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中国PPI连续27月下跌 通缩阴霾挥之不去

中国周四(9日)公布12月居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比上涨0.1%,全国工业生产者出厂价格(PPI)同比下降2.3%,PPI是连续27个月下跌,引发通货紧缩的疑虑。

中国国家统计局的数据显示,全国CPI环比持平,同比上涨0.1%。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI微幅回升,同比上涨0.4%,涨幅比上月增加0.1个百分点。

12月份,全国PPI环比下降0.1%,同比下降2.3%,同比降幅比上月收窄0.2个百分点。统计局归因于受部分行业进入传统生产淡季、国际大宗商品价格波动传导等因素所影响。

汪浩:中国通缩源于供过于求

国际问题专家汪浩接受本台访问时表示,中国当前的通缩现象源于结构性供过于求,反映产能过剩与有效需求不足的深层问题。从房地产到电动车,各行业都存在供需失衡的情况,这是结构性问题,有长期恶化的趋势。

“中国国家领导人习近平不懂经济,只关注降低物价,但忽视企业获利的重要性。随着产品价格下降,企业难以盈利,越赔越多。最终被迫裁员,导致失业率上升。百姓失去工作,物价再便宜也无用,”汪浩认为,这种供需失衡的根本原因在于,中国经济结构只考虑共产党的利益,而非一般老百姓需求,导致经济运行长期供需不平衡。

彭博解读,中国的消费者通胀进一步减弱接近零,已连续4个月放缓,这对政府试图通过经济刺激措施消除通缩,并提振需求的努力来说是一个挫折。北京的担忧在于,持续的价格下跌周期可能长期抑制家庭支出,严重损害企业营收,进而阻碍投资,并导致进一步的工资削减和裁员。

CNBC指出,持续接近零的消费者通胀率表明,中国仍在努力应对疲弱的国内需求,这引发了通缩的阴影。尽管北京自去年9月以来推出了一系列刺激经济措施,包括降低利率、支持股市和房地产市场以及增加银行贷款,但消费仍未能明显回升。

赖荣伟:中国美化数据后仍显示通缩恶化

TIA台湾励志协会执行长赖荣伟对本台表示,中国经济数据的可靠性受到广泛质疑,PPI数据被认为美化过,依然仍是负成长,显示实际通缩问题的严重性,这种结构性问题在2020年疫情爆发前已有迹象,疫情后进一步恶化。投资、消费、出口三大经济支柱相互影响,经济问题并非短期内可改善,即便官方数据显示改善,造假的可能性也很大。他说:“从投资角度看,全球对中国的投资虽未完全脱钩,但实际上正在减少,显示外资对中国市场的信心下降。”

《华尔街日报》:高善文惹怒习近平遭禁言

中国经济下行,境内经济学家解读数据高度敏感。12月时,中国经济学者高善文和付鹏,两人发表的言论与主流的“唱响经济光明论”相违背,两人的微信及短视频等社交媒体帐号都遭到封锁。

近日《华尔街日报》引述知情人士揭露,习近平下令对国有券商国投证券(SDIC Securities)首席经济学家高善文展开调查。高善文在彼得森国际经济研究所(Peterson Institute for International Economics)和一家中国智库举办的论坛中,质疑中国经济增长数据的可靠性。高善文说:“我自己的猜测是过去两到三年实际(国内生产总值GDP增速)数字平均可能在2%左右,尽管官方数字接近5%。”

“习近平要求‘数据姓党’,党要有什么数据,就要做出什么数据来,”汪浩表示,从实证数据和生活状况来看,中国的消费、基建投资等均处于低增长,所有的细项数据都欠佳,硬要叠加支撑高增长率的数据。若要凑足官方预期的增长数字,只能依靠数据造假。

中国GDP预测5%“隐形红线”

经济观察网报道,中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院预测科学研究中心(预测科学研究中心)发布2025年中国经济预测。“2025年中国的GDP增速初步预计在4.8%左右,但是如果各项的促进经济发展的增量政策措施能够有效落地,并且产生成效,2025年经济增速有望达到5%左右。”中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院副院长杨翠红研究员表示。

“2025年中国要达到4.8%和5%的经济增长目标是否过于乐观?”赖荣伟表示,中国官方数据的准确性和统计是否符合国际标准令人存疑,更多像是一种“信心喊话”。而且他们似乎不敢把目标调低到4%以下,更不敢接近3%,而“5%”的增长率从2020 年以来,更像是一条被揣摩出来的红线。

信贷评级机构穆迪去年12月将2025年中国GDP增长预测从4%上调至4.2%,较乐观的高盛去年10月将2025年中国GDP增速预期从4.3%,上调至4.7%,都未达5%。

责编:许书婷 陈美华

© REUTERS

中国9日公布CPI同比上涨0.1%,PPI同比下降2.3%,PPI是连续27个月下跌,引发通缩疑虑。

'Where do I go?' Chaos on Hollywood streets as people flee flames

Christal Hayes Anna Waldman gestures a peace sign as she stands with her belongings and three dogs in a trolley. Christal Hayes
Anna Waldman with her three dogs.

Raging wildfires surrounding Los Angeles have spread to Hollywood Hills, a residential neighbourhood overlooking the historic Hollywood area of the city.

The Sunset fire broke out at around 18:00 (14:00 GMT) local time on Wednesday, covering much of Hollywood in thick smoke and forcing an evacuation order.

While driving in Hollywood, I saw many people running away from their homes with whatever belongings they could carry.

As I pulled over, some of them responded to me in fear and anxiety.

"Are you here to help people? Where do I go?" Anna Waldman asked as I got out of my car.

"Where is it safe?"

Above us, sirens had gone off and helicopter blades were whipping.

As I helped her get to a safe area, she told me she was walking her dogs and had planned to stop by a grocery store when she smelled heavy smoke.

She went back home, looked out her windows, and watched the fire move quickly through the Hollywood Hills to within a block from her home.

She packed what she could: food, clothes, blankets, food for her three small dogs.

"I can't believe this," she said in exhaustion.

Makayla Jackson, 26, held her two-year-old son Ramari on the corner of a street as they waited for a ride. They had been evacuated from a homeless shelter that was in danger of burning.

"They just told us to get out and go," she told me.

She said she was heading toward Hollywood High School, where more help was being offered.

Christal Hayes A woman with her daughter stands on a road with a suitcase in one hand and a bag in another. Christal Hayes

Much of the heart of Hollywood is blanketed in thick smoke. You can barely see the tops of the towering palm trees that line streets here.

It is utter chaos on the streets near the fire. People are using sweatshirts to cover their faces so they can breathe. Many are carrying bags and suitcases looking for a place to go.

Some are wearing pyjamas, clearly taken by surprise.

Christal Hayes Several cars lined up on a road near the blaze. 


Christal Hayes

Many of the roads near the blaze, such as the iconic Hollywood Boulevard, which includes the Hollywood Walk of Fame, are gridlocked with traffic.

Some are even driving on the wrong side of the road to escape.

The inferno could be seen from nearby freeways, lighting up the dark with bright red hues.

On the outskirts of the legendary city though, it is as though nothing is happening. People are eating dinner, shopping and going about their evenings.

Mozambique opposition leader returns after post-election violence

Venancio Mondlane in dark glasses with flower garland surrounded by people

Mozambique’s opposition leader, Venâncio Mondlane, has returned to the country from self-imposed exile, saying he was ready for talks with the government after claiming October’s elections were stolen from him.

In large dark sunglasses, Mondlane dropped to his knees as he exited the arrivals door of Maputo’s international airport and appeared to be praying. He spoke to journalists outside, wearing a fake flower garland, before his car edged through crowds of cheering supporters.

Mozambique has been beset by protests since the 9 October presidential and parliamentary votes, which Mondlane and his allied party Podemos said they had won. More than 280 people have been killed by security forces, according to the Centre for Public Integrity, a local monitoring group.

“I had to break this narrative that I was absent because of my own will,” Mondlane told reporters in comments that were also broadcast live on his Facebook page. “So I’m here present, I’m here in the flesh, I’m here to say that if they want to negotiate, if you want to talk to me, if you want to sit down for a discussion, I’m here.”

The charismatic populist said he had also returned to witness what he labelled a “silent genocide” of his supporters and to defend himself against charges that he was culpable for damage caused during the protests.

Daniel Chapo, the candidate for Frelimo, the party that has ruled Mozambique since independence from Portugal in 1975, is due to be sworn in as president on 15 January.

On 23 December, the country’s top court declared Chapo secured 65.2% of the vote, which triggered another wave of protests by supporters of Mondlane, who the court said won 24.2% of the vote.

Election observers have said there was evidence of vote rigging, but some analysts have cautioned that Frelimo may still have won without any manipulation.

The outgoing president, Felipe Nyusi, called for talks with Mondlane in November and said in December that they had spoken by phone.

Mondlane previously said he had left Mozambique for an undisclosed location for fear of being assassinated. On 19 October, two of his allies, Elvino Dias, a lawyer, and Paulo Guambe, a film-maker and Podemos official, were shot dead by unknown attackers.

No one has been arrested for the killings, which human rights researchers say fits a pattern of targeted killings of opposition figures without anyone being brought to justice.

Warning after two lynx released in Highlands

Getty Images LynxGetty Images

Police are investigating the illegal release of two lynx in the Highlands and have urged the public not to approach the wild cats.

The alarm was raised at about 16:20 when they were spotted in the Drumguish area, near to Kingussie.

Specially trained staff from the Highland Wildlife Park are assisting officers to trace the animals.

The Cairngorms National Park Authority said they were shy and a "low risk" to humans but added they should not be approached.

