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Today — 10 July 2025News

Deadly new Russian drone and missile attack hits Kyiv

10 July 2025 at 15:23
EPA Handout picture made available by the State Emergency Service shows Ukrainian emergency services working at the site of a drone strike in the Kyiv area, Ukraine, 09 July 2025EPA
Firefighters also battled fires sparked by explosions in the Kyiv region on Wednesday

Ukraine's capital Kyiv is again under a massive overnight Russian drone attack, local officials say, with at least eight people reported injured and fires burning across the city.

Authorities in Kyiv say drone wreckage has hit the roof of a residential building in the central Shevchenkivskyi district.

Footage on social media, as yet unverified by the BBC, shows explosions in the night sky, as air defence units begin repelling the attack. Ukraine's military has also warned of a threat of a ballistic missile attack.

Last night, Ukraine reported the biggest ever aerial attack from Russia, after 728 drones and 13 cruise or ballistic missiles struck cities around the country in multiple waves.

In the early hours of Thursday, morning Kyiv's military administration reported Russian drone strikes in six city districts.

"Residential buildings, vehicles, warehouses, office and non-residential buildings are burning," administration head Tymur Tkachenko said in a post on Telegram.

He urged city residents to shelter until the air raid siren was lifted.

Overnight, Ukraine's air force reported a threat of Russian drone attacks in a number of regions. It was not immediately clear whether there were any casualties outside Kyiv.

Russia's military has not commented on the reported latest attack.

In other developments:

  • Ukraine's emergency service DSNS said late on Wednesday that three people had been killed in a Russian air strike in the town of Kostiantynivka - close to the front line in eastern Ukraine
  • The US resumed sending some weapons to Ukraine, Reuters reported late on Wednesday, days after it halted shipments of some critical arms

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

卡塔赫纳:马蹄声达达

(本文首发于南方人物周刊)

南方人物周刊特约撰稿 吉普赛

责任编辑:杨静茹

傍晚在纪念馆外(吉普赛/图)

加西亚·马尔克斯在自传里写,波哥大的女人想和海边的男人结婚,不为别的,就为了早晨醒来能看见海。马尔克斯对波哥大的描述一点都没错,海拔2600米,经常阴天,随时下雨,算不得好天气。加勒比海边就不同了,白天阳光烈得要吃人,傍晚天空蓝得透亮,晚上凉下来,看什么都顺眼。马尔克斯喜欢海,也喜欢卡塔赫纳。1948年,他从哥伦比亚国立大学转入卡塔赫纳大学,在里,他开始做记者,并利用下班时间写成了第一部小说《枯枝败叶》。

卡塔赫纳民居

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校对:赵立宇

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WTO前经济学家库普曼:全球亟须构建新经济秩序

我相信,各国和企业仍希望与美国经济保持接触,但他们不会像过去四十年那样看待美国,而会将更多注意力转向与其他国家的合作。如果其他国家能遵循一套明确的规则,不是像美国这样变幻莫测,他们会更愿意进入那些市场。

南方周末记者 顾月冰

发自:天津

责任编辑:姚忆江

2025年7月7日,美国总统特朗普再次签署行政令,延长“对等关税”90天暂缓期,将实施时间推迟至8月1日。

罗伯特·库普曼(Robert Koopman)是世界贸易组织前首席经济学家兼经济研究和统计局局长,也曾在美国国际贸易委员会担任首席经济学家长达十余年。他擅长用数据与经济模型分析跨国间商品与服务流动的实际增值情况。自新一轮关税战以来,库普曼非常关注美国企业在关税战下的动作及影响。

6月底,库普曼应邀前往北京、天津,与中外经济学者探讨世界经济下一步走向。在第16届夏季达沃斯论坛现场,库普曼接受了南方周末记者的专访。

库普曼认为,保护主义关税并不是解决中美贸易不平衡的正确工具。特朗普政府推行了“对等关税”以强化美国制造业,但这可能会挤占服务业或高端制造业等其他经济活动。关税战最为可能的结果是,劳动力在行业间的重新配置,以及激励企业提高自动化技术和机器人生产。

以下是南方周末记者与库普曼的对谈:

关税战或拖慢美经济增长

南方周末:2025年6月,中美在伦敦进行了一次超过16小时的对话。据中美双边通报,两国在关税和部分出口管制方面达成了“框架性协议”。这一框架对中美贸易谈判有何助益?

库普曼中美开始贸易对话是件好事,达成框架协议也是好事。但很多细节并不清楚,必须正式写下来。协议的细节会非常关键。

即使是作为盟友的美国与欧盟间,也经常在商贸上发生紧张关系。制定一套处理矛盾的机制与规则是非常宝贵的。过去,(它们)通常通过世界贸易组织(WTO)或自由贸易协定等框架处理。这些框架帮助国家用“约束机制”(guardrail)去应对商业难题。但特朗普政府基本无视这些机制,试图基于自己的偏好重新谈判。其他国家虽然仍希望与美国互动、愿意对话,但对缺乏一套被遵守的规则感到不满。即使达成了“框架性协议”,我们也要观察未来六个月的情况,能否真正落实和执行。

南方周末:特朗普宣布对等关税后的几个月里,

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校对:星歌

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Deadly new Russian drone and missile attack hits Kyiv

10 July 2025 at 15:23
EPA Handout picture made available by the State Emergency Service shows Ukrainian emergency services working at the site of a drone strike in the Kyiv area, Ukraine, 09 July 2025EPA
Firefighters also battled fires sparked by explosions in the Kyiv region on Wednesday

Ukraine's capital Kyiv is again under a massive overnight Russian drone attack, local officials say, with at least eight people reported injured and fires burning across the city.

Authorities in Kyiv say drone wreckage has hit the roof of a residential building in the central Shevchenkivskyi district.

Footage on social media, as yet unverified by the BBC, shows explosions in the night sky, as air defence units begin repelling the attack. Ukraine's military has also warned of a threat of a ballistic missile attack.

Last night, Ukraine reported the biggest ever aerial attack from Russia, after 728 drones and 13 cruise or ballistic missiles struck cities around the country in multiple waves.

In the early hours of Thursday, morning Kyiv's military administration reported Russian drone strikes in six city districts.

"Residential buildings, vehicles, warehouses, office and non-residential buildings are burning," administration head Tymur Tkachenko said in a post on Telegram.

He urged city residents to shelter until the air raid siren was lifted.

Overnight, Ukraine's air force reported a threat of Russian drone attacks in a number of regions. It was not immediately clear whether there were any casualties outside Kyiv.

Russia's military has not commented on the reported latest attack.

In other developments:

  • Ukraine's emergency service DSNS said late on Wednesday that three people had been killed in a Russian air strike in the town of Kostiantynivka - close to the front line in eastern Ukraine
  • The US resumed sending some weapons to Ukraine, Reuters reported late on Wednesday, days after it halted shipments of some critical arms

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

Chris Mason: After a high-profile Tory defection, Reform is making the political weather

10 July 2025 at 12:42
PA Media Reform UK leader Nigel Farage pictured laughingPA Media
Nigel Farage's party has seen four recent defections from the Tories, with Labour reshaping its approach in response

For the second time this week, Reform UK have announced a former Conservative cabinet minister has joined them.

The other day they said that former Welsh Secretary David Jones had signed up, back in January.

Two other former Tory MPs defected recently too – Anne Marie Morris and Ross Thomson.

Now it is Sir Jake Berry joining Nigel Farage's party.

A man knighted by Boris Johnson.

A man whose son counts Johnson as his godfather.

A man who used to be the chairman of the Conservative Party and who was a Tory minister in three different government departments.

And yet a man who now says this: "If you were deliberately trying to wreck the country, you'd be hard pressed to do a better job than the last two decades of Labour and Tory rule."

Read that sentence again and consider it was written by someone who was not just a Tory MP for 14 years but a senior one, occupying high office.

Extraordinary.

And this is probably not the end of it – both Reform and Conservative folk I speak to hint they expect there to be more to come.

Tories are trying to put the best gloss on it they can, saying Reform might be attracting former MPs – Sir Jake lost his seat at the last election – but they are losing current MPs.

The MP James McMurdock suspended himself from Reform at the weekend after a story in the Sunday Times about loans he took out under a Covid support scheme.

McMurdock has said he was compliant with the rules.

But the trend is clear: Conservatives of varying seniority are being lured across by Nigel Farage and are proud to say so when they make the leap.

PA Media Sir Jake BerryPA Media
Sir Jake Berry was appointed as the Conservative Party chairman by Liz Truss during her brief tenure as prime minister

Reform are particularly delighted that Sir Jake has not just defected but done so by going "studs in" on his former party, as one source put it.

"For us this is really crucial. If you want to join us you need to be really going for the other side when you do. Drawing a proper line in the sand," they added.

They regard Sir Jake's closeness to Boris Johnson as "dagger-in-the-heart stuff" for the Conservatives.

But perhaps the more interesting and consequential pivot in strategy we are currently witnessing is Labour's approach to Reform.

At the very highest level in government they are reshaping their approach: turning their attention away from their principal opponent of the last century and more, the Conservatives, and tilting instead towards Nigel Farage's party.

Again, extraordinary.

It tells you a lot about our contemporary politics that a party with Labour's history, sitting on top of a colossal Commons majority, is now shifting its focus to a party with just a handful of MPs.

Senior ministers take the rise of Reform incredibly seriously and are not dismissing them as a flash in the pan insurgency.

After all, Reform's lead in many opinion polls has proven to be sustained in recent months and was then garnished with their impressive performance in the English local elections in May and their win, on the same day, in the parliamentary by-election in Runcorn and Helsby in Cheshire.

If Labour folk then were still in need of the jolt of a wake-up call, that night provided it.

In their immediate response to Sir Jake's defection, Labour are pointing to Reform recruiting Liz Truss's party chairman and so are inheriting, they claim, her "reckless economics".

But they know the challenge of taking on and, they hope, defeating Reform, will be work of years of slog and will have to be grounded in proving they can deliver in government – not easy, as their first year in office has so often proven.

Not for the first time in recent months, Reform UK have momentum and are making the political weather.

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Package holidays to Spain, Cyprus and Turkey soar in price

10 July 2025 at 07:03
Getty Images A beach in Turkey where lots of people are sunbathing under umbrellas, and many other people are swimming in the seaGetty Images

All-inclusive family package holidays from the UK have jumped in price for some of the most popular destinations, including Spain, Cyprus and Turkey.

The average price for a week in Cyprus in August has gone up by 23%, from £950 per person to £1,166, figures compiled for the BBC by TravelSupermarket show.

Of the top 10 most-searched countries, Italy and Tunisia are the only ones to see prices drop by 11% and 4% respectively compared with 2024.

Travel agents say holidaymakers are booking shorter stays or travelling mid-week to cut costs.

The top five destinations in order of most searched are: Spain, Greece, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Portugal. They have all seen price rises.

Trips to the UAE have seen the biggest jump, up 26% from £1,210 in August 2024 to £1,525 this year.

Cyprus had the next biggest rise and came in at number nine in terms of search popularity.

The figures are based on online searches, made on TravelSupermarket from 18 April to 17 June, for all-inclusive, seven-night family holidays in August 2024 and 2025.

While this snapshot of data reveals a general trend, costs will vary depending on exactly where a family goes and when they book.

A dumbbell chart showing the average cost per person of a one-week package holiday in August 2024 and August 2025, by country. Figures are based on search data collected by TravelSupermarket, covering 18 April to 17 June, and countries are listed in order of popularity by number of searches. The average cost for Spain rose from £835 to £914, for Greece it rose from £926 to £1,038, for Turkey it rose from £874 to £1,003, for the UAE it rose from £1,210 to £1,525, for Portugal it rose from £936 to £972, for Egypt it rose from £981 to £1,176, for Italy it fell from £1,266 to £1,129, for Tunisia it fell from £794 to £763, for Cyprus it rose from £950 to £1,166, and for Malta it rose from £804 to £866.

Julia Lo Bue-Said, chief executive of travel agent industry group Advantage Travel Partnership, said the price rises were down to a number of factors.

