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日本外相将出席巴勒斯坦问题会议 表示日本可能制裁以色列

21/09/2025 - 09:52

日本外相岩屋毅于22日启程前往美国纽约,出席联合国大会。他将参加于当地时间22日举行的有关巴勒斯坦问题的首脑级会议,同时也在协调与美国国务卿卢比奥、韩国外长赵显(Cho Hyun)举行日美韩外长会谈。

在关于巴勒斯坦问题和平解决和实现“两国方案”的首脑级国际会议上,岩屋毅将阐述日本政府的立场。在会议前,岩屋毅已先后与美国、以色列和巴勒斯坦的外长进行电话会谈,传达了日本的立场。

岩屋毅外相在19日的记者会上表明,日本政府将暂缓承认巴勒斯坦为国家的方针。

另一方面,他在21日NHK节目中表示:“问题不是承认或不承认,而是何时承认的问题。”表明将继续讨论国家承认事宜。他还提及以色列推进约旦河西岸部分地区的并吞等举动,指出:“一旦以色列采取进一步破坏与巴勒斯坦共存的‘两国方案’基础的行为,日本将采取新的应对措施。包括国家承认和制裁在内的各种选项都会摆在桌面上加以讨论。”展现出根据以色列的应对情况,可能考虑承认巴勒斯坦国家或对以色列实施制裁的态度。

9月19日下午5时45分起,岩屋毅外务大臣与以色列外交部长吉迪恩·萨阿尔进行了约25分钟的电话会谈,在会谈开头,岩屋大臣坚决谴责哈马斯的恐怖袭击,强调哈马斯必须释放人质并解除武装。同时,他指出,以军在加沙市的地面行动扩大,导致大量平民伤亡,加剧了包括饥荒在内的严重人道主义危机,并就近日发生的对卡塔尔的袭击表示,日本绝不能容忍此类事态,表示强烈谴责。

此外,岩屋大臣还指出,针对以色列在加沙的军事行动以及在约旦河西岸的定居和并吞举动,国际社会的强烈危机感日益加深,认为这可能动摇“两国方案”的前提。他重申日本一贯支持“两国方案”的立场,并要求以色列立即停止一切有悖“两国方案”的单方面行为。对此,萨阿尔外长阐述了以色列方面的立场。

Starmer set to announce UK recognition of Palestinian state

PA Media Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer PA Media

Sir Keir Starmer is expected to announce the UK's recognition of a Palestinian state in a statement on Sunday afternoon.

The move comes after the prime minister said in July the UK would shift its position in September unless Israel met conditions including agreeing to a ceasefire in Gaza and committing to a long-term sustainable peace deal that delivers a two-state solution.

It represents a major change in British foreign policy after successive governments said recognition should come as part of a peace process and at a time of maximum impact.

The move has drawn fierce criticism from the Israeli government, hostage families and some Conservatives.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu previously said such a move "rewards terror".

However, UK ministers argue there was a moral responsibility to act to keep the hope of a long-term peace deal alive.

Government sources said the situation on the ground had worsened significantly in the last few weeks. They cited images showing starvation and violence in Gaza, which the prime minister has previously described as "intolerable".

Israel's latest ground operation in Gaza City, described by a UN official as "cataclysmic", has forced hundreds of thousands of people to flee.

Earlier this week, a United Nations commision of inquiry concluded Israel had committed genocide against Palestinians in Gaza, which Israel denounced as "distorted and false".

Ministers also highlighted the continued expansion of Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank, which are illegal under international law, as a key factor in the decision to recognise Palestinian statehood.

Justice Secretary David Lammy, who was foreign secretary in July when the path to recognition was announced, cited the controversial E1 settlement project which critics warn would put an end to hopes for a viable, contiguous Palestinian state.

He said: "The recognition of a Palestinian state is as a consequence of the serious expansion that we're seeing in the West Bank, the settler violence that we're seeing in the West Bank, and the intention and indications that we're seeing to build for example the E1 development that would run a coach and horses through the possibility of a two-state solution."

Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas welcomed the UK's recognition pledge when he visited Sir Keir earlier this month, with Downing Street saying both leaders had agreed Hamas had no role in future governance of Palestine.

Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said she wanted to see a two-state solution in the Middle East.

But writing in The Telegraph over the weekend, she said: "It is obvious, and the US has been clear on this, that recognition of a Palestinian state at this time and without the release of the hostages, would be a reward for terrorism."

Meanwhile, in an open letter to Sir Keir on Saturday, family members of some of the hostages taken by Hamas urged the Prime Minister not to take the step until the remaining 48, of whom 20 are believed to still be alive, had been returned.

The announcement of the forthcoming recognition had "dramatically complicated efforts to bring home our loved ones", they wrote. "Hamas has already celebrated the UK's decision as a victory and reneged on a ceasefire deal."

During a state visit to the UK this week, US President Donald Trump also said he disagreed with recognition.

Sir Keir had set a deadline of the UN General Assembly meeting, which takes place this week, for Israel to take "substantive steps to end the appalling situation in Gaza, agree to a ceasefire and commit to a long-term, sustainable peace, reviving the prospect of a two-state solution".

Speaking in July, he said: "I've always said we will recognise a Palestinian state as a contribution to a proper peace process, at the moment of maximum impact for the two-state solution.

"With that solution now under threat, this is the moment to act."

A number of other countries including Portugal, France, Canada and Australia have also said they will recognise a Palestinian state, while Spain, Ireland and Norway took the step last year.

Palestine is currently recognised by around 75% of the UN's 193 member states, but has no internationally agreed boundaries, no capital and no army - making recognition largely symbolic.

The two-state solution refers to the creation of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, with East Jerusalem as its capital. Israel currently occupies both the West Bank and Gaza, meaning the Palestinian Authority is not in full control of its land or people.

Recognising a Palestinian state has long been a cause championed by many within the Labour Party. The PM has been under mounting pressure to take a tougher stance on Israel, particularly from MPs on the left of his party.

Shortly before he gave his speech in July, more than half of Labour MPs signed a letter calling for the government to immediately recognise a Palestinian state.

EPA Smoke rises at the Harmony Tower following an Israeli airstrike in the west of Gaza CityEPA
Israel's offensive on Gaza City, where one million people were living and famine was confirmed in August, has forced thousands to flee

However, critics questioned why the government had appeared to put conditions on Israel but not on Hamas, when it set out its path to recognition.

The Chief Rabbi, Sir Ephraim Mirvis, called on the government to pause its decision.

"The intended recognition is not contingent upon a functioning or democratic Palestinian government, nor even upon the most basic commitment to a peaceful future," he said.

"Astonishingly, it is not even conditional upon the release of the 48 hostages who remain in captivity."

Government sources insisted their demands for Hamas to release the hostages and agree to a ceasefire had not changed.

But officials in the Foreign Office argued statehood was a right of the Palestinian people and could not be dependent on Hamas, which the government views as a terrorist organisation.

Speaking on Thursday when he hosted President Trump at Chequers, Sir Keir reiterated that Hamas could play "no part" in any future Palestinian state.

The Israeli military launched its Gaza campaign in response to the unprecedented Hamas-led attack on southern Israel on 7 October 2023, in which about 1,200 people were killed and 251 were taken hostage.

At least 64,964 people have been killed in Israeli attacks in Gaza since then, according to the territory's Hamas-run health ministry.

曾记录武汉疫情见闻 记者张展据报再被判刑四年

媒体组织“无国界记者”称,冠病疫情期间记录武汉见闻的中国公民记者张展服刑四年获释后,再度被判处四年监禁。

路透社引述无国界记者(RSF)组织消息报道,张展于星期五(9月19日)被判处四年有期徒刑。

今年42岁的张展在2020年冠病疫情暴发后,曾到武汉报道疫情,并在社交媒体上传多段在当地医院、社区等地拍摄的视频片段。她批评官方防疫措施不当,没有顾及底层人民的权利,掩盖了疫情的严重性。

张展据报于2020年5月因涉嫌寻衅滋事罪被拘留,同年12月被法院判处有期徒刑四年。

无国界记者去年5月发布的一段视频显示,张展服刑完已获释。不过,三个月后,张展再度被拘留,最终被捕并关押于上海浦东看守所。

据悉,她此次再度被判刑是因为对中国人权问题的报道。张展2020年获刑时的辩护律师任全牛星期四(18日)在社媒平台X上发文称,张展此番获刑的罪状来源于她在外网的言论。

张展毕业于西南财经大学,曾担任律师。她长期关注和参与维权活动,曾因声援香港的反修例运动而被拘捕。

郝龙斌:未来需要卢秀燕韩国瑜协助国民党党务

台湾在野的国民党主席选举开跑,候选人之一、台北市前市长郝龙斌说,若未来当选党主席,非常需要台中市长卢秀燕与立法院长韩国瑜在党务给他的协助跟支持。

综合中时新闻网、ETtoday新闻云、《联合报》报道,郝龙斌星期六(9月20日)拜会韩国瑜后,星期天下午将与卢秀燕合体展开活动。郝龙斌星期天受访时说,自己跟卢秀燕是多年好友;双方当时认识时,他还是台大教授,卢秀燕则是新闻记者,长期互相关心、帮忙很久了。

郝龙斌称卢秀燕是非常关心台湾、国民党未来的好市长,并提到在任何角色上,都会需要她支持与帮助,“今天只是个老朋友聚会”。

郝龙斌也说,韩国瑜在台北农产运销公司担任总经理时,他是台北市长,两人因此结缘,也是很好的朋友。“未来我当主席,他是立法院长,立法院的运作与发挥国民党党战力,当然需要他帮助。”

他进一步说,未来不管韩卢,都需要他们在党务上给予协助与支持。

国民党将于10月18日改选党主席,此次共有六人登记参选,竞争相当激烈。

国民党现任主席朱立伦决定交棒后,原本希望2028年党内参选总统呼声最高的卢秀燕接下党主席,但卢秀燕决定做满台中市长任期。

韩国瑜周四首次率台立委团访日

台湾立法院长韩国瑜星期四(9月25日)将率跨党派立委团访问日本,这也是韩国瑜在院长任内首次正式率团出访。

据联合新闻网报道,韩国瑜应日华议员恳谈会会长古屋圭司之邀,25日率团赴日本东京、大阪访问五天,除进行议会外交外,也考察大阪世博会,11位跨党派立委将随团。

蓝绿立委对此都乐观其成,认为意义重大。

民进党立委郭国文说,韩国瑜年初赴特朗普就职典礼是以赖清德总统代表身份出席,这次访日是首次以院长身份率团进行议会外交,“能够挑选日本而非中国,已凸显韩国瑜比傅崐萁更了解国际大局。”

国民党立委林沛祥认为,韩国瑜以议长身份带团出访,而非党团或个人名义,可望与日本国会议长交流,意义重大,“也代表中华民国路线跟日本有很深的渊源”。

三峡水库迎来今年最大洪水过程

受华西秋雨影响,三峡水库迎来2025年最大洪水过程。

据“三峡小微”微信公号,汛末受华西秋雨影响,长江上游嘉陵江及三峡区间出现多轮次降雨过程,三峡水库入库流量从9月17日开始逐步上涨,9月20日迎来入库流量超过40000立方米每秒的洪水。

为确保三峡库区防洪安全,三峡集团按照水利部长江水利委员会调度令,于9月16日加大三峡水库出库流量,将库水位最低降至162.6米。洪峰入库时,三峡水库按照电站满发控制出库流量为25300立方米每秒,在保障上下游防洪安全的同时与蓄水调度做好衔接。

后期,三峡集团将密切跟踪上游来水预报情况,合理控制库水位,在保障防洪安全的前提下平稳有序推进蓄水进程,确保顺利完成年度蓄水任务。

Starmer set to announce UK recognition of Palestinian state

PA Media Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer PA Media

Sir Keir Starmer is expected to announce the UK's recognition of a Palestinian state in a statement on Sunday afternoon.