A spokesperson said: "We condemn the illegal release of wild animals in the strongest possible terms and we are also concerned for the welfare of the lynx that have been released."

The authority also said people should not attend the area and appealed to anyone with information about the lynx to contact police.

The wild cats were once native to Britain, but were driven to extinction 500 to 1,000 years ago.

But some conservation groups have been campaigning to have the wild cats reintroduced to Scotland.

Lynx to Scotland, a three-charity partnership working to restore lynx to the Scottish Highlands, said it had been made aware of the release.

Peter Cairns, executive director of Scotland: The Big Picture, one of the charities involved, said: "The Lynx to Scotland Project knows nothing of the origin of these two lynx, their history, health status, or who may have released them.

"We understand the frustration of all those who wish to see lynx restored to the Scottish landscape, but an illegal release is not the way to achieve that aim."

Getty Images LynxGetty Images
Lynx were once native to Britain

Mr Cairns said the project had never supported or condoned illegal releases.

He added: "This is unwelcome and grossly irresponsible, but comes at the worst possible time, when stakeholders are engaging in good faith with productive discussions about the possibility of a responsibly managed and fully resourced legal reintroduction."

RSPB Scotland said it was collaborating with the police, relevant governing bodies and partner organisations.

A spokesperson said: "Whilst we support lynx reintroduction as a formerly native species to Scotland, we work within official conservation translocation guidelines and therefore do not support unofficial releases which only set back approved conservation projects."

A spokesperson for farmers' union NFU Scotland said: "We hope that the released predators are caught as soon as possible and before any livestock or any other animals are destroyed.

"We ask all those living and working in the local rural community to be vigilant and report any sightings."

Kevin Keane corr box

There is huge anger among campaigners who have long been arguing for these apex predators to be returned to the wild in Scotland.

It is a highly controversial plan and has required some careful manoeuvring by conservationists to try and make it a reality.

They are convinced these two animals have been illegally released by someone who has grown tired of that process and taken the law into their own hands.

It has happened before with another species.

Beavers were released illegally in Perthshire while consultations over their formal reintroduction were still ongoing and the population has since exploded.

Farmers hate the idea of wild lynx because of concerns they might target their lambs for food.

If that happens in the coming days, campaigners fear it would end their ambitions of a reintroduction for decades.

It is possible the two cats could disappear into the wild, mate and produce the first genuinely wild lynx in more than five centuries.

But experts say the fact these secretive animals have been spotted several times suggests they might actually be too domesticated to survive in the wild.

Red line

Sound Of 2025: Ezra Collective are 'keeping music real'

BBC Ezra Collective, pictured at the BBC's Maida Vale Studios in December 2024BBC
Ezra Collective, pictured at the BBC's Maida Vale Studios in December 2024

If you think Ezra Collective's music is life-affirming, just wait until you meet them in person.

Tumbling into the BBC's Maida Vale studios, the band are boisterous and charming, the sort of people to greet a perfect stranger like a long-lost cousin.

Bandleader and drummer Femi Koleoso has a room-filling smile and a zest for life that infuses his music.

"We're just trying to bring something positive and joyful to whoever will listen," he says. "So anything that exposes us to more people is always gratefully received."

Today, that means the honour of being named runner-up in the BBC's Sound Of 2025.

The annual poll, which has been running since 2003, has tipped everyone from 50 Cent and Adele, to Raye and Dua Lipa for success.

Ezra Collective's addition to the list comes relatively late in their career. They've already won the Mercury Prize, for their second album Where I'm Meant To Be, and last November, they became the first jazz act to sell out Wembley Arena.

But to their minds, the band are still newcomers.

Koleoso recalls the thrumming intensity of making his Wembley debut.

"Fifteen minutes before the gig, I made the horrific mistake of reading the wall backstage," he says.

"They'd put up the names of everyone who'd played there before us. So it was like, 'OK, Beyoncé played here, and Jay-Z and Stormzy and Madonna… And now it's Ezra Collective's turn'."

If they were intimidated, it didn't show. The quintet turn audience participation into an artform, venturing out into the crowd and making fans part of their ensemble, almost like a New Orleans parade.

Reviews were ecstatic, calling the show a "masterclass in musicianship" that left "every single person with a smile on their face."

As a result, Ezra Collective's name will be added to the Wembley Wall – but Koleoso wants it to have a radically different effect.

"Wouldn't it be great if, in 10 years' time, some band is getting intimidated by Beyoncé and Madonna, and then they see our name, and they're like, 'Oh yeah, they came into our school to do an assembly - so we'll be fine'?".

Sarah-Louise Bennett / BBC TJ Foleoso (left) and Ife Ogunjobi (right) of Ezra Collective share an on-stage moment at the 2024 Glastonbury FestivalSarah-Louise Bennett / BBC
TJ Foleoso (left) and Ife Ogunjobi (right) of Ezra Collective share an on-stage moment at the 2024 Glastonbury Festival

Community and musical kinship is Ezra Collective's foundation stone; one that can be traced back to the youth club Tomorrow's Warriors, where they first met in central London in 2012.

The charity offers training to musicians who can't afford private tuition, with a special focus on "those with a background from the African Diaspora and girls, who are often under-represented in the music industry".

"It's where I met my best friends," says Koleoso, who remains a passionate supporter of youth clubs.

"Not to get too deep, but how do you fix domestic violence or the male suicide rate? You teach a 14-year-old boy how to deal with rejection, how to love people, how to control anger, how to respect others.

"Youth clubs can help with that. By the time someone's 24, it's almost too late."

When Koleoso first visited Tomorrow's Warriors with his brother TJ, they'd already formed a tight rhythm section in their church band. In fact, Femi had been playing drums since he was four.

"Maybe I'm slightly biased, but I think the drums are the best instrument, because you can see what's going on," he says.

"When I watch our horn section, I'm hearing thousands of notes, but I'm only seeing three valves. It doesn't quite make sense. But with the drums, you hit them and they make a sound.

"I wish everything was as simple as that."

Tomorrow's Warriors introduced Koleoso to jazz, a genre he'd previously considered elite and inaccessible, and to his future bandmates James Mollison (sax), Ife Ogunjobi (keyboards) and Dylan Jones (trumpet).

Together, they ripped the genre rulebook to shreds, magpie-ing elements of Afrobeat, hip-hop, grime, reggae, Latin, R&B, highlife and jazz to create a sound that bulges with possibility.

"We're the shuffle generation," explains Koleoso. "We listen to Beethoven and 50 Cent comes on straight after. That influences the way we approach music: We love jazz but at the same time I love salsa too, so why not try and get that in there?"

Getty Images Femi Koleoso of Ezra Collective plays drums live on stage at the 2018 Womad FestivalGetty Images
Femi Koleoso: 'What you're hearing is very, very real'

After playing their first gig in a Foyles bookshop, they released their debut EP, Chapter 7, in 2016, and a debut album, You Can't Steal My Joy in 2019.

Then Covid hit.

"We were meant to do a world tour but shortly after we arrived in New Zealand, we were told get back to London because the world was collapsing," says Koleoso.

Lockdown inspired their second album, but instead of introspection and gloom, it's an immensely energetic record, fuelled by the promise of post-pandemic reconnection.

"What we found was we had each other," says Koleoso. "It felt like we were meant to be together, and we made as many tracks as we could that articulate that."

When it won the Mercury Prize, the follow-up was already in the bag.

Dance, No-One's Watching was recorded over three days ("one was just setting up") at Abbey Road Studios, with the band still slightly worse-for-wear after a weekend at the Notting Hill Carnival.

The idea was to capture the excitement of their live show direct to tape – with an audience of family and friends to stop them obsessing over the technicalities of recording.

"What you're hearing is very, very real. We just played it and then had a listen back, and were like, 'Yeah, put it on a vinyl'."

That's why the album features a short, aborted performance of Ajala, with Koleoso instructing his bandmates to play harder on the next take.

"A lot of people think that's a skit, but it was a very real moment," he says. "I wanted the song to go off, but it didn't, so we stopped and tried again.

"Those things are precious, because they will never happen again.

"There's a lot of things in the world that don't feel real enough, but music shouldn't be one of them."

EPA Ezra Collective tear it up on stageEPA
The band's shows are an infectious energy blast - a world away from the self-serious image of jazz in the 80s and 90s

In contrast to its predecessor, the album is immersed in the real world. Themed around a night out in London, it celebrates the sacred power of dancing and losing yourself in music with other people.

There's even a song titled N29, after the night bus Koleso used to catch home from nights out in London.

Anyone who's braved one of those 3am rides home will recognise the song's mixture of post-club euphoria, random conversations and the backdrop of potential violence.

Koleoso says his first experience of that liminal reality came after his high school prom.

"Our school got one of those fancy little boats on the Thames and everyone paid their £20, which, for a state school in Enfield, was an impressive night out," he recalls.

"This was at the height of grime and funky house, so I'm just having the best time in my life, dancing on this boat in a suit… then I missed the last tube home."

In a time before Google Maps, it took a while to locate the right bus. When he finally clambered on board, it was carnage.

"I grew 10 years in that one journey, do you know what I mean?" he laughs. "I saw waaaay to much life!"

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His desire to document life in all its messy, wonderful glory is the album's core.

"In 2022, we got to travel the whole world. We had amazing nights in New Orleans, on colourful streets with so much going on that it's hard to describe.

"And you'd think, 'How do I get this feeling into a song? I want someone in their flat in Edmonton to get a glimpse of this.'

"Or you'd go to the shrine in Lagos and be like, 'I need to convey the feeling of the shrine to someone who lives in Cardiff.'"

