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Mauro Morandi, Italy’s Robinson Crusoe, Dies at 85
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海外“淘金”梦碎:当台湾青年遭遇人口贩卖链
据国际刑警组织发布的研究报告指出,数以万计的人正在东南亚被贩卖。这种人口贩卖现象,最初出现在柬埔寨,后来又延伸至缅甸和老挝,如今还在至少4个亚洲国家出现了贩卖中心。
值得关注的是,这类新型的诈骗中心收入快速增长,每年可产生数十亿美元的惊人利益。
南方周末记者 王瑭琳 南方周末特约撰稿 杨骋宇 曾玥
责任编辑:姚忆江
当地时间2024年10月15日,印度尼西亚雅加达,两名曾遭受贩卖的印度尼西亚男性在窗边交谈。他们被强迫在柬埔寨为诈骗犯工作。近年来,成千上万的印度尼西亚人被吸引到其他东南亚国家,寻求更高薪的工作,却最终落入跨国诈骗团伙的手中。(视觉中国/图)
近段时间,中国籍男演员王星在海外遭遇人口贩卖的事件,引发了全球的关注。
王星是幸运的,但还有很多个“王星们”,却仍活在水深火热中。
近年来,东南亚地区的人口贩卖问题一直备受关注,且形势愈发严峻。
据国际刑警组织2023年6月7日发布的研究报告指出,数以万计的人正在东南亚被贩卖。这种人口贩卖现象,最初出现在柬埔寨,后来又延伸至缅甸和老挝,如今还在至少4个亚洲国家出现了贩卖中心。
报告称,这些犯罪组织利用后疫情时代的特点,如越来越多事务只能在线上处理,使得电信诈骗的数量急剧增加,同时许多人因失去工作而迫切需要找到新的工作机会,因此更容易被高薪工作所诱骗,成为电信诈骗的工具和受害者。
值得关注的是,这类新型的诈骗中心收入快速增长,每年可产生数十亿美元的惊人利益。
南方周末记者曾做过一篇深度调查,试图揭开柬埔寨人口贩卖的利益链条。
以下为旧稿重推:
中秋节前一天,经台湾台北地方法院判定,曾在电影《角头》担任临演的竹联帮东堂成员李振豪等4人为诈骗集团核心人物,共诱骗85名台湾人赴柬埔寨,获利1470万新台币(折合人民币约329万元)。
多年前,海外工作曾让不少台湾青年“一夜致富”,而今,在“钱多、事少、来钱快”的糖衣炮弹下,许多海外务工的台湾青年被套牢:台湾媒体一度传有约4000台湾人在柬埔寨“失踪”,台湾警察部门否认了有关说法,但台湾“行政院”发言人罗秉成称,台当局已协助40人返台,还有333人等待救援。
中国外交部发言人汪文斌表示,将全力维护包括香港以及台湾同胞的海外中国公民安全与合法权益。目前,中国驻有关国家使领馆正与驻在国政府保持密切沟通,积极查找并解救相关人员。
如今,杨维斌每天除了打工外,还将他的柬埔寨逃难经历手写成大字报,摆在台北街头宣传。在网络上搜索“杨维斌”,可看到他频繁出现在媒体镜头前,揭露海外“淘金”真相。 (资料图/图)
诱骗:“都是高薪且环境好的工作”
虎年新春刚过,34岁的杨维斌便急着在人力资源网站“104人力资源银行”上浏览新工作。
“海外游戏营销客服是1800美金起,每个月可以拿5.6万新台币左右(折合人民币1.3万元)。”杨维斌是台湾新竹的一名按摩师,在岛内工作稳定,可“赚不到什么钱”。父亲突然中风,巨额的治疗费用压在了杨维斌肩上。在他的记账本里,疫情前平均每个月可以赚7万-8万新台币;疫情后收入水平骤降,每个月收入只有1万新台币左右。
在杨维斌眼里,柬埔寨是“一夜暴富之地”。
六年前,柬埔寨博彩产业开始蓬勃发展,他由一位“恩人”带入门,把在线电子游艺场经营得风生水起。半年后他遭遇车祸骨折,只好返台休养。
网络上的高薪招聘,让他想再去柬埔寨“捞一把”。
经过两轮面试后,杨维斌收到了由“JETDIG”科技公司发来的“入职邀请函”。
邀请函极为正式,每页均盖有“人力资源部”的印章,通知杨维斌被聘用为“营销客服”,转正工资为“1800美金+绩效奖金”(折合人民币1.24万元起)。
此外,对方还耐心解答杨维斌提出的每个问题,并发来“环境实拍图”,令杨维斌彻底打消顾虑。
与他一同被高薪吸引的,还有22岁台湾女生张佳妮。
在网络上,张佳妮有一位聊了很久的台湾“知心大哥”,某天给她介绍
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校对:星歌
评论 | 程晓农 :中国经济螺旋下落的种因
2025年刚开头,中国经济好像突然不行了。经济情况日益严峻,大批企业裁员降薪,还有更多的中小企业加速倒闭。中国人普遍在问,“经济形势这么差,看不到任何希望,这到底是怎么啦?”一些中国人在微信上用一个代表性词汇来提醒大家,“时势维艰,各自小心”。
为什么中国经济如此艰难?虽然很多中国人心中仍然抱着经济回暖的期待,却又不得不面对经济寒冬遇春不退的现实。中国人真懂经济衰退的原因吗?本文回顾过往中国经济繁荣的由来以及其中隐伏的巨大危险,为读者们解读中国经济前景的真相。
一、经济衰退其来有自
很多中国人现在都在思考一个问题,中国的经济衰退还要延续多久?这个问题的背后,其实隐藏着一个巨大的困惑,中国经济怎么突然就衰退了?如果这次的经济衰退事出偶然,那么,这样的问题似乎内含着一个自我认定的答案,即假以时日,中国经济还能恢复昔日辉煌。但是,如果经济衰退事出必然呢?那就可能会演变成其衰无界。
可以讲,中国经济现在和未来的严重困境,事实上乃是“其来有自”。此语指事情的发生和发展有其来由,并非偶然。由于当下很多中国人在国内资讯被封锁的状况下,不明白中国经济繁荣之后突然的衰退,其实具有共产党最喜欢讲的马克思主义意识形态之一历史唯物主义的一个概念,即“历史必然性”。
当前中国经济的衰退,一半来自其过往经济政策的错误,一半来自其对外政策的错误。但是,对这内外两大错误,中国人既不了解,也不易面对,于是便出现了很多误解和错误研判,其中,最典型的是两个扑朔迷离的认知。第一,房产价格暴涨之后又迅速下滑,是意外吗?第二,“世界工厂”能保证中国的出口长期维持高速成长吗?
