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中美将全世界卷入贸易战“交火”

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中美将全世界卷入贸易战“交火”

PATRICIA COHEN
特朗普总统对进口至美国的大部分钢铝产品征收50%的关税,其他一些国家也相继对钢铁产品加征关税。
特朗普总统对进口至美国的大部分钢铝产品征收50%的关税,其他一些国家也相继对钢铁产品加征关税。 Desiré van den Berg for The New York Times
全球主要经济数据分析机构之一周二发布了最新经济报告,但国际货币基金组织(IMF)给出的折中预测远未能反映出全球经济正经历的剧烈动荡。
就在IMF筹备报告期间,一系列新动态已在改变当前局势。美国对进口木材、家具及橱柜加征的关税已于周二正式生效,此举预计将推高住宅建造成本。同日,中美两国相互加征的首轮船舶港口费也同步落地。
周二的贸易局势变动不过是特朗普总统誓言打破全球经济秩序所引发连锁反应中的一个环节,后续还将有更多变动。
上周,中国政府决定大幅加强对稀土金属的出口管制。稀土金属是制造半导体、手机、风力涡轮机及几乎所有现代电子产品的关键材料。此外,针对电动汽车电池生产所需设备的新限制措施,也定于下月正式生效。
特朗普最初的怒火在上周末有所缓和,此前他的回应导致股市出现自4月首次宣布大规模加征关税以来的最剧烈下跌。尽管如此,他威胁要对中国进口商品额外加征100%关税的提议仍是悬而未决。
中美贸易紧张局势正引发全球连锁反应:中国出口限制措施冲击欧洲汽车制造商,美国对中国制造船舶的收费则影响外国船运企业停靠美国港口。
中美贸易紧张局势正引发全球连锁反应:中国出口限制措施冲击欧洲汽车制造商,美国对中国制造船舶的收费则影响外国船运企业停靠美国港口。 Erin Schaff/The New York Times
“美中关系极不稳定,”伦敦商学院教授理查德·波特斯表示,“人们根本无法预测第二天会发生什么,而这正是本届政府的典型特征。”
这两个经济超级大国之间不断升级的紧张局势正使其他国家——几乎是所有国家——陷入夹缝之中。例如,中国对金属和磁体的出口限制,将影响到使用这些材料并在欧洲内部跨境运输的欧洲汽车制造商;而针对中国制造船舶的收费,即便对停靠美国港口的非中国航运企业也同样适用。
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周二,中国政府进一步加大报复力度,将韩国航运企业韩华集团的五家美国子公司列入制裁名单,指控这些子公司“支持和协助”美国在造船业的相关行动。
北京和华盛顿实质上还在迫使全球各国选边站。作为全球最大的中国汽车买家之一,墨西哥在特朗普政府的大力游说后,于上月提议对中国汽车加征50%的关税。
与此同时,印度与中国的关系愈发紧密。此前,白宫对新德里持续购买俄罗斯石油不满,对印度商品加征最高50%的关税。8月,印度总理莫迪七年来首次访华,出席一场安全与经济会议——印度领导人借此公开表明,若特朗普政府继续针对印度实施惩罚性措施,印度仍有众多盟友。
北京和华盛顿正施压各国选边站队。在美国游说下,中国汽车的主要买家墨西哥上月提议对中国汽车征收50%的关税。
北京和华盛顿正施压各国选边站队。在美国游说下,中国汽车的主要买家墨西哥上月提议对中国汽车征收50%的关税。 Benedicte Desrus for The New York Times
自特朗普上任以来,全球贸易政策的变动既有快速的推进,也有缓慢的发酵,其影响广泛且难以预测。
今年夏季,当特朗普宣布计划对大多数进口钢铝加征50%关税时,英国钢铁制造商曾感到庆幸——英国政府已与美方达成协议,其钢铁产品仅需缴纳半数关税,即25%。
但上周,欧盟宣布对进口至其27个成员国的钢铁征收惩罚性关税后,英国业界的情绪急剧恶化。该政策给英国钢铁业带来沉重打击,因为英国钢铁近80%的出口流向欧盟。
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然而,英国并非该政策的目标——这些举措的矛头指向北京和华盛顿,英国只是被波及的旁观者。
欧盟此次加征的50%关税主要针对中国,中国被指向全球市场倾销低价钢铁。该关税政策的另一目的是使得欧盟在与美国谈判时占据更有利地位。
“欧盟准备与志同道合的国家合作,保护本国经济免受全球产能过剩的影响,”欧盟执行机构上周表示,“我们将继续探索与美国的合作途径。”
全球两大经济体之间的贸易冲突正引发连锁反应——中国制造的船舶在停靠美国港口时面临额外收费。
全球两大经济体之间的贸易冲突正引发连锁反应——中国制造的船舶在停靠美国港口时面临额外收费。 Scott McIntyre for The New York Times
保护主义的势头也在蔓延,加拿大、巴西和墨西哥均已采取措施保护本土钢铁企业。
不过,伦敦商学院教授卢克雷齐娅·赖希林表示,尽管贸易政策频繁变动,全球经济仍将保持高度一体化,即便经济重心正从西方转向亚洲。
目前,美国中国的经济增长均在放缓,短期和长期前景均充满普遍的不确定性。
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伦敦商学院的波特斯如此总结全球两大经济体之间的态势:“中国的目标稳定、明确且坚定,而特朗普政府的观点和政策每天都在变化。”
“当前的不确定性程度极高,”他还说。“这无疑会给全球经济带来影响。”

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Madagascar military says it has seized power as president moves to 'safe place'

'We have seized power,' says head of military unit

An elite military unit says it has seized power in Madagascar from President Andry Rajoelina following weeks of youth-led protests in the Indian Ocean island.

Standing outside the Presidential Palace, CAPSAT chief Col Michael Randrianirina said the military would form a government and hold elections within two years. He also suspended key democratic institutions, like the electoral commission.

Gen Z protestors will be part of the changes because "the movement was created in the streets so we have to respect their demands" he added.

Troops and protestors have been celebrating the apparent ousting of President Rajoelina, with thousands cheering and waving flags in the capital, Antananarivo.

Madagascar's constitutional court has named Col Randrianirina as the country's new leader, even though a statement from the president's office said he was still in charge and denounced what it described as an "attempted coup d'etat".

Rajoelina's whereabouts are unknown, but he has said he is sheltering in a "safe place" following an alleged attempt on his life by "military personnel and politicians", which CAPSAT has denied having any involvement in. There have been unconfirmed reports that the president was flown out of the country on a French military aircraft.

Col Randrianirina told the BBC that Madagascar was "a country where chaos reigns right now".

"Chaos because there's no president - he's gone abroad."

The unrest began just over two weeks ago, after a youth-led movement began protesting against chronic water and power cuts across the country.

AFP via Getty Images Dozens of people march in the Madagascar capital of  Antananarivo, with their fists in the air. AFP via Getty Images
Youth-led protests began over electricity cuts and water shortages

The demonstrations soon escalated, to reflect wider dissatisfaction with Rajoelina's government over high unemployment, rampant corruption and the cost-of-living crisis.

Protestors clashed with security forces resulting in the death of at least 22 people and more than 100 others injured, according to the UN, although the Malagasy government has dismissed those figures and described them as based on "rumours and misinformation".

CAPSAT, which supported Rajoelina when he came into power in 2009, joined the protestors on Saturday.

President Rajoelina, an entrepreneur and former DF, was once seen as a fresh start for Madagascar.

The baby-faced leader became president at the age of just 24, earning the title of Africa's youngest leader, and going on to govern for four years, before returning to power after the 2018 election.

AFP via Getty Images Video of President Andry Rajoelina on an tablet screenAFP via Getty Images
President Andry Rajoelina gave a speech on Monday via his Facebook page

But he fell out of favour following allegations of cronyism and corruption, which he denied.

Despite the fact that power appears to have shifted away from him, he has continued to try to influence events.

Rajoelina attempted to dissolve the national assembly before the opposition could vote to strip him of his presidency for abandonment of post, but that didn't work.

Lawmakers voted to impeach Rajoelina by 130 votes to one blank ballot. Even members of Rajoelina's party, IRMAR, voted overwhelmingly to impeach him.

Rajoelina rejected the vote, calling it "null and void".

The African Union (AU) has warned against soldiers "meddling" in Madagascar's political affairs and rejected "any attempt at unconstitutional changes of government".

French President Emmanuel Macron called the situation "greatly worrying".

The island has gone through a series of political upheavals in recent years.

Madagascar is one of the poorest countries in the world, with 75% of its 30 million people living below the poverty line, according to the World Bank.

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中国大陆将扩大台湾人落地办证入境至全部符合条件口岸

中国大陆国台办宣布,为进一步扩大开放,台湾人到中国大陆落地办证口岸范围,将扩大至全部符合条件口岸,落地申请办理一次有效台胞证即可入境。

国台办发言人陈斌华星期三(10月15日)在例行新闻发布会上宣布,为进一步扩大开放,让台湾人到中国大陆更加便利和安全,有关职能部门拟于近期将台湾居民到大陆落地办证口岸范围,扩大至全部符合条件口岸。

陈斌华介绍,台湾人无论是从台湾直航中国大陆,还是经由港澳地区和外国到中国大陆,都可以在上述口岸落地申请办理一次有效台胞证入境。政策措施详情和落地办证口岸清单将由有关职能部门适时发布。

陈斌华说:“两岸一家亲。台湾同胞始终是我们的骨肉天亲,我们始终重视听取台胞的意见建议。出台上述政策,就是致力为台湾居民来往大陆创造更加开放、便利、安全的条件,进一步促进两岸人员往来和交流合作,助力两岸关系和平发展、融合发展行稳致远,守护两岸同胞共同利益和福祉。”

韩国前总统卢泰愚之子卢载宪拟出任驻华大使

韩国已故前总统卢泰愚之子、东亚文化中心理事长卢载宪拟出任韩国驻华大使。

根据韩联社报道,卢载宪被敲定担任李在明政府首位韩国驻华大使。他星期二(10月14日)接受采访时说,将以“愚公移山”的精神进一步推动韩中关系发展,增进两国的睦邻友好,为提高韩国的地位全力以赴。

