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For Rubio the Cuba Hawk, the Road to Havana Runs Through Venezuela

President Trump’s secretary of state and national security adviser has long sought to cripple or topple Cuba’s government, which has close security and economic ties to Venezuela.

© Allison Robbert for The New York Times

Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s parents immigrated to Florida from Havana three years before Cuba’s communist revolution prevailed in 1959.

New photos from Epstein estate show Trump, Andrew and Woody Allen

House Oversight Committee US President Donald Trump is pictured with a group of women in a photo released from the House Oversight Committee from the Epstein estateHouse Oversight Committee
US President Donald Trump was among several prominent figures featured in the images released on Friday

More images from the estate of convicted paedophile Jeffrey Epstein have been released by Democrats on the House Oversight Committee.

The Democrats said the 19 images came from a tranche of 95,000 photos the committee received from Epstein's estate as part of its ongoing investigation.

US President Donald Trump, former Prince Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor and former Trump adviser Steve Bannon are among the high-profile figures featured in the photos. The images, many of which have been seen before, do not imply wrongdoing.

It comes one week before a deadline for the US justice department to release all Epstein-related documents, which are separate from the images shared by the committee on Friday.

Watch: Massie and Garcia on latest photos from Epstein estate

The individuals featured in the images have not yet commented. Many of them have previously denied wrongdoing in relation to Epstein.

In a statement, Representative Robert Garcia, the top Democrat on the committee, said: "It is time to end this White House cover-up and bring justice to the survivors of Jeffrey Epstein and his powerful friends."

"These disturbing photos raise even more questions about Epstein and his relationships with some of the most powerful men in the world. We will not rest until the American people get the truth. The Department of Justice must release all the files, NOW" he added.

Republicans, who are in the majority on the committee, have accused Democrats of "cherry-picking photos and making targeted redactions to create a false narrative about President Trump".

The White House called the release a "Democrat hoax" against Trump that has been "repeatedly debunked".

Trump appeared in three of the images released on Friday. One image showed him standing next to a woman whose face has been redacted.

Another showed Trump standing next to Epstein while talking to model Ingrid Seynhaeve at a 1997 Victoria's Secret party in New York – an image that was already publicly available.

House Oversight Committee Trump pictured standing next to Epstein while talking to model Ingrid Seynhaeve at a party in 1997.House Oversight Committee

A third photo showed Trump smiling with several women, whose faces have also been redacted, flanked on either side of him.

An additional photo showed an illustrated likeness of the president on red packets next to a sign that reads: "Trump Condom".

House Oversight Committee Photo showing an illustrated likeness of the president on red packets next to a sign that reads: "Trump Condom".House Oversight Committee
House Oversight Committee One image showed him standing next to a woman whose face has been redacted.House Oversight Committee

Among the images released was what appeared to be cropped photo of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor next to Bill Gates. A fuller version of the photo, which was available on photo agency Getty Images, showed King Charles, the then-Prince of Wales, on the right side of the photo.

The Getty Images' caption said the picture was taken during a summit during the Commonwealth heads of government meeting in London in April 2018.

Getty Images Prince Andrew Mountbatten next to Bill GatesGetty Images

Former Trump adviser Steve Bannon was also pictured in some of the images. He was shown speaking with Epstein at a desk, and in another, standing beside him in front of a mirror.

House Oversight Committee Bannon pictured at a desk speaking with Epstein. House Oversight Committee

A third image showed him speaking with filmmaker Woody Allen.

A photo featuring former US President Bill Clinton's showed him standing next to Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, who was convicted in 2021 for her role in facilitating the disgraced financier's abuse.

Two other people the BBC has yet to identify are also in the image, which appeared to have been signed by Clinton.

Clinton has denied any wrongdoing in relation to Epstein. In 2019, a spokesperson said he "knows nothing about the terrible crimes" Epstein pleaded guilty to.

Other prominent figures which appear in the images include US economist Larry Summers, lawyer Alan Dershowitz and entrepreneur Richard Branson. Not all the images show those individuals in the company of Epstein.

