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【404文库】衣者褚|难道李佩霞案幕后还有更耸人听闻的事?

11月7日,江西省上饶市横峰县人民法院一审公开开庭审理万年县上坊乡原党委书记李佩霞李佩霞受贿一案。

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CDT 档案卡
标题:难道李佩霞案幕后还有更耸人听闻的事?
作者:褚朝新
发表日期:2024.11.8
来源:凤凰号“衣者褚”
主题归类:李佩霞案
CDS收藏:公民馆
版权说明:该作品版权归原作者所有。中国数字时代仅对原作进行存档,以对抗中国的网络审查。详细版权说明

横峰县人民检察院指控,2019年4月至2024年2月,被告人李佩霞利用担任万年县上坊乡党委书记的职务便利,为他人在工程项目承揽、工程款拨付等事项上谋取利益,非法收受他人财物共计人民币165万元。检察机关提请以受贿罪追究李佩霞的刑事责任。

消息一出,舆论广泛关注,朋友圈刷屏。一个乡党委书记的受贿案,被控的金额也不大,为何会引起广泛关注呢?

七月份写的《女乡党委书记之父举报县委书记性侵,省级纪委应尽快介入》(点击蓝色标题即可阅读)一文简略介绍过原委:7月25日,江西省上饶市万年县上坊乡原党委书记李佩霞的父亲李长柳实名举报,称女儿遭万年县县委书记毛奇性侵,2024年5月23日李与毛发生争执并声称要去省纪委监委举报毛,3天后李被万年县纪委监委带走并留置。

李长柳公布的录音中有一段录音显示,李佩霞在毛某办公室汇报工作时,在毛某要求下两人发生了性关系。

另两段录音,是毛奇两次深夜打电话给李佩霞,要求她去其住所聊天喝茶。通话中,李佩霞多次以生病为由推脱并表示“我怕你会忍不住”,毛反复说“不干嘛”、“最多像昨天一样,只坐一坐”,李佩霞又说 “我说话算话,等身体好了怎么都行”……

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根据这些录音,我当时判断说:“我怕你会忍不住”,这种话很容易让人对“性侵”存疑,李佩霞到底经历了什么样的心路历程,两人的关系到底发展到了哪一步,到底是性侵还是别的性质的违法违纪行为,江西省纪委应该立即介入。

我当时还说:权力失范后胡作非为,使人失去抵抗的能力,无力反抗,这很可怕;权力失范后胡作非为,使人不仅失去抵抗能力无力反抗,甚至使人连抵抗的本能、反抗的意识都彻底丧失,不敢反抗,甚至被迫顺从,更可怕。

这些话,当时都写得明明白白,绝非马后炮。

没多久,毛奇主动投案。主动投案并不等于自首,主动投案并如实交代罪行,才能算自首。主动投案却不如实交代的,不能算作自首。

当时,我还有一些个人的疑问:李佩霞的父亲公开检举毛奇,是她被带走前明确委托父亲这么做的呢,还是让其父先找毛奇谈判、谈判未果后才采取的报复行为呢?

这一点其实需要搞清楚。如果是直接检举,李佩霞可能有立功情节,毛奇的案子不仅在江西影响重大,在全国都算影响重大,完全够得上立功甚至重大立功。如果李佩霞没有被认定为有立功情节,那我们就得更冷静看待这起官场丑闻引发的地方反腐。

8月18日,上饶市委联合调查组发布通报称,李佩霞涉嫌受贿,给予开除党籍、开除公职处分,将其涉嫌犯罪问题移送检察机关依法审查起诉。

对毛奇和李佩霞的关系,通报则是这么说的:经查,发现毛奇存在利用职权影响与李佩霞发生不正当性关系问题,李佩霞为了职务调整升迁违反生活纪律。

江西省纪委监委发布的消息对两人的关系没有具体描述,只用一句话进行了概括:毛奇违反生活纪律,与他人发生不正当性关系。

综合录音和官方的上述通报,我认为自己早期的判断目前还是站得住脚的,他们之间肯定有不正当的男女关系,女方极可能是被迫顺从后想得到一些仕途上的“推荐”。

李佩霞受贿案开庭,打乱了我的写作节奏。昨日写了《除了很牛的博物馆,我老家还有一种叫鱼面的美食》(点击蓝色标题即可阅读)一文,本打算今天继续写老家的美食,可李佩霞案中暴露出太多不正常的事,不得不改为关注此案。

有些基层官场的不堪,远远超出我们的想象,传闻毛奇对李佩霞还有其他更加不堪的行为,发布庭审消息的法院和当地其他有关部门都没有回应。因为有这样的传闻,舆论高度关注李佩霞涉嫌受贿案中家属委托的律师未能顺利会见李佩霞、开庭时家属委托的律师未能进入法庭等细节。舆论认为,如果当地不允许家属委托的律师会见和代理此案,极可能是害怕更多不堪的丑闻流传曝光。

资深媒体人刘万永对上述细节发表了评论:江西万年的毛奇、李佩霞事件,是一个值得解剖、值得警惕的官场丑闻。李佩霞案件,也是江西法治的试金石。

刘万永在评论中表达的担心,很多人都有,我也有一些类似的担心。

法院发布消息说,李佩霞自己委托了律师。那么,李佩霞自己委托律师是否是自愿的就显得很关键。如果她是自愿委托了那几个官派律师,那家属和外界应予尊重;因为外界传闻,当地安排官派律师占位可能是为了掩盖更多不堪的真相,若李佩霞不是自愿而是迫于压力被动接受的官派律师,那上述猜疑就等于变相被证实了。

过去,我们为了减少本地势力对一些案件的干扰,常会呼吁一些案子异地侦办、异地审理。这一次,我注意到,李佩霞作为万年县一个乡党委书记,其涉嫌受贿案异地审理了。

大家可以查一查地图,横峰县虽然也隶属上饶市,但东与广信区相邻,南与铅山县接壤、西与弋阳县相连、北与德兴市毗连。万年县东与弋阳县、贵溪市毗邻,南与鹰潭市余江区交界,西与余干县接壤,北与乐平市相连、与鄱阳县隔乐安河相望。

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大家注意到没有,万年县与横峰县虽然同属上饶市,但不接壤,中间隔着一个戈阳县。那么,上饶特意选了一个与万年不接壤的横峰县审李佩霞的案子,肯定是有某种特殊用意的。

按照李佩霞的行政级别和并不太大的涉案金额,其涉嫌受贿案按常规应该在万年县审理,如果毛奇还在万年县当县委书记,那当然应该异地审理,如今毛奇也被双开并移送司法了,其在万年县的余毒正在清理或已被清理,此案又是举国关注,此时的万年县公检法不太敢冒天下之大不韪帮已经落马的毛奇迫害李佩霞,这种情况下还异地安排在并不接壤的横峰县开庭审理,一定还有别的原因,一定是为了实现某种物理隔绝。

当地这么做,可能是为了保证案件的公平公正, 也可能是为防止更多真相在万年县散播。

横峰县有关方面发布了庭审的信息,却没有在宣传中强调“异地审理”,基层政法机关这种一反常态的低调,让人有一种不好的预感,因此,我作为一个观察者无法站出来说这一次的异地审理是为了保证公平公正。

舆论还注意到,横峰县人民法院发布的信息称,有包括新闻记者在内的30多人旁听,可是目前为止没有看到任何媒体发布自己采写的新闻稿件,整个舆论场全部转发的是横峰县人民法院发布的通稿。

有记者旁听而没有任何媒体刊发自采自写的报道,这也是极为不正常的现象。

躲躲闪闪,遮遮掩掩,很容易让人怀疑李佩霞案幕后还有更多的黑幕、还有更多耸人听闻的事情,有关方面理应继续追查,查明真相并正面回应社会关切。

中国首部能源法2025年起施行

11月8日,中国第14届全国人大常委会第12次会议通过《中华人民共和国能源法》。据第一财经报道,这是中国第一部能源法,填补了作为全球最大能源生产和消费国的立法空白。该法首次将氢能纳入能源管理体系,而氢能产业也已写入中国的“十四五”规划。

据新华社报道,制定该法的目的是推动碳达峰和碳中和目标,促进能源高质量发展,确保能源安全,预计将于2025年1月1日生效。

法新社报道指出,中国的新能源法包括能源开发、市场体系、储备应急、科技创新等9个章节,但未详细披露更多内容。

责编:安克        网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图

据新华社报道,制定该法的目的是推动碳达峰和碳中和目标,促进能源高质量发展,确保能源安全。

美国起诉湖北化学公司非法出口芬太尼  中国公安部:嫌犯已落网

11月7日,美国司法部以13项罪名起诉中国一家化学公司及其4名员工,指控其非法出口致命的芬太尼前体。

根据美国司法部的声明,“湖北奥维凯斯生物科技有限公司”向美国在内至少100个国家出口芬太尼前体,并通过网络和社交媒体进行宣传。该公司的董事高雪宁(音译,Xuening Gao)、销售经理李雅静(音译,Yajing Li)和Jessie Lee,以及通过加密数字货币进行交易的高广兆(音译,Guangzhao Gao)也面临串谋罪等多项指控。

美国检察官埃斯特拉达在声明里表示,湖北奥维凯斯公司及其员工,明知故犯地出口这些材料,以获取经济利益,助长美国的芬太尼危机。

据新华社报道,中国公安部周五表示,正根据美国提供的线索进行调查。目前,上述4名嫌犯已被逮捕,且高雪宁经营的一家公司已被勒令停业。

 责编:安克       网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图

11月7日,美国司法部以13项罪名起诉中国一家化学公司及其4名员工,指控其非法出口致命的芬太尼前体;图为芬太尼使用者。

新闻周刊:中国警告特朗普勿重启贸易战

据美国新闻周刊本周五报道,中国向美国当选总统特朗普发出警告,敦促其不要对中国商品加征关税,以免对美国经济造成损害。在竞选期间,特朗普承诺对所有中国出口商品征收60%的关税,作为“美国优先”政策的一部分,旨在保护美国工业。