卢载宪说,在国际秩序面临剧变的此时此刻,自己肩负重任,深感沉重的责任感与历史使命感。

卢载宪的父亲卢泰愚是1992年中韩建交关键人物,他在担任韩国总统期间推动“北方政策”,积极谋求同社会主义国家的关系破冰。

报道预计,卢载宪将在近期赴华履职,在中国国家主席习近平出席亚太经合组织(APEC)领导人非正式会议期间,就访韩事宜等与中方协调沟通。

自今年1月前韩国驻华大使郑在浩离任以来,这一职位已空缺超过八个月。韩国政府星期二在李在明的主持下召开国务会议,表决通过了任命卢载宪为驻华大使的人事调动案。外界普遍认为,李在明任命卢载宪为驻华大使,意在修复遇冷的中韩关系。

中国9月CPI同比下降0.3%

中国9月居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比下降0.3%,环比上涨0.1%。图为沈阳一家市场上的摊贩。 (法新社)

中国9月居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比下降0.3%,消费者和企业信心在国内经济长期疲软、国际贸易紧张局势再度升温的情况下受到拖累。

根据中国国家统计局网站星期三(10月15日)发布的数据,全国居民消费价格同比下降0.3%。路透此前调查的经济学家预期下降0.2%。

其中,城市下降0.2%,农村下降0.5%;食品价格下降4.4%,非食品价格上涨0.7%;消费品价格下降0.8%,服务价格上涨0.6%。1至9月平均,全国居民消费价格比上年同期下降0.1%。

9月中国居民消费价格环比上涨0.1%。其中,城市持平,农村上涨0.2%;食品价格上涨0.7%,非食品价格下降0.1%;消费品价格上涨0.3%,服务价格下降0.3%。

中国8月CPI同比下降0.4%,创下六个月来最大跌幅。9月CPI降幅收窄,但仍处于通缩区间。

山东男子深夜酒驾致八人死亡

中国山东省聊城市一名男子深夜醉酒驾驶,与多辆电动自行车发生碰撞,造成八人死亡。

聊城公安局茌平分局星期五(10月15日)发布警情通报称,星期二(10月14日)晚10时46分,辖区发生一起酒后驾驶致多人伤亡案件。

通报称,37岁的杜姓男司机酒后驾驶小型汽车,沿辖区新政路由西向东行驶,与多辆电动自行车发生碰撞,造成一人死亡,七人送医救治无效死亡,四人住院治疗(生命体征平稳)。

根据通报,杜姓男司机目前已被公安机关控制。经初步调查,事故由杜姓男司机醉酒驾驶造成,他的血液酒精检测含量为195.3mg/100mL,排除毒驾等。案件正在进一步调查中。

王世坚《没出息》爆红 绿委王义川:统战洗脑不要听

台湾民进党籍立法委员王世坚昔日的质询金句,被中国大陆网民改编成神曲《没出息》走红两岸,同党立委王义川呼吁台湾民众不要听唱这首歌,因为“那是中国专门统战洗脑的”。

综合《太报》和民视新闻报道,王世坚早年在议会质询时,一段“本来应该从从容容、游刃有余,现在是匆匆忙忙、连滚带爬”的金句,近日被中国大陆网民重新剪辑、改编成歌曲《没出息》,洗脑旋律迅速在两岸爆红。

不过,王义川上周六(10月11日)开直播时,看到网民留言“现在是匆匆忙忙、连滚带爬”后,立即警告“那首歌不要听!那都是中国设计的整套剧本,专门要来统战、洗脑的!”

他认为,如果台湾民众去抖音观看视频的话,“整支手机的东西都出去了,还下载中国抖音,现在弄一个‘匆匆忙忙’,就成为会员,加一下,加一下,就完蛋了”。

王义川称,他上周二(7日)才刚在立法院讲到抖音资料渗透的事情,上周三(8日)《没出息》就出来了,“这都是整套设计好的”。

亲蓝的《联合报》主笔室星期三(15日)发表评论文章称,王世坚在抖音爆红,王义川的脸就绿了,马上应验那句歌词:“睁眼说瞎话,没出息!”

文章称:“王义川是井底之蛙、自曝其短,因为对年轻人而言,只要好玩、KUSO(恶搞),就是网络迷因的好元素,谁会迷信民进党‘逢中必统、抗中保台’那套政令宣导。”

文章认为,王世坚堪称“新国宝”,彻底颠覆民进党认知作战思维,台湾总统赖清德也不容轻忽这股“坚系风潮”。

Government under pressure to release collapsed China spy case evidence

AFP/Getty Images Split picture showing the faces of Christopher Cash and Christopher Berry.AFP/Getty Images
Christopher Cash (left) and Christopher Berry (right) were both accused of spying for China

The Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats are demanding the Labour government publish the evidence it submitted in the now-collapsed case against two people accused of spying for China.

It follows another public intervention from the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS), which has made clear it would not stand in the way if ministers chose to put their evidence in the public domain.

On Tuesday, senior government figures had suggested that the CPS had told them to do so would be "inappropriate".

Prosecutors unexpectedly dropped the case against Christopher Cash and Christopher Berry last month, prompting criticism from ministers and MPs. Both men deny the allegations.

The director of public prosecutions said the case collapsed because evidence could not obtained from the government referring to China as a national security threat.

This row within a row relates to the three witness statements submitted by Deputy National Security Adviser Matthew Collins, on whether China had been regarded as a threat at the time of the alleged offences under the previous Conservative government.

The CPS has now said: "The statements were provided to us for the purpose of criminal proceedings which are now over.

"The material contained in them is not ours, and it is a matter for the government, independently of the CPS, to consider whether or not to make that material public."

Mr Cash, a former parliamentary researcher, and Mr Berry were charged under the Official Secrets Act in April 2024, when the Conservatives were in power.

They were accused of gathering and providing information prejudicial to the safety and interests of the state between December 2021 and February 2023.

Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp told the BBC: "The government should now urgently release Matt Collins's witnesses statements and the correspondence around them in the interests of full transparency.

"Since this evidence would have been cross-examined in court, it cannot be secret.

"Otherwise, there will be legitimate questions about what exactly the government is hiding."

Liberal Democrat Foreign Affairs Spokesperson Calum Miller also called on Labour to release the full witness statements.

"If ministers have nothing to hide they have nothing to fear," Miller said. "Failure to come clean will just confirm people's suspicions of a cover-up and that ministers are more worried about cosying up to China than protecting our national security."

On Sunday, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch wrote to the prime minister asking him to address "unanswered" questions about the collapsed case.

In her letter, Badenoch accused Sir Keir Starmer, or his ministers, of being "too weak to stand up to Beijing on a crucial matter of national security", claiming the government had sought to "appease China".

Jonathan Powell speaking on the BBC"s The Andrew Marr Show
Jonathan Powell, one of Sir Keir's most senior advisers and political allies, visited China earlier this year

There is every possibility Sir Keir will for the first time face sustained public scrutiny on the case on Wednesday, when he appears at the first Prime Minister's Question time for several weeks, after the parliamentary recess for party conferences.

The Labour leader previously said ministers could only draw on the last government's assessment of China, in which the country was called an "epoch-defining challenge", and his government has maintained it is "frustrated" the trial collapsed.

The Tories have asked the CPS if it would be able to restart prosecutions against the two men, if new evidence is brought forward by the government declaring China a threat to national security.

But there is an exceptionally high bar to prosecuting someone for a second time after an acquittal in court - and it is not possible to do so for people charged under the Official Secrets Act.

That protection against what is known as "double jeopardy" is a basic legal principle that has existed for 800 years.

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中国航司吁停止经俄罗斯领空往返美国禁令

美国特朗普政府拟禁止中国航空公司在往返美国的航班中飞越俄罗斯领空。中国国际航空、东方航空、南方航空等主要航司星期二(10月14日)呼吁停止这项禁令,并指该禁令一旦实施,将增加飞行时间、推高机票价格,并可能扰乱部分航线。

综合路透社和国际航空行业媒体Flightglobal报道,中国东方航空在文件中指出,美国相关举措可能会让航司最重要航线的飞行时间延长两到三小时,显著增加转机延误的风险,并导致燃油消耗上升。

中国国际航空和南方航空则说,这一决定将对大量中美乘客造成不利影响。南方航空预计,在11月1日至12月31日的旅游旺季期间,至少有2800名已预订机票的旅客需要改签,“他们的旅行计划将因此被破坏”。

美国交通部上星期四(9日)发布拟议命令称,美国航司长期对中国航司飞越俄罗斯领空的安排表示不满,认为这让对方缩短航程、减少燃油消耗、降低成本,从而获得明显优势。

自2022年3月俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来,美国禁止俄航班进入美领空,俄罗斯也禁止美国及多国航司飞越它的领空。

美国交通部说,已给予中国航司两天时间回应这一提案,最终命令最快可能于11月生效。

中国国际航空、北京首都航空、中国东方航空、中国南方航空、海南航空、四川航空和厦门航空等七家中国航司上星期五(10日)共同签署了一封致美国交通部的信函,要求后者给予更多时间回复评议,以便航空公司有更多时间评估停止穿越俄罗斯领空的美国航班对运营造成的影响。

国民党主席选举最后关头 郝龙斌称获蒋万安支持

国民党将在星期六(10月18日)改选党主席,前台北市长、候选人郝龙斌星期三(10月15日)发布他和台北市长蒋万安的合照,称“他说,我是一位稳健务实合适的党主席人选”。 (取自郝龙斌脸书)

国民党主席选举进入最后三天倒数计时,前台北市长郝龙斌与前立委郑丽文的选情激烈,郝龙斌发文称获得台北市长蒋万安支持,“他说,我是一位稳健务实合适的党主席人选”。

国民党将在星期六(10月18日)改选党主席,候选人郝龙斌星期三(10月15日)在脸书发布他和蒋万安的合照,称蒋万安深知这次党主席选举对国民党未来发展的重要性,“在这最后关键时刻,他特别与我会面,谈到对党的未来方向,也对新任党主席的角色与期许,提出了许多真诚而深刻的想法”。

郝龙斌称,蒋万安认为国民党需要世代团结。 “他说,我是一位稳健务实合适的党主席人选,能够凝聚共识,也有中道理性的特质,能带领国民党稳定团结、持续前进。”

郝龙斌写道:“他也提到,我不论在中央、地方,或八年市政经验中,都有带领庞大行政团队的经验;两次首都市长的选战,也培养出战斗力,能在未来面对艰困选战时,带领全党稳健应战。在现在这个时间点,国民党的首要任务就是2026地方选举胜利,并在2028重新赢回中央执政权,这样的经验与特质,弥足珍贵。”