Epstein was charged with sex trafficking in July 2019. He died in prison a month later while awaiting trail.

The president was a friend of Epstein's, but has said they fell out in the early 2000s, years before he was first arrested.

Trump has denied any wrongdoing in relation to Epstein.

The justice department is required to release investigative material related to Epstein by 19 December under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which was signed into law by Trump last month.

中国海警通报多批菲船赴仙宾礁海域

中国海警局指菲律宾多批船只星期五(12月12日)前往仙宾礁(菲国称萨比纳礁)海域,中国海警对菲国船只采取外逼驱离措施。

中国海警局在微博公布,菲律宾多批船只当天打着捕鱼的旗号,不顾中国海警一再劝阻和警告,执意赴南沙群岛仙宾礁海域滋事挑衅。“中国海警对菲方船只依法依规采取喊话警告、外逼驱离等必要管控措施。”

海警局新闻发言人刘德军强调,中国对包括仙宾礁在内的南沙群岛及其附近海域拥有无可争辩的主权。“中国海警将依法在中国管辖海域持续开展维权执法活动,坚决维护国家领土主权和海洋权益。”

中国人民解放军南部战区同日在微博发文指菲律宾多架小型机未经中国政府批准,进入黄岩岛(菲称斯卡伯勒浅滩)空域,并说南部战区组织海空兵力,依法依规跟踪监视、强力警告、坚决驱离。

中菲两国关系近年来因南中国海主权争端摩擦不断。中菲声称对仙宾礁、黄岩岛拥有主权。

知情人士:中国筹备5000亿人民币的国产晶片扶持方案

彭博社引述知情人士透露,中国在筹备一项规模最高达5000亿元(人民币,916.73亿新元)的扶持方案,为国产晶片行业提供资金与支持。

知情人士称,官方正在讨论设立一揽子补贴及其他融资支持措施,规模介于2000亿元至5000亿元人民币(366.29亿新元至915.73亿新元)之间。激励方案的最终细节、具体金额以及扶持对象仍在进一步敲定中。

报道指,这一计划的规模接近华盛顿为《晶片法案》预留的资金规模,凸显了北京降低对英伟达等海外晶片商依赖的决心。这也意味着,即便美国特朗普政府已批准向中国出售包括性能更强的H200在内的英伟达晶片,中国政府仍将继续支持华为、寒武纪等本土企业。

报道指出,若支持资金规模最终能达到人民币5000亿元,该提案将成为有史以来最大的一项国家支持的半导体激励计划。

知情人士称,这一中国方案将独立于现有的“国家集成电路产业投资基金”(又称“大基金”)以外。负责监管大基金并协助落实相关扶持措施的中国工业和信息化部未回应传真采访请求。

中国的大基金三期于2024年5月24日成立,超预期注资规模3440亿元,超过了大基金一期、二期募资总和(1387亿、2042亿)。

王文涛会见韩国产业通商部长金正官 加快推进中韩自贸协定第二阶段谈判

中国商务部部长王文涛在京会见韩国产业通商部长官金正官,双方围绕落实两国元首重要共识,就加快推进中韩自贸协定第二阶段谈判等交换意见。韩媒指,这是韩国产业部长官时隔七年再次单独访华会见中国商务部部长。

中国商务部星期五(12月12日)晚在官网发布消息,中国商务部部长王文涛在京会见韩国产业通商部长官金正官。双方围绕落实两国元首重要共识,加快推进中韩自贸协定第二阶段谈判、巩固传统领域合作、拓展新兴领域合作,推动中韩经贸合作提质升级等交换意见。

王文涛表示,不久前,中韩两国元首举行会谈,就推动中韩关系健康稳定发展达成重要共识,为双边经贸关系发展作出了战略指引。中共二十届四中全会擘画了中国未来五年发展的宏伟蓝图,中国将坚定扩大高水平对外开放,这将为中韩经贸合作提供更广阔空间。