Ezra Collective's ever-growing audience suggests they've successfully completed that mission.

But there's one person who'll be surprised: Koleoso's A-level music teacher.

"Here's the secret, I got a D in music," he confesses.

"I was pretty embarrassed, because it made difficult to convince my parents that playing music was gonna be OK.

"But what it tells you is that exams can determine one type of intelligence, but they're not the be-all and end-all.

"If there was an exam in shutting down shows, I think I'd do better than a D."

Amen to that.

In maps: Thousands of acres on fire in LA

BBC Firefighter tackling blazeBBC

Firefighters in Los Angeles are battling a number of blazes in city suburbs, as tens of thousands of residents are forced to flee.

The rapidly changing situation is compounded by Santa Ana winds and extremely dry conditions. Currently authorities say there is no possibility of bringing the fires under control.

The Palisades fire, which is closest to the coast and also the largest, has ripped through picturesque suburbs which are home to many Hollywood stars. More than 1,000 buildings have already been destroyed.

Here's how the fires have spread and are affecting the Los Angeles area.

An overview of the current fires

Map of the current four major fires

Four major fires are currently being tackled.

The Palisades fire was first reported at 10:30 (18:30 GMT) on Tuesday, and grew in just 20 minutes from a blaze of 20 acres to more than 200 acres, then more than tenfold in a matter of a few more hours. At least 30,000 people have so far been ordered to leave their homes.

The Eaton fire grew to cover 1,000 acres within the first six hours of breaking out. It started in Altadena in the hills above Pasadena at around 18:30 local time on Tuesday.

The Hurst fire is located just north of San Fernando. It began burning on Tuesday at around 22:10 local time, growing to 500 acres, according to local officials. It has triggered evacuation orders in neighbouring Santa Clarita.

The latest of the four fires is the Woodley fire, currently 75 acres in size. It broke out at approximately 06:15 local time on Wednesday.

How did the Palisades fire spread?

Map showing three stages of the development of the Palisades fire

The Palisades fire has so far burnt through more than 2,900 acres. The map above shows how rapidly the blaze spread, intensifying in a matter of hours. At just after 14:00 on Tuesday it covered 772 acres and within four hours it had expanded approximately to its current size.

Thousands of people have been forced to evacuate, as more than 1,400 firefighters try to tackle the blaze.

How does the Palisade fire compare in size with New York and London?

Maps showing the size of the Palisade fire when superimposed on to maps of New York (L) and London (R)

To give an idea of the size of the Palisades fire, we have superimposed it on to maps of New York and London.

As you can see, it is comparable in size with the central area of UK's capital, or with large areas of lower Manhattan and Brooklyn.

How the fires look from space

NASA Smoke from the Palisades fire seen drifting out to sea off the California coastNASA

Another indication of the scale of the Palisades fire comes from Nasa's Earth Observatory.

The images captured on Tuesday show a huge plume of smoke emanating from California and drifting out to sea.

Effects of the Eaton fire

Google Earth/Getty Images/BBC Before and after images of the Jewish Temple in PasadenaGoogle Earth/Getty Images/BBC

The Palisade fire is not the only one to have a devastating effect on neighbourhoods of Los Angeles.

The above images show the Jewish Temple in Pasadena before and during the Eaton fire.

The Jewish Temple and Centre's website says it has been in use since 1941 and has a congregation of more than 400 familes.

特朗普为何想“收回”巴拿马运河?你应该知道的四个问题

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特朗普为何想“收回”巴拿马运河?你应该知道的四个问题

LISA FRIEDMAN
候任总统特朗普表示,巴拿马向通过巴拿马运河的美国船只收取“高昂的费用”。
候任总统特朗普表示,巴拿马向通过巴拿马运河的美国船只收取“高昂的费用”。 Federico Rios for The New York Times
周二,候任总统特朗普拒绝排除使用武力夺回巴拿马运河的可能性。美国在几十年前将运河的控制权交还给了巴拿马。
上月,特朗普错误地指责巴拿马允许中国士兵控制这条连接大西洋和太平洋的重要航道,并对美国船只收费过高。
他声称巴拿马向美国船只收取“高昂的费用”,并警告,如果他下个月上任后这些费用不降低,他将要求美国“全面、迅速、毫无疑问地”获得对巴拿马运河的控制权。
虽然尚不清楚特朗普最近为什么对巴拿马运河如此痴迷,但一些共和党人长期以来一直反对一项有几十年历史的条约,该条约将这条航道交给巴拿马控制。里根在竞选总统时表示,美国人民是该运河的“合法所有者”,他说:“我们买下了它;我们付了钱;我们建造了它,”这句话令观众起立鼓掌。
谁拥有巴拿马运河?
20世纪初巴拿马运河建成后,美国政府对其进行了数十年的管理。
20世纪初巴拿马运河建成后,美国政府对其进行了数十年的管理。 Associated Press
在法国人的建造尝试失败后,运河最终由美国在1904年至1914年间建成。美国政府在几十年管理着这条运河。
美国在巴拿马的建国过程中也发挥了作用。20世纪初,巴拿马地峡是哥伦比亚的一部分。后者拒绝接受一项运河条约提议后,美国政府怂恿了一场叛乱。哥伦比亚北部的几个省份迫不及待地分离出去,成立了巴拿马共和国。美国海军随后阻止了镇压叛乱的哥伦比亚军队。
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美国对运河的控制造成了与巴拿马的严重紧张关系。1964年,美国控制的运河区爆发了反美骚乱
骚乱导致了巴拿马运河条约的重新谈判。1977年,美国总统吉米·卡特和巴拿马领导人奥马尔·埃弗拉因·托里霍斯签署了《托里霍斯—卡特条约》。这些协定保证了巴拿马运河的永久中立性。在一段时间的共同监管之后,条约要求美国在2000年之前放弃对运河的控制。
巴拿马于1999年完全控制了该运河,此后一直通过巴拿马运河管理局运营。
于12月29日去世的卡特一直认为,这些条约是他的标志性成就,在他的讣告中占据了显著位置。
“出现了一个时间上的奇怪巧合,我们现在有一位总统在幻想收回运河,而此时全世界都认识到运河的移交是一位已故总统遗产的重要组成部分,”詹姆斯·法洛斯说。他当时是卡特的演讲稿撰写人,并陪同卡特在1978年访问巴拿马。
巴拿马作何反应?
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在上个月一份谴责特朗普的声明中,巴拿马总统何塞·劳尔·穆利诺写道,“巴拿马运河及其邻近地区的每一寸土地都属于巴拿马。”
穆利诺还说,美国船只没有被多收费用。他坚称,向船只和海军舰艇收取的费率“并非想收多少就收多少”。
巴拿马官员表示,所有国家都要缴纳同样的费用,但根据船只大小有所不同。穆利诺说,它们是由巴拿马运河管理局在公开会议上确定的,并考虑了市场状况、国际竞争、运营和维护成本。
然而,最近费率有所上升。这是因为从2023年开始,在厄尔尼诺现象和气候变化的共同作用下,巴拿马经历了严重的干旱,特朗普称气候变化是一场骗局。由于运河的主要蓄水地加通湖的水位处于历史低位,当局减少了通过运河的船只,以保护湖中的淡水。
特朗普的发言人表示,由于美国是该运河的最大用户,费用的增加对美国船只的影响最大。
中国在巴拿马运河建设中发挥了什么作用?
运河的加勒比海入海口附近的加通水闸,摄于今年早些时候。
运河的加勒比海入海口附近的加通水闸,摄于今年早些时候。 Federico Rios for The New York Times
中国士兵并没有像特朗普所说的那样在“操作”巴拿马运河。
“看在上帝的份上,运河里没有中国士兵,”穆利诺在周四的一次演讲中说。“全世界都可以免费访问运河。”
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总部位于香港的长江和记实业有限公司确实管理着运河入口处的两个港口。一些专家表示,这确实引起了美国在竞争和安全方面的合理担忧。
华盛顿智库战略与国际研究中心美洲项目主任瑞安·伯格指出,长江和记可能拥有所有通过巴拿马运河的船只的数据。中国一直在利用其航运和海上行动收集外国情报和进行间谍活动。
“即使在没有军事冲突的情况下,中国也可以行使或可能行使某种控制权,”伯格说。“我认为有理由担心。”
中国外交部发言人毛宁周二表示,“中方将一如既往尊重巴拿马对运河的主权。”
中国是巴拿马运河的第二大使用者,仅次于美国。2017年,巴拿马与台湾断绝外交关系,承认台湾是中国的一部分,这对北京来说是一个重大胜利。
美国能重新控制运河吗?
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并不容易。
穆利诺明确表示,巴拿马运河是非卖品。他指出,这些条约确立了运河的永久中立地位,并且“保证运河对所有国家开放和安全运行”。参议院于1978年批准了巴拿马运河条约。
特朗普的前幕僚长米克·马尔瓦尼表示,这些挑衅行为只是谈判策略的一部分,目的是降低费用。
“你知道,我不认为美国军队会去夺回运河,但你能想到有人现在正在挠头,‘唐纳德·特朗普会疯到做出这种事吗?’”周二,马尔瓦尼在《国会山》节目上说。
伯格说,中立协议使巴拿马甚至不太可能给美国提供特殊费率。他还指出,穆利诺“非常亲美”,很可能渴望帮助即将上任的特朗普政府处理非法移民等问题。
“穆利诺总统将成为美国的一大盟友,”伯格说。“我们不希望这演变成某种政治斗争,因为我们在许多其他问题上都需要穆利诺总统。”
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但正如特朗普所威胁的那样,还有军事选项。作为总统,特朗普可以下令入侵巴拿马。根据宪法规定,巴拿马没有军队。但专家们认为,特朗普周二的威胁是虚张声势。
“如果美国想藐视国际法,像普京那样行事,美国可以入侵巴拿马,收回运河,”华盛顿威尔逊中心拉丁美洲项目主任本杰明·加登说。“没有人会认为这是合法的行为,这不仅会给他们的形象带来严重损害,还会给运河带来不稳定。”

