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因中东冲突等因素影响 上海出口集装箱运价上周回跌7%

因运力增加和中东冲突的影响,上海出口集装箱运价上周回跌7%,结束连续五周涨势。

汇丰全球研究(HSBC Global Research)星期一(6月16日)发布报告指出,在运力上升之时需求放缓,上海出口集装箱运价指数(SCFI)上周因此下跌7%,主要是上海到美西航线运价指数下跌27%的结果。

报告指出,上海出口集装箱运价指数上周下跌152.11点,报2088.24点,周跌幅为6.79%,在这之前它已连涨五周。上海到美西航线运价周跌幅26.5%(从每标准箱5606美元跌至4120美元),上海到美东航线运价周跌幅2.8%(从6939美元跌至6745美元),上海到地中海航线运价周跌幅3.4%(从3302美元跌至3190美元)。不过,上海到欧洲航线运价周涨幅10.6%(从1667美元涨至1844美元),上海到南美航线运价周涨幅19.3%(从3959美元涨至4724美元),因为运力继续紧张。

它表示,由于运力将超过需求,运费可能面对进一步压力。“6月13日,以色列和伊朗之间的冲突加剧。我们认为,中东紧张局势升级意味着短期内(船只)重返红海的可能性较小。然而,这可能无法缓解人们对太平洋地区运力大幅扩张的担忧。”

报告指出,根据航运咨询公司Linerlytica,通往美国西海岸的西南航线运力增长22%,承运商本周纷纷下调运价,尤其是美西航线。另一方面,美国货运代理公司飞协博(FlexPort)则指出,自6月初以来,新订单量有所放缓。美国零售业联合会(National Retail Federation)仍预期5月至8月美国箱运进口同比下跌,而且之后的今年其余时间进口量将大跌。

习近平见哈萨克斯坦总统:中哈要践行真正的多边主义

中国国家主席习近平与哈萨克斯坦总统托卡耶夫会面时说,面对变乱交织的国际形势,中哈要践行真正的多边主义,旗帜鲜明维护广大发展中国家共同利益。

据新华社报道,习近平星期一(6月16日)与托卡耶夫在阿斯塔纳总统府举行会谈时说,中哈都处在各自发展振兴的关键阶段,两国要齐心协力推进全方位合作。一要以高水平战略互信引领双边关系发展,在涉及彼此核心利益和重大关切问题上继续坚定相互支持,推进发展战略对接,在乱云飞渡中做彼此坚强的后盾,在发展振兴中做彼此有益的助力。

他续指,二要以高质量共建“一带一路”促进两国合作提质升级,巩固贸易、投资、能源等传统合作优势,推进跨境铁路项目建设和口岸基础设施改造,提升互联互通水平,拓展高新技术合作,推动绿色可持续发展。

习近平说,三要以全方位安全合作维护两国和平安宁,扩大执法安全和防务交流,共同打击“三股势力”,深化应急管理和防灾减灾合作。四要以多元化人文交流夯实中哈友好根基,办好哈萨克斯坦“中国旅游年”,鼓励青年、媒体、智库、地方加强交流。

他指出,面对变乱交织的国际形势,中哈双方要坚定维护以联合国为核心的国际体系和以国际法为基础的国际秩序,践行真正的多边主义,旗帜鲜明维护广大发展中国家共同利益。

习近平还提到,作为上海合作组织轮值主席国,中国愿同各成员国一道,以今年天津峰会为契机,做实做强上海合作组织,展现新发展、新突破、新气象。

会谈后,两国元首共同见证双方交换10余份双边合作文件,涵盖贸易、投资、科技、海关、旅游、媒体等领域。

习近平星期一抵达哈萨克斯坦出席中国—中亚峰会。由于这次峰会举行时间与七国集团(G7)峰会重叠,有分析认为,此行对外释放与西方较劲的信号,北京或借深化与中亚国家合作,回应美国主导的围堵与制裁。

中国检察机关去年受理审查逮捕逾6万未成年犯罪嫌疑人

中国检察机关公布的数据显示,受理审查逮捕未成年犯罪嫌疑人6万5198人,同比下降1.1%。

综合澎湃新闻和《扬子晚报》报道,中国最高人民检察院星期一(6月16日)发布《未成年人检察工作白皮书(2024)》。

白皮书显示,2024年,最高检依法核准追诉初中生杀害同学埋尸案等低龄未成年人严重暴力犯罪34人。全国检察机关受理审查逮捕未成年犯罪嫌疑人6万5198人,同比下降1.1%,批准逮捕3万4329人,同比上升27.8%。

