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Today — 12 September 2025News

The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

12 September 2025 at 17:00
Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

特朗普惹怒长期盟友,日韩对贸易协议不满加剧

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特朗普惹怒长期盟友,日韩对贸易协议不满加剧

DAISUKE WAKABAYASHI, RIVER AKIRA DAVIS
韩国外长赵显周一在国会表示,美国的投资要求“可能会给我们的人民带来巨大负担”。
韩国外长赵显周一在国会表示,美国的投资要求“可能会给我们的人民带来巨大负担”。 Lee Jin-Man/Associated Press
在上周的短短24小时内,特朗普总统就激怒了韩国和日本这两个长期盟友。不到两个月前,两国还表示将合计向美国投资近1万亿美元,以换取降低关税。
上周四,美国移民官员突袭了位于乔治亚州的一处现代-LG大型工厂的建设工地,这是韩国两家最知名企业的旗舰项目。据联邦官员称,数百名韩国公民因非法居留或非法工作而被逮捕拘留。
同一天,特朗普签署行政令批准了7月与日本达成的贸易协议,日方承诺将在美国投资5500亿美元。美方则落实东京迫切寻求的汽车关税减免。但与此同时,美国与日本还签署了一份谅解备忘录明确规定,这5500亿美元的投资项目由特朗普而非日本官员来决定。如果日本违背他的意愿,他有权提高关税。
 这些事件再次表明了特朗普如何利用贸易谈判来推动其议程,尽管这给美国最亲密的盟友带来了外交、政治和经济上的后果。
上周在乔治亚州埃拉贝尔的现代-LG工厂,员工被带离现场。
上周在乔治亚州埃拉贝尔的现代-LG工厂,员工被带离现场。 Corey Bullard/U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, via Associated Press
在日本和韩国,政商领导人越来越公开地表达不满,认为自己的国家被迫就范,并质疑继续顺从特朗普的要求是否明智。
在首尔方面努力将300多名韩国工作人员接回之际,韩国的保守派媒体、向来支持美韩结盟的《朝鲜日报》发文指出,政府必须“认识到事态的严重性”。在周一的社论中,该报敦促官员向美方传达韩国国内正在质疑是否应继续在美国投资。
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“人们不禁要从根本上质疑,美国所说的‘同盟’究竟意味着什么,”《朝鲜日报》写道。
白宫发言人安娜·凯利在声明中表示,特朗普“借助”了与两国领导人的关系,“通过谈判达成了具有历史意义的经济协议,为美国产业拓展了市场,为我们的经济带来了重大投资。”
公众的愤怒韩国敲定7月下旬贸易协议细节的工作增加了难度。根据协议,美国同意将对韩国商品的关税从25%降低至15%,作为交换,韩国企业承诺将在美国投资3500亿美元,其中1500亿美元专门用于增强美国造船业。
韩国总统李在明周三表示,企业对这次突袭行动“深感困惑”,因为“他们并非长期或永久性的工作人员,而是协助安装设施设备的技术人员”。
若美国不能保障此类人员在美工作安全,韩企将会“犹豫是否要进行直接投资”。
韩国外长赵显周一在国会表示,鉴于发生在佐治亚州电池厂的突袭事件,韩国在贸易谈判中提出了美国为韩国工人提供更多签证配额的要求。
周三,一架大韩航空包机从仁川国际机场起飞,前往美国接回被拘留的韩国工人。
周三,一架大韩航空包机从仁川国际机场起飞,前往美国接回被拘留的韩国工人。 Yonhap, via Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
特朗普周一的社交媒体发文称,他将“尽快通过合法途径”为在美投资的外企派遣人员赴美生产提供便利,但他补充说,这些企业必须雇佣并培训美国工人。
特朗普在这项协议中的主要让步是降低了对韩国经济非常重要的汽车行业的关税。但由于降税措施尚未生效,这一承诺正成为悬在谈判之上的变数。本周两国将继续磋商韩国投资的落实方案,但首尔方面已明确表示,它无法接受日本上周所作出的那种让步。
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“没有哪个韩国人会签署那样的草案,”李在明办公室的政策室长金容范周二在一次公开论坛上表示。
他补充说,若无法就其余对美投资安排达成协议,韩国政府将不会推进造船业投资计划——该项目被韩国官员称为“让美国造船业再次伟大”方案。特朗普一再誓言要重振美国的海运产业,这将需要韩国的帮助,后者是仅次于中国的世界第二大造船国。
日本的前车之鉴正笼罩着韩美谈判——有评论认为,日本签署的协议等于向特朗普让渡了金融主权。日本媒体公布的谅解备忘录细节表明,日方当时只能屈服于美方的要求,否则就得承担损害经济的风险。
位于埃拉贝尔的现代超级工业园,摄于周二。
位于埃拉贝尔的现代超级工业园,摄于周二。 Elijah Nouvelage/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
该备忘录值得关注的条款包括:特朗普将亲自遴选日本对美投资项目。文件显示,一旦美方作出选择,日本需在45天内完成项目审核并提供资金。若日方拒绝推进项目,特朗普有权自行设定更高关税税率。
根据文件,日本最初将获得投资所产生现金流的一半,直到达到约定的门槛为止。此后,日方收益比例降至10%,剩余资金将归美国所有。
前日本经济产业省高官细川正彦表示,日方为了“止损”而不得不同意这些条款,以便降低汽车关税。但他认为,这个过程不太可能像一些特朗普政府官员所宣称的那样展开。
“若认为美国开口要钱日本就会拱手奉上,那就大错特错了。日本并没有成为美国的提款机,”细川正彦说。
今年2月,特朗普总统与日本首相石破茂在椭圆形办公室会晤。
今年2月,特朗普总统与日本首相石破茂在椭圆形办公室会晤。 Cheriss May for The New York Times

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各地尚未公布社保缴费基数,会普遍调低吗?|说政经事

12 September 2025 at 11:00
与社保缴费基数相关联的,是各地的社会平均工资水平。而调低社保缴费基数,则要在个人、企业、国家社保资金之间,重新取得平衡。

南方周末记者 梁婷

责任编辑:张玥

目前仅有黑龙江、内蒙古、河北、福建、湖南给出了2025年的社平工资或暂定缴费基数。图为哈尔滨。视觉中国/图

目前仅有黑龙江、内蒙古、河北、福建、湖南给出了2025年的社平工资或暂定缴费基数。图为哈尔滨。视觉中国/图

社保,牵动着全社会的神经。

按照惯例,每年7月前后,各省会陆续公布当年的社保缴费基数上下限,以此来框定新一年的社保缴费区间。

但今年不同。截至9月11日,还没有一个省的人社部门对2025年的社保缴费基数发布明确通知。

社保缴费基数的上下限,是由各地人社部门根据上一年的社会平均工资(简称社平工资)来计算的。社平工资的计算方法,是城镇非私营单位与私营单位就业人员平均工资的加权平均值。

社保缴费基数上限,是上一年度社平工资的300%,下限是上一年度社平工资的60%。一个企业员工,上一年度月平均工资处于此区间的,按照实际薪资作为缴费基数。超过300%的部分,不计入;低于60%的,缴费基数按照下限核定。