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全国统一大市场怎么建?国家发改委发布《建设指引》

王善成指出要让制度“长牙带刺”,欢迎提供有违全国统一大市场建设问题线索。

针对当下关注度较高的“远洋捕捞”现象,《指引》要求完善统一的产权保护制度。

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国家发展改革委新闻发布会现场。南方周末记者 罗欢欢 图

2025年1月7日,国家发展改革委会同交通运输部、商务部、市场监管总局召开新闻发布会,深入介绍《全国统一大市场建设指引(试行)》(下称《指引》)。

国家发展改革委体制改革综合司司长王善成在会上介绍,指引为统一大市场建设提出了三方面的具体要求:要求做的、禁止做的、鼓励做的,从三个维度提出具体要求和目标。

要求做的属于“规定动作”,是对各地融入全国统一大市场建设的共同要求。禁止做的属于底线红线”,如果触碰了就要承担相应的责任。鼓励做的属于自选动作,引导有条件的地区先行先试。

这次发布会现场多了两台电视机,介绍完指引具体内容之后,王善成在电视机上亮出一个二维码,“这是我们线索征集端口的二维码,希望各位媒体朋友帮助进一步扩大宣传,欢迎社会各界积极参与,提供更多的问题线索

这次发布会上,王善成指出要让制度长牙带刺”,欢迎提供有违全国统一大市场建设问题线索重点征集有违全国统一大市场建设的政策规定、妨碍经营主

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“一切都在晃动”- 德国登山者亲历西藏地震

Stefan Nestler
2025-01-09T07:22:20.320Z

(德国之声中文网)德国登山者库布什(Jost Kobusch)在电话中表示:“起初,我以为是身边的冰川发生崩裂了,随后我就感觉到,一切都在晃动。”

当地时间周二上午,西藏发生地震时,库布什所处的位置实在谈不上安全:海拔5700米高处他宿营的帐篷里。“紧接着,我听到了石块滑落的声音,也感受到了冰川崩裂时产生的冲击波。”

库布什表示,他当时并没有感到害怕:“我的帐篷安扎在一块相对稳固的岩石上,左右两边都是冰川。”不过,地震过后,他的帐篷还是报废了。“从天而降的石块把帐篷砸出了几个小洞,冰川崩裂时产生的冲击波更是挤坏了帐篷的透视窗口。”

地震平息了些许之后,库布什又等待了一会才开始下山。“我有意没有急于下山,而是等山上一切平静之后才开始行动。”数小时之后,库布什平安抵达海拔大约五千米的一个意大利科研站,这里也是库布什此次探险行动的基地。”

死亡人数已超过120人

此次地震的震中位于珠穆朗玛峰以北大约80公里处的西藏定日县境内。中国官方媒体报道称,迄今为止,地震已经造成了大约120人死亡。当地人烟稀少,是许多登山者和徒步旅行者从北麓前往珠峰的必经之路。

继2020年和2022年之后,这已是库布什第三次尝试在冬季从尼泊尔一侧登顶珠峰,而且是在单枪匹马,并不带氧气瓶的情况下。由于珠峰西脊极具挑战性,此前很少有人进行这样的尝试。根据高度计的显示,12月27日,他曾登上海拔7537米高度。在此之前,从未有人在冬季通过这条路线达到过这一高度。

库布什的目标是冬季独自一人登顶珠峰。

1979年,波兰人Krzystof Wielicki和Leszek Cichy首次在冬季攀登珠穆朗玛峰获得成功,不过,他们携带了氧气瓶,而且还有庞大团队提供后勤支援。迄今为止,共有15名登山者在冬季登上海拔8849米的珠穆朗玛峰,而其中只有尼泊尔人丽塔·夏尔巴( Ang Rita Sherpa)是在不携氧的情况下登顶成功的。

不携带氧气瓶的情况下尝试攀登珠峰,无疑是对生理极限的挑战。而在气压更低的冬季,登山者身体所需承受的压力更是大得多。

 

十年前的地震视频曾让库布什成了“网红”

在珠峰遭遇地震,对库布什来说已经是第二次。2015年4月,尼泊尔发生强烈地震,引发海拔七千米的普莫里峰雪崩。雪崩摧毁了珠峰基地,造成22人丧生。当时,库布什正在试图攀登海拔八千多米的洛子峰。他拍摄的雪崩视频在整个世界引起了轰动。当年的尼泊尔大地震中,共有九千多人丧生。

库布什是否会结束此次探险行动呢?他说:“我会在接下来的几天里静观事态发展。谁都不知道接下来会发生什么。地壳活动还没停止,可能还会发生余震。” 他表示,接下来的行程中发生雪崩的风险已经增大。

不过,可以肯定的是,库布什在珠峰地带的冬季探险绝不会仅局限于今年冬季。作为职业登山者,库布什表示:“归根结底,我的目的不是要在短时间内打破什么记录,而是要持之以恒,完成我的冬季项目,这才是重点所在。”

© 2025年德国之声版权声明:本文所有内容受到著作权法保护,如无德国之声特别授权,不得擅自使用。任何不当行为都将导致追偿,并受到刑事追究。

Paris Hilton among stars 'heartbroken' as she watches home 'burn to ground'

Getty Images A small plane dropping water over mansions in a densely populated area, as smoke fills the area behind themGetty Images

The affluent Los Angeles neighbourhood of Pacific Palisades typically has strangers walking around, trying to catch a glimpse of celebrities' houses.

Now, though, its streets are filled with firefighters battling a 3,000-acre wildfire that is ravaging the area.

Across the city, more than 30,000 have been forced to evacuate their homes as winds stoke three fires. A state of emergency has been declared, leaving roads gridlocked as people flee.

Among them, a number of famous faces have been forced to flee their usually idyllic California homes, including Star Wars' Mark Hamill and Schitt's Creek actor Eugene Levy.

James Woods, who has starred in films including Nixon and Casino, described evacuating his home on social media, and said he was not sure if it was still standing.

"It feels like losing a loved one," he wrote.

Pacific Palisades is known for being exclusive, with a house costing $4.5m (£3.6m) on average as of November 2024, according to Realtor.com.

The north LA neighbourhood is bordered on the south with a three-mile (4.8km) stretch of beaches on the Pacific Ocean, nestled between Malibu and Santa Monica.

It is a hub for trendy shops, cafes and a farmers' market.

But the Palisades fire - which grew from 10 acres to over 2,900 in a matter of hours - has shattered they area's idyllic nature.

Mark Hamill, of Star Wars fame, called the blaze the "most horrific fire since '93" - which burned 18,000 acres and destroyed 323 homes in nearby Malibu - in a post on Instagram.

He said he evacuated his home in Malibu "so last-minute there [were] small fires on both sides of the road".

Levy, who rose to fame for his role in film series American Pie, told local media he was forced to evacuate his home.

"The smoke looked pretty black and intense over Temescal Canyon. I couldn't see any flames but the smoke was very dark," he recounted to the Los Angeles Times.

Reality star's Spencer Pratt and Heidi Montag lost their family home in the fire, his sister wrote on Instagram.

"I am beyond heartbroken for my brother, Heidi and the kids," she said. "Even the fire station in the Palisades has burned down."

Miles Teller, best known for his role in Top Gun: Maverick, and his wife Keleigh, also live in the area.

Posting on Instagram, Mrs Teller shared a picture of the fires and a heart-break emoji. She urged people to leave bowls of water for animals as they evacuate their homes.

Meanwhile, Actor Steve Guttenberg, known for Police Academy, stayed to help firefighters by moving cars in order to make room for incoming fire trucks.

He urged residents to leave the keys to their abandoned cars so they could be moved out the way of firefighters.

"We really need people to move their cars," he told news outlet KTLA: "This is not a parking lot."

Getty Images The Getty Villa sign on top of a wall, with bright orange fire right behind itGetty Images

It is not just famous residents affected by the wildfire - notable buildings in the area are under threat as well.

The Palisades Charter High School - which has served as a set for movies and counts several notable people as former students - has been damaged by fire, local media reports.

The fire-stricken school has been used in films including 1976 horror classic Carrie and Project X, according to The Hollywood Reporter.

Former students include director JJ Abrams, musician Will.i.am, and actors Forest Whitaker and Katey Sagal.

The Getty Villa is an art museum in the Palisades that has a large collection of artworks and artefacts, including works by Vincent van Gogh and Claude Monet.

The museum confirmed on Tuesday that it had closed to the public and that some trees and vegetation on site had burned - but said that "no structures are on fire, and staff and the collection remain safe".

Star studded events due to take place in the area have also been cancelled.

Film premiers for Unstoppable, Better Man and Wolfman have been called off, as has the Screen Actors Guild Awards live nominations event.

Clear racism at Al Fayed's Harrods, former staff tell BBC

Getty Images Close up head and shoulders portrait of Mohamed Al Fayed looking to the left of camera wearing a suit and shirt, with festive colouful balls out of focus in the background. Image taken at Harrods in London in 2007.Getty Images

Many black staff members at London's world-famous Harrods department store would leave the shop floor before Mohamed Al Fayed toured the premises, former employees have told the BBC.

Staff would be given a warning before he appeared, says a former security guard, which was followed by a "beeline of certain people, certain races", leaving the floor.