王文涛说,双方要加快推进中韩自贸协定第二阶段谈判,争取早日达成一致;要开辟“新赛道”、打造“新引擎”,积极促进新兴领域合作,鼓励支持地方经贸合作,深化产业链供应链及贸易投资合作;要加强在世界贸易组织、亚太经合组织、区域全面经济伙伴关系协定等框架下合作,共同维护自由贸易和多边主义。

据韩联社报道,这是继2018年之后,韩国产业部长官时隔七年再次单独访华会见中国商务部部长。

两国商定为推动贸易规模增长和扩大相互投资加强合作,并将尽快召开韩中自由贸易协定(FTA)联合委员会会议,检查自贸协定落实情况并研究改进方向,同时加快服务和投资领域谈判进度。两国商定建立新的地方合作模式,即韩国将对华地方合作从沿海地区扩大至中西部和内陆地区,中方将向新万金派遣投资考察团。

报道称,双方一致认为,要延续两国关系在元首会谈契机下出现的回暖势头,并为改善民生经济作出实质性贡献。

台副外长访以色列 中国大陆使馆提出交涉

台湾外交部政务次长吴志中据报本月访问以色列,中国大陆驻以色列大使馆为此向以色列提出严正交涉。

路透社引述三名匿名知情人士报道,吴志中最近几周访问以色列,访以事宜此前未对外公布。其中两名消息人士称,吴志中本月访问以色列。

消息人士拒绝透露吴志中在以色列与谁会面,以及会谈内容,其中包括是否谈及“台湾之盾”(T-Dome)防空系统。

中国大陆驻以使馆星期六(12月13日)在微信公众号回应时说,中国大陆一贯坚决反对建交国同台湾开展任何形式的官方交往。“中国驻以色列使馆已第一时间向以方提出严正交涉。”

使馆强调,一个中国原则是中国与包括以色列在内的世界各国建立和发展外交关系的前提和基础。“中以建交公报中明确指出,‘以色列国政府承认中华人民共和国政府是代表全中国的唯一合法政府,台湾是中华人民共和国领土不可分割的一部分。’”

使馆也强调,台湾问题事关中国主权和领土完整,是中国核心利益中的核心,是一条不可逾越的红线。“我们再次敦促以方切实恪守一个中国原则,纠正错误行为,停止向鼓吹‘台独’的分裂势力发出任何错误信号,以实际行动维护中以关系大局。”

“放生”大米矿泉水 中国佛教协会表示深感惊讶不解

针对有人“放生”大米,即向海中倾倒大米,还有人“放生”矿泉水,中国佛教协会发文称,对此深感惊讶和不解。

中国佛教协会星期五(12月12日)通过“微言宗教”微信公众号发文称,有人“放生”大米、“放生”矿泉水,对此深感惊讶和不解。

文章说,佛教所说的放生,是指把可能被宰杀、面临生命危险的动物解救出来,释放到适合它们生存的自然环境中,使其生命得以保存和延续。大米是植物的种子,并没有心识,矿泉水没有生命,两者属于无情之物,不属于有情众生。对大米和矿泉水来说,无所谓“杀生”与“放生”。

文章指,所谓“放生”大米、矿泉水,不仅不符合佛教的教理教义,而且与佛教倡导的惜福惜物理念相背离,不仅违背中华民族勤俭节约的传统美德,造成粮食和资源浪费,甚至危害环境,是折损福报的行为。佛教界对此坚决反对,更希望社会人士不要曲解滥用佛教“放生”之名,误导公众。

中国社会出现放生宠物猫、放生蟑螂、眼镜蛇,还有放生流行水果等“奇葩放生”现象。

中国佛教协会文章也提到,大规模的放生活动,催生抓捕、贩卖放生动物的利益链,导致更多野生动物被捕杀,助推了佛教商业化乱象,败坏了社会风气。针对这些问题,中国佛教协会积极倡导“合理放生”。

