© Nic Antaya for The New York Times
© Cole Burston for The New York Times
© Maggie Shannon for The New York Times
当下的电影市场，正处于最为割裂的时期。
《哪吒2》的150亿+表现惊动了全世界，另一边当下的市场大盘却处于最为冰冷的时期，这种极致的割裂也是从未有过的。尤其是后春节档时期，相继经历了清明档倒退55%，工作日连续下探1000万+的绝境，更可怕的是接下来的五一档丝毫没有回暖的迹象。整个4月份的电影市场，已经处在了历史的低位。
遥想2023年的电影市场，犀牛娱乐最常用的论点便是市场退回到了7年前，去年显得更加严峻，常用的词汇便是市场倒退10年。此刻，内地电影市场再度下探，截至目前4月份累计票房刚刚突破11亿大关，预计将以近12亿体量收官，这意味着，中国电影市场，单月体量已经倒退了13年之多，回到2012年水准。
市场如此幅度的下沉，影院彻底被抛弃的现象，放眼过去十几年都是较为罕见的。纵观全年电影市场来看，4月、9月、11月历来都是年度的一个低谷时期，可即便如此，2025年4月份来到11亿+票房，显然是极为不正常的数据，已经不能简单用腰斩、膝斩来形容，属于一个超跌的状态。
去掉口罩时期的市场表现外，最近一次单月不足11亿体量要追溯到2012年11月，单月11亿基本属于2012年左右的水准。从列表可以清晰的看出，今年4月份表现已经比2012年4月还要低，比巅峰期的2017年有着明显的差距，较巅峰期下滑多达74%之多。
一个月票房11亿+，单日平均3000多万，这是非常可怕的数字，要知道2012年全国只有3200多家影院，如今早已来到了1.1万+的影院数量，两者的效率根本不可同日而语。影院数量翻了接近4倍，票价亦是大幅的提升，但最终票房依然不如13年前，这肯定出现了问题。
另外，今年4月份的冰冷，也是出现了各种见证历史的时刻，拿今年4月2日的票房来看，单日票房仅为1200多万，同样属于13年前的表现，也是今年单日票房最低的一天。更可怕的是，单日总场次34.2万，但总出票竟然仅有34.7万，这意味全国所有的影城，一个影厅平均只有一个人，意味着“全国人均包场”，也相当于大部分场次是没有人的。
一个人一个厅，如此恐怖的效率，意味着对于绝大部分影城来说，关门都要好过营业，处于一个严重的亏损模式。在《哪吒2》带来的强大赚钱效应之后，影城可能将面临长达几个月的亏损。此刻的电影市场，正经历着前所未有的寒冷，“人均包场”注定将载入史册。
继续拆解今年4月份市场，可以发现更加严峻的问题。哪怕数字如此寒冷，但单月票房冠军依然由《哪吒2》所霸占，要知道《哪吒2》是一部已经上映3个月的电影了，依然还得靠着它最后一丝热度来支撑着电影大盘，对于新片来说，这才是更加尴尬的。
当冯小刚新片《向阳花》顺利突破2亿大关之后，导演发朋友圈表示，《向阳花》成为了春节档之后首部票房突破2亿的电影，也是首部未亏损的电影，背后充满了无奈和唏嘘。偌大的内地电影市场，竟然连续2个月几乎没有市场的输出，身处原地踏步的节奏当中。
市场倒退13年、全国人均包场都是严重不正常的。在4月期间，其中4月18日，国家电影局、中央广播电视总台在北京启动“中国电影消费年”，“预计投入不少于10亿元观影优惠补贴，围绕重点档期支持电影消费季”。可当下面临的绝境，岂是10亿观影补贴能够解决的。
当下的整个电影行业，已经进入了一个恶性循环：越是冷档期，越是没有片子，于是市场也就越冷，于是越是没有片子，如此反复循环之后，当下的内地电影市场，仅剩下三个真正意义的档期了，即春节档、暑期档以及国庆档。全年分为了三个档期以及其他档期。
正如前面提到的恶性循环，当档期无人问津之后，三个档期受到的追捧只会越来越强，最终总体票房占比也越来越高，即强者愈强。而所谓的小档期将再也没有翻身的机会，清明档的惨败算是预期之内，更可怕的是，哪怕五天长假的五一档，都已经被边缘化，沦为了三大档期之外的“其他档期”了。
从今年五一档的片单就能看出，如今连五一档都被嫌弃了，处在了鄙视链的末端了，上不了饭桌了，毕竟真正的种子项目根本就不会考虑，其背后正是恶性循环所导致。就真正的好项目、大项目来说，三大档期成为了仅有的选择，也是盈利的保障。
行业也完全根据档期的梯队，对项目进行三六九等的排布，哪些能够上春节档、哪些上暑期档、国庆档，哪些上其他档期，哪些上普通周末，这是一套完整的链条，项目都被明码标价，根本没办法完成阶级跨越，只能处在自己的层级，这形成了一种无形的枷锁。
这种逐步稳固的阶级，其实是今年4月份电影市场不佳的幕后真正原因，换言之，清明档只能匹配这种级别的项目，因为优质项目不愿来，更小的项目进不来，进而导致了清明档低迷的表现。即将到来的五一档，这些项目基本属于中等体量级别，以它们的量级难以进驻春节档，甚至暑期档，最终获得了与之匹配的五一档。
久而久之，档期将形成阶级固化，这不利于档期的概念，优质的大片完全可以来到三大档期以外的节点，具备品质的黑马自然也能挑战三大档期，可游戏规则已经制定，接下来完成阶级挑战和跨越的机会只能越来越少。或许接下来，4月份倒退13年的现象还将持续发生。