仅五地公布依据,河北或下调

南方周末记者梳理发现,目前,仅有黑龙江、内蒙古、河北、福建、湖南五地,给出了2025年的社平工资,或年初的暂定缴费基数。

福建目前是继续

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校对:星歌

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

台湾20%关税有望调降?美商务部长:与台湾将有重大协议 行政院正面回应证实

12 September 2025 at 16:45
12/09/2025 - 10:25

美国商务部长卢特尼克11日接受采访时表示,美国即将与台湾达成一项重大协议。行政院经贸谈判办公室12日回应,目前就等待美方安排总结性的会商。

美国商务部长卢特尼克11日接受CNBC采访时表示,台湾今年对美贸易顺差创新高,尤其在半导体领域因人工智慧晶片需求大增,台湾企业面临额外关税压力,正努力应对美国关税政策的冲击。不过,美国即将与台湾达成一项重大协议。

行政院经贸谈判办公室副总谈判代表颜慧欣则在12日回应,台美双方关税谈判都持续推进,也努力争取将对等关税及「232关税」也就是半导体进口关税的合并处理。双方都认为谈判有一定进展,目前就等待美方安排总结性的会商。

她表示,行政院除已先采取「移缓济急」的方式,启动对产业、劳工、农民的各项协助措施外,也在11日提出韧性特别预算案,希望能够在立法院的新会期顺利透过,让政府支援产业 。

美国总统特朗普7月发布行政命令,将台湾「对等关税」税率暂时调整为20%,另外还需叠加出口货品原有的最惠国税率及任何反倾销或反补贴税。当时行政院就强调此为暂时性税率,并正积极与美国谈判调降税率并争取不叠加原税率。

不过,日前外媒就揭露台美关税谈判内幕,外交部政务次长吴志中坦言,台湾以「非官方身分」进行谈判,无法进美国总统特朗普的办公室会面,这都让台湾处于劣势。

吴次长表示,台湾的情况非常不同,因此我们以非官方方式处理特朗普事件。由于台湾和美国的双边谈判,可能会引发北京政府的强烈反应。他强调,如果台湾团队能在特朗普的办公室见到他,这会是场胜利,但这种事似乎不太会发生。

中华经济研究院院长连贤明也指出,无法与特朗普直接接触,让关税谈判变得更加困难。他表示,无法与特朗普本人直接接触是达成协议的关键问题。他强调,因为特朗普喜欢达成协议,面对面谈判会让他觉得自己确实赢了。

美国将敦促七国集团对中印加征关税 知情人士:美提议在50%到100%之间

12 September 2025 at 16:45
12/09/2025 - 10:15

据英国《金融时报》援引四位知情人士报导称,美国将向七国集团(G7)成员国施压,要求它们对购买俄罗斯石油的印度和中国大幅提高关税,以迫使俄当局与乌克兰进行和平谈判。

周五,七国集团财政部长将在视频会议上讨论美国提出的新一轮措施提案。与此同时,美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)正加紧努力促成俄乌达成和平协议。特朗普本周敦促欧盟对中国和印度征收至多100%的关税,但现在正将这一举措扩大到七国集团盟友。

美国财政部的一位发言人表示:“中国和印度购买俄罗斯石油,正为普京的战争机器提供资金,并延长对乌克兰人民的无谓杀戮”。

他们补充道,“本周早些时候,我们向欧盟盟友明确表示,如果他们真的想结束自家后院的战争,就需要加入我们,并征收重大关税,这些关税将在战争结束之日撤销”,并指“特朗普总统的‘和平与繁荣政府’已准备就绪,我们的七国集团伙伴需要与我们加强行动”。

该发言人拒绝透露计划征收的关税具体税率数额,但知情人士表示,美方提出的关税水平在50%到100%之间。美国上月将印度输美商品的关税提高至50%,以应对印度购买俄罗斯石油。今年4月,特朗普大幅提高了对中国输美商品的关税,但在市场强烈反应后,5月又降低了关税税率。

美国商务部长卢特尼克(Howard Lutnick)周四在接受消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)采访时提到,“中国平均支付52%的关税,但中国政府承担了其中的大部分。因此,虽然从中国角度看这是个高平均税率,但实际成本主要由中国政府承担”。

欧盟官员深知,对两大关键贸易伙伴征收如此高额关税将面临经济冲击及中方可能采取的报复措施。欧盟正寻求与崛起中的印度建立更紧密关系,希望在数周内与新德里敲定一项自由贸易协定。

但欧盟希望说服美国,可以通过其他措施施加类似的压力,例如对俄罗斯能源生产商实施更严厉的制裁,并将欧盟成员国停止购买俄罗斯石油和天然气的最后期限提前至2027年。

三位欧洲官员表示,这需要特朗普向匈牙利和斯洛伐克施压,这两个国家由亲俄领导人领导,他们继续通过管道购买俄罗斯石油,并且过去曾否决欧盟实施更严厉的对俄制裁。

欧盟已开始讨论是否因中国购买廉价的俄罗斯石油和天然气而对其实施二级制裁。欧盟能源和住房事务专员约根森周四会见了美国能源部长赖特(Chris Wright),讨论如何用美国供应取代俄罗斯液化天然气。约根森指出:“我们需要尽快确保摆脱我们仍然存在的······对俄罗斯能源的依赖”。

欧盟仍从俄罗斯购买其约五分之一的天然气,低于俄罗斯2022年全面入侵乌克兰之前的45%。加拿大是今年七国集团的轮值主席国,并于6月份在阿尔伯塔省主办了该集团峰会。

加拿大表示,此次会议是“在与美国进行讨论后”召开的。加方称,将“讨论进一步措施,以加大对俄罗斯的压力,并限制其战争机器”。加拿大财政部长发言人弗拉戈斯(John Fragos)强调:“七国集团坚决反对俄罗斯的非法和无端战争”。

一位不愿透露姓名的加政府官员透露称,会谈将包括“对继续资助俄罗斯战争机器的国家征收关税”的提议。

渥太华方面也面临此举的两难境地。今年6月,加拿大总理卡尼(Mark Carney)启动了与印度重修关系的努力,以应对两年来的紧张关系。随着加拿大经济多元化,试图摆脱对美国的依赖,渥太华也向北京发出了类似的信号。

台湾公务员赴港须先通报 违者明年7月起将受罚

12 September 2025 at 16:45
12/09/2025 - 10:18

随着两岸关系越见紧张,台湾对香港的戒心日重,并进一步提高对公务员赴港的风险评估,要求各级公务员即使假日到港澳旅游,也要在出发前向所属机关通报;新措施即日起生效,但在未来大半年的宣导期内,违者不会受罚,但在明年7月1日起,违规者均会受罚。

台湾的大陆委员会副主委梁文杰昨(11日)午公布,「行政院及所属各机关人员赴香港或澳门注意事项」的修正案已于前天正式实施,要求各级公务员从即日起,不论平日丶假日丶因公或私的理由前赴港澳,都要在出发前通报所属机关。

此外,如在行程期间计划与港府人员丶民意代表等「特定身份人员」见面,公务员需要主动向所属机关和陆委会通报包括会面对象姓名丶对方所属单位和职衔丶见面时间丶地点和会晤内容等细节。梁强调,新做法是要维护公务机密和公务人员的安全。

台湾总统赖清德 3月提出国安及统战威胁17项因应策略,当中包括落实各级公职人员到中国交流披露制度,陆委会其后相应加强公务人员披露赴港澳行程的要求。根据最新的修订,建议涉国家安全或机敏之机关人员,除公务或特殊情形外,避免前往港澳;同时要求公务人员要在出发前一周通报赴港澳的行程安排外,带往港澳的手机丶手提电脑等物品,均不能存放任何与公务或机敏档案相关的资料,亦建议不要在社交媒体存放与公务相关的相片和影片。公务人员如因非公务事由赴港澳,也应尽量搭乘台湾的航空器或船舶。