中国国务院国资委原副部级干部潘良被查

中国国务院国有资产监督管理委员会原副部长级干部潘良被查。

中共中央纪委国家监委网站星期五(12月12日)晚发布消息,潘良涉嫌严重违纪违法,目前正接受中央纪委国家监委纪律审查和监察调查。

公开资料显示,潘良,今年69岁,江苏南京人。曾任航天部劳动人事司、办公厅干部,国务院办公厅秘书二局副处长、处长、副局长、局长,国有重点大型企业监事会主席(副部长级),后转任国务院国有资产监督管理委员会副部长级干部。

随着潘良落马,今年中纪委网站公开通报审查调查的中管干部已有59人。

In Trump’s Justice Dept., Failing in Court Might Be Better Than Bucking the Boss

Thursday demonstrated an emerging reality for President Trump: Commanding the Justice Department is not the same as controlling the justice system.

© Vincent Alban/The New York Times

The White House was served a legal rebuke this week when federal grand jurors in Alexandria, Va., rejected the Justice Department’s push to indict Letitia James, the New York attorney general, on mortgage-related charges for the second time in a week.

解放军南部战区:警告驱离侵入黄岩岛空域菲小型机

中国解放军南部战区称,菲律宾多架小型机侵入黄岩岛(菲律宾称斯卡伯勒浅滩)空域,已被警告、驱离。

据“南部战区”微信公众号消息,南部战区新闻发言人、空军大校田军里星期五(12月12日)称,近日,菲律宾多架小型机未经中国政府批准,非法侵入黄岩岛空域。南部战区组织海空兵力,依法依规跟踪监视、强力警告、坚决驱离。

田军里说,“黄岩岛是中国固有领土”,正告菲方立即停止侵权挑衅,并强调战区部队时刻保持高度戒备,坚决捍卫国家领土主权安全和南中国海地区和平稳定。

近年来,中菲关系因南中国海主权争端摩擦不断。黄岩岛目前由中国实际控制,中菲都主张拥有主权,双方多次在黄岩岛附近发生对峙或冲突。

In Florida’s Panhandle, a Hearing on School Vaccine Mandates Gets Heated

The hearing was the first concrete step toward repealing some of the state’s vaccine requirements. Rolling back others would require legislative action.

© Kate Payne/Associated Press

Larry Downs Jr., of Pensacola, Fla., speaks against childhood vaccine mandates at a public hearing held by Florida’s Department of Health on Friday in Panama City Beach, Fla.

Amid Fractures on the Right, Tucker Carlson Continues His Attacks

On Theo Von’s show this week, Mr. Carlson lashed out at a major supporter of the president, the F.B.I. and “unimpressive, dumb, totally noncreative people” leading the nation.

© Patrick T. Fallon/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Tucker Carlson did not mention President Trump by name in his attacks on Theo Von’s podcast, but his broadsides were the latest evidence of a deepening divide in Republican politics.

King says he can 'share the good news' his cancer treatment will be reduced

Watch: King Charles issues update on his cancer treatment

King Charles has shared "good news" about his cancer, saying in a personal message that early diagnosis and "effective intervention" means his treatment can be reduced in the new year.

In a recorded video message broadcast on Channel 4 for the Stand Up To Cancer campaign, the King said: "This milestone is both a personal blessing and a testimony to the remarkable advances that have been made in cancer care."

This news that he is responding well to treatment is the biggest update on the King's health since he revealed his diagnosis in February 2024.

The type of cancer has not been identified and treatment and monitoring will continue, but he said: "Early diagnosis quite simply saves lives."

According to Buckingham Palace, the King's recovery has reached a very positive stage and he has "responded exceptionally well to treatment", so much so that doctors will now move his treatment "into a precautionary phase".

The regularity of treatment is going to be significantly reduced - but the King, 77, is not described as being in remission or "cured".

"Today I am able to share with you the good news that thanks to early diagnosis, effective intervention and adherence to 'doctors' orders', my own schedule of cancer treatment can be reduced in the new year," the King said in his speech.

The video message, recorded in Clarence House two weeks ago, was played in the Stand Up To Cancer show on Channel 4 on Friday evening, in a fundraising project run with Cancer Research UK.

The campaign encourages more people to get tested for cancer and to take advantage of national screening schemes - and the King's message emphasised the importance of checks to catch cancer at an early stage.