在「高墙」之下。
如今家庭的功能和形态已经发生了变化，人们不再把家庭的存续视为全部的任务，而是越来越重视婚姻和生育对个人发展的影响了。
2025年4月25日，民政部官方网站公布的《2025年第一季度民政统计报告》显示，今年第一季度全国办理结婚登记的对数为181万，比去年同期有所减少；而离婚登记则达到了63万对，较去年同期有所增加。
与2024年第一季度的196.9万对结婚登记和57.3万对离婚登记相比，今年一季度的结婚登记减少了15.9万对，离婚登记则增加了5.7万对。
登记结婚数据逐渐走低，各级政府的催生（婚）政策越发密集。由多个层级的政府分散地决定出台的促进生育政策，人们通常将它们统称为催生政策。
继这些催生政策之后，各地的催婚政策也在不断出台。年轻人在想什么呢？为什么许多人仍不买账呢？
在一定程度上，催婚政策可以看作催生政策的一个组成部分。当然，从催生到催婚，是很自然的一个发展，因为在中国，通常情况下，结婚组成家庭是生育子女的前提。既然开始催生了，也就很难避免再向前走到催婚这一步。
更直接的一个原因可能是，目前的催生政策，大部分都着眼于催生“二孩”或“三孩”（见表1），但是实际上，有不少结婚的夫妇，“一孩”也不愿意生，对于这些人，出台催生政策也不大可能生二孩、三孩。
另一方面，国家卫健委的资料显示，自先后实施单独两孩政策、全面两孩政策、三孩政策以来，我国出生人口中二孩及以上占比已经提升到了55％以上。
因此要想催生出更多的孩子，首先要稳住一孩生育这个“基本盘”，即先得保证一孩家庭的数量有所增长或不下降，而一孩家庭数量的增长的前提是有更多人愿意结婚组建家庭。
在这个意义上，从催生走到催婚，或许是一种必然。
表1：2021年以来若干地方政府出台的催生政策
注一：本表只是一个不完全统计，而且各地出台的催生政策并不仅限于现金形式发放的生育奖励和育儿补贴，一般都还会在孕期服务、产假、孩子入托入学优待、妇女就业保障等方面规定相应的优惠政策，有的还附带了购房补贴政策。
注二：按月或按年发放育儿补贴的，除了湖北省武汉市东湖高新区补贴到孩子六周岁之外，均只补贴到三周岁。
目前，已经出台催婚政策的地方政府相对来说还比较少（有些是作为催生政策组合的一项政策形式出现的），下面列出了其中的一部分（见表2）。
表2：若干地方政府出台的催婚政策
除了以经济激励的手法催婚之外，在法律上和思想文化上其实也在助力催婚。例如，2024年8月份公布的《婚姻登记条例（修订草案征求意见稿）》第八条提出，“办理结婚登记的内地居民应当出具下列证件和书面材料：（一）本人的居民身份证；（二）本人无配偶以及与对方当事人没有直系血亲和三代以内旁系血亲关系的签字声明。”这就取消了以往结婚登记需要出具户口本的规定，实际上可能会起到鼓励想结婚的人违背户主意愿（或至少无需取得户主同意）结婚的作用。
又如，国务院办公厅印发的完善生育支持政策的文件，强调要积极构建新型婚育文化大力倡导积极的婚恋观、生育观，并将相关内容融入到中小学、本专科教育中去。
在一定程度上，这基本上就是在说“催婚和催生要从娃娃抓起”了。
地方政府的催生和催婚政策，呈现出了各自为政、碎片化的特点；更重要的是，从政策思路来说，可能仍没有超出就问题解决问题的层面。
不少专家言必称“人口危机”，强调必须扭转少子化、老龄化加剧的局面，认为鼓励生育长期内事关国家繁荣和中华文明传承，短期内有助于扩大内需、稳增长、稳就业。但需要承认的是，当代中国人的生育观念，毕竟在总体上已经转向了少生和优生，而且个人对自我的未来发展的考虑，业已成为制约婚姻和生育的首要因素（这方面尤其突出的是女性的观念的转变）。
其他影响因素，包括机会成本高、经济负担重、照料子女困难大等等，在很大程度上都是附着在这个因素的基础上发挥作用的。
不要忘记，观念决定行动，如今家庭的功能和形态已经发生了变化，人们不再把家庭的存续视为全部的任务，而越来越重视婚姻和生育对个人发展的影响了。
对于地方政府来说，催婚催生从某个角度来看也许确实是一种有益的投资，长期可能会带来可观回报，并且在短期内就可能见效，但是这仍然只是把“人口”视为一种可以控制和调配的资源。
只要承认结婚和生育是个人决策，不应该受任何力量的强制，那么不把个人的价值实现需要考虑在内的催生和催婚政策，就可能流于就问题解决问题，从而无法具备从整体战略出发解决问题时的政策一致性。
这一点不妨从更原始的家庭形态出发来说明。在这种传统的家庭关系中，丈夫在外面工作并获得收入，妻子则抚育孩子、照顾老人、料理家务。许多经济学家都正确地阐明了，无论是丈夫，还是妻子，他们付出的劳动都是生产性的。
但是关键在于，丈夫由于从外部获得了货币收入，他的劳动实现了显性的价值，而妻子的劳动的价值却无法显性地得到确认。这种差异会带来很大的冲突。古代社会的男女不平等其实是解决这个问题的一个方法（当然不是一个值得赞颂的方法）。
在现代社会中，男女平等了，当夫妻都参加了工作并获得收入时，这个问题有所缓解，但是仍然继续存在，因为家庭内部肯定还有很多无法实现其显性价值的“生产活动”。也正因为如此，爱情、亲情，以及家庭生活中各种有爱的场景，对于个人的价值实现来说是必不可少的，或者说，它们补偿了无法通过市场来实现的价值。
