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中国今年10月降水量历史第三多

中国今年10月降水为历史第三多,秋雨显著,山西、山东、甘肃降水日数达历史同期最多。

中国气象局星期五(10月31日)召开新闻发布会,发布10月天气气候特征和11月气候趋势预测。

国家气候中心副主任高荣表示,中国全国10月平均气温“前暖后冷”,呈“北冷南暖”分布,10月以来(截至10月29日),全国平均气温11.1摄氏度,接近常年同期。月内,上旬气温为历史同期最高,中下旬转为偏低。

中国南方地区10月上旬出现“秋老虎”高温过程,江西、福建、浙江、湖南等地的部分地区日最高气温超过38摄氏度,其中福建建宁日最高气温达39.3摄氏度。

截至目前,北方大部地区已入冬,与常年同期相比,东北地区南部、华北东部和南部、西北地区东南部、华中西北部及山东中东部、贵州中部、新疆西北部等地入冬偏早五天以上。

降水方面,中国全国10月以来平均降水量51.5毫米,较常年同期偏多51.8%,为历史第三多。

10月共发生六次暴雨过程,山东、河北、四川、安徽等地局地遭受暴雨洪涝灾害。月内,华西至华北南部、黄淮一带秋雨连绵,降水日数普遍达12至20天,陕西西南部等地超过20天。

山西、山东、甘肃降水日数也达历史同期最多。土壤过湿导致秋收秋种进度偏慢。

展望11月,高荣表示,东北地区中北部、内蒙古东部降水偏多、气温偏低,上旬后期存在阶段性低温雨雪灾害风险,建议提前做好设施农业和畜牧业的防寒保暖和抗风准备,交通、能源和电力部门做好风险预案。

高荣续指,西南地区中西部、西藏东部降水偏多,需密切关注低温阴雨、强降水引发的洪涝、地质灾害风险。受温高雨少影响,江西中部和东北部、湖南西部等地森林火险气象等级高,建议做好森林防火工作。

习近平见加拿大总理:愿以此为契机共推中加关系回到正确轨道

中国国家主席习近平当地时间星期五(10月31日)下午会晤加拿大总理卡尼(Mark Carney)时说,中加双方要树立客观理性认知,正确看待彼此。愿同加方一道努力,以这次会见为契机,推动中加关系早日回到健康、稳定、可持续的正确轨道。

根据新华社报道,习近平在韩国庆州出席亚太经合组织第三十二次领导人非正式会议期间会晤卡尼时说,今年是中加建交55周年和建立战略伙伴关系20周年。在双方共同努力下,中加关系呈现恢复向好发展态势,这符合两国共同利益。中方重视加方愿以务实、建设性方式推动两国关系改善发展的表态,愿同加方一道努力,以这次会见为契机,推动中加关系早日回到健康、稳定、可持续的正确轨道,更好造福两国人民。

习近平强调,中加双方要树立客观理性认知,正确看待彼此,从两国共同和长远利益出发,推动中加关系发展。坚持互利共赢,拓展经贸、能源等领域务实合作。密切人文交流,支持两国各界增进相互了解,厚植双边关系的民意基础。加强在联合国等多边框架内协调和合作,推动构建更加公正合理的全球治理体系,维护国际公平正义。

另据彭博社报道,卡尼与习近平会面后对记者说,他对这次会晤的成果非常满意。两国关系现在迎来了转折点,将为加拿大的家庭、企业和工人带来机遇。

他说,两国有着长期的交往传统,但“近年来,我们的互动减少了。”

此次会晤是中加关系自2018年开始陷入低谷以来,两国领导人首次会面。中国是加拿大仅次于美国的第二大贸易伙伴,卡尼此前强调有必要重启与中国的广泛接触。

迟耀云任中共上海市纪委书记

迟耀云任中共上海市委委员、常委和市纪委书记。

“上海发布”微信公号星期五(10月31日)发布消息,中共中央批准:迟耀云任上海市委委员、常委和市纪委书记;李仰哲不再担任上海市委常委、委员和市纪委书记职务。

公开资料显示,今年60岁的迟耀云是山东蓬莱人,毕业于中国政法大学经济法系国际经济法专业,1988年7月参加工作。

迟耀云早年长期在中共中央纪委工作,历任中央纪委案件审理室审理二处处长、审理室副主任、办公厅副主任、第三纪检监察室主任、第一纪检监察室主任等职。

2014年11月,迟耀云调往地方,赴山西省担任省纪委常务副书记。2016年回到中央,先后担任中央纪委驻文化部纪检组组长、文化部党组成员、中央纪委国家监委驻中央外办纪检监察组组长等职。

2022年9月,迟耀云出任福建省委常委、省纪委书记,直至此番调任。

今年63岁的李仰哲是陕西合阳人,曾任国家发改委经济运行调节局局长、国家能源局副局长等职务。

李仰哲2017年4月起担任中央纪委驻商务部纪检组组长;2020年5月起任福建省委常委、省纪委书记。2022年10月任上海市纪委书记。

莫斯科澄清普京最近关于俄罗斯发展新型核能力的声明

31/10/2025 - 12:35

唐纳德·特朗普周四下令美国恢复核武器试验,促使莫斯科澄清弗拉基米尔·普京最近关于发展新型核能力的声明。

特朗普宣布恢复核实验被认为是对俄罗斯近期行动的回应。周日,俄罗斯总统普京宣布,俄罗斯成功完成“海燕”(Bourevestnik)核动力巡航导弹的最终试射,称,这款导弹拥有“无限射程”,几乎可以突破所有现有防御。周三,普京还宣布了波塞冬海神无人核潜艇的测试,该潜艇可搭载核弹头。

