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Today — 14 September 2025News

非洲游说华盛顿延长两年AGOA

14 September 2025 at 04:15
13/09/2025 - 22:03

在距离原定2025年09月30日到期的美国[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)失效还有两周之际,马达加斯加牵头率领一支非洲游说团正在华盛顿,寻求美国延长(prolonger)或更新(renouveler)[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)。这是本台法广非洲组(RFI Afrique)当前法文报道的关注焦点之一。美国的[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)允许部分撒哈拉以南非洲国家以免税或优惠税率出口数千种产品到美国,尤其是纺织品。马达加斯加认为,美国也是其[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)的受益方。 

综合本台法广非洲组(RFI Afrique)自2025年09月12日周五起刊出的多篇法文报道。马达加斯加正在努力游说美国,争取保住[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)。在矿业部长以及纺织和香草企业团体代表的陪同下,马达加斯加商业部长达维德·拉兰博菲林加(David Ralambofiringa)自2025年09月08日星期一起,在华盛顿开始寻求说服美国延长或更新[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)。美国的这一协定将于2025年9月30日到期。如果无法继续享受关税豁免,对非洲受益国家竞争力的损害将是巨大的。

-- 马达加斯加牵头游说美国延长[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA) --

从09月08星期一起至09月13日星期六晚,来自马达加斯加公私部门的一支代表团正在向美国展示这个非洲大岛国的优势,力图华盛顿延长《非洲增长与机会法》(AGOA)。昨天,在白宫的非洲事务主管的办公室里,由马达加斯加贸易部长、矿业部长以及马达加斯加驻华盛顿大使率领的代表团给美方拿出了他们最有力的理由——首先就有战略性矿产资源。

Paniers de vanille verte fraîchement récoltée à Sambava.
存档图片 / 马达加斯加的香草出口80%是销往美国,香草是提取工业中一个关键。 Image archive / Madagascar : «La vanille, qui est à destination des États-Unis pour 80% de ses volumes, est clé dans l'industrie de l'extraction». (illustration) Sarah Tétaud/RFI

本台法广(RFI)非洲通讯员萨拉(Sarah)今天2025年09月13日星期六发自安塔那那利佛的报道注意到,马达加斯加商业部长在华盛顿表示,非洲大岛上蕴藏了大量关键矿产资源可供出口。

-- 美国的[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)将在两周后九月末到期 --

同一报道说,美国的这项法律允许部分撒哈拉以南非洲国家的商品以免税或减税的方式进入美国市场。对马达加斯加而言,失去这一协定的优惠,将对岛国经济带来极其严重的打击。目前,马达加斯加的出口商品有13%是销往美国。安塔那那利佛当局希望,美国的[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)能够至少延长两年,以便这一协定有机会重新回到白宫的经济议程上。

Logótipo do20.º Fórum de Cooperação Económica e Comercial EUA-África.
美国的[非洲增长与机会法] [AGOA] - African Growth and Opportunity Act © AGOA

本台法广非洲组(RFI Afrique)的报道还提到,非洲方面认为,美国也是其[非洲增长与机会法](AGOA)的受益方。石墨(Graphite)、镍(nickel) 、钴(cobalt)、独居石(monazite)等矿物,广泛存在于马达加斯加的地下,是生产高科技和国防电子元件所必需的材料。显而易见,开发和利用这些资源,对美国的多个产业具有重大吸引力。美国在2025年6月就已提议马达加斯加入盟“矿产安全伙伴关系”(Mineral Security Partnership)。这是一个由矿物生产国和采购国组成的战略联盟。马达加斯加代表团成员、该国香草出口商团体主席指出,马达加斯加的香草出口80%是销往美国,香草是提取工业中一个关键。

Une carte de Madagascar. Data archive
法广(RFI)存档地图 / 非洲:印度洋岛国马达加斯加及其首都安塔那那利佛(Antananarivo)。 RFI carte archive / Afrique : Madagascar et sa capitale Antananarivo. © FMM RFI Studio graphique

( 翻译和编辑:法广 RFI 电台 尼古拉 

~. Fin .~



Deep in grief, Charlie Kirk’s supporters say his work is just beginning

Charlie Kirk emboldened a new generation of conservatives. His killing Wednesday as he addressed a crowd on a college campus has left those he brought into politics grieving — and vowing to continue his mission.

Nearly every young conservative staffer in Washington was involved with Kirk’s enormous youth organizing group Turning Point USA, whether through a college campus chapter or its national and regional conventions. That created a pipeline of young conservatives, who are now looking to cement his legacy in next year's midterms and beyond.

“I was passionate before and this movement was important, but now it’s personal,” said 19-year-old commentator Brilyn Hollyhand, who met Kirk when, at 11 years old, he asked Kirk to appear on his podcast. “We have a martyr.”

Young men have become key to the coalition that elected President Donald Trump to his second term, a trend that many in the movement credit to Kirk.

Kirk was divisive — beloved by a generation that is shifting rightward; castigated for controversial and antagonistic remarks that critics deemed hate speech.

But that divisiveness helped him gain national attention and turn out young voters for Trump, particularly Republicans in Arizona, which flipped to Trump in 2024. In 2020, Trump lost young men by 11 points, according to Catalist data. In 2024, he won them by 1 point. And his vote share among young women improved too — from a 35-point deficit in 2020 to a 23-point gap four years later.

Kirk’s killing this week “has awakened an army of believers,” said 25-year-old activist Isabella DeLuca, who was arrested in 2024 for her role in the Jan. 6, 2021, riot at the U.S. Capitol and pardoned by Trump in January.

“We are at war for the soul of this nation. I will not retreat. I will advance,” DeLuca said. “Charlie’s voice did not die with him. It will live through us.”

Hollyhand, who has worked closely with Turning Point, said he hopes to return to Utah and continue the “American Comeback” tour, which kicked off the day Kirk was shot. On Friday, Republican Utah Gov. Spencer Cox announced that law enforcement had apprehended a suspect in the shooting, 22-year-old Utah resident Tyler Robinson, who a judge ordered to be held without the option of bail. Formal charges against Robinson are expected to be announced next week.

The rightward shift among young people is largely credited to Kirk’s megaphone, as well as his grassroots political organization, which he founded at 18. It quickly grew to more than 800 chapters on college campuses, with more than 250,000 student members nationwide.

Turning Point “is what got me interested in politics,” said 24-year-old White House assistant press secretary Taylor Rogers, who founded Clemson University’s first chapter in the fall of 2020.

“That’s what truly guided my career in politics and where I am now,” Rogers added. “It was really Turning Point and their resources that were able to jumpstart the career of a young conservative like me.”

Kirk has a huge social media platform — he posted TikTok videos of him debating college students to more than eight million followers and hosted a popular podcast. It is likely to be hard for the movement left in his wake to replicate the charisma and political organizing skills of Kirk, who also had a direct line to Trump and Vice President JD Vance.

Kirk’s critics noted he utilized provocative language to roil national debate and normalize fringe theories. Some of his most memorable exchanges come from clips of his inflammatory back-and-forths with liberals over LGBTQ+ rights, restrictions on firearms and gender roles.

Kirk once called abortion in the U.S. comparable to, or worse than, the Holocaust. He promoted the “white replacement” conspiracy, which baselessly claims that immigrants are replacing white Americans.

Harry Sisson, a prominent online figure in Democratic circles who has drawn the ire of conservatives online, is one of those who commended Kirk’s legacy as an influential defender of open debate.

“Charlie Kirk did welcome debate from anybody,” Sisson, 23, said in an interview. “Do I think he did it in good faith? No. … But he did encourage debate.”

For college student Matthew Kingsley, his father’s Fox News-informed conservatism didn’t appeal to him while growing up in North Carolina. But he commended how Kirk encouraged young people to do their own research when forming their own political views, and joined his local chapter while in college at University of North Carolina at Charlotte, where he now serves as chapter president as a rising senior.

Kirk’s impact on the young conservative movement has been “astronomical,” Kingsley said. “I really don't think this is going to stop it at all,” he said. “I think it is actually going to accelerate it.”

Liz Crampton contributed to this report. 

💾

© Olivier Touron/AFP via Getty Images

Van Hollen Criticizes Democratic Leaders for Delay in Endorsing Mamdani

14 September 2025 at 03:30
At an annual fund-raiser in Iowa, the Maryland Democrat said he supported Zohran Mamdani for mayor of New York City and said people were sick of “spineless politics.”

© Tierney L. Cross/The New York Times

Senator Chris Van Hollen isn’t alone in suggesting that it is time for the national Democrats to get behind Zohran Mamdani, but many party leaders have not.