现在许多碎片化的催生和催婚政策，由于通常是从地方发展经济的需要这个角度进行合理性论证的，恰恰会将个人的婚姻和生育决策带入完全以货币数量进行片面市场化计算的情境，从而可能会起到反效果。
也就是说，许多地方政府出台催生政策的动机是拉动经济（特别是房地产），而制定催婚政策的目的则是因为催生政策似乎不怎么见效。这是一种“就问题解决问题”的思路，不是“根据整体战略确定解决问题的方法”的思路。
欧洲、美国等西方国家，以及韩国、日本等东亚国家的历史经验，还有经济学、社会学等领域的理论研究，都已经告诉我们——在实现了现代化的社会中，少子化、老龄化是不可避免的趋势。
这里还有一个问题是，在出现了拐点之后，中国人口下降速度似乎比韩国、日本等国出现拐点后要快，有不少人认为直接原因是中国的结婚率下降得更快，而这又可以作为出台催婚政策的一个理由。
那么近年来中国的结婚率为什么会下降得更快？问题可能出在政策不一致性上面。
从人口统计数据来看，近几年中国的结婚适龄人群其实并不小，但是结婚率却快速下行。
尽管2010年后新出生人口中男女比例失调严重，但就数据而言，20-34岁的结婚适龄人群中男性人数与女性人数相差并不太大，而且由于男性的法定结婚年龄比女性晚两年，这个差距就更小了。只不过由于男性的内部存在竞争或挤出效应，即很多大龄男性会与少龄妇女婚配（例如，成功中年男人迎娶年小妻子），结婚适龄男女人数的实际差距要比数据显示得大得多。
即便如此，相比于庞大的结婚适龄人口，现在的结婚率也显得低了一些。如表3所示，民政部相关数据显示，自2013年达到最高点以来，结婚率一路下行。2023年有所反弹（原因是前几年新冠疫情期间“被耽误”的新人集中登记结婚），但也只是昙花一现，2024年前三季度出现了更加猛烈的下跌。
表3：2013年以来历年结婚率
作为对表３中的数据的补充，再来看一下离婚对数。根据民政部的数据，离婚对数在2019年达到最高峰的470.1万对之后，也呈现下降趋势：2020年为433.9万对，2021年为283.93万对，2022为287.9万对，2023年为259.3万对，2024年前三季度为196.7万对。
离婚率从2021年开始迅速下降，一个很重要的原因可能是“离婚冷静期”制度从2021年1月1日开始实施。根据《中华人民共和国民法典》第一千零七十七条的规定，自婚姻登记机关收到离婚登记申请之日起三十日内，任何一方不愿意离婚的，可以向婚姻登记机关撤回离婚登记申请。前款规定期限届满后三十日内，双方应当亲自到婚姻登记机关申请发给离婚证；未申请的，视为撤回离婚登记申请。
离婚冷静期制度，在维护婚姻的稳定和下一代的权益等方面均有重要意义，也与国际惯例相符，但是在执行中似乎有所走偏了，实际上导致了离婚难度大幅增大的结果。
事实上，离婚难度的增大，对结婚是有劝退作用的。“婚姻是一座围城，城外的人想冲进去，城里的人想逃出来。”这句话出自钱钟书的代表作《围城》，虽然是小说家言，但是却得到了经济学家的理论证明。
豪尔特（Hauert）等人在《科学》上发表的论文中证明：参与人可以自由选择退出，是合作得以出现和维持的一个条件。婚姻无疑是一项合作事业，如果没有退出“围城”的自由，必定会削弱人们进入“围城”的动力。
或者至少可以说，如果离婚变得更加困难了，那么人们在考虑要不要结婚时会变得更加谨慎，同时即便结婚了，在考虑要不要孩子时也可能会变得更加谨慎。
从经济学的角度分析，大体上可以认为结婚是个人通过与他人匹配实现合作的决策（而生育则是个人之间合作进行人生最重要的投资之一的决策）。
如果觉得结婚和生育无法帮助实现个人的价值，同时又觉得离婚很难，那么即便有了各种催生、催婚政策，也存在导致均衡结果的风险，即本来可以匹配成功的双方未能实现匹配，因为一方觉得结婚生子就是对自己的惩罚，而另一方则庆幸不结婚似乎也过得下去。
毫无疑问，各地出台的催生、催婚政策，在边际上（即对那些本来已经打算结婚生子，但是有点犹豫的人来说）会有相当不错的效果，但是由于碎片化，再加上存在政策不一致性，也有可能效果不佳，甚至适得其反。
© Jeenah Moon for The New York Times
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© Alan Nakkash for The New York Times
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© Yana Paskova for The New York Times
It was a wholesale rebuke of Donald Trump. But Republicans are shrugging off the Canadian election results — a race that favored conservatives until it became a referendum on the president — as a warning sign for their party.