在特朗普发表美国立即重启核实验的声明后,莫斯科方面澄清说,俄罗斯这些试验的是能够携带核弹头的武器,而不是核弹本身。

克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫说:“我们希望特朗普总统得到了正确的信息。因为这不能被视为核试验。

法新社说,特朗普和普京曾多次展现某种亲近感,但随着乌克兰问题谈判陷入僵局,两国关系已显著降温 。

上周,美国总统推迟了刚宣布的与普京在布达佩斯的会晤计划,随后对俄罗斯碳氢化合物实施了新制裁。

自2022年2月俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来,核武器言论再次出现在国际外交舞台上。

这种言论往往由莫斯科挑起。当被问及局势失控的风险时,唐纳德·特朗普回答道:“我不这么认为。我认为局势控制得相当好。”

华盛顿和莫斯科原则上仍受《新削减战略武器条约》的约束,该条约将双方部署的战略进攻性弹头数量限制在1550枚,并规定了核查机制,但该机制已中断两年。

《新削减战略武器条约》将于2月到期。莫斯科提议将其延长一年,但未提及武器库检查事宜。

此前不久,北京方面曾表示,希望华盛顿“认真”履行《全面禁止核试验条约》的义务,并采取“具体措施,维护全球核裁军与核不扩散体系”。

美国的另一个竞争对手伊朗谴责特朗普重启核实验是“不负责任”的决定。伊朗外长阿拉格奇在推特上表示,美国是“世界上最危险的扩散风险”。

不过,西方国家和以色列怀疑伊朗正在秘密研制核武器,但德黑兰对此予以否认。

“粤车南下”香港政策公布 首批开放广东四城

中国大陆和香港两地加快民间融合,官方正式公布持广东省车牌车辆驶入香港的“粤车南下”政策,首批开放广州、珠海、江门、中山四座城市,半年后推广到广东其他地市。

综合央视新闻和香港特区政府新闻公报,港府星期五(10月31日)公布“粤车南下”的实施安排。这项政策分为香港口岸停车场政策和粤车进入香港市区两项政策,第一批先开放四个城市(广州、珠海、江门、中山),半年后推广到广东省其他地市。

具体而言,符合条件并经核准的广东私家车,可经港珠澳大桥珠海口岸前往香港口岸人工岛上的自动化停车场(口岸停车场)泊车后(车辆不入境香港),司机和乘客经香港国际机场(香港机场)转乘飞机或入境并转乘香港本地交通工具访港;或在无须取得常规配额下以自驾方式经大桥直接入境并驶至香港市区(入境市区部分)。

从11月1日上午9时起,香港机场管理局开始接受广东私家车车主预约香港机场停车泊位申请,从11月15日0时起,获准的广东私家车车主可以驾车经港珠澳大桥珠海公路口岸驶入香港口岸自动化停车场。

从11月1日上午9时起至11月20日晚12时止,符合进入香港市区条件的广东私家车车主,可以报名参加首批12月受理名额(按每日受理100个、17个工作日计算,共1700个)的抽签,11月23日上午10时抽签、12月9日上午9时接受中签者申请,从12月23日零时起,获准的广东私家车车主就可于成功预约后驾车经港珠澳大桥珠海公路口岸驶入香港市区。

香港特首李家超感谢北京及广东省政府一直以来的大力支持,共同推动和落实“粤车南下”。

他说:“粤车南下与港车北上相辅相成,是推动粤港澳大湾区融合发展的重要举措。这不仅促进粤港两地居民双向奔赴,实现更高水平的人流、物流互通,更同时开启内地居民访港新模式,为香港的旅游、零售及餐饮等行业带来机遇。”

不过这项陆港融合新政,也引起香港社会关注交通安全问题。由于陆港两地的行车规则和文化不同,多名香港立法会议员在本月早些时候的会议上提出不同关切。

有议员担心由于“左右舵”问题,大陆司机不适应香港车多路窄的情况,关注当局会否为大陆司机设简单笔试。也有议员担心,大陆司机在香港使用自动驾驶,会引起安全问题。港府强调,将透过多个渠道向南下司机介绍香港的道路情况。

首会日本新首相 日媒:习近平积极评价高市对华姿态

中国国家主席习近平(右)当地时间星期五(10月31日)下午在韩国庆州,会见本月履新日本首相的高市早苗。 (日本放送协会(NHK)视频截图)

中国国家主席习近平当地时间星期五(10月31日)下午在韩国庆州,会见本月履新日本首相的高市早苗。日本共同社引述习近平会上积极评价高市的对华姿态,认为她与日本新内阁重视日中关系;高市则表示希望确认日中关系大方向,并构筑建设性且稳定的双边关系。