"I know from my own experience that a cancer diagnosis can feel overwhelming. Yet I also know that early detection is the key that can transform treatment journeys, giving invaluable time to medical teams," said the King.

Early detection could be a lifesaver, he said: "Your life, or the life of someone you love, may depend upon it."

PA Media King Charles at an Advent service at Westminster AbbeyPA Media
King Charles had a message of "hope" at an Advent service this week

The King also spoke of how much he had been "profoundly moved by what I can only call the 'community of care' that surrounds every cancer patient - the specialists, the nurses, researchers and volunteers who work tirelessly to save and improve lives".

Until now the King has said little publicly about his illness.

He didn't seem to want to be defined by the disease and his approach has been to keep working, with a busy schedule including overseas trips and hosting state visits, including last week's by the German president.

A couple of days ago he was sending a message of optimism and seasonal "hope", when he attended an atmospheric, candle-lit Advent service at Westminster Abbey.

The Stand Up To Cancer show, presented by celebrities including Davina McCall, Adam Hills and Clare Balding, has urged people not to be frightened of getting cancer checks.

In particular, the show has appealed to the estimated nine million people in the UK who Cancer Research UK says are not up to date with NHS screening schemes, offering an online checker to let people see if they are eligible for tests for breast, bowel and cervical cancer.

The King said it "troubles me deeply" that this represents nine million missed opportunities to catch cancer early - and he urged people to use the screening checker online tool.

"The statistics speak with stark clarity. To take just one example: When bowel cancer is caught at the earliest stage, around nine in 10 people survive for at least five years. When diagnosed late, that falls to just one in 10," he said.

According to royal sources, the King's reference to bowel cancer should not be seen as linked to his own condition, and prostate cancer has previously been ruled out.

In an attempt to demystify cancer checks and show the value of early diagnosis the Stand Up To Cancer show had a live broadcast from cancer clinics at Addenbrooke's and Royal Papworth hospitals in Cambridge.

"I want to take the fear out of cancer screening and show everyone that they are not on their own in this," said McCall, 58, who recently said she was recovering from breast cancer surgery.

Reuters King Charles visiting a hospital in Smethwick in September 2025Reuters
The King has talked about the shock of receiving a cancer diagnosis

Currently in the UK, there are three NHS cancer screening programmes - for bowel, breast and cervical cancer - available to certain age groups.

A new lung cancer screening programme is also being slowly rolled out for anyone at high risk of developing the disease, specifically targeting people aged 55-74 years old, who currently or used to smoke.

Men may enquire about prostate cancer checks, but there is no national programme in place.

The Stand Up to Cancer project, which has raised £113m since 2012, is funding 73 clinical trials involving 13,000 cancer patients.

Michelle Mitchell, chief executive of Cancer Research UK, said public figures speaking openly about cancer can encourage others to have a check up.

"Spotting cancer early can make a real difference and provides the best chance for successful treatment," she said.

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'Football is dead': Anger and disappointment as fans priced out of World Cup

'Anger and disappointment' as fans priced out of World Cup

Two Ghana fans watch a World Cup matchImage source, Getty Images
Image caption,

The price of following a team all the way through the tournament has increased significantly since the last World Cup in Qatar

Supporters are continuing to speak of their frustration at the astronomical cost of following the 2026 World Cup.

The Football Supporters' Association has called ticket prices a "laughable insult" to fans.

For some smaller nations, the cost of group-stage tickets is going to be higher than a month's wages in that country. And that is before factoring in travel and accommodation.

One Ghana fan told the BBC of "anger and disappointment" that Black Stars supporters might now be forced to cancel their plans.

Fifa's ticket price policy was revealed on Thursday, with group-stage tickets up to three times the prices of those for Qatar in 2022. The cheapest ticket for the final will cost £3,119.

BBC Sport has contacted Fifa for comment.