The cementing of Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party into power on Monday served as an expression of Canadians’ deeply felt anger about the president’s tariffs and annexation taunts. It was evidence of an electorate turning against conservatives in a neighboring country — one Trump has suggested should be the 51st state — when Trump became involved. But on this side of the border, GOP strategists, pollsters and party leaders said they were unbothered by the outcome and dismissed any trouble that may lie ahead for Republicans in the midterms.
“Not concerned. Change takes time,” said Alex Stroman, former executive director of the South Carolina Republican Party.
Or as Sen. Jim Justice (R-W.Va.), put it on Tuesday, “I wouldn't look at it so much as a backlash.”
Trump’s allies in the GOP have a long history of discounting reasons for concern about Trump’s political standing – sometimes accurately, as during legal proceedings that many observers predicted could derail him in the 2024 presidential primary, and sometimes inaccurately, as in the run-up to his loss in 2020.
Even as Republicans remain publicly confident, there are real signs of vulnerability for Trump today. Recent polling showed that the president has record low approval ratings 100 days after his second inauguration. And Trump’s tariffs — which have wreaked havoc on both financial markets and business' ability to plan for the future — have angered other longtime allies as he pursues an isolationist trade agenda, like the European Union.
Yet in Republican circles in Washington, the collective response was more akin to: “Eh?”
A GOP consultant, granted anonymity to speak freely, said the outcome was a “pretty specific result based on the tariffs and 51st state trolling.” But when it comes to the midterms, “other factors will come into play domestically,” like the potential for empty grocery shelves or a recession as a result of retaliatory tariffs imposed by U.S. trading partners.
When it comes to the Canadian election, Republicans dismissed it as a foreign country’s result. Or they minimized Trump’s involvement. Or they took comfort in the fact that the midterms are still more than a year off.
“I don't think you can draw any broad conclusions to the 2026 midterms other than that for Republicans to win a majority, they need to deliver on their promises,” said Adam Kincaid, who heads the National Republican Redistricting Trust.
He brushed off concerns about Trump’s perceived unforced errors, like the trolling of the former prime minister by referring to him as “Governor Trudeau” or repeatedly blaming fentanyl crossing the Canadian border as the impetus for imposing heavy tariffs, as minimal effects on domestic elections next year.
“My only concern with the midterms is Republicans not being motivated to turn out,” Kincaid said. “Passing President Trump’s ‘big beautiful bill’ is the best thing Republicans can do to deliver on the president’s promises and motivate our voters to vote in 2026.”
Some Republicans even speculated that Carney and Trump’s relationship may not end up being as hostile as anticipated, despite Carney declaring on election night that Canada will “fight back with everything we have” in negotiating economic and security deals with Trump.
For Republican strategist Alex Conant, there was just one takeaway from the election: “It’s a pretty good reminder of how bad it would be for Republicans if Canada was a state.”
Holly Otterbein contributed to this report.
© Jordan Pettitt/AP
ReutersSeveral people have died after a shooting at a hair salon in the town of Uppsala, Swedish media have reported.
Police said they have received calls from members of the public who reported that they heard loud bangs that sounded like gunfire close to Vaksala Square in the centre of the city.
The shooting happened on the eve of the Walpurgis spring festival, which brings large crowds onto the streets.
Several people were found with injuries that suggested gunshot wounds, police said.
Officers have cordoned off a large area and an investigation is underway.
Police spokesman Magnus Jansson Klarin was quoted by local media saying they received several reports of bangs in the area.
Swedish public broadcaster SVT said it spoke to a number of witnesses at the scene who told them they heard shots fired.
This is a breaking news story which will be updated.
This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly. Please refresh the page for the fullest version.
You can receive Breaking News on a smartphone or tablet via the BBC News App. You can also follow @BBCBreaking on X to get the latest alerts.