中国官媒央视、日本共同社分别报道了习近平首会高市早苗的消息。这是中日首脑时隔近一年再次举行双边会见,据日本放送协会(NHK)报道,这场双方会谈历时约30分钟。

共同社引述习近平会上表示,日中是重要邻国,希望推进两国间的战略互惠关系,保持沟通,使日中关系沿着正确轨道共同发展。

高市早苗在会上则表示:“希望确认日中关系的大方向,即全面推进战略互惠关系、构筑建设性且稳定的关系。”

高市早苗在会见结束后的记者会上透露,她在与中国国家主席习近平的首脑会谈上,确认推进日中战略互惠关系,以及构筑建设性且稳定的关系。

高市也表示,她在会上对包括尖阁诸岛(中国称钓鱼岛)在内的东海问题,以及中国的稀土出口管制、日本人在华被拘等问题表达了关切。她也要求中国就恢复进口日本水产品和牛肉积极应对。

另一方面,星期五的亚太经济合作组织(APEC)峰会开始前,习近平与高市早苗笑颜交谈,互致问候。

高市早苗星期五下午在社媒平台X发文称,她和习近平在韩国庆州APEC峰会开始前互致问候。这则贴文也配上她和习近平交谈的照片。照片显示,两人脸上都露出笑容,韩国总统李在明当时也站在两人旁边。

多次被举报后诬告陷害同事 河南一官员被双开

中国河南省官方通报,当地一名官员认为自己被多次举报与同事有关,随后故意捏造事实安排他人举报对方,已因诬告陷害行为和其他严重违纪违法问题被双开(开除中共党籍和公职)。

河南省纪委监委星期五(10月31日)通报,去年以来,河南对1881名诬告人作出处理,为6130名中共党员干部澄清正名,同时还公布六起惩治诬告陷害典型案例,其中包括“焦作市行政审批和政务信息管理局原党组书记、局长康春生诬告陷害他人问题”。

通报称,2024年5月,康春生认为自己被多次举报与曾在焦作市马村区工作的一名同事有关。为打击报复,在得知对方将被组织提拔时,故意捏造事实,安排他人举报。经查,康春生反映问题不属实。

今年3月,康春生因诬告陷害行为和其他严重违纪违法问题被双开,涉嫌犯罪问题被移送检察机关审查起诉。

公开简历显示,康春生曾担任马村区区委副书记、区委常委,焦作市政务服务和大数据管理局局长等职,去年11月在任上被查。

焦作市纪委监委今年4月也通报,2015年至2023年,康春生在春节、中秋节等节点,多次收受管理服务对象、私营企业主所送礼金、消费卡和高档酒水。

日本首相高市早苗与中国国家主席习近平举行首脑会谈

31/10/2025 - 11:26

正在访问韩国庆州的日本首相高市早苗,日本31日下午与中国国家主席习近平举行会谈。这是日本首相自2024年11月以来时隔一年再次与习近平会面,也是高市首相首次与习近平举行会谈。据悉,在首脑会谈中,日中双方重申,基于“战略互惠关系”的方针,建设性且稳定地推动日中关系的构建。

高市早苗首相还于31日,在亚太经济合作会议(APEC)首脑会议召开前,与中国国家主席习近平寒暄。她在自己的X(原推特)账号上发布了附有合照的帖子。她透露,在与习主席举行首脑会谈之前,她在候客室中与习主席互致了问候,高市首相面带微笑。

首相在10月24日的施政方针演讲中表示:“中国是重要的邻国”,展现了对首脑层对话的积极意愿,希望就构建建设性、稳定性的关系进行意见交换。

据悉,日方就日中之间存在的问题表达了立场,考虑到中国海警局公务船持续进入钓鱼岛周边领海,会谈议题包括东海地区的中国动向、中国实施稀土出口管制以及中国当局对旅居日本公民的拘押等问题。

高市首相表示:“日中之间虽然存在各种悬而未决的问题和课题,但希望能够减少这些分歧,增进理解与合作,并取得具体成果。”

自新冠疫情以来,前首相岸田文雄和前首相石破茂均通过每年一次的APEC会议与习近平会谈。对于高市首相来说,如果错过此次时机,未来安排会谈将并不容易,因此她积极寻求借APEC契机与习近平会谈。

在担任阁僚期间,高市也曾在终战纪念日等前往靖国神社参拜,但在成为自民党总裁后的10月中旬秋季例大祭期间则未前往。另一方面,中国方面没有像对菅义伟、岸田文雄、石破茂等前任首相上任时那样,由习近平本人发出贺电,而是由国务院总理李强发出了贺电。

上一次日中首脑会谈于2024年11月举行。当时石破前首相与习近平确认,将推进外相互访以及高级别人文交流对话的相关协调。同年12月,前外相岩屋毅访问中国;2025年3月,中国外长王毅访问日本,举行了时隔六年的高级别经济对话。

Xi Delivers Veiled Warning to Nations Not to Take the U.S.’s Side

At an Asia-Pacific summit, the Chinese leader urged countries to “resist unilateral bullying,” an appeal that seemed at odds with his country’s recent actions.

© Chang W. Lee/The New York Times

President Trump and Xi Jinping, China’s leader, on TV at a restaurant in Gyeongju. Mr. Xi was the sole superpower leader at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit with Mr. Trump gone.