报道称,中国驻美大使馆发言人刘鹏宇在接受《新闻周刊》独家访问时表示,进一步加征关税将抬高进口成本,加重美国企业和消费者的负担,最终反噬美国经济。

报道指出,与上一次贸易战相比,中国——全球第二大经济体——此次在应对潜在贸易冲突方面的准备更加充足。据亚洲协会政策研究所副主席温迪·卡特勒表示:“北京已经采取措施减少对美国进口的依赖,投入大量资金以增强本土产业的竞争力和创新能力。此外,中国还加大了与东盟、非洲和拉美国家的贸易往来,以实现贸易多元化。然而,中美之间的双边贸易额依然接近6000亿美元,因此,特朗普新一轮的关税仍将影响两国经济。”

卡特勒还指出,新的关税将导致通货膨胀、供应链缩减,并可能放缓美国的经济增长。她建议特朗普团队应考虑对战略性产品实施有针对性的关税增幅,而非全面提高关税,以减少对美国消费者生活成本的影响。

责编:安克       网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图

在竞选期间,特朗普(左)承诺对所有中国出口商品征收60%的关税,旨在保护美国工业。

事实查核|特朗普一胜选,胡塞武装就宣布投降?

查核结果:错误

一分钟完读:

美国总统大选结果在微博上引发热议,因特朗普胜选,胡塞武装立刻投降停火的传闻也在微博上传开,相关消息在X上亦有传播。经查核发现,没有证据或可信报道显示,胡塞武装已做出所谓停火或投降的声明。

另根据也门沙巴通讯社(SABA)报道,胡塞武装领导人表态,无论特朗普或者拜登,都无法阻止他们支持巴勒斯坦。

深度分析:

近日,关于胡塞武装在特朗普(Donald Trump,又译作川普)胜选后立即停火投降的传闻(12)在新浪微博上热传。

Slide1 (1).PNG
微博上热传美国大选结果导致胡塞武装投降的消息  图截取自新浪

亚洲事实查核实验室(以下简称AFCL)发现,这些中文帖子所引用的信息并非正规媒体发布,但发布者截取了也门武装部队发言人叶亚·萨雷伊(Yahya Sare'e)X帐号上的视频,并解读称胡塞武装对外表示:“我们在国际水域的行动仅出于防御目的,我们宣布立即停火。”

AFCL发现,萨雷伊在X上发布了胡塞运动领导人萨依德·阿卜杜勒·马利克·胡塞(Al-Sayyid Abdul Malik Al-Houthi)的一段谈话影像。AFCL商请约旦查核组Fatabyyano协助解读这一段阿拉伯语谈话,该组织记者赫雷斯(Loay Khreis)回信如下:

“在你发送的影片中,胡塞组织完全没有提到想要停止红海的攻击。相反,萨依德·阿卜杜勒·马利克·胡塞正号召人们参加周五的抗议行动。”

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胡塞组织领导人讲话视频截图

另外,也门武装部队发言人办公室主任阿米恩·海扬(Ameen Hayyan)也转发了胡塞谈话的完整视频。赫雷斯说,在前述完整的演讲中(时间标记:01:09:00处),他说的是“无论是特朗普还是拜登”都无法阻止他们“支持巴勒斯坦人民”,没有提到特朗普当选总统将使他们停止在红海上的攻击行动。

除微博外,在X上的中文社群意见领袖也有相似的说法,其所转发的英文账号推文更直接表明,胡塞武装的停火表态,是特朗普胜选所带来的效应,但推文下其实已有用户在社群笔记(Community Notes)注明,上述相关说法无根据。

有关胡塞武装的新闻,在微博上常成为网民讨论的热门话题,AFCL过去也曾针对在该平台传播的相关不实消息发布过查核报告123

美国国务院今年1月将胡塞武装(the Houthis)认定为恐怖组织。半岛电视台(Aljazeera)介绍,在以哈冲突爆发后,胡塞武装就因袭击红海上的商船而声名大噪,这个在1990年代发迹的军事团体,在2014年发起反对也门政府的武装行动,导致也门深陷内战,而胡塞武装声称,在红海上的打劫与攻击行动,是针对支持以色列的各国商船,以借此声援巴勒斯坦。

联合国(UN)认定,深陷内战的也门正发生世界上最严重的人道危机,约2400万人(即八成也门人口)亟需“人道主义援助和保护”。

亚洲事实查核实验室(Asia Fact Check Lab)针对当今复杂媒体环境以及新兴传播生态而成立。我们本于新闻专业主义,提供专业查核报告及与信息环境相关的传播观察、深度报道,帮助读者对公共议题获得多元而全面的认识。读者若对任何媒体及社交软件传播的信息有疑问,欢迎以电邮afcl@rfa.org寄给亚洲事实查核实验室,由我们为您查证核实。

亚洲事实查核实验室在X、脸书、IG开张了,欢迎读者追踪、分享、转发。X这边请进:中文@asiafactcheckcn;英文:@AFCL_engFB在这里IG也别忘了



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© 亚洲事实查核实验室(Asia Fact Check Lab)

亚洲事实查核实验室

事实查核|特朗普一胜选,胡塞武装就宣布投降?

查核结果:错误

一分钟完读:

美国总统大选结果在微博上引发热议,因特朗普胜选,胡塞武装立刻投降停火的传闻也在微博上传开,相关消息在X上亦有传播。经查核发现,没有证据或可信报道显示,胡塞武装已做出所谓停火或投降的声明。

另根据也门沙巴通讯社(SABA)报道,胡塞武装领导人表态,无论特朗普或者拜登,都无法阻止他们支持巴勒斯坦。

深度分析:

近日,关于胡塞武装在特朗普(Donald Trump,又译作川普)胜选后立即停火投降的传闻(12)在新浪微博上热传。

Slide1 (1).PNG
微博上热传美国大选结果导致胡塞武装投降的消息  图截取自新浪

亚洲事实查核实验室(以下简称AFCL)发现,这些中文帖子所引用的信息并非正规媒体发布,但发布者截取了也门武装部队发言人叶亚·萨雷伊(Yahya Sare'e)X帐号上的视频,并解读称胡塞武装对外表示:“我们在国际水域的行动仅出于防御目的,我们宣布立即停火。”

AFCL发现,萨雷伊在X上发布了胡塞运动领导人萨依德·阿卜杜勒·马利克·胡塞(Al-Sayyid Abdul Malik Al-Houthi)的一段谈话影像。AFCL商请约旦查核组Fatabyyano协助解读这一段阿拉伯语谈话,该组织记者赫雷斯(Loay Khreis)回信如下:

“在你发送的影片中,胡塞组织完全没有提到想要停止红海的攻击。相反,萨依德·阿卜杜勒·马利克·胡塞正号召人们参加周五的抗议行动。”

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胡塞组织领导人讲话视频截图

另外,也门武装部队发言人办公室主任阿米恩·海扬(Ameen Hayyan)也转发了胡塞谈话的完整视频。赫雷斯说,在前述完整的演讲中(时间标记:01:09:00处),他说的是“无论是特朗普还是拜登”都无法阻止他们“支持巴勒斯坦人民”,没有提到特朗普当选总统将使他们停止在红海上的攻击行动。

除微博外,在X上的中文社群意见领袖也有相似的说法,其所转发的英文账号推文更直接表明,胡塞武装的停火表态,是特朗普胜选所带来的效应,但推文下其实已有用户在社群笔记(Community Notes)注明,上述相关说法无根据。

有关胡塞武装的新闻,在微博上常成为网民讨论的热门话题,AFCL过去也曾针对在该平台传播的相关不实消息发布过查核报告123

美国国务院今年1月将胡塞武装(the Houthis)认定为恐怖组织。半岛电视台(Aljazeera)介绍,在以哈冲突爆发后,胡塞武装就因袭击红海上的商船而声名大噪,这个在1990年代发迹的军事团体,在2014年发起反对也门政府的武装行动,导致也门深陷内战,而胡塞武装声称,在红海上的打劫与攻击行动,是针对支持以色列的各国商船,以借此声援巴勒斯坦。

联合国(UN)认定,深陷内战的也门正发生世界上最严重的人道危机,约2400万人(即八成也门人口)亟需“人道主义援助和保护”。

亚洲事实查核实验室(Asia Fact Check Lab)针对当今复杂媒体环境以及新兴传播生态而成立。我们本于新闻专业主义,提供专业查核报告及与信息环境相关的传播观察、深度报道,帮助读者对公共议题获得多元而全面的认识。读者若对任何媒体及社交软件传播的信息有疑问,欢迎以电邮afcl@rfa.org寄给亚洲事实查核实验室,由我们为您查证核实。

亚洲事实查核实验室在X、脸书、IG开张了,欢迎读者追踪、分享、转发。X这边请进:中文@asiafactcheckcn;英文:@AFCL_engFB在这里IG也别忘了



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© 亚洲事实查核实验室(Asia Fact Check Lab)

亚洲事实查核实验室

Watchdog to review police handling of Al Fayed abuse claims

BBC 'Breaking' graphicBBC

The police watchdog will review how Metropolitan Police officers handled allegations of sexual misconduct against former Harrods owner Mohamed Al Fayed.

The Independent Office for Police Conduct (IOPC) will review two cases the Met Police investigated in 2008 and 2013 after the force referred itself.