南非司法准许丈夫随妻家姓

14 September 2025 at 03:45
13/09/2025 - 21:26

在南非,丈夫从今往后应该能够选择跟随他妻子的姓氏。南非宪法法院已经就此作出裁定。在本周四(20225年09月11日)公布的一份裁决中,南非宪法法院判定以前禁止这种做法的法律具有歧视性,与平等原则不相符。

据本台法广非洲组(RFI Afrique)2025年09月12日星期五的法文报道,这项裁决的起因是南非的两对夫妇。丈夫们曾被拒绝使用他们妻子家姓氏的权利。在第一个案例中,丈夫希望在婚后使用未婚妻的姓氏,以缅怀他已故的岳父母。在第二个案例中,妻子是独生女,她希望保留自己的姓氏,以维护和娘家之间的联系。

-- 违背平等原则 --

同一报道继续介绍说,上述两对夫妇认为,这种限制侵犯了在种族隔离制度结束后通过的、保障平等原则的南非宪法。他们因此决定,把此事提交法院。

存档地图 / 南非。
RFI Carte / Ici, une carte d'Afrique du Sud.
存档地图 / 南非。 RFI Carte / Ici, une carte d'Afrique du Sud. © FMM Carte

本台法广非洲组(RFI Afrique)的报道指出,在周四的裁决中,他们(这两对夫妇)的立场获得南非宪法法院的支持。法院认为,现行法律是殖民时代的一个遗产,强化父系制度的规范。在这一裁决之前,男性更改姓氏需要向内政府申请批准。然而,这样的请求并非总能获得同意。

En Russie, la justice a condamné une pédiatre à cinq ans et demi de prison ferme pour avoir critiqué l'armée lors d’une consultation. (Image d'illustration)
存档图片 / 南非司法当局在2025年09月10日批准丈夫随妻家姓。 Image d'archive / En Afrique du Sud, la justice a autorisé jeudi 10 septembre 2025 les hommes à prendre le nom de leur épouse. (Image d'illustration) © MicroStockHub / iStock / Getty Images

( 翻译和编辑:法广 RFI 电台 尼古拉 

~. Fin .~ 

谋划“十五五”,全国人大代表提了432条意见建议|时政周报

13 September 2025 at 22:50
中央统战部副部长陈瑞峰任国家民委主任。

最高法发布8个涉校园食品安全典型案例。

卫健委宣布HPV疫苗将于今年内纳入国家免疫规划。

一周时政新闻回顾(2025年9月6日—9月12日)

南方周末记者 蒋敏玉

责任编辑:钱炜

2025年8月21日,无锡人大代表讲坛活动现场。( “江苏人大发布”微信公众号/图)

2025年8月21日,无锡人大代表讲坛活动现场。( “江苏人大发布”微信公众号/图)

“衷心希望中央和国家有关部委结合‘十五五’规划编制,在政策、资金、项目、人才等方面给予更大指导支持。”

据《青海日报》消息,2025年9月9日至11日,青海省委书记、省人大常委会主任吴晓军,省委副书记、省长罗东川带队,在北京共同或分别拜会了中央宣传部、中央统战部、人力资源社会保障部、审计署、市场监管总局、国家知识产权局、国家林草局,并提出了如上请求。

自“十二五”以来,五年规划已形成固定的时间表,即在实施前一年的10月份形成国家发展规划纲要建议稿,并于次年提交全国两会审查。

如今,进入9月,“十四五”收官之年已过大半,南方周末记者注意到,从全国人大常委会到网信办,再到工业和信息化部、民政部等部委,一系列与“十五五”有关的工作安排正在密集展开。

26份专题报告,50份调研报告

9月10日上午,在北京人民大会堂举行的十四届全国人大常委会第十七次会议第二次全体会议上,继财政部、文化和旅游部、生态环境部部长分别作有关工作情况报告后,全国人大常委会秘书长刘奇在台上作了一份特殊的报告。

报告内容与“十五五”规划纲要编制有关。刘奇介绍,为了给党中央决策和国务院编制规划提供参考,会前,全国人大常委会特选取了若干重要问题开展专题调研。

围绕五年规划编制开展专题调研,这一做法首创于2010年。

时年8月,在一次全国人大常委会会议上,人大常委会原副秘书长王万宾介绍,全国人大常委会对编制的“十二五”规划纲要的专题调研活动“高度重视”,组织了78位全国人大常委会和专门委员会组成人员、部分全国人大代表,分赴全国22个省、自治区、直辖市开展工作,历时4个多月,形成了8个方面14个重大课题的15个专题调研报告。

“有的专门委员会工作半年以上,规模前所未有。”王万宾说,这次调研中,还有许多科研机构的专家学者也应邀参与研究论证、问卷调查和数据分析等工作。

十余年过去,对五年规划编制调研工作的重视从参与者的构成上仍然可见一斑:十四届全国人大常委会设立的10个专门委员会、4个工作委员会和常委会办公厅全部参与,全国人大代表们则由代表工作委员会组织参与。

刘奇在报告中表示,通过分析研判未来5年面临的形势与挑战,全国人大常委会各机构最终共形成了26份专题调研报告,涵盖经济、政治、文化、社会、生态等各个领域。

其中,财政经济委员会选择“扩大消费需求”主题,调研提出,要确定经济合理增长目标、提升消费能力、增加有效供给;教育科学文化卫生委员会围绕“加快推进现代职业教育体系建设”调研,提出深化产教融合,推进职普融通,提升职业学校关键办学能力。社会建设委员会则提出,“积极应对人口老龄化”要更好发挥政府作用,充分赋能家庭,压实个人责任,发展银发经济,强化科技赋能。

与此同时,全国人大代表们也在撰写的50份调研报告中,围绕创新驱动、产业体系、扩大内需、改革开放、绿色转型、社会文化、民主法治等方面,提交了4

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校对:星歌

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

德中液化天然气合作可能挑衅美国

14 September 2025 at 03:15
13/09/2025 - 20:48

据德国《世界报》报道,上周四,德国国有能源公司SEFE(前身为Gazprom Germania)在米兰能源展会上与中国石化旗下贸易公司UNIPEC签署全球液化天然气(LNG)合作协议。双方强调将建立长期战略伙伴关系,通过在大西洋和太平洋市场互补优势,优化LNG组合并提升效率。专家表示,该协议可被美国解读为德中共同挑衅美国。 

上周四,在米兰举行的国际能源博览会“Gastech”上,SEFE首席运营官巴尔诺与中国联合石化公司(UNIPEC)副总经理王玉宁举行会谈。UNIPEC是中国石化集团(SINOPEC)旗下全球领先的能源贸易企业之一。双方签署了一份“全球贸易合作协议”,旨在“正式化并进一步深化双方在国际液化天然气市场上的合作”。 

根据双方声明,这一合作旨在建立“长期战略伙伴关系”,范围遍及全球:“通过在大西洋和太平洋地区充分利用各自的互补优势,两家公司力争优化现有和未来的液化天然气组合,并开拓新的增长机会。” 

巴尔诺在米兰表示:“这一协议标志着SEFE与UNIPEC伙伴关系的重要里程碑。通过整合优势,我们将提升客户的能源供应安全,并开拓新的协同效应。” 王玉宁则表示:“签署这一协议是推动我们合作关系迈上新台阶的重要一步。” 

不过,声明并未说明这一战略伙伴关系在操作层面将如何落实。德国和中国在全球液化天然气市场主要是买方,而供应方则由美国和卡塔尔主导。如果双方打算在价格和采购量上进行协调,这几乎等于组建一个采购联盟,这显然会损害美国利益,并可能违反世界贸易组织(WTO)的规则。 

SEFE在接受《世界报》(WELT)采访时强调,所有交易活动都遵循国内和国际法律:“价格或数量方面的协商显然不在协议范围内。” 据此,合作重点并非采购环节,而是双方在液化天然气贸易中的中间商业务。 

德国SEFE高管巴尔诺宣称,通过与中国的天然气协议“增强客户供应安全”,这一点乍看之下颇为反直觉。毕竟,德国能源与安全政策的核心目标之一就是减少对中国的依赖。中国已经主导了从太阳能电池组件到电池原料、矿物和稀土在内的大多数能源关键部件的全球供应。 

签署这一协议的时机比较敏感:不久前欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩刚向美国总统特朗普承诺未来三年从美国采购价值7500亿美元的能源,但该承诺被批评为缺乏执行力。因为欧盟委员会主席根本没有权力对石油、天然气和铀的采购做出承诺:布鲁塞尔当局既没有预算,也不是市场参与者,更无法左右欧洲企业以何种价格、向哪家供应商采购多少能源。如今德国却与中国达成实质性能源合作,可能引发华盛顿不满,并为特朗普提供加征关税的借口。如果欧盟无法履行这项巨额采购承诺,特朗普随时可能将其视为“违约”,并以此为借口实施更多制裁或提出新要求。 