客座评论:中国十五五规划说了些什么?

沈凌
2025-10-31T10:02:50.540Z
中共二十届四中全会通过关于国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议

(德国之声中文网)最近中国政府公布了“十五五规划”。这种五年计划脱胎于原来的计划经济时代,在市场经济中被传承下来,在新时代被赋予了新的意义。尤其是在中美对抗,乃至于中国和整个西方发达经济体表现出愈来愈强烈的脱钩的背景下。这种新特点主要表现在:追求经济增长的稳定性,技术升级的独立性和政府对这一进程的掌控性三个方面。

中国经济增长在过去四十年一直高歌猛进,长期年均经济增长率大致上在8%左右。在笔者印象中,本世纪初的政府目标甚至包含了“保八”的重任。但随着经济整体实力达到了世界第二,人均水平超越了世界平均水平以后,想要继续这样高歌猛进越来越不现实了。在十四五期间,年均经济增长率已经下降到了5%的水平。但是如果这个下降趋势继续下去的话,那么赶欧超美的战略目标也没有办法实现。所以,十五五规划提出来要在2035年的远期(也就是十六五结束的时候)达到中等发达经济水平,那么这未来十年的增长率至少也要维持在目前水平上,不能再进一步下降了。这个整体经济增长的稳定性,是十五五规划最重要的战略目标。如果能够达到,才有可能为中美乃至于中西博弈打下坚实基础。

被逼出来的技术进步独立自主性

随着经济实力的提升,经济增长的内在动力也在发生着转变。过去四十年基本上靠外延扩展获得经济增长的逻辑,很难继续运用到未来。寻找新的经济增长动力,也是在十四五规划期间逐渐明朗,并在十五五规划中被一锤定音,那就是通过技术进步来拉动经济增长。如果说这还是市场经济本身的规律使然的话,那么这次十五五规划提出来的技术进步的独立自主性,就完全是被西方发达经济尤其是美国逼出来的。

中国政府在计划经济时代的确有过独立自主的经济政策,但随着计划经济的瓦解,实际上在大多数市场经济主体的思维中已经被摒弃了。改革开放带来的肉眼可见的好处,教育了绝大多数中国人,认为和西方经济体在国际贸易框架下合作才是互扬所长的最佳策略。可惜这样的思路被美国人,或者说是整个西方发达经济体自己活生生地打断了。从2018年美国掀起贸易战以来,越来越多的中国市场主体,尤其是那些原来对西方抱有极大好感的民营经济主体,也意识到西方发达经济体其实并不是从内心深处认同市场经济这个制度的,只是在西方有战略优势的时候,能够获得国际贸易最大好处的时候,才能够认同市场经济原则。一旦这个前提不存在,比如西方发现自己从市场交易中获得的好处下降,甚至不如对手的时候,就会用非市场经济的借口和手段(比如所谓的国家安全),去打断这样的自己亲手建立起来的机制和制度。所以,现在中国政府也好,民营企业市场主体也罢,都认识到:想要突破技术进步的瓶颈,依靠国际合作和市场交易是远远不够的。必须回到独立自主的计划经济原则上去。必须向美国学习,强调所谓的国家安全在技术进步中的作用。所以这次十五五规划在技术进步战略目标中尤其明确了这个独立自主原则。而其制度载体就是所谓的新举国体制。

产业政策和有为政府

未来中国的产业政策将会把更多资源倾斜到关键性的高科技领域。这次十五五规划提出来的新兴产业和未来产业,都是全社会资源倾斜的重点。而要实现这一点,需要资本市场的高度发达。所以我们可以期待:眼下的A股市场行情只是未来很长时期的慢牛行情的早期阶段。政府对资本市场的重视,并把它作为实现技术进步的工具,可能是中国资本市场过去三十年发展的最重要的一个转折点。因为一开始资本市场只是被赋予了给传统国有企业输血脱困的功能,那就相当于一个国家开设的赌场,不断地获得抽头而已。现在则是为了未来产业振兴提供资本。

当然,这个伟大的进程,被政府视之为如此重要,以至于应该由政府起主导作用。因而在经济理论层面提出了“有效市场和有为政府的结合”这个提法。这个提法最早是由著名经济学家林毅夫先生(也是前世界银行副行长)提出来的。因为市场的有效性越来越被证明是受制于制度设计框架的,而政府实际上是这个制度框架的设计者。所以,产业政策并不是违背市场规律的短期的临时应变策略,而是一个发展中经济体在漫长的经济增长过程中,调配公共资源不得不采取的战略原则。而产业政策本身也需要满足成本收益比较的原则,并不是完全天马行空,任由政府挥洒的抽象派画作。未来中国经济增长的实践说不定会给林毅夫先生一个问鼎诺贝尔经济学奖的机会。让我们拭目以待。

 

沈凌,德国波恩大学经济学博士,现执教于上海华东理工大学商学院。

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Democrats plot messaging blitz ahead of Obamacare hikes

In Wisconsin, Democrats are launching nearly 400 canvassing events this weekend focused on health care. A major liberal advocacy group, Protect Our Care, will push a six-figure digital campaign. Top Democratic governors, including Kentucky’s Andy Beshear and Laura Kelly of Kansas, are holding press calls to “to slam D.C. Republicans for causing Americans’ health care premiums to skyrocket.”