"These increases simply keep pace with the broader cost of doing business and reflect the reality of higher operational costs, from increased energy bills affecting hotels, to elevated food costs impacting restaurants and rising wages across the hospitality sector," she said.

But she added the group had seen evidence that some holidaymakers still had money to spend.

Some customers were upgrading to more premium all-inclusive packages and booking more expensive cabin seats on long-haul flights to locations such as Dubai, she said.

Abi Smitton / BBC News A woman at a hairdressers, with wet hair covered in conditioner. She's sitting in front of a sink and smiling at the camera. She's wearing a black cape and a bin bag over the topAbi Smitton / BBC News
Ellie Mooney said she's spent the last year saving up for her holiday to Turkey

Holiday destinations are a frequent topic of conversation at the hairdressers.

At Voodou in Liverpool, Ellie Mooney talked to us as she got a last-minute trim before jetting off to Turkey.

"We've been going for the past 20 years or so. We normally book a year ahead then save up in dribs and drabs," she said.

Hope Curran, 21, was getting her highlights done and she and her partner had just got back from holiday in Rhodes in Greece.

"We did an all-inclusive trip because it was a bit more manageable, but it's not cheap," she said.

Francesca Ramsden A family of four stand on a platform overlooking a mountain and coastline. On the left is a tall man wearing a blue top and sunglasses, in the middle is a boy with a black cap and white top, on the right is a woman in sunglasses and an animal print top and in front is a young girl in a white dressFrancesca Ramsden
Nurse Francesca Ramsden says she spends thousands of hours hunting for the best deals

End of life care nurse Francesca Ramsden, 35, from Rossendale, has made it her mission to cut the cost of holidays, saving where she can and hunting for a bargain at every turn.

"My husband is sick of me, he'll ask 'have you found anything yet' and I'll say no, rocking in the corner after looking for 10,000 hours.

"The longest I've booked a holiday in advance is two to three months and I find that the closer you get, the cheaper it is."

She said she spent hours trying to save as much as possible on a May half-term break to Fuerte Ventura for her family of four which came in at £1,600.

She now shares her budgeting tips on social media.

"I've mastered the art of packing a week's worth of clothes into a backpack. I always book the earliest or latest flight I can, and midweek when it's cheaper."

Abi Smitton / BBC News A man with brown hair sits at a desk, wearing a black polo neck shirt.Abi Smitton / BBC News
Travel consultant Luke says people are getting creative to save money

Luke Fitzpatrick, a travel consultant at Perfect Getaways in Liverpool, said people were cutting the length of their holidays to save money.

"Last year we did a lot for 10 nights and this year we've got a lot of people dropping to four or seven nights, just a short little weekend vacation, just getting away in the sun," he said.

He has also seen more people choosing to wait until the last minute to book a trip away.

"People are coming in with their suitcases asking if they can go away today or tomorrow," he added.

"Yesterday we had a couple come in with their passports and we got them on a flight last night from Liverpool to Turkey."

Graphic reading Cost of Living Tackling It Together with a woman filling a mug from a kettle

How to save money on your holiday

  • Choose a cheaper location. A UK holiday eliminates travel and currency costs, but overseas destinations vary a lot too
  • To decide whether all-inclusive will save you money, first look at local costs for eating out and don't forget about drinks and airport transfers
  • Travel outside the school holidays if you can
  • Booking early can help, especially if you have to travel at peak times
  • Check whether you can get a cheaper flight by travelling mid-week
  • Haggle. Call the travel agent to see if they can better the price you found online
  • Choose destinations where the value of the pound is strong. This year that includes Turkey, Bulgaria and Portugal

Source: Which? and TravelSupermarket

Wiegman delivers 'proper England' performance with 4-0 victory

10 July 2025 at 04:44

Wiegman delivers 'proper England' performance

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Media caption,

England defeat Netherlands to get title defence back on track

With doubts circling and pressure increasing, England needed to step up at Euro 2025 - and they did.

A 2-1 defeat by France on Saturday meant the defending champions had catching up to do in Group D.

But England ensured their hopes of qualifying for the quarter-finals remained intact with a commanding 4-0 victory over the Netherlands.

"Proper England", as midfielder Georgia Stanway had called it earlier this week, returned as Sarina Wiegman's side played with fluidity and creativity.

They were back to their defensive best and Wiegman's positional switches worked a treat.

Now they must build momentum.

How Wiegman dealt with scrutiny

Wiegman knows what it means to be under the spotlight, having led England to back-to-back major tournament finals.

When you have set that standard, anything less is a disappointment.

England's level dropped dramatically against France which increased scrutiny on Wiegman, who suffered her first defeat at a Euros after winning 12 games in a row over the previous two tournaments.

It was also the first time the reigning women's European champions had lost the first match of their defence at the following finals.

Wiegman admitted the scrutiny was "hard" but she focused on the task in hand.

"I always knew ahead of this tournament that it was a very hard group. It can happen but then you need to win the other games," she said.

"So yes, I was excited, but at the same time I felt a little tense too. I think that's completely normal as you really want to stay in the tournament and you want to win.

"I just had to focus on my job, review well and think about how we could bring people together."

Wiegman has often delivered in the big moments and no manager has won more Euros matches than the Dutchwoman (13 - level with Germany's former manager Tina Theune).

She also boasts the best goals-per-game rate in the competition among managers to take charge of four or more matches, with her sides scoring 40 in 14 games.

Having come under criticism for her decision to start Lauren James in the number 10 role against France - which left England vulnerable defensively - Wiegman made all the right choices against the Netherlands.

James started on the right wing, with Manchester United's Ella Toone starting in the number 10 role. They scored three of the four goals on the night.

Jess Carter, who struggled against France at left-back, was moved into central defence, swapping with Alex Greenwood, and England kept a clean sheet.

"The priority was that we wanted to skip and exploit space. The Netherlands pushed up so we wanted to go over them. That worked really well," said Wiegman.

"When you're in their half of the pitch, you can start playing. We had some nice crosses and we spoke about that too.

"[James] came in good positions but she can also do that in midfield. In midfield today we wanted Ella [Toone] because she can make good runs in behind."

The plan worked.

Netherlands striker Vivianne Miedema had just eight touches in the first half and the Dutch conceded more than two goals in a single match at a major women's tournament for the first time.

They also managed just four shots against England - their fewest on record (since 2011) at a major tournament.

'That's a proper English performance'

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'That should be three points for England' - James makes it 3-0

England midfielder Keira Walsh said the players "had to acknowledge that sometimes it is a bad day and it was a really bad day against France".

They wanted to put it behind them and do their talking on the pitch, as team-mate Stanway stressed this week.

Striker Alessia Russo felt they produced the "proper England" performance that Stanway had talked about.

"'Proper English' to us means we'll work hard until we can't run any more, stick together and know that we are very dominant on the ball," said Russo.

"We were picking up the ball in right areas and were clinical with our chances. We wanted to return to our roots and we know we're capable of performances like that."

Russo was among the standout performers as she picked up three assists - the first player on record (since 2013) to provide as many in a women's Euros match.

James' double means she has now been directly involved in more goals (eight) than any other European player at the past two major tournaments.

Stanway and Toone impressed in midfield, while Carter thrived in the centre-back role, with Greenwood producing the goods at left-back.

"We can change the structure of the team with so many different players. That's a strength of ours, that each individual player is so good at something," said Lucy Bronze.

"[Greenwood] isn't the fastest player on the pitch and I think she completely marked Chasity Grant out of the game. She was front-footed, she was aggressive.

"Jess Carter was covering her every single minute of the game as well. I think that's a proper English performance."

Carter told BBC Radio 5 Live that the two defenders had felt "isolated" in the defeat by France and they wanted to combat that.

Wiegman made the decision to swap them in training and tested it out.

"I'm not one to question and ask for a reason, I just do the job I'm asked to do," said Carter.

"This game felt the total opposite with Alex and the whole team. She was phenomenal at left-back."

Has optimism been revived?

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Toone and Russo combine for England's fourth

England were one of the pre-tournament favourites and despite defeat by France, qualification for the quarter-finals is in their hands.

If they beat Wales in their final group game, they will qualify for the last eight.

Wiegman admitted the "consequences of the result were huge" against the Netherlands - but it was nothing they did not expect.

"We knew exactly that we were going straight into finals [against strong opposition]," she added.

"Losing the first game, it was not the end of the world but it doesn't put you in the best position.

"We knew we had to perform really well and the team did."

Were England written off too soon? They won Euro 2022 and reached the 2023 World Cup final after all.

"Everybody else was panic stations, but we still needed to win this game whether we beat France or not and we knew that," said Walsh.

"The objective didn't change. We wanted to take the game to them and put things right that we didn't the other day.

"I think we did back up what we said in the media and I think everyone was just on it from the first whistle to the last."

'Huggable' piece of Sycamore Gap tree to go on permanent display

10 July 2025 at 13:06
Northumberland National Park A close up shot of the stump with brown and green-flecked bark. It is on its side balanced on wooden blocks. Northumberland National Park
It is hoped the sculpture will be a permanent memorial to the tree's mindless destruction

A piece of the world-famous Sycamore Gap tree which was illegally felled nearly two years ago is to go on permanent display.

The act sparked global condemnation and outrage in September 2023, with two men found guilty of chopping the tree down earlier this year.

Now, people will be able to see and touch part of its trunk at a Northumberland visitor centre near where the tree stood, as a permanent memorial to its mindless destruction is unveiled.

The BBC has been to see what the display looks like - and has had an insight into how it was created.

In a workshop in a tiny village in Cumbria, an idea has been taking shape.

The large shed up an ever-thinning track is where artist Charlie Whinney creates his abstract and beautiful sculptures.

They often feature steam-bent wood that makes my mind boggle when I visit, with its twists and turns.

His curved creations are everywhere I look, and his signature style will now surround the Sycamore Gap trunk.

Artist Charlie Winney stands next to his sculpture. He is clean shaven with short dark hair and is wearing a brown jumper and blue jeans. The sculpture consists of a tree trunk with pieces of bent wood coming form it connecting to benches
Artist Charlie Winney has used the Sycamore Gap trunk as a centrepiece for his sculpture

The piece of tree, which is more than 6ft (2m) long, arrived at Charlie's workshop in mid-June, three weeks before its unveiling as part of a permanent exhibition at the Sill National Landscape Discovery Centre near Hadrian's Wall in Northumberland.

He is preparing the trunk for the metal work that will keep it upright, with the carving and drilling into the base being the only modification he is making to the sycamore itself.

It is nerve-wracking work, he tells me, "because so many people care about it, you don't want to mess it up".

Charlie Whinney and an assistant manoeuvre the trunk with the use of a red crane. The trunk is suspended by a green strap.
Charlie Whinney took delivery of the trunk in mid-June

The wood cuts smoothly and is "really nice to work with", the artists says, as he attaches a three-pronged metal baseplate that will finally hold the trunk vertical once again.

He is not an emotional person but is "blown away by how huggable it is", he says, before inviting me to try and wrap my arms around the trunk - which, of course, I do.

This is what everyone who visits the installation will able to do too.

PA Media A night time photo showing the silhouettes of three people walking next to the tree, which is large and bushy and sits in a dip between two hillsPA Media
The tree was a much-loved landmark before it was illegally felled in September 2023

"The actual design came from what people said," Charlie says. "They wanted to be able to sit down, so we made some benches, and also pretty much 100% of the people we spoke to said they want to be able to access the tree and touch it."

A public consultation was held to work out what to do with the tree, which included workshops with children and any written contributions people wanted to make.

The much-loved tree had been a part of so many memorable moments for so many people, from marriage proposals to the scattering of ashes.

Artist Charlie Winney. He is clean shaven with sort brown hair and is wearing a light brown jumper
Charlie Winney makes sculptures from steam-bent wood

Three benches with canopies formed from curved wooden stems and leaves now surround the trunk, the seats inscribed with words taken from people's submissions.