有不便公开姓名的公务员向本台透露,原本计划在年底与家人去香港旅游和欢渡圣诞节,但因为新的规订,会放弃到香港的计划。他表示,早于行政院落实新赴港通报政策前,所属单位的上级已有口头通知,赴港澳需提前通报。他又引述上级表示,在《港区国安法》生效后,台湾公务员赴港要面对的风险日益增加,劝喻他们即使是在假日旅游,也避免选择港澳为目的地。

有从事香港研究的台湾学者亦表示,在赖清德公布17项因应策略后,校方已呼吁曾从事香港政治和社运题材研究的学者,收到赴港出席讲座或交流等邀请前,都要做相应的风险评估,尽量避免接受不必要的邀请,又建议进行有关香港议题研究时,尽量选择非田野的方法收集资料,以减少因赴港要面对和承受人身安全风险。

中国新航母“福建舰”通过台湾海峡赴南海测试

12 September 2025 at 16:45
12/09/2025 - 10:28

中国海军周五(9月12日)宣布,中国第三艘航母“福建舰”近日通过台湾海峡,赴南海开展科研测试与训练任务。专家表示,“福建舰”接近正式入列不远。

中国海军发言人冷国伟在微信发布的声明说,“福建号”“近日穿越台湾海峡,前往南海海域进行科研试验和训练任务”。他强调这是航母建造过程的“正常环节”,不针对特定目标。

法新社援引新加坡南洋理工大学拉惹勒南国际研究院海军武器专家科林·柯指出,中国航母通过台湾海峡并不罕见,但“福建舰”的出现“似乎更具象征意义,旨在向世界展示中国作为军事、乃至海上强国的崛起。”

台湾方面表示已全程监控“福建舰”的动向,“以充分评估局势”,并“作出相应反应”。日本防卫省前日表示,曾在钓鱼岛(日本称尖阁诸岛)200公里处监测到“福建舰”及两艘驱逐舰编队南下。与此同时,中国海警也通报在该争议海域展开巡逻。

“福建舰”是国第三艘航母,也是首艘完全自主设计建造的弹射型航母,舰名取自与台湾隔海相望的福建省。与前两艘“辽宁舰”和“山东舰”相比,体量更大,技术更为先进,服役后将极大增强中国在亚太地区威慑和投射能力。

“福建舰”在2024年进行首次海试,据美国智库战略与国际问题研究中心(CSIS)分析,其舰配备更先进弹射系统,可使舰载机携带更大武器和燃料。

目前中国仍严格保密“福建舰”的正式服役时间,专家推测,北京或选择在某个具有象征意义的重要历史事件日。法新社报道援引中国军事评论员宋忠平认为,主要测试已基本完成,“福建舰”距离正式入列临近。

不过,德国海军装备专家亚历克斯·卢克则提醒,现在仍难以断言此次“福建舰”的南海航行是最后测试还是服役前准备,他说,“两种可能性都存在,还需观察其后续”。



贝森特下周将在马德里会见何立峰 拟议经贸、TikTok及打击洗钱努力

12 September 2025 at 16:45
12/09/2025 - 10:31

美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)下周将在马德里会见中国国务院副总理何立峰,讨论贸易、经济和国家安全问题。这再次表明双方谈判正在升温。根据美国财政部周四发布的日程安排,这次会谈还将涵盖中企旗下的TikTok的在美现状以及打击洗钱的努力。会谈是贝森特9月12日至18日访问西班牙和英国的一部分。

美国财政部表示,贝森特亦将在访问期间会见马德里和伦敦的政府官员,随后将陪同特朗普总统于9月17日至19日对英国进行正式国事访问。

贝森特与何立峰在西班牙的会谈将是两位高级经济官员今年第四次重要的面对面会晤,他们寻求维持贸易休战,以降低双方的报复性关税,并恢复中方稀土磁铁对美国的供应。

在日内瓦和伦敦会晤后,双方于7月底在斯德哥尔摩基本同意将关税暂停期再延长90天。特朗普于8月12日批准延长至11月10日。美中一直在努力达成一项更全面的贸易协议,以降低特朗普对中国输美商品征收的仍高达约55%的关税,其中包括就芬太尼问题征收的关税。

本周,美中外长、防长分别进行了通话沟通,即所谓 “坦诚且建设性”的对话。鉴于习近平和特朗普预计将于下月底出席在韩国举行的亚太经合组织庆州峰会,上述会谈或将为特朗普重返白宫以来两人首次面对面会晤铺路。

美中在农业问题上争执不下,北京谴责华盛顿“猖獗”的保护主义威胁着美国农民,而美方官员则批评中方未能履行2020年与特朗普首届政府达成的“第一阶段”经贸协议中所承诺的对大幅增加美国农产品的采购。他们指出,中国反而将采购转向了巴西和阿根廷。

贸易商和分析师表示,由于南美出口商抢占了大部分市场份额,美国大豆种植户在大豆主要销售季中期基本上错过了对华销售机会。目前尚不清楚马德里的会谈能否在农业或关税削减方面取得进展。

美国财政部提到,字节跳动旗下短视频应用TikTok也将列入会谈议程。贝森特曾透露称,TikTok问题并未在7月份的会议上讨论。特朗普上月开通了TikTok账户,并已将TikTok“不卖就禁”的法律先后延期到4月和6月,随后进一步展延至9月17日。 

美国财政部亦指,洗钱活动威胁着美中两国的经济,打击洗钱的合作也将列入马德里会谈的议程。

美国一直在寻求向中方施压,要求其更好地打击非法融资,部分原因是为了减缓军事和军民两用技术流向俄罗斯,用于其在乌克兰的战争。

美国财政部有权对为俄罗斯提供此类交易便利的中方银行进行制裁。尽管美方尚未采取这一举措,但此举将阻止这些机构获得美元资金。

Labour MPs despondent, says minister, as Mandelson follows Rayner out the door

12 September 2025 at 15:37
Reuters Peter MandelsonReuters

Scottish Secretary Douglas Alexander has said Labour MPs will be feeling "despondent" following a chaotic week which has seen the sacking of Lord Mandelson and the resignation of Angela Rayner.

Sir Keir Starmer is facing questions over why he appointed Mandelson as the UK's ambassador to the US despite his known links to the convicted paedophile Jeffery Epstein.

The government said Mandelson was dismissed after new information about the extent of the two men's friendship came out this week.

The prime minister is now in the position of searching for a new ambassador to Washington, just days before the US President arrives for a state visit.

Speaking to BBC Breakfast, Scottish Secretary Douglas Alexander said: "Many of us were devastated by [deputy PM] Angela Rayner's departure from the government last week.

"She's an extraordinary woman who's overcome the most extraordinary challenges and we are grieving and feel quite acutely that sense of loss.

"Now to have the dismissal of Peter Mandelson just the next week, I totally get it, of course Labour MPs will be despondent that in two weeks in a row we have seen significant resignations from public service.

"These are not the headlines any of us in government or in Parliament would have chosen or wanted.

"But the fact is when the evidence emerged, action had to be taken and we are looking forward, therefore, to moving on."