The move comes after the prime minister said in July the UK would shift its position in September unless Israel met conditions including agreeing to a ceasefire in Gaza and committing to a long-term sustainable peace deal that delivers a two-state solution.

It represents a major change in British foreign policy after successive governments said recognition should come as part of a peace process and at a time of maximum impact.

The move has drawn fierce criticism from the Israeli government, hostage families and some Conservatives.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu previously said such a move "rewards terror".

However, UK ministers argue there was a moral responsibility to act to keep the hope of a long-term peace deal alive.

Government sources said the situation on the ground had worsened significantly in the last few weeks. They cited images showing starvation and violence in Gaza, which the prime minister has previously described as "intolerable".

Israel's latest ground operation in Gaza City, described by a UN official as "cataclysmic", has forced hundreds of thousands of people to flee.

Earlier this week, a United Nations commision of inquiry concluded Israel had committed genocide against Palestinians in Gaza, which Israel denounced as "distorted and false".

Ministers also highlighted the continued expansion of Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank, which are illegal under international law, as a key factor in the decision to recognise Palestinian statehood.

Justice Secretary David Lammy, who was foreign secretary in July when the path to recognition was announced, cited the controversial E1 settlement project which critics warn would put an end to hopes for a viable, contiguous Palestinian state.

He said: "The recognition of a Palestinian state is as a consequence of the serious expansion that we're seeing in the West Bank, the settler violence that we're seeing in the West Bank, and the intention and indications that we're seeing to build for example the E1 development that would run a coach and horses through the possibility of a two-state solution."

Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas welcomed the UK's recognition pledge when he visited Sir Keir earlier this month, with Downing Street saying both leaders had agreed Hamas had no role in future governance of Palestine.

Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said she wanted to see a two-state solution in the Middle East.

But writing in The Telegraph over the weekend, she said: "It is obvious, and the US has been clear on this, that recognition of a Palestinian state at this time and without the release of the hostages, would be a reward for terrorism."

Meanwhile, in an open letter to Sir Keir on Saturday, family members of some of the hostages taken by Hamas urged the Prime Minister not to take the step until the remaining 48, of whom 20 are believed to still be alive, had been returned.

The announcement of the forthcoming recognition had "dramatically complicated efforts to bring home our loved ones", they wrote. "Hamas has already celebrated the UK's decision as a victory and reneged on a ceasefire deal."

During a state visit to the UK this week, US President Donald Trump also said he disagreed with recognition.

Sir Keir had set a deadline of the UN General Assembly meeting, which takes place this week, for Israel to take "substantive steps to end the appalling situation in Gaza, agree to a ceasefire and commit to a long-term, sustainable peace, reviving the prospect of a two-state solution".

Speaking in July, he said: "I've always said we will recognise a Palestinian state as a contribution to a proper peace process, at the moment of maximum impact for the two-state solution.

"With that solution now under threat, this is the moment to act."

A number of other countries including Portugal, France, Canada and Australia have also said they will recognise a Palestinian state, while Spain, Ireland and Norway took the step last year.

Palestine is currently recognised by around 75% of the UN's 193 member states, but has no internationally agreed boundaries, no capital and no army - making recognition largely symbolic.

The two-state solution refers to the creation of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, with East Jerusalem as its capital. Israel currently occupies both the West Bank and Gaza, meaning the Palestinian Authority is not in full control of its land or people.

Recognising a Palestinian state has long been a cause championed by many within the Labour Party. The PM has been under mounting pressure to take a tougher stance on Israel, particularly from MPs on the left of his party.

Shortly before he gave his speech in July, more than half of Labour MPs signed a letter calling for the government to immediately recognise a Palestinian state.

EPA Smoke rises at the Harmony Tower following an Israeli airstrike in the west of Gaza CityEPA
Israel's offensive on Gaza City, where one million people were living and famine was confirmed in August, has forced thousands to flee

However, critics questioned why the government had appeared to put conditions on Israel but not on Hamas, when it set out its path to recognition.

The Chief Rabbi, Sir Ephraim Mirvis, called on the government to pause its decision.

"The intended recognition is not contingent upon a functioning or democratic Palestinian government, nor even upon the most basic commitment to a peaceful future," he said.

"Astonishingly, it is not even conditional upon the release of the 48 hostages who remain in captivity."

Government sources insisted their demands for Hamas to release the hostages and agree to a ceasefire had not changed.

But officials in the Foreign Office argued statehood was a right of the Palestinian people and could not be dependent on Hamas, which the government views as a terrorist organisation.

Speaking on Thursday when he hosted President Trump at Chequers, Sir Keir reiterated that Hamas could play "no part" in any future Palestinian state.

The Israeli military launched its Gaza campaign in response to the unprecedented Hamas-led attack on southern Israel on 7 October 2023, in which about 1,200 people were killed and 251 were taken hostage.

At least 64,964 people have been killed in Israeli attacks in Gaza since then, according to the territory's Hamas-run health ministry.

In West Bank, Palestinian recognition welcomed despite fears of Israeli annexation

BBC Close-up of a bearded man in black T-shirt standing next to a tree.BBC
Abdel Aziz Majarmeh is grieving his 13-year-old son

States are there to protect. But so are fathers.

Abdel Aziz Majarmeh was standing next to his 13-year-old son, Islam, as he was shot dead by Israeli forces this month at the entrance to Jenin refugee camp, in the occupied West Bank.

"My son fell to the ground, and then I heard the sound of a shot," he said. "An army jeep came up and five or six soldiers pointed their weapons at me, telling me to leave. I didn't even know my son was martyred. I started dragging him away."

Abdel Aziz said he had gone to the camp – occupied by Israel's army since January – to retrieve family documents from his home there.

"There is no one for me to complain to," he told me. "They control everything. The Palestinian Authority can't even protect itself – it only implements the decisions of the Jews."

As a Palestinian, Abdel Aziz is resigned to his powerlessness. As a father, he's tormented.

"In my mind, I keep asking that soldier: why pick on a 13-year-old boy? I'm standing right next to him. Shoot me. Why are you shooting children? I'm here, shoot me."

Reuters Mourners carry a body wrapped in a blue shroud on a stretcherReuters
Abdel Aziz buried his son Islam on 9 September

Israel's army said it had fired to neutralize a threat posed by suspects who had approached them in a closed military area, and was examining the incident.

It refused to clarify what threat the teenager had posed.

Cities like Jenin were put under the full control of the Palestinian Authority three decades ago, under the Israeli-Palestinian Oslo Peace Accords.

They were meant to be the seeds from which statehood would grow.

But Israel says it was terrorism that flourished there. In January, it sent tanks into Jenin and the neighbouring city of Tulkarem to crush armed Palestinian groups, saying it would apply lessons learned in Gaza.

Since then, Israeli forces have remained, razing large areas of the camps in both cities, and demolishing buildings in other areas.

The UK, France and other countries are now set to recognise a Palestinian state, as Israeli control spreads across the West Bank and the Gaza War grinds on.

Jenin's mayor, Mohammed Jarrar, took me to the camp entrance near where Islam was shot. The army vehicles stationed here on my previous visits are nowhere to be seen, but a large earth berm now blocks the road in, and locals say Israeli snipers still scan the area from the buildings overhead.

Mr Jarrar told me around 40% of Jenin was now a military area for Israeli forces, with around a quarter of residents – including the entire camp – displaced from their homes.

"It was clear from the beginning this was a major political plan, not a security operation," he told me. "This Israeli government wants to annex the West Bank and in preparation for that, it wants to prevent any [armed] opposition to its plan."

Israel has also placed the Palestinian Authority under a long-term economic siege, withholding tax revenues the PA needs to pay teachers and police.

Israel accuses it of funding terrorism by compensating the families of Palestinian militants who are killed. The PA says it has now scrapped that payment scheme.

Mr Jarrar said it was now very challenging to provide even basic services to the local population, and to persuade young people not to leave.

Against this backdrop, he said, the recognition of a Palestinian state by Britain, France and others is important, even after more than 140 other nations have already done so.

"It confirms the fact that the Palestinian people possess a state, even if it is under occupation," he told me. "I know that this recognition will lead to [greater] occupation of the West Bank. But even so I believe recognition is more important, because it will shape the future of the Palestinian people, and the international community will be called on to defend their rights."

Recognition of a Palestinian state by the UK and France is also a recognition of the political chasm between Israel and its European allies over this issue.

"There will be no Palestinian state," Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, told settlers in the West Bank last week. "This place is ours. We will see to our heritage, our land and our security."

Netanyahu has built his career on preventing a Palestinian state, and his government has pushed hard on expanding settlements in the West Bank.

His far-right allies have been pushing for formal annexation, with Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich recently outlining a plan to annex 82% of West Bank, with the remaining Palestinian enclaves cut off from each other.

US President Donald Trump has opposed the recognition of a Palestinian state, but has not publicly criticised Israeli moves towards annexation.

Israel seized the West Bank from Jordan in the 1967 Arab-Israeli war, and has never left.

Establishing civilian settlements on occupied land is illegal under the Geneva Conventions, but Israel argues that it has a historic Jewish right to the West Bank.

Around half a million settlers now live there, and the Israeli organisation, Peace Now, which tracks settlement expansion, says more than 100 new outposts have appeared across the West Bank in the past two years.

Outposts are illegal under both international and Israeli law, but they receive tacit approval from Netanyahu's government as well as state support in the form of roads, security and utilities.

Earlier this summer, Ayman Soufan saw new neighbours arrive on the hill next to his house, in the hills south of Nablus.

From his window, he and his grandchildren have a clear view of the simple wooden shelter and corrugated iron shed put up by Israeli settlers that Ayman says are from the nearby settlement of Yitzhar.

Wooden sheds and shelters with flags are seen on a hill
This outpost appeared near Nablus a few months ago

"This outpost they set up here is to push us out of our house. Every day a settler comes, bangs on the house, shouting 'leave, leave!'," he told me. "They throw their garbage at our doorstep. I call the authorities and they say, "We'll send the army". But the army never comes. The settlers are the army, they are the police, they are everything."

Ayman's family built this house, near the village of Burin, a few years after Israel occupied the West Bank in 1967.

A man sits on a bed pointing out of a window
Ayman can see the new outpost from the window of his family home

Israel was temporarily given control over rural areas like this under the Oslo peace accords, with the intention that they would eventually be transferred to a future Palestinian State, after negotiations over settlements there.

But Israeli control has remained, settlements have mushroomed, and human rights groups say Israeli forces are increasingly supportive of settler attacks.