在这种背景下,德国国有企业SEFE在特恩伯里会晤后不久便与美国的竞争对手中国达成液化天然气领域的“战略伙伴关系”,显得格外敏感。给特朗普的是空话,给北京的却是实打实的交易?华盛顿会作何反应,目前尚未可知。 

SEFE全称为“欧洲能源安全有限公司”(Securing Energy for Europe GmbH),前身是俄罗斯能源巨头“俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司”(Gazprom)的德国子公司Gazprom Germania。2022年俄乌战争爆发后,为了保障德国能源供应,该公司首先被德国政府托管,随后直接被征收国有化。 

自此,SEFE完全归联邦政府所有,类似的还有从E.ON集团拆分出来并因同样原因被国有化的能源企业Uniper。在SEFE的监事会中,联邦经济与能源部(BWME)的一名处长代表政府履行股东职能。 

【404文库】同妻支持网络|一个耽美女孩嫁给了男同性恋

14 September 2025 at 03:00

CDT编辑注:本文原载于公众号“同妻支持网络”,目前已被404。

CDT 档案卡
标题:一个耽美女孩嫁给了男同性恋
作者:Birdy
发表日期:2025.9
来源:微信公众号“同妻支持网络”
主题归类:LGBTQ
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

2005,柴静在央视做了一期关于同性恋专题,后来收录在她的回忆录里——《看见》

当时她问一位男同性恋:“你们为什么还要跟女性结婚。”

他回答:“有个朋友说过,我父母宁愿相信河水倒流,也不相信有同性恋这个事情存在。”

20年过去了,我们听见了同样的话。也是20年过去了,《看见》在全国禁售。

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The Electrician Who Escaped China Only to Be Deported From America

13 September 2025 at 07:47
Tao was not a Chinese dissident, just an ordinary worker who wanted freedom. Deportation did not stop him from trying again.

© Chang W. Lee/The New York Times

Tao was part of a record-breaking wave of undocumented Chinese migrants who had made harrowing journeys through the jungles of Central America to the United States.

In ‘Hedda,’ Tessa Thompson Puts a Sexy, Messy Spin on the ‘Female Hamlet’

13 September 2025 at 17:00
Have you ever seen Ibsen’s “Hedda Gabler” set in the 1950s with a biracial star in a lesbian love triangle? In this new film adaptation, you will.

“There are incredible plays, but are there a million incredible parts for women? Not necessarily. And so Hedda remains one of those ones that has its own iconography and history and reputation.”

Wrestling Over Charlie Kirk’s Legacy and the Divide in America

14 September 2025 at 02:01
Historians say the lessons of this particular time will depend on Americans themselves, and what kind of a nation they want it to be.

© Rebecca Noble for The New York Times

Charlie Kirk speaking during AmericaFest at the Phoenix Convention Center in 2022.

特朗普惹怒长期盟友 韩国对贸易协议不满加剧

14 September 2025 at 02:45
13/09/2025 - 20:23

纽约时报文章报道:在日本和韩国,政商领导人越来越公开地表达不满,认为自己的国家被迫就范,并质疑继续顺从特朗普的要求是否明智。

上周四,美国移民官员突袭了位于乔治亚州的一处现代-LG大型工厂的建设工地,这是韩国两家最知名企业的旗舰项目。据联邦官员称,数百名韩国公民因非法居留或非法工作而被逮捕拘留。

韩国总统李在明本周三表示,企业对这次突袭行动“深感困惑”,因为“他们并非长期或永久性的工作人员,而是协助安装设施设备的技术人员”。如果美国不能保障此类人员在美工作安全,韩企将会“犹豫是否要进行直接投资”。

韩国外长赵显本周一在国会表示,鉴于发生在佐治亚州电池厂的突袭事件,韩国在贸易谈判中提出了美国为韩国工人提供更多签证配额的要求。

特朗普在周一的社交媒体发文称,他将“尽快通过合法途径”为在美投资的外企派遣人员赴美生产提供便利,但他补充说,这些企业必须雇佣并培训美国工人。

纽时报道:在首尔方面努力将300多名韩国工作人员接回之际,韩国的保守派媒体、向来支持美韩结盟的《朝鲜日报》发文指出,政府必须“认识到事态的严重性”。在周一的社论中,该报敦促官员向美方传达韩国国内正在质疑是否应继续在美国投资。

“人们不禁要从根本上质疑,美国所说的‘同盟’究竟意味着什么,”《朝鲜日报》写道。

公众的愤怒给韩国敲定7月下旬贸易协议细节的工作增加了难度。根据协议,美国同意将对韩国商品的关税从25%降低至15%,作为交换,韩国企业承诺将在美国投资3500亿美元,其中1500亿美元专门用于增强美国造船业。

特朗普在这项协议中的主要让步是降低了对韩国经济非常重要的汽车行业的关税。但由于降税措施尚未生效,这一承诺正成为悬在谈判之上的变数。本周两国将继续磋商韩国投资的落实方案,但首尔方面已明确表示,它无法接受日本上周所作出的那种让步。

“没有哪个韩国人会签署那样的草案,”李在明办公室的政策室长金容范周二在一次公开论坛上表示。

他补充说,如果无法就其余对美投资安排达成协议,韩国政府将不会推进造船业投资计划——该项目被韩国官员称为“让美国造船业再次伟大”方案。特朗普一再誓言要重振美国的海运产业,这将需要韩国的帮助,后者是仅次于中国的世界第二大造船国。

Paramount Criticizes Celebrity-Endorsed Israeli Film Boycott

14 September 2025 at 00:56
The film studio, which some say has turned rightward under its new owner, said it disagreed with thousands of Hollywood professionals pledging to boycott Israeli film institutions.

© Mike Blake/Reuters

Paramount, which was acquired by the media company Skydance this year, is the first major Hollywood studio to condemn the Israeli boycott.

俄无人机侵波+大型军演 特朗普向欧洲施压也有新招

14 September 2025 at 01:45
13/09/2025 - 19:34

据法新社莫斯科13日的最新报道:俄罗斯周六表示,已在乌克兰中部第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克州再夺下一个村庄。俄军声称7月初便已推进到该州。

俄罗斯国防部指出,部队已经夺下了位于顿内茨克州(Donetsk)州界附近的新米科拉伊夫卡村(Novomykolaivka)。

尽管法新社说无法查证俄罗斯的以上说法,而根据由乌克兰军事分析人士经营的线上战场地图DeepState显示,该村目前仍由基辅掌控。

不过,众所周知,俄军装备优于乌军,兵力数量也远远超过,近几个月来持续对乌克兰发动攻势,且在东部战线有所斩获。

基辅在8月底首度承认:俄军已进入第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克州(Dnipropetrovsk);而莫斯科在8月初就宣称在当地推进。

目前俄军大约掌控乌克兰1/5领土。克里姆林宫要求乌克兰从东部顿巴斯(Donbas)地区撤军,作为停火的前提,基辅则明确拒绝。

第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克州并非莫斯科公开声称为俄罗斯领土的5个乌克兰地区之一,这5个地区分别为顿内茨克州、赫松州(Kherson)、卢甘斯克州(Lugansk)、札波罗热州(Zaporizhzhia)和克里米亚(Crimea)。

俄无人机侵入波兰后又与白俄启动大规模联合军事演习

本周五(9月12日)开始持续到下周二,俄罗斯与其忠实盟友白俄罗斯启动四年一度大规模联合军事演习“西方-2025”,这令人联想起2021年的两国联合军演,俄军在其后几个月就从白俄发动对乌克兰的侵略进攻,持续三年半后仍然胶着和不断升级。引发西方、尤其欧洲邻近国家的高度戒备。

而在以上演习前的周二至周三夜间,约二十架俄罗斯无人机进入波兰领空。这一罕见的严重事件被波兰与其北约盟友认定为“蓄意挑衅”,引发波兰国内高度紧张。波兰军方紧急动员本国和北约防空战机,击落这些从乌克兰和白俄罗斯方向进入的部分无人机,并关闭相关空域和多座机场。

波兰总理图斯克此后表示,自二战以来,欧洲“从未如此接近公开的冲突”。乌克兰总统泽连斯基则说,俄白联合军演绝非单纯防御性质,其演习针对的不仅仅是乌克兰。

特朗普向欧洲施压也有新招

正当北约盟国面对俄罗斯直接军事挑战之时,美国总统特朗普周六通过社媒平台公布了他写给“所有北约国家和世界”的信函,该信说:“当所有北约国家都同意并开始采取同样行动,并且停止从俄罗斯购买石油时,我准备对俄罗斯实施重大制裁”。

信中说“当所有北约国家都同意并开始采取同样行动,并且停止从俄罗斯购买石油时,我准备对俄罗斯实施重大制裁。如你所知,北约对胜利的承诺远未达到100%,而且某些国家购买俄罗斯石油的行为令人震惊!这极大地削弱了你与俄罗斯的谈判地位和议价能力。总之,我准备好行动,就等你们了。就说说什么时候吧?”