根据白皮书,受理审查起诉未成年人犯罪人数增幅放缓,受理审查起诉10万1526人,同比上升4.3%,提起公诉5万6877人,同比上升46%。办理的未成年人犯罪案件中,盗窃罪、诈骗罪、聚众斗殴罪、强奸罪、抢劫罪五类犯罪人数合计占受理审查起诉未成年人犯罪总数的69.4%。

白皮书透露,去年全国检察机关共批准逮捕侵害未成年人犯罪5万7156人,提起公诉7万4476人,同比分别上升7.3%、11%。从犯罪类型来看,强奸罪,猥亵儿童罪,抢劫罪,寻衅滋事罪,强制猥亵、侮辱罪五类犯罪人数合计占起诉侵害未成年人犯罪总数的67%。

此外,成年人利用电信网络侵害未成年人犯罪呈现较快上升趋势。去年,全国检察机关起诉成年人利用电信网络实施侵害未成年人犯罪3347人,同比上升14.1%,在成年人侵害未成年人犯罪中的占比从2023年的6.9%上升至2024年的7.3%。

5月访港旅客408万人次 同比增20%

香港官方数据显示,今年5月到访香港的旅客人次达408万,同比增长20%。

综合《明报》《大公报》报道,香港旅游发展局星期一(6月16日)公布,今年5月,在五一黄金周、大型演唱会及会议展览等活动的带动下,访港旅客达408万人次,较去年同期增长20%。其中,大陆旅客达312万人次,占整体逾七成。

数据还显示,今年前五个月累计访港旅客超过2000万人次,同比增长12%。其中,大陆旅客约1520万人次,同比增长10%。

此外,非大陆市场也在持续增长,今年前五个月共录得约500万人次,同比增长18%。台湾、日本、韩国、印尼及菲律宾等市场的旅客人次同比增长超过25%,澳洲旅客则录得逾35%的升幅。

下午察:罗帅宇之死余波难平

引爆中国网络舆论的湖南实习医生罗帅宇坠亡案,在官方发布长篇通报认定自杀,并全盘否认医院买卖器官、死者因举报而遭迫害等家属指控后,依然余波未平。

年仅27岁的湖南中南大学湘雅二医院实习医生罗帅宇,去年5月8日在住宿楼坠亡后被警方排除他杀,但家属却称在其电脑中发现1281页医疗腐败举报材料,怀疑死因另有隐情。

罗帅宇父母此后便开始在中国社媒发声寻求外界关注,并将儿子坠亡和此前轰动中国网络的“恶魔医生”刘翔峰事件挂钩,终于让这起一年多前发生的憾事在上周引爆中国舆论场。

中国警方去年破获电诈案29.4万起

中国公安部公布,去年共破获电信网络诈骗案件29.4万起,并称新版防范电信网络诈骗宣传手册即将发布。

综合中新社和澎湃新闻报道,中共中央宣传部、中国公安部星期一(6月16日)联合启动“全民反诈在行动”集中宣传月活动,进一步加大反诈宣传力度。

公安部介绍,此次集中宣传月活动的主题是“反诈是门必修课,筑牢防线守好责”。根据活动安排,各地各部门将在全国范围内组织开展防范电信网络诈骗犯罪“进社区、进农村、进家庭、进学校、进企业”的“五进”活动,着力构建立足社区、覆盖全社会的反诈宣传体系。

为增强反诈宣传针对性,公安部联合中央广播电视总台共同推出《全民反诈公开课》普法宣传节目,通过剖析真实案例,全面普及反诈领域相关知识,揭批最新电诈犯罪手法,切实提升广大群众防范意识和反诈能力水平。

公安部刑侦局也将在此期间会同国家反诈中心发布《2025版防范电信网络诈骗宣传手册》;组织第三届全国反诈短视频大赛,针对易受骗群体开展有针对性的防范宣传;会同相关行业主管部门督促金融机构、电信业务经营者、互联网服务提供者对本行业从业人员及服务对象深入开展反诈宣传。

公安部指出,全国公安机关深入开展“断卡”“断流”“拔钉”“斩链”等专项行动,以严厉打击为境外诈骗集团提供推广引流、转账洗钱、技术开发、组织偷渡等非法服务的涉诈黑灰产犯罪团伙。

公安部还提到,2024年共破获电信网络诈骗案件29.4万起,抓获了一大批违法犯罪嫌疑人,其中诈骗集团幕后“金主”、头目和骨干570余名。

公安部说,去年以来,国家反诈中心全力推进预警劝阻和技术反制工作,累计下发资金预警指令183.8万条,会同相关部门拦截诈骗电话46.9亿次、短信33.7亿条,处置涉案域名网址1181万个,紧急拦截涉案资金3151亿元(人民币,562亿新元)。

Trump Will Not Sign G7 Statement on Iran and Israel, Official Says

A White House official said President Trump had decided not to sign onto a statement drafted for Group of 7 allies that urges restraint from both Israel and Iran, which have been trading attacks for days.