Ayman said his father had died from a heart attack as settlers set fire to the house in 2003, and that his home had been torched several more times since then.

"Who is supposed to protect me," Ayman asked. "The Palestinian police? They can't even prevent this happening in the cities, how will they come here? Here, my security is in the hands of the people who occupy me."

International recognition of a Palestinian state is a good thing, he says, even if little will change on the ground.

A man with dark hair and a beard looks into the camera

"What's coming is worse," he said. "But if I ever leave this house, it'll be when I'm carried out dead. This house where I was born, where I grew up and lived my childhood; every corner has a memory for me. How can I leave it?"

In the decades since the Oslo Accords, Israeli narratives have hardened, armed Palestinian groups have strengthened, and the control of the Palestinian Authority government has been eaten away.

"Palestine was never theirs and will never be theirs," said bereaved father Abdel Aziz Majarmeh. "Sooner or later, today, tomorrow, in a year or two, they will leave this country. And Palestine will be liberated."

The UK and France have clung to the idea that two separate states – Israeli and Palestinian – are the solution to the conflict here, even as Palestinian territory was taken, and Palestinian institutions undermined.

Now the Gaza war, and questions over who will govern Gaza afterwards, have forced that political gridlock into open confrontation, as Netanyahu's far-right allies push hard for annexation.

Some Israelis say the West Bank is like the Wild West: a place where statehood and sovereignty are decided not by laws and declarations but by facts on the ground.

Israel has long argued there can be no Palestinian state without its agreement.

Now, by pushing ahead with recognition, the UK, France and others are signalling that Israel can't cancel statehood alone.

A political fact by Israel's allies to counter its facts on the ground.

Ed Davey urges regulator to go after Musk over X 'crimes'

PA Media Ed Davey with mouth open, against a dark backgroundPA Media

Sir Ed Davey is calling on the UK's communications regulator Ofcom to "go after" Elon Musk over "crimes" he claims are being committed on the tech mogul's social media platform X.

The Liberal Democrat leader said Musk should be held personally accountable for breaches of the Online Safety Act, which the billionaire has said is putting free speech at risk.

In an interview with the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg, Davey claimed X had shown "adverts for people who want to show videos with paedophile images, self-harming, grooming".

He called on Ofcom to launch an investigation into Musk and X, as his party gathered in Bournemouth for its annual conference. X has been contacted for a response.

Under the Online Safety Act, which came into force earlier this year, internet companies have been forced to introduce stricter age verification checks and face big fines for failing to remove illegal content.

The government insists the laws, passed by the previous Conservative government but brought into effect by Labour, will protect children.

But it has faced a backlash from US tech giants, with Elon Musk saying last month that its real purpose was "suppression of the people" and that Ofcom had taken a "heavy-handed approach" to enforcement.

But Sir Ed claimed Musk "had taken away the child safety team" at X, allowing harmful and illegal content on to the platorm.

"He [Musk} is actually, I think, committing crimes," he told Laura Kuenssberg.

"Ofcom should go after him. The laws are there. What his business is doing is against the law because it is disgusting."

Sir Ed has already clashed with Musk over his criticism of the tech mogul's appearance, via video link, at last weekend's United the Kingdom rally in London.

Addressing the rally organised by far-right activist Tommy Robinson, Musk criticised "uncontrolled migration" and said: "Whether you choose violence or not, violence is coming to you. You either fight back or you die."

Sir Ed accused Musk of "inciting violence" and called on him to face sanctions, prompting the X and Tesla owner to brand him a "craven coward".

The Lib Dem leader plans to use his keynote speech at his party's conference on Tuesday to step up his criticism of Musk, accusing him of meddling in British democracy.

"It's not because he cares about the British people, and our rights and our freedoms. It's all about his ego, power and wealth," Sir Ed will say.

"He rails against the Online Safety Act, but not because he cares about free speech.

"Like so many on the far-right – or the far-left – Elon Musk doesn't really believe in free speech. He just believes in free speech for people who agree with him.

"It's because he wants to carry on running his social media platform without taking any responsibility for the terrible harm it is causing – especially to our children."

The Lib Dems also plan to table a motion when Parliament returns summoning Musk to appear before MPs to be held to account for his actions at the Unite the Kingdom rally.

They will attempt to activate a little-used Parliamentary device to summon Musk to the bar of the House of Commons to be reprimanded by MPs.

Watch the full interview with Sir Ed Davey on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg at 0900 BST and on BBC Iplayer

My student loan doesn't cover my bills, so I wear my work uniform to lectures

Tianna Hunkins A woman with long braided hair sits at a desk and vanity table in her bedroom, writing notes in her university study bookTianna Hunkins
Tianna's maintenance loan does not cover her rent

As the clock counted down to 16:00, Tianna Hunkins braced herself for a mad rush.

She had been given a shift at a nearby fast food restaurant that started precisely when her lecture ended.

Luckily, she was already wearing her uniform under a hoodie, so "nobody would know".

"I always make it on time," she says.

The 19-year-old is one of a growing number of students juggling paid work alongside their studies because maintenance loans don't cover their living costs.

Recent research from the Higher Education Policy Institute (Hepi) suggests students in England need £61,000 over a three-year degree "to have a minimum socially acceptable standard of living".

The think tank found the maximum annual maintenance loan covers "just half the costs faced by freshers", while a Save the Student survey published this week suggested that, on average, maintenance loans have fallen short of covering living costs – by £502 per month.

From 30-hour working weeks to two-hour commutes from their family home, students have been speaking to the BBC about the lengths they're going to in order to make up the maintenance loan shortfall - even with family help.

A woman wearing a blue hoodie is in her bedroom packing her bag ready to leave for a day at university. She is holding a note pad and putting it in a black bag.
Tianna is grateful her parents can pay for her accommodation, so her student loan can be spent on other living costs

"I wouldn't put myself through this stress [of a job alongside studying] if I didn't have to," says Tianna, who is from Nottingham but has just returned to Newcastle for her second year at Northumbria University.

Tianna is set to receive a £4,915 maintenance loan for this academic year, which is far below what she needs to cover her rent (£7,932).

She's grateful her parents can help pay for her accommodation, so her maintenance loan can cover food, transport, socialising and pricey law books.

She also plans to save money from her part-time work for a house deposit.

But for Tianna, part of the appeal of going to university was the chance to embrace hobbies and make friends - so she knew she had to find a part-time job to fund her busy social life, as well as sports like netball and ice skating.

Graphic showing the 2025-26 academic year budget for 19-year-old Tianna Hunkins, who is a second year student in law at Northumbria University. INCOME: Maintenance loan: £4,915, Parental/ family help: £8,182, Part-time job: £6,500, Total income: £19,597. OUTGOINGS: Rent: £7,932, Food: £2,000, Transport: £250, Course supplies: £180, Socialising: £3,000, Total outgoings: £13,362

After applying for "over 100 jobs" she landed a contract at a fast-food chain in the second term of first year. She soon found herself working about 30 hours a week - often finishing at 02:00.

With public transport done for the day by that time, Tiana would shell out £8 for an Uber ride to avoid walking alone at night - and to give herself more sleep ahead of 09:00 lectures.

Sometimes working involved making sacrifices.

"One of my friends got an opportunity to do a legal internship through this paralegal event that I wasn't able to go to because I was at work," she says. "I missed out on that."

The amount students can borrow for living costs has risen in England, Wales and Northern Ireland this year.

The maximum maintenance loan for students from England living away from their parents outside of London, for example, is now £10,544. The amount you can borrow depends on your household income.

But still, more and more students are working part time to cover their costs.

Recent research from Hepi and Advance HE suggested that 68% of UK students were in paid employment during term time, up from 35% in 2015.

BBC/ Josh Parry A woman with dark curly hair smiles at the camera. She is wearing a red t-shirt and grey hooded jacket. She is standing in front of a Merseytravel single-decker busBBC/ Josh Parry
Faith couldn't afford to rent on her own in third year, so she decided to move back home with her family and commute to university

Faith Webb, 20, says she sees "a lot of people in lectures in a work uniform" on her linguistics course at the University of Manchester.

Faith's maintenance loan covered the cost of her halls in first year, but wasn't enough to pay for her room in the flat she rented with friends in second year.

This year her loan is £6,600. With many of her friends not renting this year, she was faced with the prospect of moving back into halls - which she didn't want to do because she didn't enjoy that in first year - or renting alone, which she couldn't afford.

So, Faith chose a third option.

"I've decided to move back home and commute to uni rather than living in Manchester itself," she says

Home, for Faith, is with her parents in Birkenhead, Wirral.

Her new commute will mean catching a 06:30 bus to Liverpool, a train to Manchester, and a 20-minute walk. She expects it to take around an hour and a half each way and to cost £2,300 for the year.

Graphic showing the 2025-26 academic year budget for 20-year-old Faith Webb, who is a third year student in linguistics at the University of Manchester. INCOME: Maintenance loan: £6,600, Parental/ family help: £300, Part-time job: £0, Total income: £6,900. OUTGOINGS: Rent: £0 (Second year rent: £8,760 for 12 months), Food: £350, Transport: £2,300, Course supplies: £20, Socialising: £200, Total outgoings: £2,870.

She is planning on treating university "like a nine 'til five", studying on campus every day between classes.

But it will sometimes mean missing out on seeing friends in the evening at the Taylor Swift society.

"If I've been away from home since 06:00, I wouldn't really have any motivation," she says.

Faith has chosen to commute rather than picking up a term-time job because she would "rather focus more on the education… while I have the opportunity".

"I'm paying so much money to do this," she adds.

Prof Andy Long, vice chancellor and chief executive at Northumbria University, says around 38% of students commute to his university.

"It's not a lifestyle choice," he says. "[It's] an additional burden that students having the traditional university experience simply don't have to deal with."

Northumbria University is holding dedicated freshers events to build a sense of community among commuter students this term, and is looking into whether contact hours can be condensed into fewer days to help them and those with part-time jobs.

He says, like other universities, students have been able to apply for deadline extensions because of working commitments in recent years, and have the option to catch up on recorded lectures when they can't attend in person.

"It's supposed to reinforce what you have learned in the lecture, but obviously for those students, that may not be a choice for them," he says.

Prof Long wants the Department for Education (DfE) to reintroduce maintenance grants in England when it publishes its post-16 white paper this autumn.

He says the amount that students can borrow for living costs should increase with inflation, and the household income threshold that determines which students receive the maximum maintenance loan should rise "significantly".

Skills minister Jacqui Smith says the government "recognises that too many students are facing real financial hardship".

She said she was "determined to deliver change" and that the DfE's white paper, would "soon set out how we plan to improve access for students from disadvantaged backgrounds".

Graphic showing the 2025-26 academic year budget for 20-year-old Josh Anderton, who is a third year student in politics and international relations at Lancaster University. INCOME: Maintenance loan: £4,901, Parental/ family help: £6,900, Part-time job: £0, Total income: £11,801. OUTGOINGS: Rent: £6,900, Food: £2,000, Transport: £700, Course supplies: £250, Socialising: £1,000, Total outgoings: £10,850

Other students got in touch with the BBC via Your Voice, Your BBC News to share their financial concerns.