Hundreds of women have alleged the billionaire, who died last year aged 94, raped or sexually assaulted them.

Police are looking into some claims and Harrods is also settling hundreds of claims.

In a documentary which aired in September, the BBC revealed Al Fayed was accused by 21 women of sexual offences while he was alive.

Since the documentary aired, more than 400 alleged victims have come forward with allegations of assault, harassment and rape over a period of more than 30 years when they were his employees.

However, questions have been raised around the Met's investigations.

Of the 21 women who made allegations before September this year, the Met did not pass full files of evidence to prosecutors on 19 of the women who approached them.

This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly. Please refresh the page for the fullest version.

You can receive Breaking News on a smartphone or tablet via the BBC News App. You can also follow @BBCBreaking on Twitter to get the latest alerts.

Trump tariffs could cost UK £22bn of exports

Getty Images Shipping containers in HoustonGetty Images

The UK could face a £22bn hit to its exports if Donald Trump imposes a blanket 20% tariff on all imports into the US, according to a new analysis.

UK exports to the world could fall more than 2.6% due to lower trade with the US and knock-on effects globally, economists at the University of Sussex's Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy (CITP) said.

This fall could happen if the President-elect went through with his repeated campaign promise to levy a 20% tax on all imports, and a 60% tariff on Chinese imports.

The decline in trade would be the equivalent of an annual hit to UK economic output of 0.8%.

Although Trump's aggressive pledges could be a negotiating tactic, the "possibility of these tariffs being imposed is certainly there", researcher Nicolo Tamberi said in a blog post.

The main UK sectors likely to be hit would be fishing, petroleum, and mining, which could see exports fall by around a fifth.

The pharmaceutical and electrical sectors would also be hit.

Even businesses that are not exporters themselves could be affected.

For example, firms supplying transportation services, which rely on strong trade flows, would take a hit.

Insurance and finance services also support the underlying goods trade.

However, some sectors could benefit from reduced China exports to the US.

Textiles and clothing could see gains due to reduced competition, if Chinese exports were hit by much higher Trump tariffs.

Just how sharp the increase in border taxes under Donald Trump might be remains unclear. Some diplomats have pointed to more pragmatic suggestions about lighter tariffs for US allies.

But Trump's top adviser on trade, former Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, is a strong supporter of the tactic.

The Foreign Secretary David Lammy recently told the BBC's Newscast podcast: “We will seek to ensure and to get across to the United States – and I believe that they would understand this – that hurting your closest allies cannot be in your medium or long-term interests, whatever the pursuit of public policy in relation to some of the problems posed by China."

But the British ambassador in the US under Trump's previous administration, Lord Darroch, has warned the UK should not underestimate the risks.

"I’m a pessimist," he told BBC Newsnight on Thursday. "Trump did tariffs in his first term on steel and aluminium. He wants to go much bigger this time. He believes in it - it’s not a bluff. I think he will do it."

Chancellor Rachel Reeves and Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey have both said they will continue to make the argument for free trade.

The UK might be in a position to have to choose whether to try to cut a side deal with the Trump White House to avoid tariffs.

Alternatively the UK could join with other Western and European allies to send a clear message to Trump and the US Congress that American exporters would also be badly hit by such policies.

The CITP numbers only assume that the US sets tariffs on the world, and do not assume a likely trade retaliation from Europe or Asia.

The IMF recently warned that a large scale trade war would drive up inflation and lead to the world economy shrinking 7%, effectively the size of the French and German economies combined.

Climate talks to open in shadow of Trump victory

Reuters COP29 sign with a backdrop of the cityscape in Baku, AzerbaijanReuters
Global leaders will meet at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan from November 11-22, 2024, to address climate change challenges

World leaders are set to arrive at a big annual UN climate meeting hoping to rein in rising global temperatures, which are making deadly events like the recent floods in Spain far worse.

A key aim at this year's meeting in Azerbaijan is agreeing on how to get more cash to poorer countries to help them curb their planet-warming gases and to help them cope with the growing impacts of climate change.

But the US election victory of Donald Trump - a known climate sceptic - as well as wars and cost of living crises are proving a distraction, and some important leaders are not attending.

Hosts Azerbaijan are also under intense scrutiny over their human rights record, as well as accusations they are using the meeting to line up fossil fuel deals.

Getty Images Tourists are evacuated as huge wildfire rages across GreeceGetty Images
People are evacuated as wildfires sweep across Rhodes, Greece in July 2023

What is COP29 and where is it?

COP29 is the world's most important meeting on climate change. It is led by the UN, and this year's event, the 29th such gathering, will run from 11-22 November. It is being held in Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, a central Asian country located between Russia and Iran.

What does COP stand for?

Reuters A woman with a dog walks past a sign saying #COP29Reuters

COP stands for “Conference of the Parties”, and in this case, the parties are the countries that have ratified a treaty called the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change).

That document was signed back in 1992, by almost 200 countries. The COP is the decision-making body of that agreement and representatives of these countries meet every year to negotiate the best approaches to tackling the root causes of climate change.

Who will go to COP29?

Presidents and prime ministers normally attend these conferences at the start to provide impetus. But this year the leaders of some of the biggest economies and biggest carbon emitters are notably absent. US President Joe Biden, China's leader Xi Jinping and France's President Emmanuel Macron will be absent, as will European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Germany’s Olaf Schulz and India’s Narendra Modi.

They are staying away for a range of reasons, but it won't help the conference get off to a strong start. Leaders who do attend will also have lots of other issues on their minds, including two expensive and difficult wars in the Middle East and in Ukraine, and global financial problems.

"No world leader is arriving with climate change at the number one spot in their inbox," Prof Thomas Hale at Oxford university explains.

There’s also an underlying feeling that Azerbaijan doesn’t have the diplomatic or financial clout to secure a significant agreement in Baku.

Many leaders are taking the view that progress is more likely at next year’s COP30 in Brazil.

What will be discussed at COP29?

Getty Images A Bangladeshi cyclone-affected girl is framed with her destroyed house's doorGetty Images
Climate change is a critical issue for Bangladesh

A key question this year is money.

Under the Paris agreement signed in 2015, world leaders pledged to try to prevent global temperatures rising by more than 1.5C. For that to happen countries need to ramp up their efforts to cut warming gases.

As part of the agreement, countries committed to develop a new cash target for developing nations by 2025. This money would be used to help emerging economies cut their carbon and adapt to the worst impacts of rising temperatures.

Getting agreement on a new finance target is seen as a critical step in building trust between rich and poor nations as, so far, the track record hasn’t been great.

African countries and small island states want to see climate finance in total reach over a $1tn a year by 2030.

Up to now countries like China and the Gulf States have been classified as developing economies and been exempt from contributing.

According to the EU and other wealthy countries, that must change if the overall amount of cash is to be increased.

Governments’ plans for tackling climate change in their own countries could also be a tricky issue. They must update their action plans every five years (the next deadline is February.)

Some countries will release their strategies at this COP, but if they’re weak and look unlikely to stop global warming rising beyond 1.5C, then it could cause problems with countries on the front lines of climate change.

And are the fossil fuel agreements passed at the last climate talks still standing? There were signs in the G20 talks this year that some countries wanted to roll back on promises to move away from burning oil, coal and gas.

You don’t need to look far to see trouble brewing. Major UN talks on protecting nature collapsed two weeks ago in Colombia when nations couldn’t agree key goals.

Why is holding COP29 in Azerbaijan controversial?

Azerbaijan has big plans to expand gas production, by up to a third, over the next decade. Some observers worry that a country with that goal is in charge of a conference that aims to transition away from fossil fuels.

These fuels are one of the main causes of climate change because they release planet-warming greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide when burned for energy.

There are also concerns, reported by the BBC, that Azerbaijani officials are using the climate conference to boost investment in the country’s national oil and gas company.

There are also deep reservations about holding this key event in a country with a poor human rights record, where political opposition isn’t tolerated.

How will Donald Trump's election impact COP29?

Getty Images Donald Trump attends G20 Summit. Getty Images
Donald Trump attends the 2019 G20 summit in Osaka, Japan, during his first presidency

The US president-elect is a known climate sceptic who has called efforts to boost green energy a "scam" and his victory has been seen by climate experts as a major setback.

He won’t actually be at COP29, and President Biden’s team will push for progress, but they know that anything they agree to will not bind the new administration.

With Trump's election the US will likely withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement and from providing finance.

However it’s also possible that Trump’s re-election might drive a new sense of unity, even building a coalition who might agree a major step on money for poorer countries.

Experts argue that the climate crisis, and our collective response to it, will outlast a second Trump term.

What's going on with the world's climate this year?

Getty Images Firefighters battle flames Getty Images
Firefighters battle flames as they work to contain a wildfire near a village in northern Spain

The warning alarms from the climate could not be stronger this year.

It is now "virtually certain" that 2024 - a year punctuated by intense heatwaves and deadly storms - will be the world's warmest on record, according to projections by the European climate service.

And we’ve seen the impacts of warmer oceans with very powerful hurricanes Helene and Milton slamming into the US in the summer. The devastating flooding that killed at least 200 people in Spain in October was also fuelled by higher sea temperatures in the Mediterranean.

“Climate change is a cumulative problem. That means that with every year of delay, there is additional warming that we commit our planet to. Now is the time that we need to take action,” explains Prof Joeri Rogelj at Imperial College London.

How could these talks impact me?

In the short-term, agreements at COP can change how nations build their economies, like pushing the development of green power. That can affect where we get our energy from and how much we pay for it in our bills.

It can also commit countries to paying large sums of money into funds for poorer countries. In the UK this currently comes from aid budgets paid for by tax-payers, although private financial institutions are expected to contribute significantly.