© Kenny Holston/The New York Times

From left, Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada, President Trump and Prime Minister Keir Starmer of Britain on Monday at the G7 summit in Kananaskis, Alberta.

'Don't let beautiful Tehran become Gaza': Iranians tell of shock and confusion

Getty Images Tehran's skyline at night on Sunday 15 June, with three large plumes of smoke rising above the city and two large fires blazing belowGetty Images
Israel continued to strike Iran's capital Tehran on Sunday night

Long queues at petrol stations and bakeries. Long lines of cars trying to escape the capital. And long, frightening nights.

Residents of Tehran - still shocked by Israel's sudden attack on Iran in the early hours of Friday morning - speak of fear and confusion, a feeling of helplessness and conflicting emotions.

"We haven't slept for nights," a 21-year-old music student told me over an encrypted social media app.

"Everyone is leaving but I'm not. My dad says it's more honourable to die in your own house than to run away."

'Donya' - she doesn't want to reveal her real name - is one of many Iranians now caught in a war between a regime she loathes and Israel, whose destructive power in Gaza she has witnessed on screen from afar.

"I really don't want my beautiful Tehran to turn into Gaza," she said.

As for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's call on Iranians to rise up against their clerical leadership, she has a firm response.

"We don't want Israel to save us. No foreign country ever cared for Iran," she said. "We also don't want the Islamic Republic."

Another woman said that at first she had felt a "strange excitement" to see Israel kill Iranian military officials so powerful that she thought they would live for ever.

"Suddenly that image of power was shattered," she told BBC Persian.

"But from the second day, when I heard that regular people - people I didn't know, people like me - had also been killed, I started to feel sorrow, fear and sadness."

And she said her sadness turned to anger when she heard that the South Pars gas field had been hit, fearing that Israel was trying to turn Iran "into ruins".

For the first time in her life, she said, she has started to prepare for the idea of dying.

More than 220 people - many of them women and children - have been killed since Friday, according to the Iranian authorities.

Israeli authorities say Iranian missiles have killed at least 24 people in Israel over the same period.

Getty Images Several lanes stuck in a traffic jam along a stretch of highway in Tehran at night, on 15 JuneGetty Images
Long queues of traffic stretched along Tehran's roads as people tried to leave the city

Unlike in Israel, there are no warnings of imminent attacks in Iran, and no shelters to run to.

Even some supporters of the regime are reported to be upset that its much-vaunted defences have been so thoroughly exposed.

And, among many Iranians, distrust in the authorities runs deep.

Donya used to defy the regime and its strict dress code by going out with her hair uncovered.

Now, with her university exams postponed until next week, she's staying at home.

"I get so terrified at night," she said. "I take some pills to help me relax and try to sleep."

The Iranian government has suggested that people shelter in mosques and metro stations.

But that is hard, when the explosions seem to come out of nowhere.

"Tehran is a big city and yet every neighbourhood has been somehow affected by the damage," another young woman told BBC Persian.

"For now, all we do is check the news every hour and call the friends and relatives whose neighbourhood has been hit to make sure they are still alive."

She and her family have now left their home to stay in an area where there are no known government buildings.

But you never know, in a country like Iran, who may be living next to you.

The Israeli assault has divided Iranians, she said, with some celebrating the regime's losses, while others are angry at those cheering Israel on.

Many Iranians keep changing their minds about what they think. Divisions are bitter, even among some families.

"The situation feels like the first hours after the Titanic hit the iceberg," the woman said.

"Some people were trying to escape, some were saying it wasn't a big deal, and others kept dancing."

She has always protested against Iran's clerical rulers, she told the BBC, but sees what Netanyahu is doing to her country as "inexcusable".

"Everyone's life, whether they supported the attacks or not, has been changed forever.

"Most Iranians, even those who oppose the government, have now realised that freedom and human rights don't come from Israeli bombs falling on cities where defenceless civilians live."

She added: "Most of us are scared and worried about what's coming next. We've packed bags with first aid supplies, food, and water, just in case things get worse."

Israel says the Iranian armed forces have deliberately placed their command centres and weapons inside civilian buildings and areas.

Members of Iran's large diaspora are also worried.

"It's hard to convey what it's like to be an Iranian right now," says Dorreh Khatibi-Hill, a Leeds-based women's rights activist and researcher who is in touch with family, friends and other anti-regime activists.