对这两个问题,早在2017年我就发出了中国的经济繁荣即将消逝的警告。我文章的标题是,《繁荣缘何而去?——中国经济现状和趋势的分析》。此文并非即兴之谈,而是仔细分析相关数据、综合判断中国经济的内外环境之后,所得出的研究结果。不过,在互联网上资讯浩如烟海的年代,中国的读者看过这篇文章的人并不多。
二、繁荣缘何而去?
为什么今日在中国,经济困境成了“新常态”?事实上,过去20年中国经济繁荣的成因,正是当下乃至今后经济困境挥之不去的缘由,荣兮衰所伏。
过去30年中国经济的繁荣,让国际社会和中国人都形成了一种认知,似乎这样的持续繁荣就是中国经济的本色。而笔者则以为,过去20年中国经济的繁荣主要由“出口景气”和“土木工程景气”构成,只有了解它们的由来,才可能理解,为什么今日中国的经济困境事出必然。
中国从1978年开始农村改革,但直到1993年每年的出口只有数百亿美元,对经济成长的推力不大。随着港台企业在大陆建立越来越多的出口加工型企业,2000年中国的出口达到2,492亿美元。但真正推动中国经济进入“出口景气”的,主要是来自发达国家的投资,这些投资帮助中国提升了国际市场和生产技术的开发能力,使中国的出口产品品种延伸到制造业的各个领域,至2013年中国的出口额达到22,090亿美元,差不多是2000年的9倍。
中国2001年加入WTO,伴随着引进外资高潮,为中国创造了第一个十年繁荣。从2002年到2011年这十年间,中国经济始终保持每年增长9%以上。在此期间,中国的出口以每年25%以上的高速增长,一些年份的增长率甚至高达35%,出口成为带动中国经济成长的火车头。
中国能让出口连续几十年都保持25%以上的增长率吗?显然不可能。从常识判断,人口规模小的国家,出口数额小,在国际市场上的影响微乎其微,或可保持长期贸易顺差。但对中国这样的人口超级大国来说,全球市场显得太小,中国的劳动力占全球就业人口的26%,即便全世界所有工业化国家都停止出口、把市场都让给中国,中国的“出口景气”也不可能无限期延续下去。
何况,从国际经济平衡的角度来看,这也不现实,因为贸易必须互利才能久远。若中国赚尽了全球的钱,长期多卖少买,积累起巨额外汇储备,其他国家长期的大量贸易赤字,必然造成各自的经济困境。所以,中国不可能长期依赖出口高增长来维持经济繁荣,“出口景气”总有结束的一天,“出口景气”早晚会下滑,中国的经济成长必然会因此失去动力。
三、脆弱的“土木工程景气”
当中国还陶醉在“出口景气”带来经济高成长的成就感当中时,2008年美国的次贷危机突然导致中国的出口订单大幅度减少,中国政府决定采取强有力的经济刺激措施。中国的主要政策是,推动基础设施建设和房地产开发,由此带动了一轮“土木工程景气”。
当全中国各级地方政府和中央政府所属企业都开始大兴土木工程之后,中国与土木工程相关的投资占国民生产总值(GDP)的比重迅速从2008年以前的18%到20%,上升到2013和2014年的35%。
虽然“土木工程景气”又支撑了中国十年的经济繁荣,但土木工程投资的反常暴涨若持续多年,必然产生房地产泡沫。与中国的房地产泡沫相比,日本著名的平成经济泡沫就不算严重了,因为当时日本的房地产投资占GDP的比重仅为9%,而美国次贷危机爆发时的这一比例不过是6%。
短短十年内,土木工程成了中国经济的领头产业,带动了几十个上下游产业的繁荣。在“土木工程景气”的高潮期,中国3年消耗的水泥量比美国整个20世纪消耗的水泥量还要多;中国的粗钢生产能力在短短的6年里从2008年的6.6亿吨,攀升到2014年底的11.6亿吨,占世界粗钢产量的比重从49%,跳升到69%。当中国政府制造出“土木工程景气”时,也埋下了制造业和采掘业严重的产能过剩危机。
与“土木工程景气”同时出现的是房地产价格的快速上涨,一线城市的平均房价相当于普通家庭年收入的40多倍。当工薪阶层买不起房的时候,房地产业的不断膨胀,就意味着房产逐渐地泡沫化,许多买房者把住宅当作资产增值的投机手段。发达国家的住宅空置率通常在5%到10%之间;2015年6月中国城市的住宅空置率平均达到了22%到26%。
据2015年的调查,中国农村家庭的93%都拥有住房;在城镇有户籍的家庭,户均拥有1.2套住房,住宅需求基本上已得到满足,而当时中国正在施工或已建成待售的住宅还有1亿套。换言之,早在2015年,2.5亿户城镇家庭,4亿套城市住宅,供给比需求多60%。当房地产泡沫膨胀到这种程度时,“土木工程景气”就走到头了,房价随后下跌,乃是必然趋势。
四、为什么中国的消费拉不起来?
