Trump’s Brusque Threat to Europe: Go It Alone

© Doug Mills/The New York Times

© Doug Mills/The New York Times
唐纳德·特朗普周二表示,无论是否达成协议,美国都将“很快”在两三周内撤离伊朗,并表示被封锁的霍尔木兹海峡已不再是他的问题。
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周二晚间表示,美国可能在两到三周内结束对伊朗的军事行动。
他告诉记者:“我们很快就会撤离”,并补充说,美军撤离可能在“两周内,或许两周,或许三周内”。
特朗普还表示,无需德黑兰与华盛顿达成协议即可结束冲突。
白宫宣布,美国总统将于周三晚间(格林尼治标准时间周四凌晨1点)向全国发表讲话,“提供有关伊朗的重要信息”。
油价下跌 股市上扬
在特朗普预告“两到三周”撤出伊朗后,布伦特原油价格应声下跌,跌破每桶100美元。巴黎时间09:15,北海布伦特原油6月交割价格下跌4.54%,每桶99.25美元。西德“克萨斯”轻质原油(WTI)5月交割价格下跌4.23%,每桶97.09美元。
欧洲股市今天开盘大幅走高:法兰克福股市上涨2.86%,巴黎股市上涨2.34%,米兰股市上涨2.53%,伦敦股市上涨1.80%。
周三,伊朗、以色列、海湾国家和黎巴嫩等多个战线均报告了新的袭击事件。黎巴嫩卫生部称,以色列在贝鲁特地区发动的两次空袭造成至少7人死亡。

Getty ImagesIsrael has intensified its attacks on Lebanon this week, hitting areas outside of Hezbollah's control on Tuesday.
Strikes without warning hit a vehicle north of Beirut and the Jnah neighbourhood in the heart of the capital.
Attacks also continued in the city's southern suburbs and the country's south, both where Hezbollah has a strong presence.
A building was destroyed on the road to Beirut's airport after an evacuation order, and in the south, a strike hit a health facility, killing a paramedic, according to Lebanon's health ministry.
Israel's military said it had hit Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut and killed a senior commander and another senior figure from the Iran-backed armed group.
Hezbollah joined the ongoing regional war on 2 March, sending missiles towards Israel, after the US and Israel attacked the armed group's ally Iran on 28 February.
Israeli attacks have kept bombarding Lebanon as its troops have moved into the country's south.
On Tuesday, a vehicle was targeted in the Mansourieh area, a predominantly Christian residential neighbourhood north of Beirut.
Meanwhile, the Jnah neighbourhood in the heart of the capital was attacked after midnight. The Lebanese health ministry said the Al-Zahraa Hospital had received and treated "a number of those injured in the air strike".
Hassan Jalwan, who lives near Jnah, told AFP he heard several "big explosions" overnight.
"Nobody knows what's happening," he said, adding that "displaced people have been sleeping in the open" in the area.
The Dahieh neighbourhood to the south of Beirut, where Hezbollah has a strong presence, continues to be a target. A building was destroyed on Tuesday in Ghobeiry on the road to the airport following an evacuation order.
Also on Tuesday, Lebanon's health ministry said at least seven people had been killed by Israeli strikes in the country's south, including the paramedic.
The number of health workers who have been killed since the start of the war has now reached 53.
Earlier, the Lebanese army cleared its last positions in the south, pulling out from Ain Ibel and Rmeish villages a day after an army checkpoint was hit and a soldier was killed by an Israeli air strike, according to the Lebanese Armed Forces. The Israeli military has not appeared to have commented yet on the reported death.
However, some residents of the villages refuse to leave.
In the predominantly Christian village of Rmeish, Father Najib Al Amil appeared in a video on social media, where he said: "There is grass and soil. We rely on God and will stay in our village. We either all die together and lose our land or live and our villages will live with us."