"You're happy that members of the regime - who have been torturing and murdering people - are being taken out.

"But we know that civilians are dying. This is a devastating humanitarian disaster."

And Iranians are not being given accurate information on what is happening, she says.

"The main person in Iran - the supreme leader - is still alive while Iranians are fleeing for their lives," she adds.

"No one wants Iran to turn into another Iraq, Syria or Afghanistan. None of us wants this war. We don't want the regime either."

Mike Lee Draws Outrage for Posts Blaming Minnesota Assassination on Far Left

The Republican senator from Utah suggested in social media posts that the killings were the work of “Marxists,” and mocked Minnesota’s Democratic governor. He later issued a more sober condemnation of the violence.

© Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times

Senator Mike Lee of Utah at the Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation hearing at the Capitol in Washington earlier this year.

Ethnicity of grooming gangs 'shied away from', Casey report says

Watch: Cooper says "words not enough" for victims of grooming gangs

The ethnicity of people involved in grooming gangs has been "shied away from" by authorities, according to a new report by Baroness Louise Casey.

The finding comes after the peer was tasked with producing an audit on the nature and scale of group-based child sexual abuse in England and Wales.

The report said ethnicity data is not recorded for two-thirds of grooming gang perpetrators, meaning it is not robust enough to support conclusions about offenders at a national level.

Home Secretary Yvette Cooper apologised to victims as she presented the findings to MPs and announced a new national inquiry into grooming gangs.

In the report, Baroness Casey said: "We as a society owe these women a debt.

"They should never have been allowed to have suffered the appalling abuse and violence they went through as children," she added.

On the question of ethnicity, the report said: "We found that the ethnicity of perpetrators is shied away from and is still not recorded for two-thirds of perpetrators, so we are unable to provide any accurate assessment from the nationally collected data".

However, it added that at a local level for three police forces - Greater Manchester, South Yorkshire and West Yorkshire - there was enough evidence to show a "disproportionate numbers of men from Asian ethnic backgrounds amongst suspects for group-based child sexual exploitation".

Cooper said: "Ignoring the issues, not examining and exposing them to the light, allows the criminality and depravity of a minority of men to be used to marginalise whole communities."

Lady Casey later said the data should be investigated as it was "only helping the bad people" not to give a full picture of the situation, adding: "You're doing a disservice to two sets of population, the Pakistani and Asian heritage community, and victims."

The report criticised the "failure" of the authorities to "understand" the nature and scale of the problem to date.

"If we'd got this right years ago - seeing these girls as children raped rather than 'wayward teenagers' or collaborators in their abuse, collecting ethnicity data, and acknowledging as a system that we did not do a good enough job - then I doubt we'd be in this place now," the report stated.

Cooper told the Commons the government would follow all 12 of the report's recommendations, including suggestions to:

  • Ensure adults who engage in penetrative sex with a child under 16 "face the most serious charge of rape" instead of lesser charges
  • Launch a new national criminal operation overseen by the National Crime Agency (NCA) to tackle grooming gangs and hold a national inquiry that co-ordinates targeted local investigations into abuse
  • Review the criminal convictions of victims of child sexual exploitation and quashing any convictions where the government finds victims were criminalised instead of protected
  • Make the collection of ethnicity and nationality data for all suspects in child sexual abuse and criminal exploitation cases mandatory
  • Commission research into the drivers for group-based child sexual exploitation, including the role of social media, cultural factors and group dynamics
  • Bring in more rigorous standards for the licensing and regulation of taxi drivers following cases of them being used to traffic victims

Cooper said: "To the victims and survivors of sexual exploitation and grooming gangs, on behalf of this and past governments, and the many public authorities who let you down, I want to reiterate an unequivocal apology for the unimaginable pain and suffering that you have suffered, and the failure of our country's institutions through decades to prevent that harm and keep you safe."

She added: "Baroness Casey's first recommendation is we must see children as children. She concludes too many grooming cases have been dropped or downgraded from rape to lesser charges because a 13 to 15-year-old is perceived to have been in love with or had consented to sex with the perpetrator."

The report is focused on "group-based child exploitation" by grooming gangs, a crime which is defined as involving "multiple perpetrators coercing, manipulating and deceiving children into sex, to create an illusion of consent".

Before the publication of the report, the Home Office confirmed that a nationwide policing operation to bring grooming gang members to justice would be led by the NCA.

According to the Home Office, the NCA will work in partnership with police forces to investigate cases that "were not progressed through the criminal justice system" in the past.

Downing Street has said the full national statutory inquiry into grooming gangs would look "specifically at how young girls were failed so badly by different agencies on a local level".