当中国经济不能再靠不断扩张出口或投资快速膨胀来保持繁荣时,能否靠十几亿居民的消费能力来实现经济繁荣呢?如果不了解过去近50年国民消费对经济成长的拉动力,就无法理解,为何中共“拉动消费”的口号始终无效?
改革开始之初,中国的居民消费占GDP的比重为53%;此后,随着中国经济进入繁荣状态,这一比重不断下降,从2006年到现在,一直徘徊在38%-39%左右。之所以这么低,是因为各级政府的消费,包括维稳费用、军事支出和军工研发,占用了巨量经济资源。
世界银行公布173个国家居民消费占GDP的比重,人口超过1千万的国家里,仅有3个国家的这一比重,处于35%上下这样极端偏低的异常状态,中国是其中之一。而大多数发达国家的国内消费都是经济的主要支柱,这些国家多年来居民消费占GDP的比重相当稳定,美、英、日、法、德分别是69%、65%、61%、56%、55%。
由于中国14亿人口中,具有高消费能力的只占4%。单靠这少数人的消费力,根本无法拉动整体经济。十年前中国经济学界曾反复讨论“国内消费需求不足”,却始终找不出有效的解决办法。现在这个话题已在中国消失,因为这其实是社会结构和政治制度的产物,并非经济政策可轻易解决的。
中国这种低消费、高投资和高出口的经济结构,使中国只能靠长期大规模地投资和出口,才能维持经济成长。投资要持续成长,就必须不断兴建工程,但投资没回报,如何持续扩大投资?出口要持续成长,就要不断扩大对发达国家市场的占领,那会伤害到其他国家的国家利益。
五、中共两次犯错,经济螺旋下落
过去十几年来,中共实际上是错误地选择了以房地产为支柱的经济发展战略;而在经济成长靠出口这方面,中共以为,用坚船利炮就能逼美国让出更多市场,结果是催出了美中冷战,彻底恶化了中国的国际贸易环境。
中国自从建立所谓的“世界工厂”以后,一直有一个错觉,以为从此就能决定世界各国消费者的命运,各国都要看中国的脸色,因此中国就崛起了。其实,中国的“世界工厂”是经济全球化1.0版的产物,但那不是制造业厂家来主导的,而是市场主导的。当下游的外国公司转移产品订单之后,“世界工厂”就可能衰退。
和气生财本来是这个“世界工厂”生存下去的秘诀,但中共的本性从未改变,有点钱就野心勃勃,想要充当世界霸权,改变国际秩序,达到对外扩张、扩大势力范围的目的。结果,中共的霸权企图破坏了台海稳定,也动摇了中国赖以生存的“世界工厂”。而中共2020年初点燃美中冷战的时间点,恰恰选在经济开始下滑的时刻。
中共在对自己的前景和对未来国际关系做出完全错误判断的背景下,在错误的时间,做出了点燃美中冷战这种极其危险的重大国际关系决策,其后果必然是,红色大国的寿命被中共决策层直接缩短了。
中共决策上的这两大问题,即选择以房地产为支柱的经济发展战略,其责任在胡锦涛、温家宝,习近平承继了前任的错误;而点燃美中冷战,则完全是习近平的责任,不过,扩军备战的准备工作,其实从江泽民时代就开始了。
绝大多数中国人并未意识到,中共领导人其实是一代继一代地,在稀里糊涂当中,把中国推到了经济螺旋下落的境地,以致于现在已难以挽救。
六、通货紧缩成禁忌,经济困境无药医
中国经济困境的初步征兆在疫情前就已出现,但疫情掩盖了经济困境;等到疫情过去之后,房地产泡沫就突然破灭了,然后就是房价连年下跌。
作为经济支柱的房地产业之崩塌,其连锁效应波及上下游许多行业,裁员降薪接踵而至,失业率飙升,中小企业大量倒闭,中产阶层感受到了生存危机。他们一旦失业,除了送外卖、快递,很难找到能维持家计的工作。现在中国的中产阶层除了拼命节衣缩食,看不到出路,唯一的愿望就是存钱保房贷的高额月供;否则,一旦失业,月供中断,房子这主要的家庭资产被法拍,就沦为彻底的无产阶级,甚至是负债阶级了。
《华尔街日报》去年12月23日报道,去年早些时候,中国的一个重要咨询机构为高层领导人准备了一份报告。该报告提到,如果不采取更紧急的措施重振经济增长,中国可能会陷入螺旋式通货紧缩,就像美国在1929年经济大萧条时期(Great Depression)遭遇的厄运一样。但习近平对此不为所动。据接近中国高层决策圈的人士透露,习近平曾问他的顾问们,通货紧缩有什么不好?大家难道不喜欢物价更便宜吗?据知情人士说,习近平的这种轻视态度,使得通货紧缩在中国决策圈几乎成了禁忌话题。
其实,中国的那个智库把通货紧缩这个概念用错了。所谓的通货紧缩,是指流通中的货币减少,导致物价持续下跌。但中国央行明确宣布,去年和今年都实行宽松的货币政策,央行的利率和商业银行准备金率不断下调,财政又通过超额发行长期国债,让央行通过再回购来释放大量货币。所以,讲中国现在是通货紧缩,属于错误解读。
中国经济的现况,其实比通货紧缩还严重。物价下跌有两种原因,一种是通货紧缩造成的,另一种是经济萎缩造成的。而中国现在原物料价格持续下跌,并非流通中的货币减少,而是因为经济活动全面萎缩,这比通货紧缩的后果更严重。通货紧缩还有救,放松货币政策就可以解决;但中国的实况是,央行已反复放松货币政策,经济却持续自动地全面萎缩,这就难救了。
今年1月2日《华尔街日报》的分析指出:中国房地产市场的崩溃,已导致城市家庭户均损失家庭财富九万美金;这使中国家庭财富的总损失达到十八万亿美金,相当于中国一年的GDP;而现在中国政府、家庭和企业的借贷总额已达到一年GDP的三倍;而当下中国现在还有八千万套空置住房,相当于整个美国住房总量的一半。