郝龙斌还感谢蒋万安的信任,称会记得这份情谊,也会以同样的初心与决心,带领国民党团结向前,让世代并肩,“为中华民国再创新的希望”。

中国官媒:反制措施是为维护国际海运市场的公平与正义

中美经贸摩擦再度升级,领域延伸至海运与造船产业。中国官媒《经济日报》星期三(10月15日)发表评论文章说,中国始终是国际海运秩序的建设者和维护者。中国采取反制措施,并不是为了升级摩擦,而是为了维护国际海运市场的公平与正义。

文章指出,美国星期二(14日)起对中国公司拥有或运营的船舶、中国造船舶、中国籍船舶加收港口服务费。这种做法罔顾事实,严重违反世贸组织规则,违背《中美海运协定》平等互惠原则,严重损害中国海运业和相关企业的正当利益,破坏了国际海运和全球经贸秩序。

中国采取反制措施,不是挑衅,而是依法依规、合情合理的正当防卫。中国曾就相关问题向美方提供书面回应,并就双方可在相关产业开展合作提出建议。但美国态度消极,执意实施不当措施。

文章强调,中国不惹事,但也绝不怕事。施压、威胁和讹诈,绝不是同中国打交道的正确方式。面对任何无理打压,中国都有决心、有能力、有手段维护自身正当权益。因此,对于美方一些人对中国海事、物流和造船领域实施的歧视性措施,中国不会坐视不理,更不会听之任之。

文章还说,中国采取反制措施,并不是为了升级摩擦,而是为了维护国际海运市场的公平与正义。中美同为贸易大国,两国间海运体量庞大,对全球航运格局具有举足轻重的影响。中美之间的航运联系若被人为破坏,势必引发连锁反应,干扰全球海运体系的安全与畅通,冲击国际经贸秩序的正常运转。

如果任由美国一些人的霸权霸凌行径肆意妄为,国际海运规则将被侵蚀,公平正义将被践踏,合作基础将被动摇。因此,中国必须以行动捍卫国际公理,维护国际航运和造船市场的公平竞争环境。

文章最后说,中国始终是国际海运秩序的建设者和维护者,致力于推动构建开放、公平、公正、非歧视的国际海运市场秩序。中国始终主张,通过平等对话和建设性磋商妥善处理分歧,反对以施压、打压方式解决问题。单边主义终将走入死胡同,合作共赢才是通向未来的航道。美方若有诚意维护国际海运和造船业健康发展,应立即纠正错误做法,停止对中国企业的无理打压,与中方相向而行,通过平等磋商与合作找到解决问题的办法。

美国去年4月援引该国贸易法中的“301条款”,对中国海事、物流和造船业展开调查;今年4月宣布,所有与中国有关联的船只,自10月14日起停靠美国港口须按吨位缴纳费用。

中国上星期五(10日)宣布,从10月14日开始对停泊在中国港口的美国船舶征收特别港务费,以反制美方的相关措施,并在星期二(14日)宣布,制裁韩国造船巨头韩华海洋旗下的五家美国子公司。

IMF:中国必须将经济增长转向内需 化解房地产危机

国际货币基金组织(IMF)总裁格奥尔基耶娃10月8日在华盛顿的一场活动上发表讲话时,屏幕上正显示着中国国旗。 (路透社)

国际货币基金组织(IMF)星期二(10月14日)重申了长期以来向北京传递的信息,中国必须重新平衡经济增长模式,转向以国内需求为主导,而这一需求因房地产危机而长期疲弱。

据路透社报道,IMF在最新的《世界经济展望》再次公开强调这一观点,具有重要意义。此前,美国财政部长贝森特曾在今年4月呼吁IMF回归基本职责,加大对中国经济政策的批评力度。贝森特的前幕僚长卡茨(Dan Katz)最近接任了IMF颇具影响力的二号职位。

IMF首席经济学家古林沙斯(Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas)在新闻发布会上说,中国仍在大量生产用于出口的制成品,但这些商品的价格正在下跌。

他认为,这表明市场对这些产品的吸纳能力有限,并指中国的出口增长引擎正在熄火。

古林沙斯表示:“我们长期以来一直建议中国当局重新平衡经济结构,转向可持续的内需驱动。”

国际货币基金组织(IMF)星期二发布最新一期《世界经济展望报告》,预计2025年世界经济将增长3.2%,较今年7月预测值上调0.2个百分点;2026年的全球增长预测则维持在3.1%。

在与IMF预测同时发布的博客文章中,古林沙斯形容中国的经济前景“令人担忧”。

他写道:“随着房地产投资持续萎缩、整体信贷需求依然疲弱,金融稳定风险正在攀升且持续加剧,经济徘徊在债务通缩陷阱边缘。”

古林沙斯认为,由于房地产危机尚未解决,银行体系背负大量不良贷款,消费者和企业信心受到压制,中国的国内需求已经疲弱超过四年。

他还指出,中国转向对电动汽车等战略性行业进行补贴投资,成效好坏参半,虽然推动了这些领域的增长,但但同时也造成了资源错配和巨大的财政成本。

中美互征港口费,贸易对抗加剧

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中美互征港口费,贸易对抗加剧

PETER EAVIS
据汇丰银行估计,中国最大的航运企业中远集团明年可能需要支付15亿美元美国港口费。
据汇丰银行估计,中国最大的航运企业中远集团明年可能需要支付15亿美元美国港口费。 Erin Schaff/The New York Times
特朗普政府周二扩大了与中国的贸易战,开始对停靠美国港口的中国船舶征收费用。
采取这项酝酿已久的措施是为了对抗中国在商业造船领域的主导地位,帮助重振多年来一直在萎缩的美国本土造船业。
中国交通运输部已在上周五警告将采取报复措施,宣称计划对停靠中国港口的美国船舶征收特别港务费。这个涉及船舶停靠问题的冲突发生之际,中美贸易关系再度陷入动荡。上周,中国宣布对稀土矿物采取更严格的出口限制之后,美国总统特朗普曾威胁对中国商品加征更多关税,但他后来缓和了说法。
支持美国对中国船舶收港口费的人表示,中国通过政府补贴获得了造船业优势地位,征收港口费是为了阻止远洋运输公司购买中国船舶。
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“任何能缩小美中在造船行业上差距的举措都对我们有帮助,”繁荣美国联盟的高级经济学家米希尔·托塞卡说。该组织支持特朗普在贸易问题上采取的许多行动。
新规生效当日,美国还将对进口家具、橱柜和木材加征关税。对中国船舶征收港口费是拜登政府时代启动的一项贸易调查的结果,中国的航运公司拥有的船舶必须缴纳港口费。非中国航运企业如果使用中国制造的船舶往美国运货,停靠港口时也必须缴纳港口费。
近年来,非中国拥有的航运公司购入大量中国制造的船舶,这些公司正竭力将尽可能多的中国制造的船舶调离美国航线,以避免缴纳港口费。
“船东和运营商们正在调整船队部署,以减轻收费的影响,”诺顿罗氏律师事务所专门从事航运和大宗商品业务的合伙人乌察夫·马图尔说。
航运公司已表示,它们无意通过提高运费将成本转嫁给客户。
但批评港口费的人表示,这项收费将降低供应链效率,并最终推高进口商品的成本,许多进口商品今年已受到高额关税的打击。
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“效率降低加上所有需要缴纳的费用,将推高成本,”卡托研究所副所长科林·格拉博说,该研究所是一家主张减少政府对商业监管的研究机构。“只是时间问题而已。”
质疑者同样怀疑这些费用能否真正激活美国造船业,或有效遏制中国造船业的发展,中国造船业近年来已扩大了相对于日本和韩国造船业的优势。
据BRS船舶经纪公司的数据,2024年,中国制造了全球大型船舶的60%,五年前的这个比例是44%。美国的造船成本最高可达亚洲的五倍。BRS数据显示,今年到目前为止,中国建造了717艘大型商用船,而美国只造了一艘。
新规定对中国航运公司最为严格,它们无法避免缴纳港口费。据汇丰银行估计,中国大型航运公司中远集团明年可能需要支付15亿美元的港口费,汇丰银行称,这可能导致中远集团2026年的营业利润减少近75%。
中远集团没有回应记者的置评请求,但该公司曾在今年4月的一份声明中表示,美国的港口费“有可能削弱全球产业链和供应链的安全性、韧性和有序运行”。
战略与国际研究中心副总裁马修·富奈奥莱注意到,瑞士航运巨头MSC地中海航运公司今年已向中国订购了12艘大型集装箱船。富奈奥莱称,从中国购买船舶的航运公司正在“用低成本得到高质量的船舶,而且交付速度快”。他补充说,这也许能抵消美国对中国船舶采取新处罚措施带来的成本和不便。MSC拒绝置评。
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美国对中国船舶收取的处罚性费用虽然不太可能引发美国船舶订单的激增,但可能会与其他旨在振兴美国造船业的努力形成合力。这些努力包括国会一项得到两党支持、为造船业提供补贴的法案,但尚不清楚该法案能否及何时取得进展。
一些新资金最近已流向美国的造船厂。
在韩国拥有大型造船业务的韩国企业集团韩华集团去年花一亿美元购买了费城的一家造船厂。
该集团最近宣布,其经营航运的子公司已向费城的这家造船厂订购了10艘油轮和化学品船,这对一家美国造船厂来说是笔巨大的订单。但由于这是韩华集团内部交易,未必能反映市场对美国造船的广泛需求。
订购这些船舶的是韩华航运,其首席执行官瑞安·林奇为这笔交易做辩护称,有充分的经济根据这样做。“我们永远不会向董事会推荐任何不是最佳实践的做法,”他说。林奇拒绝透露韩华航运为这些船舶支付的价格,只是说是“市场价格”。
中国已在周二将韩华集团的五家美国子公司列入制裁名单,指责它们“支持和协助”美国在造船业采取的行动。
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这项立即生效的制裁禁止中国企业与个人与这五家韩华旗下的子公司开展业务。受该消息的影响,韩华集团旗下的造船部门韩华远洋的股价下跌了8%。
中国交通运输部同时宣布,将就其他组织与个人是否参与对华制裁措施启动调查。
费城的韩华造船厂。对停靠美国港口的中国船舶征收港口费是为了帮助振兴几十年来一直在萎缩的美国造船业。
费城的韩华造船厂。对停靠美国港口的中国船舶征收港口费是为了帮助振兴几十年来一直在萎缩的美国造船业。 Kriston Jae Bethel for The New York Times
特朗普政府在航运上的行动并非只针对中国船舶。所有运输汽车的外国船舶都将被征收港口费,只有少数例外。
车企曾游说反对该项收费,指出这将使得单车成本增加数百美元。避免港口费的一个方法是购买美国制造的汽车运输船。但航运分析师说,美国的造船业可能需要多年时间才能造出一艘这种船。
“认为这些费用会促使各方订购美国制造的汽车运输船,这种想法在我看来极不现实,”卡托研究所的格拉博说。
美国政府还把外国制造的运输液化天然气的船舶作为打击目标(液化天然气是美国重要的出口商品),但在油气行业施压后放宽了相关限制。负责制定新航运规则的美国贸易代表办公室上周五表示,已将一条可能导致液化天然气出口许证暂时吊销的规定取消了,该规定要求一定数量的天然气运输需要用美国制造的船舶。
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记者问贸易代表办公室的一名发言人,如果没有暂停出口许可证的威胁,如何执行上述关于液化天然气运输的要求,她尚未作出回应。

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‘It’s revolting’: More Young Republican chat members out of jobs as condemnation intensifies

NEW YORK — Two more members of a Young Republican group chat strewn with racist epithets and hateful jokes stepped down from their jobs Tuesday after POLITICO published an exclusive report on the Telegram exchanges.