"The level of racism was very clear," said "Henry" (not his real name).

These accounts follow a BBC documentary broadcast in September which included claims from more than 20 women that Mohamed Al Fayed sexually assaulted or raped them.

Harrods responded to the latest claims about racism by referring us to a previous statement in which it said it was "utterly appalled" by the abuse allegations made against Al Fayed, adding that it was a "very different organisation to the one owned and controlled" by him.

In November, the Met Police said it had launched a new investigation after 90 alleged new victims had come forward.

Henry told BBC Radio 5 Live's Clare McDonnell that before Al Fayed's daily walks around the store, there was a five-minute warning announced on guards' radios.

He said black people, and also other staff who didn't fit a certain look, would then leave the shop floor, in a "robotic" movement.

"It seemed very much like the protocol that [they] would disappear," he added.

He said the staff would leave the building via an underground tunnel, connecting the main store to an office across the road. Henry said they would then file back once Al Fayed had gone.

Another former staff member, who wishes to remain anonymous, also told the BBC that many black members of staff went to stock-rooms or "on tea breaks" when Al Fayed was visiting the shop floor. They also said that some women were sent to put on make-up.

Henry said the only staff who stayed on the shop floor were "young, thin, blonde", although some non-white door guards also remained.

Since the BBC's investigation was broadcast, we have heard scores of accounts of Al Fayed - who died in 2023 aged 94 - favouring women with these traits.

'Here today, gone today'

Lisa, who used to work in HR at the store, confirmed that security would "warn" staff members when Al Fayed was about to come onto the shop floor, so people he would be likely to "pick on" negatively could hide.

"Not the girls that he would like," she said, adding that those "hidden" would also include people who were "overweight".

"They were good at their jobs," she said. "We didn't want to keep losing staff."

The BBC has been told that staff were frequently sacked. Jon Brilliant, who worked in Al Fayed's private office for 18 months, has previously told the BBC that within Harrods there was surveillance, sackings and a culture designed to keep top managers from trusting or communicating with one another.

Henry agreed there was a culture of "paranoia, fear and bullying" while he worked as a security guard there.

During his initial training, he said he had been warned not to invest in a monthly travel pass because "you could be here today and you [could] be gone today".

Another former member of Harrods HR staff, Anna, said when she worked for the men's tailored suit division she was told not to employ anyone who was black, because "the customers wouldn't like it".

Once, she said, the best candidate was a Caribbean man, who was "head and shoulders above anyone else".

"I just sat there thinking, 'What a waste of my time and your time. I cannot employ you because of the colour of your skin.'"

Anna said she recorded that in his recruitment notes, and was reprimanded for doing so.

Lisa said on one occasion, Al Fayed "came right up to my face" and used a racist word to describe the type of people he didn't want her to hire.

'Culture of paranoia, fear and bullying'

A number of employment tribunals, successfully brought by people claiming racial discrimination, took place during Al Fayed's ownership of Harrods.

Henry said he didn't witness any sexual assault when he worked at the store, but there was "hearsay" amongst staff.

"I had lots of people tell me things, I suspected a lot of things, I saw some things, but who am I going to tell?" he said. "You can suspect all you want, but without having some proof… it's not evidence in court."

Al Fayed was accused of racism by Vanity Fair in 1995, an allegation he vehemently denied. It sparked a libel lawsuit that the billionaire later agreed to drop, as long as further evidence the magazine had gathered in preparation for a trial was locked away.

Many years after leaving his post, Henry said he still feared reprisals from people in the former chairman's security team.

"Just a few things I said to you could cost me my life - and if not my life, my livelihood," he said.

Despite these fears, he said other members of Harrods security staff should come forward to the authorities.

"If they have daughters, they have granddaughters, they have a mother, they should tell [what they know]… but I can assure you those people would keep their mouths shut."

The statement received from Harrods also said: "These were the actions of an individual who was intent on abusing his power wherever he operated and we condemn them in the strongest terms. We also acknowledge that during this time his victims were failed and for this we sincerely apologise."

It added: "While we cannot undo the past, we have been determined to do the right thing as an organisation, driven by the values we hold today, while ensuring that such behaviour can never be repeated in the future."

If you are affected by issues of sexual assault, information and support is available from BBC Action Line here

Hear the full interview with Henry on BBC Radio 5 Live's Drive programme on BBC Sounds, from 1600 GMT on Thursday 9 January

If you have information about this story that you would like to share please get in touch. Email MAFinvestigation@bbc.co.uk. Please include a contact number if you are willing to speak to a BBC journalist.

Colossal scale of building challenge revealed by BBC's new housing tracker

BBC Promotional image for the housing target tracker. There is a young couple in the middle looking at some paperwork. Around them are various images of details from buildings and stylised charts. The palette is predominantly orange.BBC

Some local councils in England would need to see at least a five-fold increase in new housing to meet government targets, analysis by BBC Verify suggests.

The BBC's figures lay out the immense challenge Labour has set itself in government with its "milestone" of building 1.5 million new homes in England over five years.

In total, 16 local authorities across England have new annual targets that are five times or more what they have recently delivered.

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer has said setting a specific target will "give the British people the power to hold our feet to the fire".

With that in mind, the BBC has created a new online tool for tracking the government's progress towards this key goal.

Type in your postcode and see the house building situation in your own area.

The government has also set annual housing targets for each local authority in England, based on what it judges their contribution to the overall total should be.

The most demanding target is for the London Borough of Kensington and Chelsea, which has been set a target for new homes nearly 22 times its recent average.

The target for Sevenoaks in Kent is five times what it has been delivering on average in recent years, while the target for Portsmouth is more than eight times the average.

These specific targets will enable us to incorporate information into the tracker on what's happening on house building in every district in England.

It will show the number of homes added in an area and compare it with the local target set by ministers.

Our postcode lookup tool also shows the share of planning applications for new homes granted permissions in an area in the most recent year there is data for, and compares it with the England-wide average rate, so you can judge whether your council is approving enough building plans.

The tracker will be updated when relevant official data becomes available.

Hugely ambitious

The new government has described its housebuilding objective as "hugely ambitious" and that is no exaggeration.

To deliver 1.5 million homes, defined as "net additional dwellings", over five years implies a strike rate of about 300,000 a year - a number not achieved since the 1970s.

Chart showing how challenging Labour's target of building 1.5 million new homes in the next five years is. It implies an average of 300,000 net additional dwellings per year, which has not been achieved over the period covered by the chart going back to 1992. The most managed over that period was just under 250,000 in 2019 and 2020.

But while the England-wide target is highly ambitious in a historical context, the targets handed down to some local authorities are arguably even more so.

To create our postcode tracker we processed local data on:

  • the number of annual net additional dwellings required
  • the number of net additional dwellings created on average each year since 2021
  • recent residential planning decisions by councils.

BBC Verify's analysis shows Kensington and Chelsea, a London borough, has been given a target of 5,107 new homes every year for the next five years. But the borough delivered an average of only 236 net additional dwellings between 2021-22 and 2023-24.

It did, however, approve 89% of planning applications for housing in the year to June 2024, considerably higher than the national rate of 71%.

Portsmouth, on the south coast, also has a very stretching target. The local council is being asked to deliver 1,021 new homes per year, almost nine times the 120 it delivered on average over the most recent three years.

Hastings has been tasked with a smaller total: 710. But this is still five times the 142 it has delivered on average in recent years.

Portsmouth approved 74% of residential planning applications in the year to June 2024 and Hastings 75%.

Councils were consulted on the targets last summer, with many expressing concerns they were "unrealistic", and the numbers were revised.

Councillor Elizabeth Campbell, leader of Kensington and Chelsea, said it was "out of touch to let algorithms set targets without understanding local context".

"You only have to walk through the streets of our densely built borough to see how unachievable it would be to build 5,107 homes a year here; this borough is only 4.5 miles squared."

She said there were two major sites in the borough that would provide 6,000 new homes in total.

Councillor Darren Sanders, cabinet member for housing at Portsmouth City Council, said the target "does not work" because "most of the city is an island" with a dense population and "important heritage and natural assets".

"Portsmouth has approved more than 4,000 new homes in 2023 and 2024. Any lack of delivery is down to the rising cost of development," he said, "not whether the council approves them."

Sevenoaks councillor Julia Thornton said it was a "top priority" to protect greenbelt land, but added: "We will have a duty to do everything possible to meet the government's new housing targets."

Sir Keir's housing minister, Matthew Pennycook, has said if councils fail to deliver enough houses the government could intervene.

"The government can take a local plan off a local authority that is resisting putting one in place, and we are absolutely willing to do it, if we have evidence that [they] are refusing to comply," he told the BBC.

The obstacles

The government said it had "inherited the worst housing crisis in living memory" and "all areas must play their part".

It has set out "a major planning overhaul… unblocking barriers to building, and setting out targets for councils to ramp up housebuilding, so new homes are built where they are most needed."

Most housing experts agree planning reform is necessary.

Yet analysts say it is not the only obstacle.

The construction industry has warned it is dealing with a chronic shortage of skilled workers.

The Home Builders Federation has cited aging workers and Brexit as some of the factors behind shortages.

The Construction Industry Training Board estimates the sector needs to attract the equivalent of 50,300 extra workers per year to meet the levels of work expected.

There are also concerns about the availability of basic building materials including bricks and timber.

The Construction Leadership Council has warned a shortage of these could hinder the government's ability to get near its target.

Finally, many housing experts doubt private housebuilders are capable of delivering enough new homes each year to reach the targets.

This is because private housebuilders have a commercial interest in not building so many new homes that their average price declines.

The Competition and Markets Authority concluded in February 2024 "private developers produce houses at a rate at which they can be sold without needing to reduce their prices".