近年来，中国在美留学生人数正在持续减少。有在加州从事留学中介生意的人士告诉本台，在中国经济下行和美中关系的现状下，目前中国学生的留学生意不好做。也有多位在美读书多年的留学生，向本台讲述了他们所了解的中国留学生的情况。详情请听本台记者孙诚的报道。
加州的留学中介从业者：“留学中介生意现在不好做”
近年来，中国在美留学生的人数随着时间的推移，正呈现逐年下降的趋势。从2019到2020学年至2023到2024学年间，中国在美留学生人数连续四年下降，从37.3万减少到了27.74万。日前，有在加州对中国学生从事留学中介生意的人士表示，生意比之前要更难做了。
一位不愿透露姓名的加州华裔受访者，有过多年在加州从事留学中介行业的经历。他在4月27日告诉本台，目前中国学生在来美留学方面存在着比以前更多的顾虑。他说：“现在中国经济不好，大家的消费能力下降，愿意来美国留学的人也变少了。”
自2009年以来的十五年中，中国一直是美国最大的国际学生来源国。然而，随着中国在美留学生人数的持续下降，在2023到2024学年，印度在美留学生数量已经超过了中国。这位留学中介人士表示，随着关税战的开始，有不少原本有意向来美留学的中国学生担忧更难留美。他说：“要留学的人现在考虑很多，觉得会对中国留学生的H1B有更多限制，担心来了美国以后工作签不好拿。留学中介生意现在不好做。”
H1B是美国签发的一种工作签证，每年都有大量在美留学生申请这一签证，印度和中国是这一签证申请者的两大来源国。根据美国移民局公布的数据，2025财年共有470342份有效的H1B抽签申请，比2024财年的758994份减少了38.6%。不过，2025财年的H1B中签率只有28.73%，与2024财年的中签率24.82%相比并没有很明显的提高。
加州留学生：部分中国家庭无法支付留学学费 留学生中存在恐慌情绪
加州是美国各州中留学生数量最多的州。在2022—2023学年，加州的138393名国际学生里中国留学生最多，占了37.5%。在2023—2024学年，中国留学生虽然仍是加州国际学生中的最大群体，但占比有所下降。在该学年加州的140858名国际学生中，中国留学生占了36%。
来自中国、在加州大学戴维斯分校有多年读书经历的泰格（Tiger）告诉本台，目前他还没有感到该校的中国留学生规模有缩减的迹象。不过，每年超过五万美元的学费对一些中国留学生的家庭来说，属于一笔不小的开销。他说：“因为经济不好，我是看到过很多案例，只能代表某种现象，就是（有的人）家里生意不好了，突然没有钱交学费了。”
他也表示，虽然他并不了解详细的统计数据，但在中国经济下行的情况下：“说留学生减少，我觉得大环境一定是少的。”
美国众议员莱利·摩尔在今年3月14日提出了《阻止中共签证法》，旨在阻止对中国国籍的人士发放在美学习、研究的签证，获得了多位议员的支持。
来自中国、在南加州大学有多年读书经历，目前正准备申请博士研究生的王涵告诉本台，根据他的了解，目前在校的中国留学生中，确实存在着一种恐慌的心态。虽然他自己目前还没有那么强烈的担忧感，但有一些中国留学生对留学状态和签证状态感到担忧。他说：“具体有多少人我不知道，但是至少这种气氛是在这个圈子里面蔓延的。”
肯塔基州留学生：中国经济下行 当地中国留学生人数减少
来自福建的韩应潮是一名在美国肯塔基大学留学多年的学生。他告诉本台，目前他可以直观地感受到当地的中国留学生人数也在减少。他讲述相关原因说：“我觉得一个是中国经济的下滑，导致能够支付得起子女出来留学的家长数量变少。”
他也谈到，随着目前中国经济的下行，海归留学生在中国也面临着就业困难的问题，说道：“海归的工作也没那么好找，因为中国整个的就业市场也在下滑。所以说，很多人感觉（留学）受益不那么大。”
© Reuters
PA MediaSir Tony Blair has called for a major rethink of net-zero policies, arguing that limiting energy consumption and fossil fuel production is "doomed to fail".
In a new report, the former Labour prime minister says voters "feel they're being asked to make financial sacrifices and changes in lifestyle when they know the impact on global emissions is minimal".
He does not call for Labour to halt its push to decarbonise the UK economy - but says all governments need to rethink their approach, as it is not working.
The Tories - who have joined Reform UK in opposing net-zero emissions by 2050 - urged Labour to end the "mad dash" to this goal - but Downing Street said it would not be changing course.
In its report The Climate Paradox: Why We Need to Reset Action on Climate Change, The Tony Blair Institute argues that global institutions such as COP and the UN have failed to make sufficient progress in halting climate change.
At the same time, it argues, the public have lost faith in climate policies because the promised green jobs and economic growth have failed to materialise, thanks in part to global instability and the Covid pandemic.
Writing in the foreword, Sir Tony says: "Though most people will accept that climate change is a reality caused by human activity, they're turning away from the politics of the issue because they believe the proposed solutions are not founded on good policy."
He says "any strategy based on either 'phasing out' fossil fuels in the short term or limiting consumption is a strategy doomed to fail".
He also warns against the "alarmist" tone of the debate on climate change, which he says is "riven with irrationality".
The report calls for the rapid deployment of carbon capture and storage technology, greater use of AI to make energy grids efficient and investment in small scale nuclear reactors.
It also argues for a greater focus on climate change mitigation measures such as flood defences and a new international push to persuade China and India to cut emissions.
Downing Street said it would not be changing course on net zero - and rejected Sir Tony's suggestions that the public was no longer prepared to make sacrifices to meet green goals.
"We will reach net zero in a way that treads lightly on people's lives, not telling them how to live or behave," said the prime minister's official spokesman.