Ticket prices outstrip wages for many countries

Ghana fans celebrate their first goal during the Unity Cup match against NigeriaImage source, Getty Images
Image caption,

Many Ghana fans are rethinking their plans to support their team at the World Cup

"It's a chance to qualify. It is a chance to participate in a big event," Fifa president Gianni Infantino declared in January 2017.

The Fifa Council had just unanimously voted to expand the World Cup to 48 teams. Nations who had never or rarely reached the finals were being given hope.

Infantino added: "Football is more than Europe and South America. Football is global.

"The football fever you have in a country that qualifies for the World Cup is the most powerful tool you can have, in those nine months before qualifying and the finals."

Yet that "football fever" is falling a little flat after the ticket prices were released.

While the players will be there, the price of tickets could outstrip wages.

Take Haiti, one of the poorest countries in the world. The average wage in the Caribbean nation is around $147 (£110) a month.

The cheapest tickets for Haiti's first game at the World Cup in 42 years, against Scotland, cost $180 (£135).

To attend all three matches - they also play Brazil and Morocco - would cost $625 (£467). That's more than four months' salary for the average Haitian, just to get into the ground.

It's a similar story for Ghana, where the average monthly salary is around $254 (£190).

Ghana supporter Jojo Quansah told BBC World Service that fans would have to cancel their plans.

"It's a bit of a disappointment for those who, for the last three-and-a-half years, have been trying to put some money away in the hope that they can have their first World Cup experience," he said.

"Fifa themselves have gone ahead to increase the number of teams so a lot more smaller football nations will get a chance to have themselves and their fans represented.

"It's been overshadowed by pricing those same fans out of a chance to watch their country play at the World Cup.

"I have a feeling that quite a number of people within the next couple of months, are going to drop out of that desire to be at the next World Cup. Sadly. So sadly."

Other nations could see their fans priced out.

You've bought your tickets, how about the flights?

Any fan wanting to follow their team from the first game to the final - if they get there - will spend a minimum of £5,200 on tickets.

There there's travel. For an England fan planning to attend the group stage, current prices show flights from London to Dallas to Boston to New York/New Jersey and then home are £1,300. Add on £526 if you get the cheapest match tickets.

It gets a lot more expensive if you want to go for the whole tournament. If they were winners of Group L, England would have to go from Atalanta to Mexico City and then to Miami. Those two flights alone would cost £800.

Flights across the tournament could cost £2,600. Add on the cheapest match tickets, and it is £7,800.

What about Scotland fans travelling from Glasgow? Flights across the group stage would cost £1,675 each, with the lowest ticket price bracket £500 on top.

If Scotland were to win Group C, flights through to the final would be £2,357. With tickets that is £7,567.

These prices are as of today. Many supporters would not want to book flights for the knockout rounds before they know they need to travel. By then, it could be a lot more expensive.

What England and Scotland fans are saying

Paul Clegg (61), from Blackburn, says: "This will be my fifth World Cup. I haven't missed a game since 2014.

"I'm in contact with England fans all over the country. I'm a top capper.

"We all plan to boycott games after the group stage.

"Football is dead."

Anne-Marie Carr (54), from York, says: "I have diligently attended England matches so that I can earn the caps to get tickets for major tournaments only to then find that I, as so many others, are being priced out.

"WC 26 will be for the few, the sponsors and the glory hunters who've got the money to attend the big matches when they come along."

Katie, from Glasgow, says: "Buy a ticket, you must be joking!

"These prices are not for the real fans, these are for corporates, bigwigs, sponsors. The real fans cannot afford those glorified prices."

Ian, from Glenrothes, says: "Not sure why anyone is surprised.

"One of the reasons I'm not going, as much as I would want to see my country at a World Cup, is that there are too many practical things negating it.

"Airline and hotel greed, and now ticket prices.

"Not for me!"

Ticket prices have soared since the bid document

Every nation that wants to host the World Cup has to present its case from stadiums, to sustainability, to ticket prices.

The world has changed a lot since the United States, Mexico and Canada set out its plan in 2017.

Covid has placed a great deal of inflationary strain across the globe. But not this much.