KAWNAT HAJU / AFP via Getty ImagesIsrael has announced its decision to control large swathes of land in southern Lebanon - up to the Litani River, about 30km from the border with Israel - to create a buffer security zone.
Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said Israel would keep security control over the territory even after the end of the current war against Hezbollah. The plan has drawn criticism from the UN.
Hundreds of thousands of people have been forced to leave the south, but there are still tens of thousands who have refused to go.
Supply lines to the south have been cut by Israel targeting bridges and infrastructure, making villages in the south uninhabitable.
Katz said more than 600,000 displaced Lebanese residents would be "completely prohibited" from returning to that area until the safety of residents of northern Israel was guaranteed.
The Israeli defence minister also said all houses in villages near the border in Lebanon will be destroyed "according to the model of Rafah and Beit Hanoun in Gaza".
In total, 1,268 people in Lebanon have been killed since the beginning of the attacks, the country's health ministry said on Tuesday.
More than one million people have been displaced, the UN reported.
This is critical time for Lebanon and the residents of the south. Many see Israel's strategy in the south mimicking that of Gaza - destruction, depopulation and occupation.
The government said earlier that this constitutes a violation of the country's sovereignty.
South Lebanon previously lived under Israeli occupation for nearly 18 years, between 1982 and 2000.
Some Lebanese have lived the displacement and loss of land generation after generation.
Many in Lebanon believe that Israel is more powerful than Hezbollah and capable of destroying the south with its advanced missiles and drones. At the same time, if Israel is to stay in the south, Hezbollah is more powerful on the ground and can engage in a guerrilla war to wear out the Israelis and prevent them from staying put.
In short, for the hundreds of thousands who have been forced out of their homes, this war is not ending anytime soon.

AirTeamImagesA Russian military plane has crashed in the occupied Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea, killing 29 people on board, the Russian defence ministry has said.
Wreckage of the An-26 aircraft was found on Tuesday after the plane lost contact with authorities during a "routine flight", according to the ministry.
It blamed a "technical failure" and reported no external damage to the aircraft, implying that missiles, drones or birds are not suspected of causing the crash.
Seven crew members and 23 passengers had been on board as it flew over the Ukraine's Crimean peninsula, which Russia illegally annexed in 2014.
Russia's Investigative Committee confirmed the crash and said it had opened an inquiry into a flight safety violation.
News agency Tass reported that communication with the plane was lost at about 18:00 local time (15:00 GMT) on Tuesday, and the wreckage was found following a search and rescue effort.
Ukraine has not commented on the crash.
The An-26 is a Soviet-era aircraft mainly used in a military capacity to transport heavy cargo and smaller numbers of passengers over a short-to-medium distance. It is manufactured by the Ukrainian aerospace company Antonov.
The planes have been used since the late 1960s, and have been involved in several deadly crashes.
Twenty-six people, mostly cadets, were killed when a Ukrainian An-26 came down in Kharkiv in 2020. The following year, 28 people were killed in a crash in the Russian Far East and in 2022, one person was killed in a crash in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region.
Fighting between Ukrainian and Russian forces has been ongoing in Crimea since Moscow launched its full-scale invasion four years ago.
Ukrainian strikes have largely targeted Russian military bases in the peninsula, which borders the partly Russian-occupied Kherson region in southern Ukraine.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly demanded Russia withdraw from Crimea as part of a ceasefire. In November, a US-backed peace plan proposed Kyiv would cede control of Crimea.

FIFA via Getty ImagesAuthorities in the Democratic Republic Congo have declared Wednesday a public holiday after the national football team qualified for their first World Cup in 52 years.
The Leopards reached the finals on Tuesday when Axel Tuanzebe's extra-time goal gave them a 1-0 win over Jamaica in the play-off.
DR Congo's ministry of labour and employment said that as a result of the "historic" victory, the nation could have the day off work to "celebrate in unity, fervour and national pride".
The central African nation has only played in the World Cup once before - in 1974 when the country was named Zaire.
Tuesday's match was an intense affair, with former Manchester United player Tuanzebe only breaking the deadlock in the 100th minute.
Videos of elated football fans celebrating in the capital, Kinshasa, have been circulating on social media. In the neighbourhood of Kingabwa, supporters took to the streets chanting "Christiano Ronaldo is next".
DR Congo's first match will be against Ronaldo's Portugal in the US city of Houston on 17 June.
They will also play Colombia and Uzbekistan in the group stages.
DR Congo are the 10th African nation to reach this year's expanded World Cup finals, hosted by the US, Mexico and Canada.
Additional reporting from Emery Makumeno in Kinshasa