It adds up to a campaign of doomsday messaging aimed at voters’ concerns about health care as premium spikes are due to arrive.

“November 1st is a health care cliff for the American people, and I think it's also a political cliff for Republicans,” said Brad Woodhouse, executive director of Protect Our Care, a liberal nonprofit that has hosted a dozen town halls with House Democrats throughout the country on the impending premium increases. “More and more people are paying attention to it.”

In the coming days, Democrats will launch ad buys, hold town halls and convene media appearances to highlight the Nov. 1 date when Americans must choose to purchase insurance through the Affordable Care Act marketplace with higher premiums or forgo it altogether, an attempt to ensure Republicans shoulder the blame for rising health care costs.

Some of the tactics, like the DNC holding a call with former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, are routine. But others are more national in scope, including Protect Our Care is deploying a digital search advertising campaign that targets people who are researching their ACA health care plans online with ads blaming Republicans. Those ads will run in House districts held by vulnerable Republicans in Arizona, Iowa, New York and Pennsylvania, among other places.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also has an upcoming ad scheduled to run in 35 competitive House districts starting this weekend. The four-figure digital buy shows Speaker Mike Johnson on vacation — a reference to the House being in recess for six weeks amid the looming insurance hikes.

In the days leading up to Nov. 1, Democratic governors have described how the hikes could devastate Americans. On Monday, outgoing Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers released the 2026 plan outlining rates for the state’s individual marketplace, which showed that many premiums for individuals and families will double. Some seniors will face an increase of more than $30,000 per year. Nationally, on average, out-of-pocket premium payments for subsidized ACA enrollees will be 114 percent higher without the tax credits, according to KFF, a health care research group.

“Republicans’ reckless decisions are causing prices on everything to go up,” Evers said in a statement. “Republicans need to end this chaos and stop working to make healthcare more expensive. It’s that simple.”

Republicans on Capitol Hill have refused to engage in health care negotiations with Democrats until the government reopens, and many within the GOP are resistant to extending the tax credits at all. On Wednesday, Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he would meet “soon” with Democrats to discuss an appropriations agreement, which would amount to the most high-level meeting to end the shutdown that will soon enter its second month.

In Virginia and New Jersey, where voters will cast ballots next week in off-year bellwether elections, the Democratic candidates for governor have made combating rising costs central to their campaigns — tying that message to the looming ACA hikes. It's an early road test of a message the party will hammer leading up to the midterms: President Donald Trump and Republicans in Washington have made life more expensive.

Abigail Spanberger, the Democratic nominee for Virginia governor, has highlighted how out-of-pocket costs could be two to more than five times higher for families who purchase insurance through the ACA exchange, and those hikes could force thousands of people to go uninsured. Spanberger this week toured a rural hospital in southwest Virginia that stands to feel the effects of the Trump administration’s tax law that slashes Medicaid.

In Wisconsin, a battleground state that backed Trump by under 1 point last year, Democrats are launching hundreds of canvassing operations focused on subsidy cuts, and are planning messaging billboards as well. This weekend, as Wisconsinites see tangible increases in their premiums, Democratic Party Chair Devin Remiker said, “the objective reality is going to hit people in a way that you can't talking point your way out of, if you're the Republican Party.”

Wisconsin Republicans aren’t planning to spend money in response, however. State GOP Chair Brian Schimming says Democrats are going to hang themselves by tying the subsidy cuts to the shutdown.

“I think they're putting a massive, massive bet on not just the shutdown, but on getting people to think that the shutdown is … Republicans’ fault,” he said.

Natalie Fertig contributed to this report.

© Timothy D. Easley/AP

The GOP race for SC governor heats up without Trump’s endorsement — for now

One Republican candidate in South Carolina’s open gubernatorial primary said Donald Trump would “decide my fate.” Another pledged to send the state’s National Guard troops wherever Trump wants. A third accompanied the then-presidential candidate to his 2024 criminal trial in Manhattan.

In recent interviews with POLITICO, three contenders for the seat being vacated by Gov. Henry McMaster gushed over Trump’s coveted endorsement and described some of their early efforts to secure it as the president plans to attend a fundraiser in the state for the reelection of his longtime ally, Sen. Lindsey Graham.

The winner of next June’s Republican primary is all but guaranteed to become deep-red South Carolina’s next executive. The candidates include the state’s lieutenant governor, attorney general and two members of its congressional delegation — all of whom are thirsting for the president’s support.

A new Winthrop University poll — the first major independent survey of the primary — found Rep. Nancy Mace and Lt. Gov. Pam Evette led the field in a statistical tie at 17 percent and 16 percent, respectively. Rep. Ralph Norman and Attorney General Alan Wilson followed with 8 percent each.

Though early favorites have started to emerge, the race remains wide open without Trump’s nod.

“He’ll get to decide my fate. He is a kingmaker, and I hope in this case he will be a queenmaker,” said Mace, the third-term member of Congress known for being outspoken on conservative cable news and social media.

South Carolina has a long history of fierce loyalty to Trump. McMaster became the first statewide elected official to endorse the president’s nascent 2016 campaign, and Graham is one of his closest advisers on Capitol Hill and friends on the putting green. Democrats haven’t won the state in a presidential election since Jimmy Carter defeated Gerald Ford in 1976.