A national statutory inquiry is an investigation set up by the government to respond to events of major public concern - in this case grooming gangs - that has legal powers to compel witnesses to give evidence.

Family of Air India crash victims feel 'abandoned'

Family Handout Akeel Nanabawa and Hannaa Vorajee hold their daughter Sara at a celebration event. Akeel wears a grey top while Hanaa wears a terracota head scarf and gold top. Sara is dressed in pink and they stand in front of a floral displayFamily Handout
Akeel Nanabawa, Hannaa Vorajee and their four-year-old daughter Sara died in the crash

The family of three Britons who died in the Air India plane crash are calling on the UK government to provide more support in India.

Akeel Nanabawa, Hannaa Vorajee and Sara Nanabawa, aged four, were returning home to Gloucester when their plane ploughed into a residential area in Ahmedabad on Thursday.

Akeel's brother, Hamzah, said they have not received his body despite giving DNA and waiting three days. A family spokesperson added: "We're not asking for miracles – we're asking for presence, for compassion, for action. Right now, we feel utterly abandoned."

A Foreign Office spokesperson said there is an advice helpline and a support centre has been set up near the airport.

The plane was carrying 242 people when it crashed shortly after taking off from Ahmedabad airport, in western India, including 53 Britons.

The sole surviving passenger was Briton Vishwash Kumar Ramesh.

Mr Nanabawa said: "I need the UK government to come out by themselves, if they've given up all this big talk over in the UK, come out here and help."

He added there is no UK leadership in India, no medical team and no crisis professionals stationed at the hospital.

Hamzah Nanabawa being interviewed while sitting in a chair
Hamzah Nanabawa has been waiting days to receive the bodies of his relatives

"No one from UK has even reached out to me, my family, to my sister in law's family. Nobody has. So you're saying no one from the foreign office in the UK or here reached out to us at all, nobody," Mr Nanabawa said.

"They haven't done anything for us [or] what we wanted. You have to understand, this is the highest, highest incident in the UK's history of 53 lives, and we are now on day four."

He added: "All I want is you guys to come and help and help my brother, my sister in law, my niece and all the other 53 people that were on that plane.

"Come and help them, please. Because they are grieving. They are hurt. They haven't got anybody. They [haven't got any] structure, no structure at all."

UK air accident investigators are already in India and are assisting the Indian authorities, and UK forensic experts are there to support, a Foreign Office spokeswoman said.

She added: "Our staff continue to work around the clock in the UK and India to support the families and loved ones of all those impacted by the crash.

"We have set up a Reception Centre at the Ummed Hotel, near the Ahmedabad airport, and have a dedicated helpline to provide support and advice for the families and friends of British nationals."

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Nursery worker convicted of abusing 21 babies

Roksana Lecka answered "no comment" when pressed on the footage seen by police

A 22-year-old nursery worker has been convicted of abusing 21 babies, including kicking one little boy in the face and stepping on his shoulder.

Roksana Lecka, from Hounslow, west London, admitted seven counts of cruelty to a person under the age of 16 and was found guilty of another 14 by a jury at Kingston Crown Court, the Metropolitan Police said.

Her crimes were discovered in June last year after she was sent home for pinching a number of children and appearing "flustered" at the Riverside Nursery in Twickenham, south-west London, the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) said.

Solicitor Jemma Till from Irwin Mitchell said the families involved had been "traumatised".

Detectives from the Met Police went through CCTV from the nursery that showed her pinching and scratching children under their clothes on their arms, legs and stomachs.

Metropolitan Police Custody image of Roksana Lecka. She is looking directly at the camera wearing a woollen type cardigan.Metropolitan Police
Lecka admitted seven counts of cruelty and was found guilty of another 14

She pinched several children dozens of times in the course of one day, causing them to cry and flinch away from her, the CPS said.

In one incident she kicked a little boy in the face several times. She was also seen to push babies headfirst over cots and cover a toddler's mouth when he started to cry.

The Metropolitan Police said she had abused children at two nurseries between October 2023 and June 2024 - one of the counts related to Little Munchkins in Hounslow, with the remainder linked to the Riverside Nursery in Twickenham, which has since closed.

Det Sgt Geoff Boye said: "Footage showed Lecka carrying out multiple assaults on the children in her care which included repeatedly pinching and grabbing children, dropping babies into their cots and on one occasion, she delivered several kicks to a young boy to the face and stepped on his shoulder."

'Exceptional cruelty'

Lecka told police she smoked cannabis before her shifts, and at one point was seen vaping a metre away from a young baby.