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Getty ImagesDivorced couples in Japan are now allowed to share custody of their children, after a landmark revision to Japan's Civil Code took effect on Wednesday.
Before the amendment was approved by parliament in 2024, Japan was the only G7 country that did not recognise the legal concept of joint custody.
Custody was typically granted to one parent - in most cases the mother - who had power to cut off the other parent's access to their children.
Domestic and international criticism has been mounting against the sole custody system in Japan, which critics say led many divorcees to become estranged from their children after losing custody of them.
Previously, divorcing couples in Japan were free to decide custody and visitation arrangements. But if they went to court over it, custody would only be awarded to one parent.
Under the new law, a family court can decide whether to grant sole or joint custody to divorcing couples.
Parents who divorced under the old system are also now eligible to have their custody arrangement reviewed by the family court.
The Civil Code revision also mandates child support payments after divorce, allowing the parent living with the child to claim 20,000 yen (£95; $125) from their ex-spouse every month.
Some are hopeful that the changes will help prevent cases of parental abduction, which have come into the spotlight in recent years - especially after allegations made by foreigners with Japanese ex-spouses.
In 2023, Japanese table tennis star Ai Fukuhara was accused by her Taiwanese ex-husband of abducting their son. He said she had cut off contact with him and refused to bring their son back to Taiwan. The pair later came to a settlement.
During the Tokyo Olympics in 2021, a French father who was based in Japan staged a hunger strike, calling attention to what he said was the kidnapping of his children by his ex-wife.
While some see the joint custody bill as a way to solve such controversies, not everyone is supportive of the revision. Some previously told BBC that they feared joint custody would force women to maintain ties with husbands even in cases of domestic violence.
Under the new law, the court will grant sole custody to divorcing couples if it finds instances of domestic violence or abuse.

AAP via ReutersAustralia's Prime Minister has warned the economic shock from the war involving Iran will "be with us for months", as he delivered a rare televised address to the nation.
Speaking on Wednesday, Anthony Albanese said the conflict had driven the biggest spike in petrol and diesel prices in history, and households were already feeling the strain.
"Australia is not an active participant in this war. But all Australians are paying higher prices because of it," he added.
Addresses of this kind have been used at moments of international importance, last seen in the country during the Covid pandemic and before that the 2008 financial crisis.
Australia is among a host of nations that have seen fuel prices increase sharply since the start of the US-Israel war with Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
The near-total blockade of international shipping in the vital waterway - through which around 20% of the world's oil and natural gas flows - has led governments around the world to begin implementing measures to conserve fuel.
Albanese has previously sought to reassure motorists following reports of panic-buying and petrol stations running dry.
During the address, he acknowledged that the "months ahead may not be easy", and said that no government could fully shield Australians from the global pressures.
The Australian government has announced a series of temporary measures aimed at easing immediate cost pressures, including halving fuel excise - a sales tax - and scrapping road user charges for heavy vehicles for three months.
Officials are also seeking to shore up domestic supply and increase fuel imports through regional partners as part of a newly agreed National Fuel Security Plan.
Alongside government action, Albanese urged Australians to limit unnecessary usage of fuel, including switching to public transport where possible to preserve supplies for essential industries.
"You should go about your business and your life, as normal", he said.
"Enjoy your Easter. If you're hitting the road, don't take more fuel than you need - just fill up like you normally would. Think of others in your community, in the bush and in critical industries.
"And over coming weeks, if you can switch to catching the train or bus or tram to work, do so".
The address ended on a note of unity and said the country will "deal with these global challenges, the Australian way".
"Working together - and looking after each other. As we always have".