Some Labour MPs have expressed anger at how the situation with Mandelson has been handled.

Paula Barker - who dropped out of the deputy Labour leader race on Thursday - said: "The delay in sacking him has only served to further erode the trust and confidence in our government and politics in the round."

Charlotte Nichols said Mandelson's sacking was "not immediate enough unfortunately, as he should never have been appointed in the first place".

Sadik Al-Hassan said there were "serious questions about the vetting process of the ambassador".

Prince Harry vows to help war injured during surprise visit to Ukraine

12 September 2025 at 15:24
EPA An image of Prince Harry, who has short red hair and facial hair, wearing a blue suit jacket, white shirt and dark red tie against a dark brown background. He has a neutral expression.EPA

Prince Harry has visited Kyiv after an invitation by the Ukrainian government, the Guardian has reported.

The Duke of Sussex said he wanted to do "everything possible" to help the recovery of military staff injured in the war with Russia.

He is set to detail new initiatives to help the rehabilitation of those wounded during the trip alongside a team from his Invictus Games Foundation, the paper reports.

It comes after he met his father King Charles in London on Wednesday - their first face to face meeting since February 2024.

The prince said he was initially invited by the founder of the Superhumans Trauma Centre in Lviv, which he visited in April to meet war victims being rehabilitated.

Ahead of the visit, he told the Guardian: "We cannot stop the war but what we can do is do everything we can to help the recovery process."

"We can continue to humanise the people involved in this war and what they are going through."

Prince Harry launched the Invictus Games in 2014 for wounded veterans to compete in sports events. During its opening ceremony in 2022, when Ukraine's team was given special permission to compete by President Volodymyr Zelensky, the prince said the world was "united" with Ukraine.

Other members of the Royal Family have expressed support for Ukraine since Russia launched its full-scale invasion in February 2022.

The King welcomed Zelensky to his Sandringham estate in Norfolk in March, having previously said Ukraine had faced "indescribable aggression" from Russia.

The Prince of Wales, Harry's brother, met Ukrainian refugees during a two-day visit to Estonia in March - where he said their resilience was "amazing".

'We tracked down our mystery wedding crasher four years later'

12 September 2025 at 13:18
Belvedere Images A happy bride and groom walking back up the aisle after their wedding, with beaming smiles on their faces. Many of the guests are applauding them. Andrew Hillhouse can be seen in the background as one of the attendees, with a red ring overlain on the image to draw the eye to him.Belvedere Images
Michelle and John Wylie were bemused for years as to the identity of a stranger at their wedding

Michelle and John Wylie had a blissful November wedding four years ago at a boutique hotel on the South Ayrshire coast, surrounded by friends, loved ones – and one complete stranger.

The couple noticed the mystery wedding crasher only when they received photos of their big day – a tall man in a dark suit, with a noticeable look of puzzlement on his face.

They quizzed relatives, friends and staff at the venue, even asking the wedding photographer about the guest. No-one could provide any answers.

But now, after an internet sleuth joined the search, the mystery man has finally been identified.

Andrew Hillhouse, who was supposed to be a guest at another wedding two miles away, told BBC Scotland News he only realised he was at the wrong venue when the bride walked down the aisle.

Michelle and John were married on 20 November 2021 at the Carlton Hotel in Prestwick, surrounded by family and friends - or so they thought.

"It wasn't until I got the first few photos back from the photographer and me and my husband were looking at them that we went 'who's that?'," recalls Michelle, who lives in Kilmarnock.

"We started asking our parents first of all, then going through my aunties and the rest of the family, then my friends. Absolutely no-one knew who he was.

"Then we got on to the Carlton Hotel if they had an idea, but nope. We wondered if this was someone who had been helping bring the register down, but not a single person knew who he was."

Belvedere Images A young boy in a kilt and a girl holding flowers walk down the aisle at a wedding, watched by guestsBelvedere Images
Andrew (tall man on the left), shortly before he realised he was at the wrong wedding

A Facebook post by the bride did not provide any answers either, and as time passed trying to solve the mystery fell by the wayside.

However Michelle told the BBC it kept niggling away at the back of her mind.

"It would come into my head and I'd be like 'someone must know who this guy is'. I said a few times to my husband 'are you sure you don't know this guy, is he maybe from your work?'

"We wondered if he was a mad stalker."

Other theories included a new partner of the daughter of family friends or someone helping wedding photographer Steven Withers.

Then an appeal to content creator Dazza, asking him to share their pictures and attempt to track the wedding crasher down, finally revealed the man's identity.

Michelle and Andrew sitting next to each other and smiling at the camera. She has blonde hair and is wearing a patterned top in different tones of brown and a silver necklace. He has short, dark hair and is wearing a brown shirt with a geometric diamond-shaped pattern.
Michelle and Andrew are now Facebook friends and recently met in person

On that same Saturday in November 2021 Andrew Hillhouse was running late for a wedding. With five minutes to spare, he pulled up at the venue he'd been told to go to, hurried in, and took his seat.

His partner David was to be among the bridal party, and Andrew was relieved to be there on time.

It was when the bridal party began walking down the aisle that a sinking feeling crept in.

"I assumed David was in another room with the bride so the music starts up, everyone turns around to look at the bride and the second I see her I'm like 'oh no, that's not Michaela, what's going on here?'," he says.

"But I was committed at that point, because you can't walk out of a wedding in progress so I thought I better double down. I'm 6ft 2in and I'm taller than everyone else, so I was trying to hunch down a bit and get out the way.

"I was just sitting there thinking 'please, let this be over with'."

Andrew's partner had given him completely the wrong venue - the wedding he was supposed to be attending was taking place at the Great Western Hotel in Ayr.

He only knew his partner and the bride to be, which is why he didn't raise any eyebrows at not recognising anyone else in attendance.

"There was a piper playing outside, and all these well dressed people, so I thought I was in the right place."

Once the ceremony ended, Andrew, who is from Troon, headed for the exit to phone David, only to find he couldn't escape just yet.

"I make a beeline for the doors, and hear 'can we get everyone together for a picture' and I was just going 'noooo' inside.

"So you can see my big head in the back row, trying to get out the way."

Belvedere Images A wedding ceremony, with the bride and groom facing each other and guests watching onBelvedere Images
The couple's wedding was attended by friends, family and one panicking stranger

Andrew was finally able to get out, though he admittedly took a drink of cola on the way. He phoned his partner to ask where they were, and it was only then he realised how far away he'd been sent.

"He told me they were taking photos at the fountain, and I'm looking around going 'where is this fountain?' Eventually I asked where they were and he tells me they're at the hotel in Ayr."

He was then able to go the actual wedding he was planning to attend, where his mishap provided a fun tale for the other guests.

Andrew Hillhouse A man sitting by a washing machine with a drill in his hand, carrying out repairs. He is wearing a Sex Pistols shirt.Andrew Hillhouse
Andrew Hillhouse inadvertently crashed the Wylies wedding

Finally a friend sent him the social media appeal, and he was able to explain online why he was there four years ago.

Andrew's explanation for his unintentional gate-crashing on Dazza's social media post garnered more than 600 comments and over 29,000 likes.

It has also put him in touch with the bride Michelle - the pair are now Facebook friends and have since met in person to share a laugh about their unlikely connection.

"I could not stop laughing," says Michelle.

"We can't believe we've found out who he is after almost four years."

"Michelle said I'd been haunting her for years," Andrew adds.