Josh Anderton is from Doncaster and studies politics and international relations at Lancaster University. He says he is considering walking for two hours a day to get to and from lectures because of bus fares. His maintenance loan covers about two thirds of his rent.

"I buy a bus pass, but it's just getting more and more expensive," he says, adding that it now costs £150 a term. "I think I'd rather walk at this point."

Ava Wylde, 19, has had to fork out on train fares to get from her family home in Southampton to Durham, where she studies environmental geoscience and works in a corner shop to pay her rent, as her maintenance loan only covers just over half of what she needs.

Graphic showing the 2025-26 academic year budget for 19-year-old Ava Wylde, who is a second year student in environmental geoscience at the University of Durham. INCOME: Maintenance loan: £5,169, Parental/ family help: £300, Part-time job: £5,420, Total income: £10,889. OUTGOINGS: Rent: £9,100, Food: £950, Transport: £400, Course supplies: £20, Socialising: £800, Total outgoings: £11,270

She enjoys her job, but feels like she's had less time to consolidate her notes since taking it on.

It can sometimes mean turning down events with her rugby club or nights out with friends - many of whom don't have term-time jobs, though some are trying to find one.

"Even if you know that you shouldn't be going out and spending money in the evenings, you really want to - and your friends want you to," she says. "It's quite hard to tell your friends, 'No, sorry, I can't'."

Tianna had to leave her fast-food job at the end of last term because she wasn't allowed to pause it for the summer holidays and come back.

She worked in a night club in Nottingham over the summer and hopes to get a job in a pub in Newcastle this year.

"I'm not doing [night club work] in uni because it's insane hours," Tianna says. "I literally finish at 04:00 - I'm not doing that when I've got to get up the next day."

Additional reporting by Kris Bramwell and Bernadette McCague

BBC Your Voice, Your BBC News banner image. The writing is in black and white. In the centre there are three head and shoulder shots of a diverse range of people. They are coloured blue and against red backgrounds.

Murdered Kenyan's friends want UK soldier to face justice

Wanjiru Family A photo of Agnes Wanjiru wearing a pink fleece top against a blue background.Wanjiru Family
Agnes Wanjiru, who was 21 when she was killed, had just recently become a mother

More than a decade after Agnes Wanjiru, a 21-year-old mother, was killed in Kenya, allegedly by a British soldier, a Kenyan court has issued an arrest warrant for a UK national. If there is an extradition, it would be the first time a serving or former British soldier is sent abroad to face trial for the murder of a civilian – a move her friends would welcome.

On the night she went missing on 31 March 2012, Agnes begged her childhood friends Friend A and Friend B to come out with her.*

Agnes and Friend A were both new mothers, both 21-years-old, both wanting to let off some steam.

Friend B was eager to go out too, and agreed to meet them at the bar at Lions Court Hotel - located in the business district of Nanyuki, a market town in central Kenya, around 124 miles (200km) north of Nairobi.

That evening, Friend B's mother agreed to watch over Agnes's five-month-old daughter for a small babysitting fee. With childcare settled, Agnes and Friend A set off, making their first stop at a bar called Sherlock's.

"There were a lot of muzungu (white) men there," says Friend A. "I remember some were in plain clothes and some were in army clothes."

The British Army has a permanent training support base in Nanyuki, and white men, many of them soldiers, were a familiar presence. Locals referred to them as Johnnies, a nickname that carries unsavoury connotations.

"They made me uncomfortable because I'd heard bad things about muzungu men," Friend A recalls.

"Muzungus don't treat us Kenyan women well," adds Friend B. "Johnnies, especially, mistreat us. They disrespect us."

For young women like Agnes, the risks of engaging with these men were often weighed against the struggle to make ends meet.

"When women are financially desperate, they will do almost anything to survive," Friend A says. "I don't believe Agnes was a sex worker though. I never saw her do that. She was very poor."

Wanjiru Family A full-body photo of Agnes Wanjiru wearing jeans and a chequered shirtWanjiru Family
The young Agnes struggled to make ends meet to provide for herself and young child

Her friends say that on a good day Agnes would earn around 300 Kenyan shillings - less than £1 ($1.35). On a bad day there was nothing at all, and she relied on the goodwill of her loving elder sister.

Agnes did not have any financial support from the father of her child, and her friends say she was constantly trying to earn money, mostly working in salons and braiding people's hair, at times turning to more unconventional means.

One method, Friend A recalls, was simple: Agnes would befriend someone who offered to buy her a drink, then quietly ask the bartender to skip the drink and hand her the cash instead.

At Sherlock's bar that night, Friend A was scrolling through Facebook when she noticed Agnes in what appeared to be a tense exchange with a white man.

"When I approached her to ask her if she was OK, she told me to go to Lions Court as planned and that she would join me shortly."

Friend A continued on to the hotel, where Friend B and several others were already dancing. A crowd of white men was also present.

Agnes joined them a little while afterwards.

She told her friends she had "cheekily" tried to take a muzungu's wallet, but a bouncer had intervened. The matter seemed resolved, her friends say. And to her friends, Agnes seemed relaxed.

"She was in high spirits," says Friend A. "She was joking around."

At around midnight, Friend A left for home, leaving Friend B and Agnes and their friends dancing.

"The muzungus were buying us drinks, and Agnes was returning them to the bar in exchange for money," Friend B adds. The two started mingling with other friends. A little while later, Friend B says she saw Agnes leave the bar with one of the white men and assumed that they had come to a consensual arrangement. Other reports say that Agnes was seen leaving with two men.

The next morning, Friend B went to Agnes's house and saw her worried sister, who told her that Agnes had not returned. She rushed to her own mother's house, where she found Agnes's baby still in her care.

By early evening when Agnes had still not returned, Friend B and another friend went to Nanyuki police station to report her missing, and return the baby to Agnes's sister.

For days, Agnes's friends searched for her. At Lions Court, a watchman told them there had been "a big fight" in one of the hotel rooms that weekend and a window had been broken.

Nearly three months later, Agnes's body was discovered in a septic tank near the hotel. She had been stabbed. Friend B and another friend went to the mortuary to see Agnes's body.

"I felt terrible," Friend B says. "I couldn't imagine something like this could happen."

It would take years before Agnes Wanjiru's murder drew wider attention.

Kenyan judge Njeri Thuku concluded after an inquest in 2019 that Agnes had been murdered by one or two British soldiers. The Sunday Times exclusively revealed that Agnes's killing, allegedly by a British soldier, was well-known amongst the troops in Nanyuki. The publication reported that the soldier was struck off by the army but continues to live freely in the UK.

"I believe that there are many men responsible for Agnes's death," Friend A says. "Many men know what happened, and many have covered it up."

Momentum built again in 2024 when Open Democracy reported that the British Army had failed to discipline soldiers for paying for sex despite such conduct being explicitly banned in 2022, following the allegations involving UK troops in Kenya.

This prompted an internal investigation in August 2025, which revealed that some soldiers at the base were still engaging in transactional sex with women, many of whom were vulnerable, coerced, or trafficked into sex work.

In April this year, UK Defence Secretary John Healey met Agnes's family, in Kenya to offer his condolences and issue a statement saying the British government "will continue to do everything we can to help the family secure the justice they deserve".

British High Commission Nairobi John Healy wearing a dark suit and red tie shaking hands with Esther Njoki.British High Commission Nairobi
John Healy met Esther Njoki in April - the first time any UK government minister had met the Wanjiru family

On 16 September, a Kenyan High Court issued an arrest warrant for a British national suspected of murdering Agnes Wanjiru.

If extradited, it would be the first time a serving or former British soldier is sent abroad to stand trial for the killing of a civilian.

"It is highly welcome and a positive step towards the arch of justice," says Kelvin Kubai, a lawyer at the African Centre for Corrective and Preventive Action. "However the battle isn't yet won, given the legal hurdles of extradition proceedings, and we hope the relevant government institutions of both states shall continue cooperating to meet the ends of justice."

Agnes's niece, Esther Njoki, has created a GoFundMe page in order to raise money to support the family, travel to the UK and create more awareness about the murder of her aunt.

"We need to push for financial security for Agnes's daughter," Esther says, adding that she is now a teenager.

And Agnes's friends agree that justice has been delayed too long.

"The British Army cannot keep ignoring the murder of our friend," Friend A says. "We want justice for Agnes and her daughter."

The BBC has asked the Ministry of Defence for comment.

*The BBC has changed the name of all people listed as witnesses by a Kenyan High Court

You may also be interested in:

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DW事实核查:如何识破假账号、机器人和喷子?

Tetyana Klug
2025-09-21T06:39:45.444Z
假账号、机器人和网络喷子会搅浑舆论场,严重干扰公众正常的讨论。

(德国之声中文网)2014年,《华盛顿邮报》发表了一篇题为《离大谱:普京账号的第一条推文竟是祝贺奥巴马?》的报道;四年后,《商业内幕》刊文,称俄罗斯总统普京在推特上只关注了19个人,其中一位竟然已经去世五年。然而,事实证明,这两家媒体都被一个冒充普京的英文推特(X前身)账号给骗了!而且,他们并不是唯一上当的知名媒体。 这个假账号创建于2012年11月,靠着一本正经地扮演普京,一路吸粉到将近一百万。直到2018年11月,当时的推特才出手封号。更让人迷惑的是,这个假账号和普京官方认证的英文账号的粉丝数量不相上下。

这个后来被封掉的假账号主要转发克里姆林宫的官方声明,而不是散播虚假消息,因此它才能潜伏这么久而不被发现。

如今,这类假账号越来越多地被当作信息战的武器来使用。幸运的是,现在大多数主流社交媒体平台已经意识到了这一威胁。

什么算是假账号?

X平台在今年4月版的“虚假行为政策”中指出,禁止创建、运营或大规模注册任何非真实、非透明、带有欺骗性的账号。这包括:一、在未遵守X开发者政策的情况下使用自动化程序或脚本运营账号;二、使用虚构身份从事干扰性或欺骗性活动,典型表现包括:使用库存照片、盗用或AI生成的头像、复制或盗用他人的个人简介、提供误导性的个人信息,意图欺骗他人;三、假冒真实个人或机构。 Facebook 和Instagram隶属的Meta则明确表示,禁止用户树立虚假形象,使用虚假账户,虚抬内容热度,或参与到意图实施社群守则下其他违规行为的活动。Meta如此定义虚假行为:由同一个人或多个人控制的虚假资产网络实施的各种复杂形式的诈骗,目的是欺骗Meta或社群成员,或规避社群守则下的强制措施。

此蓝标非彼蓝标

在Twitter时期,蓝标(账号右上角的蓝勾)是一种官方认证,表示这个账号经过平台核实,确实属于某位公众人物、机构或品牌。然而,自亿万富豪马斯克接手该平台并将其改名为X后,蓝标认证机制也彻底改变: 任何用户只要付费订阅X Premium,就可以获得蓝标。 平台不再对身份进行严格审核, 这意味着普通人、假账号甚至机器人账号也能轻易买到蓝标。

X用户名后的金标则表示该账号是通过认证的官方机构账号,通常包括:企业或品牌、官方媒体、国际组织或NGO以及其他经过审核的机构。 同时,获得金标的账号头像会显示为方形,以便和普通个人账号区分。此外,X用户名后的灰标表示该账号代表政府机构、国家元首或高级政府官员以及多边国际组织,例如联合国、世界卫生组织、欧盟等。

2023 年,Meta推出了Meta Verified付费订阅服务,蓝标不再是纯粹的官方认证,而是订阅的一部分。值得一提的是,付费蓝标用户的内容可能获得更高的推荐和曝光,这在一定程度上可能放大特定观点或商业宣传。虽然假账号难以通过Meta审核, 但用户仍需查看内容本身是否可靠,不要因为有蓝标就盲目信任。

如何识别假账号? 