A sharp decline in residential planning permissions in England in the year to June 2024 - hitting a new record low - was due to a collapse in applications from private builders, not a decline in the share of applications being approved by local authorities.

This collapse in applications probably reflected the impact of still-high mortgage interest rates and high house prices relative to average incomes, undermining the ability of people to afford newly built houses.

That's why some argue meeting the government's targets will also require a major increase in Whitehall grants to not-for-profit local housing associations, enabling them to build tens of thousands of new social and affordable homes, mainly to be rented out, in the coming years.

Interactive tool developed by Allison Shultes, Scott Jarvis and Steven Connor

About the data

Annual data on new homes for England comes from the government's "net additional dwellings" statistics.

These figures are estimates of changes in the total number of homes in each area, taking account of new build homes and existing building conversions, minus any demolitions.

The targets are the government's new "local housing need" calculations, released following a public consultation.

Planning statistics are taken from quarterly data and combine applications decided for "minor" housing developments (fewer than 10 homes) and "major" schemes (10 homes or more).

The planning data for England is at local authority level. Applications decided by special authorities, such as those in charge of national parks, are not included.

We have included the latest data on new housebuilding "completions" by local authority area for Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, but the 1.5 million homes target applies only in England.

BBC Verify logo

'I changed jobs, work nights, and we still can't afford a home'

BBC Mother Sam stands to the far left wearing a white T-shirt, cardigan and jeans. She has a short bob hairstyle. Next to her, sitting on the bottom bunk bed are her five sons all lined up together wearing tracksuits. Their father Jason is standing on the right wearing a navy hooded top. He has short grey hair.BBC
Bus driver Jason feels housing has become unaffordable for working families like his

Ten-year-old Elliot, who is a big Pokemon fan, says he would like to put posters up and decorate his magnolia-coloured bedroom walls.

It's one of the things he and his four brothers would do if they had a permanent home.

Parents Sam and Jason have been living in temporary accommodation with their five boys for a year now after they were evicted from the house they were renting in Portsmouth.

Like many families, they had to move because the landlord wanted to sell and they couldn't afford "extortionate" rents when they started looking for a new home.

The local council placed them in a hotel for several weeks before moving them to a three-bedroom house.

The couple say living in limbo is incredibly hard and the uncertainty is distressing for the children.

"It doesn't feel like a home," says Jason. "We can't make this a home because we don't know how long we are going to be here for."

They are now one of more than 1,100 families on the waiting list for a council home in Portsmouth. Jason, 49, is a bus driver and says housing in England has become unaffordable for working families like his.

It comes as the government says it is now trying to tackle England's housing shortage by setting ambitious housebuilding targets for areas like Portsmouth, which could help people like Sam and Jason.

The aim is for 370,000 new homes in England every year, to fulfil a government promise for 1.5m new homes within the next five years. Local authorities are being told to give developers permission to build - and planning decisions will be pushed through by the government if necessary.

But some local councils in England will need to see a five-fold increase in new housing to meet government targets, analysis by BBC Verify suggests.

The BBC has created a new online tool to enable people to track the government's progress towards its goal where they live.

Portsmouth is one of a number of areas that will need to add more homes in one year than it has delivered in the previous five.

Between March 2019 and March 2024, Portsmouth added a total of 803 homes, equivalent to an increase of just under 1%.

This was the lowest percentage increase in homes of any local authority area in England, according to BBC analysis of housing data.

Portsmouth's target, set by the Labour government, is to add 1,021 homes a year.

The leader of the council, Steve Pitt says it will be impossible for the coastal authority to deliver that many homes.

He described the target as "stupid and arbitrary" and says it is pointless if there is nowhere to build.

"Portsmouth has a pretty unique geography. Eleven of the 14 wards in Portsmouth are on an island, so we only have a very limited amount of brownfield space," he says.

"We've always tried to explain this to government. They don't tend to listen."

Mr Pitt says the most homes the authority will be able to deliver is 800 a year, falling well short of the target.

"It doesn't matter whether they tell us to build more homes or not, or whether they want to fine us - they won't be built because there's nowhere to build them."

He accepts the area needs more homes and says the government should provide sufficient funding for affordable house building to get plans moving.

At the moment, he says it's "not viable" for social providers or private developers because they cannot guarantee future rental income will cover the build costs.

Lily has long blonde hair and is wearing a blue and white striped top. She is sitting on a beige sofa next to her partner Jacob who is wearing a black hooded top. He is holding their baby. Next to the baby is their older child holding an Iggle Piggle soft toy.
Jacob says he started working nights to try to save for a home for his family

Housing is one of the biggest issues for people contacting us through Your Voice, Your BBC News.

Lily, 24, got in touch to say homeownership feels impossible and is "depressing".

She and her partner Jacob, 24 have two children and say thinking about where they are going to live is a "constant stress".

In 2023, they were evicted when their landlord wanted to sell the flat they were living in. They are now temporarily renting from a family member but would like their own home.

"All we want is for [our children] to have what we had when we were little, the security of a family home," says Lily.

Lily and Jacob say there are new homes being built in the area, but they aren't affordable for families like hers.

To try to save for a deposit, Jacob quit his job in a school and began working nights in a warehouse but he says he doesn't think there's "a chance in hell" of saving the £25,000 to £30,000 he says they would need to put down on a property.

The family live in the Gloucestershire town of Lydney.

BBC analysis of official data shows that areas in the South West delivered an average of about 23,000 new homes per year in the last three years.

Government targets suggest they are going to have to increase that amount by almost three-quarters, to 40,000 a year. Some recent local plans have been refused or faced opposition.

It's many of the London boroughs that face the most significant challenges. Kensington and Chelsea delivered just 245 homes last year. The authority's target is more than 20 times that; more than 5,000 homes per year.

Zach Murphy looks straight at the camera. He is wearing a grey T-shirt and has short black hair.
Zach has moved back in with his parents to try to save money

Zach Murphy, 25, lives at home with his parents in the borough. He says there's little hope of getting on the housing ladder in London.

He moved back into his parents' home while studying for his Masters in environmental science.

"The whole reason why I did my Masters was to get a higher paid job. You need that to set yourself up better. If you want to have a family - you need a house."

Zach has been on the rental ladder before, sharing a home with two friends - each of them paying £1,000 per month. The high rent and cost of living left him with little to save.

BBC analysis has found some outliers in the data. Salford has built more homes in recent years than the government expectation.

Labour's mayor of the city, Paul Dennett, says most have been high-rise apartments in the city centre and not enough of them have been for those on low incomes.

"The market itself isn't delivering the level of truly affordable housing. It really isn't."

Salford currently has 5,000 households in temporary accommodation. The mayor has committed to building 600 council homes for rent during his five-year term.

Indeed, the council has set up its own business called Derive to build homes that will be for rent only. Tenants won't be able to buy them.

"Since 1980 we've lost over 10,000 homes under right to buy here just in the city of Salford," Mr Dennett says.

He believes the country needs to get back to councils building homes again rather than relying on the private sector.

He tells us he doesn't have a problem with the government setting targets - if authorities are delivering "truly affordable housing".

"We have inherited the worst housing crisis in living memory," says a spokesperson for the ministry for housing, communities and local government.

"This is why all areas must play their part to deliver 1.5 million homes."

The government says it has unveiled sweeping changes to the planning system and vowed to override "blockers" standing in the way of building the new homes.

Yet for families like Sam and Jason and Lily and Jacob, owning a home or even renting in the private sector, still feels like an unattainable dream.

Additional reporting by Jade Thompson

About the data

Annual data on new homes for England comes from the government's "net additional dwellings" statistics.

These figures are estimates of changes in the total number of homes in each area, taking account of new build homes and existing building conversions, minus any demolitions.

The targets are the government's new "local housing need" calculations, released following a public consultation.

Planning statistics are taken from quarterly data and combine applications decided for "minor" housing developments (fewer than 10 homes) and "major" schemes (10 homes or more).

The planning data for England is at local authority level. Applications decided by special authorities, such as those in charge of national parks, are not included.

We have included the latest data on new housebuilding "completions" by local authority area for Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, but the 1.5 million homes target applies only in England.

Interactive tool developed by Allison Shultes, Scott Jarvis, Steven Connor and Daniel Wainwright