"It was much easier to crash a wedding than I'd have thought – I was in and out like an assassin, even if I only got a bottle of cola for it all!"

UK economy saw zero growth in July

12 September 2025 at 15:41
Getty Images A young woman with long straight dark hair in a ponytail wearing a navy and white striped apron and cleaning a table with a cloth in one hand and a spray in the otherGetty Images

The UK economy failed to grow in July, according to the latest official figures.

The Office for National Statistics said the economy saw zero growth in the month, following a 0.4% expansion in June.

The government is under mounting pressure to deliver on its key priority of boosting economic growth as the next Budget is coming up.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves will outline the government's tax and spending plans on 26 November with increasing speculation she will have to raise taxes.

What the NHS can learn from the European country that helped more people survive cancer

12 September 2025 at 07:59
BBC Chemotherapy chairBBC

"It was really bad – we had patients dying on the waiting lists – politicians were getting desperate."

Jesper Fisker, chief executive of the Danish Cancer Society, is looking back 25 years - to the moment Denmark decided to transform its approach to treating cancer.

At that point, he says, the country did not have a strong record.

"It was a disaster," he recalls. "We saw Danish patients out of their own pocket paying for tickets to China to get all sorts of treatments – endangering their health."

Some went to private hospitals in Germany that offered new treatments unavailable in Denmark.

Back then, Denmark's record on cancer was low compared to that of other rich countries. But so was the UK's.

From 1995 to 1999, Denmark's five-year survival rate for rectal cancer was essentially tied with the UK's, on around 48%, according to the International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership, a research body. It put both nations well below countries like Australia, which had a 59% rate.

Now, thanks to a bold plan, Denmark's performance on cancer has jumped ahead. By 2014, its five-year survival rate for rectal cancer had risen to 69%, close to Australia's. (The UK's rose too, but only to 62%.)

Analysts think the trend has probably continued (though these are the most up-to-date figures available). And it's a similar story for other cancers, including colon, stomach, and lung.

This Danish success story has caught the attention of UK policymakers. Health Secretary Wes Streeting says that aspects of the Danish model are feeding into government plans.

Some could well be included in a new long-term cancer plan for England, due to be published in the autumn.

So, what's their secret, and can the NHS learn from Denmark?

Big investments and thoughtful touches

Walking today into Herlev Hospital on the outskirts of Copenhagen makes for a rather different experience to arriving at an average NHS hospital.

The foyer is hung with bright, vivid paintings by the Danish artist Poul Gernes. There are 65 in all.

The philosophy is that endless white walls can unnerve patients, while colour can be a pleasant distraction from their problems.

Getty Images Herlev Hospital, DenmarkGetty Images
Herlev Hospital near Copenhagen, opened in the 1970s

It is a sign of the attention Denmark has paid to even the atmosphere of hospitals - small, thoughtful touches, alongside investment in more traditional equipment.

Dr Michael Andersen, a consultant radiologist and associate professor at the hospital, shows off a high-tech scanner, only the fourth of its kind used by any hospital around the world.

Buying hospital equipment like this - particularly scanners - has been central to Denmark's cancer strategy.

"In 2008 the government made the decision to make a heavy investment into scanner systems," Dr Andersen explains. "They purchased between 30 and 60 - they're an integral part of the way we work."

Particularly important for cancer are CT scanners, which look deep inside a person's body. Denmark now has about 30 of them per million people - the average of other rich countries stands at 25.9.

The UK, meanwhile, lags way behind with just 8.8 scanners per million people, according to the 2021 figures.

Getty Images King Frederik X of Denmark and Queen Mary of Denmark look at a brightly colour art work Getty Images
Vivid artwork by the Danish artist Poul Gernes appears in the hospital. (King Frederik and Queen Mary of Denmark look at his work at the Espoo Museum of Modern Art)

The investment in cancer equipment, according to experts, led to a huge expansion in diagnostic capacity in Denmark. Unless funding to meet increasing patient demand is made, they argue, England could continue to lag behind on the quality of care.

This all comes despite the fact that Denmark's health spending hasn't seen a huge boost.

Calculated by spending per head of the population, Denmark is ahead; but as a share of national income, its health spending is similar to, and in fact slightly below that of the UK's.

A bold set of plans

This is just one part of a bold plan drawn up by Danish health leaders. Along with introducing new equipment, and rethinking the atmosphere of hospitals, they also made it possible for patients to be treated with chemotherapy at home.

New national standards govern how quickly Danes must be treated: following a referral, a cancer diagnosis has to be given within two weeks. Then, if treatment is required, it has to start within the two weeks of diagnosis.

If these targets are not met patients have the right to transfer to another hospital - or, failing that, another country - whilst still being funded by the Danish health system.

This is quite a contrast to the UK nations. Here, the target is for patients to start treatment within around nine weeks (officially, 62 days) of an urgent cancer referral.

Getty Creative CT-scan-machine (MRI scanner at hospital)Getty Creative
The investment in equipment, including CT scanners, led to a huge expansion in diagnostic capacity in Denmark, say experts

Michelle Mitchell, chief executive of Cancer Research UK, believes that there is a lack of accountability in the English health system specifically, with too many NHS organisations. Addressing this, she says, should improve the quality of cancer care.

"That means clarity over who in the government and NHS is responsible for delivering each part of the plan.

"Ultimately, responsibility for the success or failure of the plan should rest with the health and social care secretary."

She points out that there are similarities between England and Denmark's state-run health systems - for example, the roughly similar amount they spend on health as a share of national income, meaning Denmark's example could be followed in England.

But this would require a long-term plan, political leadership, higher investment, more cancer screening, and stronger targets. Which is no easy feat.

Going beyond just 'treating' cancer

Elisabeth Ketelsen, who is 82, is an active person, still swimming in international events - she has broken world records for her age group. But in 2022, she discovered a lump in her breast.

"I saw the doctor on Monday – on the following Thursday I had mammography and a biopsy and from then on it went so quickly my head was spinning, almost."

Elisabeth Ketelsen Two images: Elisabeth Ketelsen with a medal and Elisabeth Ketelsen while swimmingElisabeth Ketelsen
After her cancer returned, Elisabeth Ketelsen was put on chemotherapy pills and hormone treatment

Just three weeks after the diagnosis Elisabeth, who is from Denmark, had surgery. Radiotherapy started two weeks later.

Last year, the cancer reappeared in her spine and she was immediately prescribed chemotherapy pills and hormone treatment. The cancer stabilised and she has come off chemotherapy.

She has since returned to the swimming pool, competing at an event in Singapore.

"The system works," she tells me.

Not all Danish patients are as complimentary, of course, but Danish health officials say their targets for rapid cancer diagnosis are being met for about 80% of their patients.

Getty Images Queen Mary pictured in a bright blue suit with other people ina  room with a tree and soft furnishingsGetty Images
Queen Mary of Denmark visits the Counselling Centre at Herlev Hospital earlier this year

This all comes down to the idea that Danish authorities are not just trying to treat cancer; they're also keen to improve the experience of patients.

Counselling houses, where therapy and companionship are offered to patients, have opened up across the country. These are funded largely by the voluntary sector with a small amount of state funding. (These follow a similar model as the Maggie's cancer support charity in the UK.)

Mette Engel, who runs a counselling centre in Copenhagen, tells me mental health is very important in Denmark's cancer plan.

"We see ourselves as a national part of this support system."