特朗普补充道,“我相信,加上北约,作为一个整体对中国征收50%至100%的关税——这些关税将在与俄罗斯和乌克兰的战争结束后全部撤销,也将极大地有助于结束这场致命却荒谬的战争。中国对俄罗斯有着强大的控制力,甚至掌控力,而这些高额关税将打破这种掌控力”。

特朗普随后重申其对这场由2022年普京下令全面入侵乌克兰而已持续了三年半的战争的说法,即“这不是特朗普的战争,而是拜登和泽连斯基的战争”,“如果北约照我说的做,这场战争很快就会结束,所有生命都将得救!否则,你们只是在浪费我的时间,也浪费美国的时间、精力和金钱”。

此前,特朗普周五表示,他对普京的耐心正在耗尽。同一天也美国向七国集团(G7)成员国施压,要求它们对购买俄罗斯石油的印度和中国大幅提高关税,以迫使俄当局与乌克兰进行和平谈判。

自美俄阿拉斯加峰会以来,外交进程陷入僵局,俄罗斯对乌克兰平民的袭击不断增加,对此,特朗普未施加其先前承诺的任何后果,反而将向普京施压的责任推给欧洲,要求欧盟对购买俄罗斯石油的中国和印度加征关税。

No 10 questioned Mandelson on Epstein links before appointment

14 September 2025 at 01:16
PA Media Keir Starmer is pictured in front of union jack, wearing a black suit with a dark red tie and glasses with his mouth slightly open, his face stern.PA Media
Sir Keir Starmer is under pressure over the decision to appoint Peter Mandelson

Sir Keir Starmer explicitly asked Lord Mandelson about his links to convicted paedophile Jeffrey Epstein before deciding to appoint him as the UK's ambassador to the US, the BBC understands.

The prime minister is believed to have asked Mandelson three questions relating to his friendship with the disgraced financier while he was being vetted for the influential role.

The revelation is likely to pile further scrutiny on what Sir Keir knew before the Labour peer got the job. Mandelson's friendship with Epstein was known at the time of his appointment but No 10 said new information about it only came to light this week, prompting his sacking.

Downing Street and Mandelson have declined to comment.

Mandelson was asked to leave his post on Thursday after a now notorious cache of emails was reported by Bloomberg on Wednesday evening.

These included supportive messages Mandelson sent after Epstein had pleaded guilty to soliciting prostitution from a minor in June 2008.

In one message, Mandelson is reported to have told Epstein to "fight for early release" and, the day before he began his prison sentence, another which read: "I think the world of you."

These emails did not show up in two vetting processes carried out in Whitehall around his appointment.

When Mandelson was under consideration for ambassador, the Cabinet Office's Propriety and Ethics Team (PET) prepared a file for the prime minister that contained information about Mandelson and Epstein's links, the BBC has been told.

After reviewing the file, No 10 sources say Sir Keir asked Mandelson to address three specific questions, which were sent to him via email by the prime minister's chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney.

EPA-EFE/Shutterstock A close-up image of a man, Peter Mandelson, wearing glasses with grey hair in a quip, his mouth open while talking in front of gold curtains.EPA-EFE/Shutterstock
Peter Mandelson was sacked as UK ambassador to the US this week

These questions were: why has he continued contact with Epstein after he was convicted? Why was he reported to have stayed in one of Epstein's homes while the financier was in prison? And was he associated with a charity founded by Epstein associate Ghislaine Maxwell that the financier had backed?

It is understood Mandelson believes that he was truthful and frank about his association with Epstein, and told No 10 that he had not stayed in Epstein's Manhattan apartment in 2009, while the paedophile was in prison. Another source confirmed Mandelson told Downing Street he had not stayed there.

Court documents in 2023 showed Epstein telling his private banker that Mandelson was planning to stay, but the peer has never explicitly denied or confirmed if he did.

No 10 sources believe Mandelson was "economical with the truth" in his answers to the three questions.

However, at the time, his answers were considered sufficient for him to be appointed which led to a second vetting process, called "developed vetting" (DV), being carried out under the auspices of the Foreign Office.

The BBC has been told the emails were not available to those in government when Lord Mandelson was appointed, as they came from a defunct email address.

A senior Whitehall figure said it would have been possible to locate those messages had more questions been asked, and forensic background digging been done.

The row has led to growing pressure on Sir Keir over his judgement in making Mandelson ambassador, and questions over the extent of what he knew about ties between Mandelson and Epstein.

Some Labour MPs in public and private are asking whether Sir Keir should resign, and some are suggesting Number 10 senior aides are to blame.

Sources have told the BBC that Mandelson was asked to resign on Wednesday, even though the prime minister had backed him at PMQs.

Mandelson refused, and after a "furious" Sir Keir read the emails on Wednesday night, a final decision to sack him was taken on Thursday morning.

The Cabinet Office has declined to comment. Mandelson has repeatedly expressed regret about his relationship with Epstein who died in jail in 2019.

How you can see and photograph the Northern Lights

13 September 2025 at 14:13
Astro Dog The Northern Lights in green and edged with red over Whitby Abbey in North Yorkshire. The brightest parts look like ribbons in the sky. The ruins of the abbey stand underneath with fields around them. there is a house lit up in the background.Astro Dog
Astro Dog captured the lights glowing green over Whitby Abbey

For many people, a real sign that we have entered autumn came earlier this month when the Northern Lights were spotted across the UK for the first time in the season.

The aurora dazzles when it can be viewed, sometimes - as in the case this September - with stunning displays visible across most of the country, from Scotland and Wales down to Kent.

Plenty of fans of the lights head out in the wilds of the UK to take photos, armed with the latest equipment - but could we just stay at home and see them and snap a photo on our phones?

Well first of all, in the right circumstances, it is possible to see the Northern Lights from your bedroom window, according to expert Dr Maria-Theresia Walach.

She once saw the aurora by eye from Lancaster city centre in red, green and purple but admitted it was "a rare occurrence".

Chris Denning Northern Lights are seen in pink, red and purple, and lit up by stars over Blea Tarn in the Lake District. They are pictured over a lake with hills on either side of the valley.Chris Denning
The Lake District was on a list of places recommended to see the lights by BBC Countryfile

Dr Walach, who is from Lancaster University and is also a member of the AuroraWatch UK team, said it was possible in general to see the aurora in cities and towns - but it depended on cloud and light pollution, which could even include the moon.

It was possible you could see them from your bedroom window, she added.

"If we are in a geomagnetic storm for example, you definitely can," she said.

"Windows won't obscure the light of the aurora but, depending on street lights, it might be trickier."

Asked if aurora hunters needed to find a high place to watch the skies, Dr Walach said: "No, not at all."

Being high up just helps because it is possible to see further, she added.

The further north you are also helps, she says. Scandinavia and northern Scotland remain the best places to see the Northern Lights.

To know when the northern lights are likely to be visible in the night skies this autumn and winter, the advice first of all from the BBC's lead weather presenter, Simon King, is to keep a check on forecasts

Wait for enhanced solar activity and check the weather, because the lights will not be visible in a cloudy sky, he added.

This year is forecast to be a good one to see them because we are at a peak in the Sun's 11-year cycle of activity which is continuing in 2025.

Nicole Carr and Simon Scott, from Astro Dog, a firm which runs stargazing, photography and education events, said people who were able to travel could use weather radar apps to find gaps in the cloud.

"Perseverance can pay on cloudy nights," they said. "You never know if there may be gaps in the clouds at just the right moment."

They said they have sat in the cold and dark for hundreds of nights without seeing anything but "when you do get lucky and catch a display, it makes it all the more special".

Astro Dog Simon Scott and Nicole Carr are standing in a snowy landscape and holding their arms in the air with the green Northern Lights above them.Astro Dog
Simon Scott and Nicole Carr, from Astro Dog, said perseverance could pay off to see the lights

If you want to actively go out and find a good spot to view and photograph the lights, we have spoken to some of the country's aurora hunters.

Ian Parkes, from Wombourne, Staffordshire, said he first of all checks social media for graphs on when solar flares will hit - and then looks at one of the three free mobile apps he uses – Aurora Watch UK, Glendale and Aurora UK.

He usually visits Sheep Walks in Staffordshire and takes a DSLR camera with a tripod and remote but added that anyone could take images with a phone.

The key, he said, was always to look north and remember that the aurora could be quite low, adding that it often looks black and white - or like a cloud.

"It's a wow moment, especially the first time you see it, it's just amazing," he said. "It's just being at one with nature."

Mr Parkes said he had seen the lights seven times in two years, adding: "Every time I've gone out, I've seen it."