Peter Giunta’s time working with New York Assemblymember Mike Reilly “has ended,” the Republican lawmaker said. Giunta served as chair of the New York State Young Republicans when the chat took place. Joseph Maligno, who previously identified himself as the general counsel for that group, is no longer an employee of the New York State Unified Court System, a courts spokesperson confirmed.

Another chat member, Vermont state Senator Sam Douglass, faced mounting calls for his resignation as well, including from the state’s Gov. Phil Scott, a Republican, and Douglass’ fellow Republican lawmakers, who called his statements “deeply disturbing.”

POLITICO’s in-depth look into how one group of Young Republicans spoke privately was met Tuesday with widespread condemnation in New York, Washington and beyond. The members of the chat — 2,900 pages of which were leaked and reviewed by POLITICO — called Black people monkeys, repeatedly used slurs for gay, Black, Latino and Asian people, and jokingly celebrated Adolf Hitler.

In a bipartisan outcry, members of Congress and other political leaders from around the country said they were appalled by the contents of the group chat. The board of directors of the National Young Republicans said every member of the chat “must immediately resign” their state organization.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, speaking on the Senate floor, described the chat as “revolting” and “disgusting.”

“If this report is accurate, every single Republican leader from President Trump on down … ought to condemn these comments swiftly and unequivocally,” Schumer said.

Vice President JD Vance had a different view and broke with Republicans who broadly condemned the comments within the chat.

On X Tuesday night, Vance drew attention to Democratic candidate for Virginia attorney general Jay Jones, who texted a colleague about shooting the then-Republican House speaker and wishing harm on his children.

“This is far worse than anything said in a college group chat, and the guy who said it could become the AG of Virginia,” Vance wrote with a screenshot of the text exchange. “I refuse to join the pearl clutching when powerful people call for political violence.”

The fallout over the Telegram group chat comes after two others in the slur-laced private exchanges saw their job statuses change before the article even published. William Hendrix, the Kansas Young Republicans’ vice chair at the time of the chat, is “no longer employed” at Kansas Attorney General Kris Kobach’s office. Bobby Walker, who was chair of the New York State Young Republicans as of Tuesday, will not be brought onto New York congressional candidate Peter Oberacker’s campaign as originally planned.

Maligno and Douglass did not respond to repeated requests for comment. In separate statements, both Giunta and Walker apologized for the messages they wrote in the chat but questioned whether they had been altered or taken out of context. They also attempted to blame the release of their chat on the New York Young Republican Club, a political group that operates at the city level and which is often at odds with the state group.

“I am so sorry to those offended by the insensitive and inexcusable language found within the more than 28,000 messages of a private group chat that I created during my campaign to lead the Young Republicans,” Giunta said. “These logs were sourced by way of extortion and provided to POLITICO by the very same people conspiring against me in what appears to be a highly-coordinated year-long character assassination led by Gavin Wax and the New York City Young Republican Club.”

Walker struck a similar tone.

“There is no excuse for the language and tone in messages attributed to me. The language is wrong and hurtful, and I sincerely apologize,” he said. “It’s troubling that private exchanges were obtained and released in a way clearly intended to inflict harm, and the circumstances raise real questions about accuracy and motive but none of that excuses the language. This has been a painful lesson about judgment and trust.”

Wax declined POLITICO’s request for comment.

New York Republican leaders, including Rep. Elise Stefanik, state Senate Minority Leader Rob Ortt and state party chair Ed Cox, had preemptively denounced the chat as POLITICO reported out the story.

“We are appalled by the vile and inexcusable language revealed in the Politico article published today. Such behavior is disgraceful, unbecoming of any Republican, and stands in direct opposition to the values our movement represents,” the National Young Republicans group said Tuesday in a statement posted on X.

New York Democrats piled on after the conversations became public.

“Take them out of the party, take away their official roles, stop using them as campaign advisers. There needs to be consequences. This bullshit has to stop,” Gov. Kathy Hochul told reporters.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries posted an image of POLITICO’s article on Instagram and wrote: “These are sick people. Every single one of these racists and antisemites must be publicly exposed and held accountable.”

Rep. Yvette Clarke, chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, quoted from the article — “Monkeys” “Watermelon people” “1488” — and added on X, “But when we say white supremacy is thriving on the right, they call us reactionary… Give me a break. The future of the Republican Party proudly embraces bigotry that belongs in the past, and every American needs to recognize how dangerous that is.”

Rep. Grace Meng, chair of the Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus, said in a statement that “their willingness to engage in such vile rhetoric behind closed doors speaks volumes to their character and the tone set by our nation’s leaders.”

POLITICO’s reporting on the thousands of messages shared among a dozen Young Republican club members between January and August also reverberated Tuesday in one of the country’s most contentious congressional battlegrounds.

The Democrat-aligned House Majority PAC shared photos of Giunta and Walker with vulnerable New York GOP Rep. Mike Lawler at local GOP events. And some of Lawler’s Democratic challengers, including Beth Davidson, Cait Conley and Mike Sacks, amplified the connection between the New York Republicans.

“You are the company you keep,” Conley wrote on X.

Lawler, who represents the suburbs north of New York City, disavowed the chat members and called for their resignations.

“The deeply offensive and hateful comments reportedly made in a private chat among members of the New York State Young Republicans are disgusting,” his spokesperson Ciro Riccardi said in a statement. “They should resign from any leadership position immediately and reflect on how far they have strayed from basic human respect and decency.”

Ahead of next year’s midterms, the union- and Democrat-backed Battleground New York PAC ramped up the pressure on the state’s GOP representatives.

“These racist, anti-Semitic, and disgusting texts need to be disavowed, full stop, by New York Republicans,” the group’s spokesperson Andrew Grossman said. “Then, New York Republicans need to come clean about the rot within their party that even led to this moment.”

© NYSYR

Hamas returns four more bodies of hostages, Israeli military says

'We want to raise our children': Life in Gaza after hostages and prisoners released

Hamas has returned the bodies of four more deceased hostages, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has said.

The Red Cross retrieved the remains in coffins and handed them over to the Israeli military late on Tuesday night.

The transfer came after Israel warned it would restrict aid into Gaza until Hamas returned the bodies of all 28 deceased hostages. The Palestinian armed group handed back 20 living and four deceased hostages on Monday.

The remains of 45 deceased Palestinians who had been held in Israel were returned to Gaza on Tuesday, the Red Cross said in a statement.

US President Donald Trump's ceasefire plan, which both Israel and Hamas accepted, envisaged the handover of all 48 hostages would be completed by noon on Monday.

While all living hostages were returned, pressure is growing on Hamas and the Israeli government over the remains of 20 hostages which Hamas has not yet repatriated.

Reuters Red Cross vehicles transport the bodies of deceased hostages who had been held in Gaza Reuters
Red Cross vehicles transport the bodies of deceased hostages who had been held in Gaza

In a statement on Tuesday, the IDF said: "Hamas is required to fulfil its part of the agreement and make the necessary efforts to return all the hostages to their families and to proper burial."

Israel's defence minister has warned the Palestinian armed group that "any delay or deliberate avoidance will be considered a gross violation of the agreement and will be responded to accordingly".

Israeli officials said they had decided to restrict aid and delay plans to open the Rafah border crossing with Egypt because Hamas had violated the ceasefire deal by failing to turn over bodies of hostages.

Hamas says it has had difficulty locating the dead hostages' remains.

Watch: 'I felt immense happiness and joy', Israelis react to hostage release

A copy of the ceasefire agreement, published by Israeli media last week, appeared to acknowledge that Hamas and other Palestinian factions might not be able to locate all of the bodies within the original timeframe.

An Israeli official has suggested that an international task force will start work to locate the remains of anyone who was not returned.

"A big burden has been lifted, but the job is NOT DONE. THE DEAD HAVE NOT BEEN RETURNED, AS PROMISED! Phase two begins right NOW!!!" Trump said on X.

Almost 2,000 Palestinian prisoners and detainees were released as part of the 20-point peace plan, touted by the US president as the end of the two-year war.

The first phase of Trump's plan saw the ceasefire come into effect at 12:00 (09:00 GMT) on 10 October.

Reuters Red Cross vehicles escort a truck transporting the bodies of Palestinians who had been held in Israel during the warReuters
Red Cross vehicles escort a truck transporting the bodies of Palestinians who had been held in Israel during the war

Trump signed the declaration on Monday, alongside the leaders of Egypt and Qatar - the main mediators - and Turkey, which played a significant role in the latter stages of indirect negotiations between Israel and Hamas.

UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron were among more than 20 world leaders attending - including many from Muslim and Arab countries. Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Hamas did not take part.

The plan would see Gaza initially governed by a transitional committee of Palestinian technocrats overseen by the "Board of Peace", before power is eventually transferred to the Palestinian Authority (PA) once it has undergone reforms.