In the long-term, the talks aim to build a safer, cleaner world for everyone and prevent the worst of climate change.

FBI investigates racist text messages sent to black people across US

Getty Images A picture of the FBI seal on the side of a buildingGetty Images

Authorities across the US are investigating after reports of text messages sent to black Americans with references to “slave catchers”, plantations and picking cotton.

In a statement the FBI said it is “aware of the offensive and racist text messages sent to individuals around the country and is in contact with the Justice Department and other federal authorities on the matter.”

The source of the messages and the total number sent are unclear, however, there are reports that they were received in at least 15 states and Washington DC.

Some of the messages mentioned the Trump campaign – which strongly denied any connection.

Steven Cheung, a campaign spokesman, said: “The campaign has absolutely nothing to do with these text messages.”

According to examples posted online and cited in news reports, the wording of the messages varied but generally instructed recipients to report to a “plantation” or wait to be picked up in a van, and referred to “slave” labour.

The messages appear to have started on Wednesday, the day after election day. Among the recipients were college students and children.

In a statement Derrick Johnson, head of the civil rights group NAACP, said: “These actions are not normal.”

“These messages represent an alarming increase in vile and abhorrent rhetoric from racist groups across the country, who now feel emboldened to spread hate and stoke the flames of fear that many of us are feeling after Tuesday's election results,” Johnson said.

Jessica Rosenworcel, chairwoman of the Federal Communications Commission, which is also investigating the messages, said: "These messages are unacceptable. We take this type of targeting very seriously.”

The messages were reportedly received across southern states, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Ohio, California, Washington DC and others, US media say.

One recipient, Hailey Welch, told a University of Alabama student newspaper that several students on the campus had also received the messages.

“At first I thought it was a joke, but everyone else was getting them. People were texting, posting on their stories, saying they got them,” Ms Welch told The Crimson White. “I was just stressed out, and I was scared because I didn’t know what was happening.”

In several states, top law enforcement officials said they were aware of the messages and encouraged residents to report them to the authorities if they received them.

The office of Nevada’s attorney general said it was working to “probe into the source of what appear to be robotext messages”.

The office of Louisiana's attorney general said it had discovered that some of the messages could be traced back to a VPN in Poland, but that "no original source" had been found so far.

FBI investigates racist text messages sent to black people across US

Getty Images A picture of the FBI seal on the side of a buildingGetty Images

Authorities across the US are investigating after reports of text messages sent to black Americans with references to “slave catchers”, plantations and picking cotton.

In a statement the FBI said it is “aware of the offensive and racist text messages sent to individuals around the country and is in contact with the Justice Department and other federal authorities on the matter.”

The source of the messages and the total number sent are unclear, however, there are reports that they were received in at least 15 states and Washington DC.

Some of the messages mentioned the Trump campaign – which strongly denied any connection.

Steven Cheung, a campaign spokesman, said: “The campaign has absolutely nothing to do with these text messages.”

According to examples posted online and cited in news reports, the wording of the messages varied but generally instructed recipients to report to a “plantation” or wait to be picked up in a van, and referred to “slave” labour.

The messages appear to have started on Wednesday, the day after election day. Among the recipients were college students and children.

In a statement Derrick Johnson, head of the civil rights group NAACP, said: “These actions are not normal.”

“These messages represent an alarming increase in vile and abhorrent rhetoric from racist groups across the country, who now feel emboldened to spread hate and stoke the flames of fear that many of us are feeling after Tuesday's election results,” Johnson said.

Jessica Rosenworcel, chairwoman of the Federal Communications Commission, which is also investigating the messages, said: "These messages are unacceptable. We take this type of targeting very seriously.”

The messages were reportedly received across southern states, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Ohio, California, Washington DC and others, US media say.

One recipient, Hailey Welch, told a University of Alabama student newspaper that several students on the campus had also received the messages.

“At first I thought it was a joke, but everyone else was getting them. People were texting, posting on their stories, saying they got them,” Ms Welch told The Crimson White. “I was just stressed out, and I was scared because I didn’t know what was happening.”

In several states, top law enforcement officials said they were aware of the messages and encouraged residents to report them to the authorities if they received them.

The office of Nevada’s attorney general said it was working to “probe into the source of what appear to be robotext messages”.

The office of Louisiana's attorney general said it had discovered that some of the messages could be traced back to a VPN in Poland, but that "no original source" had been found so far.

特朗普的气候变化立场:警惕中国用来分化太平洋岛国?

特朗普胜选成为美国新任总统后,外界关注他在气候变化问题的立场是否影响美国与太平洋岛国的关系,特别是在合作应对中国在该地区的影响力方面。

据Benar News报道,相比拜登政府积极应对气候变化,特朗普采取的是截然不同的做法。他承诺增加石油产量,并威胁可能第二次退出巴黎气候协定。

澳大利亚悉尼大学美国研究中心客座教授赖利(Benjamin Reilly)指出,这可能使气候变化问题成为太平洋岛国与特朗普政府之间潜在的“导火索”。他认为,将太平洋岛屿视为地缘政治的棋盘是危险的做法,因为这将无法赢得民心,也难以建立持久的伙伴关系。

不过,美国战略与国际研究中心高级研究员、拜登政府前国家安全委员会太平洋与东南亚事务主管帕伊克(Kathryn Paik)对Benar News表示,尽管气候变化因素可能使两国关系变得复杂,但不太可能“彻底破坏”双边关系。

报道称,今年美国与密克罗尼西亚联邦、帕劳和马绍尔群岛续签《自由联系协定》,赋予美国军方进入这些国家海域的独有权利,美国则以提供资金援助,并允许这些岛国的公民在美国居住和工作作为回报。目前,尚未有现任美国总统正式访问过太平洋岛国。

帕伊克建议,美国应借鉴过去与太平洋岛国重建友好关系的经验,在该地区投入更多人力资源。她说,目前已开设了一些大使馆,但派驻到当地的外交官数量仍然很少,应该要更多。此外,她还建议在吉里巴斯等其他岛屿开设大使馆,并派驻一位常驻太平洋岛屿论坛的大使。

责编:安克     网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图片

特朗普胜选成为美国新任总统后,外界关注他在气候变化问题的立场是否影响美国与太平洋岛国的关系,特别是在合作应对中国在该地区的影响力方面。

北京推1.4万亿美元救助计划 既不治标也不治本?

北京批准了一项 1.4 万亿美元的一揽子计划,以帮助地方政府置换不断增加的隐性债务。但此次没有提出刺激消费的计划,市场做出悲观的反应。外界如何解读这项计划的原因及效果?

在11月8日下午闭幕的十四届全国人大常委会第十二次会议上,表决通过了《国务院关于提请审议增加地方政府债务限额置换存量隐性债务的议案》,即上周媒体盛传的“十万亿人民币地方债务置换方案”。

自9月底以来,中国投资者和市场一直在期待一次大规模的经济刺激计划,这使得中国沪深300指数上涨了近20%。特朗普本周当选美国总统之后更提升了市场对此次计划的预判。但周五公布的计划不及市场预期,A50在香港的盘后交易中下跌,离岸人民币一度贬值0.6%,随后跌幅收窄。

未采取经济刺激手段

市场悲观的原因之一,是此次议案要点仍是以化债为主要目标,缺少此前认为可能会出现的房地产提振措施及刺激消费的措施。

综合海内外报道,此次计划之一直接增加地方化债资源6万亿人民币的债务限额,用以置换地方政府存量隐性债务,且“一次报批,三年实施”,按此安排,2024年末,中国地方政府专项债务限额将由29.52万亿元增加到35.52万亿元。

另外,从2024年开始连续五年每年从新增地方政府专项债券中安排8000亿元人民币,专门用于化债,累计可置换隐性债务4万亿元。两项合计,将直接增加地方化债资源10万亿元人民币,约1.4万亿美元。

财政部长蓝佛安在新闻发布会上强调,后续将不新增隐性债务作为“铁的纪律”,保持“零容忍”。中国用“隐性债务”来描述地方政府融资平台(LGFV)的贷款、债券和影子信贷。

地方债危机缓而未解

据蓝佛安透露,截至 2023 年底,中国地方政府的隐性债务约为 14.3 万亿元人民币,北京计划到 2028 年将其削减至 2.3 万亿元人民币。据国际货币基金组织估计, 2023 年底时,中国地方融资平台的债务总额达到 60 万亿元人民币,占中国GDP 的 47.6%。

经济学家普遍认为,10万亿债权计划不足以缓解目前中国地方政府的困局。

瑞银前首席经济学家、牛津大学中国中心研究员乔治·马格纳斯邮件回复自由亚洲的采访请求分析说:“中国政府的隐性债务水平很高,严重程度可见于许多地方和省级政府的现金紧张和偿债困难,削减服务和拖欠还款已成为常态。 新计划是一种金融工程,旨在减轻地方政府的负担,争取时间。它不会减少债务,也不会解决地方政府部门举债能力有限的问题。 ”

但他认为中国目前需要的是新的经济模式,而不是彻底的结构性改革。他说:“财政和货币政策已经放松。可以采取更多措施稳定房地产,并允许开发商和过度扩张的银行清盘。但最大的问题是,政府的方针狭隘,只关注产业政策、出口和自力更生,而它应该做的是改变中国的经济模式,使其更加依赖消费、服务、生产力、私营企业以及改革后的税收和地方政府体系。但从政治角度来看,政府不想或不喜欢这些措施。”

不过,中国税务总局前副局长许善达在接受中国《财经》杂志创始人采访时解释说:“10万亿看起来没有给地方政府增加新的资金来源,但中央政府发债的利息低,地方政府之前的债务利息高,债务置换可以减轻地方政府的财政压力,这条安排可以让地方政府马上获得红利。”

他同时也认为,仅化债是不够的,“不要光给开发商减税,同时要给买房人提供资源,让购买者有资源买了,那政府不给开发商借钱,他也能自己借钱把保交楼的事情完成了。”

低迷经济未得到救助

经济时评人王剑则分析,大动干戈只出台了一个债务置换方案,并不是不想刺激经济,而是没有刺激经济的工具了。因此,目前这个方案只是为了解决地方政府“转不动”的问题。“转不动的原因是各种债逼到门上,没钱什么都动不了,现在是要保工资、保运转支出、保基本民生,一年需要10万亿,这就是隐性债置换的规模。现在是解决活下来的问题,离刺激经济还很远呢。”

旅美经济学者黄大卫持不同意见。他对自由亚洲电台分析:“我们现在觉得中国经济不好,都是以西方的视角、老百姓的视角来评价,但北京评判的标准其实不是这样的,他们认为中国是中国特色的社会主义,他们主要看的是国企,是国有经济,所以他们觉得中国经济现在还好得不得了,国有企业今年增长还很厉害,所以他们觉得不需要做什么。”

2017-09-24T010827Z_487424951_RC15D1FA6040_RTRMADP_3_CHINA-PROPERTY-HUIZHOU.JPG
如果新措施能够支持政府从开发商手中购买土地和未售出的房产,有助于巩固其他类似举措,并减少房地产过剩。(路透社图片)

迎接特朗普贸易战 中国留有后手?