Ian Parkes The Northern Lights illuminate the sky in red behind St Mary's Church in Enville, near Stourbridge.Ian Parkes
Ian Parkes said he had seen the Northern Lights every time he had gone out looking for them

If you want to know if you are near a good place in the UK to see the aurora or somewhere to head to, BBC Countryfile drew up a list in September of the best sites in the country to see them.

They included the UK's official Dark Sky Reserves - areas where light pollution is particularly low - and among them are:

  • The Brecon Beacons
  • Cranborne Chase in southern England
  • Snowdonia
  • Exmoor
  • Moore's Reserve in the South Downs
  • North York Moors National Park
  • Yorkshire Dales National Park

Hot spots also included the Northumberland coast, Lerwick on Shetland, the Yorkshire Dales, the Lake District and the Antrim coast in Northern Ireland.

They have also been seen in many locations across the Midlands including in Shropshire, Nottinghamshire, Staffordshire and Warwickshire.

Josh Drury Callanish Stone Circle on the Isle of Lewis and the Northern Lights, a picture taken by Somerset photographer Josh Drury, shows standing stones with a green and purple aurora behind them and stars in the night sky.Josh Drury
Josh Drury said a good solar storm was needed with clear skies

Dr Walach suggested in the main that people should seek out a darker area in the countryside, turn off torches and allow time for their eyes to adjust.

"It can take around 10 minutes or more for your eyes to fully adjust to darker spaces," she said.

"The aurora also moves around the sky a lot, so I also recommend a warm coat and a hot chocolate."

Nottingham photographer Chris Denning gets his aurora forecasts from Facebook where the Wil's Aurora Alerts channel gives as much advance warning as possible.

He advised people though to manage their expectations because many aurora events were only visible by camera.

The most important thing was to "enjoy the chase", he said, adding: "Sometimes you'll win and sometimes you won't, but that's half the fun."

Chris Denning The Northern Lights are shining in green and red over the Trent Building at the University of Nottingham. The picture shows the reflection of the lights in a lake in front of the building.Chris Denning
Chris Denning captured a shot of the aurora over the University of Nottingham's Trent Building

James Rowley-Hill, in Norfolk, recommended coastal areas and fields in the middle of nowhere, to escape strong light pollution.

He said "expectation vs reality" is the biggest problem, adding: "Many folks think this is the normal, when it really isn't."

While for Josh Drury, a photographer based in Somerset, catching an aurora often depended on forecasting.

"You need a good storm. You need clear skies," he said.

"When we have an aurora kicking off, you have to drop absolutely everything and go out and try to catch it.

"A lot of it is pot luck."

James Rowley-Hill James Rowley-Hill's photograph of pink, red and orange northern lights, shows the aurora over a red and white lighthouse. The cottage next to the lighthouse has its lights on.James Rowley-Hill
James Rowley-Hill recommended coastal areas and fields in the middle of nowhere
Chris Denning The aurora is seen in green and purple over Tysoe Windmill in the Cotswolds.Chris Denning
Auroras have been seen further south recently, including in the Cotswolds

Follow BBC Shropshire on BBC Sounds, Facebook, X and Instagram.

衣者朝新|坏人太多,做新闻要学会“留一手”

14 September 2025 at 01:00
CDT 档案卡
标题:坏人太多,做新闻要学会“留一手”
作者:chuzhaoxin
发表日期:2025.9.10
来源:微信公众号“衣者朝新”
主题归类:新闻审查
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

去年,新京报曝光了油罐车运输乱象调查:有些油罐车卸完煤制油直接装运食用大豆油。触目惊心,可是,官方最后的调查结果是新京报的报道属实,但调查没有发现其他类似的现象。

很遗憾,新京报没有继续拿出新的证据来证明还有类似情况。如果全国真的只有一两辆油罐车如此,那这个新闻也就没有我们预期的那么大的现实意义了。可是,这个报道后来据说获了不少奖,足见真实情况可能很复杂。

到底是记者只暗访发现了报道中曝光的情况呢,还是其实还掌握了类似情况迫于压力没有进一步公布呢?没有问过当事记者,但对此类暗访的具体操作,个人有一个亲历的案例可以分享,供大家参考。

img

时政记者褚朝新

2023年5月17日,陪一个朋友去一家医院挂脊柱外科的专家号。可是,接诊的医生并不是该专家王医生,而是另外一个年轻医生,戴着口罩,别人称呼他为王教授,他也不否认。如果不是有心,一般人不会发现坐在自己面前的医生并不是自己想见的那个王教授。

当场发现这个问题后,取了证,拍照摄像并现场询问坐诊的医生:你是谁?他被迫承认,自己是专家的学生。

然后,我在现场核实搞清楚了冒充专家坐诊的医生的具体身份和姓名以及与专家的具体关系。

那么,专家去哪里了呢?随后医院的多个部门回复我,有的说专家去急诊了,有的说专家太累提前下班回家了。说法各异,总之是不统一。

这个时候,证据确凿,题为《湖南一医院忽悠病人:卖专家号,让年轻医生代诊》的文章已经成形。但是,我并没有着急,决定等一等再看。

两个考虑:第一,专家可能真的有急事,比如急诊有危急病人需要他去救治,临时请人代为坐诊。或者专家年纪太大,确实累了需要回家休息,如果是这样,那轻易曝光可能会误伤一个好医生。第二,如果不掌握更多证据,医院完全可以谎称这只是一个偶发案例。

所以,我没有在当时就急着曝光此事,而是等了一个月之后,再次专门去该医院暗访。

2023年6月14,专门再次去该医院点名挂了该专家的号用于暗访。结果,该专家居然再次不在岗,仍然是第一次代他坐诊的年轻医生在以专家的名义接诊。

再次拍照、摄像取证,这一次,我还采访了几个其他病人,他们均没有发现接诊的并不是自己想找的专家。

2023年6月15日,作文曝光了此事,但是当日的文章里完全没有提6月份的暗访,故意只写了5月份的遭遇。

15日上午,广西一家媒体的记者看到文章后采访我时问到:褚老师,你写的事情发生在5月17日,为什么现在才写出来?

这是一个好问题,记者虽然年轻,但很敏感。是啊,发生于5月17日的事情,为什么6月15日才公布呢?

发稿前,我还研判了第一篇文章发布后两种可能:第一,直接承认管理不善,长期存在此类问题,将彻底整改。如果是这样,那我发布第一篇文章后就可以停下来了,经济下行,各行各业都不容易,坦然承认错误能改就行。第二个可能是,医院可能会承认5月17日确实是有其他医生代专家坐诊,但大概觉得我只有一个暗访经历,不掌握其他证据,因此极可能只承认这件事是偶发案例,并非常态。如果这样,我可以进一步曝光此事,造成更大的舆论影响,触动监管部门大范围清查此类问题,达到以点带面的监督效果。

有了这些研判,自然要打个埋伏,明明暗访了两次,都是其他医生冒充专家坐诊,但故意只说第一次的经历,绝口不提自己暗访了两次,看医院如何应对。

第一篇文章发布后,该医院先是投诉我侵权,说我没有证据证明文中写的"卖专家号但让年轻医生代诊”这个事实。然后,该医院又联系到我,发来了包含道歉内容的书面说明。

书面说明中说:医生当日紧急参加重大疑难手术,未及时告知导诊停号。导诊不知情的情况下门诊办未及时停诊,致使患者未能由王教授接诊,做法确实不妥,反映出门诊管理的不足。

一方面投诉我的文章侵权,否认存在曝光的问题,另一方面又向我道歉,承认医生不在门诊坐诊,这就是现实斗争的复杂性与残酷性。

6月16日,我再次发文公布了6月14日暗访的结果,用确凿的证据证明该院用普通医生冒充专家坐诊并非一次,可能是常态,医院的说明是谎言,并再次提出质疑:如果专家总是在急诊救人,那你们就不应该在门诊让他卖专家号,毕竟专家号比普通的号贵出很多。

我在6月16日的文章里还明确写到:再一次挂了王教授的号,再一次不是王教授坐诊而是其他人代诊,这显然不是偶发的事情,极可能是常态,这才下决心在6月15日披露此事。第二次去暗访的这些内容,其实我昨天就写好了,但一个多年做新闻的经验告诉我,医院极可能会谎称我曝光的5月17日的情况只是一个偶发的特例,不是常态,我的策略是:等他们说了这些谎话,我再把6月14日暗访的情况发出来打他们的脸,所以留了一手。这就是为什么5月17日的事情6月15日才披露的原因。这不是耍滑头,是多年从事新闻工作慢慢摸索出的斗争技巧。

医院终于无话可说了,不久,该专家从该医院消失了。不过,湖南的卫健部门最后是如何处罚医院的,两年过去了也没有公布调查和处罚结果。

做新闻当然要快,但也要多个心眼,多掌握几个典型案例,然后把握好信息发布的节奏,有料别一次性放完,放一点,让他们误以为你只知道这么多,继续表演、撒谎甚至妄想倒打一耙,然后再拿出新的证据来打他们的脸,让读者明白,他们又在说谎了。