The Northumberland National Park Authority (NNPA) received thousands of emails, letters and messages in visitor books from people talking about the tree, with every one read by staff members.

The authority commissioned Charlie and the Creative Communities art collective, a community interest company which creates sustainable art projects, to deliver an artistic response with the wood.

"It was very important at the beginning when we received the commission to kind of represent people that loved the tree, or knew the tree in life," says Nick Greenall, of the collective.

"It shows by its absence how much it meant to people."

Rosie Thomas smiles at the camera. She has shoulder-length blond hair and is wearing a blue polo shirt, and is standing next to the trunk.
Rosie Thomas helped choose the words to be inscribed on the sculpture's benches

Rosie Thomas, the park's business development director, helped pick out some of the messages that feature in the installation.

"The words that were chosen take you from sorrow, grief, the initial reaction, all the way through to feelings of hope and wishes for the future," she says.

"The really nice thing about the words is that everyone's experience of the tree was different and everybody's experience with this installation will be different too because the route that you take to read the words creates your own individual poem."

The trunk and benches were hidden behind curtains while they were being installed at The Sill, which is just two miles from where the tree had stood.

Tony Gates sits on a bench next to the trunk. He is clean shaven with short greying hair and is wearing glasses and a pink shirt.
Tony Gates is delighted to have the trunk back near Hadrian's Wall

For Tony Gates, the chief executive of the NNPA, having the installation revealed to the public on Thursday morning will be a big moment.

The 18 months since the tree was felled have been difficult for everyone, he says.

"Back in September 2023, people felt they'd lost the tree forever and maybe in some ways felt they'd lost those memories of those life events," he says.

"To be sat here today to be part of that tree with this beautiful installation, it gives me a ray of hope for the future, this is a time to look forward and a time for us to repledge to do positive things for nature."

Daniel Graham and Adam Carruthers, both from Cumbria, are due to be sentenced on 15 July after being found guilty of chopping down the tree.

Follow BBC North East on X and Facebook and BBC Cumbria on X and Facebook and both on Nextdoor and Instagram.

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Royal Mail given go-ahead to scrap second-class post on Saturdays

10 July 2025 at 15:25
Getty Images A Royal Mail post van next to a post box where a postal worker is emptying lettersGetty Images

Royal Mail can deliver second-class letters on every other weekday and not on Saturdays to help cut costs, the industry regulator has said.

Ofcom said a reform to the Universal Service Obligation (USO) was needed as people are sending fewer letters each year, so stamp prices keep rising as the cost of delivering letters goes up.

The current one-price-goes-anywhere USO means Royal Mail has to deliver post six days a week, from Monday to Saturday, and parcels on five from Monday to Friday.

Ofcom said Royal Mail should continue to deliver first-class letters six days a week but second class will be limited to alternate weekdays.

"These changes are in the best interests of consumers and businesses, as urgent reform of the postal service is necessary to give it the best chance of survival," said Natalie Black, Ofcom's group director for networks and communications.

However, just changing Royal Mail's obligations will not improve the service, she said.

"The company now has to play its part and implement this effectively."

The regulator is also making changes to Royal Mail's delivery targets.

The company will have to deliver 90% of first-class mail next-day, down from the current target of 93%, while 95% of second-class mail must be delivered within three days, a cut from the current 98.5%.

However, there will be a new target of 99% of mail being delivered no more than two days late to incentivise Royal Mail to cut down on long delays.

How was wanted man who left online clues free to kill dog walker?

10 July 2025 at 12:28
Suffolk Police A mugshot of Roy Barclay - a bald man wearing glasses. He is standing against a grey backdrop and is looking directly into the camera. Suffolk Police
Roy Barclay was told to expect a "lengthy sentence" after being found guilty of the murder of Anita Rose

The sun was rising over the village of Brantham in Suffolk when Anita Rose set off for an early morning dog walk. She was a mother of six, and a grandmother of 13. Within an hour, she had been assaulted so brutally that her injuries were akin to those of someone in a head-on car crash. She died four days later.

The man responsible, Roy Barclay, was on a list of Suffolk Police's most wanted criminals but he had managed to avoid being recalled to prison for the past two years by sleeping in makeshift camps.

But despite this, Barclay had left a sizeable digital footprint - using his bank card to order items online and leaving hundreds of reviews on Google Maps.

With all this online activity, how did he manage to evade police and remain free to murder Anita?

Suffolk Police A photo of Anita Rose smiling directly into the camera. She appears to be sitting at a table in a restaurant on a high-rise terrace. Other diners can be seen in the background.Suffolk Police
Anita Rose loved walking her dog over the fields near her home village of Brantham, Suffolk, at sunrise

Anita was an "early bird", her partner Richard Jones said. She loved to walk her springer spaniel Bruce around Brantham, a village where she'd lived for six years and always said she felt safe. The 57-year-old loved watching the sun come up before other people were awake.

On the morning of 24 July last year, Mr Jones and Anita chatted on the phone while she walked. He worked as a lorry driver and would spend time away from home during the week, so the couple would catch up while Anita took Bruce on the first of his three daily walks.

The couple had known each other since they were teenagers and had started dating in 2011 after a chance meeting at a petrol station in Copdock where Anita worked.

The pair's final conversation ended with Anita telling the 59-year-old to "drive safe, I love you".

Within an hour of hanging up, she was found unconscious and severely injured on a track road near a railway line by a cyclist and dog walker.

PA Media Blurry CCTV images show a woman, believed to be Anita Rose, wearing a pink waterproof jacket and dark trousers while walking a dog. PA Media
Anita Rose was captured on CCTV walking her dog Bruce on the morning of the fatal attack

During the trial, Ms Island told the court Anita had "laboured breathing" and patches of blood on her face, and was only wearing leggings and a black sports bra, despite leaving the house wearing her pink Regatta jacket.

Mr Tassel described how her dog Bruce was lying "patiently" next to her body with his lead wrapped twice around her leg - this turned out to be something Barclay had also done in 2015, when he attacked a man.

Neuropathologist Dr Kieran Allinson, who treated Anita at Addenbrooke's Hospital in Cambridge, likened her injuries to those seen in high speed car crashes and said they were consistent with kicking, stamping and repeated impacts to the head.

Google A map showing all the google check ins of Barclay, many around Suffolk and EssexGoogle
Roy Barclay was a prolific reviewer of different locations on Google Maps - the red dots show all the locations he reviewed and photographed between 2022 and 2024

In the weeks that followed, Barclay was described during his Ipswich Crown Court trial as having lived in carefully-hidden camps and shaving his head to change his appearance.

He had been wanted by police since 2022, when he breached the terms of his licence by making himself homeless.

Barclay had been jailed in 2015 for the violent, unprovoked assault on an elderly man in an Essex seaside town, and was released on parole in 2020.

Watch: How a man who murdered a woman was caught

After killing Anita, his internet search history showed he had looked up news articles about the attack. He also looked up Anita's partner on social media.

Barclay is also said to have kept some of her belongings - including a pink Regatta jacket - at his makeshift camps.

George King/BBC A police car is parked on a metalled track with a sign in front of it saying "POLICE" and "ROAD CLOSED". A police officer is next to the car, with two other people standing behind it. A pylon is in the field further along the track. The railway line and River Stour estuary are on the left of the picture.George King/BBC
Anita Rose was found with serious injuries on a track road in Brantham, Suffolk, in July 2024

In the weeks after Anita's murder, Suffolk Police entered into one of its biggest-ever investigations to find the culprit.

A number of people were arrested and bailed.

Barclay, meanwhile, continued to be a prolific reviewer on Google Maps for hundreds of locations around Suffolk and Essex.

Between 2022 and October 2024, he posted thousands of photos of churches, Amazon lockers, libraries, beaches, council buildings, statues and more - earning himself a 'Level 8' contributor status (the highest being level 10).

One review was of Decoy Pond in Brantham, with photos posted between April and July - the month he murdered Anita a short distance away.

Google Online review: 'Flatford is one of those Suffolk places that just seems to defy time, remaining in its own unspoilt tranquility. Despite having become one of the most visited places in both the county & the country, this area remains unspoilt by tourism, & maintains its own rural identity & sense of timelessness, associated for many with the masterworks by John Constable. Nonetheless, during the height of Summer & at weekends it can become so packed with sightseers it’s only possible to glimpse such attractions as Flatford Mill, Valley Farm, Willy Lott’s House, etc. So to enjoy all the quiet, traditional country features that Flatford offers visitors, it’s best to consider the timing of a visit & to consider weekdays in Spring or Autumn. Even in Winter, however, it’s worth the visit (although such features as the RSPB Flatford Wildlife Garden are closed). At any time of year after a spell of wet weather be prepared for soggy ground or flooded pathways. All Flatford is low ground watermeadows so rainfall soon becomes very muddy standing water.'Google
Roy Barclay posted his thoughts on Flatford shortly before being arrested on suspicion of murder

Three months after the murder, his final few Google reviews were about Flatford, a historic area on the Essex-Suffolk border famed for inspiring iconic paintings.

"It's a beautiful, unspoilt rural idyll that somehow exists in its own timelessness, as if awaiting the return of John Constable," wrote Barclay in a review posted in October 2024.

By then he was camping out a mile from where he'd killed Anita - but a chance meeting with a Suffolk Police officer near White Bridge, between Brantham and Manningtree, led to his arrest.

Barclay gave the officer, Det Con Simpson, a fake name, coming across as "quite nervous and quite anxious", the detective said.

Six days later on 21 October, at Ipswich County Library, Barclay was arrested and was subsequently charged with Anita's murder, which he denied.

Crown Prosecution Service A makeshift camp under a small bridge in Brantham. A white crumpled up duvet can be seen alongside a bag of rubbish and other items stress across the ground Crown Prosecution Service
Barclay, who was homeless, lived in makeshift camps he had set up under the Orwell Bridge and in Brantham (pictured)

After his conviction, the Crown Prosecution Service described Barclay as "an individual that… has a history for acting violently so we knew that this was somebody that could act unprovoked in a very violent manner".

The 2015 attack in Walton-on-the-Naze left the victim, 82-year-old Leslie Gunfield, with serious injuries to his head, neck, face and jaw.

Barclay was jailed for 10 years for the assault, but was released on licence after five.

The Ministry of Justice (MoJ), which is responsible for probation services, told the BBC that a recall notice for Barclay was issued quickly following the breach of his licence conditions.

In doing this, finding Barclay became the responsibility of Suffolk Police.

Crimewatch Live A photo of Anita Rose. She is facing away from the camera with a sash around her upper body. She has blonde hair which has been partly tied up.Crimewatch Live
Anita Rose was a mother and grandmother who was very active and loved walking her dog

The force began looking for him in 2022 but did not issue a press release about his wanted status until January 2024. it asked for members of the public to get in touch if they saw him, saying he had "links across Suffolk and Essex".

Just over a month before he murdered Anita, on 10 June, Barclay had left a comment on an online article called 'Fixing Fixed Term Recalls'.

He accused the MoJ of "deliberately" setting up prison leavers "to fail" and "return like a boomerang".

"Is it really any surprise that so many of those on license are on recall within the first year of release?" he wrote. The MoJ has refuted these claims.

Supplied A photo of Hamish Brown. He is wearing a blazer over a shirt. He is sitting in front of a computer screen but is looking directly into the camera. Supplied
Former Metropolitan Police detective Hamish Brown believes the murder could have been prevented

Hamish Brown, a former detective inspector who worked for the Specialist Crime Directorate at New Scotland Yard, said his own experience taught him that officers were often not given "huge amounts of time" to investigate wanted suspects.

But in this case, he said, the force would have serious questions to answer.

"Suffolk Police failed in tracking him down, despite him using his bank card and reviewing places on Google.

"I'm surprised Suffolk Police missed this and didn't find him, despite the trail he was leaving.

"The bottom line is it could have been prevented if the police had done their job and gone looking for the person.

"So the police will have to brace themselves and be answerable."

But Paul Bernal, professor of information technology law at the University of East Anglia, believes there would have been a limit to how useful the Google reviews could have been in tracking Barclay down.