Benefits of chemotherapy at home

Denmark's move to start treating more cancer patients away from hospitals is also part of this wider shift of Danish healthcare from hospitals into communities.

Michael Ziegler, mayor of Høje-Taastrup Municipality near Copenhagen, was diagnosed with leukaemia in 2022. After a stem cell transplant, he was back at work within seven months.

Ziegler had chemotherapy in his own home, using what's known as a chemo pump.

"I could have some quality of life, being able to do things at home I wanted to do instead of being stuck in a hospital room," he says.

"I also think at hospitals there is always at risk of getting infections. The chemo has the effect of reducing my immune system to a very low level so I am vulnerable to infections."

Getty Images A cancer patient in hospitalGetty Images
"I could have some quality of life instead of being stuck in a hospital room," says one patient who had chemotherapy at home in Denmark

There haven't yet been any major studies and so hard data is limited, but it's thought by some that at-home chemo could potentially boost survival chances by lowering the risk of a patient catching an infection while in hospital.

His cancer has since returned and he will be restarting treatment, including more chemotherapy and a new stem cell transplant.

He says he is "feeling optimistic".

A blueprint for the NHS?

The Danish health system has certain parallels with the NHS - not least as both are mainly funded by taxpayers.

The two nations also face similar challenges when considering the overall health of the population. Alcohol consumption is similar in both nations, though obesity levels in Denmark are lower and smoking rates are higher. (One Danish health leader told me that they were envious of UK initiatives on smoking, with the minimum age for tobacco sales rising each year.)

However, there are certain challenges specific to the UK: the population of England, for example, is nearly 10 times larger than Denmark's population. And the NHS is a complex organisation.

Still, ministers have made no secret of their interest in the Danish system, with an official visit earlier this year.

Wes Streeting, the UK Health Secretary, says: "Denmark's healthcare system is known the world over for its excellence, having transformed outcomes through its cancer plans, and Health Minister Karin Smyth's trip to the country earlier this year offered us vital insights up close."

Mr Streeting says these insights have "fed into" government health plans to "speed up cancer diagnoses and deliver cutting edge treatments to the NHS front line quicker".

Michelle Mitchell of Cancer Research UK agrees that Denmark offers a useful template. "They are diagnosing cancer earlier, people are surviving longer, more people are taking up screening – all of those factors as well as investment in workforce and kit are critical components of a cancer plan."

She argues that British health ministers could move towards Danish-style national waiting time targets rather than the UK's current system of "benchmarks", which are weaker and haven't been met since 2015.

'This is unfinished business'

The greater challenge for the NHS though, is that there are so many other problems - crowded A&E departments, overstretched staff and, as one analyst put it, "multiple fires burning" - meaning that it can be difficult to persuade health leaders to focus on cancer survival.

Ruth Thorlby, assistant director of policy at The Health Foundation think tank, says that policymakers in London and Copenhagen both realised at the same time, in the 1990s, that cancer needed urgent attention and urgent plans were drawn up.

But whilst Danish policymakers saw policies through, she argues that in the UK the momentum "dissipated", as other priorities and short-term problems emerged.

"This is unfinished business - over the last decade there has been a move away from cancer plans," she says.

PA Wire A member of staff on a NHS hospital wardPA Wire
Ruth Thorlby says that while Denmark stuck with its cancer plans, the UK lost momentum as other priorities took over

At the heart of Denmark's success was a sense of political consensus. From the 1990s onwards, figures from all major parties agreed that cancer should be a priority. This is a level of agreement the UK has not managed to reach, she says.

Mr Fisker of the Danish Cancer Society argues that the usual cut-and-thrust of party politics needs to be set aside. "Politicians must promise each other there is going to be a long, lasting partnership. And health leaders need to operate on a 10-, 15-, 20-year basis," he says - longer than the life of any one government or party.

But does he think that's possible in the UK? After all, Westminster is not known for much long-term, cross-party thinking.

"If you are really decisive, if you really want to do this and are committed to it over a period of time, and you are also ready to invest then I think it can be done," he says.

With a pause, he adds: "Nothing comes without investment."

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再有「香港议会」被通缉者在港家人被国安带走助查 月内第三人

12 September 2025 at 16:15
12/09/2025 - 09:49

港府继续以株连手法,带走因参与「香港议会」而被通缉者在港家人助查,今次是吴文君在港的父亲,吴父昨(11日)被国安处人员带到上水警署,调查数小时后才能离开,成为「香港议会」被港府定性为颠覆组织而通缉涉事 19人后丶一个月内第三名被通缉者在港家人被国安带走调查。

现年28岁的吴文君,2020年7月到台湾后加入「香港民主建国联盟」,担任外务主席兼发言人,并于今年初参选「香港议会」,当选後於7月25日被港国安警悬红20万港元通缉,同年8月4日再被港府列为「指明潜逃者」。消息称,国安警的行动,是要针对「指明潜逃者」相关的重点联系人作调查,截断逃犯的联系网络和资金链,打击与潜逃者在港的联系网络。

较早前,因参加「香港议会」被通缉的姜嘉伟和钱宝芬,他们在港的家人已先后在8月中被国安警带到警署助查。另外,19岁的香港女子蓝菲被指为「香港议会」拍摄宣传短片,从外地返港后被国安警拘捕,在上月被起诉涉违反《维护国家安全条例》(即《基本法》23条)下的煽动罪(俗称新煽动罪)。

日本206名国会议员要求日本政府承认巴勒斯坦国

12 September 2025 at 16:15
12/09/2025 - 09:57

9月11日13时05分起,日本外务大臣岩屋毅会见了由超党派“人道外交议员联盟”一行的来访。超党派“人道外交议员联盟”事务局长、立宪民主党众议院议员阿部知子递交了由执政党与在野党共206名国会议员签署的请求书,要求日本政府承认巴勒斯坦为国家。议员联盟方面还要求日本在22日于美国纽约,由法国和沙特阿拉伯主办的巴勒斯坦问题首脑级会议上,像英国、法国、加拿大等国一样,宣布承认巴勒斯坦为国家。

据悉,日本政府正在讨论承认的时机。岩屋表示:“206名议员的签名分量很重,加沙的现状也不能坐视不管”,并对此表达了深刻的忧虑。

阿部议员等强调鉴于加沙日益恶化的人道状况,日本应与国际社会一道推动实现永久停火,并加快承认巴勒斯坦为国家的步伐。

对此,岩屋大臣回应称,加沙的现状绝对不能忽视,日本强烈担忧如果以色列在加沙和约旦河西岸的行动继续下去,两国方案的前提将彻底崩溃。他还表示,日前已向以色列外长吉迪恩·萨尔明确传达了日本的立场。

最后,岩屋大臣重申,日本一贯支持“两国方案”,并表示在承认巴勒斯坦作为国家等问题上,将继续从推动和平进程的角度进行全面审慎的研究。

联合国大会9月5日决定,和平解决巴勒斯坦问题和落实“两国方案”高级别国际会议将于9月22日、即联大高级别周期间恢复举行。以色列和美国代表均发言表明不支持这一决定。美国代表称,美国将不参加9月22日的会议。