采访中,多问几个人,多掌握几个案例,掌握的证据别一次性全部用完,给自己留后路,也给对手留下主动全盘认错和狡辩撒谎的空间。这些,都是传播技巧,也都是斗争经验。

2025年9月10日

新新新默存|发刊词:自由、美与爱的孤岛

13 September 2025 at 23:00
CDT 档案卡
标题:新新新默存发刊词 | 自由、美与爱的孤岛
作者:宋石男
发表日期:2025.9.9
来源:微信公众号“新新新默存”
主题归类:宋石男
CDS收藏:人物馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

默存、新默存、新新默存都不在了。

今天我们再做新新新默存,因为手还在,因为心里还有自由、美与爱。而默存,就是自由、美与爱的孤岛。

我们建造孤岛,不过是因为早已陷入一个被分割成许多条块的社会。我们每天都看到海量资讯,但并不知道在我们的社会里究竟发生了什么事,也不知道其他人究竟在想些什么。我们知道自己小圈子里一些人的想法,通过社交网络也零星地揣摩到另一些人可能的想法,但我们不知道高层的想法,不知道底层的想法,也不知道中间阶层的想法,我们不知道无声无息死去的人的想法,正如不知道无声无息活着的人的想法。我们彼此之间无法自由沟通,而无法沟通的痛苦绝对不会只停留在个人层面。在阻碍沟通的时代中,自由、美与爱都随之凋谢,除非人们还有内心的歌,而且在任何狭小处、有人无人处,依然拍手作歌。

喝酒的时候我常拍手作歌。似乎只有在喝醉的时候,我才能感受到自由。可是,为什么人只有在喝醉时才能感受到自由呢?显然是因为,这种所谓的自由并不存在。

精神的自由不单是一种在他物之外,而且是一种在他物之内争得的对于他物的不依赖性,精神的自由之成为现实不是由于逃避他物,而是由于克服他物。这话太深刻,显然不是我说的。是黑格尔。

自由要克服的东西太多,而于我,当务之急首先就是克服虚无。

虚无的力量太大,人活一生,很难不被它击中。虚无的力量,在于人生的本质即是消逝。如同荒野呼喊,片刻即散,如同水沫,不能久聚。于是一切都再无意义,没有意义也就没有方向。虚无就是意义或方向的消失。人们不断给自己制造激情,不断追逐热点,但在根底上是冷冰冰的,这就是虚无。人一旦虚无,很容易庸俗。所谓庸俗,就是做低级的事,在无意义的东西上花费力气,对优美与崇高漠不关心。一个庸俗的人,多多少少也总是一个虚无的人。

克尔凯郭尔是最早论述虚无的大师。他认为,如果虚无在人身上完成,那么就不再存在什么意义重大的公共的或私人的问题,没有什么再能够让人敬畏,能够从人这里呼唤献身。无法献身是虚无予人最主要也最可怕的结果。如果一个人在深切的爱中,他不会虚无,因为他还有献身的对象,由此能感觉到现实存在的核心,而此核心之外的一切都不重要。如果一个人在坚定的信念中,他不会虚无,因为他同样能感觉到现实存在的核心,被真实具体的关切所召唤。无论因为爱还是信念,只要一个人能出于某种关切来界定自己并献身时,他的世界就获得了严肃性与意义感,从而居于虚无之上。

为了居于虚无之上,有必要为自己建造一个孤岛。默存也许就是这样一个孤岛。自由、美与爱的孤岛。

关于爱,黑格尔早年有段很晦涩也很迷人的论说,爱就是拒绝生离、只能死别。能够活着分离的爱就不是爱。所以我们再做新新新默存,因为有共同爱的人不能活着分离。

阿伦特在《黑暗时代的人们》中说:即使在最黑暗的时代中,我们也有权去期待一种启明,这种启明或许并不来自理论和概念,而更多地来自一种不确定的、闪烁而又经常很微弱的光亮。这光亮源于某些男人和女人,源于他们的生命,它们在几乎所有情况下都点燃着,并把光散射到他们在尘世所拥有的生命所及的全部范围。 

她说的,其实就是,自由、美与爱的孤岛,大家一起来建造。

Trump Escalates Attacks on Political Opponents After Charlie Kirk’s Killing

13 September 2025 at 23:41
President Trump has promised to bring the killer to justice while using the moment to blame the left — and only the left — more broadly.

© Kenny Holston/The New York Times

President Trump speaking to journalists before leaving the White House on Thursday.

Trump Administration Questions Colombia’s Anti-Drug Efforts and Weighs Cutting Aid

13 September 2025 at 17:02
Millions in military and development funds for Colombia hang in the balance as Washington questions the country’s fight against cocaine.

© Federico Rios for The New York Times

Soldiers standing amid a coca crop in Cúcuta, Colombia, in 2020. Colombia is the world’s top producer of cocaine, but it has also been a key ally of the United States in trying to combat the drug trade.

Rubio Heads to a Defiant Israel After Qatar Strike

14 September 2025 at 01:26
The diplomat will consult with Israeli officials about their coming military offensive in Gaza City, as President Trump’s efforts to end the Gaza war appear stalled.

© Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times

Secretary of State Marco Rubio will visit Israel on Sunday.

'We escaped certain death': Israel intensifies Gaza City bombardment, forcing families to flee

13 September 2025 at 21:15
Reuters Smoke billows from an evacuated UNRWA school following Israeli airstrikes, at al-Shati (Beach) refugee camp, in Gaza City, September 13Reuters
Israeli air strikes hit Beach camp in western Gaza City on Sunday

Israeli forces have stepped up their assault on Gaza City with a wave of heavy air strikes, marking a sharp escalation from previous military operations.

Unlike earlier phases of the war, the current offensive has relied heavily on aerial bombardments, with entire apartment blocks and large concrete structures reduced to rubble.

The intensification of strikes in recent days has triggered a surge in civilian displacement.

Israel has warned all residents of Gaza City to leave immediately in anticipation of a huge ground offensive.

On Sunday, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) said about 250,000 people had left the city and moved south. It also said it had destroyed a high-rise building that it said had been used "to advance and execute terrorist attacks" against its troops.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says the city is Hamas's last major stronghold. But the plan to occupy Gaza City has brought international criticism.

The UN has warned an intensification of the offensive on an area where a famine has already been declared will push civilians into an "even deeper catastrophe". Gaza City is the largest urban centre in the territory and a historic heart of Palestinian political and social life.

Residents say the Israeli military has been targeting schools and makeshift shelters, often issuing warnings only moments before bombardments.

Many families have been forced to flee in darkness toward western Gaza.

"We escaped certain death, my husband, our three children and I," said Saly Tafeesh, a mother sheltering in the city. "My brother died in my arms after being shot by a quadcopter drone. We ran in the dark to the west of Gaza."

The Israeli military has told residents to evacuate to the south of the territory - but many families say they cannot afford the journey, which costs up to $1,100 (£800). Hamas, meanwhile, has intensified its calls for residents to stay put and resist leaving the city.

Rubein Khaled, a father-of-nine preparing to move south, expressed frustration.

"The Hamas preacher at Friday prayers accused anyone leaving Gaza City of being a coward running from the battlefield," he said.

"But why doesn't he tell Hamas leaders to surrender and release the Israeli hostages so this war can stop? We don't want to leave either, but we have no choice."

Israeli forces have not yet reached some eastern neighbourhoods that have remained largely intact since earlier raids in January, but the current campaign suggests they may now be seeking to dismantle entire districts.

Reuters Palestinians leaving the northern Gaza strip move south in the central Gaza Strip, 13 septReuters
About quarter of a million people have left Gaza City, the Israeli military says

Meanwhile, a Qatari foreign ministry spokesman strongly criticised Israel's prime minister in an interview with the BBC following this week's Israeli strike on Hamas officials in the Qatari capital Doha.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Majed Al-Ansari told the BBC that the international community had "to deal with a Netanyahu problem".

"He is not somebody who is listening to anybody right now, who is listening to any reason, and we have to collectively stop him in his tracks," the official said.

He argued the strike in Doha showed the Israeli leader "never intended to sign any peace deal" to end the war in Gaza and instead "believes he can re-shape the Middle East in his own image".

Five of the group's members and a Qatari security officer were killed in Tuesday's strike - though the Palestinian armed group claimed no senior leaders had been killed. Hamas members had been in Doha to discuss the latest US proposal for a ceasefire in Gaza.

Israel has faced widespread condemnation, including at the UN Security Council. Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel targeted the "terrorist masterminds" behind the 7 October 2023 Hamas attack on Israel.

Qatar's Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani earlier said that Qatar did not get advance warning of the strike, only receiving a call from a US official 10 minutes after the attack had started.