"There is absolutely no way a social media or search provider would know that those things are in any way needed in a police investigation," he told the BBC.

Jamie Niblock/BBC Anita Rose's eldest daughter - a woman with long curly black hair - standing outside caught. Next to her is Anita Rose's partner, who is wearing a West Ham shirt and looking over her shoulder. Jamie Niblock/BBC
Anita's eldest daughter, Jess, addressed the media outside Ipswich Crown Court

Speaking after the jury found Barclay guilty, Anita's family stood on the court steps and spoke of the changes they said "need to be made within the probation service and justice system".

"We need make sure our communities are safe and criminals are taken back to prison when they break the terms of their probations," her eldest daughter Jess said.

"They cannot remain at large - there's too much at stake."

'Definitive answers'

Suffolk Police confirmed it would conduct a voluntary partnership review which would look at how the force and the probation service handled the search for Barclay.

"It will look closely at the information sharing processes and how the organisations collaborated," said assistant chief constable Alice Scott.

"This review will be a thorough assessment and scrutiny of the processes concerning Barclay.

"It will be expedited as soon as possible so we can provide clear and definitive answers for Anita's family."

Additional reporting by Jodie Halford and Laura Foster.

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特朗普将关税视为权力的体现,而非贸易工具

10 July 2025 at 03:17

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特朗普将关税视为权力的体现,而非贸易工具

MAGGIE HABERMAN
图为巴尔的摩港。梳理特朗普数十年来的关税言论,可以发现他在这个问题上常常语焉不详,直到最近才将其其定位为贸易策略的中心支柱。
图为巴尔的摩港。梳理特朗普数十年来的关税言论,可以发现他在这个问题上常常语焉不详,直到最近才将其其定位为贸易策略的中心支柱。 Alyssa Schukar for The New York Times
根据特朗普总统的支持者惯常的说法,40年来他始终信奉关税政策——虽然在首个任期内受到顾问们的掣肘,他现在终于能够将其长期秉持的经济理论付诸实践了。
然而,特朗普在成为总统候选人之前虽然零星地谈论过关税,但他通常将他对贸易的更广泛不满描述为其他国家或公司“占美国便宜”。自2015年成为候选人后,他才开始严肃地谈论关税问题,将其描述为一种可以轻松运用以重新平衡国家经济基础的工具。
“我们将对多年来占我们便宜的国家征收10%至20%的关税,我们将向进入并利用我们国家的人收取10%至20%的费用,因为他们一直就是这样做的,”特朗普在2024年8月表示,这是他在那次竞选期间多次强调若当选将实施远超首个任期的全面关税的言论之一。
特朗普本周再次推迟自己设定的关税最后期限,这凸显了他将关税视为“立竿见影的法子”所面临的挑战——他坚称关税将为国家带来大量收入,同时又能迅速重构贸易关系。
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回顾特朗普几十年来关于关税的言论,可以发现他在这个问题上常常语焉不详,直到最近才将其定位为贸易策略的中心支柱。
特朗普更频繁也更持久强调的一句话是:其他国家把美国变成“冤大头”。他提到关税时,往往是作为他描述这种受伤害的状态的一部分——这种情绪在美国制造业基础开始侵蚀时变得十分普遍。即便没有一套完整连贯的贸易政策,这种对贸易议题的高度关注,为他在2016年大选中获胜提供了一臂之力。
政府官员称,今年迄今为止的关税收入约为1000亿美元。但在放话总统将在“90天达成90项协议”后,白宫仅与少数国家敲定了贸易协定框架。
特朗普常将关税视为目的本身,而非更广泛贸易战略的工具之一。尽管商业专家和企业领导人表示,关税将提高产品成本以及依赖进口的消费者成本,但总统基本无视这些担忧。他坚信市场和长期担忧终将趋于平衡,尽管经济专家一直想知道其终极目标是什么。
“何为胜利?胜利的定义是什么?”彼得森国际经济研究所高级研究员莫里斯·奥布斯特费尔德说。“他似乎认为胜利的定义是消除他国的‘不公平贸易行为’,在他看来,这可以直接转化为减少我们与每个贸易伙伴的双边逆差。”
曾在奥巴马政府和拜登政府任职的外交关系委员会高级研究员布拉德·塞策表示:“他其实无意达成那么多真正的协议。”
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塞策说,特朗普迄今感兴趣的交易似乎是“你接受我设定的税率,并给我额外让步”,否则“我将进一步提高关税”。
这令各国担忧,无论他们同意什么,特朗普都将再度加码。
然而令他国感到不明所以的事情,特朗普却很清楚。关税是他可以支配的武器,亦是他眼中重塑全球影响力的途径。
他的助手和亲信表示,特朗普在卸任期间与助手和同事的私下谈话中将关税描述为巨大权力的体现,而非一种更广泛的经济理论。
特朗普顾问坚称,其关税意图始终明晰,即使他的表述欠精准。
白宫发言人库什·德赛表示,特朗普向来“毫不含糊地明确表示,必须动用一切手段将美国人与美国的利益置于首位。数万亿美元的历史性投资承诺、数千亿美元的政府收入,以及他国表现出的与美国谈判新贸易协定的极大热情,都证明特朗普总统正在成功地利用关税来实现这一目标。”
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特朗普在第一个任期虽然对关税也很感兴趣,但实施起来要比第二任期更有目的性。
今年,特朗普竭尽所能地迫使各国主动来找他达成协议。他将关税描述为与美国往来的入场费,并且几乎无视其行为是否远超关税授权法律的立法本意。
“我就像一家非常重要的商店的老板,大家都想来购物,”他最近在接受《大西洋》采访时说。“而我必须保护这家店,价格由我来定。”
为此,特朗普周二突然宣布对铜征收新一轮50%的关税。他没有说明这个税率是如何得出的。

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‘One too many’: rapper’s arrest sparks protests against Togo’s ruling dynasty

10 July 2025 at 12:00
People set up a barricade during a protest calling for the president’s resignation

On the night last month that he and 34 other young people were arrested in the Togolese capital, Lomé, for coordinating an anti-government demonstration, Bertin Bandiangou said gendarmes beat him with ropes and slapped him. The next morning he was tortured while a commanding officer filmed proceedings.

He was lucky to get out alive: at least 10 people have been killed by security officials since protests began in June calling for the resignation of the small west African country’s president, Faure Gnassingbé.

“From this bitter experience, it is clear that the Togolese regime is prepared to commit the worst atrocities to retain power,” said Bandiangou, a 24-year-old student union president at the University of Lomé.

With the exception of a three-month period in 2005, Togo has been ruled by the Gnassingbés since 1967, when Faure Gnassingbé’s father, Gnassingbé Eyadéma, took power in a bloodless coup.

In February, the government hosted a flamboyant $34m memorial service for Eyadéma, who died in 2005. Observers said the ceremony, attended by five former African presidents, served as a lavish statement of the dynasty’s enduring power.

Then in May, Gnassingbé’s power was further consolidated when he was sworn in as “president of the council of ministers”, a new post that is not subject to term limits. The swearing-in was the culmination of a process that began in March last year when parliament amended the constitution, without a referendum, to do away with presidential elections – a move described by the Touche Pas à Ma Constitution coalition as “a coup against the Togolese people”.

The price of dissent

Though the memorial service and constitutional changes struck a nerve with young people in Togo who want political change, the spark for the recent protests was the arrest of Tchala Essowè Narcisse, a popular rapper known as Aamron, on 26 May.

Aamron has built a following on TikTok, and his songs denounce corruption, economic stagnation and state neglect. His arrest followed a satirical call for a mobilisation to mark Gnassingbé’s birthday.

According to Célestin Kokou Agbogan, his lawyer and the president of Togo’s Human Rights League, Aamron was arrested without a warrant and held incommunicado for 10 days. A video clip then surfaced in which, appearing disoriented, he claimed the state had labelled him mentally unstable and had detained him in a psychiatric facility in Zébé, just outside Lomé.

Agbogan said no official charges had been filed. The opposition alliance Dynamics for Majority of the People condemned the arrest as “unlawful, unjustified, and driven by political motives” and has called for Aamron’s immediate and unconditional release.

In the days after his disappearance, fans flooded social media with clips of his defiant lyrics. Then they took to the streets of Lomé, barricading roads, burning tyres and chanting “Libérez Aamron!” and “Togo Libre!”

“Since Faure Gnassingbé became president, any opinion that does not praise him is seen as a crime,” Bandiangou said. “He systematically imprisons all dissenting voices. Aamron’s arrest was … one too many.”

Bandiangou said his aim was to mobilise people in an attempt to end the practice of arbitrary imprisonment and allow political prisoners to regain their freedom.

Protesters have paid a steep price for their dissent: more than 100 have been arrested since June, and some are still missing. Amnesty International said last week it had interviewed victims and witnesses who described a series of abuses by security forces against demonstrators, including acts of torture.

On 1 July, the Economic Community of West African States urged restraint and called for dialogue. Otherwise, international reaction has been muted, drowned out by geopolitical crises elsewhere.

Nevertheless, diaspora communities and human rights groups are attempting to ramp up pressure on the regime, demanding sanctions and diplomatic scrutiny.

‘Our message was clear’

Experts say beneath the anger at the constitutional changes lies a deeper well of frustration over corruption and nepotism that has been exacerbated by a scarce jobs market and a rise in the cost of living.

Protests have erupted periodically for decades – usually over delayed elections, term extensions and heavy-handed crackdowns – but there are signs that discontent is widening.

Civil society groups and opposition parties held demonstrations on three consecutive days in late June over a planned pan-Africanist conference – later cancelled – that they claimed would whitewash the latest power grab, while protests have also broken out in recent weeks over electricity price rises.

“Young people are exasperated by shortsighted and aimless governance, and by being held hostage by a regime incapable of providing the population with the basic necessities of life,” said Bandiangou. “Our message is clear: we no longer want a regime that imprisons our dreams and has terrorised an entire people for nearly six decades.”

A still from Aamron’s video Nouveaux DossiersDemonstrators in Lomé clash with police during a protest calling for the president’s resignationTogo’s president, Faure Gnassingbé.