中国与印尼启动双边交易本币结算 范围扩大至国际收支项目

12 September 2025 at 15:37

中国与印度尼西亚启动双边交易本币结算,范围扩大至国际收支全部项目。

据中国人民银行官网消息,中国人民银行与印尼央行星期四(9月11日)共同启动双边交易本币结算(LCT)框架和二维码互联互通合作项目。

今年5月,在中国总理李强和印尼总统普拉博沃见证下,两国央行签署合作备忘录,将2020年建立的促进经常账户交易和直接投资本币结算框架升级为LCT框架,将本币结算范围拓展至国际收支全部项目,以进一步便利本币在双边贸易和投资中的使用。

中国—印尼跨境二维码互联互通项目正式启动双向试点运行。该项目预计于今年内正式全面投产,采用本币结算方式,是双方支付合作的重要进展。

中国央行行长潘功胜指出,建立双边交易本币结算框架和跨境支付二维码互联互通是中印尼双边金融合作的重要成果。近年来,中印尼金融合作持续深化发展,得益于两国不断加深的政治互信,也顺应了两国日益紧密经贸关系发展的需要。

潘功胜倡议两国继续深化在支付系统联通、本币使用、金融市场开放联通以及数字货币等领域的合作。

中方新闻稿引述印尼央行行长佩里·瓦吉约说,今年1至7月,印尼和中国在LCT框架下的本币结算规模达到62.3亿美元(约79.8亿新元),占印尼与所有贸易伙伴本币结算总规模的45%。

佩里·瓦吉约说,这次活动旨在增进市场对LCT框架的了解和参与,反映了两国对于深化金融系统互联互通,共同提升金融安全性和包容性的美好愿景。未来,印尼央行将继续与中国央行密切合作,深化金融创新和一体化发展。

潘功胜星期四也同佩里·瓦吉约举行会谈,就双边金融合作交换了意见。双方一致决定建立两国央行联合工作机制,以进一步提高双边合作机制化水平,推动金融合作走深走实。

日本海上自卫队首次确认中国最大航母福建舰

12 September 2025 at 15:04

日本海上自卫队确认到中国海军最先进航母“福建舰”在尖阁诸岛(中国称钓鱼岛)西北的东海上航行。福建舰是继辽宁舰、山东舰后的中国第三艘航母,这是日本自卫队首次确认到该舰。

日本共同社报道,日本防卫省统合幕僚监部介绍,福建舰星期四(9月11日)下午1时左右与两艘导弹驱逐舰一起在鱼钓岛(冲绳县)西北约200公里的海域向西南航行,驶向了台湾海峡。该舰未做出靠近日本领海的动作。日方未发现有航母舰载机。海自P-3C巡逻机实施了警戒监视和信息收集。

报道称,福建舰是首艘配备了舰载机电磁弹射系统的中国航母,强化了舰载机运用能力。如果该舰入列,中国进入三航母时代,那么对东海、南海与台湾的影响将扩大,因此日美韩等加强了警戒。

中国大陆制裁首名日参议员石平与台驻日代表李逸洋会面

12 September 2025 at 14:57

中国大陆制裁的首名日本参议员石平,有台湾驻日本代表李逸洋会面。

石平星期三(9月10日)在X平台分享与李逸洋会面的照片,并称与李逸洋进行友好的对谈,从他身上学到很多东西。李逸洋同日也在驻日代表处官网附上两人的合影,并称两人就进一步强化台日关系交换意见。

中国大陆外交部星期一(8日)在官网通报,从即日起对石平实施制裁。他被指长期在台湾、钓鱼岛、历史、涉疆、涉藏、涉港等问题上散布谬论,公然参拜靖国神社,严重违背中日四个政治文件精神和一个中国原则,严重干涉中国内政,严重损害中国主权和领土完整。

日本官方同日提出交涉,要求中国政府尽快撤回相关措施。

石平星期三在X平台感谢台湾国安会秘书长吴钊燮对他给予声援。

吴钊燮星期二(9日)在X平台用日文写道,“我总说,如果中国政府生气,因为你做了对的事情。如果你被中国政府制裁,证明你的工作做得很好。欢迎加入被制裁人士俱乐部。我是其中一员。”

In the Pacific, Unkept U.S. Promises on Climate Cut Deep

12 September 2025 at 12:01
Pacific island nations have seen American pledges and attention come and go with geopolitical winds. Recent U.S. pullbacks are met with disappointment but not surprise.

© Matthew Abbott for The New York Times

Rising waters during a heavy storm and high tide on Fanalei Island, in the Solomon Islands, in January. With each tide creeping higher, villagers fear their island may soon become uninhabitable.

查理·柯克之死:美国离失去一切更近了一步

12 September 2025 at 03:28

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查理·柯克之死:美国离失去一切更近了一步

EZRA KLEIN
Cheney Orr/Reuters
自由社会的根基在于人们能参与政治而无需担心暴力。失去这一点意味着可能失去一切。查理·柯克——以及他的家人——刚刚失去了一切。而作为一个国家,我们也向失去一切又迈进了一步。
其实,我们朝着这个方向滑坡已有一段时间。2020年,绑架密歇根州州长格雷琴·惠特默的阴谋被联邦调查局挫败。2021年,一群暴徒冲击国会山,企图推翻选举结果,当时民主党和共和党全国委员会总部还发现了管状炸弹。2022年,一名男子闯入时任众议院议长南希·佩洛西的家中,意图绑架她。佩洛西当时不在家,但闯入者用锤子袭击了她82岁的丈夫保罗,致其颅骨骨折。2024年,特朗普总统遭遇未遂暗杀。同年,联合健康集团首席执行官布莱恩·汤普森遇害身亡。
2025年逾越节期间,有人向宾夕法尼亚州州长乔希·夏皮罗的家中投掷燃烧瓶。明尼苏达州前众议院议长梅丽莎·霍特曼及其丈夫被杀,州参议员约翰·霍夫曼及其妻子遭枪击重伤。而周三,“美国转折点”创始人柯克在犹他谷大学演讲时遭枪击身亡。
即便你很不认同柯克的诸多观点,以下说法依然成立:柯克的政治实践方式无可指摘。他走进校园,与所有愿意交流的人对话。他是这个时代最擅长说服他人的人之一。当左派以为自己几乎完全掌控了大学生的思想时,柯克一次又一次地出现,试图打破这种掌控。起初非常缓慢,然后突然之间,他做到了——2024年大选中,大学年龄段选民大幅转向右翼。
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这并非全是柯克的功劳,但他在其中起到了核心的奠基作用。我不认识柯克,也不是为他致悼词的合适人选。但我羡慕他的成就。在民主制度中,乐于接受分歧是一种美德。自由主义本就需要更多他身上那种勇气与无畏。加州州长加文·纽森在自己播客的第一集中邀请了柯克,还坦言自己的儿子是他的铁杆粉丝。这足以证明柯克的影响力。
在社交媒体上,我看到,对柯克之死的反应大多还算得体。左派和右派都表达了悲痛与震惊。但我也看到两种有误导性的反应——尽管引发这些反应的愤怒或恐惧不难理解。一种来自左派,将柯克的死与其观点挂钩——毕竟,他曾为第二修正案辩护,甚至承认这意味着要接受无辜者的死亡。另一种来自右派,将他的遇害作为全面开战的正当理由,仿佛这是我们这个时代的国会纵火案
但正如前面罗列的事件所揭示的:政治暴力一旦升级,绝不可能仅仅发生在你的敌对阵营。即便真能如此,那也会是一个充满恐怖的世界,一个崩塌为最不可逆转的非自由状态的社会。
政治暴力是一种病毒,具有传染性。美国历史上曾有过政治暴力肆虐的时期。20世纪60年代,约翰·F·肯尼迪、马尔科姆·X、马丁·路德·金、罗伯特·F·肯尼迪和梅德加·埃弗斯相继遇刺。70年代,乔治·华莱士州长遭未遂暗杀幸存,杰拉尔德·福特在一个月内遭遇两次暗杀未遂。1981年,罗纳德·里根遇刺,小约翰·欣克利的子弹击中他的肋骨后反弹,击穿了肺部,总统侥幸生还。这些刺客和未遂刺客动机各异、政见不同、精神状态也各不一样。但当政治暴力变成一件可以想象的事情——无论是作为政治工具,还是成名捷径——它就会开始不加选择地感染宿主。
美国政治存在对立阵营,这一点无需回避。但双方本应致力于同一个更大的目标——至少我们大多数人都在努力维护这场美利坚实验的生命力。我们能接受选举失利,因为相信下一次选举仍有希望;我们能接受争论落败,因为相信还会有下一次争论。政治暴力却危及这一切。
我和柯克在多数政治争论中站在对立面,但在美国政治前景仍有可能性这一点上,我们立场一致。政治本该是争论,而非战争;本该用言语取胜,而非用子弹终结。我希望柯克平安,既是为他,也是为我自己,为我们共同的更大目标。对夏皮罗、霍夫曼、霍特曼、汤普森、特朗普、佩洛西、惠特默而言,亦是如此。我们要么全都平安,要么无人幸免。