Det Insp Sian Hutchings said: "These families left their children in Lecka's care, trusting her to protect their children as well as the other staff at the nurseries clearly did.

"The footage of her offences against defenceless children was disturbing.

"I would like to praise the strength of the victims' families who have had to sit in court and watch footage of the abuse which Lecka inflicted on their children."

Lecka worked at Riverside Nursery between January and June 2024, with a number of parents reporting unusual injuries and bruising in March and May that year.

Senior crown prosecutor Gemma Burns said Lecka had "shown exceptional cruelty" to the babies.

"No parent should have to fear leaving their child in the care of professionals, but the sheer scale of her abuse is staggering," she added.

She will be sentenced at Kingston Crown Court on 26 September.

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Russia and Ukraine fulfil deal to repatriate dead soldiers

EPA-EFE/Shutterstock Red Cross members in protective suits walk towards refrigerator lorries with the bodies of killed Ukrainian soldiers. Photo: 16 June 2025EPA-EFE/Shutterstock
Red Cross members in protective suits walk towards refrigerator lorries with the bodies of killed Ukrainian soldiers

Ukraine and Russia have completed an exchange of dead bodies - the final stage of a deal to bring home fallen soldiers.

Kyiv said Moscow handed over 1,245 bodies on Monday, bringing the total to 6,057 in the past few days. It said it was now verifying whether all the bodies were indeed of Ukrainian soldiers.

Russia put 6,060 the overall number of bodies transferred to Ukraine. It also said 78 bodies of Russian soldiers had been repatriated.

Ukrainian Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko accused Russia of "deliberately complicating" the identification process. "Bodies are returned in an extremely mutilated state, parts of [the same] bodies are in different bags," he said.

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

The latest exchange took place at an undisclosed location on Monday. The bodies in white bags were brought in refrigerator lorries.

Red Cross members monitored the process.

In a statement, Ukraine's government agency co-ordinating the repatriation said that "another 1,245 bodies were returned to Ukraine".

It said the identification process and "all the necessary examinations" would be carried out by Ukrainian law enforcement experts.

Meanwhile, the Russian defence ministry said in a statement that 1,248 bodies of Ukrainian soldiers had been handed over to Kyiv.

That figure was questioned by Klymenko, who said that Ukraine had "received bodies of Russian soldiers mixed with those of Ukrainians" during the earlier exchanges.

In its statement, the Russian defence ministry also said it had received the bodies of 51 killed Russian soldiers on Monday, taking the total to 78.

The ministry added it was ready to hand over another 2,239 bodies of Ukrainian soldiers.

The overall disparity between the two sides may be due to the fact that, of late, Russia has been making territorial gains, so would have been able to recover many of its own soldiers killed in fighting.

Trust between the two sides is extremely low, even when it comes to the dead.

The Red Cross declined to say how many bodies had been handed over by each side.

"It's been up to them really to figure out the details, to discuss directly and determine where this takes place, when, and which human remains to be part of that process," ICRC spokesman Pat Griffiths told the BBC.

The deal to repatriate the bodies and also exchange prisoners of war was agreed at peace talks between Ukraine and Russia in Istanbul, Turkey, earlier this month.

Israel's smaller, sophisticated military opposes larger Iran

Getty Images Photo from inside a house across a targeted residential building shows extensive damage in Tehran, Iran, on June 13, 2025.Getty Images
A woman looks out of her bomb-damaged flat in Tehran

Israel's conflict with Iran may look like a mismatch on paper - a nation of nine million people taking on a giant of the Middle East, home to 88 million.

But Israel's formidable and sophisticated military forces - with an arsenal largely, but not exclusively, provided by the United States - are enabling it to overpower a much larger enemy.

The BBC looks at the military balance in the latest war in the Middle East.

What has Israel achieved so far?

Israel already says it has gained control over the skies over Tehran. It has been a complete mismatch in the air - with no sign of Iran's few ageing fighter jets even getting off the ground.

Israel's fleet of modern, US-made fighters have been able to drop guided bombs from short range - with apparently little concern of being shot down.

Much of the threat from Iran's air defences was destroyed in an earlier Israeli strike in October - using longer range "stand-off" weapons to target Iran's S300 missile systems.

In recent days Israel's air force has continued to target ground-based radar and launchers. Even before the attack got under way, Israel had intelligence operatives inside Iran preparing to disrupt its response.

Mossad agents used drones smuggled into the country to target Iran's remaining air defence systems.

Israeli attacks also wiped out many in Iran's top level of command, which would have also undermined Iran's response.

A graphic showing Israeli attack locations in Tehran on June 15

Is Iran still able to strike back?