On Friday, al-Thani had dinner with US President Donald Trump and his envoy Steve Witkoff in New York, having earlier met Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the White House.

Rubio is travelling to Israel this weekend in a show of solidarity with Israel ahead of a UN meeting later this month at which France and the UK are expected to formally recognise a Palestinian state.

Reuters scene of the Israeli strike in DohaReuters
The Israeli attack in Doha targeted Hamas officials discussing the latest US proposal for a ceasefire in Gaza

On Sunday, the Hamas-run health ministry in Gaza said the bodies of 47 people killed by the Israeli military had arrived at its hospitals over the previous day.

Since UN-backed global food security experts confirmed a famine in Gaza City on 22 August, the ministry has reported that at least 142 people have died from starvation and malnutrition across the territory. Israel has said it is expanding its efforts to facilitate aid deliveries and has disputed the health ministry's figures on malnutrition-related deaths.

The Israeli military launched its campaign in Gaza in response to the Hamas-led attack on southern Israel on 7 October 2023, in which about 1,200 people were killed and 251 others were taken hostage.

At least 64,803 people have been killed in Israeli attacks in Gaza since then, according to the territory's health ministry.

Nepal's major parties say dissolved parliament must be reinstated

13 September 2025 at 22:21
EPA/Shutterstock Fire and smoke rise from the Singha Durbar palace, which houses government and parliament buildings, as protesters stormed the premises in Kathmandu, Nepal. Photo: 9 September 2025EPA/Shutterstock
Protesters on Tuesday stormed and set fire to the Singha Durbar palace, which houses parliament and government buildings

Nepal's major political parties have demanded the country's President Ram Chandra Poudel reinstates the parliament he dissolved following deadly anti-corruption protests.

In a statement, eight parties - including the Nepali Congress, CPN-UML and Maoist Centre - said the president acted unconstitutionally.

Poudel dissolved the House of Representatives on Friday upon the recommendation of newly-appointed interim Prime Minister Sushila Karki - it was also a key demand from the protest movement.

More than 50 people were killed in clashes with riot police during this week's mass protests sparked by a ban on social media platforms. Karki was appointed after a deal was reached with protest leaders.

The ban was lifted on Monday - but by then the protests had swelled into a mass movement. Angry crowds set fire to parliament and government buildings in the capital Kathmandu on Tuesday, forcing then-Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli to resign.

Saturday's statement demanding the reinstatement of the parliament was signed by the chief whips of the eight political parties.

They argued the step taken by the president was unconstitutional and against the precedents set by Nepal's judiciary.

The dissolution of the parliament was a major demand by student leaders from the so-called "Gen Z" protest movement.

But the eight parties say the protesters' demands - including new elections announced for 5 March next year - should be addressed through an institution voted by the people.

President Poudel is yet to publicly respond to the political parties' statement.

Karki, a 73-year-old former Supreme Court chief justice and the first woman to lead the impoverished Himalayan nation, was sworn in during a brief ceremony in the capital Kathmandu.

She is expected to appoint ministers to her cabinet within a few days.

She is widely regarded as having a clean image, and her leadership of the interim government is being supported by student leaders from the "Gen Z" movement.

But her cabinet will face multiple challenges, including restoring law and order, reconstructing parliament and the other key buildings that were attacked, reassuring the Gen Z protesters who want change - and others in Nepal who are fearful its young democracy and constitutional order could be derailed.

Another key task will be to bring those responsible for violence to justice.

Nepal is gradually returning back to normalcy after the worst unrest in decades.

Nepal's soldiers - who had been deployed to patrol the streets of Kathmandu - returned to their bases after Karki took the oath of office.

The protests were triggered by the government's decision last week to ban 26 social media platforms, including WhatsApp, Instagram and Facebook - but they soon widened to embody much deeper discontent with Nepal's political elite.

In the weeks before the ban, a "nepo kid" campaign - spotlighting the lavish lifestyles of politicians' children and allegations of corruption - had taken off on social media.

And while the social media ban was hastily lifted on Monday night, the protests had by that stage gained unstoppable momentum.

89家财险公司,36家被未迈过偿付能力测评门槛

迈过“如期披露”这一最基础门槛之后,还需经历“四不测”标准。这是基于“优中选优”的测评原则。全市场89家财险公司,仅58家入围实测名单。

财险公司偿付能力普遍高于寿险公司,但各显神通;具有外资背景的5家财险公司虽规模不太大,但偿付能力表现良好;两家专注新能源车险的公司,经营在好转。

南方周末研究员 张文景 南方周末实习生 葛炯皓 尤欣瑶

责任编辑:丰雨

在庞大的财险市场,风控更严的外资系、财大气粗的电力系、深耕某一领域的垂类系,抑或大而全的龙头公司,各展其能,各有标杆,但亦不乏落后者。

在全市场所有财险公司中,谁的偿付能力最稳?哪家已告急?谁最有能力为投保人“遮风挡雨”?为此,南方周末新金融研究中心首度推出财险偿付能力榜——2025年“金标杆·财险偿付能力榜”初榜(下称“财险偿付能力榜初榜”)。

如何选取测评对象?与寿险偿付能力榜初榜(详见:《75家寿险公司,为何仅有53家入围偿付能力测评?》)类似,如期披露偿付能力报告是入围基础门槛,再综合考量偿付能力合格与否、公司类型和资产规模等因素。最终58家财险公司进入实测名单。榜单指标体系同样包括三大维度10个指标,但子指标有所变动。测评定量数据则来源于各财险公司2025年二季度偿付能力报告。

历时半年余,南方周末新金融研究中心研制而成财险偿付能力榜初榜。这是2025年“金标杆—新金融竞争力榜”(下称2025年“金标杆”)18个子榜之一,亦是7个保险系子榜之一。客观、科学、公正和透明是“金标杆”系列榜单一直遵循的四大原则。

“财险偿付能力榜初榜”显示,财险公司偿付能力普遍高于寿险公司;电力系“鼎和保险”一技独秀,具有外资背景的5家财险公司虽规模不太大,但偿付能力表现良好,专注新能源车险的两家公司的经营在好转。

但各组得分差异明显,千亿组得分明显领先百亿组和十亿组,“十亿组”仅两家得分超过60分。

9月开始,南方周末新金融研究中心将在被测评公司2025年相关最新披露报告基础上更新数据并测评,并同步对被评测公司展开深度问卷调查、实地走访和线上调研。与此同时,将遴选相关领域资深专家组成独立专家评审团进行“背对背”评分。在上述三类分值各占一定权重的基础上,制作并公布“2025年金标杆·财险偿付能力榜”终榜。

“一基础”和“四不测”

国家金融监督管理总局最新发布的《保险机构法人许可证目录》显示,全市场所有财险公司共89家。

在选择财险公司测评对象时,采用与寿险公司偿付能力榜相同原则,如期披露是入围基础门槛,再叠加综合考量偿付能力合格与否、公司类型和资产规模等因素。

南方周末新金融研究中心研究员调研发现,截至目前,已有86家财险公司如期披露2025年二季度偿付能力报告,仍在名单中的仅有天安财险(已被注销经营许可证,申能财险接管其业务。)、安达财险(因不符合同一主体不能成为两家同类保险公司控制类股东的监管要求,所有业务并入华泰财险)、安心财险(已被东吴财险承接业务)、长安保险(2023年二季度风险综合评级为D类,2023年四季度至今未披露偿付能力报告)尚未披露。

迈过“如期披露”这一最基础门槛之后,还需经历“四不测”标准。这是基于“优中选优”的测评原则。一是偿付能力不达标不测。华安财险、亚太财险、安华保险和前海财险,因风险综合评级为C类,偿付能力不达标。

二是特殊财险公司不测。中石油专属保险、中国铁路自保、中远海运自保、广东能源自保、众惠相互、汇友相互和劳合社(中国)均属于特殊组织形式,其中前4家财险公司属于自保公司。何为自保公司?与普通商业保险公司不同,自保公司也被称作专属自保保险公司,指专为其母公司提供保险服务的机构。

众惠相互和汇友相互属于相互制保险公司。劳合社(中国)则是英国劳合社在中国设立的子公司。根据《保险公司偿付能力监管规则第20号:劳合社保险(中国)有限公司》,监管机构对其单独监管。

三是“Ⅱ类”公司中风险综合评级为B的公司不测。包括长江财险、华农保险和泰山财险等11家财险公司。

 

四是总资产少于10亿元者不测。太平科技、中国渔保、凯本财险、中国渔保和兴亚财险5家公司总资产不足10亿元。

此外,富邦财险和东吴财险也被剔除。富邦财险官网无法正常进入,其在中国保险业协会网站披露2025年二季度偿付能力报告,由于其未公布公司类型,此次未测评;东吴财险前身是安心财险,2025年4月才获准开业。考虑其开业时间较短,此次也未测评。

经过上述严格筛选之后,最终58家进入实测范围。南方周末新金融研究中心研究员测评发现,财险公司偿付能力普遍高于寿险公司。58家被测评机构核心偿付能力充足率平均值为308.68%,综合偿付能力充足率平均值为348.53%,20家风险综合评级为A类。

三大维度,10个指标

与寿险偿付能力榜初榜相同,财险偿付能力榜初榜测评指标体系同样包括“偿付能力充足率”“风险评级”和“流动性风险管理”三大维度,所占权重分别为40%、30%和30%。

 

不同之处在于,在“流动性风险管理”中,衡量负债端流动性指标由“经营活动净现金流”替换成“百元保费经营活动净现金流”。二者本质相同,但后者是相对值,旨在排除规模因素干扰。

以人保财险为例,若仍以“经营活动净现金流”测评,人保财险2025年二季度经营活动净现金流约269亿元。此次测评的58家财险公司中,总资产大于该数值的除人保财险自身外仅有10家。

千亿组:全员得分超60分

哪家机构赔付能力更强?哪家机构成为“黑马”?