识别假账号需要留意以下几点:

骗子经常在注册账号后,偷偷修改用户名,伪装成官方账号。 在X上,原始用户名(通常在@符号后)往往能暴露问题端倪。 而在Facebook上,如果账号的个人主页网址(URL) 和用户名对不上,也要提高警惕。

举个例子: 有一个 Facebook 账号自称是 Elon Musk(见下图), 但它的用户名拼成了 “Muskk”,个人主页网址是 facebook.com/elonreeve.musk.338。 从这两点就能看出,这个账号几乎不可能是真的马斯克。

一个小小的拼写错误就足以让破绽显现。

此外,真正的公众人物或机构通常会在官网或其他权威渠道明确标注自己的真实社交媒体账号,如果找不到这样的链接,十有八九是假的。

如果你想验证一个非公众人物账号的真实性,可以使用搜索引擎查看此人是否在其他社交媒体平台上使用相同的名字。 检查这些账号的头像是否相似,个人简介、联系方式和所在地信息是否相互吻合,并留意这些账号发布的内容是否类似。 如果在不同平台上都能看到大量一致的内容,那么这个账号很可能是真实的个人。毕竟,几乎不可能有冒充者在多个社交平台上同时运营用户名完全相同、内容几乎一模一样的假账号。

不过要记住:这些方法只能提供线索,作为判断账号真伪的参考,而非确凿证据。

如果账号有头像,头像本身就是重要线索。 使用反向图片搜索工具(例如 Google、Bing 或 Yandex等搜索引擎),看看该头像是否属于他人,或是否在其他网站出现过。 低分辨率的头像也是一个危险信号,因为公众人物几乎不可能在自己的官方社交媒体账号上使用模糊不清的照片。

如果你在不同平台上看到同一个人账号的粉丝数、好友数或订阅量差距离谱,就应该提高警惕,因为这很可能是个假账号。想更深入分析不同社交平台的粉丝数据,也可以使用Followerwonk这种辅助工具。

另一种验证账号真实性的方法是观察是否有已认证账号与其互动。 例如,如果这是某位知名运动员的账号,那同队队友的认证账号会不会在他发的照片下留言?其他知名人士或官方账号,是否会转发他的内容? 如果没有这些互动,那么账号的真实性就值得怀疑。 

留意账号的创建时间。如果一个社交媒体账号注册多年且一直活跃,它大概率是真的。 但别掉以轻心,这并非绝对标准—— 前面提到的那个假冒普京账号,可是活跃了整整六年才被发现! 

同时,仔细观察账号发布的内容: 这些内容是否与账号声称的身份相匹配,还是显得不合常理?如果一个人频繁更换所在地/定位,那就要留个心眼。除非此人从事的是旅行博主、战地记者等需要频繁更换地点的工作。 还要警惕那些发布与自己毫无关系的内容的人: 一个德国学生整天发“阿富汗战区”的照片?一位俄罗斯退休奶奶天天晒“巴黎反疫苗抗议”的现场照?听起来就不太靠谱,很可能是假账号,或者至少是在散播未经证实的信息。这种可疑的行为往往也是机器人账号(Bots)的特征。

什么是机器人账号?

Bots 是 robots(机器人) 的缩写,指的是那些在社交媒体上没日没夜自动运作的账号。它们会疯狂地刷留言、转发内容,甚至刻意制造话题热度,把一些原本冷门或容易被忽视的话题炒起来。顾名思义,它们的行为就像一群全自动机器人。

不过,要注意区分“好机器人”和“坏机器人”。好机器人会自动发布新闻、天气预报、地震预警、卫星图片等有用的公共信息。而坏机器人则被设计成模仿真人的行为,用来推动某种特定议程或目的。根据不同的算法,这些程序可以:自动生成并发布帖子或留言、自动关注他人账号、甚至主动发送好友请求。 坏机器人会通过不断刷帖、转发,刻意放大某些政治观点,让社交平台上的舆论看起来热火朝天。它们还会反复传播虚假信息或谣言,制造出一种虚假的关注度和共识,从而扭曲公众对现实的认知,并破坏正常、理性的网络讨论氛围。

如何识别机器人账号?

X目前正在测试的一项功能是,引入 “automated”(自动化)标签。该标签位于用户名和账号名下方, 说明这个账号发布的内容是自动生成的, 而不是由真人手动发布的。

机器人账号和假账号类似,只要留意以下几点,就能提高识别率:

如果用户名是杂乱无章的字母、数字或单词拼凑, 很可能就是机器人账号。 

账号没有头像,或是只有模糊、低像素的人像, 都应该引起警惕。 

简介空空如也、注册时间非常短、 甚至显示的位置与自称身份明显不符, 这些都是危险信号。

同一个账号在不同平台上同时发布完全一样的内容; 或在短时间内疯狂转发或刷屏式回复; 甚至在同一条帖子下,连续发布大量重复、粗糙的评论。如果有这些行为特征,几乎可以确定它是机器人。 

机器人账号通常关注了大量其他账号, 但自己的粉丝却寥寥无几,甚至为零。 想进一步验证,可以使用Followerwonk等工具。

喷子账号比假账号更难识别,因为背后操纵的是真人,而不是程序。

什么是网络喷子? 

网络喷子(Trolls)是真人, 但他们在网络上表现得极其活跃、极具破坏力,行为模式和机器人很像。他们常常受雇于某些势力,专门去骚扰特定的公众人物或媒体机构。Facebook将这种有组织、有针对性的攻击行为定义为 “由外国或政府行为体操控的合谋造假行为”。 这种行动甚至可以规模化、产业化,被称为“喷子工厂”。

最知名的喷子工厂之一是位于俄罗斯圣彼得堡的网络研究所(Internet Research Agency, 简称IRA)。 欧盟对外行动署的反虚假信息项目EUvsDisinfo发现: 该机构曾在多种语言中散播虚假信息和亲克里姆林宫的宣传内容, 目标包括欧洲和美国的大选,以及多国公投前的舆论操控。 

这家机构于2017 年1月被全球广泛关注, 当时美国情报部门发布了一份报告, 详细分析了 IRA如何在2016年美国总统大选前操纵美国舆论。自那以后,Facebook一直在清理与该机构相关联的账号。 

除了俄罗斯, 外界普遍认为在印度、中国、沙特阿拉伯、墨西哥等国也存在类似的喷子工厂或所谓的“喷子大军”。 2020年,《华盛顿邮报》披露, 一些支持美国总统特朗普的青少年,竟然是被人雇来在社交媒体上传播虚假信息的。在中国还有类似的“网络水军”和“五毛”,前者一般受雇于商业公司或个人雇主,后者通常被官方或半官方机构长期雇佣。

如何识别网络喷子? 

喷子账号比彻头彻尾的假账号更难识别, 因为它们通常是真人在背后操控。如果这些账号长期活跃、持续经营多年,甚至成为大型喷子网络的一部分,想要识破就更加困难了。这意味着,你不能像识别假账号那样,只通过奇怪的用户名、最近注册的时间或可疑的粉丝数量就一眼看穿。不过,这些迹象依然可以作为初步线索。 

其次,需要仔细观察账号发布的内容: 这些帖子是否包含已知传播虚假信息的网站链接? 注意账号除了转发别人内容,是否也发布一些私人动态或原创内容?如果一个账号只转发第三方内容、从不发个人动态, 很可能就是一个喷子账号。如果转发的内容本身就含有虚假信息或误导性内容, 那就更需要提高警惕。 

还可以看看你和这个可疑账号是否有共同好友或关注者。 如果有,可以问问这个共同好友,是否认识这个账号背后的人,以此来判断账号的真实性。

此外,可以留意一个可疑账号在社交媒体上花费的时间。这个账号是否每天花好几个小时不停地评论?是否在不同的帖子下不断复制粘贴同一条消息?是否以极高频率发帖或转发内容?如果是这样,很可能说明这个账号的社交媒体行为不是兴趣爱好,而是他的工作——也就是说,这个人可能就是一名“职业喷子”。

最明显的喷子特征之一是:这个人在讨论中从不提供任何有建设性的内容,而是专注于操纵他人情绪、激起负面情绪。一旦发现这样的情况,不要再继续争论,直接举报账号,让平台进行进一步核查和处理。

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中国车殇:又一场房地产泡沫式悲剧?

德才
2025-09-21T06:34:55.377Z
2024年,比亚迪3000辆新车抵达德国不来梅港

(德国之声中文网)2025年夏日的成都,在这座拥有2100万人口的城市郊区的一家购物中心,巨大的展厅正在提供超低价的新车优惠。

如果你想买一辆新车,在这里至少有5000辆供你选择。本地生产的奥迪打五折。中国一汽生产的七座SUV售价约2.23万美元,比标价低六成以上。

这些优惠由一家名为Zcar竹子买车的公司提供。该公司称自己从汽车制造商和经销商处大批量购入车辆。如何做到如此低价?原因只有一个:中国的汽车太多了。

新车伪装二手车

多年来,政府补贴和相关政策一直努力把中国打造成全球汽车强国和电动车领导者。中国的本土车企实现了这些目标,收获比计划还多——但多出来的都是问题。

路透社的调查发现,中国的本土品牌生产的汽车数量,远超这个已经是世界最大汽车市场的吸收能力。

因为车企努力追赶政府制定的生产目标,而不是消费者需求。

这使得几乎所有车企都难以盈利。中国的电动车售价不到1万美元,而在美国,售价低于3.5万美元的车型屈指可数。

那么卖车的人赚了吧?不,上月公布的一项行业调查显示,大多数中国经销商也难以盈利。车场被库存挤满。经销商只能通过大幅降价来应对。

一些零售商甚至批量为未售出的汽车上牌和投保。这样一来,车企可以把这些车算作已售出产品,经销商也能获得厂家返利和奖金。

多余的车辆流入像Zcar竹子买车这样的特殊市场。还有一些出现在类似抖音的社交平台上,低价甩卖。

甚至有些还被包装为“二手车”出口海外,尽管里程表仍显示“零公里”。

不用说,还有一些始乱终弃,被扔进杂草丛生的汽车坟场

在党面前挣表现

许多业内人士和分析师认为,中国汽车行业可能重演房地产和光伏产业的剧烈动荡。

成也政策,败也政策。政策优先考虑就业和经济增长目标下的销量和市场份额,而非利润和可持续竞争。地方政府为了产能和税收,向车企提供廉价的土地和补贴,导致全国各地产能过剩。

曾在中国一家电动车初创公司工作过的澳大利亚宏观经济评论员鲁珀特·米切尔(Rupert Mitchell)说:“当北京发出这是一个战略产业的信号时,每一个省长都想要汽车工厂。他们要在党面前挣表现,结果就是车企加大投资。”