But so far, Trump has stayed out of the race, forcing the contenders to try to define themselves and their candidacies without input from someone who has dominated the party for a decade and remade it in his image. In that way, the race — taking place during a pivotal midterm cycle — mirrors the challenge awaiting the Republican Party, which must begin to grapple with a future without Trump, who is in his final term.

For now, the candidates aren’t willing to explore that future.

“Donald Trump is the gold standard. He casts a very long shadow over state politics here in South Carolina, especially in the Republican primary,” said Wilson. “Anyone who says they don’t want the president’s endorsement is crazy.”

From his perch in Columbia, Wilson has filed nearly 20 briefs across the federal judiciary in support of Trump administration initiatives like federalizing the National Guard or enforcing the Alien Enemies Act of 1798, according to a POLITICO analysis. His campaign website features a “Trump Tough” section, which includes a slideshow of selfies and step-and-repeat pictures with the president.

Trump’s only attention to the race so far was a captionless post on Truth Social in mid-August showing the results of a survey that put Mace atop of the crowded field — a poll that the congresswoman shared with the president, according to campaign spokesperson Piper Gifford.

“I absolutely communicate with the White House on this race and provide data and information to them and to those who will be ultimately making the decision,” Mace said in the recent interview.

Wilson has also been in touch with “high level members” of the White House about his candidacy, but has yet to broach the race directly with Trump. “They are aware of my campaign. They are aware of what I have done as attorney general. They are aware that I have defended the president's agenda, that I have defended the president,” he said.

Evette entered the race in mid-July. Though she served two terms alongside McMaster, her foray into gubernatorial contention will be her first time running for elected office on her own ticket. Asked about any behind-the-scenes conversations with the White House seeking support, the state’s second-in-command demurred, while reiterating her loyalty to Trump at his political nadir.

“In January of ‘23, President Trump came to South Carolina, and he was looking for friends,” Evette said, recalling Trump’s brief time in the political wilderness following his 2020 loss and the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. “Out of all the people that are in this race, I was the only one that showed up for him, stood shoulder to shoulder with him when there were no polls to say that he was going to win.”

She recalled national consultants warning her, “‘You have a bright future, you're killing yourself. Like, why are you doing this? He's going to get indicted.’ And I was like, well, loyalty matters.”

Loyalty to Trump might determine his endorsement, and the candidates are willing to leverage that litmus test against one another.

Unlike Evette, Mace publicly rebuked the president following the attack on the Capitol but has since returned to his side as a faithful ally on Capitol Hill.

Norman might have the hardest case to make in seeking Trump’s endorsement.

As a member of Congress’ hard-right Freedom Caucus, Norman’s deficit-hawk style has at times positioned him against some White House-backed legislation that the group criticised for expanding the national debt. Perhaps worse for his fate: endorsing South Carolina’s Nikki Haley during the 2024 Republican presidential primary.

“Ralph Norman has the best record of voting with Trump of any candidate and is proud to work with him in Congress. He'd welcome the President's endorsement but knows that the President has other friends in this race and he respects that,” Norman spokesperson Evan Newman said in a statement.

Speaking with reporters after a party fundraising event in Columbia earlier this summer, Graham said he told the president to “wait and see” before issuing an endorsement in the governor’s race. South Carolina is at least somewhat on the president’s mind, though. The president will take his first in-person dip into the 2026 midterms when he attends a fundraiser that in part is billed to Graham’s own reelection campaign, POLITICO first reported.

The White House did not respond to a request for comment on the president’s conversations around a possible endorsement or whether he is communicating with any of the candidates. The lack of endorsement in South Carolina isn’t indicative of a larger trend, though. The president has already thrown his support behind Rep. Byron Donalds to succeed Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis next year, and his former rival-turned-ally Vivek Ramaswamy got the coveted endorsement not long after his campaign launch in February.

Lacking a race-changing boost from the president, the candidates have touted their own fundraising as evidence of grassroots support and the campaign strength. By those metrics, no runaway favorite has yet to emerge.

The four contenders each reported raising over a million dollars since starting their campaigns, according to financial reports filed with the South Carolina Elections Commission. Evette and Norman led the pack with $1.4 and $1.3 million respectively, though both also gave their own campaigns six-figure sums.

Wilson, who launched his campaign first, has just under $1.3 million. According to a memo released by his campaign, about one-fifth of that haul includes a six-figure transfer from his state attorney general campaign account, with “still more transfers on the way.”

“They believed in him to be Attorney General and now want him to be Governor,” campaign finance chair Barry Wynn wrote.

Mace’s fundraising shows her slightly trailing her competitors, with $1.06 million raised, but other indicators bode well for her campaign. In addition to the new Winthrop poll showing her with a slight lead, she pulled in over 18,500 individual donations, exponentially more than her rivals.

In addition to the candidates’ agreement on the eminence of a presidential endorsement, the emerging issues separating them are decidedly local.

They’re aligned on the perennial sticking points that are likely to define the race: lowering taxes, and specifically eliminating the state’s income tax, and fixing the state’s aging infrastructure as it buckles under population growth.