But difficult negotiations will be needed in order to move forward with the latter phases of the plan.

Among the points of contention are the extent and timeline of Israeli troop withdrawal, the disarmament of Hamas, and the future governance of the Gaza Strip.

Hamas has previously said it will not disarm unless a Palestinian state was established - and has rejected the idea of foreign governance in Gaza.

The Israeli military launched a campaign in Gaza in response to the Hamas-led attack on southern Israel on 7 October 2023, in which about 1,200 people were killed and 251 others were taken hostage.

At least 67,869 people have been killed by Israeli military operations in Gaza since then, according to the territory's Hamas-run health ministry.

Pictured: Winning entries for Wildlife Photographer of the Year 2025

Wim van den Heever Brown hyena standing near the ruins of an abandoned diamond mining building in dusty light.Wim van den Heever

A brown hyena standing beside the ruins of an abandoned diamond mining settlement has earned wildlife photographer Wim van den Heever the title of Wildlife Photographer of the Year.

He set up his camera trap after spotting fresh hyena tracks in the ghost town of Kolmanskop, Namibia. It took him ten years to get the shot, he said.

The brown hyena, the rarest of all hyena species, is primarily nocturnal and tends to live a solitary life. For years, Mr. van den Heever searched the deserted town, finding only traces of the elusive animal.

"I knew they were there, but actually photographing one was just never going to happen," he says he thought.

He was awarded the prize at London's Natural History Museum.

The annual exhibition dedicated to the competition opens at the Natural History Museum on 17 October.

Keep scrolling to explore the full collection of award-winning images.

Andrea Dominizi Longhorn beetle on tree bark with its long antennae raised, a yellow digger blurred behind in a forest.Andrea Dominizi

Category: Junior Grand Prize and 15- to 17-year-old winner

Title: After the Destruction

Photographer: Andrea Dominizi, Italy

Location: Lepini Mountains, Lazio, Italy

While exploring the Lepini Mountains in central Italy, an area once logged for its old-growth beech trees, Andrea spotted a beetle resting on a cut log beside abandoned machinery.

"This photo shows the story and challenge faced by many animal species: habitat loss," he says. "In this case, it's a beetle that loses the tree and the wood it needs to lay its eggs."

Category winners

Shane Gross Peppered moray eels weaving through rocks and tidal pools while scavenging carrion at low tide.Shane Gross

Category: Animals in their Environment

Title: Like an Eel out of Water

Photographer: Shane Gross, Canada

Location: D'Arros Island, Amirante, Seychelles

After weeks of patience, last year's winner, Shane Gross, captured peppered moray eels scavenging for carrion at low tide.

He spent hours enduring the sun, heat, and flies, waiting where dead fish had washed up. Eventually, three eels appeared.

Jamie Smart Orb-weaver spider wrapped in its silken retreat, with dew-dusted web threads around it.
Jamie Smart

Category: 10 Years and Under category

Title: The Weaver's Lair

Photographer: Jamie Smart, UK

Location: Mid-Wales, UK

On a cold September morning, Jamie Smart discovered an orb-weaver spider curled up inside its silken hideaway.

"It's also quite special for me because I get to show something that people are usually afraid of," she says.

Sebastian Frölich Springtail insect floating among clusters of neon green methane bubbles.Sebastian Frölich

Category: Wetlands: The Bigger Picture

Title: Vanishing Pond

Photographer: Sebastian Frölich, Germany

Location: Platzertal, Tyrol, Austria

Sebastian Frölich visited Austria's Platzertal moorlands, a fragile wetland, to highlight its vital role as a carbon sink and a habitat for diverse wildlife, at a time when Austria has lost 90 per cent of its peat bogs.

Lubin Godin Alpine ibex lying on a rocky mountain ridge above a blanket of golden cloud. The sky above is a dusty orange. 
Lubin Godin

Category: 11–14 Years

Title: Alpine Dawn

Photographer: Lubin Godin, France

Location: Col de la Colombière, Haute-Savoie, France

During an early ascent, Lubin Godin found an Alpine ibex resting above a sea of clouds. He retraced his steps as the sun broke through and captured the scene before the mist returned.

Ralph Pace Egg case of a swell shark anchored to giant kelp on the seabed, lit by green underwater light.
Ralph Pace

Category: Underwater

Title: Survival Purse

Photographer: Ralph Pace, USA

Location: Monterey Bay, California, USA

Battling strong currents, Ralph Pace captured this image of a swell shark egg case, revealing a glowing embryo, complete with gill slits and a yolk sac.

Swell sharks depend on kelp to lay their leathery eggs, making them vulnerable to kelp forest loss. Researchers believe Monterey Bay's kelp has declined by more than 95 per cent in the past 34 years.

Philipp Egger Eurasian eagle owl in deep shadow, its orange eye glowing as light brushes over its dark feathers.Philipp Egger

Category: Animal Portraits

Title: Shadow Hunter

Photographer: Philipp Egger, Italy

Location: Naturns, South Tyrol, Italy

Philipp Egger observed this eagle owl's nest from afar for more than four years.

Among the world's largest owls, eagle owls are about twice the weight of buzzards. These nocturnal hunters nest on cliffs or in crevices and often return to the same site for many years.

Qingrong Yang Ladyfish breaking the water’s surface to grab its catch as a egret flies directly above it.
Qingrong Yang

Category: Behaviour: Birds

Title: Synchronised Fishing

Photographer: Qingrong Yang, China

Location: Yundang Lake, Fujian Province, China

Qingrong Yang captured a ladyfish snatching prey just beneath a little egret's beak.

He often visits the lake to document these frenzied feeding moments.

Dennis Stogsdill Caracal gripping a bloody flamingo mid-hunt on a sandy lakeshore.Dennis Stogsdill

Category: Behaviour: Mammals

Title: Cat Amongst the Flamingos

Photographer: Dennis Stogsdill, USA

Location: Ndutu Lake, Serengeti National Park, Tanzania

Caracals are known for their acrobatic leaps to catch birds, but sightings of them hunting flamingos are rare.

Jon A Juárez Southern white rhino foetus on a surgical mat surrounded by medical tools in a laboratory.Jon A Juárez

Category: Photojournalism

Title: How to Save a Species

Photographer: Jon A Juárez, Spain

Location: Ol Pejeta, Nanyuki, Laikipia County, Kenya

After years following the BioRescue Project, Jon A. Juárez witnessed a breakthrough in rhino conservation, the first successful transfer of a rhino embryo to a surrogate mother.

Though the foetus of the southern white rhino, pictured here, did not survive due to infection, the milestone proved that IVF could work for rhinos, bringing scientists closer to saving the critically endangered northern white rhino.

The BBC covered this incredible story and you can read about it here.

Quentin Martinez Lesser tree frogs gathered on broad dark green leaves at night, the background is pitch black.Quentin Martinez

Category: Behaviour: Amphibians and Reptiles

Title: Frolicking Frogs

Photographer: Quentin Martinez, French Guiana

Location: Kaw Mountain, French Guiana

In heavy rain, Quentin Martinez followed a flooded path to a pool in a forest clearing and captured the metallic sheen of lesser tree frogs gathering to breed.

Javier Aznar González de Rueda A large enclosure filled with hundreds of western diamondback rattlesnakes, while visitors watch through glass windows.Javier Aznar González de Rueda

Category: Photojournalist Story

Title: End of the Round-up

Photographer: Javier Aznar González de Rueda, Spain

Location: USA

Across the US, Javier Aznar González de Rueda explored society's conflicted views of rattlesnakes from deep respect to fear and persecution.

See the other images in his winning portfolio here.

Georgina Steytler Gum-leaf skeletoniser caterpillar backlit at sunset, showing stacked old head capsules from past moults.Georgina Steytler

Category: Behaviour: Invertebrates

Title: Mad Hatterpillar

Photographer: Georgina Steytler, Australia

Location: Torndirrup National Park, Western Australia

Georgina Steytler showcased the gum-leaf skeletoniser caterpillar's strange tower of discarded head capsules. Each moult leaves a capsule behind, forming a stack thought to confuse predators.

Audun Rikardsen A flock of gulls swarms around an Atlantic fishing trawler at night, the sky pitch-black except for the glow of the boat's lights.
Audun Rikardsen

Category: Oceans: The Bigger Picture

Title: The Feast

Photographer: Audun Rikardsen, Norway

Location: Kvænangen Fjord, Skjervøy, Norway

During a polar night in Norway, Audun Rikardsen photographed gulls swarming around a fishing vessel, trying to catch fish trapped in nets.

He aims to highlight the conflict between seabirds and the fishing industry. Many birds drown in purse seine nets each year.

Chien Lee Insect-attracting pitcher plants glowing pink and violet under UV torchlight in darkness.
Chien Lee
Chien Lee has been awarded first place in the Plants and Fungi category

Category: Plants and Fungi

Title: Deadly Allure

Photographer: Chien Lee, Malaysia

Location: Kuching, Sarawak, Borneo, Malaysia

Some carnivorous pitcher plants reflect UV light as part of their display, using colour, scent and nectar to lure prey. To illustrate this, Chien Lee used a long exposure and UV torch.

Luca Lorenz A coypu stands upright near a body of water during twilight. Behind it, ghostly swans glide across the water, framed by a dreamy, blurred background of leafless trees against a blue and purple sky.
Luca Lorenz

Category: Rising Star

Title: Watchful Moments

Photographer: Luca Lorenz, Germany

Location: Germany

While Luca Lorenz was photographing mute swans on an urban lake, a coypu photobombed his frame.

See his other portfolio images here

Simone Baumeister A creative abstract photo showing colourful blurred circular shapes in red, blue, yellow, and orange against a black background. In the centre, the silhouette of a spider is visible, appearing to float within one of the glowing shapes.Simone Baumeister

Category: Natural Artistry

Title: Caught in the Headlights

Photographer: Simone Baumeister, Germany

Location: Ibbenbüren, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany

On a city bridge, Simone Baumeister photographed an orb-weaver spider silhouetted against traffic lights. By reversing one of the six glass elements in her lens, she created the kaleidoscopic effect, framing the spider.

Fernando Faciole A small anteater walks indoors beside a person in green pants and dark shoes, appearing to follow closely at their leg. The motion blur gives a sense of movement across the tiled floor.Fernando Faciole

Category: Impact Award Winner 2025 & Highly Commended, Photojournalism

Title: Orphan of the Road

Photographer: Fernando Faciole, Brazil

Location: CETAS (Centro de Triagem de Animais Silvestres), Belo Horizonte, Brazil

At a rehabilitation centre in Brazil, Fernando Faciole photographed an orphaned giant anteater pup trailing its caregiver.