Design by Charlie Colbourne and testing by Preeti Vaghela

尹锡悦“负隅顽抗”的最后防线:韩国总统警卫处

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尹锡悦“负隅顽抗”的最后防线:韩国总统警卫处

CHOE SANG-HUN
已停职的韩国总统尹锡悦的首尔官邸的安保人员。尹锡悦在上个月短暂宣布戒严令后被弹劾。
已停职的韩国总统尹锡悦的首尔官邸的安保人员。尹锡悦在上个月短暂宣布戒严令后被弹劾。 Chang W. Lee/The New York Times
韩国总统警卫处是一个负责保护总统的机构,以“安全稳定的国家治理的最后堡垒”为傲。现在,它正处于韩国数十年来最大政治混乱的中心,充当着防止刑事调查人员以叛乱罪拘留总统尹锡悦的最后一道防线。
自从上个月因宣布短暂的戒严令而遭到弹劾以来,尹锡悦一直躲藏在首尔市中心一个有山的园区里,现在已经被巴士、铁丝网和总统保镖组成的路障所包围。他发誓要“战斗到底”,重回总统宝座。但根据调查,大多数韩国人希望他下台并被逮捕,周二一家法院又向调查人员签发了一张拘留他的判令。
他们与尹锡悦之间的唯一障碍就是总统警卫处(简称PSS),该机构上周五阻止了第一次的逮捕尝试。当100名刑事调查员和警察出现在尹锡悦住所时,警卫处以二比一的人数优势将他们挡在门外,并质疑法院签发的文件是否合法。在长达五个半小时的对峙中,双方你来我往,最后调查人员放弃了拘留尹锡悦的努力。
与美国的特勤局一样,PSS也负责保护现任和前任总统、候任总统以及来访的国家元首。PSS于1963年在朴正熙的独裁统治时期成立,曾是政府最强大的机构之一,军事强人依靠其忠诚来躲避暗杀。近几十年来,随着韩国民主化进程推进,PSS在很大程度上隐退到了幕后。但在尹锡悦的领导下,它开始引来公众不满的目光,因为它的特工曾在公开活动中拖走抗议者。
广告
尹锡悦任命他最忠实的盟友金龙显担任他的第一任安保负责人,后来将他提拔为国防部长。尹锡悦被弹劾后被停职,韩国目前由代理总统管理,但由于尹锡悦仍是唯一的当选领导人,因此PSS仍要保护他。
PSS警告称,如果调查人员再次试图拘留尹锡悦,可能会发生冲突。该部门包括数百名训练有素的保镖和反恐专家,另有警察和军队特遣力量的支持。
周三,大巴车堵住了尹锡悦官邸的入口。
周三,大巴车堵住了尹锡悦官邸的入口。 Chang W. Lee/The New York Times
警方已命令PSS负责人朴锺俊以妨碍司法公正的潜在罪名出庭接受讯问,但他至今未理会这一命令。警方威胁称,如果朴锺俊继续无视传唤,将申请拘捕令对其进行拘留。
“我们不应该让民众看到政府机构发生冲突的不幸场面,”朴锺俊说。
希望逮捕尹锡悦的韩国民众对他拒绝合作表示愤怒。主要反对党民主党的院内代表朴赞大称尹锡悦为懦夫,因为他躲在总统警卫的后面,试图“煽动内战和流血”。
“总统警卫处已经变成了尹锡悦的私人民兵组织,”首尔周边人口众多的省份京畿道的律师协会主席、律师郑智永(音)说。他还表示,通过拒绝接受法院签发的判令,总统警卫处“将自己凌驾于司法部门之上”。自从尹锡悦试图实施戒严令以来,韩国就陷入了混乱状态,这次争端更是雪上加霜。多个政府机构正以叛乱罪对尹锡悦进行调查。
警察和军队被夹在中间,对峙双方都在要求他们提供帮助。在尹锡悦被弹劾后,关于谁可以调查谁、谁必须服从谁的命令等问题的法律纠纷不断,使这一切变得更加复杂。
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尹锡悦面临双轨调查:一是政治调查,二是刑事调查。第一项调查由宪法法院负责,该法院将于下周开始听证,以决定是正式解除还是恢复总统职务。第二项是史无前例的刑事调查,官员们第一次试图拘留仍在任的总统。
调查人员希望质询尹锡悦,以确定他在命令军队占领国会和围捕政治反对派时是否犯有叛乱罪。
尹锡悦和他的律师称,他宣布戒严是合法使用总统权力来制服肆意妄为的反对派,因为后者阻碍了他的政治议程。他们对寻求逮捕他的人提出了一系列法律挑战。
本周三,尹锡悦的律师尹甲根重申,总统不会接受拘留令,但他表示,如果法院签发正式和适当的逮捕令,总统会自首,因为他不想让国家的“冲突、混乱和分裂”升级。
在过去,政治敏感的刑事案件通常是由政府的检察官负责的。
2019年,尹锡悦(左)与时任韩国总统文在寅(右)。文在寅于2020年成立了高级公职人员犯罪调查处。
2019年,尹锡悦(左)与时任韩国总统文在寅(右)。文在寅于2020年成立了高级公职人员犯罪调查处。 Yonhap/EPA, via Shutterstock
但尹锡悦的自由派前任文在寅总统于2020年成立了高级公职人员犯罪调查处(简称公调处),并剥夺了检察官的部分调查权。但新机构的职责从未明确界定,资源也较少。检察官逮捕了许多与尹锡悦的戒严令有关的关键人物,包括军队将领和前PSS处长金龙显,后者在戒严事宜上与尹锡悦密切合作。
公调处认为叛乱案属于其管辖范围,因此与警方联手进行联合调查,以获得更多支持。但该处资源非常有限,在上周五拘留尹锡悦的行动中只能调动20名官员。
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即使有80名警察的支持,他们也无法通过总统警卫处的阻拦,后者调集了200名特工和士兵,互挽手臂组成人墙。
因这次尴尬的失败而受挫的公调处和警方正在重新组织力量。他们表示,如果再次试图拘留尹锡悦,他们会派出更多人力。一些人担心,如果双方都不退让,将会发生暴力冲突。
“我们将做好充分准备,争取在第二次尝试中实现目标,”公调处首席检察官吴东运周二在议会听证会上表示。
一些反对党议员正在推动议案以解散总统警卫处,并用警方的安保特勤取而代之。
在他们看来,警卫处是几十年前的遗物,当时韩国的军事独裁者惧怕朝鲜刺客和内部敌人,将警卫人员当作私人保镖使用,并任命他们最信任的盟友担任长官。(1979年,军人独裁者朴正熙在一次酒会上被其中央情报部部长金载奎暗杀,当时金载奎首先射杀了朴正熙的首席保镖车智澈,后者的影响力超过了金载奎的情报机构)。
“总统警卫处是帝国总统制的象征,是我们过去专制制度的遗产,”参与起草了一项解散总统警卫处法案的反对党议员申章植(音)说。“我们需要阻止它凌驾于法律之上,像一个拥有绝对权力的机构一样行事。”
周三上午,尹锡悦官邸的大院里。总统警卫处警告,如果调查人员再次试图拘留尹锡悦,可能会发生冲突。
周三上午,尹锡悦官邸的大院里。总统警卫处警告,如果调查人员再次试图拘留尹锡悦,可能会发生冲突。 Chang W. Lee/The New York Times

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台灣調查局將擴大調查台灣民眾領中國身分證


2025-01-09T06:25:41.656Z
台灣民眾領有中國居民身分證近期引發熱議

(德國之聲中文網)台灣民眾持有「中國身分證」近日引起熱烈討論,台灣調查局週三(8日)表示,民眾領取中國居民身分證除了違反法令外,也涉及國家認同等國安問題,經調查後發現確實有部分民眾領有「中國居民身分證」或「居民戶口簿」,將依法函送台灣內政部進一步調查。

中國身分證為何突然引發討論?

台灣網紅八炯日前在社群平台上發布中國統戰紀錄片,揭露中國政府以補助和貸款等方式,吸引台灣民眾申辦「中國居民身份證」。八炯宣稱當前約有20萬名台灣人持有中國身分證,但台灣並未證實此數據。

《金融時報》6日引述台灣官員、遊客和商人說法報導,指近期有前往中國的台灣人被要求填寫「三證」(中國居住證、銀行帳戶和當地手機號碼)申請表。不少特殊活動上也有辦理相關證件的櫃檯,包括去年6月在中國舉行的黃埔軍校百年慶典上,就有台灣的退役軍人被安排辦理中國身份證,兩岸論壇上也有申請「三證」的服務。

一名不具名台灣官員稱,台方擔心越來越多台灣人取得中國身分證將影響管轄權,「如果一名持有中國身份證的台灣人參與了這裡(台灣)的事件,中國可以說他們需要處理這個問題,因為這個人是他們的公民,並干涉我們的內政」。

台灣人可同時持有兩岸身分證?

台灣調查局指出,台灣民眾若在中國設有戶籍、領用「中國護照」或持有「中國身份證」,依兩岸人民關係條例規定,將註銷其在台灣的戶籍、喪失在台灣選舉、罷免等公民權,以及健保、長照資格等相關權利。

此外,中國政府除了可對持有中國身分證的民眾在台灣的收入徵稅外,也可隨時對其採取法律追訴。

中國外交部及國台辦暫未對此回應。

(金融時報、中央社)

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Hollywood Hills evacuated as LA fire spreads

Reuters A firefighter tackling a fire in the Palisades area of Los Angeles. They sit in the foreground with their back to the camera holding a hose. A stream of water is going from the hose towards a tire in the roof of a building in the background. Reuters

A mandatory evacuation order has been issued in the Hollywood Hills following the spread of the wildfires raging across Los Angeles.

The Los Angeles Fire Department (LAFD) said there was an "immediate threat to life" in the area and that it was being legally closed to the public.

At least five fires are currently active across Los Angeles, with five people confirmed to have been killed.

More than 130,000 people have already had to evacuate, and the homes of a number of celebrities - including Paris Hilton and Billy Crystal - have been destroyed.

The first fire began on Tuesday in the Pacific Palisades neighbourhood, near Malibu, with others subsequently breaking out across the north of the city.

As of 20:15 local time (04:00 GMT), four fires in the areas of the Palisades, Pasadena, Sylmar, and the Hollywood Hills covered more than 27,000 acres (42 sq miles; 109 sq km) and were 0% contained, according to the LAFD.

One fire in the Acton area had been partially contained, while two others had been completely contained.

The fire in the Hollywood Hills - a residential neighbourhood overlooking the historic Hollywood area of the city - began at around 18:00 local time on Wednesday.

Less than two hours later, much of the heart of Hollywood was blanketed with thick smoke, and the tops of the palm trees that line its streets were barely visible.

People used sweatshirts to cover their faces to help them breathe, while others - clearly surprised by the fire - wore only pyjamas. Many carried bags and suitcases, talking on their phones as they made plans for where to go.