ReutersTech giant Oracle made "significant" job cuts on Tuesday, according to senior employees posting online, as it makes big investments in artificial intelligence (AI).
Some 10,000 people are believed to have lost their jobs so far, one employee told the BBC, citing a drop in the number of staff active on Oracle's internal messaging system Slack.
Oracle declined to comment, but one senior staff member said online the cuts were not performance based.
Oracle has been using AI tools internally and executives have previously said they are seeing fewer employees able to do more work.
"The use of AI coding tools inside Oracle is enabling smaller engineering teams to deliver more complete solutions to our customers more quickly," Mike Silicia, Oracle's other co-chief executive, said earlier this month.
Silica noted at the time that such AI tools had helped create new ways of generating sales leads and the automatic selling of Oracle services. He said the company recently used AI to build out its new company website.
Oracle is one of the largest tech companies in the world and it offers software and cloud computing infrastructure to other companies.
Larry Ellison, one of the richest people in the world, is Oracle's co-founder, chairman, and chief technology officer.
Michael Shepard, a senior manager, was not affected by the job cuts but wrote on LinkedIn on Tuesday "senior engineers, architects, operations leaders, program managers, and technical specialists" had been let go.
Shepard said the "significant reduction in force" was not based on employee performance.
"The individuals affected were not let go because of anything they did or didn't do," he added.
His was one of dozens of such posts describing the layoffs.
Former Oracle employee Kendall Levin said on LinkedIn her role was "eliminated as part of the company's mass reduction in force".
She added that she remains "a genuine believer" in where the firm is headed.
Several others described receiving early morning emails informing them they were no longer employed and would receive one month of severance pay.
Talk inside Oracle of a significant layoff began earlier this year.
Similar claims of being able to use AI tools to do more worth with fewer employees have come from tech leaders like Mark Zuckerberg of Meta and Jack Dorsey of Block.
Both executives have also overseen layoffs at their companies already this year.
However, such leaders in the tech industry have been conducting mass layoffs every year for the last several years. Previous rounds of cuts have not been blamed on AI.
Other tech companies that have cut jobs this year include Amazon, Pinterest and Epic Games.
The job cuts at Oracle come as it has invested heavily in AI, spending both on its own infrastructure and on partnerships with other companies like OpenAI.
It plans to spend at least $50bn (£37.8bn) on infrastructure this year, and it has also raised $50bn in debt in order to "meet demand" for even more AI infrastructure.
Oracle is also part of the Stargate initiative, alongside OpenAI, Softbank and MGX, an AI investment fund backed by US President Donald Trump.
Stargate is a $500bn project to build up data center capacity in the US, which backers say is needed for planned increases in AI processing and power requirements over the next several years.
"Investing in AI infrastructure is capital-intensive, but our operating model is optimized to ensure profitability," Clayton Magouyrk, Oracle's co-chief executive, said earlier this month.
"It's unprecedented to scale a capital-intensive business so quickly."
日本和法国两国首脑4月1日会谈考虑达成一项包括稀土在内的重要矿产采购协议,以便减少对中国的依赖。
日本首相高市早苗和法国总统马克龙将就稀土和其他关键矿产供应多元化路线图达成一致,据《日经新闻》周三报道称,两国领导人将发表联合声明,表达对关键矿产出口限制的担忧。
日本和法国政府计划于今年晚些时候在法国西南部启动一项合作项目,提炼用于电动汽车,电机和其他技术的重稀土,计划在2026年年底投产。
消息显示日本首相高市早苗和法国总统马克龙将确认该项目以及其他旨在建立独立于中国的稀土供应链措施。
目前日本和西方各国政府及制造商都在努力确保稀土矿物的供应,以减少对中国这个全球最大的稀土供应国和生产商的依赖。
日本和法国还将寻求在航天领域的合作,两国企业将签署关于12个合作项目备忘录,其中包括太空碎片清除和火箭发射。
此前在3月20日美国和日本还发布了一项联合行动计划,旨在为关键矿产和稀土供应链寻找替代中国的方案,初期重点是为特定矿产设定最低价格。

© Gabriel V. Cárdenas for The New York Times

PA MediaA man who was charged after a car hit a group of pedestrians in Derby city centre has appeared in court.
Seven people were seriously injured when they were hit by a black Suzuki Swift in Friar Gate at about 21:30 GMT on Saturday.
Sandhu Ponnachan, 36, from Alvaston, who only spoke to confirm his name and address, has been charged with six counts of grievous bodily harm (GBH) with intent and one count of attempted GBH with intent, one count of dangerous driving, and one count of possession of a bladed article.
Ponnachan, who police said was originally from India, appeared at Southern Derbyshire Magistrates' Court on Wednesday, where he was remanded to appear at Derby Crown Court on 29 April.
Derbyshire Police said four men and three women, aged between 36 and 52, suffered serious but non life-threatening injuries during the incident.
Four have since been released from hospital, the force added.
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PA MediaDissident republican groups still have the capacity, ability and desire to carry out attacks on police despite their small numbers, Northern Ireland's justice minister has said.
It comes after a delivery driver was hijacked and told he would be killed if he did not drive a bomb, which was placed into the boot of his car, to the police station in Lurgan.
The device was found to be a "crude, but viable improvised explosive device", and police believe it is "highly likely" that dissident republicans are behind the attack.
Naomi Long said while there have been no concerns about an uptick in activity, those involved are "wedded" to destruction and violence.
"If they weren't intent in causing harm, then they wouldn't be in those groups, it's the only purpose that they serve," she told BBC News NI's Good Morning Ulster programme.
"From our perspective, we take it seriously. I know the PSNI [Police Service of Northern Ireland] work very hard to keep people safe, to suppress the activities of these organisations and where they can do so, bring the people involved to justice.
"But we can't be complacent about the risks."