但也有人认为,随着特朗普的关税计划变得更加清晰,北京将在未来几个月逐步加大对中国经济的支持力度。

财政部长蓝佛安也在周五的会议上表示,支持房地产市场健康发展的相关税收政策,已经报批,即将推出。

马格纳斯认为,如果新措施能够支持政府从开发商手中购买土地和未售出的房产,“肯定有助于巩固其他类似举措,并减少房地产过剩,从而抑制销售并迫使价格下跌。但我们必须看看当局是否愿意向该计划投入大量资金,如果愿意,该计划是否会比迄今为止更有效。” 

许多人因此将目光转向将于2024年12月召开的政治局会议和中央经济工作会议上,届时,官员们可能会对特朗普的关税立场有更清晰的认识,并有更多时间制定财政战略来保护经济。

特朗普多次暗示,他可能对所有中国进口产品征收 60% 的关税,以缩小华盛顿与其主要地缘政治竞争对手的贸易逆差——这将大幅提高目前平均约 12.5% 的关税。

王剑并不认为特朗普会在一上台就开启与中国的贸易战。“现在美国经济PEC刚刚到2.5,涨一点就是通货膨胀,往下降就是软着陆,打贸易战就是增加成本,就是通货膨胀,所以打贸易战未必有紧迫性,对于特朗普来说,未必是个优先事项。”

黄大卫持不同意见。他说,经过上一轮执政,特朗普对中国已经非常了解。上一次特朗普是在执政两年后才开始对中国加征关税,但此次可能会很快,“也许明年二月就会开始”。他还认为,特朗普不需要直接加征关税,他只要宣布一个时间点,中国就会开展应对行动。

中国经济面临巨大风险和不确定性

如果特朗普加征关税得以实施,经济学家普遍认为将会对中国造成沉重打击。

乔治·马格纳斯分析说:“上次特朗普这样做时,中国以针锋相对的关税报复作为回应,但这一次,中国缺乏对美国贸易的反击。中国正处于困难时期。如果这些提议得以实施,将对中国造成沉重打击,并促使更多企业迁出大陆。”

布鲁金斯学会高级研究员、高盛前首席外汇策略师罗宾·布鲁克斯在X上预测,如果特朗普对中国征收 60% 的关税,“我们将看到美元出现前所未有的升值。中国只有一个选择:让人民币大幅贬值。”

王剑认为,大批中国企业迁出中国大陆将给中国经济带来更严重的负面效果:“中国失业肯定会更严重啊,地方税收下滑啊,就更没钱了”

但经济学家也都认为,贸易战只是手段不是目的,特朗普提升关税的目的仍然是平衡贸易,会使中国重新回到谈判桌。

黄大卫分析,在经过上一轮与特朗普政策的接触后,相信中国政府已经很了解特朗普的行事风格,谈判是一定会谈的,而且他认为“大概率会谈得来,小概率会谈不拢”,因为中国政府清楚,离开了美国强大的市场,中国商品卖到世界任何其他地方都赚不了钱。

北京提出这项1.4万亿美元计划,外界认为既不治标也未治本,后续的前景仍有多种可能,目前仍无法确定。乔治·马格纳斯甚至说:“也许埃隆·马斯克可以找到一种方法,来约束特朗普和习近平:但这是一项艰巨的任务。”

责编:安克.     网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图片

北京批准了一项 1.4 万亿美元的一揽子计划,以帮助地方政府置换不断增加的隐性债务; 图为广东惠州。

With Ready Orders and an Energy Czar, Trump Plots Pivot to Fossil Fuels

President-elect Donald J. Trump’s transition team for climate and the environment is considering relocating the E.P.A. out of Washington and other drastic changes.

© Al Drago for The New York Times

David Bernhardt, who was the interior secretary during the first Trump administration, is playing a lead role in the transition team’s energy and environment agenda.

How blue states are plotting to thwart Trump

Donald Trump pledged in one of his final campaign speeches to work with Democratic mayors and governors if reelected. But just hours after the former president was projected to win back the White House, some blue-state leaders were actively plotting against him.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom, one of Trump’s fiercest critics, on Thursday called a special legislative session to funnel more resources toward the state’s legal defenses to preemptively combat Republican policies around immigration, the environment, LGBTQ+ rights and reproductive care.

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Attorney General Letitia James — one of Trump’s most aggressive first-term adversaries — pledged to beef up coordination between their offices to “protect New Yorkers’ fundamental freedoms from any potential threats.”

And attorneys general across blue states are prepared to take Trump to court — just as their predecessors did hundreds of times during his first administration.

If Trump’s reelection represented a realignment in American politics, blue-state leaders are choosing to confront it with a return to form, resuming the counterweight roles they played during his first administration as their party reckons with a nationwide repudiation.

“We've been talking for months with attorneys general throughout the nation, preparing, planning, strategizing for the possibility of this day,” California Attorney General Rob Bonta said at a press conference in San Francisco on Thursday.

Trump’s two-year campaign to retake the White House — and polls that for months showed he could succeed — gave Democrats the lead time they lacked in 2016 to shore up their defenses against conservative policies. And they are using as a guide his campaign-trail calls for mass deportations and regulatory rollbacks, as well as Project 2025, the conservative blueprint for a Republican administration that Trump has distanced himself from but that dozens of his former administration officials had a hand in crafting.

Even as he briefly pledged in the closing days of his campaign to work across the aisle, Trump has also vowed to punish his political opponents — and many blue-state leaders are at the top of his list of adversaries.

Governors and lawmakers in several blue states have already passed laws bolstering reproductive rights since the fall of Roe and stockpiled the abortion pill mifepristone in response to further legal threats to reproductive care. While Trump has vowed to veto a national abortion ban, that’s hardly alleviated Democrats’ fears. And as he barreled toward a second term, they raced to address other areas of concern, pushing ballot measures to protect same-sex marriage, labor rights and other liberal causes.

Even as he briefly pledged in the closing days of his campaign to work across the aisle, Trump has also vowed to punish his political opponents — and many blue-state leaders are at the top of his list of adversaries. On Friday, the president-elect tore into Newsom for calling a special legislative session.

“Governor Gavin Newscum is trying to KILL our Nation’s beautiful California,” Trump said Friday in a post on Truth Social, using his derisive nickname for the governor. “He is using the term ‘Trump-Proof’ as a way of stopping all of the GREAT things that can be done to ‘Make California Great Again.’”

And so Democratic governors and attorneys general who have spent months strategizing on how to protect their states’ progressive policies from a possible second Trump term are kicking those efforts into higher gear.

Some governors are discussing how to ensure that federal funding for state projects makes it to their coffers before Trump takes power, potentially with total Republican control of Congress, said one person who works in a Democratic governor’s office, granted anonymity to disclose private conversations. The discussions convey the concerns among some Democrats that Republicans could pause disbursements from, or even repeal, President Joe Biden’s signature programs, such as the CHIPS and Inflation Reduction acts.

Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker also said Thursday that he has spoken with other Democratic governors since the election about how to best Trump-proof their states.

“There are many people whose lives and livelihoods are at risk, and there are many people who cried at the [election] result because they know what impact it may have on their families,” Pritzker said at a press conference Thursday.

He also delivered a warning: "You come for my people, you come through me.”

In California, where Democratic leaders became some of the de facto heads of the Trump resistance after his 2016 election, officials spent months working to shore up the state’s climate policies and disaster preparedness in anticipation of an antagonistic federal government even before Newsom called the special legislative session.

“The freedoms we hold dear in California are under attack,” Newsom declared in a statement. “And we won’t sit idle.”

In New York, Hochul and James created the Empire State Freedom Initiative, a program that is meant to address “policy and regulatory threats” from the incoming Trump administration, including against reproductive and LGBTQ+ rights, as well as gun safety and environmental justice. The New York governor also signaled she will propose legislation as well as take executive action in response to Trump’s victory, but did not provide specifics.

“New York will remain a bastion for freedom and rule of law,” Hochul said. “I'll do everything in my power to ensure that New York remains a bastion from efforts where those rights are being denied in other states.”

James could have an outsize impact on how Trump’s policies trickle down to New York. The Democrat, who was first elected in 2018, sued Trump’s real estate business for fraud. She won a $450 million judgment, which is being appealed.

“New York will remain a bastion for freedom and rule of law,” New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said.