Many of the roads near the fire - including Hollywood Boulevard, home to the Hollywood Walk of Fame - were gridlocked with traffic. Some people even drove on the wrong side of the road as they tried to get out of the area.

Resident Anna Waldman told the BBC she had set out to walk her dog but smelled smoke almost instantly when she went outside.

She went back inside and, looking out her back windows, saw fire, and watched as it moved quickly thought the Hollywood Hills, coming to within a block of her home.

She packed what she could: food, clothes, blankets, food for her three small dogs.

"I can't believe this," she said in exhaustion, pulling down her face mask.

Makayla Jackson, 26, and her two-year-old son, Ramari, had been evacuated from a homeless shelter that was in danger of burning, and now stood on the street waiting for a ride to a high school where help was being offered to people.

"They just told us to get out and go," she said.

Hollywood resident Anna Waldman stands in a car park after wildfires forced her to leave her home. She has a trolley of belongings and a buggy in which is sat her three small white dogs. She is wearing glasses and a face mask and is doing a peace sign at the camera.
Anna Waldman told the BBC she had had to flee her home with her three dogs

Firefighters tackling the blazes have experienced water shortages and have had to resort to taking water from swimming pools and ponds.

Officials said three separate one-million-gallon tanks were full before the fires began, but that the elevation of the fires meant water couldn't move quickly enough to hydrants in the affeted areas.

The city also doesn't typically see fires of this magnitude - the Palisades blaze is already the most destructive in its history - and its systems are designed for urban use, not fighting wildfires.

Chinese urged to trade in kitchen gadgets

Getty Images Customer selects home appliances as a poster promoting trade-in subsidy policy is seen at a market in China.Getty Images
China has faced several economic challenges in recent years

The Chinese government has expanded a list of products that people can trade in to get a discount of as much as 20% on new goods as the country tries to boost its flagging economy.

The list now includes items like microwave ovens, dishwashers, rice cookers and water purifiers.

State-backed trade-in schemes already covered televisions, phones, tablets and smart watches as well as electric and hybrid vehicles.

The world's second largest economy has been facing several challenges, including weak consumer demand and a deepening property crisis.

On Wednesday, officials said 81 billion yuan (£8.9bn; $11bn) had been earmarked this year for the consumer goods trade-in scheme.

China's top economic planning body has said the schemes, which were launched in March, have already produced "visible effects".

According to the country's Ministry of Commerce, the policies have boosted sales of big items items such as home appliances and cars.

But some economists have questioned whether the schemes will be enough to significantly increase consumer consumption.

"The approach has had mixed success so far," said Harry Murphy Cruise, head of China economics at Moody's Analytics.

"While it has supported sales of some listed goods, such as cars and appliances, it hasn't driven an overall uptick in spending."

In recent months, China has been pushing ahead with more measures to support its domestic economy as the country's exporters face growing challenges.

In December, a key meeting of China's leaders stressed the need for "vigorous" efforts to boost consumer spending.

That came as President-elect Donald Trump, who is due to return to the White House this month, threatened to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese-made products.

China is due to announce its 2024 economic growth figures next week, which Beijing has said it expects will be around 5%.

H-1B: Visa row under Trump fuels anxiety for Indian dreamers

AFP President-elect Donald Trump (L) and Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk watch a fight during UFC 309 at Madison Square Garden in New York, on November 16, 2024.AFP
Donald Trump and Elon Musk have defended the visa programme

Ashish Chauhan dreams of pursuing an MBA at an American university next year - a goal he describes as being "stamped in his brain".

The 29-year-old finance professional from India (whose name has been changed on request) hopes to eventually work in the US, but says he now feels conflicted amid an immigration row sparked by President-elect Donald Trump's supporters over a long-standing US visa programme.

The H-1B visa programme, which brings skilled foreign workers to the US, faces criticism for undercutting American workers but is praised for attracting global talent. The president-elect, once a critic, now supports the 34-year-old programme, while tech billionaire Elon Musk defends it as key to securing top engineering talent.

Indian nationals like Mr Chauhan dominate the programme, receiving 72% of H-1B visas, followed by 12% for Chinese citizens. The majority of H-1B visa holders worked in science, technology, engineering and mathematics, with 65% in computer-related jobs, in 2023. Their median annual salary was $118,000 (£94,000).

Concerns over H-1B visas tie into broader immigration debates.

A Pew Research report shows that US immigration rose by 1.6 million in 2023, the largest increase in more than 20 years. Immigrants now comprise over 14% of the population - the highest since 1910. Indians are the second-largest immigrant group - after Mexicans - in the US. Many Americans fear this surge in immigration could harm job prospects or hinder assimilation.

India has also surpassed China as the leading source of international students, with a record 331,602 Indian students in the US in 2023-2024, according to the latest Open Doors Report on International Educational Exchange. Most rely on loans, and any visa freeze could potentially devastate family finances.

"My worry is that this [resistance to H-1B visas] could also spark animosity towards the Indians living there. But I can't park my ambitions, put my life on hold and wait for the volatility to subside because it's been like this for years now," Mr Chauhan says.

Efforts to restrict the H-1B programme peaked under Trump's first term, when he signed a 2017 order increasing application scrutiny and fraud detection. Rejection rates soared to 24% in 2018, compared to 5-8% under President Barack Obama and 2-4% under President Joe Biden. The total number of approved H-1B applicants under Biden remained similar to Trump's first term.

"The first Trump administration tightened H-1B visas by increasing denial rates and slowing processing times, making it harder for people to get visas in time. It is unclear whether that will happen again in the second Trump administration," Stephen Yale-Loehr, an immigration scholar at Cornell Law School, told the BBC.

"Some people like Elon Musk want to preserve the H-1B visas, while other officials in the new administration want to restrict all immigration, including H-1Bs. It is too early to tell which side will prevail."

Indians have a long relationship with the H-1B visa. The programme is also the reason for the "rise of Indian-Americans into the highest educated and highest earning group, immigrant or native in the US", say the authors of The Other One Percent, a study on Indians in America.

US-based researchers Sanjoy Chakravorty, Devesh Kapur and Nirvikar Singh noted that new Indian immigrants spoke different languages and lived in different areas than earlier arrivals. Hindi, Tamil and Telugu speakers grew in number, and Indian-American communities shifted from New York and Michigan to larger clusters in California and New Jersey. The skilled visa programme helped create a "new map of Indian-Americans".

Atal Agarwal
Atal Agarwal moved back to India from the US because he had reached a 'dead end' on an H-1B visa

The biggest draw of H-1B visas is the opportunity to earn significantly higher salaries, according to Mr Chauhan. The US offers higher pay, and for someone who is the first in their family to achieve professional qualifications, earning that much can be life-changing. "The fascination with H-1Bs is directly tied to the wage gap between India and the US for the same engineering roles," he says.

But not everybody is happy with the programme. For many, the H-1B programme is an aspirational pathway for permanent residency or a US green card. While H-1B itself is a temporary work visa, it allows visa holders to live and work in the US for up to six years. During this time, many H-1B holders apply for a green card through employment-based immigration categories, typically sponsored by their employers. This takes time.

More than a million Indians, including dependents, are currently waiting in employment-based green card categories. "Getting a green card means signing up for an endless wait for 20-30 years," says Atal Agarwal, who runs a firm in India that uses AI to help find visa options globally for education and jobs.

Mr Agarwal moved to the US after graduating in 2017 and worked at a software company for a few years. He says getting the H-1B visa was fairly straightforward, but then it seemed he had "reached a dead end". He returned to India.

"It's an unstable situation. Your employer has to sponsor you and since the pathway to a green card is so long, you are basically tied to them. If you lose your job, you only get 60 days to find a new one. Every person who is going on merit to the US should have a pathway to a green card within three to five years."

This could be one reason that the visa programme has got tied up with immigration. "H-1B is a high-skilled, worker mobility visa. It is not an immigration visa. But it gets clubbed with immigration and illegal immigration and becomes a sensitive issue," Shivendra Singh, vice president of global trade development at Nasscom, the Indian technology industry trade group, told the BBC.

A BBC graphic that shows five countries with most H-1B visa approvals

Many in the US believe the H-1B visa programme is flawed. They cite widespread fraud and abuse, especially by major Indian IT firms which are top recipients of these visas. In October, a US court found Cognizant guilty of discriminating against over 2,000 non-Indian employees between 2013 and 2022, though the company plans to appeal. Last week, Farah Stockman of The New York Times wrote that "for more than a decade, Americans working in the tech industry have been systematically laid off and replaced by cheaper H-1B visa holders".

Mr Chowdhury of Nasscom argues that H-1B visa workers are not underpaid, with their median wages more than double the US median. Companies also invest tens of thousands of dollars in legal and government fees for these costly visas.

Also, it has not been a one-way traffic: Indian tech giants have hired and supported nearly 600,000 American workers and spent over a billion dollars on upskilling nearly three million students across 130 US colleges, according to Mr Singh. The Indian tech industry has prioritised US worker hiring and they bring employees on H-1B visas only when they are unable to find locals with the skills they need, he said.

India is working to ensure the H-1B visa programme remains secure as Trump prepares to take office later this month. "Our countries share a strong and growing economic and technological partnership, and the mobility of skilled professionals is a vital component of this relationship," India's foreign ministry spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal told journalists last week.

So what should students aspiring for jobs in the US do? "Any immigration changes in the US will take time to implement. Students should pick the best college for them, wherever that may be. With good immigration counsel, they will be able to figure out what to do," says Mr Yale-Loehr.

For now, despite the political turbulence in the US, Indian interest in H-1B visas remains steadfast, with students resolute in pursuing the American dream.

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