PA MediaLong said there were "not large numbers" of people still involved in these groups, but the attack in Lurgan is a "demonstration for anyone who has any doubt that these are people who are completely wedded to destruction, to disruption".
"We are talking about people who have been fairly committed to what they're doing over many years, and I think we can see that they remain wedded to violence and they're not in any sense trying to depart from that," she said.
"I think it's more likely that this is some kind of rallying the troops sort of issue ahead of Easter, but no consideration for an innocent person going to deliver pizza and end up being hijacked at gunpoint and forced to drive a bomb through the town."
She continued: "No regard whatsoever for the people who could have been killed had it exploded prematurely and no regard for the delivery driver and the PSNI who then had to deal with the aftermath of this."
The justice minister said while those responsible may try and "dress it up" as an attack on police, the incident is a "reckless attack on the people of Lurgan".
Sinn Féin assembly member John O'Dowd said it was a "shocking" incident, particularly for the delivery driver.
He said thousands of people had gathered in Lurgan weeks ago to celebrate St Patrick's Day, and that the "starkness of this event" casts a shadow on the town.

PA MediaWhen asked about the potential of dissident republicans being involved in the attack, O'Dowd, who represents Upper Bann, said he did not see support for the groups.
"What they class themselves or what they call themselves is a matter for themselves, but I do think and I know that the vast majority of people in Lurgan want to move on and we have seen huge progress over this last 20, 25 years," he told Good Morning Ulster.
"I would appeal to anyone who believes there's going to be a return to the past to think again and to follow the course that has been set out by the people."
Tánaiste (Irish Deputy Prime Minister) Simon Harris said the attempted bomb attack was "deeply chilling".
Speaking to reporters in Dublin on Wednesday morning, Harris said: "The dark history needs to be left just there, and it is a reminder of the fact that we can never ever let our guard down in relation to that.
"We have a peace process on the island of Ireland, an enduring one, an ongoing one, and this chilling event is deeply concerning."
At about 22:30 BST on Monday, a delivery driver in a white Audi was stopped by two masked men - one of whom was armed with a pistol - on Deramore Drive in the Kilwilkie estate.
He was threatened at gunpoint and ordered to drive his car to the police station on Church Place in the town.
When he arrived he told security staff there was a bomb in the car, which later triggered a security operation. About 100 homes were evacuated overnight, with residents taking refuge in Lurgan town hall and a number of roads in town centre were closed.

PacemakerA controlled explosion was also carried out.
At a press conference on Tuesday, police confirmed that the device, while crude, was viable.
Assistant Chief Constable Ryan Henderson said: "As unsophisticated as it was, it posed a significant risk to the terrified delivery driver, our security staff and the local community."
The term "dissident republicans" describes a range of individuals who do not accept the Good Friday Agreement - the 1998 peace deal which ended the worst of the Troubles in Northern Ireland.
The Provisional IRA - the main armed republican paramilitary group for most of the Troubles - declared a ceasefire in the run up to the agreement and officially ended its violent campaign in 2005.
Dissident republicanism is made up of various groups which broke away from the Provisional IRA in the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s, including the Continuity IRA and New IRA.
The groups are much smaller than the Provisional IRA, although they have access to high-calibre weapons and have used improvised explosive devices and mortars in attacks and attempted attacks.

Nasa's Artemis II Space Launch System rocket and Orion spacecraft sits on Launch Pad 39B at the Kennedy Space Center on March 31 in anticipation of lift off
Nasa hopes to launch the first crewed mission around the Moon in more than 50 years, but weather may decide if the Artemis astronauts actually take off.
If the conditions aren't right then the space agency's meteorologists will be the ones to "scrub" or cancel the mission.
The Artemis II rocket contains nearly 750,000 gallons of propellant, so lightning is one of the biggest risks to safety.
So what are the chances of the weather delaying the launch from Cape Canaveral in Florida?