"Net zero is the economic opportunity of the 21st century, one that has the potential to reignite our industrial heartlands, create good jobs for the future and lower bills in the long term."
The government claims its net-zero strategy is already delivering results, with £43bn of private investment since last July and that its climate policies "now support around 600,000 jobs across the UK".
Labour sources are also pushing back against the idea that Sir Keir Starmer is going cold on the net-zero agenda, pointing to a speech he made last week in which he said the clean energy mission was "in the DNA of my government".
Reacting in the Commons to Sir Tony's comments in the report, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband said he agreed "with a lot of what it says" particularly on carbon capture and storage and AI "which the government are doing".
But Labour's opponents were quick to seize on the former prime minister's words.
Writing on social media, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage said: "Even Tony Blair now says the push for Net Zero has become 'irrational' and 'hysterical'. We are winning the argument!"
Conservative acting shadow energy secretary, Andrew Bowie said the government needed to "urgently change course".
"It seems even Tony Blair has come to the realisation that Keir Starmer and the Labour Party's mad dash to net zero by 2050 is simply not feasible, or sustainable," he added.
Green Party co-leader Adrian Ramsay said: "Blair is wrong, both morally and pragmatically. The British public understands the need for decisive climate action and expects politicians to lead in delivering this action."
Sir Tony's intervention has also been met with dismay by Labour-supporting environmental groups.
One campaigner told the BBC: "This is an oddly public and oddly-timed intervention that would usually be made by someone struggling for access.
"The Labour government are getting on with many of the policies outlined in the report because they know this is popular with people, especially the voting coalition they need to maintain for the next election.
"But adopting the anti-net-zero framing of [Tory leader Kemi] Badenoch and Reform is out of step with where the public are on this issue and will not help Labour."
The Liberal Democrats have been contacted for a response.
Sign up for our Politics Essential newsletter to keep up with the inner workings of Westminster and beyond.
ReutersSeveral people have died after a shooting at a hair salon in the town of Uppsala, Swedish media have reported.
Police said they have received calls from members of the public who reported that they heard loud bangs that sounded like gunfire close to Vaksala Square in the centre of the city.
The shooting happened on the eve of the Walpurgis spring festival, which brings large crowds onto the streets.
Several people were found with injuries that suggested gunshot wounds, police said.
Officers have cordoned off a large area and an investigation is underway.
Police spokesman Magnus Jansson Klarin was quoted by local media saying they received several reports of bangs in the area.
Swedish public broadcaster SVT said it spoke to a number of witnesses at the scene who told them they heard shots fired.
This is a breaking news story which will be updated.
This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly. Please refresh the page for the fullest version.
You can receive Breaking News on a smartphone or tablet via the BBC News App. You can also follow @BBCBreaking on X to get the latest alerts.
PA MediaTemperatures could reach 29C (82F) this week, after the warmest day of the year so far was recorded on Monday.
The 24.5C recorded at St James's Park in London will likely be exceeded over the coming days, with the UK expected to see its warmest start to May on record.
Temperatures are expected to peak on Thursday as voters head to the polls for local elections in England, with high UV and pollen levels also likely.
The weather will gradually cool over the bank holiday weekend, although it will stay dry and sunny for most.
Temperatures will widely be in the low to mid-twenties on Wednesday, with the hottest weather likely around the London area at 27C.
The last time this temperature was recorded in April was in 2018 in Cambridge.
On Thursday, it will get slightly cooler across Scotland and Northern Ireland, as temperatures drop to 13-16C.
But in the south, the heat will continue to build and likely result in the UK's warmest start to May on record at 29C.
This exceeds the previous 1 May record of 27.4C at Lossiemouth in 1990.
With increasing humidity on Thursday, there is also a risk of some heavy and possibly thundery showers breaking out across England and Wales.
Temperatures will gradually fall over the long weekend. However, it will stay dry in most areas, with lengthy sunny spells and light winds.
Northern Scotland and eastern parts of the UK are expected to see the cloudiest weather, especially on Sunday.
By Monday, temperatures will drop to between 12C and 17C across the UK - looking more like the average for early May.
It is not likely that this spell of warm weather will qualify as a heatwave.
This would need at least three consecutive days at or above the "heatwave threshold," which varies depending on where you are in the UK.
It is not unusual to see this type of hot spell in the spring, and April can bring big swings in temperature.
But as our climate continues to warm, this type of spring heat is expected occur more often. Recent analysis found that spring is the fastest-warming season in the UK.
Meanwhile, UV levels across most parts of the UK are expected to be high, except for northern Scotland where they will be moderate.
Some UV radiation is crucial for our wellbeing, enabling our skin to produce essential vitamin D, but too much can be dangerous.
UV radiation promotes skin cancer by damaging DNA in skin cells. Exposure has also been linked to eye problems.
You can also burn just as quickly when it is cloudy, and the sun is as strong this time of year as it is in August.
The NHS recommends spending time in the shade when the sun is strongest, using at least factor 30 sunscreen and reapplying it every two hours, and taking extra care with children.
High temperatures can also affect the body. To stay safe, the UK Health Security Agency recommends drinking plenty of fluids, staying cool indoors, and avoiding exercise during the hottest parts of the day.