Judicial reform has also emerged as a salient issue, with South Carolina and Virginia being the only states in the country where judges are selected by a commission and approved solely by a legislative vote. Neither the governor nor voters have a say in who serves on the local bench.

“Many of these folks have cases before these judges and then many of these attorneys fund the attorney generals and the solicitors when they're running for office. Everybody gets paid, and nobody goes to jail,” Mace said.

The candidates don’t seem to agree on how to implement this one: as the state’s top prosecutor, Wilson helped push some recent changes through the state legislature that allowed the governor to appoint one-third of the seats on a selection committee that took effect this year.

“I believe that the governor should have all of the appointments on the [Judicial Merit Selection Committee],” Wilson said, while expressing openness to pushing a constitutional amendment that would embrace the federal advise-and-consent model.

Evette, banking on the relationship she forged with the state legislature alongside McMaster, hopes to move directly to amending the state constitution to have the state mirror federal judicial appointments.

Norman is the only candidate to call for direct election of judges in the state.

McMaster, who has focused on business development in the relatively small state, is preparing to leave his two terms in Columbia with a 46-percent approval rating, matching Trump at the top of the public figures included in the Winthrop University survey.

McMaster has so far demurred on whether he’ll endorse any of his potential successors.

Speaking to reporters recently, he said, “Elections will come and go, and endorsements will be made whenever they’re made.”

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© Getty Images

Hurricane Melissa death toll rises as aid struggles to reach parts of Jamaica

Reuters People stand on top of the debris of a building in Jamaica. Reuters

At least 19 people have died in Jamaica as a result of Hurricane Melissa, Information Minister Dana Morris Dixon has said, as search and rescue efforts continue and authorities try to get aid to hard-hit areas.

The hurricane, one of the most powerful to strike the Caribbean, has also killed at least 30 people in Haiti, officials said.

In Jamaica, "there are entire communities that seem to be marooned and areas that seem to be flattened," Dixon said, adding there are "devastating" scenes in western regions.

Electricity remains out to most of the island and as people try to salvage damaged homes and belongings from floodwaters and mud, many thousands are growing increasingly desperate for aid.

There are parts of the country that have been without water for several days and food is growing increasingly scarce.

Aid supplies are starting to arrive more rapidly with the main airport in the Jamaican capital, Kingston, largely back to normal.

But smaller regional airports, some of which are located near to where humanitarian assistance is most needed, remain only partly operational.

As such, aid agencies and the military are bringing in the urgently needed supplies from Kingston via road, many of which remain unpassable in places.

Satellite imagery shows nearly all buildings in some Jamaican villages have been destroyed by the hurricane.

Residents of towns in western Jamaica told the BBC on Thursday that "words can't explain how devastating" the storm has been on the country.

"No one is able to get through to their loved ones," Trevor 'Zyanigh' Whyte told the BBC from the town of White House in Westmoreland parish.

"Everyone is just, you know, completely disconnected... Every tree is on the road, right, so you can't get too far with the cars, not even a bicycle," he said.

In Haiti, many of the victims in the storm died when a river overflowed in Petit-Goave. A full assessment is ongoing, as there are still areas that authorities have not been able to access.

Around 15,000 people were staying in more than 120 shelters in Haiti, interim UN co-ordinator for the country Gregoire Goodstein said.

In Cuba, more than 3 million people were "exposed to life-threatening conditions" during the hurricane, with 735,000 people "safely evacuated", according to the UN's resident co-ordinator for Cuba Francisco Pichon.

No fatalities have been reported so far in Cuba, but almost 240 communities have been cut off due to flooding and landslides, Cuban authorities said.

Hurricane Melissa made landfall on Tuesday in Jamaica as a category five storm, packing winds of up to 185 mph (295 km/h), before impacting other countries in the Caribbean.

Governments, humanitarian organisations and individuals around the world are pledging support for the nations hardest hit by the storm.

The World Food Programme said it is collaborating with partners to coordinate logistics, cash and emergency supplies across Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

The US State Department said it is deploying a disaster response team to the region to help with search and rescue operations, and assisting in efforts to provide food, water, medical supplies, hygiene kits and temporary shelters.

The UK government said it is sending £2.5m ($3.36m) in emergency humanitarian funding to support recovery in the Caribbean.

While Jamaica, Cuba and Haiti assessed the damage left in Melissa's wake, Bermuda braced for impact.

The Bermuda Weather Service expected Melissa to be a category two hurricane when it passed the British overseas territory on Thursday night.

Government offices in Bermuda will close until Friday afternoon and all schools will shut on Friday.

"Until the official 'All Clear' is issued, residents are urged to stay off the roads so Government work crews can safely assess and clear debris," a public alert from the government said.

Heartbreak, headless dummies and 'eggy' Shakespeare - Celebrity Traitors fight to the death

BBC/Studio Lambert Celebrity Traitors at a lavish mealBBC/Studio Lambert
Joe Marler [L] with Cat Burns and David Olusoga enjoyed being round a table without having to vote anyone off

Spoiler warning: This article reveals details from the eighth episode of The Celebrity Traitors

Parting may have been sweet sorrow for young lovers Romeo and Juliet, but when Shakespeare's famous line is uttered by traitor Alan Carr, it's more like murderous Macbeth.