特朗普威胁提高关税之际,鲁比奥开启任内首次亚洲之旅

By: 黄安伟
10 July 2025 at 02:17

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特朗普威胁提高关税之际,鲁比奥开启任内首次亚洲之旅

黄安伟
周四,国务卿鲁比奥抵达马来西亚吉隆坡郊外的空军基地。
周四,国务卿鲁比奥抵达马来西亚吉隆坡郊外的空军基地。 Pool photo by Mandel Ngan
国务卿鲁比奥于周四抵达马来西亚,参加亚洲国家高级外交官的聚会,其中许多国家正在努力应对特朗普总统的新关税威胁
鲁比奥计划在抵达马来西亚首都吉隆坡后不久出席与东南亚国家联盟国家外长举行的会议。国务院的一名官员表示,鲁比奥还计划于周四会见俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫。特朗普政府一直试图通过谈判达成一项解决方案,让俄罗斯停止入侵乌克兰,但俄罗斯一直在抵制。
鲁比奥计划在周四和周五举行各种外交会谈,然后回到华盛顿。来自中国、日本和韩国的高级外交官本周也将在吉隆坡举行会议。
国务院称鲁比奥的旋风之行旨在加强美国在亚洲各地的联盟和伙伴关系,并通过建立这些关系来对抗中国。
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“在他作为国务卿的首次亚洲之行中,鲁比奥国务卿的重点是重申美国对推进一个自由、开放和安全的印太地区的承诺,”国务院发言人塔米·布鲁斯周二在华盛顿举行的新闻发布会上说。这是美国官员用来强调中国在该地区咄咄逼人的海上和领土行动的常用说法。
然而,特朗普周一突然宣布,如果14个国家在8月1日前未能与美国达成贸易协议,他将对这些国家征收更高的关税,这肯定会给鲁比奥打算与美国伙伴进行的任何讨论蒙上阴影。预计14个国家中,至少有八个国家将派外交官出席在吉隆坡举行的会议。东道主马来西亚就是14个国家之一。
马来西亚官员对特朗普提议对该国出口到美国的商品征收25%的关税感到惊讶,关税将由进口这些商品的美国公司支付。
这个数字与特朗普在4月份提出的24%几乎相同,之后他将该行动暂停了90天。自那以后,马来西亚一直在努力与美国谈判一项贸易协定,两国政府官员已经举行了25轮会谈。
周三,也就是鲁比奥抵达马来西亚的前一天,马来西亚总理安瓦尔·易卜拉欣呼吁东南亚官员在面对特朗普的威胁时,更紧密地协调外交和经济政策。
马来西亚总理安瓦尔·易卜拉欣周三表示,贸易限制已成为 “地缘政治竞争的利器”。
马来西亚总理安瓦尔·易卜拉欣周三表示,贸易限制已成为 “地缘政治竞争的利器”。 Hasnoor Hussain/Reuters
“关税、出口限制和投资壁垒现在已成为地缘政治竞争的利器,”他在东南亚外长会议的开幕致辞中表示。“这不是转瞬即逝的风暴。这是我们这个时代的新天气。”
中国最高外交政策官员王毅预计将出席本周的闭门会议,毫无疑问,他将把中国宣传为一个可靠的贸易伙伴,与美国形成鲜明对比。
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特朗普时而对中国的专制领导人习近平赞誉有加,时而批评中国的贸易行为不公平。中国一直是特朗普今年1月上任后不久发动的贸易战的主要目标。
然而,特朗普并没有与美国的合作伙伴密切合作,在贸易问题上结成反对中国的统一战线,而是对其中的许多国家发起了广泛的攻击。
“美国打算利用这些谈判向各国施压,要求它们减少与中国的贸易和投资关系,”新加坡尤索夫伊沙研究所访问高级研究员、前美国贸易谈判代表斯蒂芬·奥尔森说。“这将不可避免地影响到美中讨论,显然会使第三国与中国的关系复杂化。”
许多国家与中国的贸易往来超过与美国的贸易往来,因此特朗普的施压行动可能会适得其反。还有一个“悬而未决的问题”,奥尔森说,“随着特朗普继续改变目标,拖延最后期限,各国是否会开始质疑试图谈判的意义?”
上海洋山港。中国最高外交政策官员王毅预计将于本周访问吉隆坡,他可能会宣传中国是比美国更可靠的贸易伙伴。
上海洋山港。中国最高外交政策官员王毅预计将于本周访问吉隆坡,他可能会宣传中国是比美国更可靠的贸易伙伴。 The New York Times
特朗普似乎在寻求与各国达成贸易协定,以便向美国公众展示自己的胜利,即使这些条款对美国的商业利益来说并不构成明显的胜利。
无论民主党还是共和党执政,美国一直在努力向亚洲国家展示对该地区的战略愿景,并致力于在经济、外交和军事方面制衡中国。特朗普针对日本和韩国等条约盟友的关税威胁进一步引发了人们对这一承诺的怀疑。
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今年3月,国防部长皮特·海格塞斯访问了美国的两个盟国菲律宾和日本,并重申了华盛顿对它们的支持。
然而,特朗普政府可能会试图放松拜登政府在该地区推动的一些军事举措。五角大楼正在审查拜登总统与澳大利亚和英国领导人达成的向澳大利亚提供核动力潜艇及相关技术的协议,该协议被称为AUKUS。五角大楼的一些官员对向盟国提供先进的美国武器系统存有疑虑。
鲁比奥来到亚洲是在他就任国务卿五个多月后,此前他访问了拉丁美洲、加勒比地区、欧洲和中东。
他本可以安排更长时间的亚洲行程,在更多国家停留,但本周初他留在了华盛顿,在白宫与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡会面。
一些美国外交政策顾问称,近几十年来,美国政府在中东冲突上花费了太多时间和资源,而在亚洲投入的时间和资源却不够。亚洲拥有世界上人口最多的国家和除美国之外最大的经济体。
亚洲安全问题分析师、前美国情报官员德里克·格罗斯曼7月3日在网上写道,鲁比奥对亚洲的短暂访问“再次引发了人们的担忧,即印太地区并不是首要战区”。

Zunaira Saieed自马来西亚吉隆坡、艾莎(Alexandra Stevenson)自印尼雅加达对本文有报道贡献。

黄安伟(Edward Wong)报道全球事务、美国外交政策和国务院新闻。

翻译:晋其角

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Deadly new Russian drone attack reported on Kyiv

10 July 2025 at 13:09
EPA Handout picture made available by the State Emergency Service shows Ukrainian emergency services working at the site of a drone strike in the Kyiv area, Ukraine, 09 July 2025EPA
Firefighters also battled fires sparked by explosions in the Kyiv region on Wednesday

Ukraine's capital Kyiv is again under a massive overnight Russian drone attack, local officials say, with at least eight people reported injured and fires burning across the city.

Authorities in Kyiv say drone wreckage has hit the roof of a residential building in the central Shevchenkivskyi district.

Footage on social media, as yet unverified by the BBC, shows explosions in the night sky, as air defence units begin repelling the attack. Ukraine's military has also warned of a threat of a ballistic missile attack.

Last night, Ukraine reported the biggest ever aerial attack from Russia, after 728 drones and 13 cruise or ballistic missiles struck cities around the country in multiple waves.

In the early hours of Thursday, morning Kyiv's military administration reported Russian drone strikes in six city districts.

"Residential buildings, vehicles, warehouses, office and non-residential buildings are burning," administration head Tymur Tkachenko said in a post on Telegram.

He urged city residents to shelter until the air raid siren was lifted.

Overnight, Ukraine's air force reported a threat of Russian drone attacks in a number of regions. It was not immediately clear whether there were any casualties outside Kyiv.

Russia's military has not commented on the reported latest attack.

In other developments:

  • Ukraine's emergency service DSNS said late on Wednesday that three people had been killed in a Russian air strike in the town of Kostiantynivka - close to the front line in eastern Ukraine
  • The US resumed sending some weapons to Ukraine, Reuters reported late on Wednesday, days after it halted shipments of some critical arms

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

Deadly new Russian drone attack reported on Kyiv

10 July 2025 at 13:09
EPA Handout picture made available by the State Emergency Service shows Ukrainian emergency services working at the site of a drone strike in the Kyiv area, Ukraine, 09 July 2025EPA
Firefighters also battled fires sparked by explosions in the Kyiv region on Wednesday

Ukraine's capital Kyiv is again under a massive overnight Russian drone attack, local officials say, with at least eight people reported injured and fires burning across the city.

Authorities in Kyiv say drone wreckage has hit the roof of a residential building in the central Shevchenkivskyi district.

Footage on social media, as yet unverified by the BBC, shows explosions in the night sky, as air defence units begin repelling the attack. Ukraine's military has also warned of a threat of a ballistic missile attack.

Last night, Ukraine reported the biggest ever aerial attack from Russia, after 728 drones and 13 cruise or ballistic missiles struck cities around the country in multiple waves.

In the early hours of Thursday, morning Kyiv's military administration reported Russian drone strikes in six city districts.

"Residential buildings, vehicles, warehouses, office and non-residential buildings are burning," administration head Tymur Tkachenko said in a post on Telegram.

He urged city residents to shelter until the air raid siren was lifted.

Overnight, Ukraine's air force reported a threat of Russian drone attacks in a number of regions. It was not immediately clear whether there were any casualties outside Kyiv.

Russia's military has not commented on the reported latest attack.

In other developments:

  • Ukraine's emergency service DSNS said late on Wednesday that three people had been killed in a Russian air strike in the town of Kostiantynivka - close to the front line in eastern Ukraine
  • The US resumed sending some weapons to Ukraine, Reuters reported late on Wednesday, days after it halted shipments of some critical arms

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

Chris Mason: Reform's momentum is making the political weather

10 July 2025 at 12:42
PA Media Reform UK leader Nigel Farage pictured laughingPA Media
Nigel Farage's party has seen four recent defections from the Tories, with Labour reshaping its approach in response

For the second time this week, Reform UK have announced a former Conservative cabinet minister has joined them.

The other day they said that former Welsh Secretary David Jones had signed up, back in January.

Two other former Tory MPs defected recently too – Anne Marie Morris and Ross Thomson.

Now it is Sir Jake Berry joining Nigel Farage's party.

A man knighted by Boris Johnson.

A man whose son counts Johnson as his godfather.

A man who used to be the chairman of the Conservative Party and who was a Tory minister in three different government departments.

And yet a man who now says this: "If you were deliberately trying to wreck the country, you'd be hard pressed to do a better job than the last two decades of Labour and Tory rule."

Read that sentence again and consider it was written by someone who was not just a Tory MP for 14 years but a senior one, occupying high office.

Extraordinary.

And this is probably not the end of it – both Reform and Conservative folk I speak to hint they expect there to be more to come.

Tories are trying to put the best gloss on it they can, saying Reform might be attracting former MPs – Sir Jake lost his seat at the last election – but they are losing current MPs.

The MP James McMurdock suspended himself from Reform at the weekend after a story in the Sunday Times about loans he took out under a Covid support scheme.

McMurdock has said he was compliant with the rules.

But the trend is clear: Conservatives of varying seniority are being lured across by Nigel Farage and are proud to say so when they make the leap.

PA Media Sir Jake BerryPA Media
Sir Jake Berry was appointed as the Conservative Party chairman by Liz Truss during her brief tenure as prime minister

Reform are particularly delighted that Sir Jake has not just defected but done so by going "studs in" on his former party, as one source put it.

"For us this is really crucial. If you want to join us you need to be really going for the other side when you do. Drawing a proper line in the sand," they added.

They regard Sir Jake's closeness to Boris Johnson as "dagger-in-the-heart stuff" for the Conservatives.

But perhaps the more interesting and consequential pivot in strategy we are currently witnessing is Labour's approach to Reform.

At the very highest level in government they are reshaping their approach: turning their attention away from their principal opponent of the last century and more, the Conservatives, and tilting instead towards Nigel Farage's party.

Again, extraordinary.

It tells you a lot about our contemporary politics that a party with Labour's history, sitting on top of a colossal Commons majority, is now shifting its focus to a party with just a handful of MPs.

Senior ministers take the rise of Reform incredibly seriously and are not dismissing them as a flash in the pan insurgency.

After all, Reform's lead in many opinion polls has proven to be sustained in recent months and was then garnished with their impressive performance in the English local elections in May and their win, on the same day, in the parliamentary by-election in Runcorn and Helsby in Cheshire.

If Labour folk then were still in need of the jolt of a wake-up call, that night provided it.

In their immediate response to Sir Jake's defection, Labour are pointing to Reform recruiting Liz Truss's party chairman and so are inheriting, they claim, her "reckless economics".

But they know the challenge of taking on and, they hope, defeating Reform, will be work of years of slog and will have to be grounded in proving they can deliver in government – not easy, as their first year in office has so often proven.

Not for the first time in recent months, Reform UK have momentum and are making the political weather.

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Ban some foreigners from sickness benefits, Tories urge

10 July 2025 at 11:11
Getty Images Kemi Badenoch, leader of the Conservatives, shown speaking at a business conference in June Getty Images

Kemi Badenoch will call for foreign nationals to be barred from claiming disability and sickness benefits, as she sets out plans for tighter curbs on welfare.

In a speech on Thursday, the Tory leader will describe Britain's benefits bill as a "ticking time bomb" that could "collapse the economy".

It comes after the party outlined some of its own proposals to reduce spending, after Labour largely gutted its own plan for benefits cuts after a backbench revolt.

Legislation to bring in remaining government cuts to sickness benefits was approved by MPs on Wednesday evening.

But other proposals, including changes to the eligibility criteria for disability benefits, have effectively been put on hold.

The government announced plans to shrink welfare spending in March, warning the working-age welfare bill was set to rise by nearly £30bn by 2030 and reforms to the system were required to ensure it remained sustainable.

It wanted to make it harder to claim personal independence payment (Pip), the main disability benefit in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, and make health-related top-ups for universal credit less generous.