Before Israel began its attacks, Iran had what the US described as the "largest ballistic missile arsenal" in the Middle East.

Estimates vary from between 2,000 to 3,000. Some of those, and the factories in which they were produced, have already been hit by Israel.

But Tehran has still been able to fire wave after wave into Israel, and some missiles have penetrated its sophisticated air defences.

The Israeli military says it has now destroyed a third of Iran's surface to surface launchers. But while Iran's missile programme will have been degraded, it has not been destroyed. It remains the greatest direct threat to Israel.

And despite Israel's attacks, Iran still has many short range air defence missiles.

Justin Bronk, of the defence think tank Rusi, said that while Israel may now be able to claim air superiority over Tehran, it has still not achieved air dominance and the threat of short range missiles remain.

EPA A truck carries an Iranian missile Kheibar Shekan during the annual military parade marking the Iraqi invasion in 1980, which led to an eight-year-long war (1980-1988); in Tehran, Iran, 21 September 2024. EPA
The US said Iran had the biggest missile stockpile in the Middle East.

Does Iran have allies - and what could they do?

Iran has for years invested in Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon with military advice, weapons and technology.

But their ability to threaten Israel on its frontiers has been greatly diminished by Israeli action over the last two years: Hamas has been all but destroyed in Gaza, and Hezbollah's potency reduced to the point where it has not responded to Israel's attack on its paymaster.

The Houthis, while more distant in Yemen, have still been able to fire the occasional salvo of missiles into Israel.

They survived a sustained US bombing campaign earlier this year, and were able to bring down several US Reaper drones with short range ground-to-air missiles.

Could other countries be dragged in?

Iran has the ability to strike western interests in the region. Iranian-backed militant groups in Iraq have targeted western military bases in the region. The US and the UK have been preparing for the worst.

There are still around 100 UK personnel based in Baghdad alongside the US military. Their safety is one reason why Kier Starmer, the British prime minister, recently ordered additional RAF Typhoon jets to Cyprus.

US and UK military naval personnel and ships are also stationed in Bahrain. The longer this war goes on the greater the risk for western forces in the region.

Iran still has the ability to disrupt or choke one of the world's main shipping lanes in the Straight of Hormuz. It may not currently seem wise for Tehran to widen the conflict, but it could do so if it chooses.

Getty Images An Israeli F-35 jetGetty Images
Israel has US-made jets, like the F-35, but are they enough to achieve its goals in Iran?

Can Israel achieve its goals?

Israel has the upper hand, but the continuation of its military campaign is still largely dependent on US backing.

It receives billions of dollars of US military aid each year. Most of the weapons being fired from their American-made jets have been flown in from the US. Even some of the interceptor missiles for its own Iron Dome air defences are made in the US.

The "bunker busting" bombs Israel has been using to target Iran's underground nuclear programme are mostly US-supplied. Donald Trump, the US president, has so far been willing to back their use, though it is reported that he vetoed Israeli plans to target Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei.

Nor has the US given Israel access to the one weapon that would probably be needed to penetrate Iran's underground nuclear complex at Fordow - the Massive Ordnance Penetrator, a 30,000lb (13,600kg) bomb, which also can only be delivered by US B2 strategic bombers.

Even with continuing US military support there will be limits to what Israel can achieve. Air power may set back Iran's nuclear programme, but it won't destroy it. Israeli hopes of toppling the Iranian regime seem highly unlikely.

Air campaigns can create fear and chaos and rubble. But think of Libya in 2011, or Israel's continuing assault on Gaza: they rarely result in a clear-cut victory.

Negotiation or Capitulation? How Columbia Got Off Trump’s Hot Seat.

The university has largely complied with the administration’s demands, but has adjusted them in meaningful ways. One department offers a window into that effort.

© Sara Naomi Lewkowicz for The New York Times

Top academics in the Middle Eastern, South Asian and African Studies Department at Columbia University, including Professors Timothy Mitchell and Gil Hochberg, the department’s chair, say the school is committed to the program’s autonomy.

那个无故尖叫抽搐骂粗口的人,其实有一种罕见病

已经被发现一百多年的罕见病妥瑞氏症,至今没有明确的病因,也没有对应的药物或治疗方法,它是不是一种生理疾病甚至都有争议。妥瑞氏症死不了人,但足以让一个人在社会上寸步难行:患者会忍不住尖叫、抽搐,满嘴粗言秽语。与其说患者在跟病魔斗争,不如说患者在跟人们对一种罕见病的少见多怪斗争

(本文首发于南方人物周刊)

南方人物周刊记者 孟依依

发自:潍坊 上海

责任编辑:李屾淼

宋华煜(左)和王童昕(南方人物周刊记者 孟依依/图)

“你开玩笑吧?”