His aim is to show the consequences of road collisions, a major threat to these animals.

Alexey Kharitonov A frozen lake surface shows three dark circles surrounded by cracked ice. At the bottom, larger curved lines of snow and frost frame the shapes.Alexey Kharitonov
Alexey Kharitonov is the winner of the Portfolio Award category

Category: Portfolio Award

Title: Visions of the North

Photographer: Alexey Kharitonov, Israel/Russia

Location: Russia

A recently frozen lake in Svetlyachkovskoye Swamp reveals snow-dusted dark circles etched with crack-like veins.

Using a drone, Alexey Kharitonov captures the rapid transition from summer to winter across taiga forests and Arctic tundra.

See his other portfolio images here.

AI couldn't picture a woman like me - until now

Jessica Smith Jessica Smith wearing a black swimming costumeJessica Smith

When Jess Smith uploaded a photo of herself into an AI image generator this summer, she wasn't expecting a social experiment.

The former Australian Paralympic swimmer wanted to vamp up her headshot and uploaded a full-length photo of her and prompted it really specifically that she was missing her left arm from below the elbow.

But ChatGPT couldn't create the image she was asking for and despite various prompts, the results were largely the same - a woman with two arms or one with a metal device to represent a prosthetic.

She asked the AI why it was so hard to create the image and it said it was because it didn't have enough data to work with.

"That was an important realisation for me that of course AI is a reflection of the world we live in today and the level of inequality and discrimination that exists," she says.

Smith recently tried to generate the image again on ChatGPT and was amazed to find it could now produce an accurate picture of a woman with one arm, just like her.

"Oh my goodness, it worked, it's amazing it's finally been updated," she tells the BBC. "This is a great step forward."

Jessica Smith AI image of a woman with shoulder length blonde hair, a green tshirt and left arm missing from below the elbowJessica Smith
Jess Smith found that ChatGPT was able to generate this image of her recently

It might not sound like a big deal, but for millions of people with disabilities, this shift matters.

"Representation in technology means being seen not as an afterthought, but as part of the world that's being built," Jess says.

"AI is evolving, and when it evolves with inclusion at its core, we all benefit. This is more than progress in tech it's progress in humanity."

A spokesperson for OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, said it had recently "made meaningful improvements" to its image generation model.

They added: "We know challenges remain, particularly around fair representation, and we're actively working to improve this - including refining our post-training methods and adding more diverse examples to help reduce bias over time."

Naomi Bowman Two pictures of a woman with glasses and short brown hair. On the left is the real picture of her and on the right is one that AI created of her that evened out her eyeNaomi Bowman
AI edited Naomi's eye even though she didn't request for this to be done

While Smith’s disability is now reflected with AI, Naomi Bowman, who only has sight in one eye, is still experiencing a similar problem.

She asked ChatGPT to blur the background of a picture but instead it "changed my face completely and evened out my eyes".

"Even when I specifically explained that I had an eye condition and to leave my face alone; it couldn't compute," she says.

Naomi initially found it funny but says "it now makes me sad as it shows the inherent bias within AI".

She is calling for AI models to be "trained and tested in rigorous ways to reduce AI bias and to ensure the data sets are broad enough so that everyone is represented and treated fairly".

Some concerned about AI‘s environmental impact have criticised the creation of images on ChatGPT.

Professor Gina Neff of Queen Mary University London told the BBC that ChatGPT is "burning through energy", and the data centres used to power it consume more electricity in a year than 117 countries.

Awkward conversations

Experts say bias in artificial intelligence often reflects the same blind spots that exist in wider society and it's not just disabilities that are unrepresented.

Abran Maldonado, chief execuive of Create Labs, a US-based company that builds culturally aware AI system, says diversity in AI starts with who's involved in training and labelling the data.

"It's about who's in the room when the data is being built," he explains. "You need cultural representation at the creation stage."

Not everything is represented on the internet correctly and Maldonado adds that if you don't consult the people with lived experiences then AI will miss them.

One well known example was a 2019 US government study which found that facial recognition algorithms were far less accurate at identifying African-American and Asian faces compared to Caucasian faces.

Despite living with one arm, Jess doesn't see herself as disabled, saying the barriers she faces are societal.

"If I use a public toilet and the tap has to be held down, that impacts my ability, not because I can't do it, but because the designer hasn't thought about me."

She believes there is a risk of the same oversight happening in the world of AI, systems and spaces built without considering everyone.

When Jess shared her original experience on LinkedIn, someone messaged her to say his AI app would create an image of a woman with one arm.

"I tried to create it and the same thing happened, I couldn't generate the image," she says.

She told the person, but they never replied to her and she says that's typical of conversations around disability.

"The conversation is too awkward and uncomfortable so people back away."

'It gave me my voice back': How group singing is helping new mums with postnatal depression

The Melodies for Mums classes in south London started in 2017 and now take on more than 400 women a year

Specially designed singing classes are clinically effective at treating mums with postnatal depression, a major three-year study has found. The authors say they could also be cost effective for the NHS at a time when mental health services are under pressure.

At a children's centre in a housing estate in south London a group of 12 young mums sit in a circle on the floor as their babies cry, crawl and sleep on mats in front of them.

But at this music class there are no bells or tambourines and no Wheels on the Bus or Baby Shark.

Instead, the group work through a mix of lullabies, folk and gospel, switching from Spanish to Congolese to Swahili in rounds of four-part harmonies.

The whole session, from the music selection, to the size of the group, to the set up of the room itself, has been carefully designed to treat the symptoms of postnatal depression.

"I can't stress enough how much this was a game changer for me," says Holly, 30, who started the course earlier this year after it was recommended by her care coordinator.

She says she started feeling unwell in her pregnancy after "my hormones, or something, went a bit wrong".

While those symptoms did start to improve after giving birth to her daughter Ettie, she still felt "vulnerable and very anxious".

"Being a new mum is one of the loneliest times, because you're sort of in this insular bubble," she says.

"And at the very first session here, I walked in and I was like, 'oh, this is my safe place'. Like, I'm safe here."

A portrait of Holly and her young daughter Ettie. Holly is a young woman aged 30 with long brown hair and  wearing a striped blue top. She is carrying her baby Elly who is asleep in her arms and wearing a very light pink top with long sleeves.
Holly is one of the 400 young mothers a year now attending specially designed singing classes across five London boroughs

Postnatal depression is a common problem, affecting more than one in 10 women within a year of giving birth, according to the NHS.

Symptoms are wide-ranging but can include persistent sadness or low mood, problems looking after yourself, insomnia and withdrawing from other people.

Melodies for Mums started in 2017 as a free weekly class in Southwark, south London, based on earlier research which suggested group singing could reduce stress and anxiety.

It's expanded quickly and now runs face-to-face sessions for 400 women a year in five London boroughs and online classes across the UK.

"We know that women experiencing symptoms of postnatal depression can struggle to connect with their peers," says Yvonne Farquharson, the founder of Breathe Arts Health Research, the non-profit organisation behind the idea.

"So through singing, we're getting them to really look at each other and make that kind of bond and social connection."

New mums often join the programme after it's suggested by their midwife, GP or local authority or find it through social media or word-of-mouth.

There is a screening process to check they will benefit before starting the 10-week course.

A 'long-lasting' impact

In 2019 the sessions became part of a study funded by a £2.6m grant from the Wellcome Trust to research how local arts projects might improve physical and mental health at a larger scale.

The results, published this week in the British Journal of Psychiatry, looked at almost 200 mums with postnatal depression over eight months.

The women were split into two groups with one group assigned the singing course and the other offered more typical support like community play classes.

All the mothers reported a reduction in their symptoms by week 10 but that improvement continued in the singing group for another six months beyond the end of the sessions.

"That's really important because it shows that the singing intervention is not only effective in the immediacy for depression, but it has a long-lasting impact," says Dr Rebecca Bind, a research associate at Kings College London and one of the study's lead authors.

Women in the singing group also had a much lower dropout rate and were more likely to say they found it a good match for their needs and easy to use.

The published paper didn't look specifically at why singing itself seemed to have a beneficial effect. But the researchers have their theories.

"I think part of it was women were in the presence of other mothers who were going through the same kind of experiences, even if they were not necessarily having to talk about it," says Dr Bind.

"And on top of that, the act of singing itself can have a very relaxing effect."

A second stage of the analysis has already taken saliva swabs from women to measure levels of the stress hormone cortisol.

Early results suggest that mothers in the singing group saw a "nice steady decline in those levels throughout the intervention period," according to Carmine Pariante, professor of biological psychiatry at Kings College London.

The music classes also helped mums form a bond with their babies which continued after the end of the course as the songs and music were used at home.

A portrait photo of Jay, a young woman in her late 20s with large round glasses and dreadlocks, and her son Ezra who is being carried in a baby sling. Jay is smiling and looking directly at the camera and Ezra is looking off to one side and chewing on a small white towel.
Jay, shown with her son Ezra, says a difficult birth had a "huge impact" on her mental health

At the children's centre Jay, holding her young son Ezra, describes postnatal depression as "feeling low when I know I should have been at the happiest point of my life".

"Just being able to be with people who are also struggling, even though that's not the focus of the session [is important]," she says.

"You're there, you're having a great time and singing, but you know that these people are also experiencing what you're experiencing."

Long NHS waiting lists

The organisers stress the singing classes don't have to replace talking therapies or medication.

But they could be either complimentary or a quicker, easier-to-access alternative for some women, at a time when there can be long waits for NHS mental health services.

Some mothers can wait up to six months for assessment and up to a year for one-to-one treatment, according to a 2024 report by the Maternal Mental Health Alliance.

The Kings College London study found the cost of the music course, at between £126 and £539 per mother and baby depending on how it's measured, was comparable to alternatives such as educational programmes and considerably lower than the cost of group therapy or home visits.

Yvonne Farquharson at Breathe says the arts organisation has now piloted its first singing sessions aimed at young dads.

And it has also been commissioned by the World Health Organization to train teams to roll out the classes in Denmark, Italy, Romania and other countries.

At the children's centre in south London the group talk not only about the friendships they have made, but also about the skills they've picked up over the 10 weeks.