But ministers significantly watered down the cuts earlier this month after a huge rebellion from Labour MPs, all but wiping out savings estimated to be worth £5bn a year by the end of the decade.

Plans to freeze the higher rate of universal credit for existing health-related claimants have been reversed, whilst all changes to the Pip system have been parked pending a government review into the assessment regime.

In her speech on Thursday, Badenoch will accuse Labour of being "beholden to left-wing MPs" and "turning a blind eye" to rising benefit costs.

She will also seek to create a dividing line with Reform UK over the two-child benefit cap, which Nigel Farage's party has pledged to scrap, branding him "Jeremy Corbyn with a pint and a cigarette".

"On welfare he shows his true colours - promising unaffordable giveaways with no plan to fix the system," she is expected to add.

A Labour spokesperson said "The Conservatives had 14 years to reform welfare - instead, they left the country with a broken system that holds people back and fails to support the most vulnerable."

The party also warned that the Conservative proposal could see disabled British nationals living abroad being denied support if other countries decided to take a similar approach.

Tory welfare proposals

The Conservatives have not backed the government's legislation to deliver the changes, arguing its proposals do not go far enough.

They have set out some plans of their own to shrink welfare spending in the form of amendments to the government's plans, which were defeated on Wednesday.

These include limiting access to Pips and the health-related part of universal credit to those with "less severe" mental health conditions, and preventing claimants from receiving payments without a face-to-face assessment.

They also say both benefits should only be paid to British citizens, with exceptions for those covered by international agreements, such as citizens from EU countries who have acquired settled status in the UK.

At the moment, foreign nationals gain access to the welfare system when they are granted indefinite leave to remain or refugee status. Applicants for Pip generally need to have lived in Britain for at least two of the last three years.

Asylum seekers are not allowed to apply for benefits, although they have access to taxpayer-funded accommodation and separate financial support.

Conservative shadow minister Neil O'Brien has said he has obtained figures under freedom of information laws showing universal credit payments to households containing at least one foreign national stood at £941m a month as of March.

But working out the exact scale of payments to non-UK nationals specifically is complicated, because the Department for Work and Pensions does not provide a breakdown of claimants by immigration status and nationality.

However, the department is due to publish the first such breakdown next week, and has committed to updates every three months thereafter.

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Joe Locke set for West End after shooting Heartstopper movie

10 July 2025 at 07:09
BBC Joe Locke pictured at BBC Radio 1 in September 2024BBC
Locke said he enjoyed playing characters who had "a bit of a bite, a bit of a grey area"

Heartstopper star Joe Locke is to make his West End debut this autumn, in a play about two young men who bond while working night shifts at a warehouse in a rural US town.

Locke is currently filming the forthcoming Heartstopper movie after appearing in three series of the hit Netflix show about two classmates who fall in love, but will take on his new stage role later this year.

The 21-year-old will star in Clarkston, which follows two men in their twenties from opposite ends of the US who meet while working at Costco.

Locke told BBC News he was "so excited" for his West End debut, adding that his new role matched his desire to play "flawed characters... who have a bit of bite".

Clarkston is written by Samuel D Hunter, who is best known for his 2012 play The Whale, which later won Brendan Fraser an Oscar when made into a film.

Producers have not yet announced the venue or run dates for the British production, but told the BBC it would open in a West End theatre in the autumn.

Set in Clarkston, Washington, the play opens with a Costco employee named Chris working night shifts when he meets new hire Jake, a young gay man originally from Connecticut.

Jake has Huntington's disease, a degenerative neurological condition that causes involuntary movements. He ended up in Clarkston by accident after finding himself no longer able to drive during a road trip west.

"He's this city boy in a small place," explained Locke. "Jake has got so many layers to him that really unravel in the play. A lot of the themes are to do with class and the different experiences of the characters."

Chris, meanwhile, struggles with the strained relationship he has with his mother, who is a drug addict.

Locke, who is used to portraying young men grappling with their identity, explained: "I really enjoy characters that have something to them, a bit of bite, a bit of a grey area.

"Everyone is flawed in some ways. And I've been lucky enough in my career so far to play a few flawed characters, and Jake is no different to that. And that's the fun bit, the meaty bit, getting to know these characters - they're good and they're bad."

Hunter noted the play "is fundamentally about friendship and platonic male love, which is something that I feel like we don't see a lot of on stage and screen".

Locke agreed: "Yeah, one of my favourite things about this play is there's a scene where these characters almost build on their platonic relationship and get to a romantic level, and they realise that no, the platonic relationship is what's important, and I think that's really beautiful."

Getty Images Brendan Fraser and Samuel D. Hunter attend the photocall for "The Whale" at the 79th Venice International Film Festival on September 04, 2022 in Venice, ItalyGetty Images
Samuel D Hunter (right) also wrote The Whale, the film adaptation of which won Brendan Fraser an Oscar

Clarkston, which has previously been performed alongside another of Hunter's plays, Lewiston, received positive reviews from critics when it was staged in the US.

"You feel like you're eavesdropping on intensely private moments of people you don't always like but come to deeply understand," said The Hollywood Reporter's Frank Scheck of a 2018 production.

"Toward the end, there's an encounter between Chris and his mother that is as shattering and gut-wrenching a scene as you'll ever see on stage. But the play ends on a sweet, hopeful note that sends you out of the theatre smiling."

Writing about a different production in 2024, Charles McNulty of the LA Times said: "Clarkston hints that some of our most instructive relationships may be the most transitory. That's one of the beautiful discoveries in Hunter's small, absorbing and ultimately uplifting play."

Anybody who has worked night shifts may relate to the idea that the early hours are a time when people often open up to each other and have have their deepest conversations.

Hunter suggests such an atmosphere results in a "more delicate, more intimate" backdrop.

"I had an experience working in a Walmart when I was a teenager," he recalled, "and I found that places like the break room were so intimate and vulnerable, you're in this very sterilised space so I think the need for human connection is made all the greater."

Netflix Kit Connor and Joe Locke in HeartstopperNetflix
Locke, pictured with Heartstopper co-star Kit Connor, said the forthcoming film will be "a really nice closing chapter"

Hunter had the idea of writing the play when visiting his home town of Moscow Idaho, about 30 miles from Clarkson, and became interested in "the idea that the American West is still kind of young", following the Louisiana Purchase in the early 19th Century.

"The markers of that history are still there," noted Hunter, "but they are right next to things like Costcos and gas stations and mini-malls.

"So it just got me interested in the experiment of the American West and the colonial past, and what that means in 2025."

The new production will be directed by Jack Serio, who has previously directed another of Hunter's plays, Grangeville, with Ruaridh Mollica and Sophie Melville cast in the other two lead roles as Chris and his mother.

Locke has previously appeared on stage at London's Donmar Warehouse, and in a Broadway production of Sweeney Todd.

The actor said being a theatre actor "was the thing I wanted more than anything" when growing up.

"I'm from the Isle of Man," he explained, "and my birthday present every year was a trip to London with my mum to watch a few shows, so it's very full circle to bring my mum to my press night to my West End debut, it's going to be very exciting."

Locke has starred in three seasons of Neflix's Heartstopper since its launch in 2022. The show followed two teenage boys, Charlie and Nick, who fall for each other at secondary school, and their circle of friends. Locke spoke to BBC News while on set, shooting the film adaptation.

"It's going great, we're almost two thirds of the way through shooting now, and everything, touch wood, is going well," he said.

"We're having a great time doing it, it's a really nice closing chapter of the story."

The Papers: F1's Horner 'shunted out' and 'work doesn't pay'

10 July 2025 at 12:07

The front page of Thursday's Metro, saying "Geri's F1 husband shunted out".
Christian Horner's removal as Red Bull's F1 team principal leads several of Thursday's front pages. The Metro says the racing boss, husband of Spice Girl Geri, was "shunted out" 17 months after a female employee accused him of coercive, controlling behaviour. He was twice cleared of these claims, which he has strongly denied, but the fallout has been "blamed for the team's decline", the paper reports. Red Bull has won only two races this season.
"Red Bull gives you the boot" is the headline on the front page of Thursday's Daily Star.
The Daily Star references the energy's drink's slogan in its own headline on the Horner saga: "Red Bull gives you the boot." It adds that wife Geri has "stood by" her husband.
"Proof work doesn't pay under Labour" is the headline for the Daily Mail.
The Daily Mail's front page pictures the "humiliated" Geri and Christian Horner, but its lead story is based on fresh analysis suggesting "work doesn't pay under Labour". The Centre for Social Justice think tank has warned that sickness benefits will soon be worth "more than a minimum wage job", the paper reports. This "shocking finding" comes after Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer failed to secure benefits cuts earlier this month, it adds.
"Benefits pay more than being in work" is the headline on the Daily Telegraph's Thursday front page.
The Daily Telegraph also covers the think tank's benefits analysis, saying someone on "full handouts" will receive £2,500 more a year than a minimum wage worker. It also covers a separate report from a group representing the beer industry, which warns one pub a day will close after what the paper calls Labour's "tax raids". Elsewhere, actor Hugh Grant is pictured talking to Queen Camilla at Wimbledon.
The front page of the i Paper for 10 July.
The i Paper has a different story about Labour's economic policy. It says a minister has told the paper that the government will introduce new taxes that "target wealthier people" to appease restless backbench MPs. It will not call these measures a wealth tax in public, but it will do so privately, the paper reports.
"A kick in the Gauls" is the Sun's headline for Thursday.
On the third day of French President Emmanuel Macron's state visit to the UK, the Sun's headline is "A kick in the Gauls". It says a deal on returning migrants who crossed the Channel in small boats is expected to be announced on Thursday, during a bilateral summit. But the paper highlights criticism of the deal, which it says will deport "just 50 migrants a week". The Tories have said this arrangement is "no deterrent at all", the paper says, as "40,000 are arriving annually". Home Office figures say more than 21,000 migrants have crossed the Channel in small boats this year so far.
"50 migrants a week will be sent back to France" is the Times front page for Thursday.
The Times also leads on the UK-France asylum deal, which it says will deport one in 17 people who arrive via the Channel, but is intended to expand at a later date. A UK government source has told the paper the scheme will be "scaled up" after a pilot period.
The front page of the Guardian for 10 July.
Meanwhile, the Guardian reports that the Anglo-French migration deal "hangs in the balance" with negotiators still "deadlocked" over the details. Aides on both sides said there were "several significant hurdles" to overcome on Wednesday night. Sir Keir had hoped to unveil an agreement as the "key prize" of Macron's three-day visit at the bilateral summit on Thursday, the paper says.
"US tech boom propels AI chipmaker Nvidia to become first $4th company" reads the main headline on the front page of the FT for Thursday 10 July 2025.
The departure of X chief executive Linda Yaccarino is also covered in several newspapers. The Financial Times features a picture of Ms Yaccarino, who was hired to run the social media site by billionaire owner Elon Musk two years ago. She was tasked with "luring back advertisers" after Mr Musk controversially relaxed moderation on the platform, the FT reports. Its lead story is on AI chipmaker Nvidia, which has become the first $4tn (£2.94tn) company after a "rapid rebound for Wall Street technology stocks".
Front page of the Star for 10 July
The Daily Express says there has been "fury" at a potential doctors' strike, with the prime minister branded as "weak". Resident doctors, previously known as junior doctors, in England have said they will strike for five days from 25 July after voting in favour of fresh action over pay if the government does not agree to negotiate their pay instead. The paper also features a picture of the Queen at Wimbledon on its front page - here shaking hands with Novak Djokovic.
Front page of the Mirror for 10 July
The Mirror leads on the "astonishing bravery" of the children targeted by Southport killer Axel Rudakubana, after an inquiry into the attacks revealed "incredible tales of bravery" on Wednesday.
PA Media Christian Horner wears Red Bull jacket and sunglassesPA Media
Christian Horner

The Times leads on the possible new immigration deal between Britain and France ahead of today's summit in London. The paper says 50 migrants a week will be sent back to France from the end of August, as part of a pilot scheme - and, reportedly, the UK would accept the same number of asylum seekers in return, if they have family connections in Britain. The paper points out that if crossings continue at the same rate the number sent to France would equate to one in 17 of all small-boat migrants.