明明举报诗词大会决赛问题，得到的回复却是工程欠款问题。近日，宁夏银川市市长信箱一条张冠李戴的回复，引发了不少关注。4月27日，银川市电子政务服务中心工作人员回复记者称，此事系工作人员失误所致，现已被内部处理，12345平台也已向举报人电话致歉。
4月27日晚，银川市人民政府办公室发布情况通报：经查，“市长信箱”工作人员在办理过程中出现工作错误，将积极整改。同时，督促经办单位主动与诉求人沟通，并诚恳致歉，现已依规对相关责任人问责处理。
27日，就此事接连写了两篇评论，但依然有未尽之意想表达。
有人说，别上纲上线，不就是工作人员的失误吗？
确实，有关方面说了，“复制粘贴错了，出现了张冠李戴”。
从技术上说，复制粘贴犯错，可能性是存在的。工作人员也是人不是神。
但是这个问题的关键在于，“复制粘贴”可能就是一些地方市长信箱的核心工作了。人们责怪的哪里只是员工的工作不细致呢？
就算复制粘贴不犯错，结果又能怎样？
不妨看看这一段：对于举报人举报“诗词大会决赛不公平”，4月27日，西夏区文联工作人员回应媒体记者称，接到相关举报后，对诗词大赛进行了复盘，最终认为评委打分客观，做到了公开、公平、公正，不存在不公平的情况。这一回复可谓“极简”，而举报人所反映的却是一个沉重的、复杂的话题。而关键是，银川市人民政府办公室发布的情况通报，也没有一个字提到举报的问题。
换句话说，这事在本质上就到此为止了。最大的问题，已经变为就技术性错误进行“道歉”。
我相信这不是举报人希望看到的。
举报的问题是否存在，旁人无可断定。但文联方面作为可能的被监督对象，仅以一小段回复就按下“结束键”，还是太耐人寻味了。
这事难道不值得更高层级进行详细的调查？
多年来，个别地方的市长信箱以“无厘头回复”引发网友吐槽。例如“我办没时间跟你闲扯，你有意见到创建办来面谈”、群众反映的是税务领域的问题，市长信箱却建议投诉者与某超市联系。这类回复，堵塞了群众反映问题的通道、耽搁了问题的解决，对群众的情感和政府的形象造成了伤害。
有人批评市长信箱成为摆设，这个话不客观。市长信箱做出的贡献有目共睹。
但是，有时投诉确实无果。在常态下，市长信箱能不能担起更大责任，为群众撑腰，却是一个现实考题。
当市长信箱已读乱回，老百姓还能靠谁？
现实中，投诉了，但没啥大用。这是不少人的困惑所在。
市长信箱已读乱回，受到这么大的关注，说明市长信箱在人民心目中的地位，也说明，现实中，群众的诉苦、解忧渠道还不是很多。
政务服务，很辛苦，很不易，但是面对群众的冷暖，只能把工作做得更好。
谁也不能强求市长信箱由市长本人亲自抓，但至少，“市长信箱”不能变为一种机械的、例行公事的工作机制吧？
© Sophie Park for The New York Times
© Jamie Kelter Davis for The New York Times
© WCIA, via Associated Press
据当地媒体报导，香港当局于周二刑满释放了四名前立法会议员，他们因参与2020年香港非官方初选，被以《香港国安发法》中“串谋颠覆国家政权罪”判刑4年2个月。
毛孟静、谭文豪、郭家麒和范国威，是因参与该次初选而被捕的47名民主党人士其中四人，这起案件以“47人案”为人所知。在为期118天的审讯后，仅两人获判无罪，其余均在2024年11月被判处4—10年不等的有期徒刑。这四人被分别关押在香港岛赤柱监狱、大屿山岛石壁监狱和新界罗湖惩教所。29日，他们成为47人案中首批获释人士，4人遭终身禁止参政。
据美联社和香港01报道，周二清晨，在警察的严密封锁下，有车辆先后从3所监狱中驶离，窗帘下拉。随后，在场警员告诉记者，四人均已离开。
据报道，毛孟静的丈夫菲利·鲍灵（Philip Bowring）在其住处外告知记者们，毛孟靜目前正在静养，目前不便接受采访。
“她很好，精神状态也不错，”他说，“我们期待这首次的团聚。”
在47人案中，被指为主谋的”香港大学法学教授戴耀廷被判囚10年，刑期最重。毛孟静等四人在认罪后被获减刑，是香港47人案中刑期最短的四位。
北京多年来试图削弱香港自治。2020年，北京绕过香港立法会，起草并通过了《香港国安法》。虽被警告可能违反定义广泛的新国安法，这场初选仍在2020年7月如期进行，目的是为帮助决定同年9月的香港立法院选举。当时这场非官方初选参与率很高，吸引超过60万选民投票。
时任香港特首林郑月娥后以“新冠疫情”为由，宣布推迟原定于2020年9月的选举。
此后，港府修改选举制度，禁止民主派参选，并于2021年12月举行“爱国者治港”选举，候选人需经由北京支持的委员会审查通过。
2021年1月6日，国安大规模拘捕55人，最终对其中47位民主派人士提出正式指控，并拒绝大多数人的保释申请。
责编：李亚千
© RFA圖片
（本文首发于南方人物周刊）
南方人物周刊特约撰稿 丁慧
责任编辑：杨静茹
由金元锡执导、林尚春编剧、IU和朴宝剑等主演的年代剧《苦尽柑来遇见你》播出后，成为2025年网飞最快破千万的剧集，也获得了中韩观众一致好评——豆瓣目前评分9.5，仅次于另一部在中国颇有影响力的韩剧《请回答1988》，成为豆瓣评分第二高的韩剧。
剧集呈现了以吴爱纯为核心的三代女性成长历程，描写她们的婚恋、工作、家庭、人生起伏，时间横跨半个多世纪，三代人的命运相互勾连又彼此映照。故事始于上世纪50年代的济州岛。吴爱纯的母亲全光礼，因第一任丈夫（吴爱纯的父亲）早逝背上了“克夫”的骂名，改嫁后的丈夫游手好闲却心安理得。她做着辛苦的海女工作，是家庭的经济支柱，还要包揽家里的农活、照顾孩子，而她对自己的命运最多感叹一句，“下辈子做牛，都不要做济州岛的女人”，29岁就死于潜水落下的肺病。
就这样一位命苦的女人，却尽全力保护女儿的诗人梦想。她让吴爱纯上学、读书，把她从不给她鱼吃的叔叔家里抢回来。吴爱纯的童年虽然过得贫苦，但是母亲的呵护给她懵懂的心里植下“不看轻自己的种子
校对：赵立宇
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has said his country deserves respect from the US and will only enter trade and security talks with President Donald Trump "on our terms".