In fairness, the ticket prices for the group stage are not vastly higher. For games such as Scotland v Haiti ($180) the prices for the cheapest tickets are in line with the $174 in the bid document.

It's for the quarter-finals, semi-finals and final where Fifa has massively increased the prices.

Category three for the final was proposed to be $695 (£520). Adjusted for inflation, it would cost $890 (£666). Yet Fifa is now charging $4,185 (£3,119).

How do World Cup ticket prices compare to other major events in the United States?

The biggest sporting event of the year in the United States is the Super Bowl - the finale to the NFL season.

Super Bowl tickets are not released for sale to the general public but can be bought via official resale sites.

According to Forbes,, external tickets for the 2025 Super Bowl started at around £3,500 - £5,000 each.

Basketball's NBA finals are not priced as high. Last year, tickets at Oklahoma City Thunder started at £52 in the top tier of their Paycom Center home as they won their first NBA Championship.

Away from sport, tickets for next year's WWE Wrestlemania in Las Vegas are available for between £250 and £1,000.

While musician Taylor Swift's hugely successful Eras Tour tickets at US venues were typically priced at between £37 and £335 each - although the resale market had tickets priced well above £1,000.

Will we see a white Christmas this year?

Festive forecast: Will we see a white Christmas this year?

Robin sitting on a snowy tree branchImage source, Getty Images
  • Published

As the mild December continues, are our hopes of a white Christmas melting away?

It's still a little too early to confirm the details of the forecast for Christmas 2025, but there are some signs we may see the weather turning a little cooler and calmer.

Since the turn of the century, more than half of all Christmas Days in the UK have seen snow falling somewhere.

But at this early stage what do we actually know about the chances of this Christmas being "white"?

What is in the Christmas forecast?

Forecasters look at data produced by several different weather supercomputers generated over different timescales.

Not all computer models are in agreement about how the finer details of the Christmas forecast will look, but there are some themes now emerging.

The first half of December has been mild and wet, dominated by rain-bearing Atlantic low pressure systems. This general set-up is expected to continue for the next week or so, but there is a chance of higher pressure building into late December, which would bring a drier spell compared to recent conditions.

Whilst temperatures are likely to drop a little, returning to more typical for the time of year, there is no especially cold weather expected at this stage. Overnight frost and fog could well become more of an issue over the Christmas period. Wintry showers cannot be ruled out, especially over high ground in the north, but there are currently no indications of widespread snow.

Forecasting snow in the UK is notoriously difficult, and it is still too early to know for certain whether we will see a white Christmas in 2025.

The festive forecast will become much clearer about five days before Christmas, so keep an eye on the BBC Weather app or website for the latest updates.

Fir trees covered in snow with blue skies overhead
Image caption,

Lying snow looks beautifully festive but a Christmas is only officially 'white' if snow is recorded falling from the sky

What makes a Christmas officially 'white'?

Christmas cards often depict snow that is "deep and crisp and even", but often a "white Christmas" will be much less wintry in reality.

In fact, just a single snowflake has to be recorded falling at any point during the 24 hours of 25 December at any of the Met Office's network of around 300 observing stations.

Snow already lying on the ground on Christmas Day may make things look merry and bright, but it does not count under the official definition.

Will it be a White Christmas?

Join BBC Weather’s Carol Kirkwood, Matt Taylor and Barra Best, along with famous faces Jeremy Vine and Lucy Porter, to explore where our fascination with a white Christmas comes from.

What are the 'white Christmas' odds?

Since 2020, every year except 2024 has officially been a white Christmas. However, in each of these years very few places reported any snow actually settling on the ground.

The last time the UK saw a widespread white Christmas was back in 2010, when snow fell at 19% of weather stations and, very unusually, 83% of stations reported snow lying on the ground.

Whilst snow is more common between January to March than in December, odds are still pretty high that somewhere in the UK will see snow on 25 December.

However, as our climate warms, winters in the UK are becoming milder and wetter. Whilst the Met Office says, "This generally reduces the chances of a white Christmas," it also recognises that, "The natural variability of the weather will not stop cold, snowy winters happening in the future".

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