,内容也会非常正面。

台股收涨0.9% 逼近历史高位

13 August 2025 at 17:24

在人工智能强劲需求及主要晶片制造商获部分美国关税豁免的提振下,台湾股市星期三(8月13日)逼近历史高位。

根据彭博社报道,台湾加权指数星期三上涨0.9%,逼近2024年7月创下的收盘纪录。该指数盘中一度高出纪录水平。

受全球最大代工晶片制造商台积电推动,台湾加权指数自4月低点以来已大涨40%。

台股涨势8月初进一步加快,台湾政府说,包括台积电在内的部分公司被豁免特朗普政府宣布对晶片征收的100%关税。

台积电上月公布的第二季度净利润好于预期,并且上调2025年营收展望,进一步鼓舞了投资者对人工智能前景的信心。

澳洲富邑葡萄酒中国市场利润上涨 警告中国饮酒习惯转变

13 August 2025 at 17:11

中国取消对澳大利亚葡萄酒关税后,中国市场需求反弹。澳大利亚标志性葡萄酒品牌“奔富”(Penfolds)母公司富邑葡萄酒集团(Treasury Wine Estates )截至6月底全年利润上升,但同时也警告,中国饮酒习惯正发生变化。

根据彭博社报道,公司在截至6月的财年中,盈利增长17%,达到7.7亿澳元(亿新元),大致符合市场预期。受业绩消息及公司宣布回购2亿澳元股份影响,公司股价星期三(8月13日)一度上涨5.6%。

不过,富邑集团也对中国饮酒习惯的变化作出警告称,消费者正从大型宴会转向规模更小、更私密的聚会,这一变化可能会影响其在中国这一最大市场之一的未来销售。

报道引述澳大利亚葡萄酒管理局一份报告显示,北京决定取消对澳大利亚葡萄酒出口的高额关税后,最初曾引发出口激增,但截至6月的这一季度,对中国的出口额较上年同期有所下降。

中澳贸易此前因两国关系紧张而陷入低谷。自澳洲现任总理阿尔巴尼斯2022年上台后,中澳关系开始缓和,北京也陆续取消进口限制,并于去年3月取消了对葡萄酒的惩罚性关税。

“杨柳”登陆台东 料为今年登陆中国最强台风

13 August 2025 at 17:02

台湾气象署表示,台风“杨柳”星期三(8月13日)下午1时前后登陆台东县太麻里乡,给花莲、台东带来剧烈暴风雨,嘉义以南也出现暴雨以上等级降雨。中国大陆气象局同日表示,“杨柳”可能成为今年以来登陆中国的最强台风,二次登陆后将深入内陆,给南方多个省份带来较强降水。

据联合新闻网、新华社、中新社等报道,台湾气象署星期三持续发布“杨柳”海上陆上台风警报,并指台风逐渐往西移动后,降雨区域也会由东往西扩展,估计星期三下半天会是最大降雨时段,东半部、嘉义以南地区会有暴雨等级降雨。

台湾本岛降雨星期三晚间起会逐渐减少,澎湖、金门等地至星期四(14日)清晨仍有局部性大雨或暴雨。

受“杨柳”影响,台铁星期三傍晚6时前西部干线部分花东线、南回线新左营至台东,以及观光列车停驶;立荣航空、华信航空、德安航空的航班全部取消,国际线个别航班因台风取消或延后。云林、嘉义、台南、高雄、屏东、花莲、台东、澎湖等县市星期三已宣布停班停课。

大陆中央气象台监测指出,从常年来看,登陆台湾的台湾强度往往较强。统计发现,1949年至2024年期间登陆台湾的台风中,达到台风级(台风中心附近最大风速达到12至13级,或阵风13级及以上)以上强度的共有91个,占总数的68.9%,其中有15个超强台风。今年第11号台风“杨柳”也是个“狠角色”。

大陆中央气象台也指出,“杨柳”预计星期三下午进入台湾海峡,夜间至星期四凌晨在福建厦门到广东汕头一带沿海登陆,之后继续向西偏北方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。

大陆中央气象台首席预报员吕心艳表示,不排除“杨柳”以较强的强度登陆,有可能成为今年以来登陆中国大陆的最强台风,但还存在一定不确定性。

受“杨柳”影响,大陆华南、西南等地将出现明显风雨。星期三下午至星期四中午,广东中东部、福建东部和南部、江西南部、湖南东南部、台湾大部份地区有大到暴雨。其中,福建南部、广东东部和北部、江西南部、台湾东部和南部等地有大暴雨,广东东部和福建东南部局地有暴雨。

大陆中央气象台指出,“杨柳”登陆后将持续深入影响广东、广西、江西南部、湖南中南部、贵州、重庆南部等地,当地民众需密切关注临近预报预警信息,提前做好台风防御准备,加强防范城乡涝、山洪、山体滑坡、土石流等各类次生灾害。

吕心艳称,前期南方降水比较频繁,持续的降水使土壤的水分饱和度较高,此次要特别关注杨柳带来的强降水,与前期多次降水所形成的叠加效应,容易引发山洪、泥石流、中小河流洪水,以及城乡积涝等次生灾害。

大陆中央气象台首席预报员张玲则指出,台风一旦在台湾登陆,其核心结构就会受到严重破坏,登陆大陆时强度会明显衰减。

另一方面,大陆东海大部分、台湾以东洋面、南中国海东北部、巴士海峡、台湾海峡北部、台湾本岛北部及沿海、福建北部沿海、广东中东部沿海将有六至八级大风。台湾本岛南部及沿海、福建中南部沿海、台湾海峡中南部海域风力可达九至10级;台风中心经过的附近海域和地区风力有11至12级,阵风13至14级。

❌
❌