“哥们儿,那桌嫌吵,你们能不能声音小一点?”胖胖的穿白T恤的烤肉店老板过来商量,眼神瞥向旁边餐桌的方向。

我们都知道这是在提醒宋华煜,因为他一直在发出分贝极高的怪叫,包括脏话,此起彼伏的滋啦烤肉声也盖不住他的声音。“抽动障碍,控制不住。”宋华煜主动向老板解释,常年的大叫已经让他的声带受损,嗓音沙哑,“但我不是故意的。”

“抽动障碍”,也就是妥瑞氏症,法国医生妥瑞早在1885年就发现了这种罕见病,并用自己的名字命名,然而病因至今没有明确。它多在儿童期发病,难受得像“骨头里面有蚂蚁在爬”,然后身体反复地、不自主地、快速且盲目地痉挛起来。更糟糕的是,它还会并发强迫症、注意力缺失与过动症。

在中国大陆,儿童妥瑞氏症患病率约为2.46%,其中有30%左右的概率会延续到成年。宋华煜9岁左右开始出现眨眼、挤眉的症状,一场高烧之后,恶化为抽搐、喊叫和说秽语,一直到现在也没有痊愈。

了解情况后,烤肉店老板把背景音乐调响了一些,无济于事,所有在这个店里吃饭、工作的人都开始打量宋华煜。紧张气氛升级,可能会爆发冲突。他曾遭遇过的被公交车拒载、住酒店被隔壁投诉、工作时莫名其妙挨打。宋华煜被那些目光盯得害怕起来,抽动和怪叫越来越频繁,“我们走吧。”他说。

因为妥瑞氏症,宋华煜上到初二就退学了。在此之前,他是个聪明学生,是长辈夸奖和同学请教功课的对象。发病之后,他长时间待在自己房间里,“躺在床上,抽搐喊叫,打游戏,跟别人起争执,吃药、流鼻血。”他会两三个月不出门,与周围世界开始脱轨,卡进一道狭小的缝里。

在家呆到2024年,他出门去一家汽修店当了三个月学徒。工作很难:宋华煜被高温的喷枪烫伤过手臂,还因为怪叫被顾客打了一顿——但怕给汽修店招来麻烦,他没有报警。

宋华煜不喜欢干货车装饰,但觉得老板娘和老板待他不薄,800元的月薪不算高,但他很满足——有钱赚,能花出去,给亲朋好友买点东西,就很好了。

他向往的生活是“像个普通人一样”。他今年20岁,按理应该在读大学,会有“普通的枯燥乏味的大学生活”,“上课、出去玩、吃饭、在宿舍睡觉”,或许还会有校园恋爱,说不定还能像他的朋友王童昕一样,在课业之余游历四方。

王童昕比宋华煜小4岁,跟他在一个游戏群里认识,开麦之后发现了宋华煜的病。他觉得没什么,而且按照他既来之则安之的性格,“既然有这个症状,那咱就好好活着。”

最近王童昕来找宋华煜玩,在他家住了六天。虽然大多数时候两个人在家待着、打游戏、闲聊,偶尔去镇上溜达——也没什么可逛的,就是一些夜市——但王童昕带来了吉他、曲谱,他们一起弹琴唱歌,甚至和宋华煜的父亲喝起了酒。宋华煜的父母说,儿子这几天“活得像个人了”。

5月初,山东潍坊的天气正在变热,烤肉店外的街上空无一人。宋华煜的身体终于消停了一阵,他感到轻松,“好安静啊。”我们决定打车去河边

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芬兰正在针对俄罗斯备战丨军事

(本文首发于南方人物周刊)

南方人物周刊特约撰稿 朱江明

责任编辑:李屾淼

近日有媒体报道称,俄罗斯正在扩大其在芬兰边境附近的军事基础设施。卫星图像显示,俄罗斯恢复或扩建了多个位于芬兰边境附近的俄军事基地,并计划增加更多的士兵和作战装备到这个区域。芬兰国防官员对此表示担心,他们认为一旦乌克兰战事平息,俄罗斯可能会在五年内将两国边境附近的驻军数量增加两倍。

俄罗斯与乌克兰开战后,芬兰对北约的态度骤然转变。战事开始仅两个月后,近80%的芬兰民众转而支持加入北约。这种转变当然是基于现实威胁的考虑——毕竟苏芬战争的阴影始终笼罩在芬兰头上。芬兰想进一步确保国防安全,加入北约似乎理所当然,但目前在战略上看,这一选择似

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校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。
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