"I have two very small children so things can get very stressful at home," says Stella while holding on tight to a wriggling baby Evie.

"I bring the singing back home with me so now I start humming when things get stressful, and I don't even think about it, it just happens and I can cope."

Melodies for Mums sample tracks:

  • Arrorró mi niño - Spanish lullaby
  • Simama Kaa - Swahili folk song
  • Bele Mama - Cameroonian folk song
  • Yani Yoni Ya Hu Wey Hey - Native American birthing song
  • A list of organisations in the UK offering support and information with some of the issues in this story is available at BBC Action Line

不应孤立看待“程序外辩护”丨法眼

评价“程序外辩护”,既要直面刑事司法的难点与痛点,也要进行具体分析并予以区别对待,尤其要避免陷入机械主义的窠臼,以至于忽略大众源自“朴素正义观”的诉求。

“程序外辩护”也有其限度和边界,如不得捏造证据、不得泄露国家秘密、不得对案件事实进行歪曲等等。

李奋飞

责任编辑:钱昊平

资料图(视觉中国|供图)

资料图(视觉中国|供图) 

不久前,听完一位辩护律师的一席话,“程序外辩护”这个概念清晰地出现在我的脑海里。

庭审时,她作了有理有据的无罪辩护,然而令其猝不及防的是,庭审结束后的第二天,其原本处于取保候审状态的当事人竟被法院收押了,目的只有一个,就是向当事人施加压力,促使其选择法院所期待的认罪认罚。此时这位律师所能(也应该)做的,就是向法院等有关部门写信反映,以便案件办理能够回归正常轨道。这也是其恪守忠诚义务的应有之义。

与很多职业有所不同,律师职业是需要承担忠诚义务的。作为辩护律师的首要职业伦理,忠诚义务要求辩护律师必须将维护当事人的利益作为自己所有工作的出发点和归宿。为此,辩护律师当然需要根据事实和法律,在刑事程序框架内向办案机关提出被追诉人无罪、罪轻或者减轻、免除其刑事责任的材料和意见。对于律师在刑事程序框架内所作的辩护活动,大体可以将其概括为“程序内辩护”。

除此之外,律师还需要在必要时敢于并善于运用一切法律和执业纪律所不禁止的方式,采取诸如向有关部门反映、诉诸媒体等诉讼策略,去挽救自己的当事人于危难之中,以为其谋取最大限度的法律利益。对于这种尝试引入和激活“体制内的健康力量”的诉讼策略,大体可以将其称为“程序外辩护”。

无疑,“程序外辩护”是存在一定争议的。不过,评价“程序外辩护”,既要直面刑事司法的难点与痛点,也要进行具体分析并予以区别对待,尤其要避免陷入机械主义的窠臼,以至于忽略大众源自“朴素正义观”的诉求。

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中美互徵港口费 贸易战打进公海

德才
2025-10-14T10:39:11.424Z
中美互征港口费

(德国之声中文网)本周二(10月14日)起,中美两国开始对对方国家的远洋运输公司征收港口费。路透社指出,这使得公海成为世界两大经济体之间贸易战的最新关键前沿。

据路透社报道,今年年初,特朗普政府宣布计划对与中国相关的船舶征收港口费,以削弱中国对全球航运业的控制,并促进美国造船业的发展。这一决定基于拜登执政期间的一项调查得出的结论,即:中国利用不公平的政策和做法来主导全球航运、物流和造船业。

今年4月17日,美国贸易代表办公室宣布了对中国海事、物流和造船领域301调查最终措施,将于10月14日起对相关中国船舶征收港口费

分析师预计,中远集团将受到最大影响。

更多阅读:专题报道:中美贸易战

中国的反制措施一

10月10日,中国交通运输部发布公告,决定将于10月14日起对涉美船舶收取船舶特别港务费。交通运输部表示,“此举是对美国决定对中国籍船舶加收港口服务费的反制措施,是中方维护中国海运企业合法权益的正当举措”。

杰富瑞集团的分析师奥马尔·诺克塔(Omar Nokta)指出,全球船队中13%的原油油轮和11%的集装箱船将受到中国反制措施的影响。

船舶经济公司Xclusiv Shipbrokers Inc在一份报告中指出:“这种针锋相对的对等行为使两个经济体陷入了港口费的漩涡之中,可能导致全球货运流动出现扭曲。”

报告写道:“贸易和环境政策的武器化表明,航运已从全球贸易的中立通道转变为国家治理的直接工具。”

中国的反制措施二

此外,10月14日,中国商务部宣布,为反制美国对中国采取海事、物流和造船业301调查措施,中方决定将韩华海洋株式会社5家美国相关子公司列入反制清单,禁止中国境内的组织、个人与其进行有关交易、合作等活动。 ​​​​

据悉,5家相关企业包括:韩华海运(Hanwha Shipping)、韩华费城造船厂(Hanwha Philly Shipyard)、韩华海洋美国国际(Hanwha Ocean USA International LLC)、韩华海运控股(Hanwha Shipping Holdings),以及韩华美国控股(HS USA Holdings)。

此消息一出, 韩华海洋股价一度下跌8%。

专家:打击帮助华盛顿对抗中国的第三国企业

咨询公司Reddal的副总裁Kun Cao在接受美联社采访时说:“北京方面正在发出信号,打击那些帮助华盛顿对抗中国海上主导地位的第三国企业。”

为打破中国作为全球最大造船国的主导地位,韩国和美国一直在船舶制造业建立更紧密的联系。

去年年底,韩华斥资1亿美元收购了位于宾夕法尼亚州的费城造船厂。该公司于8月宣布,计划投资50亿美元用于建设船坞、码头、分段组装厂等基础设施,并计划对现有设施进行升级改造。

去年,韩华海洋还与美国海军签订了合同,为美国海军舰艇提供维护、保养和大修服务。

按运力计算,美国企业仅占全球船队所有权的2.9%,以及全球造船总吨位的0.1%。特朗普誓言要在推动扩大美国本土制造业的更广泛计划中重建造船业。

韩华海洋今年5月曾表示,将退出在中国的合资企业。

DW中文有Instagram!欢迎搜寻dw.chinese,看更多深入浅出的图文与影音报道。

© 2025年德国之声版权声明:本文所有内容受到著作权法保护,如无德国之声特别授权,不得擅自使用。任何不当行为都将导致追偿,并受到刑事追究

万科原总裁祝九胜已被采取刑事强制措施

继深圳地铁集团董事长兼中国房地产巨头万科集团董事长辛杰传出被带走调查,随后辞去万科所有职务后,万科原总裁、CEO祝九胜据报已被采取刑事强制措施。

第一财经引述多个信源报道上述消息。

祝九胜今年1月也传出被带走调查的消息,但两天后他本人通过朋友圈报平安。同月底,万科公告,祝九胜因身体原因辞职,不再担任公司任何职务。

公开资料显示,今年56岁的祝九胜在1993年获得中南财经大学经济学硕士学位,2003年获得经济学博士学位。1993年至2012年期间,祝九胜在中国建设银行股份有限公司深圳市分行工作,历任福田支行副行长、分行信贷部总经理、公司部总经理、分行副行长等职务。

2012年,祝九胜进入万科,历任公司高级副总裁、万科全资附属企业深圳市万科财务顾问有限公司董事长等职务。2018年2月1日,祝九胜接替郁亮出任万科首席执行官,总裁。

中国自媒体中星期六(11日)消息,深圳地铁集团党委书记兼董事长、万科集团董事长辛杰,据报9月18日在会议中被带走调查后,已失联近一个月。

万科星期一(13日)在港交所公告称,公司董事会上星期天(12日)收到董事长辛杰提交的书面辞职报告。

李强:加力提效实施逆周期调节 做强国内大循环

中国总理李强主持召开经济形势专家和企业家座谈会时说,要加力提效实施逆周期调节,持续用力扩大内需、做强国内大循环,不断形成扩内需的新增长点。

综合新华社和财联社报道,李强星期二(10月14日)下午主持召开经济形势专家和企业家座谈会,听取对当前经济形势和下一步经济工作的意见建议。

座谈会上,徐奇渊、陈斌开、杨赫、张瑜、李洪凤、江鑫、周宇翔、叶国富等先后发言,就更好地实施宏观政策、解决当前突出问题提出了意见建议。

公开信息显示,徐奇渊是中国社会科学院美国研究所副所长;陈斌开是中国中央财经大学副校长;杨赫是中国工商银行现代金融研究院副院长;张瑜是华创证券研究所副所长;李洪凤是中国电气装备集团有限公司董事长;江鑫是合肥产投集团董事长;周宇翔是黑湖科技创始人兼首席执行官;叶国富是名创优品创始人、董事会主席兼首席执行官。

在听取专家和企业家发言后,李强说,今年以来,面对复杂严峻的外部环境和经济运行中的困难挑战,各地区各部门落实更加积极有为的宏观政策,迎难而上、沉着应对,全力促进经济持续回升向好。

他说,对当前经济形势,要以更宽的视野准确把握,特别是从五年规划的实施来看经济发展的长期趋势,从人流、物流、信息流、资金流的支撑来看经营主体的活力,从国际局势的变化来看中国经济的韧性,进一步坚定信心、直面问题,坚定不移办好自己的事,努力完成全年经济社会发展目标任务。

李强强调,做好下一步经济工作关系“十四五”圆满收官、“十五五”良好开局。要加力提效实施逆周期调节,总量政策持续发力,用足用好政策资源,以改革办法打通堵点卡点,增强发展动能。加强跨年度工作衔接,更快更好发挥政策效能。

他指出,要持续用力扩大内需、做强国内大循环,统筹用好各类促消费举措,着力扩大有效投资,进一步激发市场活力,增加优质供给,不断形成扩内需的新增长点。要综合治理行业无序、非理性竞争,促进上下游、大中小企业深化合作,加快科技成果转化,发展创业投资基金,着力构建创新生态圈。大力支持稳外贸稳外资,积极开拓多元化市场,完善海外综合服务体系,推动实施一批标志性外资项目。