路透社表示,其调查基于成千上万条汽车销售信息、数百份政府文件、官方媒体报道、法院档案和消费者投诉。记者还采访了约20位业内人士,包括经销商、买家、分析师和车企高管。

路透社报道称,中国品牌在推出新车型方面已远远领先外国竞争对手。但推动汽车行业爆炸性增长和创新的政府政策,如今却在整个国内销售链条上制造“双输”的交易。

中国的工信部和商务部没有回应有关行业困境、整合前景以及政府政策在加剧产能过剩中的角色的提问。国家发改委和负责中央政府媒体事务的国务院新闻办公室也未作回应。

唯一出路是大量倒闭

这场潜在危机对中国经济有巨大影响。汽车行业及相关服务约占国内生产总值的十分之一。此前,中国决策者否认美欧官员关于产能过剩的指责。欧美担心廉价进口冲击本国工业。但近几个月,中国官员承诺将遏制包括电动车和光伏在内行业的价格战。

咨询公司盖世汽车研究院(Gasgoo)称,中国车企的工厂产能可生产去年实际产量两倍的汽车,即5500万辆。问题在燃油车领域尤为突出,因北京推动电动车,燃油车需求近年急剧下降。与此同时,电动车工厂数量激增。

另一家咨询公司艾睿铂(AlixPartners)预测,到2030年,中国129个电动车和混动车品牌中,只有15家能在财务上维持下去。

中国的价格战已进入第三年。一些分析师称,唯一的出路是让许多车企倒闭。但许多官员抗拒这种“硬手段”,因为可能导致大规模裁员和消费下滑。

受影响者不仅是中国车企。外国品牌在中国的市场份额从2020年的62%,降至今年前七个月的31%。欧洲各国政府担心廉价中国车涌入,冲击本国工业。美国几乎全面禁止中国车,理由是国家安全和不公平竞争。

房地产角色继任者

中国汽车市场的混乱,北京的政策制定者早已埋下伏笔。上世纪90年代起,党就希望中国在汽车产业最大的变革之一——电动车崛起中占据主导地位。

2009年,北京启动了一项计划,鼓励车企生产电动车,并推动消费者购买,背后有数十亿美元的补贴支持。

到2017年,电动车仍未普及。当年,中国政府官员起草了一份汽车产业政策蓝图。这份长达1.3万字的发展规划提出,到2025年年产汽车3500万辆,几乎是美国年度销量纪录的两倍。

彼时,中国当局正在处理过热的房地产行业,并开始抑制过度投资。汽车产业蓝图因此成为地方政府依赖土地出让和房地产税收后的一个替代性经济支柱。

2017年的规划引发地方政府疯狂争抢电动车企业。到去年,中国接近这一目标,全年生产超过3100万辆汽车。

长丰和亦庄的故事

全国各地形成了一套模式:地方政府向车企提供优惠条件,作为交换,车企承诺完成生产和税收指标。车企往往更关注完成这些指标,而不是盈利。

押对车企可能带来巨大回报。2021年,安徽长丰县政府用廉价土地吸引比亚迪。这个原本以烙饼产业为主的县城,迎来了一座比亚迪超级工厂。

五年间,这家电动车制造商在长丰购买了8.3平方公里土地,平均价格比其他买家低40%,路透社从政府公布的土地交易文件中确认了这一点。比亚迪没有就此进行回应。长丰县宣传部门的一位工作人员通过电话表示部分内容不准确,但拒绝进一步解释。

2022年,比亚迪在长丰投产。次年,该县经济增速比全国平均水平高9.1个百分点。去年仍高出5.6个百分点。

今年3月,《人民日报》赞扬长丰的显著发展,称比亚迪是主要因素。

两位与比亚迪项目相关的长丰县官员,2024年被提拔至更高职位。中共安徽省委在公告中公布了此事,但未回应路透社置评请求。

2022年,智能手机制造商小米在北京亦庄开始购地建设电动车工厂。到2024年,它已购买超过相当于206个足球场面积的土地。土地出让文件显示,其平均价格比其他工业用地买家低22%。北京市要求该工厂在全面投产后每年最低营收达470亿元人民币(约合66亿美元)。

小米对路透社表示,土地通过公开竞标获得,没有折扣或优惠。招标信息显示小米是唯一投标者。北京市官方未就此进行回应。

习近平批评“内卷”

政府发糖不嫌手软,政策补贴还在继续。

今年6月,广州市政府发布政策文件,表示希望培育多达三家新能源汽车企业,每家年产能达到50万辆。作为回报,广州承诺每家企业在三年内新建生产线并生产10万辆车时,每年可获得最高5亿元人民币(约7000万美元)的奖励。广州未回应置评请求。

政策文件显示,从2023年至2025年,至少还有六个地方政府公布类似政策,鼓励车企扩大产能。

业内人士近来用“内卷”来形容这种自我消耗的竞争,以及由此带来的非正常经营手段。

今年5月,中国当局开始对汽车价格战发出警告,强调竞争不可持续。

7月14日,中国召开中央城市工作会议,这是10年来首次。会后,中共党媒《人民日报》罕见发表了习近平以直白措辞批评地方政府“一窝蜂”上马新能源和人工智能项目的报道。他向与会者提问:“上项目,一说就是几样:人工智能、算力、新能源汽车,是不是全国各省份都要往这些方向去发展产业?”

车企无法停止踩踏板

产能过剩导致过于激进的销售目标,这并非中国独有。二十年前,通用、福特和克莱斯勒都因工厂过多、产量过剩,被迫关闭十多家美国工厂。

但分析师和前高管表示,在中国,完成销量目标和争夺市场份额的压力更大。三一重卡董事长梁林河表示,中国车企被迫不断卖车和生产,哪怕在巨额亏损下,因为现金流对生存至关重要。他说:“这就像骑自行车:只要你不停地踩踏板,虽然很累,但自行车还能站立不倒。”

随着越来越多车企在亏损中加快“踩踏”,业内越来越多声音呼吁行业洗牌。近几个月,电动车品牌哪吒汽车在母公司进入破产程序后停止运营。去年,百度和吉利的合资品牌极越汽车裁员并宣布重组,理由是竞争激烈。

不过,三位业内人士和两名分析师告诉路透社,不会出现突然的剧烈冲击:行业整合可能需要多年,当地政府很可能会继续支持濒临失败的车企,温水煮青蛙,从而控制负面影响。

研究机构卡内基中国的高级研究员迈克尔·佩蒂斯(Michael Pettis)表示:“中国的产能过剩是一个系统性问题。”

政府赶车的皮鞭

中国电动车初创公司小鹏汽车CEO兼联合创始人何小鹏在2023年预测,到2030年,一家车企要想生存,年销量必须达到300万辆,而最终只有八家企业能做到。小鹏汽车去年仅仅卖出19万辆。该公司没有回应路透社的置评请求。

少数大玩家已接近或达到这一规模,并有望在行业洗牌中受益。今年1月,吉利宣布计划到2027年年销量达500万辆,超过去年的220万辆。比亚迪也设定了2025年的宏大目标,但扩张速度在放缓。今年8月,它三年多来首次出现季度利润下滑。路透社本月报道称,比亚迪已把原定的550万辆销售目标下调至460万辆。

大多数企业销量仅是这些数字的一小部分,但仍在继续扩大产能——至少三起案例中,扩张是受政府官员要求。

去年,当国有车企如长安、东风和一汽在电动车竞争中落后于民企时,国资监管机构宣布,希望国企扩大市场份额和产量,而不是关注盈利。车企和国资委均未回应路透社相关问题。

今年7月,长安宣布到2030年将新能源汽车销量提高四倍。董事长朱华荣在7月30日的新闻发布会上表示:“努力奋进成为全球汽车品牌TOP10。”

逼迫假造销量

江苏退休经销商陈可云(Chen Keyun,音译)说,汽车大量涌入市场,让经销商更难盈利。他的说法得到路透社采访的四位匿名经销商的支持。

陈可云称,经销商亏本卖新车,把车转卖给贸易商,再由他们包装成零公里“二手车”,这些问题根源在于中国的“以产定销”工业模式。车企无视真实需求,不断扩产并提高销量目标,迫使经销商增加库存。

中国汽车流通协会8月的一项调查显示,仅30%的经销商盈利。

今年6月,河南、四川以及长三角地区的经销商团体公开表达不满。

陈可云说,大型经销商往往为完成车企的销量目标和获取厂家返利而超额采购库存。

江苏一位经销商说:“如果你本月目标是卖20辆车,已经卖了16辆,最后一天会怎么办?即使赔本甩卖那4辆,也能获得约8万元人民币(1.12万美元)的奖金,基本接近收支平衡。”

中国汽车流通协会副秘书长郎学红承认,经销商亏本销售幅度高达两成。她在6月24日接受路透社采访时说,这是“史无前例的”。

路透社7月报道称,电动车品牌哪吒和极氪在过去几年虚增销量,其中哪吒涉及超过6万辆。车企为未售出的车提前投保,使其计入月度销量。

哪吒母公司合众新能源已进入破产管理,未回应置评。极氪7月表示,这些车是为了展出安全而投保交强险,售出时仍是合法新车。

分析师和经销商称,哪吒和极氪只是行业普遍虚报销量的缩影,很多都涉及“零公里二手车”。这些车由经销商和贸易商出口为二手车,或在灰色市场内转卖,往往得到地方政府默许。

今年6月,四个地区的经销商团体称,车企的激励措施是“变相逼迫经销商假造销量”,但未点名具体企业。

相关图集:盛极而哀 中国房产业风雨飘摇

房企接连爆雷:中国房地产商碧桂园2024年2月28日表示,27日遭债权人提出了清盘呈请。消息一出,碧桂园28日在香港股价下跌约12%。在中国政府欲重建各界对房地产业的信心之际,此事也对经济前景蒙上阴影。此前碧桂园是为数不多的没有出现资金问题的中国大型开发商之一,但2023年上半年亏损达到了67亿美元。9月中,碧桂园获得债权人的批准,将六只境内债券的偿还期限延长三年。
恒大资不抵债:中国房产巨头恒大集团才刚于今年1月底遭香港高等法院裁定资不抵债,勒令清盘。碧桂园债务估计约1.36万亿人民币(约1900亿美元),接近其1.43万亿人民币的资产;恒大集团负债则达到3000亿美元。恒大2023年9月22日提交给证券监管机构的公告中称,由于房地产销售不如预期,该公司认为有必要重新审视350亿美元的债务重组的方案。9月底,恒大证实其创始人许家印"因涉嫌违法犯罪,已被依法采取强制措施"。2021年恒大陷入资不抵债,导致了一系列开发商违约,引发了中国的房地产泡沫崩解。
金融信托巨头陷入财务危机:2023年8月,有报道称中国最大私人信托公司中融信托出现财务危机,无法完成信托产品的兑付,影响范围可能达到人民币3500亿元。其母公司中植集团也承认有流动性困难,计划债务重组。8月16日,约二十名抗议者在北京中融信托大楼前抗议要求还钱,他们购买了高收益的金融产品,却无法得到兑付。信托业历来是房地产商重要的资金来源,房地产业的爆雷也使信托业陷入危机。
放松限购刺激房市效果不彰:中国央行2023年8月宣布降低首次购房者现有抵押贷款利率,以及部分城市的购房首付款比例。从8月末到9月初,广州、深圳、北京、上海相继官宣实施"认房不认贷"政策,名下无房人群的购房门槛比之前降低,不少购房人将由二套房资格变为首套房资格,首付比例大幅下调。此后有报导指北京的房产交易出现小幅反弹。但更多的专家指出,这些措施可能会使房地产交易中产生短期反弹,但不足以稳定房地产市场。”
空置房屋“14亿人住不完”:据中新社发布的一段视频,中国国家统计局原副局长、全国人大财经委副主任的贺铿9月23日在2023中国实体经济发展大会上称,“现在房地产供应过剩,空置的房屋究竟有多少,各个专家估出来的数字相差很大,但是14亿人可能住不完。”他认为“房地产企业必须转型,早转型早主动”。
数百万套房屋未售出:资产管理集团思睿投资(Grow Investment)首席经济学家洪灏表示,调整中国的房地产行业可能需要多年甚至长达十年的时间。“原因是,我们为中国人建造了太多的住房。”中国国家统计局的数据显示,截至2023年8月底,全国未售出房屋的总建筑面积为6.48亿平方米。根据路透社的计算,以平均房屋面积90平方米来算,中国未售出房屋的总建筑面积当于720万套房屋。这还不包括因现金流问题已售出但尚未竣工的大量住宅项目。

