What an Iowa Poll From The Des Moines Register Could Tell Us About the 2024 Race NYT | Top Stories By: Kaleigh Rogers 5 November 2024 at 07:27 Sometimes outliers are early indicators, capturing something other polls just haven’t measured yet. Other times, they’re a fluke. © Rachel Mummey for The New York TimesJ. Ann Selzer in West Des Moines, Iowa, on Monday. Her latest poll found Kamala Harris leading Donald J. Trump in the state.