The Daily Telegraph says the government is hoping the number of returns will grow significantly, if the trial is successful.

The Guardian however says the deal "hangs in the balance" - with negotiators haggling over how much the UK should pay towards policing the crossings. Aides from both countries tell the paper that other significant hurdles include potential legal challenges in France, and opposition from other European countries. A Downing Street spokesperson is quoted saying the prime minister hopes to make "concrete progress" on a range of issues.

The I Paper says Labour will target the rich with its new tax plans, but won't publicly call it a "wealth tax". The paper quotes an unnamed minister saying "we'll end up doing a few things that target wealthier people".

The Daily Express leads on resident doctors announcing a five-day strike over pay - saying it puts around 200,000 hospital appointments at risk of being cancelled. The paper's leader column calls the prime minister weak and says it's only a matter of time before Downing Street "waves the white flag".

The Daily Mail is among a number of papers to highlight a report by the right-leaning think tank, the Centre for Social Justice - which forecasts that full sickness benefits will soon be worth £2,500 a year more than the minimum wage. "Proof Work Doesn't Pay Under Labour" is the Mail's headline.

A picture of the former Red Bull Racing Formula One boss, Christian Horner, with his head in his hands covers the front of The Daily Star. He was fired yesterday after 20 years in the role. Its headline reads "Red Bull gives you the boot".

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舞剧《牡丹亭》:文学经典的新想象

(本文首发于南方人物周刊)

南方人物周刊特约撰稿 蔡浩杰

责任编辑:杨静茹

(广州大剧院/图)

2025年4月底,舞剧《牡丹亭》开启巡演。“情不知所起,一往而深”,汤显祖的文学经典焕发出新的生命力。该剧由青年舞蹈艺术家黎星和编导黄佳园联合执导,剧作家罗怀臻担任编剧,全篇分为“梦卷”与“画卷”两部分,时长近三小时,角色凝练为杜丽娘、柳梦梅、春香、花神、陈最良、判官等六个核心人物,讲述了杜丽娘与柳梦梅超越生死的爱情故事。

开场前15分钟,丫鬟春香上台暖场,或坐或卧,时而躺在中央,时而在舞台边荡着双腿,她眼神清澈,笑语盈盈,悲喜拉开帷幕。

在传统戏曲舞台上,私塾先生陈最良总是刻板迂腐的,到了舞剧《牡丹亭》中,陈最良除了教学尽责之外,他愿陪着春香闹,会拉柳梦梅一把,似乎关照起每个角色的心情,甚至在闹学之后,他还悄悄捡起地上的鲜花

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校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

东北流动的人口,为什么偏爱沈阳?

老工业基地的蜕变,在升级沈阳工业实力的同时,也带动了信息服务业、科技服务业、金融业等生产性服务业向专业化和价值链高端延伸。

核心地段集聚的优质公共资源与深入城市毛细血管的便民网络,共同构成了沈阳“有生活”的内核。

南方周末研究员 郑颖琦 南方周末实习生 阚泽宇

责任编辑:戴春晨

让我们将目光投向东北。曾经,东北是中国工业体系最耀眼的明珠,“共和国工业长子”的称谓昭示着这片土地的领先。后来,全球化的浪潮滚滚向前,珠三角地区、上海浦东和江浙地区凭借着改革开放的东风先后崛起,东北的辉煌渐渐被沿海地区取代。

对外经济贸易大学教授刘岩曾撰文称,在从计划经济向市场经济过渡的伟大叙事中,东北又以全国最高的城市和工业人口比重扮演了最典型的悲情角色,被公认为是深受旧体制束缚而转型艰难的“老工业基地”。

2023年年末,由景区退票事件引爆的热搜接连不断,让哈尔滨这座不算热门的旅游城市迎来盛大的流量加冕。在互联网传播的作用下,哈尔滨连同鹤岗、漠河等东北城市一起,重新回归人们的视野。

东北近年留给大众的印象一度是经济发展掉队、人口不断外流,垂垂老矣。然而近两年,从经济、人口、文旅热度等维度观测,东北三省似乎有恢复活力的迹象。

在东北的复苏中,表现最优秀的并非“顶流”哈尔滨,而是另一座副省级城市。在南方周末研究院连续五年的“理想之城”的评估中,沈阳、大连、长春、哈尔滨,正在用稳步上升的排名,为东北争取一张冲击“理想之城第六极”的入场券。这其中,沈阳在《57城理想之城榜2024》中排名第14,位列东北三省之首。

沈阳,如今发生了什么变化?

沈阳故宫博物院与城市天际线交相辉映。(视觉中国 / 图)

老工业基地的新使命

自2011年起,东北三省的常住人口呈现长期下跌、偶有回流的态势。过去十年间,东北三省的人口规模骤降1100万余人。这相当于东北人口第一城哈尔滨的规模。

东北地区率先出现人口负增长,是人口结构和经济变迁的叠加影响。这个时间节点,正好是我国宣布经济结构从增量扩能为主转向调整存量、做优增量并举的深度调整。

换句话说,东北经济发展的黄金十年结束了。

但将观察的视角缩小,沈阳的情况有所不同。

在几乎整个东北地区青年劳动力不断流失的情况下,沈阳却连年保持常住人口上涨。放眼东北地区,沈阳的增量最高。再考虑上低生育率、深度老龄化的影响,其常住人口增长的含金量就更大了,即人口的增长更多源于外来人口的流入。

《中国人口普查年鉴-2020》显示,黑龙江和吉林往辽宁流动的趋势明显。在现住地为辽宁的人口中,五年前常住地为黑龙江和吉林的人口数量占据前二,其次是内蒙古。

 

也就是说,在流出东北与留在本地之间,东北人还有一个“离家近、有钱赚、有生活”的“超择优点”——沈阳。

在“有钱赚”方面,沈阳2023年居民人均可支配收入与大连基本持平,比哈尔滨、长春均高出近1万元。而沈阳更大的优势在于,其房租、房价收入比是“东北F4”中最低的。实际上,沈阳的安居指数在东北之外也极具竞争力,位列理想之城57座样本城市的第11。

低房价主要源于房地产黄金时期的经济发展“失速”,而当下相对可观的收入,则源于近年的产业转型升级。

2022年起,沈阳打破多年僵局,GDP增速持续三年跑赢全国。

与此同时,沈阳第三产业占比逐年走高。2015年,沈阳三次产业结构(即第一、二、三产业增加值占国内生产总值比重)为4.7∶48.1∶47.2,到了2024年,这一数值变成3.6∶35.1∶61.3。

同期,我国三次产业结构分别为9∶40.5∶50.5和6.8∶36.5∶56.7。可以看到,沈阳的第三产业逐渐成为其经济增长的“强引擎”。

产业结构变化的背后,是老工业基地正在践行的新使命——新时代全国先进制造业基地。更具体地说,生产性服务业的兴起,支撑了第三产业比重的扩大。

近年来,沈阳通过上“云”、用“数”、赋“智”,推进制造业企业全生命周期实施数字化、网络化、智能化改造,着力变“工业锈带”为“智造走廊”。

这一改造场景出现在装备制造、石油化工、新能源汽车、生物医药、机器人等沈阳工业领域的重点产业中。截至2025年5月底,沈阳获批智能工厂和数字化车间分别为68个和103个。

上述依托传统优势产业基础拓展新兴产业的转型模式,是沈阳目前发展新质生产力的主要路径。除此之外,沈阳依托当地的高水平研究型大学和科研院所,重点布局半导体、航空航天等领域,发展完全新兴产业。

老工业基地的蜕变,在升级沈阳工业实力的同时,也带动了信息服务业、科技服务业、金融业等生产性服务业向专业化和价值链高端延伸。

在生活性服务业方面,沈阳持续运用新业态、新模式、新技术、新场景,创造出更多居民消费新需求。此外,更值得一提的是沈阳的文旅产业。

2024年,沈阳全市接待游客首次突破2亿人次,居东北各城之首。“赏冰乐雪”之外,通过数字化、场景化手段“活化”沈阳故宫、1905文化创意园等丰富的历史文化遗产、工业遗产和自然资源,成为吸引年轻游客的特色。

旧工业厂房的新形态

提到沈阳的文化底色,你会想到什么?

承载7200年文明史、2300年建城史和400年都城史的厚重历史文脉,刻入城市基因的英雄叙事,极具感染力、亲和力的“草根喜剧”,象征着东北文艺复兴的《钢的琴》《漫长的季节》里工业辉煌与“下岗潮”形成鲜明对照的工业文明,都可能成为答案。

如今,工业遗存与公共空间的融合,正在塑造沈阳当下的文化根基。

无数工业遗产镶嵌在广袤的黑土地上,成为沈阳工业转型的亲历者和见证者。而工业遗产的活化利用,让它们不再满载生产任务,日夜轰鸣作响、连轴运转,而是以博物馆、图书馆、文创空间、影剧院等文化空间的形态实现其功能和象征意义的蜕变——既是承载城市记忆的重要容器,也是沈阳人精神食粮的纳藏点。

例如,由沈阳铸造厂厂房改建而成的我国首个工业博物馆,收藏着多项“工业之最”;原沈阳重型机械厂的二金车间,则蜕变为沈阳首个由工业遗存改造成的文创园——1905文化创意园;由沈阳电缆厂工人的文化阵地改建成的沈阳工人会堂,曾因“刘老根大舞台”焕新出彩,如今承接各类会议、文艺演出及庆祝活动。

中国工业博物馆铁西馆。(视觉中国 / 图)

以上从工业遗存到博物馆、文创空间、影剧院的转变,往往由政府部门牵头,规模也较大。而在旧厂房往图书空间的延伸上,除了公共图书馆的批量改造,还能发现不少独立书店主理人探索的身影。

近年来,多座城市聚力打造“15分钟阅读圈”,沈阳也充分运用工业遗存,将多个废弃厂房改造为城市书房,包括莫子山城市书房、陵东书屋等。

而在沈阳不少的独立书店中,同样可以窥见锅炉房、印刷厂等工业厂房的影子。上世纪留存的工业遗产,正在新思路、新技术、新形式的包装下,呈现别具一格的新形态。

阅读新空间的持续涌现,滋养着沈阳人充满“文气”的内里。

中国书刊发行业协会发布的《2019-2020中国实体书店产业报告》显示,2019年沈阳实体书店数量位居全国第三。根据《57城理想之城榜2024》,沈阳的公共图书馆人均藏书量居东北四城之首,位列57城第10。

实际上,“15分钟阅读圈”只是沈阳提升居民生活幸福感的微小切面。

自2021年入选全国首批城市一刻钟便民生活圈试点地区后,沈阳正在通过数千个“生活圈新建、改造项目”,为居民勾勒新的生活图景:大到保健养生、社区养老、幼儿托管,小到吃饭、买菜、看书,居民以社区为中心步行约15分钟即可实现。

与此同时,作为辽宁的政治、经济、文化中心和交通枢纽,沈阳拥有丰富的医疗卫生资源、优质的高等教育体系和便捷的交通网络。

核心地段集聚的优质公共资源与深入城市毛细血管的便民网络,共同构成了沈阳“有生活”的内核。在理想之城榜的市民待遇、公共空间供给维度,沈阳的排名均处于57城前列。

“锈带复兴”之困

城市或区域的衰退,往往是产业低迷、人口流失和资产价格下跌三者之间的恶性循环。从美国五大湖地区、德国鲁尔区、伦敦工业区等“铁锈地带”的复兴实践来看,这一过程通常会持续很久。

对照其他国家“锈带复兴”的路径,共性经验有两个。一是通过科技创新驱动产业转型升级,促使第二产业对经济增长的贡献率不断下降,第三产业对经济增长的贡献率不断走高,从而利用服务业的壮大催生新的庞大的就业需求。但是,这并非意味着抛弃制造业,而是因地制宜地探寻二三产业的最优配比。