Meanwhile, state prosecutors who often served as the first line of defense against Trump’s most controversial executive orders in his last term — banding together to try to block his travel restrictions from some Muslim-majority countries, challenge his plans to roll back vehicle emissions standards, and more — have long been preparing to again serve as a legal bulwark.

In California, state lawyers have meticulously prepared for Trump’s return — down to crafting draft briefings, weighing specific legal arguments and debating favorable litigation venues, Bonta, the attorney general, told POLITICO.

“If he comes into office and he follows the law and he doesn't violate the constitution and he doesn't violate other important laws, like the Administrative Procedure Act he violated all the time last time, then there's nothing for us to do,” Bonta said. “But if he violates the law, as he has said he would, as Project 2025 says he will, then we are ready. … We have gone down to the detail of: What court do we file in?”

In New Jersey, state Attorney General Matt Platkin cited mass deportations, an “aggressive reading of the Comstock Act” to potentially impose an abortion ban and "gutting clean water protection" as potential sources of litigation.

“If you look at the things that have been said by the president and his associates during the campaign, … if you read Project 2025, there are proposals that are clearly unlawful and that would undermine the rights of our residents,” Platkin said in an interview.

And in Massachusetts, first-term Attorney General Andrea Campbell’s office has been preparing to act against threats to reproductive, LGBTQ+ and immigrants' rights and student loan-forgiveness programs, among other areas.

In response to a request for comment, Trump’s team said in a statement: “The American people re-elected President Trump by a resounding margin giving him a mandate to implement the promises he made on the campaign trail. He will deliver.”

Democrats’ rush to reform their resistance to Trump is partly self-serving. Governors and state prosecutors who took on Trump during his first term burnished their national profiles in the process.

In some cases they were able to parlay their opposition into higher office: Massachusetts’ Maura Healey leveraged her lawsuits against Trump as attorney general to help win the governorship in 2022; California’s Xavier Becerra, the former state attorney general, is now the Biden administration’s Health and Human Services secretary and is eyeing a run for governor. And for Democrats who’ve been chafing for a chance to get off the party’s deep bench, a second Trump term presents a fresh opportunity for a potentially star-making turn ahead of an open 2028 presidential primary.

That jockeying has in some ways already begun. Several blue-state leaders held press conferences on Wednesday and Thursday to reassure anxious constituents that doubled as ways to establish themselves as leaders in the anti-Trump fight. On Wednesday, Healey was on MSNBC vowing that state police would not be involved in carrying out the mass deportations Trump has promised, seizing a national platform in a way she rarely has since challenging Trump in the courtroom as attorney general.

But there was some acknowledgment among top city and state Democrats that they would have to find ways to work with Trump, too — mainly on infrastructure projects which are often reliant on massive amounts of federal funding.

“If it's contrary to our values, we will fight to the death,” New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy said during a Wednesday press conference about the election results. “If there’s an opportunity for common ground, we will seize that as fast as anybody.”

New York City Mayor Eric Adams similarly pledged to find ways to partner with the incoming administration, naming infrastructure as a target area for future collaboration.

“I communicated with the president yesterday to state that there are many issues here in the city that we want to work together with the administration to address,” Adams said during a news conference Thursday. “The city must move forward.”

Holly Otterbein, Melanie Mason, Nick Reisman, Daniel Han, Maya Kaufman, Shia Kapos and Kelly Garrity contributed to this report.

© Evan Vucci/AP

中国新闻奖特别奖充斥习近平主题报道 被质疑“能要点脸吗”

第34届中国新闻奖的评选结果,于11月7日公布。这一奖项,是由中共中宣部批准常设的中国全国优秀新闻作品最高奖,自1991年以来在中国全国新闻工作者协会的主办下每年一评。值得注意的是,本届中国新闻奖的四个特别奖中,有三个与习近平直接相关。

网友评论:“新闻已死”、“能要点脸吗”

获得本届中国新闻奖特别奖首位的新闻报道,是由新华社发布的《习近平全票当选中国国家主席、中央军委主席》。消息传出后,大量网友对此进行了嘲讽。有170万关注者的X账号“李老师不是你老师”在11月7日当天发布推文,直言“新闻已死”。X网友则纷纷进行讽刺性的评论,表示“看标题就觉得恶臭了”,“能要点脸吗”,“党创造天地”等等。

时事评论员蓝述表示,中共在习近平上任之后,它的党的利益就是“定于一尊”:“所以说,所有的新闻报道,只要是中宣部管的着的,它去评奖的时候,一定服从这个‘定于一尊’的指标。”

本届中国新闻奖特别奖的其它三个获奖报道,分别是《人民日报》的《增强实现中华民族伟大复兴的精神力量——深入学习领会习近平总书记在文化传承发展座谈会上重要讲话精神》、中国中央广播电视总台的《选举新一届国家领导人》和解放军新闻传播中心的《东部战区组织环台岛战备警巡和“联合利剑”演习》。此次评选还评出了一等奖75件、二等奖109件和三等奖185件,其中一等奖首位是中国中央广播电视总台的《习近平同美国总统举行中美元首会晤》。上述这些报道,大都与习近平有关。

M1108-SC1.jpg
X网友的相关讨论。(X截图)

蓝述与一些有在中国新闻界从业经历的人士相识。他告诉记者,根据他了解的情况,在习近平“定于一尊”的情况下:“习近平很可能会在一段时间里面稍微低调一点,团结党内各个不同派系的力量。但是从宣传部门上来讲不会改变,因为宣传和组织这两个部门,习近平牢牢控制着。”

近年来的多届中国新闻奖特别奖中都出现着以习近平为主题的报道。例如,去年的第33届中国新闻奖特别奖中,有新华社的报道《为中国人民谋幸福 为中华民族谋复兴——党的十八大以来以习近平同志为核心的党中央治国理政纪实》;前年的第32届中国新闻奖特别奖中,则有新华社的《砥柱人间是此峰——以习近平同志为核心的党中央引领亿万人民走向民族复兴纪实》;2019年的第29届中国新闻奖特别奖中,则有在中国央视播出过的新闻《习近平同金正恩举行会谈》。

“与习近平有关的就能评奖”

旅美作家吴祚来曾在2004—2009年间,担任过中国《文艺与理论》杂志社社长,也曾在那时给报纸写过专栏和社论。他表示,那时的中共宣传系统只对党媒、党刊有头条宣传胡锦涛的要求,对一般刊物和多数报纸则没有这种要求。但是在习近平上台之后,包括官媒和多数媒体的头条,基本都是宣传习近平的:“在所有人的视觉上面,占一个非常显赫的、唯一的位置,这是习近平当政以后出现的现象。”

吴祚来还在2005—2006年间,做过中国社科类、艺术类国家重要课题设置的工作。他表示,目前中国学术界的国家重大课题,已与他从事相关工作时很不同:“你看看现在的国家重大课题,头几条全都是跟习近平或者马克思主义有关的,真正学术的东西被挤压到很边缘的位置。现在评新闻奖也是这样,与习近平有关的就能评奖。”

责编:梒青      网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图

本届中国新闻奖的四个特别奖中,有三个与习近平(图)直接相关。

英国制裁10家援俄中港企业 中方坚决反对吁撤销

俄罗斯入侵乌克兰千日将至,英国政府周四(7日)公布新一轮针对俄罗斯的制裁,涵盖向俄罗斯提供支援的个人和实体,包括10家中港公司。中国驻英大使馆表示坚决反对,促英方撤销对中国企业的制裁。

英国政府最新公布的制裁名单,包括56个实体和个人,是自去年5月以来针对俄罗斯的最大规模制裁行动。制裁对象包括28家向俄罗斯提供机械设备、微电子、无人机零件等货物的供应商,当中有10家是中港公司,包括道通智能航空技术、西诺控股、红兔矢量实业(深圳)、海能机械(香港)、ACE ERA、新全电子(香港)、金华市海润动力科技、成都旌信科技、麦克维尔工业贸易,以及东莞圣寅数控设备。

而制裁名单上的其他公司,分别设于土耳其和中亚地区,同样被指支援俄罗斯入侵乌克兰。

中方向英方严正交涉

中国驻英国大使馆周五(8日)以“答记者问”形式,回应英国制裁,批评英方违反国际法、损害中国企业正当权益,对此坚决反对,已向英方严正交涉:“我愿重申,在乌克兰问题上,中方始终秉持客观公正立场,积极劝和促谈,推动政治解决。中方一贯依法依规对两用物项出口进行管制。中方从不拱火浇油或趁机渔利,也不接受任何甩锅推责。”

中方敦促英方“纠正错误,撤销对中国企业的制裁,又声言中方将采取必要措施维护自身合法权益。

2024-11-08T091749Z_1812281092_RC2W0BAQBXVY_RTRMADP_3_UKRAINE-CRISIS-ATTACK-ODESA.JPG
拉米在这次制裁的声明中表示,普京以为攻打乌克兰只需几天,然而这场战争已过了近 1000 天。(路透社图)

俄乌问题为英中关系核心

中国企业对俄罗斯的支援,一直是影响英中关系的核心议题之一。英国外相拉米(David Lammy7月底首次和中国外长王毅在老挝会面时,就促请中国政府阻止其企业支援俄罗斯,形容这对国际安全与繁荣构成重大威胁。而拉米上月中访华时,再向王毅直指中国向俄罗斯供应设备,或让俄国在战争中得益,损害中欧关系,促请王毅尽一切办法调查,阻止中国企业向俄军供货。