Speaking exclusively to the BBC as the polls were closing, Carney said he would only visit Washington when there was a "serious discussion to be had" that respected Canada's sovereignty.
Since Trump's re-election to the White House, the US president has repeatedly mentioned making Canada the "51st state" of America, which has infuriated Canadians.
Carney, who secured a historic victory for his Liberal Party in a snap election on Monday, said such a scenario was "never, ever going to happen".
"Frankly, I don't think it's ever going to happen with respect to any other [country]... whether it's Panama or Greenland or elsewhere," he added.
However, he said there was a "win-win possibility" for his country if it could secure a deal with the US and also build on trading relationships with the European Union and the UK.
The US is a big market for Canadian businesses with roughly 75% of Canada's exports heading south.
Canada accounts for a much smaller 17% of US exports.
Canada is also America's largest foreign supplier of crude oil. America's trade deficit with Canada - expected to be $45bn in 2024 - was mostly driven by US energy demands.
Canada and US relations have been strained in recent months, driven by Trump's talk of a "51st state" and referring to previous Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as "governor" - the title for leaders of individual American states.
The US president has also sparked a global trade war in which Canada was one of the first countries targeted with tariffs.
Trump has partially imposed a blanket 25% tariff on various Canadian goods, along with 25% import taxes on all aluminium and steel imports, but has exempted products covered by a US, Canada and Mexico trade deal known as USMCA.
Canada has retaliated with some C$60bn ($42bn; £32bn) worth of tariffs on US goods.
Carney said talks with Trump would be "on our terms, not on their terms".
"There is a partnership to be had, an economic and security partnership," he said.
"It's going to be a very different one than we've had in the past."
Carney has touted his experience handling global economic crises as a way to deal with Trump on tariffs.
Before becoming PM in early March, Carney had never held political office.
He is a banker by trade, leading the Bank of Canada during the 2008 global financial crisis before becoming the first non-British person to take on the top job at the Bank of England from 2013 to 2020.
The PM said Canada was the "biggest client for more than 40 states" in the US.
"Remember that we supply them [the US] with vital energy. Remember that we supply their farmers with basically all their fertiliser," Carney told the BBC.
"We deserve respect. We expect respect and I'm sure we'll get it in due course again, and then we can have these discussions."
Canada and the US, along with Mexico, have deeply integrated economies, with billions of pounds worth of manufactured goods crossing the borders on a daily basis, for example, car parts.
The introduction of tariffs, which are taxes levied on goods as they enter a country and paid for by the importer, threatens decades of collaborations between the nations.
Trump has argued tariffs will encourage more Americans to buy domestically-made goods, which will ultimately boost US manufacturing and jobs.
While America's main opponent in the global trade conflict is China, the introduction of Trump's blanket, so-called "reciprocal tariffs" on the likes of the UK and other European countries has led to allies seeking fresh agreements in response to barriers to trading with the world's largest economy.
Carney, who endorsed UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves during the British general election, said "one would think" that Canada and the UK could sign a stalled free trade agreement as part of diversifying trade, but highlighted about 95% of trade between the countries is effectively tariff-free already.
"We could expand the level of integration between our countries, like-minded countries. You think about defence partnerships, and those conversations have just just begun, so there's a lot that we can do," he added.
In a statement congratulating Carney, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said: "I know we will continue to work closely on defence, security, trade and investment."
Carney said the G7 summit hosted by Canada in June would be "very important" in deciding the future path of the global trade war, adding it would "put to the test" whether the group of the world's seven most advanced economies - which includes the US - was still the most "like-minded of like-minded countries".
The summit will occur just before the 90-day pause on some of Trump's higher tariffs is set to expire.
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