二是培育优质劳动力以支撑产业发展。这其中包括提升原有劳动力技能水平,打造具有活力的就业市场吸引外来人才,以及构建生育友好型社会提高人口自然增长率等,最终目标是实现人口的高质量发展,即人口规模与人口质量的协同发展。

这也折射出沈阳振兴之路亟待解决的几大问题。

首先是产业提质方面。沈阳虽然在传统产业转型升级和战略性新兴产业培育上已初见成效,但工业发展仍未挣脱路径依赖,距离新产业形成经济规模并对传统产业形成较大规模替代的目标仍有差距。

2024年,沈阳规模以上高技术制造业(包括医药制造业,航空、航天器及设备制造业等)增加值占规模以上工业增加值的比重为10.2%,而工业第一城深圳的该项数值为58.2%。

最为关键的是,沈阳民营企业规模和竞争力较之东南沿海地区差距仍存,且龙头民营企业集中在传统产业。

上奇产业通统计的2024年新增民营企业数量显示,沈阳2024年新增43887家民营企业,在全国城市中排名第37,该数量是排位第1的广州的1/8。而中华全国工商业联合会发布的《2024中国民营企业500强》榜单中,沈阳仅禾丰食品股份有限公司1家民营企业上榜。

民营经济发展缺乏活力,导致沈阳产业发展的灵活性和市场敏感度不足,难以在布局新兴产业时抢占先机。

其次是人口结构的失衡。《中国统计年鉴2024》的数据显示,辽宁是全国老龄化程度最高的省份,已经步入重度老龄化社会,沈阳也不例外。与此同时,在各城大力向青年人才抛出橄榄枝的“混战”中,沈阳也不具优势。尽管沈阳常住人口保持正增长态势,但增量有限,未能减弱东北三省人口持续外流的趋势。

产业与人口之外,区域发展不均衡也是沈阳需要重视的问题。这其中既包括沈阳市辖区内县域经济过于薄弱所致的区域内发展失衡,也包括更大范围的区域经济失衡——沈阳与沈阳现代化都市圈内的城市尚未形成功能互补的分工模式。

毕竟,无论是中心地理论、生长极理论还是核心-边缘理论,均指向城市并非孤立存在的空间形态,而是与其所在区域共生共荣的辩证关系。

沈阳要更加加把劲了。


参考资料:

[1] 东北三省,十年少了一个“哈尔滨”.刘旭强.澎湃新闻,2025-04-20

[2] 推动东北全面振兴取得新突破[N].经济日报,2025-06-27(011)

[3] 美国“锈带复兴”之鉴.夏文辉.北京青年报,2016-04-03

[4] 曲美潼.论《漫长的季节》对东北叙事模式的继承与突围[J].当代电视,2023(09)

校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

Kyiv facing massive Russian attack, Ukraine says

10 July 2025 at 09:49
EPA Handout picture made available by the State Emergency Service shows Ukrainian emergency services working at the site of a drone strike in the Kyiv area, Ukraine, 09 July 2025EPA
Firefighters also battled fires sparked by explosions in the Kyiv region on Wednesday

Ukraine's capital Kyiv is again under a massive overnight Russian drone attack, local officials say, with at least eight people reported injured and fires burning across the city.

Authorities in Kyiv say drone wreckage has hit the roof of a residential building in the central Shevchenkivskyi district.

Footage on social media, as yet unverified by the BBC, shows explosions in the night sky, as air defence units begin repelling the attack. Ukraine's military has also warned of a threat of a ballistic missile attack.

Last night, Ukraine reported the biggest ever aerial attack from Russia, after 728 drones and 13 cruise or ballistic missiles struck cities around the country in multiple waves.

In the early hours of Thursday, morning Kyiv's military administration reported Russian drone strikes in six city districts.

"Residential buildings, vehicles, warehouses, office and non-residential buildings are burning," administration head Tymur Tkachenko said in a post on Telegram.

He urged city residents to shelter until the air raid siren was lifted.

Overnight, Ukraine's air force reported a threat of Russian drone attacks in a number of regions. It was not immediately clear whether there were any casualties outside Kyiv.

Russia's military has not commented on the reported latest attack.

In other developments:

  • Ukraine's emergency service DSNS said late on Wednesday that three people had been killed in a Russian air strike in the town of Kostiantynivka - close to the front line in eastern Ukraine
  • The US resumed sending some weapons to Ukraine, Reuters reported late on Wednesday, days after it halted shipments of some critical arms

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

27 Workers Make Improbable Escape from Collapsed L.A. Tunnel

10 July 2025 at 14:59
They climbed over a mound of loose soil and emerged at the tunnel’s only entrance five miles away, officials said.

© Patrick T. Fallon/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The Los Angeles Fire Department rescued dozens of workers trapped inside an industrial tunnel that collapsed on Wednesday.

谁更有可能被人工智能取代:新手还是资深员工?

10 July 2025 at 12:08

简繁中文
纽约时报 出版语言
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谁更有可能被人工智能取代:新手还是资深员工?

NOAM SCHEIBER
Drew Shannon
亚马逊首席执行官安迪·雅西上个月写道,他预计公司未来几年使用人工智能将“减少我们的总劳动力”,这印证了许多员工对人工智能将取代他们的担忧。两周后,微软宣布裁员约9000人,约占其员工总数的4%,这种担忧进一步加剧。
人工智能即将取代白领工作者是不争的事实。但究竟是哪类呢?雅西的此番表态出现在人们围绕这个问题展开辩论之际。
一些专家认为,人工智能最有可能影响到新手员工,因为他们的工作通常是最简单的,因此最容易实现自动化。人工智能公司Anthropic的首席执行官达里奥·阿莫代伊最近告诉《Axios,人工智能技术可能会在五年内取代半数初级白领职位。最近毕业的大学生(美国官方统计机构对于这个表述的定义是:年龄在22至27岁之间、拥有学士学位或更高学历的人——译注)失业率的上升令这种担忧加剧,即便这并不能证明人工智能是导致他们在就业市场上挣扎的原因。
但人工智能行业的其他领导者却持相反的观点,他们认为年轻的员工可能会从人工智能中受益,而资深员工最终将更容易受到伤害。OpenAI首席运营官布拉德·莱特卡普6月底在《纽约时报》的一次活动上接受采访时表示,这项技术可能会给“我认为资历较深、习惯于按某种固定方式和流程工作的员工”带来麻烦。
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这个问题的最终答案将产生深远的影响。如果初级岗位风险更大,可能需要重新思考大学的教育方式,甚至是大学本身的价值。如果年龄较大的员工面临的风险最大,随着大规模裁员成为劳动力市场的一个持续特征,这可能会导致经济甚至政治动荡。
戴维·弗隆是研究公司高德纳的副总裁,负责该公司针对企业首席执行官的调查项目,他曾经思考过人工智能取代资深员工的后果。
“那些人今后怎么办?他们的生活来源在哪里?这会对税收产生什么影响?”他说。“我想各国政府正在考虑这个问题。”
人工智能是否能造就更优秀的管理者?
对于哪一方更有可能被人工智能取代,经济学家和其他研究人工智能的专家往往会得出不同的结论。
深入研究迄今为止最广泛应用人工智能的领域,往往会给初级员工描绘出一幅可怕的画面。薪资处理公司ADP的数据显示,在计算机相关领域,工龄不足两年者的就业率在2023年达到顶峰,此后下降了约20%至25%。越来越依赖人工智能的客户服务代表当中也存在类似的模式。
对这些数据进行了分析的斯坦福大学研究员陈汝宇(音)指出,在同一时期,在这些行业工作两年或两年以上者的就业率有所增加。
其他的研究也指出了类似的趋势,虽然是以迂回的方式。2023年初,意大利暂时禁止了ChatGPT,因为当地的软件开发人员依靠ChatGPT帮忙写代码。加州大学欧文分校和查普曼大学的一组研究人员将意大利程序员的生产力变化与没有禁止该软件的法国和葡萄牙的程序员的生产力变化进行了比较,以便研究ChatGPT的影响。
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虽然这项研究没有关注失业问题,但它确实发现,该人工智能工具对中级员工的工作改变比对初级员工更加有利。根据研究人员的说法,初级程序员使用人工智能只是为了更快完成工作;而经验丰富的程序员则往往用它来更广泛地造福团队。例如,人工智能帮助中级程序员审查其他程序员的工作并提出改进建议,还能让他们参与自己不熟悉的计算机语言项目。
该论文的作者之一萨拉·巴纳说:“当人们真的很擅长某件事时,他们最终做的是帮助别人,而不是做自己的项目。”她还说,人工智能本质上强化了这种倾向。巴纳说,这篇论文的结果表明,人工智能将促使公司雇佣更少的初级程序员(因为完成入门级任务所需的人数减少了),但会雇佣更多的中级程序员(因为人工智能放大了他们对整个团队的价值)。
另一方面,麻省理工学院研究人工智能在工作场所应用的经济学家丹妮尔·李(音)表示,在某些情况下,人工智能对高技能员工的影响可能大于初级员工。原因是,它实际上可以从传统上拥有这些宝贵技能的人类手中夺走这些技能。例如,你可能不再需要一个工程师来写代码,或者不再需要一个律师来写法律摘要。
“这种态势对资深从业者不利,”她说。“你因为技能的稀缺性而获得报酬,而人工智能使得技能脱离人体存在。”
李博士表示,人工智能对经验较少的员工来说也不一定是好事。但她推测,新近毕业的大学生当中失业率上升的原因是,雇主们认为,在人工智能时代,他们需要的劳动力总量将减少,而不仅仅是新手减少。整体招聘放缓可能对大学刚毕业者的冲击更大,因为他们一开始就没有工作。
罗伯特·普洛特金是一家专门从事知识产权业务的小型律师事务所的合伙人,他说,人工智能并没有影响他的事务所对律师助理等低技能员工的需求,这些员工负责按照要求整理提交给专利局的文件。不过他也表示,在生成式人工智能出现后,他的律所现在使用的合同律师人数,包括一些拥有多年经验的合同律师人数,大约是几年前的一半。
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这些资历较深的律师为客户起草专利申请,然后普罗特金进行审核并提出修改意见。但在人工智能助手的帮助下,他通常可以更有效地起草申请,除非专利涉及他不熟悉的科学或技术领域。
“我已经可以非常高效地使用人工智能作为工具,帮助我起草申请,这减少了我们对合同律师的需求,”普洛特金说。
一些处于人工智能应用前沿的公司似乎也做了类似的考量,这些公司解雇了有经验的员工,而不是简单地减少招聘初级员工。自2022年以来,谷歌、Meta和亚马逊都进行了裁员。在最近一次宣布裁员的两个月前,微软解雇了6000名员工,其中许多是软件开发人员,而7月份的裁员包括许多中层管理人员。
新手的价值
吉尔·卢里亚是投资银行D.A.戴维森研究微软的股票分析师,他说,裁员的一个原因是,像微软和谷歌这样的公司在投资数十亿美元开发人工智能芯片和数据中心的同时,也在削减成本以支撑利润率。但另一个原因是,软件工程师无论资历深浅都容易被人工智能取代——包括那些拿着高薪却不愿接受这项技术的资深工程师。
微软“可以快速计算——看看谁在增加价值,谁的薪酬过高,谁的薪酬并不过高,谁适应得很好”,卢里亚说。“有些资深人士已经找到了如何利用人工智能的方法,也有些资深人士坚持认为人工智能不会写代码。”
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哈珀·里德是2389研究公司的首席执行官,该公司正在开发自主人工智能体,以帮助公司执行各种任务。他表示,更高的工资和不愿接受人工智能的结合可能会让经验丰富的程序员面临失业风险。 
“降低成本的方法不是解雇最廉价的员工,”里德说。“而是使用最便宜的员工,让他们创造昂贵员工的价值。”

Noam Scheiber是《纽约时报》记者,报道白领阶层,关注薪酬、人工智能、向下流动和歧视等议题。他从事新闻工作已有二十多年。

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