按照《关于优化保险公司偿付能力监管标准通知》,实施差异化资本监管。对于财产险公司,总资产100亿元以上、2000亿元以下公司的最低资本按照95%计算偿付能力充足率;总资产100亿元以下公司的最低资本按照90%计算偿付能力充足率。 

参照上述标准,将58家被测评财险公司分为三组:总资产超过2000亿元为“千亿组”、总资产在100亿以上,2000亿以下为“百亿组”,总资产不足100亿元为“十亿组”。

实际上,仅有人保财险、平安产险和太保产险总资产规模超过2000亿元。但考虑财险公司普遍规模不大,国寿财险、大地财险、中华财险和阳光财险也被纳入“千亿组”,分数给予一定折算。

“千亿组”中,7家财险公司得分均在60分之上,平均分69.71分。平安产险、太保产险、大地财险进入前三。

大地财险为何进入前三?从细分维度看,大地财险在“偿付能力充足率”和“流动性风险管理”中得分较高,两者均排名第二。但因风险综合评级为BB,“风险评级”维度得分不高,排名仅高于中华财险,巧合的是,中华财险风险综合评级也是BB,与大地财险相同。

财险龙头“老大”为何未能称霸榜单?人保财险因“流动性风险管理”项得分垫底与前三失之交臂。南方周末新金融研究中心研究员发现,其现金及流动性管理工具占比仅有1.96%,远低于该组平均值4.34%。

这或与人保财险融资变现能力强,谋求收益的资金管理策略有关。在2025年二季度偿付能力报告中,人保财险称,“公司融资渠道畅通,资产流动性高、变现能力较强。公司在银行间和交易所通过债券质押式回购融资的能力较强,回购交易分散化程度较高。流动性管理工具和高流动性资产保持合意规模,股票和债券的变现能力较强。另外,公司再保业务可有效缓释重大保险事故可能引发的流动性风险。总体而言,公司发生流动性偿付风险的概率很小。”

“电力系”鼎和保险“一枝独秀”

百亿组“成分混杂”,有电力系,有专业农险,有互联网保险,还有重组更名者,它们的偿付能力是否充足?

财险偿付能力榜初榜显示,“百亿组”平均分约54.77分,但呈现“一枝独秀”格局。“电力系”鼎和保险以81.72分强势登顶,比第二名紫金保险高近15分。中银保险位居第三,同属“电力系”的英大财险以0.12分之差暂列第四。

 

中原农险、阳光农险和国元保险三家专业农险公司均进入前十;互联网保险分化,众安保险位居第九,泰康在线则落在第十五。

申能财险(原天安财险)和大家财险(原安邦财险)暂列尾部。二者均是重组改名后新成立的财险公司,大家财险2019年获批开业,申能财险2024年5月获批开业。

鼎和保险何以遥遥领先?总部位于深圳的鼎和财险成立至今已17年有余,其股东以南方电网系企业、长江电力及华电资本等能源巨头为主。所谓“背靠大树好乘凉”,依托股东强大资本实力,鼎和保险核心偿付能力充足率和综合偿付能力充足率高居“百亿组”第一。

2025年9月5日,该公司以资本公积转增资本方式增加注册资本方案已获得深圳金融监管局批准。与传统融资方式不同,此次鼎和保险的方式被戏称为“左手倒右手”式内部权益调整。这是一种另类的融资方式,因只涉及账面调整。其优点是既可稳定偿付能力等指标,又避免增加股东压力。进一步研究发现,鼎和保险曾定下“10020”发展目标,即2025年实现100亿元保费、20亿元净利润。这侧面反映该公司快速发展的决心。

南方周末新金融研究中心研究员认为,增资并非万能。从可持续发展角度而言,鼎和保险应树立正确“业绩观”,注重资产负债匹配,强化风险管理。

同处深圳的国任保险,则无这般幸运,在该组中排在最末。作为深圳市属国资控制的唯一财险公司,该公司不仅综合偿付能力充足率和核心偿付能力充足率位于末位,同时还是该组唯一风险综合评级为B的财险公司。

前十强,外资占半壁江山

以中小财险公司为主的“十亿组”表现如何?

财险偿付能力榜初榜显示,该组平均得分45.22分,仅有三井住友保险(中国)和比亚迪保险得分超过60分,前者领先后者1.09分,位居榜首。中意财险以33.93分暂居榜尾。榜首榜尾分差接近29分。

 

进一步研究发现,在前十名中,具有外资背景的财险公司共有5家。这并不令人意外。较强的风险控制能力原是外资险企进入中国市场的保证,令人意外的是比亚迪保险和现代财险也进入前十。

这是两家经营新能源车险的财险公司,但经营模式大不相同。比亚迪保险,背靠比亚迪汽车工业有限公司,以直销模式打开市场。现代财险则与滴滴出行绑定,深耕网约车场景。

新能源车险本就具有高成本率,网约车车险业务成本更高。网约车使用频率更高、行驶里程长,出险概率相对更高,赔付率也相应上升。(详见:专揽“高风险中的高风险”,网约车险吃螃蟹者的勇气何来?|新能源车险调研①》

南方周末新金融研究中心研究员查阅比亚迪保险和现代财险近两个季度偿付能力报告发现,二者综合赔付率均处于下降趋势。

比亚迪保险二季度偿付能力报告显示,其综合赔付率(年度累计数)由一季度96.36%降至二季度95.17%。现代财险二季度综合赔付率为79.84%, 环比下降7.4%。

综合成本率也随之改善。比亚迪保险综合成本率(年度累计数)由103.61%降至101.23%,现代财险综合成本率也由122.43%降至114.07%。

综合成本率是衡量财险公司经营效率和盈利能力的重要指标。通常而言,综合成本率越低越好,低于100%则意味着承保端盈利。反之,则亏损。

校对:星歌

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

“雷暴哮喘”突袭,天气与花粉的“致命合谋”?

13 September 2025 at 20:00
所谓“雷暴哮喘”,一般是指在花粉季节的高峰,突然出现了雷暴天气,电闪雷鸣,大雨倾盆,在局部地区突然出现群体性的哮喘集中发作,症状轻重不一,但发病都较急。

口罩可能可以防住完整的花粉颗粒,但很难防住被雷暴劈碎的花粉碎片;此外,哮喘患者本身就呼吸不畅,戴上花粉防护口罩更不利于呼吸,会加重难受程度。

南方周末记者 黄思卓

责任编辑:崔慧莹

近期多地突现“雷暴哮喘”,大量患者排队就医。视觉中国|图

咳嗽加剧、憋得难受、喘气困难、心跳急促、无法入睡……秋季花粉高峰期遇上雷电交加,总让哮喘患者感到“天要塌了”。

近期,北京、山西太原、河北石家庄等城市遭遇雷暴天气后,大批哮喘急性发作或症状加重的患者前往医院就医,急诊室人满为患。

以山西太原为例,2025年9月8日晚9时许,太原突发雷雨大风等强对流天气,“雷暴哮喘”急性发作患者激增。据山西医科大学第一医院官方报道,该院9月8-10日就接诊了七百余名哮喘急性发作患者。

与此同时,“雷暴哮喘”迅速成为各大社交平台的热搜词,焦虑紧张的情绪在网络与现实中不断蔓延。

“雷暴哮喘”是一种什么疾病?有哪些危害,又该如何应对?9月11日,北京协和医院变态反应科主任医师、中华医学会变态反应学分会前任主任委员王良录接受了南方周末记者采访。

花粉与“雷暴哮喘”

南方周末:“雷暴哮喘”是哮喘的一种吗?

王良录:所谓“雷暴哮喘”,一般是指在花粉高峰

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校对:吴依兰

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。
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