中国这么多的空置住房,意味着房价还会下跌,那么中国家庭的财富就会进一步受到损失。所以,现在并非中国经济螺旋式下滑的底部,而是还在下滑的半途当中。在这种状况下,中国人各自小心、长期应对,是一种必要的心理准备。
(本文仅代表作者个人观点立场)
中国央行发布公告暂停国债购买以保卫人民币
据路透社,中国央行周五宣布,将暂停购买国债。此举打破了五个月的央行持续购买局面,恰逢全球债券市场的大幅抛售,这表明中国人民银行也在试图确保国内债券收益率同步上升,或至少停止下跌。
路透社分析认为,中国人民银行正试图通过保持宽松的现金环境来恢复经济增长,同时试图抑制失控的债券涨势,并在政治和经济不确定性中同时稳定人民币。
中国债券价格已持续上涨十年,大约两年前,房地产行业陷入困境,股市疲软,引发大量资金涌入银行存款和债券市场,债券价格上涨速度加快。
但据华尔街日报周五报道,自去年以来,中国债券收益率不断刷新纪录低点,投资者对中国经济持续疲软感到担忧,纷纷涌向避险资产。债券价格与利率呈反向变动。
中央社援引中银证券首席经济学家管涛的分析说,2024年以来,中国长期债券收益下行较为明显,中国央行宣布暂停国债买入,有助于缓解资产荒,平衡国债市场供求关系。
招联首席研究员董希淼分析指出,包括农商银行在内的部分商业银行扩大债券投资,债券投资收入成为银行收入的重要来源,而政府债券由国家信用背书,具有较强的安全性,成为金融机构资产配軒的重要选择,一度出现供不应求的现象。
但董希淼强调,暂停国债买入不意味着市场流动性收紧,预计中国央行将通过公开市场操作、降低存款准备金率等方式,向市场注入短期和长期资金,继续维持市场流动性充裕。
中央社同时转引澎湃新闻报道,东方金诚研发部执行总监冯琳认为,这意味着在前期多次提示风险并采取相应监管措施后,中国央行对债市的调控力度加码,旨在遏制近期债市收益率快速下行的“抢跑”势头,稳定市场预期,同时也有助于稳定人民币汇率。
她认为,后续若政府债券供给放量,长债收益率回升至合理水平,市场供求关系能够自发地趋于平衡,中国央行就可能恢复买入国债,继续发挥通过国债将买入操作向市场投放中长期流动性的作用。
中国央行在香港进行金融运作
另据华尔街日报,中国央行在本周四还宣布,本月将在香港发行人民币600亿元(合82亿美元)六个月期央行票据的计划,发行规模创纪录,此举会在这个国际金融中心抽走离岸人民币流动性,加大做空人民币的难度。
人民币兑美元自去年12月初以来已走软1.3%,目前徘徊在16个月低点附近。
华尔街日报认为,暂停债券购买的举动暗示,中国央行对于国债收益率持续下降及债券价格上涨的现象,以及其传递出的公众对经济悲观态度,对人民币形成下行压力,感到不适。
上海保银投资管理有限公司(Pinpoint Asset Management)首席经济学家张智威表示,这释放出一个信号:中国央行不希望看到中国国债收益率进一步下降,从而给人民币带来更大压力。
责编:安克 网编:瑞哲
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德检方起诉三德国公民 涉嫌为中国获取军事敏感技术
本周四,德国联邦检察院起诉了三名涉嫌为中国情报部门提供敏感军用海事技术的德国公民。
综合国际媒体周五报道,这三人分别为Herwig F,Ina F和Thomas R。德国检方指出,自2017年起,Thomas R 便担任中国国家安全部的代理人,并与经营企业的Herwig F 和Ina F 夫妇建立联系,通过他们的公司接洽企业和科研机构。从2017年2月至2024年4月,他们共同向中国政府提供了多项可用于军事目的的创新技术,包括船用发动机、声纳系统、飞机防护系统、装甲车驱动器和军用无人机等,这些技术被认为能够显著提升中国海军战斗力。
据法广报道,在一次间谍活动中,Herwig F 和Ina F 曾与德国一所大学签署科技转移协议,在向中国政府取得资金后,他们协助中方获得了船舶发动机最新的滑动轴承技术。在另一起活动中,他们接受中国国家安全部的委托,利用中方资金购买并秘密出口了三台特种激光器。
针对上述指控,中国外交部发言人郭嘉昆在本周五的例行记者会上予以否认。他表示,希望德方“停止炒作中国间谍风险”,此举只会为“中德关系健康稳定发展设置障碍”,并强调中方始终坚持在相互尊重、互不干涉内政的基础上发展中德关系。
美联社报道指出,近年来,多起间谍活动案件使中德关系日趋紧张。去年10月,一名中国女子在德国因涉嫌在国防工业设施从事间谍活动被捕,她被指向另一名中国间谍特工Jian G.提供情报,该特工也已被逮捕,并曾在欧洲议会一名德国极右翼议员的办公室工作。此外,去年12月,德国警方还调查了一名涉嫌在德国波罗的海海军基地拍摄照片的中国男子。当时,中国外交部指责德国是在“操控和抹黑”。
责编:安克 网编:瑞哲
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UK has enough gas, says network after storage warning
Energy prices are at risk of rising after British Gas owner-Centrica warned about "concerningly low" storage levels due to the colder weather.