拉米在这次制裁的声明中表示,普京以为攻打乌克兰只需几天,然而这场战争已过了近 1000 天。他声言普京最后会失败,而英方将继续向克里姆林宫施压,支持乌克兰人民争取自由的斗争:“今天的措施将继续反击克里姆林宫的入侵性外交政策,破坏俄罗斯在非洲煽动不稳的企图,并扰乱普京战争机器的重要设备供应,粉碎俄罗斯辛苦建立的非法国际网络。”

英国成首个制裁“非洲军团”G7国家

制裁名单还包括3个雇佣兵集团,包括俄罗斯扶值的“非洲军团”(Africa Corps),指其威胁非洲的稳定和安全,包括在利比亚、马里和中非共和国等地犯下严重的人权侵害罪行。这使英国成为七大工业国组织(G7)中,首个直接制裁“非洲军团”的国家。

 责编:梒青     网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图片

俄罗斯入侵乌克兰(图)千日将至,英国政府周四公布新一轮针对俄罗斯的制裁。

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加拿大国会通过挺台动议 称联合国2758号未称中国拥有台湾

加拿大众议院周三无异议通过挺台议案。该案指出,众议院将继续支持台湾有意义参与国际组织,联合国第2758号决议并未确立中华人民共和国对台主权。有学者分析,这代表加拿大朝野对 “中国不拥有台湾主权” 已经达成一个共识。

这份挺台动议案是由加拿大魁人政团(Bloc Québécois)发起,众议员佩龙 (Yves Perron)用法语在众议院上宣读动议,他说:“众议院认为联合国1971年10月25日通过的2758号决议,并未确立中华人民共和国对台湾的主权,也未决定台湾的未来或其在联合国机构或国际组织的参与。”

动议案并提到加拿大与台湾在经贸丶科技丶教育丶青年交流丶产业丶艺术丶文化及原住民事务等领域紧密合作、极富成效且符合加拿大外交政策,议员们将继续支持台湾有意义参与国际组织,如世界卫生组织(WHO)及国际民航组织(ICAO)。

在掌声中,众议院全院无异议通过动议案。

Taiwan2.jpg
加台关系在产官学界上都有紧密合作。驻加拿大台北经济文化代表处代表曾厚仁(前排右2)感谢加拿大朝野支持,渥太华大学教授史国良(Scott Simon,後排左2)认为,加拿大已将台湾问题视为国际事务,非中国内政。 (驻加拿大台北经济文化代表处提供)

佩龙在油管上贴出众议院通过的影片中,还搭配文字说:“中国正在操纵2758决议的含义,使其在台湾领空和领海的军事行动合法化。简而言之,中国国家习近平就是用它来支持其恐吓手段,声称台湾是中国的。”

「对中政策跨国议会联盟」(IPAC)7月底在台北举行的年会上,23个国家议员代表共同通过一份决议,批评中国扭曲2758号决议,并与所谓的“一中原则”不当连结。佩龙是当时参与年会的加拿大国会议员之一。

精通台湾研究的渥太华大学教授史国良(Scott Simon)说,对中政策跨国议会联盟的决议文成为世界各国议会支持台湾的范本,很高兴看到加拿大正式把台湾问题视为国际问题,不属于中国内政。“我想台湾不属于中国已经是加拿大朝野的共识了,早在1970年加中建交公报中,加拿大就已说有注意到(takes note)中国政府对台湾问题的立场,但从来没有表示认可支持。”

驻加拿大台北经济文化代表处代表曾厚仁说,加拿大一直与台湾有很多方面的紧密交流,但要政治人物公开对台湾问题表态并不容易,很多议员并不清楚联合国2758号决议文内容,代表处花大量功夫解释与游说。“我们要印那个2758号的决议文给他们看,幸好那个决议文很短啊,决议文都在我们手机上,如果我们正好没有印出来,我就拿手机给他们看。2758号的决议文就是这样,我们讲的完全是事实,里面完全没有讲到台湾。”

中国驻加拿大大使馆对众议院的挺台动议案深表不满,发声明表示,此举是侵犯中国主权,敦促加方立即停止利用台湾议题干涉中国内政。

  责编:梒青     网编:伍檫愙

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© 视频会议截图

加拿大众议员全院通过挺台议案,不仅定义了联合国2758号决议案,也强调深化与台湾关系之重要性。

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缅甸军政权领导人访华 中国对缅政策是否出现转向?

自2021年缅甸军方发动政变以来,军政权领导人敏昂莱(Min Aung Hlaing)在本周首次访问中国。在政变后,缅甸已陷入长达三年的内战,持续的冲突已导致上百万人流离失所。外界普遍认为,中国是唯一有能力结束缅甸内战的国家,因此中国的缅甸政策备受各界关注。

本周四,中国国务院总理李强在昆明会见了缅甸军政权领导人敏昂莱。这是自2021年缅甸军方政变掌权以来,敏昂莱首次访华。他此行是为了出席“大湄公河次区域经济合作”第八次领导人会议,该机制成员包括中国、缅甸、泰国、老挝、越南和柬埔寨6国。

敏昂莱访华之际,缅甸国内正经历激烈的内战。自三年前军方拘押民主派领袖昂山素季(Aung San Suu Kyi)后,部分民族武装团体与军方持续交火。而中国作为缅甸军政权的重要盟友和主要的武器供应国,同时也与部分反叛组织保持联系。

中国官媒新华社报道,在李强和敏昂莱会晤时,李强强调,中国将中缅关系置于周边外交的重要位置,两方将持续加深政治互信,深化战略合作。同时,中方支持缅方推进政治和解,并希望共同打击网赌电诈等跨境犯罪,也呼吁缅方切实保障中方在缅人员、机构和项目安全。

据缅甸国家媒体《缅甸环球新光报》报道,敏昂莱在会晤中表示,中国是缅甸的第二大投资国,缅方高度重视中方投资、项目及人员的安全,缅中双方也将继续深化经济和技术合作。关于内战问题,敏昂莱提到,缅甸军方在2018年宣布停火并致力于和平,但武装组织发动袭击,迫使军政权采取反击措施。他强调,如果武装组织真心渴望和平,和平的大门始终敞开。他还谈到,李强承诺支持缅甸军政权提出的“五点路线图”解决方案,协助缅甸举行选举,并将支持缅甸的内部和平与稳定。

敏昂莱访华:中国为何加大对缅甸军政权支持?

自缅甸内战爆发以来,中国在民族武装团体与军政权之间的支持立场始终游移不定。外界普遍认为,敏昂莱长期争取以缅甸领导人身分访问中国,借此彰显中国对军政权的支持。而此次他如愿与李强在昆明的会晤,尽管规格低于国事访问,但依然引发外界好奇:中国对缅甸各派系的支持态度是否已发生变化?

对此,美国华盛顿智库威尔逊中心(Wilson Center)东南亚高级研究助理卢卡斯·麦尔斯(Lucas Myers)在接受采访时表示,邀请敏昂莱访问昆明的确为中国政府的外交举措,显示北京当局将加强对军政权的背书:“北京从2021年开始就一直拒绝敏昂莱的访问请求,因为中国对缅甸的内部冲突有不同的考量。不过中国对缅政策在过去一年有巨大改变。”

麦尔斯指出,中国政府的政策转向反映出其视军政权为唯一能够维持缅甸稳定的力量。然而,麦尔斯对北京的这一评估持不同意见:“今年6月,反叛军的大规模行动让中国重新调整对缅政策,中国意识到缅甸军政权实力相当衰退,但它没有决定转而支持武装团体,反而评估认为军政权是唯一可以避免缅甸四分五裂的政权。因此,中国决定加强对军政权的支持。我其实认为这项评估是错误的。”

美国华盛顿智库美国和平研究所(USIP)缅甸部主任杰森·托尔(Jason Tower)也告诉本台,2023年,中国因打击电信诈骗问题与缅甸军政权关系一度紧张,随后转而支持部分民族武装团体。然而,随着这些团体占领的领土持续扩展,局势开始引发中国的担忧:“这种情势让中国感到挫折,并使其再次倾向于缅甸军政权。因此,我认为在过去的一年里,中国正在逐渐靠近军方,并对民族武装组织施加更多压力。”

托尔谈到,中国曾经尝试居中调停缅甸内战,并在今年1月成功使缅北掸邦地区的停火,但进一步的谈判在今年5月破局,导致地区冲突再度升温。目前,除了加强对军政权的支持外,中国也尝试对武装团体施压以达到停火目的。

托尔说:“在协议破裂后,中国无法让各方重返谈判桌,而民族武装组织在战场则持续击败缅甸军队。......中国目前尝试向民族武装组织施加巨大压力,包括关闭边境、切断电力供应和网络、暂停贸易、及切断物资流动。但到目前为止,这一策略并未奏效。少数民族武装组织仍在抵抗缅甸军队,并已解放了更多领土。”

两位学者指出,中国在缅行动的核心考量在于确保地区,特别是中缅边境的稳定,从而保障在缅甸的重大“一带一路”投资项目能够顺利推进。

托尔说道:“中国对其在缅甸的地缘战略投资尤为关注。对于中国而言,中缅油气管道项目是其西南省份唯一的管道油气来源,此外,中国数十年来一直有意通过缅甸获得进入印度洋的通道。......然而,由于国内冲突加剧,这些地区的许多投资已经停滞,产能也受到严重影响。”

2024-10-25T020033Z_330564864_RC2O46A1YYJL_RTRMADP_3_MYANMAR-MILITARY-CHINA.JPG
北京当局同时与缅甸军政权及武装团体(图)保持友好关系,已引发缅甸民众多次抗议。(路透社图)

 

学者:中国干涉缅甸内政 引发缅甸内部反华情绪

与此同时,中方邀请敏昂莱访华的消息引发缅甸武装团体强烈不满。据《联合早报》报道,缅甸影子政府“民族团结政府”和地方武装组织在本周二召开线上记者会,谴责中国接待敏昂莱的行为无助于改善中缅关系,反而会加深缅甸民众对中国的疑虑。他们还重申立场,强调中国不应承认“非法军事委员会”。