Thunderstorms like this one hitting the Kennedy Space Center in March 2025 will delay rocket launches due to safety concerns
With the launch window opening up on 1 April at 18:24 EDT (23:24 BST) and lasting for two hours, a threat of convective - known as cumulus - cloud, showers, strong winds and even solar activity is being closely monitored.
In Florida the spring sunshine is now bringing more heat and warmer days. Meanwhile, high pressure in the western Atlantic is producing an easterly breeze blowing from the ocean, bringing increased moisture to the eastern coast of Florida.
This combination of heat and moisture can lead to lots of cumulus cloud developing. As these grow thicker, they bring the threat of showers and thunderstorms.
Official Nasa forecasts suggest the weather will be 80% favourable for launch within the two hour window.
It is hoped that any clouds or strong winds may stay far enough away to allow the rocket to get airborne and safely through Earth's atmosphere.
If not, 2-6 April are also potential launch days.

There are rules around the type of cloud, lightning and electrical field, weather and temperature around Cape Canaveral that need to be cleared before the weather officer gives a 'go for launch'
Weather forecasts for launches are provided by the 45th Weather Squadron where Mark Burger, primary launch weather officer for Artemis II has been monitoring conditions for months.
"Our job is to ensure, from a meteorological perspective, that it is safe to launch", he said.
Rocket launches can be impacted by different 'weather rules' which need to be met before the launch weather officer on duty can give the 'go' decision on weather.
Historically, almost half of all rocket launches that end up scrubbed have been a result of unsafe weather, said Burger.
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The weather rules include atmospheric electricity, types of cloud, specifically cumulus and disturbed weather like rain or strong winds.
Using a percentage chance of a violation of the rules, launch weather officers use a combination of meteorological and climatological data, local knowledge, and experience to forecast this probability.
Lightning is one of the biggest risks, but it is not only the natural lightning from a thunderstorm - or cumulonimbus cloud - that forecasters will be concerned about.
Rocket-induced lightning from an enhanced atmospheric electric field is also a major risk.
"Some types of clouds, even if they're not producing lightning, carry an electrical charge where a rocket passing through them at high speeds with a trail of exhaust can act like a lightning rod and trigger a lightning strike," said Burger.
This rocket-induced lightning can be triggered much more easily than natural lightning.
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Other events, external such as heavy rain, strong winds, high or low temperatures or extreme weather can also jeapordise a rocket launch.
Throughout a countdown the launch weather officer must be clear and convinced that none of the weather criteria are violated in order to give the weather 'go' call for launch.
Ahead of the Artemis launch window, the 45th Weather Squadron will not only be looking at conditions at Cape Canaveral but also in other areas such as potential recovery sites in the North Atlantic where "the weather is not particularly favourable at this time of year" in case things go wrong.
With the peak in the solar cycle, they will also be keeping an eye on solar activity and enhanced radiation which could affect the astronauts.

Launch weather officer for Artemis II, Mark Burger looking at weather data to provide up to date forecasts for launches
"I'm very excited... it is the culmination of a lifelong dream being able to do this and take part in this whole mission," said Burger.
Meteorological planning for the Artemis II launch started many months ago.
"Launching a rocket like Artemis II is much more complicated [compared to other launches]… there are different constraints we need to learn about and now Artemis II is at the pad, it is exposed and vulnerable to weather and so daily forecasting and monitoring has begun".
In February, cold weather disrupted the preparations for the first launch opportunity. Freezing weather meant Nasa had to postpone the first full dress rehearsal as it was too cold to fuel the SLS rocket.
As for the actual launch, the decision to announce 'weather go' can be made right up to the last moments of a countdown.
In August 2025, a Crew-11 launch was scrubbed at T-minus 1 minute due to cloud cover and a small thunderstorm near Cape Canaveral violating weather safety criteria.