Centrica, which owns the country's largest gas storage facility, said the UK "has less than a week of gas demand in store".
There is no danger of the country running out of gas but it means the UK will need to buy more supplies from Continental Europe, the BBC understands.
Wholesale gas prices were lower in the UK on Friday.
Bride's fury after Instagram stunt wedding turns out to be real
A woman in Australia has annulled her marriage after realising that a fake wedding ceremony she took part in for a social media stunt was in fact real.
The unknowing bride said her partner was a social media influencer who convinced her to take part in the ceremony as a "prank" for his Instagram account.
She only discovered the marriage was genuine when he tried to use it to gain permanent residency in Australia.
A Melbourne judge granted the annulment after accepting the woman was tricked into getting married, in a judgment published on Thursday.
The bizarre case began in September 2023 when the woman met her partner on an online dating platform. They began seeing each other regularly in Melbourne, where they lived at the time.
In December that year, the man proposed to the woman and she accepted.
Two days later, the woman attended an event with the man in Sydney. She was told it would be a "white party" - where attendees would wear white-coloured clothing - and was told to pack a white dress.
But when they arrived she was "shocked" and "furious" to find no other guests present except for her partner, a photographer, the photographer's friend and a celebrant, according to her deposition quoted in court documents.
"So when I got there, and I didn't see anybody in white, I asked him, 'What's happening?'. And he pulled me aside, and he told me that he's organising a prank wedding for his social media, to be precise, Instagram, because he wants to boost his content, and wants to start monetising his Instagram page," she said.
She said she accepted his explanation as "he was a social media person" who had more than 17,000 followers on Instagram. She also believed that a civil marriage would only be valid if it was held in a court.
Still, she remained concerned. The woman rang a friend and voiced her worries, but the friend "laughed it off" and said it would be fine because, if it were real, they would have had to file a notice of intended marriage first, which they had not.
Reassured, the woman went through the ceremony where she and her partner exchanged wedding vows and kissed in front of a camera. She said she was happy at that time to "play along" to "make it look real".
Two months later, her partner asked her to add him as a dependent in her application for permanent residency in Australia. Both of them are foreigners.
When she told him she could not as they were technically not married, he then revealed that their Sydney wedding ceremony had been genuine, according to the woman's testimony.
The woman later found their marriage certificate, and discovered a notice of intended marriage which had been filed the month before their Sydney trip - before they even got engaged - which she said she did not sign. According to the court documents, the signature on the notice bears little resemblance to the woman's.
"I'm furious with the fact that I didn't know that that was a real marriage, and the fact that he also lied from the beginning, and the fact that he also wanted me to add him in my application," she said.
In his deposition, the man claimed they had "both agreed to these circumstances" and that following his proposal the woman had agreed to marry him at an "intimate ceremony" in Sydney.
The judge ruled that the woman was "mistaken about the nature of the ceremony performed" and "did not provide real consent to her participation" in the marriage.
"She believed she was acting. She called the event 'a prank'. It made perfect sense for her to adopt the persona of a bride in all things at the impugned ceremony so as to enhance the credibility of the video depicting a legally valid marriage," he stated in the judgement.
The marriage was annulled in October 2024.
Met officer sacked over racist and sexist messages
The head of the Met's Black Police Association (MBPA) has been found to have committed gross misconduct over a group chat where racist, sexist and inappropriate messages were sent and received.
Insp Charles Ehikioya was in a WhatsApp chat with former officer Carlo Francisco where offensive messages sent and received.
The officer had denied the allegations against him and said the claims were fabricated or falsely attributed to him because of his race or position as chair of the MBPA.
A panel found his conduct amounted to a breach of the standards of professional behaviour and said it was "so serious as to potentially justify dismissal".
The panel, led by Cdr Jason Prins, found Insp Ehikioya breached standards in respect of equality and diversity, discreditable conduct and challenging and reporting improper conduct proven at a hearing on Friday.
A decision on whether he will be dismissed has not been made yet.
In more than 7,000 messages between 2017 and 2020, the officer was said to have sent and received jokes, pictures and videos, it was heard previously.
He sent an image of the late Playboy founder Hugh Hefner, with the comment "message from the other side, tell the Muslims there's no 72 virgins left", it was previously said.
There was also a series of "racist" messages about Chinese people, the hearing was told.
Jokes about sex with a girl with Down's syndrome, and mockery of the late Duke of Edinburgh's car crash, were also in the chatlog, as was a video in which there was a child with a naked bottom, James Berry, representing the Met, said previously.
On 1 April 2019, Insp Ehikioya told Mr Francisco to "stop sending or receiving these silly porns", saying he could get into "trouble", the hearing was told.
Cdr Prins said the panel "found that Inspector Ehikioya has engaged in racist, sexist, misogynistic and otherwise inappropriate behaviour".
He added: "The panel finds to a large extent that the messages speak for themselves."
He also said they found his defence of the allegations to be "fanciful" and "far-fetched".
Commander Prins said: "The panel found that the messages sent by Inspector Ehikioya or received by him, which he failed to challenge or report, deeply damage public confidence in the police service."
The hearing was adjourned until later on Friday for the panel to consider its sanction.
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US announces $25m reward for arrest of Venezuela's Maduro
The US has announced an increased $25m (£20.4m) reward for information leading to the arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on the day he was sworn in for a third six-year term in office.