事实上,北京当局同时与缅甸军政权及武装团体保持友好关系,已引发缅甸民众多次抗议。今年10月,中国驻曼德勒总领馆发生爆炸,导致建筑受损但无人伤亡。缅甸军政权将此事件定性为恐怖袭击,但这突显了中方在缅甸问题上的双重立场已激化缅甸境内的不满。此前,支持军方的团体也曾在仰光的中国大使馆外发起抗议活动。

托尔就此分析表示,如今中国加大对军政权的支持,这只会增强缅甸内部的反华情绪:“主要的问题是,缅甸民众并不认为军政权的政权具有合法性。你可以看到,国内的叛乱在过去几个月不断增加......人民对于经济前景感到不满,军政权对于人民的压迫也在增大,包含对新闻自由与言论自由的管控。”

麦尔斯也认为,中国援助军政权的作法将加剧缅甸内部冲突,长期而言反将损害中方利益:“北京其实在让缅甸状况越来越糟。北京正在选边站,公开帮助军政权及打压武装团体,但我认为北京选错边了,这反而加剧缅甸内部的反华情绪。......此外,缅甸军政权已经宣布民族武装团体为恐怖组织,并加强对其轰炸。这显示其实就连军政权都不想要和谈。缅甸的内战会是长期战争,尽管中国想要停火和稳定,这个目标在短期将很难达成。”

中方支持明年缅甸大选 学者:恐加剧北京困境

另一方面,今年8月,中国外交部长王毅访问缅甸。他与敏昂莱在首都内比都会晤时重申,中国支持缅甸军政权提出的“五点路线图”以实现政治和解。据国际媒体报道,王毅还承诺,中国将提供必要援助,协助缅甸开展普查,为2025年的缅甸大选必要程序做好准备。不过,无论是缅甸民众还是外界,普遍对这场大选不抱任何期望。

托尔指出,2025年的大选显然不会是一场公平的选举,因为在2020年选举中获得多数民众支持并获胜的全国民主联盟(NLD)已被解散,其领导人昂山素季等人仍被军政权关押。在主要政党缺席的情况下,这场选举只会沦为军政权用以合法化其统治的工具。

托尔说:“缅甸主要的政党已经不再活跃。军政权扶植了多个代理政党,试图营造多党存在的假象。但实际情况是,政治反对派已经没有政治参与的空间。......中国因为决定加强对军政权的支持,它也会支持军政权提出的内战解决方案。不过,我觉得大选只会为中国带来更多麻烦,因为选举只会激化缅甸内部大量的不满情绪,它也无法终止战火。”

责编:安克       网编:伍檫愙

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© 路透社图片

自2021年缅甸军方发动政变以来,军政权领导人敏昂莱(Min Aung Hlaing)在本周首次访问中国。

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专栏 | 财经时时听: 中国要求企业和个人自查纳税情况 引发恐慌

近几个月来,中国政府要求富人和企业“自查”纳税情况,并补交任何欠税。这些税收要求,引发了一些富人惶恐不安。在中国房地产行业低迷,经济下行的背景下,地方政府想方设法增加收入,以填补财政空缺。此前,地方政府滥用罚没收入增加创收,如今又将镰刀瞄准富豪的海外收益。有外媒表示,此举可能进一步削弱投资者对中国的信心。本期节目将就此话题进行探讨。参加讨论的嘉宾是美国马里兰州战略与信息研究所经济学者李恒青。

富人和企业被要求“自查”纳税情况

英国金融时报日前报道,近几个月来,中国地方政府寻找收入来补充因房地产衰退而耗尽的金库之际,中国税务官员要求富有的个人和企业对纳税情况进行“自查”,并补交任何欠缴的税款。

这轮税收行动启动之际,北京方面即将宣布一项大规模财政刺激计划的细节,预计该计划将侧重恢复地方政府的财政状况。

今年第三季度,中国经济增长未能达到5%的官方目标,北京因此启动了刺激计划。

中国官方数据显示,今年1月到9月,中国财政总收入同比下降2.2%,达到约16.3万亿元人民币。

而中国政府主要收入来源之一的卖地收入,今年头九个月较去年同期下滑了25%。同期全国税收收入下降5.3%。许多地方政府面临难以支付公务员薪资和供应商货款的困境。

金融时报引述一位驻中国的税务合伙人的话说,这些税收要求,在北京、上海和深圳等城市的富人中引起不安,甚至恐惧。许多人不知道要申报什么,也不清楚他们的海外个人收益必须在中国纳税。

彭博社此前报道,为了响应习近平的“共同富裕”的口号,中国税务机关近期一直在找富人谈话,而其他人被要求进行自我评估。有知情人士表示,一些被谈话的人拥有至少1000万美元的海外资产,而其他人则是香港和美国上市公司的股东。他们可能面临高达20%的投资收益税,逾期付款可能还要补交罚款。

对富人和企业海外投资收益征税的事实,凸显中国政府扩大税收的紧迫感。报道引述苏州一家中型制造公司的高管的话说,地方政府显然没有钱。他还补充说,地方政府经常对他所在地区的公司处以高额罚款。

根据第一财经报道,去年16个省中有7个省的罚没收入大幅增长,重庆和北京分别增长了22.4%和21.9%,许多地方政府已经停止公布罚款记录。

波士顿咨询集团2018年曾经估计,在中国24万亿美元个人财富中,约有1万亿美元存放在海外。根据联合国的数据,中国富人移民数量出现激增。

海外富人税来了?

由于中国政府开始关注富人和企业的海外收益是否涉及逃税漏税问题,引发了舆论对于“海外富人税”的关注。

根据第一财经报道,中国当前的税法中,针对境外所得征收个人所得税尚无具体细则。

报道引述北京大成律师事务所的合伙人肖飒的话说,相比国际上大部分发达国家较为完备的制度,中国在境外个人所得税征收方面的法律相对滞后。2020年出台相关法规,但在过去几年具体落实方面并不严格。

不少人士认为,对应税居民境外所得征税是大势所趋,中国跟进国际做法只是时间问题。但肖飒表示,若未来中国严格按照相关政策法律征收,可能面临部分应税居民通过转换国籍、资产转移等方式进行避税。

1980年个人所得税法中规定居民个人对境外所得需要自行申报纳税。2018年新修订的个人所得税延续了该规定,即居民个人从中国境内和境外取得的所得,均应依法在中国缴纳个人所得税。

根据2018年第七次修订的《个人所得税法》,纳税人包括居民个人和非居民个人。居民指在中国境内有住所,或者无住所但居住满183天的人。而非居民指的是在中国境内无住所又居住不满183的人。居民的境内和境外的所得,依法缴纳个人所得税。而非居民应税所得为从中国境内取得的所得。

同年修订的实施条例,对于在中国境内无住所的境外所得征税给予部分豁免权,即在境内无住所,累计居住满183天的年度连续不满六年,境外单位支付的所得,免于缴纳个人所得税;在境内居住累计满183天的任何一个年度中,有一次离境超过30天,其在中国境内居住累计满183天的连续年限重新起算。该文件从2019年一月一日开始实施。

境外收益纳税是大势所趋

从国际来看,大部分发达国家都建立了对应税居民境外所得征税的相关制度,并且已经有100多个国家签署并执行了“经济合作与发展组织”OECD提出的AEOI标准,并通过“通用报告标准”CRS( Common Report Standard) 共享应税居民的相关财产信息。

AEOI的全称为“金融账户涉税信息自动交换标准”,其中包括主管当局间协议范本MCAA和通用报告标准CRS两个部分。其中MCAA是各国税务当局关于双边或多边进行金融账户涉税信息自动交换的操作程序和相关法律的规范文件。CRS则是规定金融机构识别、收集、申报外国税收居民账户信息给本国税务主管机构的要求和程序,被视为一个全球征税系统。

基于上述协议范本和报告准则,主管机构通过CRS收集信息以MCAA约定的方式在不同国家主管机构之间共享,达到打击利用自己出境逃税的目的。

目前承诺实施CRS的国家和地区已经达到142个,确定交换信息到中国大陆的辖区则已经达到105个。根据CRS标准,居民个人境外机构账户、个人境外资产信息和个人基本信息均会被交换给中国税务监管机关。

根据财政部、税务总局在2020年公告的3号文件,所谓个人境外所得主要分为八大类,主要包括劳动、知识产权、财产转让等。

据第一财经报道,中央财经大学财政税务学院副院长李小荣表示,过去中国对居民个人境外所得征税不严格,是多重客观因素所致,执行力度提高是未来趋势,但仍有诸多难点需要攻克。

他说,首先个人所得税全球征收要求税务机关核查居民个人纳税人在全球范围内的收入信息,对于境外所得的监管和征税需要完善国际信息共享协作机制,以及完备的国际合作规则和程序。目前税务机关难以全面掌握居民个人的境外收入情况。其次,经济全球化导致各国之间存在税收竞争,税收竞争形成的税收优惠、避免双重征税协定等规定,增加了政策执行的复杂性。他说,随着国际税收合作机制的完善和税收情报交换网络的扩张,涉税信息的交互和联动日益加强,中国个人所得税全球征税的执行力度可能会提高。

如果您对本节目有什么意见和建议,欢迎写信到fankui@rfa.org.或主持人饶怡明的推特账号RFA_RYM进行联系。

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© 美联社图片

近几个月来,中国政府要求富人和企业“自查”纳税情况,并补交任何欠税。图为北京一处购物中心的顾客行经购物优惠券推广区。

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