直播带货清库存

在成都一家商场的屋顶停车场,王力宏骑着电动车,一手拿着自拍杆拍摄视频。他是Zcar竹子买车的直播带货主持人,专门销售经销商卖不掉的新车。

很多王力宏这样的主持人,会在抖音等平台上直播带货。他告诉125万粉丝,Zcar竹子买车是四川省最大的零公里“二手车”卖家。这类车通常在3月、6月、9月和12月上市,因为那时经销商急着完成季度或年度销售目标以获得返利。

王力宏在7月的一场直播中说:“没有卖不掉的车,只有不合适的价格。”

Zcar竹子买车市场总监周岩(Zhou Yan,音译)告诉路透社,公司能大幅打折出售,因为部分车是直接从车企批量购入。

路透社6月走访成都时,直播带货的车型包括通用汽车的雪佛兰迈锐宝。周岩称,Zcar竹子买车从上汽通用购入了3000多辆迈锐宝,售价不到1.4万美元,标价则是2.4万美元。

通用汽车对路透社表示,“授权经销商是唯一官方销售渠道”,“Zcar竹子买车与上汽通用没有任何隶属关系”,未作进一步解释。

Zcar竹子买车随后告诉路透社,其子公司购入了3428辆迈锐宝,但未说明具体购入来源。

Zcar竹子买车补充说,公司经常以亏本的方式销售“热门、吸睛车型”,以吸引顾客进店。

路透社走访时,一些奥迪车型打五折出售。奥迪未对Zcar竹子买车的做法发表评论,但表示不支持灰色市场交易,因为这会损害品牌长期价值。

车满坟场,无处话凄凉

部分卖不掉的新车最终进入“汽车坟场”。

地方政府努力清理这些被遗弃的车场,因为它们占用土地并带来环境风险。

其他新车长期滞留在拍卖平台上,包括阿里巴巴旗下的拍卖网站。多数无人问津。路透社核查阿里巴巴的拍卖信息发现,今年有5100多条全新比亚迪拍卖公告,而2024年仅61条。阿里巴巴和比亚迪未作回应。

法院也在拍卖未售出的新车。例如,2024年4月,阿里巴巴平台刊登了一批94辆东风本田汽车的拍卖公告。照片显示车辆停在室内。一辆白色车身布满灰尘,前排座椅仍包着塑料。东风未回应置评请求,本田称无法评论经销商的行为。

深圳法院曾下令清理因合同纠纷滞留的近2000辆2018年生产的腾势汽车(现由比亚迪控股)。这些车辆停放在成都、广州及比亚迪深圳工厂,直到2023年才被法院拍卖。评估人员发现,它们几乎未被使用,内饰崭新。有些甚至停在村民晾晒衣物的杂货店旁边。

很快,这些车出现在社交媒体上。主播们以低至9000美元的价格出售,只有原价的四分之一。

 

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犯罪率是否在上升?德国安全吗?

Peter Hille
2025-09-21T06:39:25.002Z
南非裔德国旅行博主库尔特·卡兹(Kurt Caz)在一段视频中这样将法兰克福火车站附近街区描绘为德国新常态。

(德国之声中文网)“新的德国是一种耻辱,一个笑话。”南非裔德国旅行博主库尔特·卡兹(Kurt Caz)在一段视频中这样将法兰克福火车站附近街区描绘为德国新常态。他称那里已“完全落入犯罪、非法移民和毒品之手”。

视频中,吸毒者躺在街边,一名疑似毒贩威胁拍摄者,一名女子向他扔酒瓶子。这段视频在YouTube上获得超过600万次观看,评论区涌来大量排外言论;视频在TikTok上更是突破1000万次播放。类似聚焦德国犯罪的视频比比皆是,看起来击中了公众的某根神经。但它们是否真实地反映了现实情况?

卡斯泰特(Susanne Karstedt)在接受德国之声采访时指出,法兰克福车站区长期以来与卖淫活动挂钩,“这不可避免带来了暴力和毒品犯罪”。

城市比乡村更危险

来自汉堡、现在澳大利亚格里菲斯大学(Griffith University)从事教育和研究工作的犯罪学家苏珊娜·卡斯泰特(Susanne Karstedt)在接受德国之声视频采访时指出,法兰克福车站区长期以来与卖淫活动挂钩,“这不可避免带来了暴力和毒品犯罪”。在德国,确实存在一些犯罪率极高的区域。但与许多国家一样,城市的犯罪率普遍高于乡村

例如,在不来梅、柏林和法兰克福等城市,警方记录在案的案件数量尤为突出。多项研究将此归因于城市地区的社会不平等程度普遍高于农村。然而,卡斯泰特强调,总体而言,德国仍可被视为一个“非常安全的国家”。“与其他西欧国家一样,这里的犯罪率自20世纪80、90年代以来有所下降。”

这一趋势的推动因素之一是技术进步。例如,如今的汽车比过去更不容易被盗了。

国际比较:看谋杀率

若要比较国际犯罪水平,谋杀率是最佳观察指标。卡斯泰特解释:“我的一些同事称谋杀率是国际比较的黄金标准。因为联合国等机构保存了长期、可靠的数据,它也是衡量严重暴力犯罪的良好指标。”

2024 年,德国故意杀人案数量为每10万居民0.91起,在全球排名第147位。相比之下,南非和厄瓜多尔的谋杀率超过每十万人口40起,美国为每十万人口5.76起。

20年前,德国的谋杀率为 2.5/10 万,明显高于今日。尽管谋杀率长期呈下降趋势,但近年来部分犯罪类型有所上升,尤其是暴力犯罪。

年轻男性与移民因素

卡斯泰特指出,暴力犯罪的主体大多是年轻男性,因此移民也成为因素之一。“在许多西欧国家,近年来出现了大量年轻男性移民,他们往往独自抵达接收国,没有家庭,也缺乏社会监督。许多人还因战争经历而深受创伤的折磨。”她认为,关键在于如何应对挑战——成功的社会融入能降低犯罪率。因为导致犯罪的,不是特定的出身国家,而是失业、缺乏前途等社会因素。“从整体看,移民群体的犯罪率甚至低于本地人口。”

城市环境与“隐性犯罪”

慕尼黑经济研究机构Ifo研究所研究表明,除性别和年龄外,居住地也具关键作用。来自科隆警察学院的犯罪学家吉娜·罗莎·沃林格(Gina Rosa Wollinger)解释说,移民更倾向于居住在城市,而城市与犯罪的关联更强。因此,并非“移民”这一特征本身,而是城市环境更能解释犯罪率差异。

有关对未进入官方统计的“隐性犯罪”的研究也体现了这一点。此类研究基于问卷调查,而非警方数据。沃林格说:“青少年犯罪领域对此已有深入研究,研究结果清晰地表明:德国青少年和非德国青少年的暴力成因完全相同。但移民青少年的风险因素更高。”这些风险因素包括教育水平较低、家庭暴力经历,或对‘暴力正当化的男子气概’的认同和接受程度。”

德国的官方数据主要来自联邦刑事警察局(BKA)发布的年度《警方犯罪统计》。但其中仅涵盖警方掌握的案件。未进入官方统计的“隐性犯罪”往往被忽视,例如家庭暴力或性暴力,这类案件通常报案率偏低。而被视为“外来者”的群体则可能更容易遭举报,从而造成偏差。

暴力常常发生在身边

卡斯泰特指出,尤其在性暴力方面,“陌生人施暴的情况并不多见,更多发生在熟人关系中,例如叔叔、继父、老师或教练。”她补充,虽然2015年科隆跨年夜曾发生过陌生人集体攻击女性的事件,但这种情况非常罕见。

总体而言德国依旧安全

卡斯泰特于25年前离开德国,起初在英国生活,如今居住在澳大利亚。她表示,每次回到家乡汉堡,都觉得很安全——即便在地铁里也是如此。“总体而言,德国是一个安全、友善的国家,”之后她补充道,但“或许没有澳大利亚那么友好”。

 

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俄无人机越界波白边境关闭 中欧班列中断货柜滞留

俄罗斯无人机越界事件导致波兰和白罗斯边境关闭,中欧班列对欧运输中断。

综合财新网和观察者网报道,多位中欧班列代理星期五(9月19日)告诉财新,已有许多运往欧盟的货柜滞留波兰与白罗斯边境的马拉舍维奇。

消息称,四川成都的平台公司9月17日起已暂停对欧发运。

作为“一带一路”的主要项目,中欧班列是连接中国与欧洲的最重要陆路货运通道,途经俄罗斯、白罗斯后抵达波兰马拉舍维奇枢纽,再分拨至欧洲26国220多座城市。

欧洲铁路货运协会数据显示,接近九成的中欧班列经过或到达波兰,马拉舍维奇是进入欧盟的东部门户。

俄罗斯与主要盟友白罗斯9月12日清晨启动大规模联合军演,两国均与波兰接壤。军演开始前的9月10日,多架俄罗斯无人机越境进入波兰领空,波兰与北约盟国紧急出动战机,击落至少三架俄无人机。波兰自9月12日起,以俄白军演为由关闭了波白边境口岸。

据法新社报道,波兰外交部发言人沃伦斯基说,波兰外长西科尔斯基9月15日在与中国外长王毅会谈时,解释为何要暂时关闭与白罗斯接壤的边境,因而切断中国通往欧洲的主要贸易运输通道。

沃伦斯基说,上述决定不是为了要影响贸易伙伴的商品运输。白罗斯境内的形势目前非常严峻,波兰东部边境持续受到混合战的威胁,“如果无法保障边境安全,就不能确保自由贸易”。

另据中国外交部官网,王毅9月15日在与波兰总统纳夫罗茨基会面时说,中国重视波兰在欧洲和世界的地位和影响,愿同波兰继续深化战略互信,增进战略合作,共同推动中波全面战略伙伴关系不断向前发展。希望波兰为推动欧盟树立客观理性对华认知发挥积极作用。