The inauguration ceremony was overshadowed by recrimination from the international community and Venezuelan opposition leaders.
Rewards have also been offered for information leading to the arrest and or conviction of Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello.
A new reward of up to $15m for Defence Minister Vladimir Padrino has also been offered.
The UK also issued sanctions on 15 top Venezuelan officials, including judges, members of the security forces and military officials.
The Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office said those sanctioned were responsible for "undermining democracy, the rule of law, and human rights violations".
Foreign Secretary David Lammy went on to describe Maduro's regime as "fraudulent".
This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly. Please refresh the page for the fullest version.
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What's the latest on the wildfires and what caused them?
Out-of-control wildfires are ripping across parts of Los Angeles, leading to at least five deaths, burning down hundreds of buildings, and prompting more than 130,000 people to flee their homes in America's second-largest city.
Despite the efforts of firefighters, the biggest blazes remain totally uncontained - with weather conditions and the underlying impact of climate change expected to continue fanning the flames for days to come.
What's the latest?
More than 137,000 people have been forced to leave their homes - many of them simply carrying whatever belongings they can.
Police say at least five people have died, and their bodies found near the Eaton Fire - but their cause of death is not yet known.
Like the even larger Palisades Fire, the Eaton Fire remains totally uncontained. Meanwhile, the new Sunset Fire is menacing the well-known Hollywood Hills area.
More than 1,000 structures are known to have been destroyed - including houses, schools and businesses on the iconic Sunset Boulevard. A fire ecologist has told the BBC that "entire neighbourhoods... have been wiped out".
Among the celebrities who have lost their homes are Leighton Meester and Adam Brody, who attended the Golden Globes just days ago, and Paris Hilton.
There is a glimmer of hope for firefighters, as the fire weather outlook for southern California has been downgraded from "extremely critical" to "critical".
But BBC weather forecaster Sarah Keith-Lucas says there is no rain forecast in the area for at least the next week, meaning conditions remain ripe for fire.
Mass disruption has been reported due to traffic buildup. A number of schools and the the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) have been forced to close.
A political row about the city's preparedness has erupted after it emerged that some firefighters' hoses have run dry - an issue seized upon by US President-elect Donald Trump.
Where are the fires?
There are at least five fires raging in the wider area, according to California fire officials early on Thursday:
- Palisades: The first fire to erupt on Tuesday and the biggest fire in the region, which could become the most destructive fire in state history. It has scorched a sizable part of land, covering more than 17,200 acres, including the upscale Pacific Palisades neighbourhood
- Eaton: It has struck the northern part of Los Angeles, blazing through cities such as Altadena. It's the second biggest fire in the area, burning around 10,600 acres
- Hurst: Located just north of San Fernando, it began burning on Tuesday night and has grown to 855 acres, though firefighters have had some successlimited in containing it
- Lidia: It broke out on Wednesday afternoon in the mountainous Acton area north of Los Angeles and grew to cover almost 350 acres. Authorities say it has been 40% contained
- Sunset: It broke out Wednesday evening in Hollywood Hills, growing to about 20 acres in less than an hour. It now covers around 43 acres
The earlier Woodley and Olivas fires have now been contained, according to local fire authorities.
How did the LA fires start?
Officials have pointed to high winds and drought in the area, which has made vegetation very dry and easy to burn.
The likely impact of climate change has also been cited been blamed - although the exact circumstances remain unclear.
Some 95% of wildfires in the area are started by humans, according to David Acuna, a battalion chief at the Californian Fire Service, although officials are yet to state how they think the current fires started.
An important factor that has been cited in the spread of the blazes is the Santa Ana winds, which blow from inland towards the coast. With speeds of more than 60mph (97 km/h), these are believed to have fanned the flames.
What role has climate change played?
Although strong winds and lack of rain are driving the blazes, experts say climate change is altering the background conditions and increasing the likelihood of such fires.
US government research is unequivocal in linking climate change to larger and more severe wildfires in the western United States.
"Climate change, including increased heat, extended drought, and a thirsty atmosphere, has been a key driver in increasing the risk and extent of wildfires in the western United States," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says.
And following a very warm summer and lack of rain in recent months, California is particularly vulnerable.
Fire season in southern California is generally thought to stretch from May to October - but the state's governor, Gavin Newsom, has pointed out earlier that blazes had become a perennial issue. "There's no fire season," he said. "It's fire year."
Speaking to the BBC, Mr Acuna said the Palisades Fire represented only the third occasion in the past 30 years that a major fire had broken out in January.
Jeff Bridges among celebrities to lose homes in wildfires
The affluent Los Angeles neighbourhood of Pacific Palisades typically has strangers walking around, trying to catch a glimpse of celebrities' houses.
Now, though, its streets are filled with firefighters battling a 3,000-acre wildfire that is ravaging the area.
Across the city, more than 30,000 have been forced to evacuate their homes as winds stoke three fires. A state of emergency has been declared, leaving roads gridlocked as people flee.
Among them, a number of famous faces have been forced to flee their usually idyllic California homes, including Star Wars' Mark Hamill and Schitt's Creek actor Eugene Levy.
James Woods, who has starred in films including Nixon and Casino, described evacuating his home on social media, and said he was not sure if it was still standing.
"It feels like losing a loved one," he wrote.
Pacific Palisades is known for being exclusive, with a house costing $4.5m (£3.6m) on average as of November 2024, according to Realtor.com.
The north LA neighbourhood is bordered on the south with a three-mile (4.8km) stretch of beaches on the Pacific Ocean, nestled between Malibu and Santa Monica.
It is a hub for trendy shops, cafes and a farmers' market.
But the Palisades fire - which grew from 10 acres to over 2,900 in a matter of hours - has shattered they area's idyllic nature.