© Eric Lee for The New York Times

© Tierney L. Cross/The New York Times
A group of President Donald Trump’s MAGA allies released a playbook Wednesday to fulfill the largest deportation push in U.S. history. It could very well split Trump’s coalition.
The plan from the Mass Deportation Coalition — an organization led by some prominent Trumpworld veterans, immigration restrictionist groups and hawkish policy experts — rests on one crucial pillar: A major immigration enforcement crackdown on workplaces, modeling the strategy that former President Dwight D. Eisenhower’s administration used to deliver the nation’s largest deportation initiative in history.
“There is no chance for a mass deportation program if worksite enforcement is not the centerpiece,” the playbook, shared first with POLITICO, reads. “Enforcement at scale means focusing on physical areas where illegal aliens are concentrated: worksites.”
That strategy almost certainly promises to alienate some of the Trump administration’s allies in the agriculture, construction and hospitality industries, which all rely heavily on undocumented labor. Farm groups in particular hold significant sway in Trump’s Washington and have already shown prowess in steering the administration away from worksite enforcement when those efforts disrupted the industry.
Worksite raids could also prove deeply unpopular with voters, whose views have turned increasingly negative toward Trump on immigration and seemingly forced the administration to ramp down its deportation push.
The release of the group’s playbook — which also offers recommendations from digitizing the employment verification process to barring unauthorized immigrants from accessing credit — comes as the Trump administration enters a new stage of internal immigration enforcement.
In the months since an immigration surge in Minneapolis left two U.S. citizens dead, the administration pivoted its message on mass deportations while overhauling its leadership at the Department of Homeland Security. Border czar Tom Homan replaced Customs and Border Protection chief Greg Bovino in Minneapolis and drew down the immigration enforcement presence in the city; the president ousted DHS Secretary Kristi Noem and tapped then-Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.) to replace her; and a POLITICO review of official administration social media accounts found that references to “mass deportations” sharply decreased in March.
In a statement, White House spokesperson Abigail Jackson denied that the White House has shifted its deportation approach.
“Nobody is changing the Administration’s immigration enforcement agenda,” she said in a statement. “President Trump’s highest priority has always been the deportation of illegal alien criminals who endanger American communities. As the Department of Homeland Security has repeatedly said, approximately 70 percent of deportations to date have been illegal aliens with criminal records.”
Still, the Mass Deportation Coalition is trying to push the White House back toward a more aggressive immigration approach. Its members include Mark Morgan, the former acting commissioner of CBP under Trump; Erik Prince, a Trump ally and former Blackwater CEO who has pitched the White House on privatizing immigration detention operations; and a number of conservative organizations like the Heritage Foundation.
The group commissioned a poll last month by McLaughlin & Associates, one of Trump’s pollsters, that found a majority of likely U.S. voters support deporting all migrants who entered the country illegally. The poll also found that 70 percent of likely voters support “strengthening workplace immigration enforcement to help raise wages for American workers.”
However, those results differ drastically from other recent polling on immigration, like a January POLITICO poll amid the Minneapolis surge which found that nearly half of U.S. adults say Trump’s mass deportation campaign was too aggressive, including 1 in 5 of his 2024 voters.
“Special interests and industry have been able to operate in the shadows, and to lean on lawmakers and administration officials,” said Mike Howell, president of the Oversight Project and a member of the Mass Deportation Coalition. “We're taking that fight public, and we don't think that they're well situated to win that fight, because their arguments don't sell with the American people.”
The group’s stated goal of 1 million deportations in 2026 mirrors a private goal among White House officials, the Washington Post reported last year. It would mark a significant uptick in apprehensions: The Department of Homeland Security said it deported just over 600,000 individuals in 2025, though independent analyses put the number lower.
Industry groups are warning worksite enforcement would disrupt supply chains. Last June, after immigration raids on farms and meatpacking plants sent a shiver through the agriculture industry and drew negative headlines, Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins and others successfully lobbied the president to pivot to focus on blue cities instead — a move that eventually culminated with the tumultuous operation in Minneapolis.
“The president made clear where he stands on the issue, and made clear how he wants to see the policy enforced,” said John Hollay, president of the National Council of Agricultural Employers. “If [immigration raids] were to occur again on farm operations, that’s going to disrupt the food supply chain, and we’ve made that very clear. We know the president is committed to ensuring our food supply chain is not disrupted and that prices at the grocery store are not raised unnecessarily.”