He has struck in plain sight - again - killing off Claudia's "Queen of the Castle", Celia Imrie, by quoting the bard while pouring her a goblet of wine at a lavish dinner for the remaining contestants.

"Oh honestly, just because I was brave enough to get the one traitor out," Imrie said when she learned her fate, referencing the faithfuls FINALLY getting rid of traitor Jonathan Ross.

Imrie's demise was indeed a sombre moment for all concerned.

"I love being here, it's been gorgeous and I'm devastated. I so wanted to stay to the end, but it's a game," she said sadly.

After learning it was Imrie's last supper, the burly Joe Marler became emotional, saying: "My darling Celia is gone. My heart is broken. I'm sick of this - they are taking out some lovely, lovely people.

"I'm not having it any more."

But as Ed Gamble pointed out in BBC Two's Celebrity Traitors Uncloaked, Imrie's demise was ripe for humour as well.

Her accidental fart in episode three was the gift that kept giving.

"Farting is such sweet sorrow," he said to her, in a line worthy of William Shakespeare himself, who also enjoyed contrasting dark, dramatic moments with bursts of humour.

BBC/Studio Lambert Celia Imrie and Alan Carr BBC/Studio Lambert
Celia Imrie and Alan Carr were sat dangerously close to each other at the meal

Carr clearly got more of a taste for murder as the show progressed, bumping off Paloma Faith in plain sight and handing Lucy Beaumont her death warrant.

But this time round, his conscience re-emerged, and he found it "heartbreaking".

"I'm really hoping third time's a charm," he said, trying to convince himself he still had it in him to keep going.

Host Claudia Winkleman was rattled by losing Imrie, declaring: "I love her", as she stalked out of the breakfast room clutching Imrie's portrait.

Perhaps not surprisingly, Carr later looked a bit edgy about the upcoming round table, telling Cat Burns his Shakepearean moment was "so obvious".

"I'm so nervous, what do we do if everyone goes for me today," he said.

"I just hope no one puts two and two together with the the eggy Shakespeare quote."

Later on, the contestants had to put their doubts and suspicions aside for the day's challenge - in a creepy room full of headless dummies, which needed their Celebrity Traitor heads to be reattached.

Easy enough - except our celebrities had to navigate through a fiendish array of red laser beams, all pointing at awkward angles, meaning the most nimble had the easiest time of it.

BBC/Studio Lambert Celebrity plastic heads for the gameBBC/Studio Lambert
The celebrity heads had to be reattached to their bodies

Nick Mohammed turned out to be something of a twinkle toes, making it through with relative ease.

But poor Marler had a trickier time of it, saying: "I'm not one of the nimble, agile rugby players" and calling himself a bit of an "oil rig".

Carr, noting that Claire Balding's head "looked like Boris Johnson", decided to carry Imrie across first, saying: "I took Celia's head because I missed her - even though I murdered her, but I had pangs of guilt!"

He later took his own, admitting: "I grabbed my own head, I'm a narcissist… well someone's got to love it!"

After a nail-biting finish, the celebs managed to complete the task, earning Claudia's praise, including a surprising accolade.

"Thank you, you were amazing. That was better than my wedding day," she said.

BBC/Studio Lambert Claire Balding's plastic head, which looks like "Boris Johnson"BBC/Studio Lambert
Alan Carr was less than complimentary about Claire Balding's plastic head

After all the camaraderie of the challenge, it was then even harder for the contestants to face the round table, where with just six of them left, everyone felt exposed.

Burns was hoping she hadn't "given them enough to cling on to", while Kate Garraway was uncharacteristically bullish.

"I'm going to fight to the death," she said.

There was plenty of fighting talk from Marler too, who looked like he was going to name and shame Carr and vote for him.

But he ended up voting for Garraway, calling her a "dipsy damsel", and she was voted off - yet another faithful biting the dust.

She gave a touching speech as she departed, referencing the death of her husband, political lobbyist and therapist Derek Draper. Draper died last year after living with extreme complications after getting Covid during the pandemic.

"I've had a lot of years of being very serious and very sad, and you've all allowed me to play the most amazing game," she said.

"But also you've allowed me to play and be silly and have fun. Every single one of you.

"I'm going to take away a new idea at the start of a new kind of life really, so thank you very much for that."

BBC/Studio Lambert Kate Garraway smiling in a grey suitBBC/Studio Lambert
Kate Garraway thanked everyone for helping her consider a new start in her life

David Olusoga also got a couple of votes, including one from Carr, who managed to mostly lie low during the discussion, along with Burns.

Or so they thought.

Marler is onto them, convinced they're both traitors, and is now rallying Mohammed and Olusoga to back him as they go into the final.

"I'm hoping to get really close to Alan and Cat so they keep me in the game, and then I can try and pull the rug from under their feet last minute," he said.

"Sorry traitors, I'm coming for you."

There was a telling moment right near the end of the show, when each remaining contestant had to look the others in the eye and tell them they were a faithful.

The others kept straight faces, but Carr couldn't manage it without dissolving into a fit of giggles. One X user called it "the TV moment of the year".

"I am a faithful, I just get nervous," Carr told everyone.

"Yeah, I'm not having it," said Marler.

If Marler puts his full force behind his convictions, he could prove to be unstoppable.

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