Mark Hamill, of Star Wars fame, called the blaze the "most horrific fire since '93" - which burned 18,000 acres and destroyed 323 homes in nearby Malibu - in a post on Instagram.
He said he evacuated his home in Malibu "so last-minute there [were] small fires on both sides of the road".
Levy, who rose to fame for his role in film series American Pie, told local media he was forced to evacuate his home.
"The smoke looked pretty black and intense over Temescal Canyon. I couldn't see any flames but the smoke was very dark," he recounted to the Los Angeles Times.
Reality star's Spencer Pratt and Heidi Montag lost their family home in the fire, his sister wrote on Instagram.
"I am beyond heartbroken for my brother, Heidi and the kids," she said. "Even the fire station in the Palisades has burned down."
Miles Teller, best known for his role in Top Gun: Maverick, and his wife Keleigh, also live in the area.
Posting on Instagram, Mrs Teller shared a picture of the fires and a heart-break emoji. She urged people to leave bowls of water for animals as they evacuate their homes.
Meanwhile, Actor Steve Guttenberg, known for Police Academy, stayed to help firefighters by moving cars in order to make room for incoming fire trucks.
He urged residents to leave the keys to their abandoned cars so they could be moved out the way of firefighters.
"We really need people to move their cars," he told news outlet KTLA: "This is not a parking lot."
It is not just famous residents affected by the wildfire - notable buildings in the area are under threat as well.
The Palisades Charter High School - which has served as a set for movies and counts several notable people as former students - has been damaged by fire, local media reports.
The fire-stricken school has been used in films including 1976 horror classic Carrie and Project X, according to The Hollywood Reporter.
Former students include director JJ Abrams, musician Will.i.am, and actors Forest Whitaker and Katey Sagal.
The Getty Villa is an art museum in the Palisades that has a large collection of artworks and artefacts, including works by Vincent van Gogh and Claude Monet.
The museum confirmed on Tuesday that it had closed to the public and that some trees and vegetation on site had burned - but said that "no structures are on fire, and staff and the collection remain safe".
Star studded events due to take place in the area have also been cancelled.
Film premiers for Unstoppable, Better Man and Wolfman have been called off, as has the Screen Actors Guild Awards live nominations event.
Weekly quiz: Zendaya looked happy but who else sparkled at the Golden Globes?
This week saw Hollywood's awards season kick off in style with the Golden Globes and rumours of a celebrity engagement.
But how much attention did you pay to what else had been going on in the world over the past seven days?
Quiz compiled by Ben Fell.
Fancy some more? Try last week's quiz, have a go at something from the archives, or take on the 2024 Quiz of the Year.
Part one: January to March
Part two: April to June
Part three: July to September
Part four: October to December
美最高法院今日辩论决定TikTok在美命运
据国际媒体与中央社报道,美国最高法院将于1月10日(星期五)就短视频应用平台Tik Tok在美国市场的命运进行辩论。辩论预计会聚焦国家安全和言论自由。
美国总统拜登在2024年签署法案,要求Tik Tok于2025年1月19日前脱离中国母公司“字节跳动”(ByteDance),否则将在美国面临禁令。
2024年12月,美国联邦法院同意受理Tik Tok和母公司字节跳动提出的寻求挡下“非售就禁”法令的上诉。
中央社分析说,最高法院对此案的审理正值世界两大经济体贸易紧张局势加剧之际。而共和党人唐纳德·特朗普将于 1 月 20 日开始他的第二任总统任期,他反对该禁令。
路透社报道称,最高法院准备权衡两方面内容——关于言论自由权,以及关于一个由外国所有者拥有的社交媒体平台对国家安全的影响。
TikTok目前有1.7 亿美国国内用户的数据,约占美国人口的一半。司法部表示,TikTok 对美国国家安全构成严重威胁,因为中国可能会利用这一庞大的美国人数据宝库进行间谍活动或勒索,或者秘密操纵美国人在该应用上看到的内容,以服务于中国利益。
TikTok强大的算法会根据个人用户的喜好为他们提供定制的短视频。TikTok 表示,该禁令将打击其用户群、广告商、内容创作者和员工人才。
美联社报道说,其母公司字节跳动此前曾表示,没有出售计划。上个月,特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩的海湖庄园会见了TikTok首席执行官周受资。这家公司目前在美国拥有7000 名员工。
TikTok 和字节跳动在一份文件中表示,该平台代表了“美国最重要的言论平台之一”,并认为要求其售卖的法案“与第一修正案背道而驰”。TikTok对禁令挑战得到了几个言论自由和自由主义倡导团体的支持。
司法部表示,禁令针对的是中国对该应用的控制,而不是言论,如果TikTok摆脱中国的控制,它可以继续照常运营。司法部在一份文件中向法院表示,中国“试图通过收集美国人的敏感数据并进行秘密和恶意影响行动来破坏美国利益”,并称该应用程序是“间谍活动的强大工具”。
特朗普于 12 月 27 日呼吁最高法院推迟 1 月 19 日的撤资截止日期,以便让新政府“有机会寻求政治解决案件中存在的问题”。司法部则敦促法院驳回这一请求。