© Patrick T. Fallon/AFP via Getty Images
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最近,有网友反映,自己买安眠药后,收到厦门湖里区交管部门注销驾驶证短信。此事迅速在网络引发热议,有些人支持交管,认为这种大数据执法有利于公共安全,有人则认为此举侵犯了公民隐私。
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我仔仔细细把此事前因后果梳理了一遍,发现此事槽点实在太多了。
就先挑几种为这事变化辩护的声音说说吧,比方说,我看该新闻下面一条高赞评论说,“这是精神类药物,跟隐私有啥关系啊?本来就是要实名购买的”(见下图)。
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这个毫无逻辑的网友评论,居然获得如此多的点赞,真让人无语。拜托,实名买药不代表可以公开,不代表我的就诊信息可以让除医院之外的第三方可以看到,医疗就诊信息是个人最为核心的隐私,除非经过严格的法律授权,谁都应该无法调取。
湖里区交管部门后来回应此事说,“该短信只是提醒,驾驶员接到信息后,建议前往辖区交警部门进一步核实,或需要签署承诺书或开具医院证明。”(据极目新闻)又有一些人站出来为湖里交管辩护,说“只是提醒,又不是真注销”,言下之意大家有些大惊小怪。
不知这些网友生活在天上还是人间,居然对一件折腾民众的事情,说得如此轻飘。我倒想问问,民众往交管所来回跑,不需要花费时间和精力吗?签承诺书或开具医院证明,难道不是件麻烦的事吗?问题是,我好好一个人,对他人安全没造成威胁,却受到如此歧视性对待,冤不冤?
再说,湖里交管给那位网友发的短信,明确说要注销驾照,现在又改口说“要进一步核实”,拜托,执法部门给民众发送执法信息,应该准确而完整,不要上来这么一惊一乍好吗,不然收信人即便没有神经衰弱,恐怕都要给吓出来了!
此事引发最多的,就是关于公民隐私泄漏的讨论,对于这个话题,我感觉没必要再多说,毕竟道理再简单不过。我倒想分析一下,这种大数据执法对公共安全是好事还是坏事?
正常服用安眠药等精神类治疗药物的人群,是否会影响驾驶安全,这个我们并未看到详实的科学研究。不过,常识是明摆着的,如果一个人有失眠或精神焦虑、抑郁等疾病,及时服药治疗,对于他的身体,进而对于驾驶安全难道不是一件好事吗?
反过来,如果一个需要服药治疗精神疾患的人,在得知自己一旦开药,就诊信息就会传给交管,可能导致驾照被注销,或者说可能要为保驾照被折腾一番,你觉得他还是轻易去开药和治疗吗?
换成我,我肯定不会的。我看到这个“买安眠药收到注销驾驶证短信”的新闻,就有些后怕,因为我之前就因为失眠开过安眠药,如果我们当地交管也像厦门那样搞大数据执法,我也要倒霉了。
有统计显示,中国有3亿人被睡眠障碍困扰。另一公开数据显示,中国精神障碍人群规模已高达2.8亿。这两个统计肯定有重叠,毛估估,目前国内有睡眠障碍和精神障碍,需要服药治疗的人,应该有上亿左右吧。
如果所谓大数据执法普及,服药治疗和驾照注销联系在一起,必然会导致一大批人,因为害怕惹上麻烦而回避治疗,如此一来,这些人的症状只会加重,这对他们的身体显然不是好事,对驾驶安全会是好事吗?
所以,只要用常识思考,许多事是很容易看明白的。
上期内容:【404文库】中国数字时代2026年2月404文章统计
【404文库】是由中国数字时代运营的一个"因审查而被屏蔽或删除(404 not found)文章"的存档项目。在相当长的一段时间内,中国数字时代通过在标题前加注【404文库】的方式,对大量需要抢救性保存的文章进行了归档、发布。自2021年起,为便于列表化呈现与系统化检索,中国数字时代设立了【404文库】专页。(在专页上,您还可以查看文章的原始链接、发布平台、话题分类、删除时间等信息。)
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2026年3月1日—3月31日,我们测试发现有36篇墙内文章遭到404。涉及的主要话题有:张雪峰去世、伊朗战争、微信审查、315晚会,已加入中国数字时代【404文库】。目前项目总收录文章2492篇。(注:上期总数统计有误,已修正)
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点此跳转到中国数字时代404文库专页。

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© Pool photo by Jim Watson

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