李强希望广大企业家秉持长期主义,持续开拓创新,为中国高质量发展多作贡献;希望专家学者发挥专业优势,为做好经济工作和推动“十五五”发展积极建言献策。

中国想吸引外国青年科技人才,民众不买账

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中国想吸引外国青年科技人才,民众不买账

王月眉
5月,北京大学的学生。中国大学毕业生面临就业困难之际,政府吸引外国年轻科技人才的举措引发不满。
5月,北京大学的学生。中国大学毕业生面临就业困难之际,政府吸引外国年轻科技人才的举措引发不满。 Andrea Verdelli for The New York Times
在宣布推出新签证以吸引青年科技人才时,中国政府将此举宣传为迈向科学强国之路的又一步,称全球人才将因此蜂拥而至。
但在许多中国人眼中,这是个严重的错误。
在该签证原定生效的10月1日前后数日,网友纷纷指责政府在年轻人就业难度空前加大之际邀请外国人来抢中国人的工作。他们还认为这是崇洋媚外的表现——这一向容易引起国民不满。
知名网红也借机煽动民族主义或排外情绪,声称中国将被外国人占据。北京研究机构全球化智库理事长王辉耀对新签证表示支持后,社交媒体上有人称他为民族叛徒,相关言论被转发数以千次。
此前印度媒体报道称,中国新签证或可成为极受欢迎的美国H-1B签证(目前申请费高达10万美元)的替代选择,此后各平台上针对印度人的种族主义言论激增。
北京一家智库的理事长王辉耀对新签证表示支持后,社交媒体上有人称其为民族叛徒。
北京一家智库的理事长王辉耀对新签证表示支持后,社交媒体上有人称其为民族叛徒。 Luo Yunfei/China News Service/VCG, via Getty Images
反对声浪愈发激烈,中国共产党官方喉舌《人民日报》不得不发表评论文章,称对新签证的批评是“奇谈怪论”,并指责反对者“误导公众”。民族主义小报《环球时报》前总编辑胡锡进也为该政策辩护,他在视频中表示,自己观察到在中国的外国人数量“比日本和韩国还要少”。
他说:“咱们中国现在说实话,外国人不是来得太多了,而是还不够。”
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公众的强烈抗议表明,即便美国正削减科研资金、迫使众多知名学者考虑离开,中国可能仍然难以吸引全球顶尖科技人才
近年来,中国政府频繁警示境外敌对势力风险,并号召民众举报潜在间谍,国内排外情绪随之升温。从历史上看,中国入境移民数量极少,外国人若想长期居留,仍需面对诸多文化与法律障碍。
2020年,政府曾提议小幅放宽外国人永久居留条件,但最终在类似的反对声浪中搁置。(据《人民日报》报道,2004年至2014年,中国发放的永久居留证不足5000张。)
即便在为政策辩护时,《人民日报》的评论文章仍向读者保证:新签证虽能让青年科学家更易来华,但其性质“岂能直接和移民划等号”。
目前尚不清楚该签证是否赋予工作权——官方媒体在签证宣布后仅称其允许持有者开展商业与教育“交流”。尽管生效日期已过,签证申请资格细则仍未公布,官员仅表示申请人需“从境内外知名高校或科研机构毕业,在科学、技术、工程、数学领域获得学士及以上学位”。
这些年来,中国经济增速放缓,青年就业困境始终是潜伏的社会矛盾点。国家领导人习近平曾指出,保障就业是防范社会动荡的关键。今年8月发布的最新数据显示,青年失业率再创新高。
笔名“风息神泪”的知名漫画家在社交媒体上写道:“目前我能接触到的所有渠道、所有平台、所有阶层、所有学历、所有年龄段的人群,都在说:工作不好找,或者,工作不好保。我不相信以国内的人才储备,有什么领域的什么职位,非要外国人做不可。”
北京大学,正在做实验的学生。中国的科技专业毕业生在劳动力中所占比例低于许多西方国家。
北京大学,正在做实验的学生。中国的科技专业毕业生在劳动力中所占比例低于许多西方国家。 Andrea Verdelli for The New York Times
网民还对申请人仅需学士学位的要求提出质疑。许多中国年轻人表示,由于竞争激烈,他们必须拥有高学历才能找到工作。
事实上,持K签证入境的外国人或许并不会与大多数中国失业青年直接竞争。
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部分原因在于中国就业市场存在供需错配:房地产、教育等传统吸纳就业主力行业陷入困境,导致大量应届毕业生求职困难;但据教育部数据,在高端制造、人工智能等领域,中国对专业人才的需求缺口达数千万。
尽管中国科技类专业毕业生数量居全球首位,但这类人才在总劳动力中的占比仍低于许多西方国家。
昆山杜克大学前常务副校长丹尼斯·西蒙长期倡导中美加强科技合作,他表示,若能提高签证发放流程的透明度,有助于缓解民众担忧。但他也指出,中国政府已释放明确信号——希望引入更多外国专业人才。
他说:“这是吸引高端人才所需的长期改革的一部分。”

Siyi Zhao对本文有研究贡献。

王月眉(Vivian Wang)是《纽约时报》驻华记者,常驻北京,撰写关于中国的崛起及雄心如何塑造普通人日常生活的报道。

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德国法院撤销对三名德国嫌疑人为中国从事间谍活动的指控

15/10/2025 - 01:52

据德国《商报》报道,针对一名来自黑森州巴特洪堡(Bad Homburg)的企业顾问以及一对来自北威州菲尔森(Viersen)的夫妇的中国间谍罪指控已由法庭撤销。杜塞尔多夫高级地区法院(OLG)发言人证实了这一消息,该案由该法院审理。《莱茵邮报》此前曾报道了案件的最新进展。

去年4月,位于卡尔斯鲁厄的联邦检察院对外通报说,因涉嫌为中国情报机构从事间谍活动,三名德国人被捕。三人被指控最晚从2022年6月起为中国情报部门工作,向中方提供了军事技术情报,同时还违反了德国《对外贸易法》(Außenwirtschaftsgesetz)。

具体而言,三名被告被指控通过一名中间人向中国国家安全部(MSS)提供可用于军事目的的信息。他们还被指非法购买了三台特种激光器并未经许可出口至中国。这些指控最初由德国联邦检察官办公室提出。但所有被告在开庭时都通过律师坚决否认参与任何间谍活动。

不过,三名被告仍须就另一项指控接受法庭审理。他们还被控违反欧盟对外经济法。法院发言人表示,这一指控将在审判中继续作为刑事案件追究。

在审理伊始,这对夫妇的辩护律师表示,他们的当事人并不知道那名中间人可能是中国情报机构的嫌疑特工。与该男子的所有接触都是通过另一名60岁的共同被告进行的。这名69岁的女子和她73岁的丈夫在杜塞尔多夫经营一家咨询公司,并在伦敦和上海设有办事处。



空客A320取代波音737成为全球最畅销的飞机

15/10/2025 - 01:43

根据波音公司和空客公司两大集团各自的数据,欧洲空客公司的A320飞机(于1988年投入使用)已于今年9月取代美国波音公司的窄体737飞机(第一架于1968年交付)成为全球最畅销的飞机。

美国飞机制造商波音公司周二在其网站上宣布,9月份该公司交付了55架飞机,其中包括40架737MAX飞机(737系列的最新版本),这使得波音737自推出以来包括商务版的交付总数达到1万2千254架。

另外,根据空中客车公司10月8日公布的数据,截至9月底,空客已经交付了1万2千257架A320飞机(包括商务版)。

这样,根据两大集团各自的数据,欧洲空客公司的A320飞机(于1988年投入使用)已于今年9月取代美国波音公司的窄体737飞机(第一架于1968年交付)成为全球最畅销的飞机。

不论是波音公司还是空客公司,两家公司都表示,这两个系列的飞机自首次飞行以来,都经历了重大的更新,特别是在发动机及其部件方面,以降低油耗和噪音。

但在2018年和2019年发生两起波音737MAX8坠机事故并造成346人死亡后,波音737在全球范围内的交付尤其是对中国的交付突然停止了20个月。

另外,在一架737MAX9飞机发生飞行事故并造成一些人轻伤后,自2024年3月起,美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)规定其产量不能超过每月38架。

空客近年来则一直受到发动机问题的困扰。7月底,空客公司仍在报告“A320项目持续存在发动机的供应问题”。

尽管如此,波音公司还是很高兴地宣布,他们于9月份交付了自2017年推出以来的第2000架737MAX飞机。爱尔兰廉价航空公司瑞安航空接收了这架飞机,同时接收的还有另外9架飞机。

eSIM手机业务在中国全国上线

中国电信、中国移动和中国联通正式获得工信部eSIM手机商用试验批复许可,并在全国上线eSIM手机办理业务。

据新华社报道,中国电信公布信息显示,eSIM手机业务在全国正式上市销售,消费者可前往营业厅门店办理开通eSIM手机业务,也可通过APP进行线上预约,再前往预约的线下营业厅进行业务办理。

中国移动表示,将提供全体系eSIM产品支持,不仅涵盖手机这一核心通信设备,服务还将扩展至智能手表、平板电脑、车载设备等多种形态,实现跨终端、跨场景的无缝连接与协同工作。

eSIM手机业务是一种将实体SIM卡功能集成到手机内置芯片中的技术。消费者购买具备eSIM功能的手机后,无需插入实体SIM卡,可将号码通过空中下载的方式写入手机内置eSIM芯片。eSIM手机和实体SIM卡手机的业务功能一致,可使用语音通信、数据上网、短信收发等通信服务。

柬埔寨警方破获一起涉中国公民安全案件

柬埔寨警方破获一起涉中国公民安全案件,抓获相关嫌疑人。

据中新社报道,中国驻柬埔寨大使馆当地时间星期二(10月14日)援引西哈努克省警察局消息称,9月20日,西省警方在金港高速成功营救两名跳车中国公民。

西省警察局与奥多棉吉省警察局合作,成功解救四名受害者(均为中国公民,其中一名女性),逮捕六名犯罪嫌疑人(均为中国公民,其中一名女性),并收集大量相关物证。

据西省警方介绍,该犯罪团伙长期专门针对中国公民实施非法拘禁、绑架勒索、贩卖人口等犯罪。目前,案件正由西省警察局进一步侦办中。

另据当地媒体报道,柬埔寨首都金边警方在该市森速区一栋别墅内成功捣毁一个电信诈骗窝点,抓获18名中国籍嫌犯,其中一名主犯已被提控并羁押候审,其余17人将依法遣返。

中国驻柬埔寨使馆敦促柬方彻查真相、严惩犯罪分子,切实保护在柬中国公民生命财产安全。

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