美联社分析认为,如果最高法院认为对TikTok的禁令应维持于1月19 日生效,这款短视频应用平台可能会在不到两周的时间内在美关闭。但如果九名法官中至少有五名认为该禁令违宪,法院可能会在作出最终裁决之前迅速阻止该法律生效。
美国公民自由联盟和电子前沿基金会等言论自由倡导组织已敦促法院阻止该法律,称政府尚未出示可靠的损害证据,禁令将对美国人的生活造成“极大破坏”。
另一方面,前共和党参议员米奇·麦康奈尔(Mitch McConnell)和 22 个州的代表提交了支持该法案的简报,他们认为该法案通过保护美国人的数据并防止中国当局可能操纵该平台上的信息来保护言论自由。
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年前找到工作了,长出一口气
rt ,坐标帝都,今年五月底领大礼包离职,中间开心的玩了俩月,做了个小手术。十月份开始找工作,开始约到不少面试,基本一轮游。因为之前一份工作五年没换,太久没面试,转头开始刷题复习,但是也不好静下心来,经常一会刷 boss ,一会看题,一会看剧打游戏。 找了一个多月就拿到一个华为 od 和币圈公司的 offer ,都不想去,拒了。
十一月下旬开始逐渐开始约不到面试,心态也逐渐焦虑,期间遇到各种离谱事件,某联想系创业公司面了 4 轮到 ceo 面最后不了了之;某支付公司一面过了,二面的时候面试官因为迟到让一面面试官先陪我聊聊,结果让板书代码人有点懵没做出来直接 pass;某大模型创业公司因创始人陷入纠纷突然停止所有招聘流程;另一家大模型公司过了两轮面试 hr 吊了我两周最后不了了之。
本来心态已经大崩溃,十二月中旬突然开始转运,约到的面试多了起来,之前面试问的都是八股文,突然再遇到的面试都更多问项目,对技术没那么扣细节,而且进度很快,先拿到了一家公司的 offer ,hr 告知需要日常加班,涨薪 25%,本来已经想好要去做牛马。后来又拿到一家 offer 涨薪 30%+,日常也不需要加班,柳暗花明直接复活。
总结就是今年找工作真的很难,但是找工作也真看运气,特别有实力的除外,另外从我的感觉上真的年底更好找一些。
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台海出现中共“影子舰队” ,中国权宜轮涉及破坏台湾 #海底电缆。从去年12月开始,解放军在台海周边出动大量船只占位第一、第二岛链后,中共对台军事部署是否已经进入实战演练的阶段?最近又爆出,台湾内部有政党遭到中共资助,并且在台湾到处吸收成员,在台有“内应”的案件,“第五纵队”威胁多大?在解放军不断被清洗整治的背景下,解放军真能攻台吗?中共最近大肆宣传的六代战机,两栖攻击舰,真代表“东升西降”?习近平会冒进攻台吗?2027年的预言会成真吗?前解放军海军司令部中校参谋姚诚,军事频道自媒体人周子定,深入解析解放军的虚与实,以及习近平发动武统的可能性。
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Flask+SQLite+Tornado 在 Windows 2019 下 100 并发都撑不住是怎么回事?
非常简易的一个测试程序
# -*- coding: UTF-8 -*-
from flask import Flask, request
import json
import time
import re
import sys
import asyncio
from tornado.ioloop import IOLoop
from tornado.wsgi import WSGIContainer
from tornado.httpserver import HTTPServer
import sqlalchemy
from sqlalchemy.ext.declarative import declarative_base
from sqlalchemy import Column, Integer, String, create_engine
from sqlalchemy.orm import sessionmaker
engine = create_engine('sqlite:///database.db?check_same_thread=False')
Base = declarative_base()
class ClientLog(Base):
__tablename__ = 'clientlog'
log_id = Column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
message = Column(String(512))
def __repr__(self):
return "A"
from sqlalchemy.ext.declarative import DeclarativeMeta
class AlchemyEncoder(json.JSONEncoder):
def default(self, obj):
if isinstance(obj.__class__, DeclarativeMeta):
# an SQLAlchemy class
fields = {}
for field in [x for x in dir(obj) if not x.startswith('_') and x != 'metadata']:
data = obj.__getattribute__(field)
try:
json.dumps(data) # this will fail on non-encodable values, like other classes
fields[field] = data
except TypeError:
fields[field] = None
# a json-encodable dict
return fields
return json.JSONEncoder.default(self, obj)
Base.metadata.create_all(engine, checkfirst=True)
Session = sessionmaker(bind=engine)
session = Session()
app = Flask("app")
@app.route('/api', methods=['GET', 'POST'])
@app.route('/api/', methods=['GET', 'POST'])
def api1():
session.add(ClientLog(message="test"))
session.commit()
return "test"
def launch_server():
if sys.platform == 'win32':
asyncio.set_event_loop_policy(asyncio.WindowsSelectorEventLoopPolicy())
http_server = HTTPServer(WSGIContainer(app))
http_server.listen(8080)
IOLoop.current().start()
launch_server()
在阿里云的 Windows 2019 模板下 100 并发就会崩溃退出,报错
Exception in thread Tornado selector:
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "C:\Users\Administrator\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python311\Lib\threading.py", line 1045, in _bootstrap_inner
self.run()
File "C:\Users\Administrator\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python311\Lib\threading.py", line 982, in run
self._target(*self._args, **self._kwargs)
File "C:\Users\Administrator\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python311\Lib\site-packages\tornado\platform\asyncio.py", line 574, in _run_select
rs, ws, xs = select.select(to_read, to_write, to_write)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
ValueError: too many file descriptors in select()
但是我在 Windows 10 的电脑上测试并发没问题 之前测试换了另外一个对 Windows 更友好的 web framework (想不起来名字,找了半天没找到)可以是可以,但是估计它用了不止一个进程写 SQLite ,导致冲突无法提交更改 业务需求调用一个 Windows Only 的 pip 包 ,无法更换 Linux 服务器
大部分公司春节都是提前一周放假的吗
几个大学同学 21 号去旅游一周,问我要不要一起,可是我得上班到 28 号。他们很不解,我也很困惑。之前没有来公司自愿加班,请事假是不批的了,去不了。
难道一线大部分公司春节都是提前放假的?