Ezra Klein2021年加入时报观点版面。他曾是Vox的创始人和主编,后担任特约编辑;他还主持播客节目《The Ezra Klein Show》,并著有《Why We’re Polarized》。更早以前,他是《华盛顿邮报》的专栏作者和编辑,创办并领导了Wonkblog。欢迎在Threads上关注他。

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台专家预测福建舰或“十一”成军 恐动摇台澎防卫作战基础

12 September 2025 at 14:37

中国大陆海军星期五(9月12日)通报,大陆第三艘航空母舰福建舰通过台湾海峡,赴南中国海相关海域开展科研试验和训练任务。台湾军事专家预测福建舰可能会在10月1日成军,并警告解放军一旦具备三支可作战的航母战斗群时,台军在台澎的防卫作战基础很可能因此被动摇。

大陆官媒新华社引述海军新闻发言人冷国伟海军大校星期五介绍,这次组织福建舰跨区试验训练,是航母建造过程中的正常安排,不针对任何特定目标。台湾国防部则表示,台军运用联合情监侦手段对此全程掌握。

联合新闻网星期五引述中华战略前瞻协会研究员揭仲推测,北京很可能会在10月1日举行福建舰的成军典礼,但因之后还需进行舰载机联队的训练,整个航舰战斗群也需要出海进行组合与作战训练。因此福建舰真正具备执行作战任务的能力,还需一些时间。

揭仲研判,福建舰真正具备作战能力时,意味着解放军拥有三支航母战斗群,理论上就能做到“一艘在港维修、一艘率战斗群在南海进行训练、一艘率战斗群在台湾东面的西太平洋水域巡弋”。

换言之,当解放军拥有三艘航舰后,就可能一年中绝大多数时间都有航舰战斗群在西太平洋的战术位置巡弋。

揭仲说,这项新趋势可能造成两个后果;第一,台军无法在解放军航母战斗群进入西太平洋前,先在各战略水道进行截击。

第二,台军海空军在台湾东部的战力保存区,可能直接暴露在解放军航母战斗群的打击火力范围内,导致台军的战力保存计划遭到严重挑战。

揭仲解释,根据原本设想,当解放军航母在对台作战的关键阶段中,尝试从宫古、巴士与巴林塘海峡等海峡进入西太平洋时,由于这些水道比较狭窄,提供台军F-16战斗机、潜舰、甚至水面舰的雄三导弹机会,向航行在这些水道中的解放军航母战斗群发动攻击。

不过,当解放军可常态化在西太平洋部署航母战斗群时,台军甚至美军想利用解放军穿越战略水道时发动攻击的构想,可能付诸东流。

另一方面,根据台军目前的台澎防卫作战计划,当解放军出现对台动武的明显征兆时,台军海空军主力会转往西太平洋海上,以及花莲佳山与台东石子山洞库保存战力。

但如果解放军能常态化在台湾东面部署航母战斗群,不仅台军舰队会直接暴露在解放军航母战斗群的射程范围,连台空军在花莲佳山与台东石子山的坑道口,也会失去中央山脉屏障。

揭仲并指出,福建舰可搭载空警-600固定翼预警机,作战半径、雷达侦测距离都超越以往,使福建舰的远程防御范围,大幅延伸到600公里,高于领两艘航母辽宁舰、山东舰的185至400公里。台军搭载鱼叉导弹(射程270公里)的F-16战机,届时需冒更大风险、深入解放军的远程防空范围才能发动攻击。

美台将达成贸易协议 台行政院:关税谈判有一定进展

12 September 2025 at 14:17

美国商务部长卢特尼克受访时表示,美台将达成重大的贸易协议。对此,台湾行政院经贸谈判办公室回应称,台美关税谈判有一定进展。

据中天新闻网报道,行政院经贸谈判办公室星期五(9月12日)应询时说,台美关税谈判持续推进,双方皆肯认有一定进展,目前有待美国安排总结性会商。

经贸办强调,由于目前的暂时性对等关税对台湾产业带来冲击影响,因此台方希望透过达成协议,争取更好、更合理的对等关税税率,以及232关税优惠待遇,若有相关进展将适时向各界说明。

台湾《自由时报》引述知情人士称,卢特尼克指的“重大协议(big deal)”是对等关税和232条款一起处理。

此前,台谈判团队一直强调,既要争取美国调降关税,也期盼能与攸关晶片关税的232条款一起谈,但当时仅台方表达期待。

如果诚如上述知情人士所言,台美谈判最新进度或是,美国已同意把台湾的对等关税与232条款一起谈。像欧盟一样,他们的晶片关税与一般关税皆同时降为15%。

卢特尼克星期四(11日)接受CNBC访问时说,美台将达成重大的贸易协议,但未说明协议的具体内容。

苹果合作伙伴云上贵州大数据董事长被查

12 September 2025 at 14:00

云上贵州大数据集团有限公司党委书记、董事长徐昊涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受贵州省纪委监委纪律审查和监察调查。公司为苹果在中国大陆运营iCloud服务唯一合作伙伴。

贵州省纪委监委星期五(9月12日)公布上述消息。

公开资料显示,徐昊1968年9月出生,浙江宁波人,于2023年12月被推荐为云上贵州大数据(集团)有限公司董事、董事长人选。

云上贵州官网显示,云上贵州大数据(集团)有限公司于2018年2月正式挂牌成立,注册资本17亿元,是由贵州省政府批复成立的省属国有大一型企业,致力于服务全省大数据战略行动和国家大数据(贵州)综合试验区建设。该公司也是苹果公司在中国大陆运营iCloud服务的唯一合作伙伴。

徐昊最近一次出现在公众面前,是8月27日,在2025中国国际大数据产业博览会召开之际,贵州大数据集团与三六零数字安全科技集团有限公司在“爽爽贵阳”举行战略合作签约仪式。360集团创始人、董事长兼CEO周鸿祎,贵州大数据集团党委书记、董事长徐昊出席仪式并致辞。

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