新世界前CEO郑志刚进军数字资产等新兴产业

新世界发展前行政总裁郑志刚宣布成立新公司上合发展控股(ALMAD Group),将投资新兴市场和创新产业,探索数字及虚拟资产,期望为下一代开辟新经济格局。

综合香港《信报》和路透社等报道,去年9月辞任新世界CEO、今年7月全面退出家族企业的郑志刚宣布成立综合性企业集团上合发展,将总部设在香港,通过三大方向推进在中国大陆、亚细安和中东等地区的投资。

集团重点布局的三大方向中,包括投资新兴市场的创新产业,探索数字及虚拟资产新突破,以及在全球拓展K11 by AC文化生态圈。郑志刚于2008年创办K11,首创文化商业模式。

郑志刚称,他在两年前开始构思,务求成为全球经济产业深刻变革的重要力量,致力投资东盟和中东等新兴市场的产业升级项目,同时在全球拓展数字资产与文化产业业务。

集团愿景是期望为下一代开辟新经济格局,为未来经济发展注入更多可能性。郑志刚说期望在短期内公布更多筹备中的项目。

上合发展的新闻稿未提及集团投资额及项目,但指郑志刚曾为科技初创企业提供早期资金,包括曾参与小红书、小鹏汽车等成功案例。

新世界目前是香港负债最重的地产开发商之一,今年7月曝出寻求亏损出售香港机场旗舰11 Skies商场,以缓解资金压力。

中国铁塔原董事长佟吉禄被查

中国铁塔股份有限公司原中共党委书记、董事长佟吉禄涉嫌严重违纪违法,接受审查调查。

据中纪委网站,佟吉禄涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻国务院国资委纪检监察组纪律审查和浙江省杭州市监委监察调查。

公开资料显示,佟吉禄出生于1958年4月,早年在辽宁工作,曾任辽宁省邮政局副局长。2000年7月,他加入中国联通,先后担任总会计师、副总经理。

中国铁塔成立后,2014年8月佟吉禄出任总经理,2018年3月接任董事长一职,直至2021年9月因年龄原因卸任。

内蒙古一地采集男居民血样录入DNA数据库

从9月5日起,中国内蒙古自治区锡林浩特市采集男性居民血样,并录入本地DNA数据库。当地官方称,此举是为了完善公民身份信息。

据澎湃新闻报道,锡林浩特市公安局星期六(9月20日)发布通告称,9月5日起集中采集辖区内男性居民血样录入本地DNA数据库,并称这是完善公民身份信息,直接关联到个人身份证、护照等证件的办理;对于防范老人儿童走失、人员身份信息确认等方面,具有重大作用。

对于这则通告,有微博网民留言说,“为什么只男性?”还有网民说:“好吓人,采集生物信息。手机实名制之后和诈骗集团的蓬勃发展。”

锡林浩特市统计局的资料显示,截至2024年末,锡林浩特市常住人口35万4500人,其中男性人口18万3300人。

走进上美影的创作现场,看《大闹天宫》《中国奇谭》是如何诞生的

(本文首发于南方人物周刊)

南方人物周刊特约撰稿 格雷

责任编辑:杨静茹

由经典动画角色组成的灯箱墙(格雷/图)

2025年暑期档,动画电影《浪浪山小妖怪》以黑马之姿突围,荣登中国影史二维动画电影票房榜首,获得票房和口碑的双丰收。其背后的出品方——成立于1957年的上海美术电影制片厂(以下简称“上美影”),曾创作出《大闹天宫》《哪吒闹海》《黑猫警长》《葫芦兄弟》《宝莲灯》等伴随了几代中国人成长的经典动画作品。

泰康美术馆坐落在北京CBD中央商务区(格雷/图)

在《浪浪山小妖怪》上映期间,一场聚焦上美影的综合性文献和艺术展“绘动世界:上海美术电影的时代记忆与当代回响”在北京泰康美术馆开幕。展览依据从“台前”到“幕后”的展示逻辑,呈现的上千件展品涵盖了百余个经典动画角色原稿、

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校对:赵立宇

欢迎分享、点赞与留言。本作品的版权为南方周末或相关著作权人所有,任何第三方未经授权,不得转载,否则即为侵权。

1566例灼伤事故:“化骨水”为何能随便买、随意扔?

氢氟酸是危险化学品,虽然毒性危害级别很高,但不属于剧毒化学品。在实际管理中,大部分管理规章面向的主体都为单位,对个人行为并无太多涉及。因此,虽然个人随意遗弃氢氟酸是违法的,但相关政策与法规对其个人使用上的监管,管控力度十分有限。

目前,《危险化学品安全法》的草案二审稿于2025年9月12日至2025年10月11日在全国人大网公开征求意见。陈文涛建议,应在法律中明确个人对于危化品的权责。

南方周末记者 陈怡帆 李桂 南方周末实习生 张钰馨

责任编辑:钱炜

2019年8月29日,北京,工人在西直门凯德mall大厦清洗外墙。(视觉中国/图)

2019年8月29日,北京,工人在西直门凯德mall大厦清洗外墙。(视觉中国/图)


2025年9月15日,杭州一名女子因误踩氢氟酸不幸身亡。10年前遗弃的三桶危险化学品,直到悲剧发生才重新暴露在公众视野。

在外墙清洗工的日常里,氢氟酸是一种见效快、价格低的清洁剂,能随意购买、稀释和倾倒。被氢氟酸灼伤的意外事故也不在少数,除化工业工人外,装卸工、保洁员、拾荒者和实验室人员都可能成为受害者。

多名危化专家告诉南方周末,氢氟酸是危险化学品,虽然毒性危害级别很高,但不属于剧毒化学品。在实际管理中,大部分管理规章面向的主体都为单位,对个人行为并无太多涉及。因此,虽然个人随意遗弃氢氟酸是违法的,但相关政策与法规对其个人使用上的监管,管控力度十分有限。

在缺少明确监管与法律约束的空白地带,个人购买、存放和废弃危险化学品的现实困境,也使这起事故的后续处理成为关注焦点。

墙面清洗工多是单干,清洁剂自行购买

2025年9月15日,杭州市一名涂姓女子因踩到氢氟酸意外身亡。据杭州市公安局余杭区分局发布的警情通报,涂某某陪同两位女性朋友在事发区域垦荒种菜,其间涂某某在经过废墟时踩破一只白色方形塑料桶,脚部接触桶内液体(氢氟酸)后出现剧烈灼痛。

经警方调查,涉案废墟处原建有一平房,艾某发于2013年至2015年期间曾在该空置平房居住,该三桶氢氟酸系其从事外墙清洗工作的儿子放置,2015年搬离时遗弃。如今,该父子已被警方控制,案件在进一步侦办中。

氢氟酸具有强腐蚀性,也在氟化工业中发挥着重要作用。它也具备强穿透性,一旦接触后便会引起酸性烧伤,能够通过皮肤黏膜、呼吸道、消化道等途径被吸收,造成机体深部损伤,因此特性,民间称其为“化骨水”。

种种特性,让它在清洁剂市场上占有一席之地。一篇发表在《化学清洗》的论文提到,低浓度的氢氟酸对于污垢的清洗能力远大于盐酸和柠檬酸,对金属材质、玻璃、混凝土等材料均有强烈的腐蚀作用。

在外墙清洗中,氢氟酸常用于处理墙面返碱。广东一位从事外墙清洗工作的王某告诉记者,氢氟酸常用于水泥或石材外墙上的返碱问题。“外墙返碱,我们叫‘流眼泪’,墙面泛白成流水状,这时需要用到酸性溶剂。”

见效快、性价比高,是工人们使用氢氟酸的主要原因。王某称,用氢氟酸可以使沉积的顽固污渍融化得更快,如果使用其它化学试剂,则需要用到打磨机,先磨再洗。另一位从事外墙清洗工作24年的魏某向记者表示,使用氢氟酸是为了降低成本,代替的药水上千元一桶,而氢氟酸只要百元,“如果讲价多一点,25公斤的氢氟酸才200多块钱。”

他们购买的氢氟酸一般为浓度40%至60%的原液,兑水后使用。据上述两位工人介绍,兑水比例按污渍的顽固程度而调整,“一般先稀释得多一点,不伤清洗的材质,也不伤自己,洗不掉再加点比例”。常见的兑水比例为“50毫升加两三公斤水”,此时的氢氟酸浓度在1

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校对:星歌

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韩京畿道知事将率团访华六天

韩国京畿道知事金东兖将率团于9月22日至27日访问重庆、上海和江苏,并与地方政府及企业签署合作协议。

据韩联社报道,金东兖一行人将与重庆市商务委员会和重庆市两江新区分别签署合作协议,之后前往上海,访问中国科技巨头腾讯的总部,共商人工智能(AI)合作方案。

他们还将访问江苏省,与省政府签署环境合作协议,并与二次电池零部件制造商中瑞签署600亿韩元(5500万新元)规模的投资协议。

这是金东兖自2023年11月以来第二次以京畿道知事身份访华。当时,他曾与中国副总理何立峰、中共辽宁省委书记郝鹏等人会晤。

京畿道知事相当于中国的省长。京畿道位于韩国西北部,围绕着韩国首都首尔。

近500间扶植科创企业有意赴港发展

香港特区创新科技及工业局局长孙东说,今年有意赴港发展的扶植科创企业从去年的200多家增至逾500家。

孙东星期六(9月21日)在香港电台节目上说,特区政府扶植的企业,从去年的200多家增加至今年近500家,当中包括本地企业及从外地引进的企业。孙东指出,香港发展创新科技几乎“从零开始”,发展新型工业化需要“因地制宜、因时制宜”,配合国家发展大势,协助内地企业出海的同时,也可将香港制造的产品带到海外。

孙东指出,星期三(9月17日)发表的《施政报告》将产业发展为导向列为重点之一。他认为,香港地方少、人工贵,发展先进制造业的成本较高,必须要找真正适合香港发展的产业落户,这包括“中试产业”,即处理产业大量生产前的最关键技术,既符合香港的特点,也能带来一定收入。

孙东也透露,香港自主研发的人工智能大模型“港文通”目前已有超过2万4000名公务员使用,也有一部分公务员正试用“港话通”进行搜索或生成解决方案。他计划今年内透过智方便平台,将“港话通”推出市场供市民使用。

中国对美稀土磁铁出口下滑 整体出口仍增长

尽管中国政府近期放松限制后整体出口持续回升,但8月份中国对美国的稀土磁铁出货量仍出现下滑。

彭博社报道,中国海关总署星期六(9月20日)公布的数据显示,中国对美国的稀土磁铁出口量环比下降5%,至590吨;同期总出口量增至约6146吨,创今年1月以来新高。

这些数据是在美国总统特朗普与中国国家主席习近平于星期五(19日)通话,讨论贸易紧张局势之后公布的。

稀土磁铁是电动车、风力涡轮机和军事装备不可或缺的原材料,在今年早些时候成为北京与华盛顿对峙中最有力的武器。特朗普近日则以飞机零部件作为筹码,反制北京的稀土限制。

中国掌控着全球约90%的稀土磁铁产量。这场供应危机加快了美国等国建设本土供应链的步伐。

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