Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris.

© The New York Times

Step by step, Donald J. Trump and his allies are following the strategies that caused chaos four years ago. Election officials say they are ready this time.

© Doug Mills/The New York Times

A Democratic strategist explains how a deadlocked presidential race may play out in the Electoral College.

If Trump is president on July 4, 2026, the celebration will become a eulogy, for we will be honoring the corpse of the American republic.

Economic factors can tell us only so much about how presidential elections will turn out.

A 50-50 forecast really does mean 50-50. And you should be open to the possibility that those forecasts are wrong.